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Operational Transparency: Showing When Work Gets Done 操作透明度:显示工作何时完成
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2019-04-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3215560
R. Bray
Problem definition: Do the benefits of operational transparency depend on when the work is done? Academic/practical relevance: This work connects the operations management literature on operational transparency with the psychology literature on the peak-end effect. Methodology: This study examines how customers respond to operational transparency with parcel delivery data from the Cainiao Network, the logistics arm of Alibaba. The sample comprises 4.68 million deliveries. Each delivery has between 4 and 10 track-package activities, which customers can check in real time, and a delivery service score, which customers leave after receiving the package. Instrumental-variable regressions quantify the causal effect of track-package-activity times on delivery scores. Results: The regressions suggest that customers punish early idleness less than late idleness, leaving higher delivery service scores when track-package activities cluster toward the end of the shipping horizon. For example, if a shipment takes 100 hours, then delaying the time of the average action from hour 20 to hour 80 increases the expected delivery score by approximately the same amount as expediting the arrival time from hour 100 to hour 73. Managerial implications: Memory limitations make customers especially sensitive to how service operations end.
问题定义:操作透明度的好处是否取决于工作何时完成?学术/实践相关性:本研究将运营透明度的运营管理文献与峰端效应的心理学文献联系起来。研究方法:本研究通过阿里巴巴旗下物流公司菜鸟网络的包裹递送数据,考察客户对运营透明度的反应。样本包括468万次交付。每次送货都有4到10个跟踪包裹的活动,顾客可以实时查看这些活动,还有一个送货服务评分,顾客在收到包裹后会留下评分。工具变量回归量化了跟踪包裹活动时间对递送分数的因果影响。结果:回归表明,顾客对早期闲置的惩罚比对后期闲置的惩罚要少,当跟踪包裹活动聚集在运输地平线的末端时,配送服务得分更高。例如,如果发货需要100个小时,那么将平均动作的时间从20小时延迟到80小时将增加预期交付分数,其数量与将到达时间从100小时加快到73小时大致相同。管理含义:内存限制使客户对服务操作如何结束特别敏感。
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引用次数: 16
Screening Mechanism When Online Users Have Privacy Concerns 在线用户有隐私顾虑时的筛选机制
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2019-04-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3373110
Jagan Jacob
In consumer-to-consumer online platforms that enable selling (e.g., eBay, Taobao) or sharing (e.g., Airbnb, Uber) of goods and services, information asymmetry between providers (e.g., sellers, hosts, drivers) and consumers (e.g., buyers, guests, passengers) pose challenges. Such platforms facilitate transactions between users (providers and consumers), who are often strangers. Stricter screening, background cheeks, and identity verification requirements may reduce the probability of bad users entering the platform. However, users are reluctant to share personal information on the internet. We design a matching mechanism to maximise platform profit when users are heterogeneous with some more likely to be good than others, but the platform does not know who. We argue that in some cases, the platform increases its profit by allowing users with a higher probability of being bad to join as well.
在能够销售(如eBay、淘宝)或共享(如Airbnb、Uber)商品和服务的消费者对消费者在线平台中,供应商(如卖家、房东、司机)和消费者(如买家、客人、乘客)之间的信息不对称构成了挑战。这些平台促进了用户(供应商和消费者)之间的交易,他们通常是陌生人。更严格的筛选、背景检查和身份验证要求可能会降低不良用户进入平台的概率。然而,用户不愿意在互联网上分享个人信息。我们设计了一种匹配机制,当用户是异质的,有些人可能比其他人更优秀,但平台不知道是谁时,平台利润最大化。我们认为,在某些情况下,该平台通过允许更有可能坏的用户加入来增加利润。
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引用次数: 0
Inventory Policies and Information Sharing: An Efficient Frontier Approach 库存政策与信息共享:有效的前沿方法
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2019-02-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3333371
René Caldentey, Avi Giloni, C. Hurvich
We consider a two-tier inventory management system with one retailer and one supplier. The retailer serves a demand driven by a stationary moving average process (of possibly in nite order) and places periodic inventory replenishment orders to the supplier. In this setting, we study the interplay between information sharing and order smoothing under the assumption that rms' inventory cost parameters (e.g., per unit holding and backordering costs) are functions of two forms of supply chain variability: (i) on-hand inventory variability and (ii) replenishment order variability. We show that there is a natural tension between these two sources of variability and characterize a Pareto frontier" between them by identifying optimal inventory replenishment strategies that trade-o one type of variability for the other in a cost efficient way. For the case in which the retailer is able to share her complete demand history, we provide a full characterization of the efficient frontier, as well as of an optimal replenishment policy. On the other hand, when the retailer is not able (or willing) to share any demand information we provide a partial characterization of an optimal solution and show that information sharing does not always add value.We also show that the question of identifying conditions under which information sharing does o er value reduces to a delicate analysis of the invertibility (in a time series sense) of a specific stationary process.
我们考虑一个两层库存管理系统,一个零售商和一个供应商。零售商满足由固定移动平均流程(可能是夜间订单)驱动的需求,并定期向供应商发出库存补充订单。在这种情况下,我们研究了信息共享和订单平滑之间的相互作用,假设rms的库存成本参数(例如,单位持有和延迟订购成本)是两种形式的供应链可变性的函数:(i)库存可变性和(ii)补货订单可变性。我们表明,在这两种可变性来源之间存在着一种自然的紧张关系,并通过确定以成本有效的方式将一种可变性交换为另一种可变性的最佳库存补充策略,表征了它们之间的“帕累托边界”。对于零售商能够分享其完整的需求历史的情况,我们提供了有效边界的完整特征,以及最佳补货政策。另一方面,当零售商不能(或不愿意)共享任何需求信息时,我们提供了最优解决方案的部分特征,并表明信息共享并不总是增加价值。我们还表明,识别信息共享不具有价值的条件的问题可以简化为对特定平稳过程的可逆性(在时间序列意义上)的精细分析。
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引用次数: 0
Распределенная динамическая PDE-модель программного управления загрузкой технологического оборудования производственной линии (Distributed Dynamic PDE-Model of Program Control by Utilization of the Technological Equipment of Production Line)
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2019-02-01 DOI: 10.15802/STP2019/159489
G. K. Kozevnikov, O. Pihnastyi
Purpose . The article is aimed at designing a control system for the parameters of a production line for an enterprise with a straight flow method of organizing production. Methodology . The production line at the enterprise with a straight flow method of organizing production is a complex dynamic distributed system. The flow route for manufacturing a product for many modern enterprises contains several hundreds of technological operations, in the inter-operating reserve each of which there are thousands of products waiting to be processed. The flow routes of different parts of the same type of products intersect (re-entrant manufacturing systems). This leads to the fact that the distribution of subjects of labor along the technological route has a significant impact on the throughput capacity of the production line. To describe such systems, a new class of production line models (PDE-model) has been introduced. To describe the behavior of the flow parameters of the production line, a production line model containing partial differential equations (PDE model) was used. The PDE-model of the production line is built in the article, the flow parameters of which depend on the value of utilization rate of the technological equipment for each operation. Findings . The authors obtained the optimal control of the flow parameters of the production line, which is based on the algorithm for changing the utilization rate of the technological equipment of the production line. The single-shift working time pattern is considered as a basic regulatory treatment of the production line operation. To simulate the work of technological equipment after the shift, the generalized Dirac function was used. Originality consists in the development of a method for designing control systems for the parameters of the production line of enterprises with a straight flow method of organizing production based on the PDE-model of the control object. The authors proposed a method for constructing an optimal control of the parameters of the production line through the control of the utilization rate of the technological equipment. When designing a control system, the production line is represented by a dynamic system with distributed flow parameters. Practical value . The proposed method for designing a control system for the flow parameters of a production line can be used as the basis for designing highly efficient production flow control systems for enterprises manufacturing semiconductor products of the automobile industry.
目的。本文的目的是为一个采用直流法组织生产的企业设计一个生产线参数控制系统。方法。以流水方式组织生产的企业生产线是一个复杂的动态分布式系统。对于许多现代企业来说,制造一个产品的流程路线包含数百个技术操作,在互操作储备中,每个操作储备中都有数千个产品等待加工。同一类型产品的不同部件的流动路线相交(可再入制造系统)。这导致沿技术路线的劳动主体分布对生产线的生产能力有显著的影响。为了描述这样的系统,引入了一类新的生产线模型(pde模型)。为了描述生产线流动参数的行为,采用了含偏微分方程(PDE)的生产线模型。本文建立了生产线的pde模型,该模型的流程参数取决于各工序工艺设备的利用率值。发现。基于改变生产线工艺设备利用率的算法,实现了生产线流程参数的最优控制。单班制工作时间模式被认为是生产线运行的一种基本调节处理。采用广义狄拉克函数对工艺设备换挡后的工作进行了模拟。独创性在于开发了一种基于控制对象的pde模型,用组织生产的直流法设计企业生产线参数控制系统的方法。提出了一种通过控制工艺设备利用率来构建生产线参数最优控制的方法。在设计控制系统时,将生产线表示为具有分布流参数的动态系统。实用价值。本文提出的生产线流程参数控制系统设计方法可为汽车行业半导体产品制造企业设计高效的生产流程控制系统提供依据。
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引用次数: 0
Managing Impulsive Purchases in Multi-Channel Online Retailing: Product Categories and Organizational Choices 多渠道在线零售中的冲动性购买管理:产品类别和组织选择
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2018-12-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3306898
Nitish Jain, Sergei Savin, Narendra Singh
Multiple online channels allow a retailer to cover a wider range of situational purchase settings but also expose it to a more complex spectrum of consumer purchase behavior. Compared with the conventional desktop computer-based Web channel, the mobile-based application channel enables retailers to understand consumers better and, also, makes them more vulnerable to impulse purchases. The unique features of consumer experience and purchase behavior in each online channel raise the question of whether these channels should be managed jointly or separately. This study seeks to identify retail settings that favor a particular organizational choice. The extant literature on multi-channel retail has paid scant attention to differences between these primary online channels. Our study helps to fill this gap, and it aims to equip retailers with a simple tool for comparing the organization's choices with regard to managing sales across the two channels. We build a parsimonious model that captures key aspects of consumers' impulsive purchase behavior across various product types and two different online channels. In this model, the consumer's utility from purchasing a product via a particular channel consists of two correlated components: a channel-independent "base'' component and a channel-specific "impulsive'' component. We use this model to examine retailer performance when pricing is delegated to managers under separate-channel and joint-channel management schemes. We find that products which induce impulsive purchase behavior strongly correlated with the base product valuation, such as high-value hedonic products, favor the joint-channel setup. In contrast, products with strong negative correlation between the base and impulsive valuation components, such as high-end durables, do better under separate-channel management. Online retailers should carefully curate their delegation strategies to manage the interplay between channels' natural differences and the product characteristics that shape how consumers' impulsive purchase behavior is related to their base valuations.
多种在线渠道使零售商能够覆盖更广泛的情景购买设置,但也使其暴露于更复杂的消费者购买行为范围。与传统的基于台式电脑的网络渠道相比,基于移动的应用渠道使零售商能够更好地了解消费者,同时也使他们更容易受到冲动购买的影响。每个在线渠道的消费者体验和购买行为的独特性提出了这些渠道是应该联合管理还是分开管理的问题。本研究旨在确定有利于特定组织选择的零售设置。现有的多渠道零售文献很少关注这些主要在线渠道之间的差异。我们的研究有助于填补这一空白,它旨在为零售商提供一个简单的工具,用于比较组织在管理两个渠道的销售方面的选择。我们建立了一个简约的模型,捕捉了消费者在不同产品类型和两种不同在线渠道中冲动购买行为的关键方面。在该模型中,消费者通过特定渠道购买产品的效用由两个相关组件组成:与渠道无关的“基础”组件和特定于渠道的“脉冲”组件。我们使用这个模型来检验零售商的表现,当定价委托给管理者在单独渠道和联合渠道管理方案。研究发现,那些与基础产品价值相关性强的产品,如高价值的享乐性产品,更倾向于联合渠道的建立。相比之下,基础和冲动性估值成分负相关较强的产品,如高端耐用品,在分渠道管理下表现更好。在线零售商应该仔细策划他们的授权策略,以管理渠道的自然差异和产品特性之间的相互作用,这些特性决定了消费者的冲动购买行为与他们的基础估值之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Using Word Embedding and Community Discovery to Understand the Market for Remanufactured and Refurbished Products 使用词嵌入和社区发现来了解再制造和翻新产品的市场
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2018-12-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3328475
J. Quariguasi Frota Neto
This paper draws on word embedding and community discovery algorithms to allow researchers to easily and effectively gather information on markets for remanufactured and refurbished products. Off-the-shelf, pre-trained vectors created using word embedding are employed and neither input on remanufacturing or related concepts (e.g., data or corpus containing specific information on product remanufacturing) nor human interactions are required. The study’s outcomes have implications for academics and practitioners alike. First, environmental concerns only weakly appear in the discourse on product remanufacturing and refurbishing. Second, the terms remanufactured and refurbished are strongly associated with product type. Third, product remanufacturing is associated with industries such as car parts and printers, in both the B2B and B2C markets. Fourth, product refurbishing is associated mostly with consumer electronics and predominantly the B2C markets.Fifth, in the remanufacturing/refurbishing business, OEMs’ presence is more salient than that of independent remanufacturers. Sixth, the salience of Japanese and US OEMs is higher than that of OEMs based elsewhere. OEMs that manufacture printing equipment, cars and consumer electronics are the most salient. By contrasting the CSLC academic literature with the clusters obtained through big data analysis, this study also identifies products and brands that are understudied in the academic literature.
本文利用词嵌入和社区发现算法,使研究人员能够轻松有效地收集再制造和翻新产品的市场信息。使用词嵌入创建的现成的预训练向量,既不需要再制造或相关概念的输入(例如,包含产品再制造特定信息的数据或语料库),也不需要人工交互。这项研究的结果对学术界和实践者都有影响。首先,环境问题在产品再制造和翻新的论述中只出现得很弱。其次,术语再制造和翻新与产品类型密切相关。第三,在B2B和B2C市场中,产品再制造与汽车零部件和打印机等行业相关。第四,产品翻新主要与消费电子产品相关,主要是B2C市场。第五,在再制造/翻新业务中,oem厂商的存在比独立的再制造商更为突出。第六,日本和美国的原始设备制造商的知名度高于其他地方的原始设备制造商。生产印刷设备、汽车和消费电子产品的原始设备制造商最为突出。通过对比CSLC学术文献与通过大数据分析得到的聚类,本研究还发现了学术文献中研究不足的产品和品牌。
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引用次数: 0
Supply Chain Disruptions: Evidence from the Bankruptcy of Hanjin Shipping 供应链中断:以韩进海运破产为例
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2018-11-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3293272
Caleb Kwon
This paper exploits the insolvency announcement of Hanjin Shipping in 2016 to study the causal effects of supply chain disruptions on firm outcomes and sourcing behavior. This insolvency announcement stranded cargo in transit as ports refused to unload Hanjin vessels. Over 8,300 cargo owners and $14 billion USD of cargo were affected by this announcement. I use a novel dataset that links 5 million shipments from U.S. Customs with real-time vessel movement data to identify impacted firms and the distribution of cargo delays to study their causal effects. I present four key findings. First, I show that disruptions to the flow of inventory - characterized by uncertainty in resolution - can drive firms to place large panic orders. Second, I provide novel evidence that pre-existing supply chain redundancies can benefit firms during disruptions as hedging tools. Third, I show that supply chain disruptions can cause firms to modify future sourcing strategies. Finally, instrumenting for the increases in inventory with disruption variables, I re-examine the link between excess inventory and abnormal stock returns. In contrast to prior work, I find no such associations.
本文以2016年韩进海运宣布破产为例,研究供应链中断对企业业绩和采购行为的因果影响。由于港口拒绝韩进海运公司的船舶卸货,这一破产公告使运输中的货物陷入困境。超过8,300名货主和价值140亿美元的货物受此公告影响。我使用了一个新颖的数据集,将来自美国海关的500万件货物与实时船只运动数据联系起来,以确定受影响的公司和货物延误的分布,以研究其因果关系。我提出了四个主要发现。首先,我证明了库存流动的中断——以解决方案的不确定性为特征——会促使企业下达大量恐慌性订单。其次,我提供了新的证据,证明预先存在的供应链冗余可以作为对冲工具在中断期间使公司受益。第三,我表明供应链中断可能导致公司修改未来的采购策略。最后,利用干扰变量测量库存的增加,我重新审视了过剩库存与异常库存回报之间的联系。与之前的研究相反,我没有发现这种联系。
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引用次数: 1
Designing Response Supply Chain against Bioattacks 设计应对生物攻击的反应供应链
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2018-08-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2832329
D. Simchi-Levi, Nikolaos Trichakis, P. Zhang
Bioattacks, i.e., the intentional release of pathogens or biotoxins against humans to cause serious illness and death, pose a significant threat to public health and safety due to the availability of pathogens worldwide, scale of impact, and short treatment time window. In this paper, we focus on the problem of prepositioning inventory of medical countermeasures (MCM) to defend against such bioattacks. We introduce a two-stage robust optimization model that considers the policymaker’s static inventory decision, attacker’s move, and policymaker’s adjustable shipment decision, so as to minimize inventory and life loss costs, subject to population survivability targets. We consider a heuristic solution approach that limits the adjustable decisions to be affine, which allows us to cast the problem as a tractable linear optimization problem. We prove that, under mild assumptions, the heuristic is in fact optimal. Experimental evidence suggests that the heuristic’s performance remains near-optimal for general settings as well. We illustrate how our model can serve as a decision support tool for policy making. In particular, we perform a thorough case study on how to preposition MCM inventory in the United States to guard against anthrax attacks. We calibrate our model using data from multiple sources, including publications of the National Academies of Sciences and the U.S. Census. We find that, for example, if U.S. policymakers want to ensure a 95% survivability target for anthrax attacks that simultaneously affect at most two cities (in the same or different states), the minimum annual inventory budget required is approximately $330 million. We also discuss how our model can be applied in other contexts as well, e.g., to analyze safety-stock placement in supply-chain networks to hedge against disruptions.
生物攻击,即故意向人类释放病原体或生物毒素,造成严重疾病和死亡,由于世界各地都有病原体,影响规模大,治疗时间窗短,对公众健康和安全构成重大威胁。在本文中,我们重点研究了预防此类生物攻击的医学对策(MCM)的预定位库存问题。提出了一种考虑决策者静态库存决策、攻击者移动和决策者可调整出货决策的两阶段鲁棒优化模型,以在种群生存能力目标下最小化库存和生命损失成本。我们考虑了一种启发式解决方法,该方法将可调决策限制为仿射,这使我们能够将问题作为一个可处理的线性优化问题。我们证明,在温和的假设下,启发式实际上是最优的。实验证据表明,启发式算法在一般情况下的表现也接近最佳。我们说明了我们的模型如何作为政策制定的决策支持工具。特别是,我们对如何在美国预先放置MCM库存以防范炭疽攻击进行了彻底的案例研究。我们使用来自多个来源的数据来校准我们的模型,包括美国国家科学院和美国人口普查的出版物。例如,我们发现,如果美国政策制定者希望确保同时影响最多两个城市(在同一或不同州)的炭疽攻击的95%存活率目标,则所需的最低年度库存预算约为3.3亿美元。我们还讨论了如何将我们的模型应用于其他环境,例如,分析供应链网络中的安全库存安置,以对冲中断。
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引用次数: 27
Offshoring under Uncertainty 不确定性下的离岸外包
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2018-08-02 DOI: 10.1016/J.EUROECOREV.2019.05.002
W. Kohler, Bohdan Kukharskyy
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引用次数: 5
Ensuring Corporate Social and Environmental Responsibility through Vertical Integration and Horizontal Sourcing 通过纵向整合和横向采购确保企业的社会和环境责任
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2018-07-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2630733
Adem Orsdemir, B. Hu, V. Deshpande
Taylor Guitars purchased an ebony mill in Cameroon to ensure corporate social and environmental responsibility (CSER) in sourcing, and shared the responsibly-sourced supply of ebony with competitors through horizontal sourcing. Inspired by this case, we investigate vertical integration as an alternative strategy for CSER in sourcing in which a firm can vertically integrate with its supplier in order to ensure responsible practices in the supply chain. In a competitive setting, an exposed CSER violation in one supply chain may increase the competing supply chain’s demand (positive externalities) due to substitution, or decrease the competing supply chain’s demand (negative externalities) due to public’s suspicion about industry’s social and environmental practices. Furthermore, NGOs’ scrutiny and reporting policies may influence the chance of a violation exposure, as well as demand externalities between the competing supply chains. We examine horizontal sourcing as a potential strategy for mitigating the impact of a CSER externality caused by a competing supply chain. When horizontal sourcing is infeasible, we find that higher violation exposure externalities induces better CSER, but overly intensive violation scrutiny alongside strongly negative externalities may backfire and discourage CSER. By contrast, when horizontal sourcing is feasible, intensive violation scrutiny induces CSER, but strongly positive externalities may impair industry-wide CSER. These findings have instructive implications for firms interested in ensuring CSER in their supply chain, as well as for NGOs’ violation scrutiny and reporting policies.
Taylor Guitars在喀麦隆购买了一家乌木工厂,以确保采购中的企业社会和环境责任(CSER),并通过横向采购与竞争对手分享负责任的乌木供应。受此案例的启发,我们研究了垂直整合作为CSER采购的一种替代策略,在这种策略中,公司可以与其供应商垂直整合,以确保供应链中的负责任行为。在竞争环境中,一条供应链中暴露的CSER违规行为可能会由于替代而增加竞争供应链的需求(正外部性),或者由于公众对行业社会和环境实践的怀疑而减少竞争供应链的需求(负外部性)。此外,非政府组织的审查和报告政策可能会影响违规曝光的机会,以及竞争供应链之间的需求外部性。我们研究了横向采购作为一种潜在的策略,以减轻竞争供应链造成的CSER外部性的影响。当横向采购不可行时,我们发现更高的违规暴露外部性会导致更好的CSER,但过度密集的违规审查以及强烈的负面外部性可能会适得其反并阻碍CSER。相比之下,当横向采购可行时,密集的违规审查会产生CSER,但强烈的正外部性可能会损害整个行业的CSER。这些发现对有意确保供应链中的CSER的公司以及非政府组织的违规审查和报告政策具有指导意义。
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引用次数: 84
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Manufacturing Engineering
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