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Share or Solo? Individual and Social Choices in Ride-Hailing 分享还是单干?网约车中的个人和社会选择
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2020-08-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3675050
Ming Hu, Jianfu Wang, Hengda Wen
Ride-hailing platforms offer riders pooling service to share rides with other riders. On the one hand, pooling service mitigates congestion and decreases rider wait times in rush hours, and sharing riders benefit from reduced prices. On the other hand, sharing riders may compromise on privacy and space when riding with strangers, and may take more time to reach their destinations. We derive a queueing model that considers solo ride and shared ride together, where riders are strategic in choosing which ride to participate. We analyze and compare the decentralized rider decisions and the centralized social planner decisions. In most cases, a smaller fraction of riders choose shared rides compared to that under the socially optimal decision, which we call under-share. Nonetheless, riders can always be induced to choose the socially optimal strategy in equilibrium under a proper monetary, social, or priority scheme. Interestingly, under the priority scheme, overshare can happen, whereas without the priority scheme the decentralized riders behave social-optimally in the same arrival rate and sharing externality range. In contrast to that individual riders always over-join an unobservable M/M/1 queue (compared to the social optimal), riders always under-join the queue in our model with an additional ride-sharing option. Moreover, the social planner may restrict the number of riders even if the arrival rate is below the socially optimal one. This is because social welfare may be a bimodal function of the arrival rate under the assumption that all riders join. At last, we conduct a numerical study with the ride-hailing data of Chicago, and discover that though under-share occurs in residential areas during morning rush hours and in downtown during evening rush hours, the observed sharing fractions are very close to the optimal ones. Over-share occurs during the same time interval but in the opposite areas.
网约车平台提供拼车服务,让乘客与其他乘客共乘。一方面,拼车服务缓解了交通拥堵,减少了高峰时段乘客的等待时间,而拼车服务则受益于价格的降低。另一方面,与陌生人共乘可能会损害隐私和空间,并且可能需要更多时间才能到达目的地。我们推导了一个考虑单独乘车和共享乘车的排队模型,其中乘客在选择参加哪个乘车时是有策略的。我们分析和比较了分散的骑手决策和集中的社会规划师决策。在大多数情况下,与社会最优决策相比,选择共享出行的乘客比例更小,我们称之为“共享不足”。尽管如此,在适当的货币、社会或优先方案下,乘客总是可以被诱导选择均衡中的社会最优策略。有趣的是,在优先方案下,可能会发生过度共享,而在没有优先方案的情况下,分散的乘客在相同的到达率和共享外部性范围内表现出社会最优。与个体乘客总是过度加入一个不可观察的M/M/1队列(与社会最优相比)相反,在我们的模型中,乘客总是加入一个额外的乘车共享选项的队列。此外,即使到达率低于社会最优,社会规划者也可能限制乘客的数量。这是因为在所有乘客都加入的假设下,社会福利可能是到达率的双峰函数。最后,我们用芝加哥的网约车数据进行了数值研究,发现尽管早高峰时期住宅区和晚高峰时期市中心出现了共享不足,但观察到的共享分数非常接近最优分数。过度分享发生在相同的时间间隔,但在相反的区域。
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引用次数: 2
Demand Postponement with Strategic Service Customers 与战略服务客户的需求延迟
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2020-08-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3671121
Haiyan Wang, T. Olsen, Timofey Shalpegin
Abstract We study capacity decisions in a service environment with seasonal arrival rates and strategic customers. Due to seasonality, the firm uses a postponement strategy where compensation is given to the peak-time customers who cannot be served in the peak time and agree to delay service. We extend the analysis of demand postponement to the case with strategic customers, i.e., off-peak customers who may pretend to be peak-time customers purely to receive the postponement discount. Focusing on the capacity and discount decisions for the service provider, we develop a game-theoretic model to study when the service provider should consider using a postponement strategy in the presence of strategic customers. At the first stage, the service provider decides on the capacity level and discount. At the second stage, strategic customers decide whether to show up in the peak time. We find that strategic customers exhibit a “follow-the-crowd” type of behavior. Unsurprisingly, we find that the presence of strategic customers does not benefit the service provider. More interestingly, we find that the presence of strategic customers may benefit the peak-time customers, unlike the inventory literature with strategic (arrival-timing) customers, in which the supplier’s response is usually detrimental to non-strategic customers. In the presence of strategic customers, the supplier needs to offer a lower discount or build more capacity than without strategic customers. If the supplier does not have control over the discount value, she might need to build excess capacity to prevent the strategic customers from showing up in the peak time.
摘要研究了具有季节性到达率和战略客户的服务环境下的运力决策。由于季节性因素,该公司采用延迟策略,即对高峰时段无法获得服务并同意延迟服务的高峰时段客户进行补偿。我们将需求延迟的分析扩展到具有战略客户的情况,即非高峰客户,他们可能假装是高峰客户,纯粹是为了获得延迟折扣。针对服务提供商的容量和折扣决策,我们建立了一个博弈论模型来研究在存在战略客户的情况下服务提供商何时应该考虑使用延迟策略。在第一阶段,服务提供商决定容量水平和折扣。在第二阶段,战略客户决定是否在高峰时间出现。我们发现战略客户表现出一种“随大流”的行为。不出所料,我们发现战略客户的存在对服务提供商没有好处。更有趣的是,我们发现战略客户的存在可能有利于高峰客户,而不像库存文献中有战略(到货时间)客户,其中供应商的反应通常不利于非战略客户。在有战略客户的情况下,供应商需要提供比没有战略客户时更低的折扣或建立更多的产能。如果供应商无法控制折扣值,她可能需要建立过剩产能,以防止战略客户在高峰时间出现。
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引用次数: 4
Supplier Collaboration in Collaborative Product Development with Internal Competition 基于内部竞争的协同产品开发中的供应商协作
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2020-08-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3671975
Timofey Shalpegin, Svenja C. Sommer, C. van Delft
This paper examines a development process in which a firm explores alternative approaches for the development of a single product. To do this, the firm employs competing internal teams, but it also needs to involve key suppliers who are responsible for the development of a key component (or subsystem) via a collaboration with one or several internal teams. We explore how internal competition affects the suppliers' collaborative efforts and the firm's profits, and also how the firm should allocate the internal teams to potential suppliers. Our analysis suggests that this setting is significantly different from standard tournament settings, implying that existing research results should not be simply extrapolated to supply chain settings. For example, unlike in traditional tournaments, we find that increasing supplier competition by increasing the number of teams per supplier can actually increase supplier efforts. We develop a tournament model with two suppliers who differ both in their expertise for the specific type of development project and in their development costs (i.e., their cost-effectiveness). We also identify a critical influential factor: the cost savings resulting from the similarity between different development efforts by the same supplier (with different internally competing teams). If the cost savings are not very high, i.e., if the different development efforts are not very similar, the firm should optimally allocate more teams to the supplier with less relevant expertise or lower cost-effectiveness. Similarly, involving a third supplier is beneficial only if the cost savings are low. While companies make significant efforts to identify the supplier with the best expertise, our results show that allocating more teams to the stronger supplier generally undermines the suppliers' incentives to exert high levels of effort. Hence, allocating the most teams to that supplier might not always improve firm profits.
本文考察了一个开发过程,在这个过程中,一个公司探索了开发单一产品的替代方法。要做到这一点,公司雇佣相互竞争的内部团队,但是它也需要通过与一个或几个内部团队的合作,让负责关键组件(或子系统)开发的关键供应商参与进来。我们探讨了内部竞争如何影响供应商的合作努力和公司的利润,以及公司应该如何分配内部团队给潜在的供应商。我们的分析表明,这种设置与标准锦标赛设置有很大不同,这意味着现有的研究结果不应简单地外推到供应链设置。例如,与传统比赛不同,我们发现通过增加每个供应商的团队数量来增加供应商竞争实际上可以增加供应商的努力。我们开发了一个锦标赛模型,其中有两个供应商,他们在特定类型的开发项目的专业知识和开发成本(即成本效益)方面都不同。我们还确定了一个关键的影响因素:同一供应商(与不同的内部竞争团队)的不同开发工作之间的相似性所带来的成本节约。如果节省的成本不是很高,也就是说,如果不同的开发工作不是非常相似,公司应该将更多的团队分配给具有较少相关专业知识或较低成本效益的供应商。同样,只有在成本节约很低的情况下,让第三方供应商参与才是有益的。当公司做出重大努力来识别具有最佳专业知识的供应商时,我们的结果表明,将更多的团队分配给更强大的供应商通常会破坏供应商付出高水平努力的动机。因此,将最多的团队分配给该供应商可能并不总是能提高公司利润。
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引用次数: 2
Blockchain Technology between Nakamoto and Supply Chain Management: Insights from Academia and Practice 中本聪与供应链管理之间的区块链技术:来自学术界和实践的见解
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2020-07-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3660342
Rami Alkhudary
Purpose: This paper aims to participate in answering the following research question: Will blockchain become the norm in supply chain management? Valuable insights from academia and industry about the use of blockchain technology in supply chain management are presented.

Design/methodology/approach: I review the literature that mainly examined the use of blockchain technology in supply chain management from 2008 to 2020. Additionally, I explore two blockchain projects: Nimble and Carrefour.

Findings: The mainstream research on the use of blockchain technology in supply chain management exhibits a positive trend. This study shows that relevant academic research increased by 174% in only 11 months (from February 2018 to January 2019). Countries and supply chains, to the same extent, are making bold moves toward using blockchain on a large scale. The European Commission, for example, funded a project to create a federated, multi-sided business ecosystem based on cloud services. The project developed a platform, named Nimble, to enable supply chain logistics to benefit from internet platforms and blockchain services. In another example, Carrefour has implemented blockchain in nine sectors (chicken, tomatoes, eggs, oranges, etc.) with a target of 300 sectors by 2022.

Originality/value: Although this area of research becomes incessantly extensive, there is confusion regarding what type of blockchain or what part of the supply chain is addressed. This paper emphasizes some essential points to deal with much of the dubiety under consideration.
目的:本文旨在参与回答以下研究问题:区块链将成为供应链管理的规范吗?介绍了学术界和工业界关于在供应链管理中使用区块链技术的宝贵见解。设计/方法/方法:我回顾了2008年至2020年期间主要研究区块链技术在供应链管理中的使用的文献。此外,我还探讨了两个区块链项目:Nimble和Carrefour。研究发现:区块链技术在供应链管理中的应用的主流研究呈现出积极的趋势。该研究表明,仅在11个月内(2018年2月至2019年1月),相关学术研究就增长了174%。在同样程度上,各国和供应链都在朝着大规模使用区块链迈出大胆的步伐。例如,欧盟委员会资助了一个项目,旨在创建一个基于云服务的联合、多边商业生态系统。该项目开发了一个名为Nimble的平台,使供应链物流能够从互联网平台和区块链服务中受益。在另一个例子中,家乐福已经在9个行业(鸡肉、西红柿、鸡蛋、橙子等)实施了区块链,目标是到2022年实现300个行业。原创性/价值:尽管这一领域的研究变得越来越广泛,但对于什么类型的区块链或供应链的哪个部分进行了研究,仍然存在困惑。本文强调了一些要点,以处理所考虑的许多疑点。
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引用次数: 4
Learning Newsvendor Problem with Intertemporal Dependence and Moderate Non-stationarities 具有跨期依赖和中度非平稳的学习报贩问题
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2020-07-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3648615
Meng Qi, Z. Shen, Zeyu Zheng
This work focuses on solving the data-driven contextual newsvendor problem with intertemporal dependence and non-stationarities. More specifically, we investigate learn the data-to-decision mapping for the newsvendor problem when observations of contexts and demands are available. The observations of both contexts and demands are generated sequentially in a fluctuate nature, thus exhibit an intertemporal dependence and even non-stationarities. However, most existing works that investigate the data-driven conditional Newsvendor problem adopt a common assumption that the data are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) to obtain performance guarantees such as generalization bounds. In this work, we develop performance guarantees in the form of out-of-sample generalization bounds for learning contextual newsvendor problem under comparatively more realistic assumptions including intertemporal dependence and moderate non-stationarities.
这项工作的重点是解决具有跨期依赖性和非平稳性的数据驱动的上下文新闻供应商问题。更具体地说,我们研究了当观察到上下文和需求可用时,报贩问题的数据到决策映射。对环境和需求的观察都是在波动的性质下顺序产生的,因此表现出跨期依赖性,甚至是非平稳性。然而,大多数现有的研究数据驱动的条件新闻供应商问题的工作采用了一个共同的假设,即数据是独立和同分布的(i.i.d),以获得性能保证,如泛化界限。在这项工作中,我们以样本外泛化界限的形式开发了性能保证,用于在相对更现实的假设下学习上下文新闻供应商问题,包括跨期依赖性和适度非平稳性。
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引用次数: 1
Visualization in Operations Management Research 运营管理研究中的可视化
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2020-06-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3637040
Rahul C. Basole, E. Bendoly, Aravind Chandrasekaran, K. Linderman
The unprecedented availability of data, along with the growing variety of software packages to visualize it, presents both opportunities and challenges for operations management (OM) research. OM researchers typically use data to describe conditions, predict phenomena, or make prescriptions depending on whether they are building, testing, or translating theories to practice. Visualization, when used appropriately, can complement, aid, and augment the researcher’s understanding in the different stages of research (theory building, testing, or translating and conveying results). On the other hand, if used incorrectly or without sufficient consideration, visualization can yield misleading and erroneous claims. This article formally examines the benefits of visualization as a complementary method enhancing each stage of a broader OM research strategy by examining frameworks and cases from extant research in different OM contexts. Our discussion offers guidance with regard to researchers’ use of visual data renderings, particularly toward avoiding misrepresentation, which can arise with the incorrect use of visualization. We close with a consideration of emerging trends and their implications for researchers and practitioners as well as recommendations for both authors and reviewers, regardless of domain, in evaluating the effectiveness of visuals at each stage of research.
前所未有的数据可用性,以及越来越多的可视化软件包,为运营管理(OM)研究带来了机遇和挑战。OM研究人员通常使用数据来描述条件、预测现象或制定处方,这取决于他们是否正在构建、测试或将理论转化为实践。如果使用得当,可视化可以补充、帮助和增强研究者在研究的不同阶段(理论建立、测试或翻译和传达结果)的理解。另一方面,如果使用不当或没有充分考虑,可视化可能会产生误导和错误的主张。本文通过研究不同OM背景下现有研究的框架和案例,正式研究了可视化作为一种补充方法的好处,增强了更广泛的OM研究策略的每个阶段。我们的讨论为研究人员使用可视化数据效果图提供了指导,特别是在避免误传方面,误传可能因不正确使用可视化而产生。最后,我们考虑了新兴趋势及其对研究人员和从业人员的影响,以及对作者和审稿人的建议,无论在哪个领域,都可以评估视觉效果在每个研究阶段的有效性。
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引用次数: 3
Model Mis-Specification in Newsvendor Decisions: A Comparison of Frequentist Parametric, Bayesian Parametric and Nonparametric Approaches 报贩决策中的模型错误规范:频率参数、贝叶斯参数和非参数方法的比较
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2020-06-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3495733
Gah-Yi Ban, Zhenyu Gao, Fabian Taigel
We compare three different approaches studied by past literature on data-driven inventory optimization--- Frequentist Parametric (FP), Bayesian Parametric (BP) and Nonparametric--- for the newsvendor problem. For the Parametric approaches, we allow for mis-specification of the demand model. We prove, under mild regularity conditions, (i) asymptotic bias and variance formulas of FP and BP are equivalent, (ii) mis-specified Parametric approaches yield asymptotically biased decisions, unlike the correctly-specified Parametric approaches and the Nonparametric approach, and (iii) asymptotic variance of the mis-specified Parametric approaches converges to zero at rate $1/n$, in contrast to the $1/n^2$ rate for the correctly-specified Parametric approaches and the Nonparametric approach, where $n$ is the number of demand samples. We then show, for nine pairs of assumed versus true demand distribution pairs, (iv) asymptotic bias and variance formulas approximate finite-sample counterparts very well, (v) correctly-specified Parametric approaches dominate the Nonparametric approach in the asymptotic mean-squared error (AMSE) of the decision and the cost, and (vi) surprisingly, it is possible for mis-specified Parametric approaches to dominate the Nonparametric approach in the AMSE of the decision and the cost. We compare the approaches on a dataset from a large fresh food chain, and discuss the nuances of choosing the ``best'' approach.
我们比较了过去文献中关于数据驱动库存优化的三种不同方法——频率参数法(FP)、贝叶斯参数法(BP)和非参数法——用于解决报贩问题。对于参数化方法,我们允许需求模型的错误说明。我们证明,在温和正则性条件下,(i) FP和BP的渐近偏差和方差公式是等价的,(ii)与正确指定的参数方法和非参数方法不同,错误指定的参数方法产生渐近偏差决策,以及(iii)与正确指定的参数方法和非参数方法相比,错误指定的参数方法的渐近方差以$1/n$的速率收敛于零,而不是$1/n^2$的速率。其中$n$为需求样本的个数。然后,我们显示,对于9对假设与真实的需求分布对,(iv)渐近偏差和方差公式非常好地近似有限样本对应,(v)正确指定的参数方法在决策和成本的渐近均方误差(AMSE)中主导非参数方法,以及(vi)令人惊讶的是,错误指定的参数方法可能在决策和成本的AMSE中主导非参数方法。我们比较了来自大型新鲜食物链的数据集上的方法,并讨论了选择“最佳”方法的细微差别。
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引用次数: 3
Service Networks with Open Routing and Procedurally Rational Customers 具有开放路由和程序理性客户的服务网络
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2020-03-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3414468
Andrew E. Frazelle, Tingliang Huang, Y. Wei
Problem Definition: We investigate the implications of procedurally rational customers on service networks where customers visit multiple stations but can choose the order in which to visit the stations. Academic/Practical Relevance: Self-interested customers populate various service systems. While self-interested, these customers may not be fully rational. Customers' form of reasoning and its consequences for system performance affect the planning decisions of service providers. Methodology: We study procedurally rational customers---that is, customers make decisions based on anecdotal samples of system times experienced by customers who previously visited the system and followed each possible route. Using a fluid model, we fully characterize the evolution of customer routing decisions, with customers deciding in each period based on samples from the previous period. Results: We completely specify the set of equilibrium routing profiles, where the fraction of customers choosing each route becomes stationary. In contrast with existing models of procedural rationality, we find that procedurally rational customers sometimes behave differently from fully rational customers, but not always. Equilibria can emerge under procedural rationality that differ from fully rational equilibria, in which case, system performance suffers. We also study systems in which customers make routing decisions. We find analytically that procedurally rational customers are slower to internalize price increases than fully rational customers: accordingly, the firm's optimal revenue is higher (lower) with procedurally rational customers than fully rational ones if the waiting cost is high (low). Managerial Implications: In systems in which customers make only routing decisions, procedural rationality can lead to much longer waiting times. However, the firm can avoid increased waiting times if it can choose the service rates at its stations. Furthermore, if customers make joining decisions, then a service provider should price differently depending on which form of reasoning customers use, and the firm may prefer either procedurally rational customers or fully rational ones depending on the system parameters.
问题定义:我们研究程序理性顾客在服务网络中的影响,顾客访问多个站点,但可以选择访问站点的顺序。学术/实践相关性:自利的客户填充各种服务系统。虽然这些客户是自私自利的,但他们可能并不完全理性。顾客的推理形式及其对系统性能的影响影响服务提供者的规划决策。方法论:我们研究程序理性的客户——也就是说,客户根据之前访问系统并遵循每种可能路线的客户所经历的系统时间的轶事样本做出决策。使用流体模型,我们充分表征了客户路线决策的演变,客户在每个时期根据前一个时期的样本做出决定。结果:我们完全指定了一组均衡路由配置文件,其中选择每条路线的客户比例变得平稳。与现有的程序理性模型相比,我们发现程序理性顾客的行为有时与完全理性顾客不同,但并非总是如此。程序理性下的均衡可能与完全理性均衡不同,在完全理性均衡下,系统性能会受到影响。我们还研究客户做出路线决定的系统。分析发现,程序理性顾客比完全理性顾客对价格上涨的内部化反应更慢,因此,当等待成本高(低)时,程序理性顾客比完全理性顾客的最优收益更高(更低)。管理启示:在客户只做路线决定的系统中,程序合理性会导致更长的等待时间。然而,如果该公司可以选择其站点的服务费率,则可以避免增加等待时间。此外,如果客户做出加入决策,那么服务提供商应该根据客户使用的推理形式不同定价,公司可能更喜欢程序理性的客户或完全理性的客户,这取决于系统参数。
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引用次数: 1
Information Design to Facilitate Social Interactions on Service Platforms: Evidence from a Large Field Experiment 促进服务平台上社交互动的信息设计:来自大型现场实验的证据
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2020-01-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3528619
Hengchen Dai, Dennis J. Zhang, Zhiwei Xu
As digitization enables service platforms to track users’ footprints and control information design, important questions arise about how digital service platforms should disseminate customer-related information to service providers to shape user behavior in the desired direction. We contribute to this understanding by examining the impact of a novel information design — providing customer-related information to facilitate interaction between service providers and customers at the beginning of a service encounter — on service capacity and quality. We evaluate this strategy via a field experiment on a live streaming platform that connects individual broadcasters and viewers. When viewers entered shows, we provided information about viewers to broadcasters that were randomly assigned to the treatment condition (but not to control broadcasters). Our analysis involving 49,999 broadcasters confirms that our intervention increased the interaction between broadcasters and viewers by 8.66% during the first minute after viewers entered a show. Furthermore, treatment broadcasters expanded their service capacity by 8.74% via increasing both the frequency (by 3.96%) and length (by 7.52%) of shows. This is not because treatment broadcasters could or believed they could earn more per minute of service but rather because they felt more connected with viewers and enjoyed performing more. Moreover, our intervention increased experienced service quality (as measured by viewers’ watch time) by 5.85%, without affecting willingness to pay. The increase is not simply driven by treatment broadcasters’ expanded service capacity. Instead, viewers were more likely to ``follow" treatment broadcasters and watch their future shows, suggesting that our intervention made viewers feel more connected with broadcasters. Our low-cost information-based intervention has important implications for digital service platforms that do not have control over service providers’ work schedules and service quality.
由于数字化使服务平台能够跟踪用户的足迹并控制信息设计,因此出现了一个重要的问题,即数字服务平台应如何向服务提供商传播与客户相关的信息,以朝着预期的方向塑造用户行为。我们通过研究一种新的信息设计对服务能力和质量的影响来帮助理解这一点——在服务接触的开始提供与客户相关的信息,以促进服务提供者和客户之间的互动。我们通过在连接个人广播公司和观众的直播平台上进行现场实验来评估这一策略。当观众进入节目时,我们将观众的信息提供给广播公司,这些广播公司被随机分配到治疗条件(但不是控制广播公司)。我们对49999家广播公司的分析证实,在观众进入节目后的第一分钟内,我们的干预使广播公司和观众之间的互动增加了8.66%。此外,处理广播公司通过增加节目频率(3.96%)和长度(7.52%),扩大了8.74%的服务能力。这并不是因为广播公司能够或相信他们每分钟的服务可以赚得更多,而是因为他们感觉与观众的联系更紧密,更享受表演。此外,我们的干预使体验服务质量(以观众观看时间衡量)提高了5.85%,但不影响付费意愿。这不仅仅是因为广播公司扩大了服务能力。相反,观众更有可能“跟随”治疗广播公司,观看他们未来的节目,这表明我们的干预使观众感觉与广播公司更有联系。我们的低成本信息干预对无法控制服务提供商工作时间表和服务质量的数字服务平台具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 3
Facility Location with Joint Disruptions 设施位置与联合中断
IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, MANUFACTURING Pub Date : 2020-01-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3515230
Vishwakant Malladi, K. Muthuraman
Classical facility location problems do not incorporate the possibility of disruptions among facilities and usually result in solutions that do not perform well under disruptions. Existent literature on disreputable facility locations focuses on independent or extreme dependence scenarios where the probability structure is simplistic but has the advantage of allowing for efficient optimization. We propose the use of partially subordinated Markov Chains to model the probability of the dependent risk of disruptions. This parsimonious approach o ers a realistic model for disruptions. We also propose algorithms to calibrate a partially subordinated Markov Chain model and to optimize for the facility locations under dependent disruptions. We calibrate our model on two different cases with four different disruption data sets each and solve for the optimal facility location choice. We show that the resulting solutions significantly outperform those yielded from stronger assumptions like independence or extreme dependence.
传统的设施选址问题不考虑设施之间中断的可能性,通常导致解决方案在中断情况下不能很好地执行。现有的关于不良设施位置的文献主要集中在独立或极端依赖的情况下,其中概率结构过于简单,但具有允许有效优化的优势。我们建议使用部分从属的马尔可夫链来模拟中断依赖风险的概率。这种节俭的方法为破坏提供了一个现实的模型。我们还提出了一种算法来校准部分隶属的马尔可夫链模型,并对依赖中断下的设施位置进行优化。我们在两种不同的情况下用四种不同的中断数据集校准我们的模型,并求解出最优的设施位置选择。我们表明,由此产生的解决方案明显优于那些更强的假设,如独立性或极端依赖性。
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引用次数: 0
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Manufacturing Engineering
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