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Micropatterns of physical activity in relation to all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality: the stealth lifestyle factor? 体育锻炼与全因死亡率和心血管疾病死亡率的微观关系:隐形生活方式因素?
Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1101/2024.08.06.24311529
Matthew Ahmadi, Nicholas Koemel, Raaj Biswas, Sonia Chen, Richard Pulsford, Mark Hamer, Emmanuel Stamatakis
Importance: Physical activity guidelines are predominantly based on questionnaire-based studies measuring only longer planned physical activity bouts (>10-15 continuous minutes). To date, short intermittent bouts of physical activity that may be beneficial for health ('micropatterns'), have counted very little towards physical activity guidelines (currently 150-300 minutes of moderate or 75-150 minutes of vigorous intensity activity per week).Objective: We examined all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality associations of wearable device-captured activity accumulated through intermittent moderate to vigorous (IMVPA; ≤3 min) and vigorous (IVPA; ≤1 min) intensity bouts, by guideline adherence for a) active adults (eg. doing at least 150 mins/wk of moderate or 75 mins/wk of vigorous intensity physical activity), and b) inactive adults (not meeting the above amounts).Design: Prospective cohort studySetting: UK BiobankParticipants: 62,899 adults (mean age 61 years, 55.7% female) with wrist-worn accelerometer data, followed up for an average of 8.0 (SD= 0.9) yearsExposures: Intermittent moderate-vigorous (IMVPA; ≤3 min) and vigorous (IVPA; ≤1 min) intensity bouts; stratified by participants meeting and not meeting physical activity guidelines. Main outcomes and measures: All-cause and CVD mortality obtained through linkage with the National Health Service (NHS) Digital of England and Wales or the NHS Central Register and National Records of Scotland. Cox restricted cubic spline regression were used to assess the dose-response associations. Results: There were 1,583 all-cause and 442 CVD deaths among 62,899 adults (mean age 61 years, 55.7% female). Micropatterns accrued IMVPA and IVPA showed linear beneficial dose response associations in both the inactive and active groups. We observed a 1.4 to 2.0-fold lower mortality risk among inactive compared to active adults. For all-cause mortality, a median 4.0 minutes/day of IVPA was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.40 [0.32, 0.52] in inactive adults and 0.74 [0.58, 0.95] in active adults, compared to not doing any IVPA. For CVD mortality, a median of 13.0 minutes/day of IMVPA was associated with an HR of 0.32 [0.22, 0.51] in inactive adults and 0.53 [0.37, 0.78] in active adults. Analogous patterns of dose-response were present when adherence to guidelines was assessed using questionnaire-based data that only considered continuous activity bouts lasting at least 10 minutes.Conclusions and relevance: Among participants not meeting guidelines, intermittent moderate-vigorous physical activity showed stronger beneficial dose-response association with all-cause and CVD mortality, compared to active adults, highlighting potential health benefits from brief activity bursts for less active adults. Considering such activity patterns are hardly represented in the evidence used to develop current guidelines, our findings support the transition of future guidelines towards wearables-informed e
重要性:体育锻炼指南主要基于问卷调查研究,仅测量较长时间的有计划体育锻炼(连续 10-15 分钟)。迄今为止,可能对健康有益的间歇性短时间体育锻炼("微模式")在体育锻炼指南(目前为每周 150-300 分钟中等强度或 75-150 分钟剧烈强度活动)中所占比例很小:我们研究了可穿戴设备通过间歇性中度到剧烈(IMVPA;≤3 分钟)和剧烈(IVPA;≤1 分钟)强度的活动积累与全因和心血管疾病(CVD)死亡率之间的关系,研究对象为 a) 积极运动的成年人(如每周至少进行 150 分钟中度或 75 分钟剧烈运动)和 b) 不积极运动的成年人(未达到上述要求):前瞻性队列研究:英国生物库参与者62,899名成年人(平均年龄61岁,55.7%为女性)提供腕戴式加速度计数据,平均随访8.0(SD= 0.9)年暴露:间歇性中度-剧烈(IMVPA;≤3 分钟)和剧烈(IVPA;≤1 分钟)强度运动;按符合和不符合体育锻炼指南的参与者进行分层。主要结果和衡量标准:通过与英格兰和威尔士国家医疗服务系统(NHS)数字或苏格兰国家医疗服务系统中央登记册和国家记录的连接,获得全因死亡率和心血管疾病死亡率。采用 Cox 限制立方样条回归评估剂量-反应关系。结果在 62,899 名成年人(平均年龄 61 岁,55.7% 为女性)中,有 1,583 例全因死亡和 442 例心血管疾病死亡。在非活跃组和活跃组中,IMVPA 和 IVPA 的微模式均显示出线性有益剂量反应关系。我们观察到,不运动成年人的死亡风险比运动成年人低 1.4 到 2.0 倍。就全因死亡率而言,与不进行任何 IVPA 相比,每天进行中位数为 4.0 分钟的 IVPA 对不运动成年人的危险比 (HR) 为 0.40 [0.32, 0.52],对运动成年人的危险比 (HR) 为 0.74 [0.58, 0.95]。就心血管疾病死亡率而言,每天进行中位数为 13.0 分钟的 IMVPA 与不运动成年人的 HR 值 0.32 [0.22, 0.51]和运动成年人的 HR 值 0.53 [0.37, 0.78]相关。在使用仅考虑至少持续 10 分钟的连续活动的问卷数据评估指南遵守情况时,也存在类似的剂量反应模式:在未达到指南要求的参与者中,与活跃的成年人相比,间歇性中等强度的体育锻炼与全因死亡率和心血管疾病死亡率呈现出更强的有益剂量-反应关系,这突显了对不太活跃的成年人来说,短暂的体育锻炼对健康的潜在益处。考虑到这种活动模式在用于制定现行指南的证据中几乎没有体现,我们的研究结果支持未来的指南向可穿戴设备为依据的证据过渡。
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引用次数: 0
Assembling the Challenge of Multimorbidity in Zimbabwe: A Participatory Ethnographic Study 在津巴布韦应对多重疾病的挑战:参与式人种学研究
Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1101/2024.08.06.24311557
Justin Dixon, Efison Dhodho, Fionah Mundoga, Karen Webb, Pugie Chimberengwa, Trudy Mhlanga, Tatenda Nhapi, Theonevus Tinashe Chinyanga, Justice Mudavanhu, Lee Nkala, Ronald Nyabereka, Gwati Gwati, Gerald Shambira, Trust Zaranyika, Clare I.R. Chandler, Rashida A. Ferrand, Chiratidzo Ndhlovu
Multimorbidity, increasingly recognised as a global health challenge, has recently emerged on the health agendas of many lower-income countries, including in Africa. Yet with its conceptual origins in the global North, its meaning and possible utility for stakeholders in lower-resources settings remains abstract. This study drew together policymakers, public health practitioners, academics, health informaticians, health professionals, and people living with multimorbidity (PLWMM) in Zimbabwe to understand: What is the transformative potential and possible limitations of elevating multimorbidity as a priority in this setting? To bring these different perspectives into conversation, we used a participatory ethnographic design that involved a health facility survey, participant-observation, in-depth interviews, audio-visual diaries, and participatory workshops. Multimorbidity, we found, was new to many respondents but generally viewed as a meaningful and useful concept. It foregrounded a range of challenges related to the ‘vertical’ organisation and uneven funding of different diseases, while revealing promising opportunities for integration across entrenched silos of knowledge and practice. However, with capacity and momentum to address multimorbidity currently concentrated within the HIV programme, there was concern that multimorbidity could itself become verticalized, undercutting its transformative potential. Participants agreed that responding to multimorbidity requires a decisive shift from vertical, disease-centred programming to restore the comprehensive primary care that undergirded Zimbabwe’s once-renowned health system. It also means building a policy-enabling environment that values generalist (as well as specialist) knowledge, ground-level experience, and inclusive stakeholder engagement. The ‘learning’ health system, we conclude, represents a promising conceptual lens for unifying these imperatives, providing a tangible framework for how knowledge, policy, and practice synergise within more self-reliant, person-centred health systems able to respond to ever-evolving complex health challenges like multimorbidity.
多病共存日益被视为一项全球性的健康挑战,最近已出现在包括非洲在内的许多低收入国家的健康议程上。然而,由于其概念源于全球北方国家,对于资源较少环境中的利益相关者来说,其含义和可能的效用仍然很抽象。这项研究汇集了津巴布韦的政策制定者、公共卫生从业者、学者、卫生信息学家、卫生专业人员和多病共存者(PLWMM),以了解:在这种情况下,将多病症提升为优先事项有哪些变革潜力和可能的局限性?为了将这些不同的观点引入对话,我们采用了参与式人种学设计,包括医疗机构调查、参与者观察、深度访谈、视听日记和参与式研讨会。我们发现,对许多受访者来说,多病同治是一个新概念,但普遍认为这是一个有意义且有用的概念。它凸显了与不同疾病的 "垂直 "组织和不均衡资助有关的一系列挑战,同时也揭示了跨越根深蒂固的知识和实践孤岛进行整合的大好机会。然而,由于应对多病症的能力和势头目前集中在艾滋病毒计划中,有人担心多病症本身可能会被纵向化,从而削弱其变革潜力。与会者一致认为,应对多发病需要果断转变以疾病为中心的纵向计划,恢复作为津巴布韦一度闻名的卫生系统基础的全面初级保健。这也意味着要建立一个政策扶持环境,重视通才(以及专才)知识、基层经验和利益相关者的包容性参与。我们的结论是,"学习型 "医疗系统是一个很有前景的概念视角,它可以将这些必要条件统一起来,为知识、政策和实践如何在更加自立、以人为本的医疗系统中协同作用提供了一个具体的框架,从而能够应对像多病症这样不断变化的复杂医疗挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Global Stroke Burden from Metabolic Risks Across Demographics: Findings from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study 不同人口结构的代谢风险造成的全球脑卒中负担:2021年全球疾病负担研究的结果
Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1101/2024.08.06.24311583
Song Xue, Guoqing Wu
Background: Stroke is the second leading cause of death and the primary cause of disability worldwide. Metabolic risks are major contributors to stroke. The global trends in metabolic risk-related stroke from 1990 to 2019, and the differences in mortality and DALYs across various demographic factors, remain unclear.Methods: All analyses were based on rates derived from the GBD2021 results (https://vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-results/). Data were stratified by gender, region, and age. Joinpoint software was used to perform regression analysis of the average annual percent change (AAPC) and its 95% confidence interval to analyze trends from 1990 to 2019. Excel, PowerPoint, and R software were used for plotting and analysis, with p<0.05 considered statistically significant.Results: From 1990 to 2019, the average annual percent change (AAPC) for age-standardized rates (ASR) of DALYs was -1.70% (-1.81%, -1.58%), and for mortality, the AAPC was -1.57% (-1.68%, -1.46%). As the SDI increased, both the ASR of DALYs and mortality in 2019 showed a significant decline. The AAPC from 1990 to 2019 also exhibited a downward trend with increasing SDI levels. The DALYs and mortality rates of metabolic risk-related stroke predominantly affected individuals aged 75 and above, with a lesser impact on those under 55. For both genders, the 10-55 and 50-74 age groups had the highest DALYs and mortality rates due to metabolic-related intracerebral hemorrhage. For those aged 75-84 and over 85, ischemic stroke was the leading subtype of metabolic-related stroke contributing to DALYs and mortality rates.Conclusion: This is the first retrospective study on metabolic risk-related stroke on a global scale, summarizing its temporal trends and demographic distribution characteristics. Effective public health strategies are needed to address these disparities and continue reducing the global burden of metabolic risk-related strokes.
背景:中风是全球第二大死亡原因,也是导致残疾的主要原因。代谢风险是导致中风的主要因素。从 1990 年到 2019 年,代谢风险相关中风的全球趋势以及各种人口因素在死亡率和残疾调整寿命年数方面的差异仍不清楚:所有分析均基于 GBD2021 结果得出的比率(https://vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-results/)。数据按性别、地区和年龄分层。使用Joinpoint软件对年均百分比变化(AAPC)及其95%置信区间进行回归分析,以分析1990年至2019年的趋势。使用 Excel、PowerPoint 和 R 软件进行绘图和分析,p<0.05 为具有统计学意义:从 1990 年到 2019 年,残疾调整寿命年数(DALYs)的年龄标准化率(ASR)的年均百分比变化(AAPC)为-1.70%(-1.81%,-1.58%),死亡率的年均百分比变化(AAPC)为-1.57%(-1.68%,-1.46%)。随着 SDI 的增加,2019 年的残疾调整寿命年数和死亡率的 ASR 都出现了显著下降。从 1990 年到 2019 年,随着 SDI 水平的增加,AAPC 也呈下降趋势。代谢风险相关中风的残疾调整寿命年数和死亡率主要影响 75 岁及以上人群,对 55 岁以下人群的影响较小。就男女而言,10-55 岁和 50-74 岁年龄组因代谢相关脑内出血造成的残疾调整寿命年数和死亡率最高。对于 75-84 岁和 85 岁以上的人群,缺血性中风是导致残疾调整寿命年数和死亡率的代谢相关中风的主要亚型:这是首次在全球范围内对代谢风险相关中风进行回顾性研究,总结了其时间趋势和人口分布特征。需要有效的公共卫生策略来解决这些差异,并继续减轻代谢风险相关中风的全球负担。
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引用次数: 0
Bacterial strain sharing between humans, animals, and the environment among urban households 城市家庭中人、动物和环境共用的细菌菌株
Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1101/2024.08.05.24311509
Daehyun D Kim, Jenna M Swarthout, Colin Worby, Benard Chieng, John Mboya, Ashlee M Earl, Sammy M Njenga, Amy Pickering
Identifying bacterial transmission pathways is crucial to inform strategies aimed at curbing the spread of pathogenic and antibiotic-resistant bacteria, especially in rapidly urbanizing low- and middle-income countries. In this study, we assessed bacterial strain-sharing and dissemination of antibiotic resistance across humans, domesticated poultry, canines, household soil, and drinking water in urban informal settlements in Nairobi, Kenya. We collected 321 samples from 50 households and performed Pooling Isolated Colonies-seq (PIC-seq) by sequencing pools of up to five Escherichia coli colonies per sample to capture strain diversity, strain-sharing patterns, and overlap of antibiotic-resistant genes (ARGs). Bacterial strains isolated from the household environment carried clinically relevant ARGs, reinforcing the role of the environment in antibiotic resistance dissemination. Strain-sharing rates and resistome similarities across sample types were strongly correlated within households, suggesting clonal spread of bacteria is a main driver of dissemination of ARGs in the domestic urban environment. Within households, E. coli strain-sharing was rare between humans and animals but more frequent between humans and drinking water. E. coli contamination in stored drinking water was also associated with higher strain-sharing between humans in the same household. Our study demonstrates that contaminated drinking water facilitates human to human strain sharing and water treatment can disrupt transmission.
确定细菌传播途径对于制定遏制病原菌和耐抗生素细菌传播的战略至关重要,尤其是在快速城市化的中低收入国家。在这项研究中,我们评估了肯尼亚内罗毕城市非正式居住区中人类、家禽、犬、家庭土壤和饮用水中细菌菌株共享和抗生素耐药性传播的情况。我们从 50 个家庭中采集了 321 份样本,通过对每个样本中最多 5 个大肠杆菌菌落进行测序,对菌株多样性、菌株共享模式和抗生素耐药基因(ARGs)的重叠进行了集合分离菌落测序(PIC-seq)。从家庭环境中分离出的细菌菌株携带有临床相关的 ARGs,这加强了环境在抗生素耐药性传播中的作用。家庭内不同样本类型的菌株共享率和耐药性组相似性密切相关,这表明细菌的克隆传播是城市家庭环境中 ARGs 传播的主要驱动力。在家庭内部,人与动物之间很少发生大肠杆菌菌株共享,但人与饮用水之间的共享则更为频繁。储存饮用水中的大肠杆菌污染也与同一家庭中人与人之间的菌株共享程度较高有关。我们的研究表明,受污染的饮用水可促进人与人之间的菌株共享,而水处理可阻断传播。
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引用次数: 0
Longitudinal changes in cannabis use and misuse in the 5 years following recreational cannabis legalization in Canada: A prospective cohort study of community adults 加拿大娱乐性大麻合法化后 5 年内大麻使用和滥用的纵向变化:社区成年人前瞻性队列研究
Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1101/2024.08.06.24311571
Andre J. McDonald, Amanda Doggett, Kyla Belisario, Jessica Gillard, Jane De Jesus, Emily Vandehei, Laura Lee, Jillian Halladay, James MacKillop
Importance: A growing number of jurisdictions have legalized recreational cannabis for adults, but most evaluations have used repeated cross-sectional designs, preventing examination of within-person and subgroup trajectories across legalization. Objective: To examine changes in cannabis use and misuse in the five years following legalization in Canada - the first G7 country to legalize adult recreational cannabis use - both overall and by pre-legalization cannabis use frequency using a longitudinal design. Design: Prospective cohort study with 11 biannual assessments from September 2018 to October 2023. Mean retention was 90% across all waves. Setting: Ontario, Canada. Participants: Sample of 1,428 (60.2% female, Mage=34.5) community adults aged 18 to 65 years. Exposure: Five years of recreational cannabis legalization (the baseline wave was immediately prior to legalization). Main outcome and measures: Primary outcomes were cannabis use frequency and cannabis misuse (CUDIT-R score). Pre-legalization cannabis use frequency, age, and sex were examined as moderators. Secondary outcomes included changes in cannabis product preferences over time. Results: Linear mixed effects modelling found a significant increase in cannabis use frequency, such that the mean proportion of days using cannabis increased by 0.35% (p<.001) per year in the overall sample (1.75% over 5 years). In contrast, CUDIT-R scores (on scale of 0 to 32) decreased significantly overall (b=-0.08 [-0.4 over 5 years], p<.001), most notably following the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Interaction analyses indicated that pre-legalization cannabis use frequency significantly moderated changes for both outcomes (p<.001). Specifically, cannabis use and misuse decreased among pre-legalization frequent consumers and modestly increased among occasional/non-users. Cannabis product preferences shifted away from dried flower, hashish, concentrates, oil, tinctures, and topicals to edibles, liquids, and vape pens. Conclusions and Relevance: In the five years following legalization, cannabis use frequency increased modestly, while cannabis misuse decreased modestly in a longitudinal observational cohort of Canadian adults. These changes were substantially moderated by pre-legalization cannabis use, with more frequent consumers of cannabis pre-legalization exhibiting the largest decreases in both outcomes. Although longer-term surveillance is required, these results suggest Canadian recreational cannabis legalization was associated with modest negative consequences and some evidence of positive outcomes among nonclinical community adults.
重要性:越来越多的司法管辖区已将成人娱乐用大麻合法化,但大多数评估都采用重复的横断面设计,无法对整个合法化过程中的个人和亚群体轨迹进行研究。目的:采用纵向设计,研究加拿大--第一个将成人娱乐使用大麻合法化的七国集团国家--在大麻合法化后五年内大麻使用和滥用的变化,包括总体变化和合法化前大麻使用频率的变化。设计:前瞻性队列研究,从 2018 年 9 月至 2023 年 10 月进行了 11 次半年评估。所有波次的平均保留率为 90%。地点:加拿大安大略省:加拿大安大略省。参与者:1,428名(60.2%为女性,年龄=34.5)18至65岁的社区成年人样本。接触情况:娱乐大麻合法化五年(基线波为合法化前夕)。主要结果和衡量标准:主要结果是大麻使用频率和大麻滥用(CUDIT-R 评分)。对合法化前的大麻使用频率、年龄和性别作为调节因素进行了研究。次要结果包括大麻产品偏好随时间的变化。结果:线性混合效应建模发现,大麻使用频率显著增加,总体样本中使用大麻的平均天数比例每年增加 0.35% (p<.001) (5 年内增加 1.75%)。与此相反,CUDIT-R 评分(0 至 32 分)总体上显著下降(b=-0.08 [5 年内-0.4],p< .001),在 COVID-19 大流行开始后最为明显。交互分析表明,合法化前的大麻使用频率在很大程度上调节了两种结果的变化(p< .001)。具体而言,合法化前经常使用大麻的人使用和滥用大麻的情况有所减少,偶尔使用/不使用大麻的人使用和滥用大麻的情况略有增加。大麻产品的偏好也从干花、印度大麻脂、浓缩物、精油、酊剂和外用药转向了食品、液体和吸管。结论和现实意义:在大麻合法化后的五年中,加拿大成年人纵向观察队列中大麻使用频率略有增加,而大麻滥用则略有减少。这些变化在很大程度上受到合法化前大麻使用情况的影响,合法化前大麻使用频率较高的人群在这两项结果上的降幅最大。虽然还需要更长期的监测,但这些结果表明,加拿大娱乐性大麻合法化对非临床社区的成年人产生了适度的负面影响和一些积极影响的证据。
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引用次数: 0
Social isolation in mid-life: associations with psychological distress, life satisfaction and self-rated health in two successive British birth cohorts 中年时期的社会隔离:两个连续的英国出生队列中心理困扰、生活满意度和自我健康评价的关系
Pub Date : 2024-08-06 DOI: 10.1101/2024.08.05.24311494
Rosie Mansfield, Marcus Richards, George B Ploubidis, Morag Henderson, Praveetha Patalay
Background and Objectives: Social isolation can be quantified using indicators across a range of social contexts e.g., household composition, friends and family, employment and community. Little is known about the way in which different forms of isolation differentially impact health, whether they produce a dose-response effect, and whether different forms of isolation interact in an additive or multiplicative way to impact psychological distress, life satisfaction and general health. The current study focuses on social isolation in mid-life, a life stage often neglected by the field. Research Design and Method: Data (N=32,391) were analysed from two successive British birth cohort studies: 1970 British Cohort Study (BCS) N=16,585 and the 1958 National Child Development Study (NCDS) N=15,806 focusing on participants social isolation during mid-life (ages 42-46). Linear multivariable regression models were run to investigate the independent, dose-response and interactive associations of social isolation indicators with psychological distress, life satisfaction and self-rated general health. Subsequently, all models were stratified to examine sex differences, and a cohort interaction was tested to assess cohort effects. An additional latent class analysis investigated whether different forms of isolation cluster in mid-life. Results: Independent associations varied by form of isolation and specific health outcomes, for instance, being out of education and employment was associated with all outcomes, living alone was only associated with lower life satisfaction and a lack of frequent contact with friends and relatives, no labour market participation and limited community engagement were associated with lower life satisfaction and self-rated general health. There was a dose-response relationship with higher social isolation scores associated with greater psychological distress, lower life satisfaction, and poorer self-reported general health. The effects of different combinations of social isolation on health appears to be additive, with no consistent sex and cohort differences observed.Conclusions: Results support a multi-domain, multi-context approach to studying social isolation and provides justification for research that investigates the separate and combined effects of different forms of social isolation; and the relevance of investigating social isolation in relation to the complete state of physical, mental and social wellbeing. Overall, isolation in its various forms was found to be detrimental for health, in mid-life, and over time in Great Britain. In particular, social isolation was associated most consistently with lower levels of life satisfaction. Efforts to reduce social isolation and its negative health impacts must recognise the complexity of experience across contexts and for different populations.
背景和目标:社会隔离可以通过一系列社会环境指标进行量化,例如家庭组成、朋友和家人、就业和社区。对于不同形式的孤立如何对健康产生不同的影响,是否会产生剂量反应效应,以及不同形式的孤立是否会以相加或相乘的方式对心理困扰、生活满意度和总体健康产生影响,人们知之甚少。目前的研究重点是中年时期的社会隔离,这是一个经常被研究领域忽视的人生阶段。研究设计与方法:对两项连续的英国出生队列研究的数据(32,391 人)进行了分析:1970 年英国队列研究 (BCS) N=16,585 人,1958 年全国儿童发展研究 (NCDS) N=15,806 人,重点研究参与者在中年时期(42-46 岁)的社会隔离情况。通过线性多元回归模型,研究了社会隔离指标与心理困扰、生活满意度和自评一般健康之间的独立、剂量反应和交互关联。随后,对所有模型进行了分层,以检查性别差异,并对队列交互作用进行了测试,以评估队列效应。另外还进行了潜类分析,研究不同形式的孤立是否会在中年时期聚集。研究结果不同形式的孤独与特定健康结果之间的独立关联各不相同,例如,失学和失业与所有结果都有关联,独居只与较低的生活满意度和缺乏与亲友的频繁联系有关,没有参与劳动力市场和社区参与有限与较低的生活满意度和自我评价的一般健康有关。社会隔离得分越高,心理压力越大,生活满意度越低,自我报告的总体健康状况越差,这之间存在着剂量-反应关系。社会隔离的不同组合对健康的影响似乎是相加的,没有观察到一致的性别和队列差异:研究结果支持采用多领域、多情境的方法来研究社会隔离,并为调查不同形式的社会隔离的单独和综合影响的研究提供了依据;同时也证明了调查社会隔离与身体、精神和社会福祉的完整状态的相关性。总体而言,在大不列颠,各种形式的孤立在中年和长期都对健康不利。其中,社会隔离与生活满意度较低的关系最为密切。要努力减少社会隔离及其对健康的负面影响,就必须认识到不同环境和不同人群的经历的复杂性。
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引用次数: 0
Standing Strong: A Systematic Review of Multifaceted Fall Prevention in Older Adults 坚强站立:多方面预防老年人跌倒的系统回顾
Pub Date : 2024-08-06 DOI: 10.1101/2024.08.05.24311505
Mony Thomas, Johnson Kirk, Raul Patel, Mary Fred
Background: Falls among older adults are a major public health concern, leading to significant morbidity, mortality, and healthcare costs. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of falls prevention interventions for community-dwelling older adults aged 65 and above.Methods: We searched PubMed, Cochrane Library, CINAHL, Embase, and Web of Science databases for randomized controlled trials published between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2023. Studies evaluating interventions designed to reduce fall incidence or fall-related injuries in community-dwelling older adults were included. Two reviewers independently screened studies, extracted data, and assessed risk of bias using the RoB 2 tool. Meta-analyses were conducted using random-effects models.Results: Forty-seven studies met the inclusion criteria, involving 23,584 participants across 15 countries. The mean age of participants was 76.3 years (SD 4.7), and 68% were female. Overall, interventions significantly reduced fall rates (Rate Ratio 0.80, 95% CI 0.75-0.86, I=67%). Multifaceted interventions showed the greatest reduction in fall rates (RR 0.75, 95% CI 0.68-0.82), followed by exercise interventions alone (RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.78-0.92). Interventions also reduced the risk of becoming a faller (Risk Ratio 0.85, 95% CI 0.80-0.90) and the risk of fall-related injuries (Risk Ratio 0.83, 95% CI 0.76-0.91). Subgroup analyses revealed greater effectiveness in high-risk populations (RR 0.72, 95% CI 0.65-0.80). Longer interventions (12 months or more) showed greater reductions in fall rates. The mean adherence rate was 76%, with no serious adverse events reported.Conclusions: This review provides strong evidence supporting the implementation of multifaceted falls prevention programs for community-dwelling older adults, with a particular emphasis on exercise interventions. Future research should focus on long-term adherence, cost-effectiveness, and innovative approaches to fall prevention in diverse populations and settings.
背景:老年人跌倒是一个重大的公共卫生问题,会导致严重的发病率、死亡率和医疗成本。本系统综述和荟萃分析旨在评估针对 65 岁及以上居住在社区的老年人的跌倒预防干预措施的有效性:我们在 PubMed、Cochrane Library、CINAHL、Embase 和 Web of Science 数据库中检索了 2000 年 1 月 1 日至 2023 年 12 月 31 日期间发表的随机对照试验。纳入的研究评估了旨在减少社区老年人跌倒发生率或跌倒相关伤害的干预措施。两名审稿人独立筛选研究、提取数据,并使用 RoB 2 工具评估偏倚风险。采用随机效应模型进行元分析:47项研究符合纳入标准,涉及15个国家的23584名参与者。参与者的平均年龄为 76.3 岁(SD 4.7),68% 为女性。总体而言,干预措施大大降低了跌倒率(比率比 0.80,95% CI 0.75-0.86,I=67%)。多方面干预对跌倒率的降低幅度最大(RR 0.75,95% CI 0.68-0.82),其次是单纯的运动干预(RR 0.85,95% CI 0.78-0.92)。干预措施还降低了跌倒风险(风险比 0.85,95% CI 0.80-0.90)和跌倒相关伤害风险(风险比 0.83,95% CI 0.76-0.91)。分组分析显示,在高风险人群中,干预效果更好(RR 0.72,95% CI 0.65-0.80)。干预时间越长(12 个月或以上),跌倒率的降低幅度越大。平均坚持率为 76%,无严重不良事件报告:本综述提供了有力的证据,支持针对社区居住的老年人实施多方面的跌倒预防计划,并特别强调了运动干预。未来的研究应重点关注长期坚持率、成本效益以及在不同人群和环境中预防跌倒的创新方法。
{"title":"Standing Strong: A Systematic Review of Multifaceted Fall Prevention in Older Adults","authors":"Mony Thomas, Johnson Kirk, Raul Patel, Mary Fred","doi":"10.1101/2024.08.05.24311505","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.08.05.24311505","url":null,"abstract":"Background: Falls among older adults are a major public health concern, leading to significant morbidity, mortality, and healthcare costs. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of falls prevention interventions for community-dwelling older adults aged 65 and above.\u0000Methods: We searched PubMed, Cochrane Library, CINAHL, Embase, and Web of Science databases for randomized controlled trials published between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2023. Studies evaluating interventions designed to reduce fall incidence or fall-related injuries in community-dwelling older adults were included. Two reviewers independently screened studies, extracted data, and assessed risk of bias using the RoB 2 tool. Meta-analyses were conducted using random-effects models.\u0000Results: Forty-seven studies met the inclusion criteria, involving 23,584 participants across 15 countries. The mean age of participants was 76.3 years (SD 4.7), and 68% were female. Overall, interventions significantly reduced fall rates (Rate Ratio 0.80, 95% CI 0.75-0.86, I=67%). Multifaceted interventions showed the greatest reduction in fall rates (RR 0.75, 95% CI 0.68-0.82), followed by exercise interventions alone (RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.78-0.92). Interventions also reduced the risk of becoming a faller (Risk Ratio 0.85, 95% CI 0.80-0.90) and the risk of fall-related injuries (Risk Ratio 0.83, 95% CI 0.76-0.91). Subgroup analyses revealed greater effectiveness in high-risk populations (RR 0.72, 95% CI 0.65-0.80). Longer interventions (12 months or more) showed greater reductions in fall rates. The mean adherence rate was 76%, with no serious adverse events reported.\u0000Conclusions: This review provides strong evidence supporting the implementation of multifaceted falls prevention programs for community-dwelling older adults, with a particular emphasis on exercise interventions. Future research should focus on long-term adherence, cost-effectiveness, and innovative approaches to fall prevention in diverse populations and settings.","PeriodicalId":501276,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv - Public and Global Health","volume":"135 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141941519","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A SIMULATION MODEL TO QUANTIFY THE EFFICACY OF DRY CLEANING INTERVENTIONS ON A CONTAMINATED MILK POWDER LINE 量化干洗干预措施对受污染奶粉生产线的功效的模拟模型
Pub Date : 2024-08-06 DOI: 10.1101/2024.08.05.24311372
Devin Daeschel, Long Chen, Claire Zoellner, Abigail B Snyder
Outbreaks of Salmonella and other pathogens associated with low moisture foods have been caused by cross-contamination from the processing environment into product. We used Monte Carlo simulations to model the impact of hypothetical cross-contamination scenarios of Salmonella from production equipment into milk powder. Model outputs include the quantity and extent of contaminated product from a production line, which can be useful for comparing the efficacy of different cleaning interventions. We also modeled the cross-contamination of potential dry cleaning surrogates to see how they responded to cleaning interventions in comparison to Salmonella. Input parameters for the model included log reductions from wiping an inoculated surface with a dry towel and transfer coefficients from an inoculated surface into milk powder that were measured experimentally and fitted to probability distributions. After a 2 log CFU contamination breach, the number of consumer size milk powder units (300 g) contaminated with Salmonella was 72 [24, 96] (median [p5, p95] across 1000 simulation iterations). The average concentration of Salmonella within contaminated units was -2.33 log CFU/g [-2.46, -1.86]. Wiping with a dry towel reduced the number of contaminated units to 26 [12, 64]. After product flushing with 150 kg of milk powder, the number of contaminated units dropped to 0 [0, 41]. E. faecium was the most appropriate surrogate for Salmonella transfer from surface to milk powder, while L. innocua was a more appropriate surrogate for the dry towel wiping intervention. These results suggest that product flushing, and to a lesser degree dry wiping, may be effective interventions in reducing contaminated milk powder product after a contamination breach. Further, simulation modeling is a useful tool for evaluating Salmonella dry transfer surrogates for their use in dry cleaning validation and modeling applications.
与低水分食品相关的沙门氏菌和其他病原体的爆发是由加工环境中的交叉污染进入产品造成的。我们使用蒙特卡洛模拟来模拟沙门氏菌从生产设备进入奶粉的假设交叉污染情况的影响。模型输出包括生产线受污染产品的数量和程度,这有助于比较不同清洁干预措施的效果。我们还对潜在的干洗替代物的交叉污染进行了建模,以了解它们与沙门氏菌相比对清洁干预措施的反应。模型的输入参数包括用干毛巾擦拭接种表面的对数减少量,以及接种表面向奶粉中的转移系数,这些参数都是通过实验测得的,并与概率分布相拟合。在出现 2 log CFU 污染缺口后,受沙门氏菌污染的消费者奶粉单位(300 克)数量为 72 [24, 96](1000 次模拟迭代的中位数 [p5, p95])。受污染单位内沙门氏菌的平均浓度为 -2.33 log CFU/g [-2.46, -1.86] 。用干毛巾擦拭后,受污染单元的数量减少到 26 个 [12, 64]。用 150 千克奶粉冲洗产品后,受污染单位的数量降至 0 [0, 41]。粪肠球菌是沙门氏菌从表面转移到奶粉的最合适的代用品,而无毒梭菌则是干毛巾擦拭干预措施的更合适的代用品。这些结果表明,冲洗产品以及在较低程度上用干毛巾擦拭产品可能是在发生污染事件后减少受污染奶粉产品的有效干预措施。此外,模拟建模是评估沙门氏菌干转移替代物的有用工具,可用于干洗验证和建模应用。
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引用次数: 0
A foundational transformer leveraging full night, multichannel sleep study data accurately classifies sleep stages 利用整夜多通道睡眠研究数据准确划分睡眠阶段的基础转换器
Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1101/2024.08.02.24311417
Benjamin Fox, Joy Jiang, Sajila Wickramaratne, Patricia Kovatch, Mayte Suarez-Farinas, Neomi A Shah, Ankit Parekh, Girish N Nadkarni
Study Objectives. To investigate whether a foundational transformer model using 8-hour, multichannel data from polysomnograms can outperform existing artificial intelligence (AI) methods for sleep stage classification. Methods. We utilized the Sleep Heart Health Study (SHHS) visits 1 and 2 for training and validation and the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) for testing of our model. We trained a self-supervised foundational transformer (called PFTSleep) that encodes 8-hour long sleep studies at 125 Hz with 7 signals including brain, movement, cardiac, oxygen, and respiratory channels. These encodings are used as input for training of an additional model to classify sleep stages, without adjusting the weights of the foundational transformer. We compared our results to existing AI methods that did not utilize 8-hour data or the full set of signals but did report evaluation metrics for the SHHS dataset. Results. We trained and validated a model with 8,444 sleep studies with 7 signals including brain, movement, cardiac, oxygen, and respiratory channels and tested on an additional 2,055 studies. In total, we trained and tested 587,944 hours of sleep study signal data. Area under the precision recall curve (AUPRC) scores were 0.82, 0.40, 0.53, 0.75, and 0.82 and area under the receiving operating characteristics curve (AUROC) scores were 0.99, 0.95, 0.96, 0.98, and 0.99 for wake, N1, N2, N3, and REM, respectively, on the SHHS validation set. For MESA, the AUPRC scores were 0.56, 0.16, 0.40, 0.45, and 0.65 and AUROC scores were 0.94, 0.77, 0.87, 0.91, and 0.96, respectively. Our model was compared to the longest context window state-of-the-art model and showed increases in macro evaluation scores, notably sensitivity (3.65% increase) and multi-class REM (3.39% increase) and wake (0.97% increase) F1 scores. Conclusions. Utilizing full night, multi-channel PSG data encodings derived from a foundational transformer improve sleep stage classification over existing methods.
研究目的。研究使用多导睡眠图 8 小时多通道数据的基础转换器模型在睡眠阶段分类方面是否优于现有的人工智能(AI)方法。研究方法我们利用睡眠心脏健康研究(SHHS)第 1 次和第 2 次数据对模型进行训练和验证,并利用多种族动脉粥样硬化研究(MESA)数据对模型进行测试。我们训练了一个自我监督的基础转换器(称为 PFTSleep),该转换器以 125 Hz 的频率对 8 小时长的睡眠研究进行编码,其中包括大脑、运动、心脏、氧气和呼吸通道等 7 种信号。这些编码被用作训练附加模型的输入,以对睡眠阶段进行分类,而无需调整基础变换器的权重。我们将我们的结果与现有的人工智能方法进行了比较,这些方法没有使用 8 小时数据或全套信号,但报告了 SHHS 数据集的评估指标。结果我们利用 8444 项睡眠研究和 7 种信号(包括大脑、运动、心脏、氧气和呼吸通道)训练和验证了一个模型,并对另外 2055 项研究进行了测试。我们总共训练和测试了 587,944 小时的睡眠研究信号数据。在 SHHS 验证集上,唤醒、N1、N2、N3 和快速动眼期的精确召回曲线下面积 (AUPRC) 得分分别为 0.82、0.40、0.53、0.75 和 0.82,接收操作特征曲线下面积 (AUROC) 得分分别为 0.99、0.95、0.96、0.98 和 0.99。对于 MESA,AUPRC 分数分别为 0.56、0.16、0.40、0.45 和 0.65,AUROC 分数分别为 0.94、0.77、0.87、0.91 和 0.96。我们的模型与最长上下文窗口的最先进模型进行了比较,结果显示宏观评估分数有所提高,尤其是灵敏度(提高 3.65%)、多类 REM(提高 3.39%)和唤醒(提高 0.97%)F1 分数。结论与现有方法相比,利用基础变换器得出的整夜多通道 PSG 数据编码可改善睡眠阶段分类。
{"title":"A foundational transformer leveraging full night, multichannel sleep study data accurately classifies sleep stages","authors":"Benjamin Fox, Joy Jiang, Sajila Wickramaratne, Patricia Kovatch, Mayte Suarez-Farinas, Neomi A Shah, Ankit Parekh, Girish N Nadkarni","doi":"10.1101/2024.08.02.24311417","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.08.02.24311417","url":null,"abstract":"Study Objectives. To investigate whether a foundational transformer model using 8-hour, multichannel data from polysomnograms can outperform existing artificial intelligence (AI) methods for sleep stage classification. Methods. We utilized the Sleep Heart Health Study (SHHS) visits 1 and 2 for training and validation and the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) for testing of our model. We trained a self-supervised foundational transformer (called PFTSleep) that encodes 8-hour long sleep studies at 125 Hz with 7 signals including brain, movement, cardiac, oxygen, and respiratory channels. These encodings are used as input for training of an additional model to classify sleep stages, without adjusting the weights of the foundational transformer. We compared our results to existing AI methods that did not utilize 8-hour data or the full set of signals but did report evaluation metrics for the SHHS dataset. Results. We trained and validated a model with 8,444 sleep studies with 7 signals including brain, movement, cardiac, oxygen, and respiratory channels and tested on an additional 2,055 studies. In total, we trained and tested 587,944 hours of sleep study signal data. Area under the precision recall curve (AUPRC) scores were 0.82, 0.40, 0.53, 0.75, and 0.82 and area under the receiving operating characteristics curve (AUROC) scores were 0.99, 0.95, 0.96, 0.98, and 0.99 for wake, N1, N2, N3, and REM, respectively, on the SHHS validation set. For MESA, the AUPRC scores were 0.56, 0.16, 0.40, 0.45, and 0.65 and AUROC scores were 0.94, 0.77, 0.87, 0.91, and 0.96, respectively. Our model was compared to the longest context window state-of-the-art model and showed increases in macro evaluation scores, notably sensitivity (3.65% increase) and multi-class REM (3.39% increase) and wake (0.97% increase) F1 scores. Conclusions. Utilizing full night, multi-channel PSG data encodings derived from a foundational transformer improve sleep stage classification over existing methods.","PeriodicalId":501276,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv - Public and Global Health","volume":"8 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141941543","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assessing the effect of a massive open online course (MOOC) on school water, sanitation, and hygiene improvements in the Philippines 评估大规模开放式在线课程(MOOC)对改善菲律宾学校供水、环境卫生和个人卫生的影响
Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1101/2024.08.04.24311467
Kh. Shafiur Rahaman, Marvin Marquez, Sarah Bick, Bella Monse, Dexter Galban, Habib Benzian, Robert Dreibelbis
Improving school water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) services in low-resources setting is a challenge. The Department of Education (DepEd) of the Philippines, supported by GIZ and UNICEF, runs the national WASH in schools program which promotes a stepwise approach to reach national WinS Standards and foster the institutionalization of WASH in the education sector. This includes national-level annual monitoring on WASH service levels in schools, information which is used to set target and allocation resources. Since 2019, the programme has also included a Massive Open Online Course (MOOC) for school staff. This platform provides uniform implementation guidance of WinS in the schools across the country. In this analysis, we use annual WASH monitoring data from the 2017/2018 (baseline) and 2021/2022 (endline) and compare this against school-level information on MOOC enrolment and completion. For each school in our analysis, we calculated baseline and endline overall and domain specific star ranking, a standardized 3-point composite measure of school WASH services adopted by DepEd. Linear regression models assessed the relationship between school staff participation in the MOOC and average change in star ranking between baseline and endline and logistic regression models were used to calculate the odds of improvement in star ranking between baseline and endline. Baseline and endline data were available for 28,779 schools. Of those, 5,980 schools had at least 1 teacher enrolled in the MOOC. Overall, MOOC participation was associated with improvements in both overall and domain specific star ranking, with larger improvements seen for hygiene services. The MOOC is a promising key component of the national WASH stategy complementing the annual monitoring process and warrants further investigation in the school management sector.
在资源匮乏的环境中改善学校的水、环境卫生和个人卫生(WASH)服务是一项挑战。菲律宾教育部(DepEd)在德国国际合作机构(GIZ)和联合国儿童基金会(UNICEF)的支持下,实施了全国学校讲卫生运动计划,该计划提倡采取循序渐进的方法,以达到国家 WinS 标准,并促进讲卫生运动在教育部门的制度化。这包括对学校讲卫生运动服务水平进行国家级年度监测,这些信息用于设定目标和分配资源。自 2019 年起,该计划还为学校教职员工开设了大规模开放式在线课程(MOOC)。该平台为全国各地的学校提供统一的 WinS 实施指导。在本分析中,我们使用了 2017/2018 年(基线)和 2021/2022 年(端线)的年度讲卫生运动监测数据,并将其与学校层面的 MOOC 注册和完成信息进行了比较。对于分析中的每所学校,我们都计算了基线和终点的总体和特定领域星级排名,这是教育部采用的学校讲卫生运动服务的标准化 3 点综合衡量标准。线性回归模型评估了学校教职员工参与 MOOC 与基线和终点之间星级排名平均变化之间的关系,逻辑回归模型用于计算基线和终点之间星级排名提高的几率。有 28,779 所学校提供了基线和终点数据。其中,5980 所学校至少有一名教师参加了 MOOC。总体而言,MOOC 的参与与总体和具体领域星级排名的提高有关,其中卫生服务的提高幅度更大。MOOC 是国家 "讲卫生运动 "国家战略的重要组成部分,是对年度监测过程的补充,前景广阔,值得在学校管理部门进一步研究。
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引用次数: 0
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medRxiv - Public and Global Health
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