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Exploring socioeconomic-related inequality in children’s cognitive achievement in Peru 探索秘鲁儿童认知成就中与社会经济有关的不平等现象
Pub Date : 2024-01-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-023-09615-4
Emmanuel Ngoy, Carla Sá, Paula Veiga

This paper applies the concentration index to estimate socioeconomic-related inequality in language skills among children aged 5 to 15, using longitudinal data from Peru. We find the existence of socioeconomic-related inequality in language skills, starting from an early age and showing little change until adolescence, albeit dropping. The cognitive achievement regression estimates highlight the significant role of family socioeconomic status (SES) on children’s language performance. Our decomposition analysis strengthens this result, indicating parental SES as the major contributor to socioeconomic-related inequality in language skills, even after accounting for the lagged test scores. We further decompose the source of changes in socioeconomic-related inequality in language skills between ages 5 and 15, and show changes in household wealth inequality and the associated elasticity both contribute to changes in socioeconomic-related inequalities in language performance.

本文利用秘鲁的纵向数据,采用集中指数来估算 5 至 15 岁儿童语言技能中与社会经济相关的不平等现象。我们发现在语言技能方面存在着与社会经济相关的不平等,这种不平等从很小的时候就开始了,直到青春期变化不大,尽管有所下降。认知成就回归估计突出了家庭社会经济地位(SES)对儿童语言表现的重要作用。我们的分解分析强化了这一结果,表明父母的社会经济地位是造成与社会经济相关的语言技能不平等的主要因素,即使在考虑了滞后测试分数之后也是如此。我们进一步分解了 5 至 15 岁期间与社会经济相关的语言技能不平等的变化来源,结果表明家庭财富不平等的变化和相关弹性都导致了与社会经济相关的语言成绩不平等的变化。
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引用次数: 0
Recovering income distribution in the presence of interval-censored data 在存在区间删失数据的情况下恢复收入分布
Pub Date : 2024-01-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-023-09617-2
Fernando Rios-Avila, Gustavo Canavire-Bacarreza, Flavia Sacco-Capurro

We propose a method to analyze interval-censored data using a multiple imputation based on a Heteroskedastic Interval regression approach. The proposed model aims to obtain a synthetic dataset that can be used for standard analysis, including standard linear regression, quantile regression, or poverty and inequality estimation. We present two applications to show the performance of our method. First, we run a Monte Carlo simulation to show the method's performance under the assumption of multiplicative heteroskedasticity, with and without conditional normality. Second, we use the proposed methodology to analyze labor income data in Grenada for 2013-2020, where the salary data are interval-censored according to the salary intervals prespecified in the survey questionnaire. The results obtained are consistent across both exercises.

我们提出了一种利用基于异方差区间回归方法的多重估算来分析区间删失数据的方法。所提出的模型旨在获得一个合成数据集,该数据集可用于标准分析,包括标准线性回归、量化回归或贫困与不平等估计。我们提出了两个应用来展示我们方法的性能。首先,我们进行了蒙特卡罗模拟,展示了该方法在有条件正态性和无条件正态性的乘法异方差假设下的性能。其次,我们使用所提出的方法分析了格林纳达 2013-2020 年的劳动收入数据,其中工资数据根据调查问卷中预设的工资区间进行了区间删减。两种方法得出的结果是一致的。
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引用次数: 0
Inequality and income mobility: the case of targeted and universal interventions in India 不平等与收入流动性:印度有针对性和普遍性干预措施的案例
Pub Date : 2024-01-29 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-023-09614-5
Anindya S. Chakrabarti, Abinash Mishra, Mohsen Mohaghegh

Income interventions with pro-poor targeting is a common fiscal policy around the world. However their distributional effects on consumption and savings are not well understood. Motivated by the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA), we use longitudinal data on income and consumption of Indian households to estimate distributional effects of such interventions in a model with endogenous consumption and savings distribution, where households face uninsured income risks. In the model, a standard scheme of interventions that consistently targets low-income cohorts, has small distributional impacts on targeted and non-targeted cohorts alike. In contrast, a fiscally-equivalent scheme that changes the expected income profile of the targeted households in the same initial cohort irrespective of their future incomes, generates larger effects by changing income mobility for both the targeted and non-targeted cohorts. This mobility-based channel generates consumption responses even though the magnitude of the shock is lesser for the initially targeted cohort, as it more than offsets the effect from permanent income shock. Quantitatively, such an intervention in the order of 0.6 percent of output, approximating the Indian scenario, increases consumption share of the targeted cohort by nearly 2.5 percent, five times as large as the effect of standard interventions. The distributional effects are similar to those arising from a counterfactual policy of universal basic income.

以扶贫为目标的收入干预措施是全世界常见的财政政策。然而,人们对其对消费和储蓄的分配影响还不甚了解。受《圣雄甘地全国农村就业保障法》(MGNREGA)的启发,我们利用印度家庭收入和消费的纵向数据,在一个具有内生消费和储蓄分布的模型中估算了此类干预措施的分配效应,在该模型中,家庭面临无保险的收入风险。在该模型中,一贯针对低收入群体的标准干预计划对目标群体和非目标群体的分配影响都很小。与此相反,一个财政上等同的方案改变了同一初始组群中目标家庭的预期收入状况,而不论其未来收入如何,该方案通过改变目标组群和非目标组群的收入流动性产生了更大的影响。这种以流动性为基础的渠道会产生消费反应,即使冲击的幅度对最初的目标群组来说较小,因为它足以抵消永久性收入冲击的影响。从数量上看,这种约占产出 0.6%的干预(近似于印度的情况)使目标人群的消费份额增加了近 2.5%,是标准干预效果的五倍。其分配效应与全民基本收入政策的反事实效应相似。
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引用次数: 0
Washing machine ownership and girls' school attendance: a cross-sectional analysis of adolescents in 19 middle-income countries 洗衣机拥有率与女童入学率:对 19 个中等收入国家青少年的横截面分析
Pub Date : 2024-01-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-023-09612-7
Omar Karlsson, Jan-Walter De Neve

Excessive work among adolescents may compromise educational development. Without home appliances, household work can take over 50 h a week and an additional 30 h when an infant is present. School-aged girls are often tasked with doing laundry, which is time-consuming and inflexible without a washing machine. We determined the association between washing machine ownership and school attendance among adolescents ages 10–19 years in 19 middle-income countries between 2000 and 2021 (N = 1,622,514). We controlled for socioeconomic and demographic characteristics, all neighborhood-level factors, and examined differences by sex, age, household wealth, and period. No relationship between washing machine ownership and school attendance was found in most countries: However, there was a substantial association for girls in Türkiye and a small to moderate association for girls in Egypt and Albania. In Türkiye, for example, girls living in households with a washing machine had 28% (95% CI 19, 37) greater school attendance compared to girls living in households which did not. No association was observed for boys. The results suggest that household ownership of a washing machine does generally not improve school attendance among girls, except possibly in specific contexts.

青少年工作过度可能会影响教育发展。在没有家用电器的情况下,家务劳动每周可能要花费 50 多个小时,如果有婴儿在身边,还要多花 30 个小时。学龄女童经常需要洗衣服,如果没有洗衣机,洗衣服既费时又不灵活。我们确定了 2000 年至 2021 年间 19 个中等收入国家 10-19 岁青少年中洗衣机拥有率与入学率之间的关系(N=1,622,514)。我们控制了社会经济和人口特征、所有邻里层面的因素,并研究了性别、年龄、家庭财富和时期的差异。在大多数国家,洗衣机拥有率与入学率之间没有关系:但是,在土耳其,女孩与洗衣机的拥有率有很大关系,而在埃及和阿尔巴尼亚,女孩与洗衣机的拥有率则有小到中等的关系。例如,在土耳其,与没有洗衣机的家庭相比,生活在有洗衣机家庭的女孩的入学率要高出 28%(95% CI 19-37)。男孩的入学率与此没有关联。结果表明,拥有洗衣机的家庭一般不会提高女孩的入学率,除非在特定情况下。
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引用次数: 0
A false divide? Providing information about inequality aligns preferences for redistribution between right- and left-wing voters 虚假的鸿沟?提供有关不平等的信息会使右翼和左翼选民的再分配偏好趋于一致
Pub Date : 2024-01-25 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-023-09609-2
Christopher Hoy, Russell Toth, Nurina Merdikawati

Are differences in preferences for redistribution between right- and left-wing voters amplified because of misperceptions of inequality? To address this question, we conduct three nationally representative, randomized survey experiments with 7020 Australians, in which respondents are informed about either the level of national inequality and economic mobility, their position in the national income distribution, or given no information. We show that correcting misperceptions of inequality reduces the gap in support for redistribution between right-wing and left-wing voters by between 21 to 37 percent. This is predominantly due to right-wing voters, who held more inaccurate priors, increasing their support for redistribution.

右翼和左翼选民在再分配偏好上的差异是否会因为对不平等的误解而扩大?为了解决这个问题,我们对 7020 名澳大利亚人进行了三次具有全国代表性的随机调查实验,在实验中,受访者要么被告知全国不平等程度和经济流动性,要么被告知他们在全国收入分配中的位置,要么不提供任何信息。我们的研究表明,纠正对不平等的错误认识可将右翼和左翼选民之间支持再分配的差距缩小 21% 至 37%。这主要是由于右翼选民持有更多不准确的先验,从而增加了他们对再分配的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial earnings inequality 空间收入不平等
Pub Date : 2024-01-25 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-023-09616-3
Christian Schluter, Mark Trede

Earnings inequality in Germany has increased dramatically. Measuring inequality locally at the level of cities annually since 1985, we find that behind this development is the rapidly worsening inequality in the largest cities, driven by increasing earnings polarisation. In the cross-section, local earnings inequality rises substantially in city size, and this city-size inequality penalty has increased steadily since 1985, reaching an elasticity of .2 in 2010. Inequality decompositions reveal that overall earnings inequality is almost fully explained by the within-locations component, which in turn is driven by the largest cities. The worsening inequality in the largest cities is amplified by their greater population weight. Examining the local earnings distributions directly reveals that this is due to increasing earnings polarisation that is strongest in the largest places. Both upper and lower distributional tails become heavier over time, and are the heaviest in the largest cities. We establish these results using a large and spatially representative administrative data set, and address the top-coding problem in these data using a parametric distribution approach that outperforms standard imputations.

德国的收入不平等现象急剧加剧。自 1985 年以来,我们每年都会在城市层面对当地的不平等现象进行测量,结果发现,在收入两极分化加剧的推动下,最大城市的不平等现象正在迅速恶化。在横截面上,地方收入不平等随着城市规模的扩大而大幅上升,而且这种城市规模不平等惩罚自 1985 年以来一直在稳步上升,到 2010 年达到了 0.2 的弹性。不平等分解显示,总体收入不平等几乎完全由地区内部分解释,而地区内部分又是由最大城市驱动的。由于人口比重较大,大城市的不平等加剧。对当地收入分布的直接研究表明,这是由于收入两极分化加剧所致,而这种两极分化在最大城市最为明显。随着时间的推移,分布的上端和下端都变得更加严重,而最大城市的情况最为严重。我们利用具有空间代表性的大型行政数据集得出了这些结果,并利用优于标准估算的参数分布方法解决了这些数据中的顶层编码问题。
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引用次数: 0
Differential Exposure to Climate Change? Evidence from the 2021 Floods in Germany 受气候变化影响的程度不同?来自 2021 年德国洪灾的证据
Pub Date : 2024-01-11 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-023-09605-6
Moritz Odersky, Max Löffler

We analyze the exposure of different income groups to the 2021 floods in Germany, which serve as an exemplary case of natural disasters intensified by anthropogenic climate change. To this end, we link official geo-coded satellite data on flood-affected buildings to neighborhood-level information on socio-economic status. We then document the empirical relationship between flood damages and household income. We limit comparisons to the vicinity of affected rivers and absorb a rich set of regional fixed effects to assess the differential exposure at the local level. Average household income is around 1,500 euros or three percent lower in flood-affected neighborhoods than in non-affected neighborhoods nearby. Average flood exposure is more than three times as high in the bottom sixty than in the upper forty percent of neighborhoods in terms of average household income. Our study is the first to document this regressive exposure along the income distribution based on actual flood damage data in Europe.

我们分析了不同收入群体在德国 2021 年洪灾中的受灾情况,这次洪灾是人为气候变化导致自然灾害加剧的典型案例。为此,我们将受洪水影响建筑物的官方地理编码卫星数据与邻里层面的社会经济状况信息联系起来。然后,我们记录了洪灾损失与家庭收入之间的经验关系。我们将比较范围限制在受灾河流附近,并吸收了丰富的地区固定效应,以评估地方层面的不同受灾情况。与附近未受洪灾影响的社区相比,受洪灾影响的社区的平均家庭收入约低 1,500 欧元或 3%。就平均家庭收入而言,排名后 60%的社区的平均洪灾风险是排名前 40%的社区的三倍多。我们的研究首次根据欧洲的实际洪灾损失数据记录了这种收入分布上的倒退风险。
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引用次数: 0
Do economic globalization and the level of education impede poverty levels? A non-linear ARDL approach 经济全球化和教育水平是否会阻碍贫困水平的提高?非线性 ARDL 方法
Pub Date : 2024-01-02 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-023-09608-3
Shreya Pal
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引用次数: 0
Inequality of opportunity in access to and consumption of modern energy in Togo: A parametric approach 多哥在获取和消费现代能源方面的机会不平等:参数法
Pub Date : 2023-12-14 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-023-09606-5
Tchablemane Yenlide, Mawussé Komlagan Nézan Okey

The transformation towards cleaner energy consumption in Togo is progressing at a slow pace due to a combination of unfavourable socioeconomic, demographic, and spatial factors that favour traditional fuel use over clean and efficient energy. This study tries to quantify the inequality in modern energy access by applying the inequality of opportunity framework. We use a parametric approach to the 2015 Togolese Living Standard Survey; our results show that, on average, 40.76% of inequalities in household modern energy access and consumption in Togo are due to unequal circumstances beyond their control. A Shapley-value decomposition shows that inequalities of opportunity are greater for older persons and women than for youths and men, respectively. Moreover, these inequalities are more pronounced in rural areas and poor regions, especially the Savanna and Kara regions. Consequently, policies aimed at reducing inequality of opportunity in modern energy access and consumption in Togo should emphasise demographic factors, such as gender, age composition, and geographic location of households.

多哥向清洁能源消费的转型进展缓慢,原因是不利的社会经济、人口和空间因素结合在一起,更倾向于传统燃料的使用,而不是清洁和高效的能源。本研究试图运用机会不平等框架来量化现代能源获取中的不平等。我们使用参数方法进行2015年多哥人生活水平调查;我们的研究结果表明,平均而言,多哥家庭现代能源获取和消费中的40.76%的不平等是由于他们无法控制的不平等情况。shapley值分解显示,老年人和女性的机会不平等程度分别大于年轻人和男性。此外,这些不平等现象在农村地区和贫困地区更为明显,特别是在稀树草原和卡拉地区。因此,旨在减少多哥现代能源获取和消费机会不平等的政策应强调人口因素,如性别、年龄构成和家庭的地理位置。
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引用次数: 0
Life may be unfair, but do democracies make it any less burdensome? 生活可能是不公平的,但民主政体会减轻生活的负担吗?
Pub Date : 2023-12-13 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-023-09607-4
Ọláyínká Oyèkọ́lá

Using a large panel of countries, this paper studies whether, or not, democracies can disproportionately produce better economic outcomes for the poor than non-democracies. To deal with the endogeneity of democracy and inequality, a regional democratisation wave is used to isolate the exogenous variation in country-level democracy. Our main finding is that the exogenous component of democracy significantly and robustly decreased inequality in the long run, after controlling for key inequality determinants. We identify that the two potential mechanisms through which democracy affects inequality are structural transformation and middle-class bias channels. However, we find that this negative democracy-inequality link is reversed in the short run.

本文通过对大量国家的调查,研究了民主国家是否能比非民主国家不成比例地为穷人带来更好的经济成果。为了解决民主和不平等的内生性问题,我们利用区域民主化浪潮来隔离国家层面民主的外生变异。我们的主要发现是,在控制了关键的不平等决定因素之后,从长远来看,民主的外生成分显著而有力地减少了不平等。我们发现民主影响不平等的两种潜在机制是结构转型和中产阶级偏见渠道。然而,我们发现这种消极的民主-不平等联系在短期内被逆转。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
The Journal of Economic Inequality
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