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On short-time behavior of implied volatility in a market model with indexes 论指数市场模型中隐含波动率的短期行为
Pub Date : 2024-02-26 DOI: arxiv-2402.16509
Huy N. Chau, Duy Nguyen, Thai Nguyen
This paper investigates short-term behaviors of implied volatility ofderivatives written on indexes in equity markets when the index processes areconstructed by using a ranking procedure. Even in simple market settings wherestock prices follow geometric Brownian motion dynamics, the ranking mechanismcan produce the observed term structure of at-the-money (ATM) impliedvolatility skew for equity indexes. Our proposed models showcase the ability toreconcile two seemingly contradictory features found in empirical data fromequity markets: the long memory of volatilities and the power law of ATM skews.Furthermore, the models allow for the capture of a novel phenomenon termed thequasi-blow-up phenomenon.
本文研究了股票市场中以指数为标的的衍生品的隐含波动率的短期行为。即使在股票价格遵循几何布朗运动动力学的简单市场环境中,排序机制也能产生观察到的股票指数价内(ATM)隐含波动率偏斜的期限结构。我们提出的模型展示了重新协调股票市场经验数据中两个看似矛盾的特征的能力:波动率的长记忆和 ATM 偏度的幂律。
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引用次数: 0
Alternative models for FX: pricing double barrier options in regime-switching Lévy models with memory 外汇的替代模型:在有记忆的制度转换莱维模型中为双障碍期权定价
Pub Date : 2024-02-26 DOI: arxiv-2402.16724
Svetlana Boyarchenko, Sergei Levendorskiĭ
This paper is a supplement to our recent paper ``Alternative models for FX,arbitrage opportunities and efficient pricing of double barrier options inL'evy models". We introduce the class of regime-switching L'evy models withmemory, which take into account the evolution of the stochastic parameters inthe past. This generalization of the class of L'evy models modulated by Markovchains is similar in spirit to rough volatility models. It is flexible andsuitable for application of the machine-learning tools. We formulate themodification of the numerical method in ``Alternative models for FX, arbitrageopportunities and efficient pricing of double barrier options in L'evymodels", which has the same number of the main time-consuming blocks as themethod for Markovian regime-switching models.
本文是对我们最近的论文 "外汇的替代模型、套利机会和 L'evy 模型中双障碍期权的有效定价 "的补充。我们介绍了一类有记忆的制度转换 L'evy 模型,它考虑了随机参数在过去的演变。这一类由马尔可夫链调制的 L'evy 模型的一般化在精神上类似于粗糙波动率模型。它非常灵活,适合应用机器学习工具。我们在 "外汇的替代模型、套利机会和 L'evymodels 中双障碍期权的有效定价 "中对数值方法进行了改进,其主要耗时块的数量与马尔可夫制度转换模型的方法相同。
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引用次数: 0
Pricing of geometric Asian options in the Volterra-Heston model Volterra-Heston 模型中几何亚洲期权的定价
Pub Date : 2024-02-24 DOI: arxiv-2402.15828
Florian Aichinger, Sascha Desmettre
Geometric Asian options are a type of options where the payoff depends on thegeometric mean of the underlying asset over a certain period of time. Thispaper is concerned with the pricing of such options for the class ofVolterra-Heston models, covering the rough Heston model. We are able to derivesemi-closed formulas for the prices of geometric Asian options with fixed andfloating strikes for this class of stochastic volatility models. These formulasrequire the explicit calculation of the conditional joint Fourier transform ofthe logarithm of the stock price and the logarithm of the geometric mean of thestock price over time. Linking our problem to the theory of affine Volterraprocesses, we find a representation of this Fourier transform as a suitablyconstructed stochastic exponential, which depends on the solution of aRiccati-Volterra equation. Finally we provide a numerical study for our resultsin the rough Heston model.
几何亚洲期权是一种收益取决于一定时期内标的资产几何平均数的期权。本文关注的是这类 Volterra-Heston 模型期权的定价问题,包括粗略的 Heston 模型。我们能够推导出这类随机波动率模型的固定和浮动罢工的几何亚洲期权价格的封闭公式。这些公式要求明确计算股价对数和股价几何平均数对数的条件联合傅里叶变换。将我们的问题与仿射 Volterraprocesses 理论联系起来,我们找到了这种傅立叶变换的表示方法,即一个适当构造的随机指数,它取决于里卡提-沃尔特拉方程的解。最后,我们对粗糙海斯顿模型中的结果进行了数值研究。
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引用次数: 0
Short-maturity asymptotics for option prices with interest rates effects 具有利率效应的期权价格的短期到期渐近线
Pub Date : 2024-02-21 DOI: arxiv-2402.14161
Dan Pirjol, Lingjiong Zhu
We derive the short-maturity asymptotics for option prices in the localvolatility model in a new short-maturity limit $Tto 0$ at fixed $rho = (r-q)T$, where $r$ is the interest rate and $q$ is the dividend yield. In cases ofpractical relevance $rho$ is small, however our result holds for any fixed$rho$. The result is a generalization of the Berestycki-Busca-Florent formulafor the short-maturity asymptotics of the implied volatility which includesinterest rates and dividend yield effects of $O(((r-q) T)^n)$ to all orders in$n$. We obtain analytical results for the ATM volatility and skew in thisasymptotic limit. Explicit results are derived for the CEV model. Theasymptotic result is tested numerically against exact evaluation in thesquare-root model model $sigma(S)=sigma/sqrt{S}$, which demonstrates thatthe new asymptotic result is in very good agreement with exact evaluation in awide range of model parameters relevant for practical applications.
我们推导了本地波动率模型中期权价格在固定的 $rho = (r-q)T$ 时新的短期期限极限 $Tto 0$ 的短期期限渐近线,其中 $r$ 是利率,$q$ 是股息率。在实际情况中,$rho$很小,但我们的结果对任何固定的$rho$都成立。该结果是贝里斯基-布斯卡-弗洛伦特公式对隐含波动率短期到期渐近公式的概括,它包括利率和股息率对$O(((r-q) T)^n)$到$n$的所有阶数的影响。我们得到了 ATM 波动率和倾斜度在这一渐近极限中的分析结果。我们还得出了 CEV 模型的显式结果。在方根模型模型$sigma(S)=sigma/sqrt{S}$中,对渐近结果与精确评估进行了数值检验,结果表明,在与实际应用相关的广泛模型参数中,新的渐近结果与精确评估非常一致。
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引用次数: 0
Denoised Monte Carlo for option pricing and Greeks estimation 用于期权定价和希腊字母估算的去噪蒙特卡洛算法
Pub Date : 2024-02-19 DOI: arxiv-2402.12528
Andrzej Daniluk, Evgeny Lakshtanov, Rafal Muchorski
We present a novel technique of Monte Carlo error reduction that finds directapplication in option pricing and Greeks estimation. The method is applicableto any LSV modelling framework and concerns a broad class of payoffs, includingpath-dependent and multi-asset cases. Most importantly, it allows to reduce theMonte Carlo error even by an order of magnitude, which is shown in severalnumerical examples.
我们提出了一种新颖的蒙特卡罗误差减小技术,可直接应用于期权定价和希腊估计。该方法适用于任何 LSV 建模框架,涉及广泛的报酬类别,包括路径依赖和多资产情况。最重要的是,该方法可以将蒙特卡洛误差减少一个数量级,这一点已在几个数字实例中得到证明。
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引用次数: 0
Exact simulation scheme for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck driven stochastic volatility model with the Karhunen-Loève expansions 采用卡胡宁-洛埃夫扩展的奥恩斯坦-乌伦贝克驱动随机波动模型的精确模拟方案
Pub Date : 2024-02-14 DOI: arxiv-2402.09243
Jaehyuk Choi
This study proposes a new exact simulation scheme of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeckdriven stochastic volatility model. With the Karhunen-Lo`eve expansions, thestochastic volatility path following the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process isexpressed as a sine series, and the time integrals of volatility and varianceare analytically derived as the sums of independent normal random variates. Thenew method is several hundred times faster than Li and Wu [Eur. J. Oper. Res.,2019, 275(2), 768-779] that relies on computationally expensive numericaltransform inversion. The simulation algorithm is further improved with theconditional Monte-Carlo method and the martingale-preserving control variate onthe spot price.
本研究提出了一种新的奥恩斯坦-乌伦贝克驱动随机波动率模型精确模拟方案。通过卡胡宁-洛夫展开,Ornstein-Uhlenbeck 过程的随机波动率路径被表达为正弦序列,波动率和方差的时间积分被解析为独立正态随机变量之和。新方法比李和吴[Eur. J. Oper. Res., 2019, 275(2), 768-779]的方法快几百倍,后者依赖于计算昂贵的数值变换反演。利用条件蒙特卡洛法和现货价格的马氏保值控制变量,进一步改进了模拟算法。
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引用次数: 0
Quantum Amplitude Loading for Rainbow Options Pricing 彩虹期权定价的量子振幅加载
Pub Date : 2024-02-08 DOI: arxiv-2402.05574
Francesca Cibrario, Or Samimi, Giacomo Ranieri, Emanuele Dri, Mattia Ippoliti, Ron Cohen, Christian Mattia, Bartolomeo Montrucchio, Amir Naveh, Davide Corbelletto
This work introduces a novel approach to price rainbow options, a type ofpath-independent multi-asset derivatives, with quantum computers. Leveragingthe Iterative Quantum Amplitude Estimation method, we present an end-to-endquantum circuit implementation, emphasizing efficiency by delaying thetransition to price space. Moreover, we analyze two different amplitude loadingtechniques for handling exponential functions. Experiments on the IBM QASMsimulator validate our quantum pricing model, contributing to the evolvingfield of quantum finance.
这项研究介绍了一种利用量子计算机为彩虹期权(一种与路径无关的多资产衍生品)定价的新方法。利用迭代量子振幅估计方法,我们提出了一种端到端的量子电路实现方法,通过延迟向价格空间的转换来强调效率。此外,我们还分析了处理指数函数的两种不同振幅加载技术。在 IBM QASMsimulator 上的实验验证了我们的量子定价模型,为量子金融领域的发展做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring the performance of investments in information security startups: An empirical analysis by cybersecurity sectors using Crunchbase data 衡量信息安全初创企业的投资绩效:利用 Crunchbase 数据按网络安全行业进行实证分析
Pub Date : 2024-02-07 DOI: arxiv-2402.04765
Loïc Maréchal, Alain Mermoud, Dimitri Percia David, Mathias Humbert
Early-stage firms play a significant role in driving innovation and creatingnew products and services, especially for cybersecurity. Therefore, evaluatingtheir performance is crucial for investors and policymakers. This work presentsa financial evaluation of early-stage firms' performance in 19 cybersecuritysectors using a private-equity dataset from 2010 to 2022 retrieved fromCrunchbase. We observe firms, their primary and secondary activities, fundingrounds, and pre and post-money valuations. We compare cybersecurity sectorsregarding the amount raised over funding rounds and post-money valuations whileinferring missing observations. We observe significant investor interestvariations across categories, periods, and locations. In particular, we findthe average capital raised (valuations) to range from USD 7.24 mln (USD 32.39mln) for spam filtering to USD 45.46 mln (USD 447.22 mln) for the private cloudsector. Next, we assume a log process for returns computed from post-moneyvaluations and estimate the expected returns, systematic and specific risks,and risk-adjusted returns of investments in early-stage firms belonging tocybersecurity sectors. Again, we observe substantial performance variationswith annualized expected returns ranging from 9.72% for privacy to 177.27%for the blockchain sector. Finally, we show that overall, the cybersecurityindustry performance is on par with previous results found in private equity.Our results shed light on the performance of cybersecurity investments and,thus, on investors' expectations about cybersecurity.
早期企业在推动创新、创造新产品和服务方面发挥着重要作用,尤其是在网络安全方面。因此,评估它们的表现对投资者和政策制定者来说至关重要。本研究利用从 Crunchbase 检索到的 2010 年至 2022 年私募股权数据集,对 19 个网络安全行业的早期公司业绩进行了财务评估。我们观察了企业、其主要和次要活动、资金来源以及投前和投后估值。我们比较了网络安全行业各轮融资的金额和融资后的估值,同时忽略了缺失的观察数据。我们观察到不同类别、不同时期和不同地区的投资者兴趣存在显著差异。特别是,我们发现平均融资额(估值)从垃圾邮件过滤行业的 724 万美元(3239 万美元)到私有云行业的 4546 万美元(44722 万美元)不等。接下来,我们假设根据投后估值计算的回报率为对数过程,并估算了对网络安全行业早期公司投资的预期回报率、系统风险和特定风险以及风险调整后回报率。我们再次观察到巨大的业绩差异,年化预期回报率从隐私行业的 9.72% 到区块链行业的 177.27%。最后,我们表明,总体而言,网络安全行业的表现与之前在私募股权领域发现的结果相当。我们的结果揭示了网络安全投资的表现,从而也揭示了投资者对网络安全的预期。
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引用次数: 0
Signature volatility models: pricing and hedging with Fourier 特征波动模型:用傅立叶定价和对冲
Pub Date : 2024-02-02 DOI: arxiv-2402.01820
Eduardo Abi Jaber, Louis-Amand Gérard
We consider a stochastic volatility model where the dynamics of thevolatility are given by a possibly infinite linear combination of the elementsof the time extended signature of a Brownian motion. First, we show that themodel is remarkably universal, as it includes, but is not limited to, thecelebrated Stein-Stein, Bergomi, and Heston models, together with somepath-dependent variants. Second, we derive the joint characteristic functionalof the log-price and integrated variance provided that some infinitedimensional extended tensor algebra valued Riccati equation admits a solution.This allows us to price and (quadratically) hedge certain European andpath-dependent options using Fourier inversion techniques. We highlight theefficiency and accuracy of these Fourier techniques in a comprehensivenumerical study.
我们考虑了一个随机波动率模型,在这个模型中,波动率的动态是由布朗运动的时间扩展特征元素的可能无限线性组合给出的。首先,我们证明该模型具有显著的普遍性,因为它包括但不限于著名的 Stein-Stein、Bergomi 和 Heston 模型,以及一些依赖路径的变体。其次,我们推导出了对数价格和综合方差的联合特征函数,条件是某些无穷维扩展张量代数值里卡提方程允许有一个解。这使我们能够利用傅立叶反演技术对某些欧式期权和路径依赖期权进行定价和(二次)对冲。通过全面的数值研究,我们强调了这些傅立叶技术的效率和准确性。
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引用次数: 0
The Carbon Premium: Correlation or Causation? Evidence from S&P 500 Companies 碳溢价:相关性还是因果关系?来自标准普尔 500 指数公司的证据
Pub Date : 2024-01-29 DOI: arxiv-2401.16455
Namasi G. Sankar, Suryadeepto Nag, Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty, Sankarshan Basu
In the context of whether investors are aware of carbon-related risks, it isoften hypothesized that there may be a carbon premium in the value of stocks offirms, conferring an abnormal excess value to firms' shares as a form ofcompensation to investors for their transition risk exposure through theownership of carbon instensive stocks. However, there is little consensus inthe literature regarding the existence of such a premium. Moreover few studieshave examined whether the correlation that is often observed is actuallycausal. The pertinent question is whether more polluting firms give higherreturns or do firms with high returns have less incentive to decarbonize? Inthis study, we investigate whether firms' emissions is causally linked to thepresence of a carbon premium in a panel of 141 firms listed in the S&P500index using fixed-effects analysis, with propensity score weighting to controlfor selection bias in which firms increase their emissions. We find that thereis a statistically significant positive carbon premium associated with Scope 1emissions, while there is no significant premium associated with Scope 2emissions, implying that risks associated with direct emissions by the firm arepriced, while bought emissions are not.
在投资者是否意识到碳相关风险的问题上,人们经常假设公司股票的价值中可能存在碳溢价,使公司股票具有异常的超额价值,作为对投资者通过持有碳密集型股票而面临转型风险的一种补偿。然而,关于这种溢价的存在,文献中几乎没有共识。此外,也很少有研究探讨经常观察到的相关性是否真的是因果关系。与此相关的问题是,是污染更严重的公司带来了更高的回报,还是高回报的公司去碳化的动力更弱?在本研究中,我们使用固定效应分析法,对 141 家在 S&P500 指数中上市的公司进行了调查,以了解公司的排放量是否与碳溢价的存在存在因果关系,并使用倾向得分加权法来控制公司增加排放量的选择偏差。我们发现,与范畴 1 排放相关的碳溢价在统计上是显著的正溢价,而与范畴 2 排放相关的碳溢价并不显著,这意味着与公司直接排放相关的风险被定价了,而购买排放则没有。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
arXiv - QuantFin - Pricing of Securities
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