Journal of Mathematical Biology最新文献

To describe the transmission dynamics of maize streak virus infection, in the paper, we first formulate a stochastic maize streak virus infection model, in which the stochastic fluctuations are depicted by a logarithmic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This approach is reasonable to simulate the random impacts of main parameters both from the biological significance and the mathematical perspective. Then we investigate the detailed dynamics of the stochastic system, including the existence and uniqueness of the global solution, the existence of a stationary distribution, the exponential extinction of the infected maize and infected leafhopper vector. Especially, by solving the five-dimensional algebraic equations corresponding to the stochastic system, we obtain the specific expression of the probability density function near the quasi-endemic equilibrium of the stochastic system, which provides valuable insights into the stationary distribution. Finally, the model is discretized using the Milstein higher-order numerical method to illustrate our theoretical results numerically. Our findings provide a groundwork for better methods of preventing the spread of this type of virus.

The paper presents an approach for overcoming modeling problems of typical life science applications with partly unknown mechanisms and lacking quantitative data: A model family of reaction-diffusion equations is built up on a mesoscopic scale and uses classes of feasible functions for reaction and taxis terms. The classes are found by translating biological knowledge into mathematical conditions and the analysis of the models further constrains the classes. Numerical simulations allow comparing single models out of the model family with available qualitative information on the solutions from observations. The method provides insight into a hierarchical order of the mechanisms. The method is applied to the clinics for liver inflammation such as metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis or viral hepatitis where reasons for the chronification of disease are still unclear and time- and space-dependent data is unavailable.

This paper aims to establish the existence of traveling wave solutions connecting different equilibria for a spatial eco-epidemiological predator-prey system in advective environments. After applying the traveling wave coordinates, these solutions correspond to heteroclinic orbits in phase space. We investigate the existence of the traveling wave solution connecting from a boundary equilibrium to a co-existence equilibrium by using a shooting method. Different from the techniques introduced by Huang, we directly prove the convergence of the solution to a co-existence equilibrium by constructing a special bounded set. Furthermore, the Lyapunov-type function we constructed does not need the condition of bounded below. Our approach provides a different way to study the existence of traveling wave solutions about the co-existence equilibrium. The existence of traveling wave solutions between co-existence equilibria are proved by utilizing the qualitative theory and the geometric singular perturbation theory. Some other open questions of interest are also discussed in the paper.

Cancer, a disease intimately linked to cellular mutations, is commonly believed to exhibit a positive association with the cell count and lifespan of a species. Despite this assumption, the observed uniformity in cancer rates across species, referred to as the Peto's paradox, presents a conundrum. Recognizing that tumour progression is not solely dependent on cancer cells but involves intricate interactions among various cell types, this study employed a Lotka-Volterra (LV) ordinary differential equation model to analyze the evolution of cancerous cells and the cancer incidence in an immune environment. As a result, this study uncovered the sufficient conditions underlying the absence of correlation in Peto's paradox and provide insights into the reasons for the equitable distribution of cancer incidence across diverse species by applying nondimensionalization and drawing an analogy between the characteristic time interval for the variation of cell populations in the ODE model and that of cell cycles of a species.

Models of biochemical networks are often large intractable sets of differential equations. To make sense of the complexity, relationships between genes/proteins are presented as connected graphs, the edges of which are drawn to indicate activation or inhibition relationships. These diagrams are useful for drawing qualitative conclusions in many cases by the identifying recurring of topological motifs, for example positive and negative feedback loops. These topological features are usually classified under the presumption that activation and inhibition are inverse relationships. For example, inhibition of an inhibitor is often classified the same as activation of an activator within a motif classification, effectively treating them as equivalent. Whilst in many contexts this may not lead to catastrophic errors, drawing conclusions about the behavior of motifs, pathways or networks from these broad classes of topological feature without adequate mathematical descriptions can lead to obverse outcomes. We investigate the extent to which a biochemical pathway/network will behave quantitatively dissimilar to pathway/ networks with similar typologies formed by swapping inhibitors as the inverse of activators. The purpose of the study is to determine under what circumstances rudimentary qualitative assessment of network structure can provide reliable conclusions as to the quantitative behaviour of the network. Whilst there are others, We focus on two main mathematical qualities which may cause a divergence in the behaviour of two pathways/networks which would otherwise be classified as similar; (i) a modelling feature we label 'bias' and (ii) the precise positioning of activators and inhibitors within simple pathways/motifs.

The Ebola virus disease (EVD) has been endemic since 1976, and the case fatality rate is extremely high. EVD is spread by infected animals, symptomatic individuals, dead bodies, and contaminated environment. In this paper, we formulate an EVD model with four transmission modes and a time delay describing the incubation period. Through dynamical analysis, we verify the importance of blocking the infection source of infected animals. We get the basic reproduction number without considering the infection source of infected animals. And, it is proven that the model has a globally attractive disease-free equilibrium when the basic reproduction number is less than unity; the disease eventually becomes endemic when the basic reproduction number is greater than unity. Taking the EVD epidemic in Sierra Leone in 2014-2016 as an example, we complete the data fitting by combining the effect of the media to obtain the unknown parameters, the basic reproduction number and its time-varying reproduction number. It is shown by parameter sensitivity analysis that the contact rate and the removal rate of infected group have the greatest influence on the prevalence of the disease. And, the disease-controlling thresholds of these two parameters are obtained. In addition, according to the existing vaccination strategy, only the inoculation ratio in high-risk areas is greater than 0.4, the effective reproduction number can be less than unity. And, the earlier the vaccination time, the greater the inoculation ratio, and the faster the disease can be controlled.

The assembly and persistence of ecological communities can be understood as the result of the interaction and migration of species. Here we study a single community subject to migration from a species pool in which inter-specific interactions are organised according to a bipartite network. Considering the dynamics of species abundances to be governed by generalised Lotka-Volterra equations, we extend work on unipartite networks to we derive exact results for the phase diagram of this model. Focusing on antagonistic interactions, we describe factors that influence the persistence of the two guilds, locate transitions to multiple-attractor and unbounded phases, as well as identifying a region of parameter space in which consumers are essentially absent in the local community.

The embedding problem of Markov matrices in Markov semigroups is a classic problem that regained a lot of impetus and activities through recent needs in phylogeny and population genetics. Here, we give an account for dimensions $d⩽4$ , including a complete and simplified treatment of the case $d=3$ , and derive the results in a systematic fashion, with an eye on the potential applications. Further, we reconsider the setup of the corresponding problem for time-inhomogeneous Markov chains, which is needed for real-world applications because transition rates need not be constant over time. Additional cases of this more general embedding occur for any $d⩾3$ . We review the known case of $d=3$ and describe the setting for future work on $d=4$ .

Group defense in prey and hunting cooperation in predators are two important ecological phenomena and can occur concurrently. In this article, we consider cooperative hunting in generalist predators and group defense in prey under a mathematical framework to comprehend the enormous diversity the model could capture. To do so, we consider a modified Holling-Tanner model where we implement Holling type IV functional response to characterize grazing pattern of predators where prey species exhibit group defense. Additionally, we allow a modification in the attack rate of predators to quantify the hunting cooperation among them. The model admits three boundary equilibria and up to three coexistence equilibrium points. The geometry of the nontrivial prey and predator nullclines and thus the number of coexistence equilibria primarily depends on a specific threshold of the availability of alternative food for predators. We use linear stability analysis to determine the types of hyperbolic equilibrium points and characterize the non-hyperbolic equilibrium points through normal form and center manifold theory. Change in the model parameters leading to the occurrences of a series of local bifurcations from non-hyperbolic equilibrium points, namely, transcritical, saddle-node, Hopf, cusp and Bogdanov-Takens bifurcation; there are also occurrences of global bifurcations such as homoclinic bifurcation and saddle-node bifurcation of limit cycles. We observe two interesting closed 'bubble' form induced by global bifurcations due to change in the strength of hunting cooperation and the availability of alternative food for predators. A three dimensional bifurcation diagram, concerning the original system parameters, captures how the alternation in model formulation induces gradual changes in the bifurcation scenarios. Our model highlights the stabilizing effects of group or gregarious behaviour in both prey and predator, hence supporting the predator-herbivore regulation hypothesis. Additionally, our model highlights the occurrence of "saltatory equilibria" in ecological systems and capture the dynamics observed for lion-herbivore interactions.

For some communicable endemic diseases (e.g., influenza, COVID-19), vaccination is an effective means of preventing the spread of infection and reducing mortality, but must be augmented over time with vaccine booster doses. We consider the problem of optimally allocating a limited supply of vaccines over time between different subgroups of a population and between initial versus booster vaccine doses, allowing for multiple booster doses. We first consider an SIS model with interacting population groups and four different objectives: those of minimizing cumulative infections, deaths, life years lost, or quality-adjusted life years lost due to death. We solve the problem sequentially: for each time period, we approximate the system dynamics using Taylor series expansions, and reduce the problem to a piecewise linear convex optimization problem for which we derive intuitive closed-form solutions. We then extend the analysis to the case of an SEIS model. In both cases vaccines are allocated to groups based on their priority order until the vaccine supply is exhausted. Numerical simulations show that our analytical solutions achieve results that are close to optimal with objective function values significantly better than would be obtained using simple allocation rules such as allocation proportional to population group size. In addition to being accurate and interpretable, the solutions are easy to implement in practice. Interpretable models are particularly important in public health decision making.