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Lack of weight gain and increased mortality during and after treatment among adults with drug-resistant tuberculosis in Georgia, 2009-2020 2009-2020 年格鲁吉亚耐药性结核病成人患者在治疗期间和治疗后体重不增和死亡率上升的情况
Pub Date : 2024-08-06 DOI: 10.1101/2024.08.05.24311499
Tsira Chakhaia, Henry Blumberg, Russell Kempker, Ruiyan Luo, Nino Dzidzikashvili, Mamuka Chincharauli, Nestani Tukvadze, Zaza Avaliani, Christine Stauber, Matthew J Magee
Background: While low body mass index (BMI) is associated with poor tuberculosis (TB) treatment outcomes, the impact of weight gain during TB treatment is unclear. To address this knowledge gap, we assessed if lack of weight gain is associated with all-cause mortality during and after TB treatment.Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study among adults with newly diagnosed multi or extensively drug resistant (M/XDR) pulmonary TB in Georgia between 2009 and 2020. The exposure was a change in BMI during the first 3 to 6 months of TB treatment. All-cause mortality during and after TB treatment was assessed using the National Death Registry. We used competing-risk Cox proportional hazard models to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) between BMI change and all cause mortality.Results: Among 720 adult participants, 21% had low BMI (<18.5 kg/m2) at treatment initiation and 9% died either during (n=16) or after treatment (n=50). During the first 3-6 months of TB treatment, 17% lost weight and 14% had no weight change. Among 479 adults with normal baseline BMI (18.5 to 24.9 kg/m2), weight loss was associated with an increased risk of death during TB treatment (aHR=5.25; 95%CI: 1.31 to 21.10). Among 149 adults with a low baseline BMI, no change in BMI was associated with increased post-TB treatment mortality (aHR=4.99; 95%CI: 1.25 to 19.94).Conclusions: Weight loss during TB treatment (among those with normal baseline BMI) or no weight gain (among those with low baseline BMI) was associated with increased rates of all cause mortality. Our findings suggest that scaling up weight management interventions among those with M/XDR TB may be beneficial.
背景:虽然低体重指数(BMI)与结核病(TB)治疗效果不佳有关,但结核病治疗期间体重增加的影响尚不清楚。为了填补这一知识空白,我们评估了体重增加不足是否与结核病治疗期间和治疗后的全因死亡率有关:我们对 2009 年至 2020 年间格鲁吉亚新确诊的多重或广泛耐药(M/XDR)肺结核患者进行了一项回顾性队列研究。研究对象为结核病治疗头 3 到 6 个月期间体重指数的变化。结核病治疗期间和治疗后的全因死亡率通过国家死亡登记进行评估。我们使用竞争风险 Cox 比例危险模型来估计 BMI 变化与全因死亡率之间的调整危险比 (aHR):在 720 名成年参与者中,21% 的人在开始治疗时体重指数较低(18.5 kg/m2),9% 的人在治疗期间(16 人)或治疗后(50 人)死亡。在结核病治疗的前 3-6 个月,17% 的人体重下降,14% 的人体重没有变化。在基线体重指数正常(18.5 至 24.9 kg/m2)的 479 名成人中,体重减轻与结核病治疗期间死亡风险增加有关(aHR=5.25;95%CI:1.31 至 21.10)。在基线体重指数较低的 149 名成年人中,体重指数没有变化与结核病治疗后死亡率增加有关(aHR=4.99;95%CI:1.25 至 19.94):结论:结核病治疗期间体重减轻(基线体重指数正常者)或体重不增加(基线体重指数较低者)与全因死亡率增加有关。我们的研究结果表明,在 M/XDR 结核病患者中推广体重管理干预措施可能是有益的。
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引用次数: 0
Transitions in lung microbiota landscape associate with distinct patterns of pneumonia progression 肺部微生物群景观的转变与肺炎进展的不同模式有关
Pub Date : 2024-08-06 DOI: 10.1101/2024.08.02.24311426
Jack T. Sumner, Chiagozie I. Pickens, Stefanie Huttelmaier, Anahid A. Moghadam, Hiam Abdala-Valencia, NU SCRIPT Study Investigators, Alan R. Hauser, Patrick C. Seed, Richard G. Wunderink, Erica M. Hartmann
Pneumonia and other lower respiratory tract infections are the leading contributors to global mortality of any communicable disease. During normal pulmonary homeostasis, competing microbial immigration and elimination produce a transient microbiome with distinct microbial states. Disruption of underlying ecological forces, like aspiration rate and immune tone, are hypothesized to drive microbiome dysbiosis and pneumonia progression. However, the precise microbiome transitions that accompany clinical outcomes in severe pneumonia are unknown. Here, we leverage our unique systematic and serial bronchoscopic sampling to combine quantitative PCR and culture for bacterial biomass with 16S rRNA gene amplicon, shotgun metagenomic, and transcriptomic sequencing in patients with suspected pneumonia to distill microbial signatures of clinical outcome. These data support the presence of four distinct microbiota states--oral-like, skin-like, Staphylococcus-predominant, and mixed--each differentially associated with pneumonia subtype and responses to pneumonia therapy. Infection-specific dysbiosis, quantified relative to non-pneumonia patients, associates with bacterial biomass and elevated oral-associated microbiota. Time series analysis suggests that microbiome shifts from baseline are greater with successful pneumonia therapy, following distinct trajectories dependent on the pneumonia subtype. In summary, our results highlight the dynamic nature of the lung microbiome as it progresses through community assemblages that parallel patient prognosis. Application of a microbial ecology framework to study lower respiratory tract infections enables contextualization of the microbiome composition and gene content within clinical phenotypes. Further unveiling the ecological dynamics of the lung microbial ecosystem provides critical insights for future work toward improving pneumonia therapy.
肺炎和其他下呼吸道感染是导致全球死亡的主要传染病。在正常的肺稳态过程中,微生物的迁入和迁出会产生一个具有不同微生物状态的瞬时微生物群。据推测,吸入率和免疫调节等潜在生态力量的破坏会导致微生物组菌群失调和肺炎恶化。然而,伴随着重症肺炎临床结果的微生物群转变的确切情况尚不清楚。在这里,我们利用独特的系统性和序列性支气管镜取样技术,将细菌生物量的定量 PCR 和培养与 16S rRNA 基因扩增片段、散弹枪元基因组和转录组测序结合起来,对疑似肺炎患者的临床结果提取微生物特征。这些数据支持存在四种不同的微生物群状态--口腔样、皮肤样、葡萄球菌为主和混合--每种状态都与肺炎亚型和肺炎治疗反应有不同的关联。与非肺炎患者相比,感染特异性菌群失调与细菌生物量和口腔相关微生物群升高有关。时间序列分析表明,肺炎治疗成功后,微生物组与基线相比的变化更大,其变化轨迹与肺炎亚型有关。总之,我们的研究结果凸显了肺部微生物组的动态性质,它通过与患者预后平行的群落组合而发展。在研究下呼吸道感染时应用微生物生态学框架,可将微生物组的组成和基因含量与临床表型联系起来。进一步揭示肺部微生物生态系统的生态动态为今后改进肺炎治疗工作提供了重要启示。
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引用次数: 0
Rapid Viral Expansion Beyond the Amazon Basin: Increased Epidemic Activity of Oropouche Virus Across the Americas 病毒在亚马逊流域以外迅速扩展:奥罗普切病毒在美洲各地的流行活动加剧
Pub Date : 2024-08-06 DOI: 10.1101/2024.08.02.24311415
Felipe Campos de Melo Iani, Felicidade Mota Pereira, Elaine Cristina de Oliveira, Janete Tayna Nascimento Rodrigues, Mariza Hoffmann Machado, Vagner Fonseca, Talita Emile Ribeiro Adelino, Natalia Rocha Guimaraes, Luiz Marcelo Ribeiro Tome, Marcela Kelly Astete Gomez, Vanessa Brandao Nardy, Adriana Aparecida Ribeiro, Alexander Rosewell, Alvaro Gil A. Ferreira, Arabela Leal e Silva de Mello, Brenda Machado Moura Fernandes, Carlos F. Campelo de Albuquerque, Dejanira dos Santos Pereira, Eline Carvalho Pimentel, Fabio Guilherme Mesquita Lima, Fernanda Viana Moreira Silva, Glauco de Carvalho Pereira, Houriiyah Tegally, Julia Deffune Profeta Cidin Almeida, Keldenn Melo Farias Moreno, Klaucia Rodrigues Vasconcelos, Leandro Cavalcante Santos, Livia Cristina Machado Silva, Livia C. V. Frutuoso, Ludmila Oliveira Lamounier, Mariana Araujo Costa, Marilia Santini de Oliveira, Marlei Pickler Dediasi dos Anjos, Massimo Ciccozzi, Mauricio Teixeira Lima, Maira Alves Pereira, Marilia Lima Cruz Rocha, Paulo Eduardo de Souza da Silva, Peter Rabinowitz, Priscila Souza de Almeida, Richard Lessels, Ricardo T. Gazzinelli, Rivaldo Venancio Cunha, Sabrina Goncalves, Sara Candida Ferreira dos Santos, Senele Ana de Alcantara Belettini, Silvia Helena Sousa Pietra Pedroso, Sofia Isabel Rotulo Araujo, Stephanni Figueiredo da Silva, Julio Croda, Ethel Maciel, Wes Van Voorhis, Darren Martin, Edward C Holmes, Tulio de Oliveira, Jose Lourenco, Luiz Carlos Junior Alcantara, Marta Giovanetti
Summary: Oropouche virus (OROV), initially detected in Trinidad and Tobago in 1955, has been historically confined to the Amazon Basin. However, since late 2022, OROV has been reported in northern Brazil as well as urban centers in Bolivia, Colombia, Cuba, and Peru. Herein, we describe the doubling of publicly available full genomes by generating 133 new entries. We show how the virus evolved via genome component reassortment and how it rapidly spread across multiple states in Brazil, causing the largest outbreak ever recorded outside the Amazon basin including the first ever detected deaths. This work highlights the need for heightened epidemiological and genomic surveillance and the implementation of adequate measures in order to mitigate transmission and the impacts on the population. Background: Oropouche virus was first identified in 1955 in Trinidad and Tobago and later found in Brazil in 1960. Historically, it has been reported to have caused around 30 outbreaks, mostly within the Amazon Basin, where it circulates among forest animals, but also in urban areas where it is known to be transmitted by the midge Culicoides paraensis. Recently, Brazil has seen a surge in cases, with more than 7000 reported by mid-2024 alone.Methods: In a collaboration with Central Public Health Laboratories across Brazilian regions, we integrated epidemiological metadata with genomic analyses of recently sampled cases. This initiative resulted in the generation of 133 whole genome sequences from the three genomic segments (L, M, and S) of the virus, including the first genomes obtained from regions outside the Amazon and from the first ever recorded fatal cases.Findings: All of the 2024 genomes form a monophyletic group in the phylogenetic tree with sequences from the Amazon Basin sampled since 2022. Our analyses revealed a rapid north-to-south viral movement from the Amazon Basin into historically non-endemic regions. We identified 21 reassortment events, although it remains unclear if genomic evolution of the virus enabled the virus to adapt to local ecological conditions and evolve new phenotypes of public health importance.Interpretation: Both the recent rapid spatial expansion and the first reported fatalities associated with Oropouche (and other outcomes under investigation) underscore the importance of enhancing surveillance for this evolving pathogen across the Region. Without any obvious changes in the human population over the past 2 years, it is possible that viral adaptation, deforestation and recent climate change, either alone or in combination, have propelled Oropouche virus beyond the Amazon Basin.
摘要:奥罗波切病毒(OROV)最初于 1955 年在特立尼达和多巴哥发现,历来局限于亚马逊盆地。然而,自 2022 年末以来,巴西北部以及玻利维亚、哥伦比亚、古巴和秘鲁的城市中心都报告了奥罗普切病毒。在本文中,我们描述了通过生成 133 个新条目而使公开的全基因组增加一倍的情况。我们展示了该病毒是如何通过基因组成分重组进化的,以及它是如何在巴西多个州迅速传播的,造成了亚马逊流域以外有记录以来最大的一次疫情爆发,包括首次发现死亡病例。这项工作凸显了加强流行病学和基因组监测以及实施适当措施的必要性,以减轻传播和对人口的影响。背景:奥罗普切病毒于 1955 年首次在特立尼达和多巴哥被发现,随后于 1960 年在巴西被发现。据报道,该病毒已造成约 30 起疫情爆发,主要发生在亚马逊流域,在森林动物中传播,但也发生在城市地区,已知由蠓虫 Culicoides paraensis 传播。最近,巴西的病例激增,仅到 2024 年年中报告的病例就超过了 7000 例:我们与巴西各地区的中央公共卫生实验室合作,将流行病学元数据与最近采样病例的基因组分析相结合。这一举措产生了 133 个来自病毒三个基因组片段(L、M 和 S)的全基因组序列,包括首次从亚马逊以外地区获得的基因组和首次记录的死亡病例的基因组:所有 2024 个基因组在系统发生树中与 2022 年以来从亚马逊流域采样的序列形成一个单系群。我们的分析表明,病毒从北向南迅速从亚马逊盆地转移到历史上的非流行地区。我们发现了21个重配事件,但仍不清楚病毒的基因组进化是否使病毒能够适应当地的生态条件并进化出对公共卫生具有重要意义的新表型:最近的快速空间扩展和首次报告的与奥罗普切病毒相关的死亡病例(以及正在调查的其他结果)都强调了在整个地区加强对这种不断演变的病原体的监控的重要性。在过去的两年中,人类人口没有发生任何明显的变化,病毒的适应性、森林砍伐和最近的气候变化有可能单独或共同将奥罗普切病毒带出亚马逊盆地。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the Role of Red Blood Cell Distribution Width in Hospital Mortality Among Elderly and Non-Elderly COVID-19 Patients: A Prospective Study in a Brazilian University Hospital 评估红细胞分布宽度在 COVID-19 老年患者和非老年患者住院死亡率中的作用:巴西一所大学医院的前瞻性研究
Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1101/2024.08.05.24311491
Helena Duani, Maderson Alvares de Souza Cabral, Carla Jorge Machado, Thalyta Nogueira Fonseca, Milena S Marcolino, Vandack Alencar Nobre, Cecilia Gomez Ravetti, Paula Frizera Vassallo, Unai Tupinambas
This study investigated the role of red blood cell distribution width (RDW) as a risk factor for hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients at a public hospital in Minas Gerais, Brazil. The study included 161 patients over 16 years old hospitalized between May and October 2020, with 39 (24.2%) deaths. Key mortality risk factors identified were age over 70 years (RR=2.78; p<0.001), male sex (RR=2.28; p=0.005), cardiovascular disease (RR=1.8; p=0.044), and abnormal chest X-ray upon admission (RR=3.07; p=0.022). Although high RDW at admission did not significantly predict mortality (31.1% vs 21.7%; RR=1.43; p=0.413), it was linked to higher mortality in patients aged 70 and over (66.7% vs 33.3%; RR=2; p=0.029). High RDW during hospitalization was a strong mortality factor for the entire cohort (41.1% vs 10.2%; RR=4.03; p<0.001) and at any time during the stay (39.7% vs 9.6%; RR=4.14; p<0.001). The Cox model analysis showed that age >70 years (HR=4.8; p<0.001), white race (HR=3.2; p=0.018), need for invasive ventilation (HR=3.8; p=0.001), and abnormal chest X-ray (HR=3.5; p=0.044) were significant risk factors, but RDW was not associated with mortality.
本研究调查了红细胞分布宽度(RDW)作为巴西米纳斯吉拉斯州一家公立医院 COVID-19 患者住院死亡率风险因素的作用。研究纳入了 2020 年 5 月至 10 月期间住院的 161 名 16 岁以上患者,其中 39 人(24.2%)死亡。确定的主要死亡风险因素包括:70 岁以上(RR=2.78;p<0.001)、男性(RR=2.28;p=0.005)、心血管疾病(RR=1.8;p=0.044)和入院时胸部 X 光片异常(RR=3.07;p=0.022)。虽然入院时的高 RDW 并不能显著预测死亡率(31.1% vs 21.7%; RR=1.43; p=0.413),但它与 70 岁及以上患者的高死亡率有关(66.7% vs 33.3%; RR=2; p=0.029)。住院期间的高 RDW 是整个队列(41.1% vs 10.2%;RR=4.03;p<0.001)和住院期间任何时间(39.7% vs 9.6%;RR=4.14;p<0.001)的一个重要死亡因素。Cox 模型分析显示,年龄为 70 岁(HR=4.8;p<0.001)、白种人(HR=3.2;p=0.018)、需要有创通气(HR=3.8;p=0.001)和胸部 X 光片异常(HR=3.5;p=0.044)是重要的风险因素,但 RDW 与死亡率无关。
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引用次数: 0
Within-host modelling of primaquine-induced haemolysis in hemizygote glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase deficient healthy volunteers 在半合子葡萄糖-6-磷酸脱氢酶缺乏症健康志愿者体内建立伯氨喹诱导的溶血模型
Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1101/2024.08.01.24311380
James A Watson, Parinaz Mehdipour, Robert Moss, Podjanee Jittamala, Sophie Zaloumis, David J Price, Saber Dini, Borimas Hanboonkunupakarn, Pawanrat Leungsinsiri, Kittiyod Poovorawan, Kesinee Chotivanich, Germana Bancone, Robert J Commons, Nicholas PJ Day, Sasithon Pukrittayakamee, Walter RJ Taylor, Nicholas J White, Julie A Simpson
Primaquine is the only widely available drug to prevent relapses of Plasmodium vivax malaria. Primaquine is underused because of concerns over oxidant haemolysis in glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase (G6PD) deficiency. A pharmacometric trial showed that ascending-dose radical cure primaquine regimens causing 'slow burn' haemolysis were safe in G6PD deficient male volunteers. We developed and calibrated a within-host model of primaquine haemolysis in G6PD deficiency, using detailed serial haemoglobin and reticulocyte count data from 23 hemizygote deficient volunteers given ascending-dose primaquine (1,523 individual measurements over 656 unique timepoints). We estimate that primaquine doses of ~0.75mg base/kg reduce the circulating lifespan of deficient erythrocytes by ~30 days in individuals with common Southeast Asian G6PD variants. We predict that 5mg/kg primaquine total dose can be administered safely to G6PD deficient individuals over 14 days with expected haemoglobin drops of 18 to 43% (2.7 to 6.5g/dL drop from a baseline of 15g/dL).
普利马喹是唯一可广泛用于预防间日疟原虫疟疾复发的药物。由于担心葡萄糖-6-磷酸脱氢酶(G6PD)缺乏症患者会出现氧化性溶血,伯氨喹未得到充分利用。一项药理学试验表明,在 G6PD 缺乏症男性志愿者中,导致 "缓慢燃烧 "溶血的升剂量根治伯氨喹方案是安全的。我们利用 23 名血细胞缺乏症志愿者在服用升剂量伯氨喹期间的详细序列血红蛋白和网织红细胞计数数据(656 个独特时间点的 1,523 次单独测量),开发并校准了 G6PD 缺乏症患者伯氨喹溶血的宿主内模型。我们估计,在具有常见东南亚 G6PD 变异的个体中,伯氨喹剂量为约 0.75 毫克碱/千克时,缺陷红细胞的循环寿命会缩短约 30 天。我们预测,G6PD 缺乏症患者在 14 天内安全服用 5 毫克/千克伯氨喹总剂量,血红蛋白预计会下降 18% 至 43%(从 15 克/分升的基线下降 2.7 至 6.5 克/分升)。
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引用次数: 0
Leveraging Pre-Vaccination Antibody Titers across Multiple Influenza H3N2 Variants to Forecast the Post-Vaccination Response 利用多种 H3N2 流感病毒变异株的接种前抗体滴度预测接种后反应
Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1101/2024.08.01.24311325
Hannah Stacey, Michael A. Carlock, James D. Allen, Hannah B. Hanley, Shane Crotty, Ted M. Ross, Tal Einav
Despite decades of research on the influenza virus, we still lack a predictive understanding of how vaccination reshapes each person's antibody response, which impedes efforts to design better vaccines. Here, we combined fifteen prior H3N2 influenza vaccine studies from 1997-2021, collectively containing 20,000 data points, and demonstrate that a person's pre-vaccination antibody titers predicts their post-vaccination response. In addition to hemagglutination inhibition (HAI) titers against the vaccine strain, the most predictive pre-vaccination feature is the HAI against historical influenza variants, with smaller predictive power derived from age, sex, BMI, vaccine dose, the date of vaccination, or geographic location. The resulting model predicted future responses even when the vaccine composition changed or a different inactivated vaccine formulation was used. A pre-vaccination feature ‒ the time between peak HAI across recent variants ‒ distinguished large versus small post-vaccination responses with 73% accuracy. As a further test, four vaccine studies were conducted in 2022-2023 spanning two geographic locations and three influenza vaccine types. These datasets formed a blinded prediction challenge, where the computational team only received the pre-vaccination data yet predicted the post-vaccination responses with 2.2-fold error, comparable to the 2-fold intrinsic error of the experimental assay. This approach paves the way to better utilize current influenza vaccines, especially for individuals who exhibit the weakest responses.
尽管对流感病毒进行了数十年的研究,但我们仍然缺乏对接种疫苗如何重塑每个人的抗体反应的预测性了解,这阻碍了我们设计更好疫苗的努力。在此,我们将 1997-2021 年间的 15 项 H3N2 流感疫苗研究(共包含 20,000 个数据点)合并在一起,证明接种前的抗体滴度可以预测接种后的反应。除了针对疫苗菌株的血凝抑制滴度(HAI)外,最能预测接种前反应的特征是针对历史流感变异株的 HAI,而年龄、性别、体重指数、疫苗剂量、接种日期或地理位置的预测力较小。即使疫苗成分发生变化或使用了不同的灭活疫苗配方,由此产生的模型也能预测未来的反应。疫苗接种前的一个特征--近期变异株的 HAI 峰值之间的时间--可以区分接种后反应的大小,准确率为 73%。作为进一步测试,2022-2023 年进行了四项疫苗研究,涉及两个地理位置和三种流感疫苗类型。这些数据集形成了一个盲预测挑战,计算团队只收到接种前的数据,但预测接种后反应的误差为 2.2 倍,与实验检测的 2 倍内在误差相当。这种方法为更好地利用当前的流感疫苗铺平了道路,尤其是对那些反应最弱的人。
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引用次数: 0
LLIN Evaluation in Uganda Project (LLINEUP2) — Effect of long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) treated with pyrethroid plus pyriproxyfen vs LLINs treated with pyrethroid plus piperonyl butoxide in Uganda: a cluster-randomised trial 乌干达长效驱虫蚊帐评估项目(LLINEUP2)--在乌干达使用拟除虫菊酯加吡丙醚处理的长效驱虫蚊帐(LLIN)与使用拟除虫菊酯加胡椒基丁醚处理的长效驱虫蚊帐(LLIN)的效果:分组随机试验
Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1101/2024.07.31.24311272
Samuel Gonahasa, Jane F Namuganga, Martha J Nassali, Catherine Maiteki-Sebuguzi, Isaiah Nabende, Adrienne Epstein, Katherine Snyman, Joaniter I Nankabirwa, Jimmy Opigo, Martin James Donnelly, Grant Dorsey, Moses R Kamya, Sarah G Staedke
Background. We embedded a pragmatic, cluster–randomised trial into Uganda′s national campaign to distribute long–lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) in 2020–2021, comparing LLINs treated with pyrethroids plus the synergist piperonyl butoxide (PBO), to LLINs treated with pyrethroids plus pyriproxyfen, an insect growth regulator. Methods. Target communities surrounding public health facilities (clusters, n=64), covering 32 high-burden districts not receiving indoor residual spraying, were included. Clusters were randomised 1:1 in blocks of two by district to receive: (1) pyrethroid–PBO LLINs (PermaNet 3.0, n=32) or (2) pyrethroid–pyriproxyfen LLINs (Royal Guard, n=32). LLINs were delivered from 7 November 2020 to 26 March 2021 and malaria outcome data were collected until 31 March 2023. Estimates of malaria incidence in residents of all ages (the primary outcome) were generated for each cluster from enhanced health facility surveillance data. At 12– (24 November 2021 to 1 April 2022) and 24–months (23 November 2022 to 21 March 2023) post–LLIN distribution, cross–sectional community surveys were conducted in randomly selected households (at least 50 per cluster, 3,200 per survey). Findings. In the two years following LLIN distribution, 186,364 episodes of malaria were diagnosed in cluster residents during 398,931 person – years of follow–up. Malaria incidence after 24–months was lower than at baseline in both arms (pyrethroid–PBO: 465 vs 676 episodes per 1000 person – years; pyrethroid–pyriproxyfen: 469 vs 674 episodes per 1000 person – years); but the difference between the arms was not statistically significant (incidence rate ratio 1.06, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.91–1.22, p=0.47). Two years post-distribution, ownership of at least one LLIN for every two household residents was low in both arms (41.1% pyrethroid–PBO vs 38.6% pyrethroid–pyriproxyfen). Parasite prevalence in children aged 2–10 years was no different between the arms in either survey and similar results were observed for prevalence of anaemia in children aged 2–4 years. Interpretation. The effectiveness of pyrethroid–PBO LLINs and pyrethroid–pyriproxyfen LLINs was no different in Uganda, but two years after mass distribution, LLIN coverage was inadequate.
背景。我们在乌干达 2020-2021 年发放长效驱虫蚊帐(LLINs)的全国性活动中纳入了一项务实的分组随机试验,比较使用拟除虫菊酯和增效剂胡椒基丁醚(PBO)处理过的长效驱虫蚊帐与使用拟除虫菊酯和吡丙醚(一种昆虫生长调节剂)处理过的长效驱虫蚊帐。方法研究对象包括公共卫生设施周围的目标社区(群组,n=64),涵盖 32 个未接受室内滞留喷洒的高负担区。各区以 1:1 的比例随机分组,每组 2 人,接受以下治疗(1) 除虫菊酯-PBO 长效驱虫蚊帐(PermaNet 3.0,32 人)或 (2) 除虫菊酯-吡丙醚长效驱虫蚊帐(皇家卫士,32 人)。长效驱虫蚊帐的发放时间为 2020 年 11 月 7 日至 2021 年 3 月 26 日,疟疾结果数据的收集时间截至 2023 年 3 月 31 日。每个群组的所有年龄段居民的疟疾发病率(主要结果)均由增强型医疗设施监测数据得出。在发放 LLIN 后的 12 个月(2021 年 11 月 24 日至 2022 年 4 月 1 日)和 24 个月(2022 年 11 月 23 日至 2023 年 3 月 21 日),对随机选择的家庭(每个群至少 50 户,每次调查 3,200 户)进行了横断面社区调查。调查结果。在发放长效驱虫蚊帐后的两年里,在 398 931 人-年的跟踪调查中,有 186 364 例群组居民被诊断为疟疾。24 个月后,两组的疟疾发病率均低于基线(拟除虫菊酯-PBO:465 对 676 次/1000 人-年;拟除虫菊酯-吡丙醚:469 对 674 次/1000 人-年);但两组之间的差异无统计学意义(发病率比 1.06,95% 置信区间 [CI]0.91-1.22,p=0.47)。在发放两年后,两组中每两户居民至少拥有一个长效驱虫蚊帐的比例都很低(41.1% 的除虫菊酯-PBO 对 38.6%的除虫菊酯-吡丙醚)。在这两项调查中,2-10 岁儿童的寄生虫感染率在两组调查中均无差异,2-4 岁儿童的贫血症感染率也出现了类似的结果。解释。在乌干达,拟除虫菊酯-PBO 长效驱虫蚊帐和拟除虫菊酯-吡丙醚长效驱虫蚊帐的效果没有差别,但在大规模分发两年后,长效驱虫蚊帐的覆盖率仍然不足。
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引用次数: 0
Modelling the epidemiological and economic impact of digital adherence technologies with differentiated care for tuberculosis treatment in Ethiopia 为埃塞俄比亚结核病治疗中采用有区别护理的数字依从性技术的流行病学和经济影响建模
Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1101/2024.07.30.24310024
Lara Goscé, Amare Worku Tadesse, Nicola Foster, Kristian Van Kalmthout, Job van Rest, jense .vanderwal, Martin Harker, Norma Madden, Tofik Abdurhman, Demekech Gadissa, Ahmed Bedru, Tanyaradzwa Nicolette Dube, Jason Alacapa, Andrew Mganga, Natasha Deyanova, Salome Charalambous, Taye Letta, Degu Jerene, Richard White, Katherine Fielding, Rein M G J Houben, Christopher Finn McQuaid
BackgroundDigital adherence technologies (DATs) with associated differentiated care are potential tools to improve tuberculosis (TB) treatment outcomes and reduce associated costs for both patient and healthcare providers. However, the balance between epidemiological and economic benefits remains unclear. Here, we used data from a large trial (PACTR202008776694999) to estimate the potential long – term epidemiological and economic impact of DAT interventions in Ethiopia.MethodsWe developed a compartmental transmission model for TB, calibrated to Ethiopia and parameterised with patient and provider costs. We compared the epidemiological and economic impact of two DAT interventions, a digital pillbox and medication labels, to the current standard of care, assuming each was introduced at scale in 2023. We projected long – term TB incidence, mortality and costs to 2035, and conducted a threshold analysis to identify the maximum possible epidemiological impact of a DAT intervention by assuming 100% treatment completion for patients on DAT.FindingsWe estimated small and uncertain epidemiological benefits of the pillbox intervention compared to the standard of care in Ethiopia, with a difference of – 0.4% ( – 1.1; +2.0) incident TB episodes and – 0.7% (– 2.2; +3.6) TB deaths. However, our analysis also found large total provider and patient cost savings [$163 ($118; $211) and $3 ($1; $5) million respectively over 2023 – 2035], translating to a 50.2% (35.9%; 65.2%) reduction in total cost of treatment. Results were similar for the medication label intervention. The maximum possible epidemiological impact a theoretical DAT intervention could achieve over the same timescale would be a 3% (1.4; 5.5%) reduction in incident TB and a 8.2% (4.4; 12.8) reduction in TB deaths. InterpretationDAT interventions, while showing limited epidemiological impact, could substantially reduce TB treatment costs for both patients and the healthcare provider.
背景数字依从性技术(DAT)与相关的差异化护理是改善结核病(TB)治疗效果并降低患者和医疗服务提供者相关成本的潜在工具。然而,流行病学和经济效益之间的平衡仍不明确。在此,我们利用一项大型试验(PACTR202008776694999)的数据来估算 DAT 干预措施在埃塞俄比亚可能产生的长期流行病学和经济影响。我们比较了两种 DAT 干预措施(数字药盒和药物标签)与现行医疗标准的流行病学和经济影响,假设每种干预措施都在 2023 年大规模引入。我们预测了到 2035 年的长期肺结核发病率、死亡率和成本,并进行了阈值分析,假设接受 DAT 治疗的患者 100% 完成治疗,从而确定 DAT 干预措施可能产生的最大流行病学影响。研究结果我们估计,与埃塞俄比亚的标准治疗相比,药盒干预措施的流行病学效益较小且不确定,其差异为肺结核发病率-0.4%(-1.1;+2.0)和肺结核死亡率-0.7%(-2.2;+3.6)。不过,我们的分析还发现,提供方和患者的总成本也有很大的节省[2023-2035 年分别为 1.63 亿美元(1.18 美元;2.11 美元)和 300 万美元(1 美元;500 万美元)],即治疗总成本减少了 50.2% (35.9%; 65.2%)。药物标签干预的结果与此类似。在相同的时间范围内,理论上的 DAT 干预措施可能产生的最大流行病学影响是:结核病发病率减少 3% (1.4; 5.5%) ,结核病死亡人数减少 8.2% (4.4; 12.8)。解释DAT干预措施虽然在流行病学方面的影响有限,但却能大幅降低患者和医疗服务提供者的结核病治疗成本。
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引用次数: 0
High-sensitivity detection of Mycobacterium tuberculosis DNA in tongue swab samples 舌拭子样本中结核分枝杆菌 DNA 的高灵敏度检测
Pub Date : 2024-07-27 DOI: 10.1101/2024.07.26.24311064
Alaina M. Olson, Rachel C. Wood, Kris M. Weigel, Alexander J. Yan, Katherine A. Lochner, Rane B. Dragovich, Angelique K. Luabeya, Paul Yager, Mark Hatherill, Gerard A. Cangelosi
Tongue swab (TS) sampling combined with qPCR to detect Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) DNA is a promising alternative to sputum testing for tuberculosis (TB) diagnosis. In prior studies, the sensitivity of tongue swabbing has usually been lower than sputum. In this study, we evaluated two strategies to improve sensitivity. In one, centrifugation was used to concentrate tongue dorsum bacteria from 2-mL suspensions eluted from high-capacity foam swab samples. The pellets were resuspended as 500-uL suspensions, and then mechanically lysed prior to dual-target qPCR to detect MTB insertion elements IS6110 and IS1081. Fractionation experiments demonstrated that most of the MTB DNA signal in clinical swab samples (99.22% +/- 1.46%) was present in the sedimentable fraction. When applied to archived foam swabs collected from 124 South Africans with presumptive TB, this strategy exhibited 83% sensitivity (71/86) and 100% specificity (38/38) relative to sputum MRS (microbiological reference standard; sputum culture and/or Xpert Ultra). The second strategy used sequence-specific magnetic capture (SSMaC) to concentrate DNA released from MTB cells. This protocol was evaluated on archived Copan FLOQSwabs flocked swab samples collected from 128 South African participants with presumptive TB. Material eluted into 500 uL buffer was mechanically lysed. The suspensions were digested by proteinase K, hybridized to biotinylated dual-target oligonucleotide probes, and then concentrated ~20-fold using magnetic separation. Upon dual-target qPCR testing of concentrates, this strategy exhibited 90% sensitivity (83/92) and 97% specificity (35/36) relative to sputum MRS. These results point the way toward automatable, high-sensitivity methods for detecting MTB DNA in TS.
舌拭(TS)取样结合 qPCR 检测结核分枝杆菌(MTB)DNA 是结核病(TB)诊断中一种很有前途的痰液检测替代方法。在之前的研究中,舌拭的灵敏度通常低于痰液。在本研究中,我们评估了两种提高灵敏度的策略。其一,采用离心法浓缩从大容量泡沫拭子样本中洗脱出来的 2 毫升悬浮液中的舌背细菌。在检测 MTB 插入元件 IS6110 和 IS1081 的双目标 qPCR 之前,将颗粒重新悬浮为 500uL 悬浮液,然后进行机械裂解。分馏实验表明,临床拭子样本中的大部分 MTB DNA 信号(99.22% +/-1.46%)都存在于可沉淀部分。当应用于从 124 名南非推定肺结核患者身上收集的存档泡沫拭子时,相对于痰 MRS(微生物参考标准;痰培养和/或 Xpert Ultra),该策略表现出 83% 的灵敏度(71/86)和 100% 的特异性(38/38)。第二种策略使用序列特异性磁捕获(SSMaC)来浓缩 MTB 细胞释放的 DNA。我们对从 128 名南非推定肺结核患者身上采集的存档 Copan FLOQSwabs 羊群拭子样本进行了评估。将洗脱到 500 uL 缓冲液中的物质进行机械裂解。悬浮液经蛋白酶 K 消化,与生物素化双靶点寡核苷酸探针杂交,然后用磁力分离浓缩 ~20 倍。在对浓缩物进行双靶点 qPCR 检测时,与痰 MRS 相比,该策略表现出 90% 的灵敏度(83/92)和 97% 的特异性(35/36)。这些结果为检测 TS 中 MTB DNA 的自动化、高灵敏度方法指明了方向。
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引用次数: 0
Characterisation of Microbial Community Dynamics and Antibiotic Resistance Gene Dissemination in Malaysian Wastewater during the COVID-19 Pandemic COVID-19 大流行期间马来西亚废水中微生物群落动态和抗生素耐药基因传播的特征描述
Pub Date : 2024-07-27 DOI: 10.1101/2024.07.25.24311021
Umama Shahid, Suet Li Hooi, Shu Yong Lim, Alijah Mohd Aris, Bee Chin Khor, Qasim Ayub, Hock Siew Tan
Wastewater is a well-known hotspot for pathogens and spread of antibiotic resistance across species. Surveillance of wastewater microbial community can help draw clearer representation of actively culturing taxonomic groups and resistance-inducing mobile genetic elements before and after treatment. Studies have suggested that COVID-19 pandemic may also have caused increased dissemination of antibiotic-resistance genes (ARGs) and antibiotic-resistant bacteria in wastewater. Although immensely significant, no research has yet been performed on Malaysian wastewater microbial community and ARGs or their correlation with COVID-19 infections. This study utilised 16S metagenomics approach to characterise microbial community in Malaysian wastewater during high and low-case phases of pandemic. Among 20 most prevalent genera around Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, those belonging to Bacteriodales, Bacillales, Actinomycetales and opportunistic pathogens-Arcobacters, Flavobacteria, and Campylobacterales, Neisseriales, were enriched during high-case periods of the COVID-19 pandemic. Copy number profiling of ARGs in water samples showed prevalence of elements conferring resistance to antibiotics like sulphonamides, cephalosporins, and colistin. High prevalence of intI1 and other ion-based transporters in samples highlight an extensive risk of horizontal gene transfer to previously susceptible species. Our study emphasises the importance of wastewater surveillance in understanding microbial community dynamics and ARG dissemination, particularly during public health crises like the COVID-19 pandemic.
众所周知,废水是病原体和抗生素耐药性跨物种传播的热点。对废水微生物群落进行监测,有助于更清晰地呈现处理前后活跃的培养分类群和耐药性诱导移动遗传因子。研究表明,COVID-19 大流行也可能导致废水中抗生素耐药基因 (ARG) 和抗生素耐药细菌的传播增加。尽管研究意义重大,但尚未对马来西亚废水微生物群落和 ARGs 或其与 COVID-19 感染的相关性进行研究。本研究利用 16S 元基因组学方法,描述了大流行病高发和低发期马来西亚废水中微生物群落的特征。在马来西亚吉隆坡附近最常见的 20 个菌属中,属于杆菌科、芽孢杆菌科、放线菌科和机会性病原体--臂杆菌属、黄杆菌属、弯曲杆菌属和新杆菌属的菌属在 COVID-19 大流行的高发期富集。水样中 ARGs 的拷贝数分析表明,对磺胺类、头孢菌素类和秋水仙碱类等抗生素具有耐药性的细菌普遍存在。样本中 intI1 和其他离子型转运体的高流行率凸显了基因水平转移到以前易感物种的广泛风险。我们的研究强调了废水监测在了解微生物群落动态和 ARG 传播方面的重要性,尤其是在 COVID-19 大流行等公共卫生危机期间。
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引用次数: 0
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medRxiv - Infectious Diseases
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