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Inverse task of pollution spreading – Localization of source in extensive open channel network structure 污染扩散的逆任务——广泛性明渠网络结构中污染源的定位
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.2478/johh-2023-0029
Yvetta Velísková, Marek Sokáč, Maryam Barati Moghaddam
Abstract This paper is focused on the problem of the pollutant source localisation in streams in other words the solution of the inverse problem of pollution spreading with in an extensive open channel network structure, i.e. in a complex system of rivers, channels and creeks in natural catchments or sewer systems in urban catchments. The design of the overall localisation procedure is based on the requirement that the entire localization system be operative and fast enough to enable quick operative interventions and help prevent the spread of pollution. The proposed model, as well as, the overall localisation procedure was calibrated and tested on a real sewer system, which represents in this case an extensive open channel network structure with free surface flow. The test results are successful and confirmed applicability of proposed localization tool in simple real conditions. However, the localisation procedure has pros and cons, which are discussed in the paper.
摘要本文主要研究河流中污染源的定位问题,即在广泛的明渠网络结构中,即在天然集水区的河流、渠道和小溪的复杂系统或城市集水区的下水道系统中,解决污染扩散的逆问题。整个定位程序的设计是基于整个定位系统的操作和足够快的要求,以实现快速的操作干预,并有助于防止污染的扩散。所提出的模型以及整个定位过程在真实的下水道系统上进行了校准和测试,在这种情况下,下水道系统代表了一个广泛的开放通道网络结构,具有自由的表面流动。实验结果表明,所提出的定位工具在简单的实际条件下具有较好的适用性。然而,本地化程序有其优点和缺点,本文对此进行了讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Monthly stream temperatures along the Danube River: Statistical analysis and predictive modelling with incremental climate change scenarios 多瑙河沿岸的月流温度:具有增量气候变化情景的统计分析和预测模型
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.2478/johh-2023-0028
Pavla Pekárová, Zbyněk Bajtek, Ján Pekár, Roman Výleta, Ognjen Bonacci, Pavol Miklánek, Jörg Uwe Belz, Liudmyla Gorbatchova
Abstract The aim of the study is to analyse changes and predict the course of mean monthly water temperatures of the Danube River at various locations for the future. The first part of the study involves conducting a statistical analysis of the annual and monthly average air temperatures, water temperatures, and discharges along the Danube River. The study examines long-term trends, changes in the trends, and multiannual variability in the time series. The second part of the study focuses on simulating the average monthly water temperatures using Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) models and nonlinear regression models (NonL), based on two RCP based incremental mean monthly air temperature scenarios. To assess the impact of future climate on stream temperatures, the historical long-term average of the monthly water temperature (1990–2020) was compared with scenarios S1 (2041–2070) and S2 (2071–2100). The simulation results from the two stochastic models, the SARIMA and NonL, showed that in scenario S1, the Danube River’s average monthly water temperature is projected to increase by 0.81/0.82°C (Passau), 0.55/0.71°C (Bratislava), and 0.68/0.56°C (Reni). In scenario S2, the models predict higher increases: 2.83/2.50°C (Passau), 2.06/2.46°C (Bratislava), and 2.52/1.90°C (Reni). Overall, the SARIMA model proved to be more stable and effective in simulating the increase in monthly water temperatures in the Danube River.
摘要:本研究的目的是分析多瑙河在不同地点的月平均水温的变化和预测未来的过程。研究的第一部分包括对多瑙河沿岸的年和月平均气温、水温和排放量进行统计分析。该研究考察了长期趋势、趋势变化以及时间序列中的多年变率。研究的第二部分着重于利用季节自回归综合移动平均(SARIMA)模型和非线性回归模型(NonL)模拟两种基于RCP的月平均气温增量情景下的月平均水温。为了评估未来气候对河流温度的影响,将1990-2020年月水温的历史长期平均值与情景S1(2041-2070)和情景S2(2071-2100)进行了比较。SARIMA和NonL两个随机模式的模拟结果表明,在情景S1下,多瑙河月平均水温将分别升高0.81/0.82°C (Passau)、0.55/0.71°C (Bratislava)和0.68/0.56°C (Reni)。在情景S2中,模型预测的升温更高:2.83/2.50°C (Passau)、2.06/2.46°C (Bratislava)和2.52/1.90°C (Reni)。总体而言,SARIMA模型在模拟多瑙河月水温上升方面更为稳定和有效。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial and temporal variability of saturated areas during rainfall-runoff events 降雨径流事件中饱和地区的时空变异
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.2478/johh-2023-0025
Patrik Sleziak, Michal Danko, Martin Jančo, Juraj Parajka, Ladislav Holko
Abstract Spatially distributed hydrological model Mike SHE was used as a diagnostic tool to provide information on possible overland flow source areas in the mountain catchment of Jalovecký Creek (area 22.2 km 2 , elevation range 820–2178 m a.s.l.) during different rainfall-runoff events. Selected events represented a sequence of several smaller, consecutive events, a flash flood event and two large events caused by frontal precipitation. Simulation of hourly runoff was better for runoff events caused by heavy rainfalls of longer duration than for the flash flood or consecutive smaller runoff events. Higher soil moisture was simulated near the streamflow network and larger possibly saturated areas were located mainly in the upper parts of mountain valleys. The most pronounced increase in the areal extent of possibly saturated areas (from 6.5% to 68.6% of the catchment area) was simulated for the event with high peak discharge divided by a short rainfall interruption. Rainfall depth exceeding 100 mm caused a large increase in the potentially saturated areas that covered subsequently half of the catchment area or more. A maximum integral connectivity scale representing the average distance over which individual pixels were connected varied for the selected events between 45 and 6327 m.
摘要利用空间分布水文模型Mike SHE作为诊断工具,对不同降雨径流事件下Jalovecký溪山区集水区(面积22.2 km 2,海拔820 ~ 2178 m a.s.l.)可能的坡面流源区域进行了分析。所选事件代表了几个较小的连续事件的序列,一个山洪事件和两个由锋面降水引起的大事件。逐时径流模拟对持续时间较长的强降雨引起的径流事件比对山洪或连续较小径流事件的模拟效果更好。河流网络附近土壤湿度较高,较大的可能饱和区主要位于山谷的上部。在高峰值流量和短降雨中断的情况下,可能饱和区域的面积范围增加最为明显(从6.5%增加到68.6%)。超过100毫米的降雨深度导致潜在饱和面积大幅增加,覆盖了随后一半或更多的集水区。对于所选的事件,表示单个像素连接的平均距离的最大积分连接尺度在45到6327 m之间变化。
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引用次数: 0
Using feature engineering and machine learning in FAO reference evapotranspiration estimation 在粮农组织参考蒸散发估计中使用特征工程和机器学习
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.2478/johh-2023-0032
Barbora Považanová, Milan Čistý, Zbyněk Bajtek
Abstract The authors of this study investigated the use of machine learning (ML) and feature engineering (FE) techniques to accurately determine FAO reference evapotranspiration ( ETo ) with a minimal number of climate variables being measured. The recommended techniques for areas with insufficient measurements are based solely on daily temperature readings. Various ML methods were tested to evaluate how sophisticated an ML algorithm is for this task necessary. The main emphasis was on feature engineering, which involves converting raw variables into inputs better suited for ML algorithms, resulting in improved results. FE methods for estimating evapotranspiration include approximations of clear-sky solar radiation based on altitude and Julian day, approximate relative humidity and wind velocity, a categorical month variable, and variables interactions. The authors confirmed that the ability of ML in such tasks is not solely dependent on choosing the suitable algorithm but also on this frequently ignored step. The results of computational experiments are presented, accompanied by a comparison of the proposed method against standard ETo empiric equations. Machine learning methods, mainly due to the transformation of raw variables using FE, provided better results than traditional empirical methods and sophisticated ML algorithms without FE. In addition, the authors tested the applicability of the developed models in the broader area to evaluate the possibility of their generalizability. The potential of this approach to deliver improved predictions, reduced input requirements, and increased efficiency holds interesting promise for optimizing water management strategies, irrigation planning, and decision-making within the agricultural sector.
本研究的作者研究了使用机器学习(ML)和特征工程(FE)技术,在测量的气候变量数量最少的情况下准确确定FAO参考蒸散量(ETo)。对于测量不足的地区,推荐的技术仅基于每日温度读数。测试了各种ML方法,以评估ML算法对于该任务的复杂程度。主要的重点是特征工程,包括将原始变量转换为更适合ML算法的输入,从而提高结果。估算蒸散发的有限元方法包括基于高度和儒略日的晴空太阳辐射近似值、近似相对湿度和风速、分类月份变量和变量相互作用。作者证实,机器学习在这些任务中的能力不仅取决于选择合适的算法,还取决于这个经常被忽略的步骤。给出了计算实验结果,并将所提出的方法与标准ETo经验方程进行了比较。机器学习方法,主要是由于使用FE对原始变量进行转换,提供了比传统经验方法和不使用FE的复杂ML算法更好的结果。此外,作者还测试了所开发模型在更广泛领域的适用性,以评估其推广的可能性。这种方法在提供更好的预测、减少投入需求和提高效率方面的潜力,为优化农业部门的水管理战略、灌溉规划和决策带来了有趣的前景。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of precipitation measurements using a standard rain gauge in relation to data from a precision lysimeter 用标准雨量计与精密渗湿计的数据比较降水测量结果的评价
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.2478/johh-2023-0024
Andrej Tall, Branislav Kandra, Dana Pavelková, Sascha Reth, Milan Gomboš
Abstract The construction of modern lysimeters with a precise weighing system made it possible to achieve an unprecedented accuracy of precipitation measurement. This study compares two methods of measuring precipitation in the conditions of the humid continental climate of the Eastern Slovakian Lowland (Slovakia): measurement using a standard tipping-bucket rain gauge vs. precision weighable lysimeter. Data from the lysimeter were used as a reference measurement. The comparison period lasted four years (2019–2022). Only liquid rainfall was compared. The rain gauge was found to underestimate precipitation compared to the lysimeter. Cumulative precipitation for the entire monitored period captured by the rain gauge was 2.8% lower compared to lysimeter measurements. When comparing hourly and daily totals of precipitation and precipitation events, a very high degree of agreement was detected ( r 2 > 0.99; RMSE from 0.22 to 0.51 mm h –1 ). A comparison based on precipitation intensity showed a decreasing trend in measurement accuracy with increasing precipitation intensity. This tendency has an exponential course. With increasing intensity of precipitation, increasing intensity of wind was also recorded. In order to correct measurement errors, simple correction method was proposed, which helped to partially eliminate the inaccuracies of the rain gauge measurement.
现代渗析仪的建设与精密称重系统,使降水测量达到前所未有的精度成为可能。本研究比较了在斯洛伐克东部低地(斯洛伐克)湿润大陆性气候条件下测量降水的两种方法:使用标准翻斗雨量计与精密可称重蒸渗仪进行测量。用渗血计的数据作为参考测量。对比期为4年(2019-2022年)。只比较了液体降雨。人们发现雨量计与渗湿计相比低估了降水量。雨量计所测得的整个监测期间的累积降水量比蒸渗计的测量值低2.8%。当比较逐时和逐日降水总量和降水事件时,检测到非常高的一致性(r 2 >0.99;RMSE从0.22到0.51 mm h -1)。基于降水强度的对比显示,随着降水强度的增加,测量精度呈下降趋势。这种趋势呈指数增长。随着降水强度的增加,风的强度也随之增加。为了修正测量误差,提出了一种简单的修正方法,有助于部分消除雨量计测量的不准确性。
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引用次数: 0
Sensitivity of runoff due to changes in the characteristics of the water balance in the Danube River region 多瑙河流域水平衡特征变化对径流的敏感性
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.2478/johh-2023-0033
Pavla Pekárová, Dana Halmová, Zuzana Sabová, Ján Pekár, Pavol Miklánek, Veronika Bačová Mitková, Stevan Prohaska, Silvia Kohnová, Marcel Garaj
Abstract Climate change is presently a widely discussed subject in relation to alterations in water storage capacity and the components of the hydrological balance within catchment areas. This research study was directed at two main objectives: 1. The indirect estimation of long-term mean annual runoff using an empirical model; 2. The determination of changes in the annual runoff regime of fifty Danube sub-basins. Monthly areal precipitation, discharges, and air temperature data from 1961 to 1990 were collected for selected headwater sub-basins of the Danube River. In the first part, Turc-type empirical equations for the estimation of the long-term average annual runoff R in the Danube basin were employed. The parameters of the empirical equations were determined through nonlinear regression. Given the underestimation of the actual (territorial, balance) evapotranspiration ET values determined from the balance equation, the precipitation totals were corrected by +10%. With a 10% increase in precipitation, the values of balance ET reached the values ET determined by the Budyko–Zubenok–Konstantinov method. In the second part, fifty equations for the estimation of changes in the average annual runoff, depending on increases in the air temperature and changes in the annual precipitation separately for each of the 50 sub-basins, were established. In conclusion, the results suggest that, on average, a 100 mm increase in the average annual rainfall in the Danube River headwater sub-basins, will cause a 50 mm increase in outflow, and a 1 °C increase in the average annual air temperature will lead to a 12 mm decrease in runoff.
气候变化目前是一个广泛讨论的主题,涉及到流域内储水能力的变化和水文平衡的组成部分。本研究有两个主要目的:1.研究目标:基于经验模型的长期年平均径流间接估算2. 50个多瑙河子流域年径流变化的确定。本文收集了1961 ~ 1990年多瑙河上游子流域的月面降水、流量和气温资料。第一部分采用turc型经验方程估算多瑙河流域长期平均年径流R。通过非线性回归确定了经验方程的参数。考虑到由平衡方程确定的实际(领土,平衡)蒸散发ET值被低估,降水总量被修正+10%。当降水量增加10%时,平衡ET值达到Budyko-Zubenok-Konstantinov方法测定的ET值。在第二部分中,分别建立了50个子流域平均年径流量随气温升高和年降水量变化的50个估算方程。结果表明,多瑙河源头子流域年平均降雨量每增加100 mm,径流量就会增加50 mm;年平均气温每升高1℃,径流量就会减少12 mm。
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引用次数: 0
The testing of a multivariate probabilistic framework for reservoir safety evaluation and flood risks assessment in Slovakia: A study on the Parná and Belá Rivers 斯洛伐克水库安全评价和洪水风险评估的多元概率框架的检验:以帕纳<e:1>河和贝尔<e:1>河为例
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.2478/johh-2023-0027
Roman Výleta, Peter Rončák, Anna Liová, Peter Valent, Tomáš Bacigál, Zoltán Gribovszki, Zuzana Danáčová, Peter Šurda, Justína Vitková, Kamila Hlavčová
Abstract Intense floods represent a challenge to risk management. While they are multivariate in their nature, they are often studied in practice from univariate perspectives. Classical frequency analyses, which establish a relation between the peak flow or volume and the frequency of exceedance, may lead to improper risk estimations and mitigations. Therefore, it is necessary to study floods as multivariate stochastic events having mutually correlated characteristics, such as peak flood flow, corresponding volume and duration. The joint distribution properties of these characteristics play an important role in the assessment of flood risk and reservoir safety evaluation. In addition, the study of flood hydrographs is useful because of the inherent dependencies among their practice-relevant characteristics present on-site and in the regional records. This study aims to provide risk analysts with a consistent multivariate probabilistic framework using a copula-based approach. The framework respects and describes the dependence structures among the flood peaks, volumes, and durations of observed and synthetic control flood hydrographs. The seasonality of flood generation is respected by separate analyses of floods in the summer and winter seasons. A control flood hydrograph is understood as a theoretical/synthetic discharge hydrograph, which is determined by the flood peak with the chosen probability of exceedance, the corresponding volume, and the time duration with the corresponding probability. The framework comprises five steps: 1. Separation of the observed hydrographs, 2. Analysis of the flood characteristics and their dependence, 3. Modelling the marginal distributions, 4. A copula-based approach for modelling joint distributions of the flood peaks, volumes and durations, 5. Construction of synthetic flood hydrographs. The flood risk assessment and reservoir safety evaluation are described by hydrograph analyses and the conditional joint probabilities of the exceedance of the flood volume and duration conditioned on flood peak. The proposed multivariate probabilistic framework was tested and demonstrated based on data from two contrasting catchments in Slovakia. Based on the findings, the study affirms that the trivariate copula-based approach is a practical option for assessing flood risks and for reservoir safety.
特大洪水对风险管理提出了挑战。虽然它们本质上是多元的,但在实践中往往从单变量的角度来研究它们。经典的频率分析建立了峰值流量或容量与超限频率之间的关系,可能导致不适当的风险估计和减轻。因此,有必要将洪水作为具有洪峰流量、相应体积和持续时间等相互关联特征的多变量随机事件进行研究。这些特征的联合分布特性在洪水风险评价和水库安全评价中具有重要作用。此外,洪水线的研究是有用的,因为它们在现场和区域记录中与实践相关的特征之间存在固有的依赖性。本研究的目的是为风险分析师提供一个一致的多元概率框架,使用基于copula的方法。该框架尊重并描述了观测到的和合成控制洪水线的洪峰、体积和持续时间之间的依赖结构。通过对夏季和冬季洪水的单独分析,尊重洪水产生的季节性。控制洪水线被理解为理论/合成流量线,它由选定的超过概率的洪峰、相应的水量和相应概率的持续时间确定。该框架包括五个步骤:1。2.分离观测到的水线;2 .洪水特征及其相关性分析;4.对边际分布进行建模。基于copula的洪水峰值、体积和持续时间联合分布建模方法,5。合成洪水线的建设。通过水文曲线分析和以洪峰为条件的超过洪量和持续时间的条件联合概率来描述洪水风险评价和水库安全评价。根据斯洛伐克两个不同流域的数据,对提出的多变量概率框架进行了测试和论证。研究结果表明,基于三元copula的方法是评估洪水风险和水库安全的实用选择。
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引用次数: 0
Special issue dedicated to 70th anniversary of foundation of Institute of Hydrology, Slovak Academy of Sciences, Bratislava, Slovakia 斯洛伐克布拉迪斯拉发斯洛伐克科学院水文研究所成立70周年特刊
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.2478/johh-2023-0031
Yvetta Velísková
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引用次数: 0
Effects of the application of biochar on the soil erosion of plots of sloping agricultural and with silt loam soil 施用生物炭对坡耕地和粉砂壤土土壤侵蚀的影响
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.2478/johh-2023-0026
Peter Rončák, Zuzana Németová, Justína Vitková, Michaela Danáčová, Lucia Toková, Elena Aydin, Peter Valent, David Honek, Dušan Igaz
Abstract The application of biochar is considered to be a beneficial strategy for improving soil ecosystem services. The objectives of this study are to evaluate the differences in the soil erosion of silt loam soil with or without the application of biochar and to compare the impact of the application of biochar on soil erosion for different agricultural practices, namely, bare soil, silage corn, and sown peas. Specifically, the physically-based EROSION 3D model was used to estimate the soil erosion of small plots of sloping agricultural land. In considering various combinations of agricultural practices and rainfalls with different durations and intensities, several scenarios were used to assess the impact of the application of biochar on soil erosion. The results of this study demonstrate that the highest mean values of mean soil erosion in the case study area were simulated without using any biochar on bare soil. The values of the mean soil erosion were reduced with the use of biochar. The effect of the application of biochar was shown for all types of agricultural practices; above all, it reduced soil erosion that occurred above high values (over 30 t ha –1 ). Although the application and reapplication of biochar showed promise in reducing soil erosion, further research is needed to gain a deeper understanding of its total effects.
生物炭的应用被认为是改善土壤生态系统服务的有益策略。本研究的目的是评价施用生物炭或不施用生物炭对粉壤土土壤侵蚀的差异,并比较施用生物炭对不同农业实践(即裸土、青贮玉米和播种豌豆)土壤侵蚀的影响。具体而言,利用基于物理的侵蚀三维模型对小块坡耕地的土壤侵蚀进行估算。考虑到不同的农业实践组合和不同持续时间和强度的降雨,采用了几种情景来评估生物炭对土壤侵蚀的影响。研究结果表明,在未使用任何生物炭的裸土条件下,模拟研究区平均土壤侵蚀的最高平均值。生物炭的使用降低了土壤侵蚀的平均值。应用生物炭对所有类型的农业实践均有效果;最重要的是,它减少了发生在高值(超过30公顷-1)以上的土壤侵蚀。虽然生物炭的应用和再应用在减少土壤侵蚀方面显示出前景,但需要进一步研究以更深入地了解其总体效果。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of biochar particle size and feedstock type on hydro-physical properties of sandy soil 生物炭粒度和原料类型对沙质土壤水物理性质的影响
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.2478/johh-2023-0030
Natália Botková, Justína Vitková, Peter Šurda, Ioannis Massas, Ioannis Zafeiriou, Ján Gaduš, Francisco Cota Rodrigues, Paulo Filipe Silva Borges
Abstract Biochar, as an organic amendment, could positively change soil properties, especially soil with low organic matter and/or poor structure. Biochar application in sandy soil with low organic matter could be an effective tool for improving hydro-physical parameters of the soil economically and ecologically as well. The effect on bulk density, particle density, porosity, saturated hydraulic conductivity and available water content for plants of two biochar types applied at three different particle sizes in a sandy soil was examined. The results confirmed previous studies, showing decreased bulk density, particle density and saturated hydraulic conductivity and partially increased available water content for plants and porosity. Both biochar type and particle size affected the studied soil hydro-physical parameters. After analysis and comparison of two different types of biochar and three particle sizes, the most effective treatment for sandy soil was proved by the biochar produced from willow with the smallest particle size (<125 µm).
摘要生物炭作为一种有机改良剂,对土壤性质具有积极的改变作用,特别是对低有机质和/或结构差的土壤。在低有机质沙质土壤中施用生物炭是经济和生态上改善土壤水物性参数的有效手段。研究了在沙质土壤中施用三种不同粒径的两种生物炭对植物容重、颗粒密度、孔隙度、饱和导水率和有效含水量的影响。结果证实了之前的研究,表明体积密度、颗粒密度和饱和水力传导性降低,植物的有效含水量和孔隙度部分增加。生物炭类型和粒径对土壤水物性参数均有影响。通过对两种不同类型的生物炭和三种粒径的分析比较,证明粒径最小(125µm)的柳木生产的生物炭对沙质土壤的处理效果最好。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal Of Hydrology And Hydromechanics
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