Climate change is increasing mean temperatures, and intensifying heatwaves. Natural populations may respond to stress through shorter-term acclimation via plasticity and/or longer-term inter-generational evolution. However, if the pace and/or extent of thermal change is too great, local extinctions occur; one potential cause in ectotherms is identified to be the heat-liability of male reproductive biology. Recent data from several species, including the beetle Tribolium castaneum, confirmed that male reproductive biology is vulnerable to heatwaves, which may constrain populations. However, such reproductive-damage may be overestimated, if there is potential to adapt to elevated mean temperatures associated with climate change via evolution and/or acclimation. Here, we tested this to evaluate whether pre-exposures could improve heatwave tolerance (adaptation or acclimation), by experimentally evolving T. castaneum populations to divergent thermal regimes (30°C versus 38°C). Findings across assays revealed that relative to 30°C-regime males, males from the 38°C regime, maintained constantly at 8°C warmer for 25 generations, displayed an increase; i) in post heatwave (42°C) reproductive fitness by 55%, ii) survival by 33% and iii) 32% larger testes volumes. Unexpectedly, in the acclimation assay, warm-adapted males' post-heatwave survival and reproduction were best if they experienced cool developmental acclimation beforehand, suggesting a cost to adapting to 38°C. These results help progress knowledge of the potential for survival and reproduction to adapt to climate change; trait specific adaptation to divergent thermal regimes can occur over relatively few generations, but this capacity depended on the interaction of evolutionary and thermal acclimatory processes.
The mate choice behaviors of females can greatly affect patterns of reproductive success in males and influence the evolution of sexually selected male traits. Population-level estimates of display preferences may provide an accurate estimate of the strength and direction of selection by female choice if all females in the population show homogeneous preferences. However, population-level estimates may yield misleading estimates if there is within-population variation in mate preferences. While it is increasingly clear that the latter situation is common in nature, empirical data on the magnitude of variation in female preferences is required to improve our current understanding of its potential evolutionary consequences. We explored variation in female preference functions for three male call properties in a treefrog. We document substantial within-population variation not only in peak preferences but also in preference function shape (open, closed, flat), with at best 62% of females sharing a preference function shape with the respective population curve. Our findings suggest that population curves may accurately capture the direction of sexual selection, but depending on the properties of the constituting individual functions they may over- or underestimate the strength of selection. Particularly population estimates suggesting weak selection may in fact hide the presence of individual females with strong but opposing preferences. Moreover, due to the high within-population variation in both peak preferences and preference function shapes, the population functions drastically underestimate the predicted variation in male mating success in the population.
Differential migration strategies favour different sets of characteristics, including sexually selected ornamentation. Such phenotypic variation is particularly evident in a population with partial migration, where migrants and non-migrants co-exist. Partial migration provides insights into the link between migration, local environment and ornamentation, although empirical studies remain scarce. Here, we studied the plumage traits of barn swallows (Hirundo rustica) in southern Japan, where both winterings and migrants breed sympatrically. We further examined this relationship with multiple isotopes (δ2H, δ13C, δ15N and δ34S), which provides insight into their moulting habitat. Among males, winterings and migrants differed in their morphological traits: wintering males had shorter wings, which suggests the high demand for flight apparatus in migratory birds. Moreover, wintering males had larger white tail spots and less colourful throat patches than migratory males, indicating ornament divergence between them. Wintering males had a significantly smaller isotopic space when examining the combinations of δ34S with the other isotopes compared to migratory males, which indicates a differential geographic range between them, perhaps because of the limited variation in the distance to the sea in wintering males. As in males, wintering females had a significantly smaller isotopic space than migrant females, but there were few morphological differences between migratory and wintering females. Instead, some morphological traits were related to isotope values in females. These results indicate sex-specific linkage between migration, local environment, and ornamentation.
Individual vital rates are key determinants of lifetime reproductive success, and variability in these rates shapes population dynamics. Previous studies have found that this vital rate hetero- geneity can influence demographic properties including population growth rates, however, the explicit effects of the amount of variation within and the covariance between vital rates that can also vary throughout the lifespan on population growth remains unknown. Here, we explore the analytical consequences of nongenetic heterogeneity on long-term population growth rates and rates of evolution by modifying traditional age-structured population projection matrices to incorporate variation among individual vital rates. The model allows vital rates to be permanent throughout life ("fixed condition") or to change over the lifespan ("dynamic condition"). We reduce the complexity associated with adding individual heterogeneity to age-structured models through a novel application of matrix collapsing ("phenotypic collapsing"), showing how to col- lapse in a manner that preserves the asymptotic and transient dynamics of the original matrix. The main conclusion is that nongenetic individual heterogeneity can strongly impact the long-term growth rate and rates of evolution. The magnitude and sign of this impact depends heavily on how the heterogeneity covaries across the lifespan of an organism. Our results emphasize that nongenetic variation cannot simply be viewed as random noise, but rather that it has consistent, predictable effects on fitness and evolvability.
Many organisms alternate between distinct haploid and diploid phases, which generates population structure according to ploidy level. In this research, we consider a haploid-diploid population using statistical approaches developed for spatially subdivided populations, where haploids represent one "patch" and diploids another "patch". In species with alternating generations, sexual reproduction causes movement from diploids to haploids (by meiosis with recombination) and from haploids to diploids (by syngamy). Thus, an allele in one ploidy phase can be said to "migrate" to the other ploidy phase by sexual reproduction and to "remain" in the same ploidy phase by asexual reproduction. By analyzing a coalescent model of the probability of identity by descent and by state for a haploid-diploid system, we define FST-like measures of differentiation between haploids and diploids and show that these measures can be simplified as a function of the extent of sexuality in each ploidy phase. We conduct simulations with an infinite-alleles model and discuss a method for estimating the degree of effective sexuality from genetic data sets that uses the observed FST measures of haploid-diploid species.