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Cropping systems intensification and diversification: risk, vulnerability and adaptation in southwest coastal Bangladesh 种植系统集约化和多样化:孟加拉国西南沿海地区的风险、脆弱性和适应性
IF 5.6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-05-09 DOI: 10.1080/13504509.2022.2073615
Md. Roushon Jamal, P. Kristiansen, M. Kabir, L. A. Lobry de Bruyn
ABSTRACT Delta ecosystems are vulnerable to climate change from rising temperatures and altered rainfall patterns, as well as further threats from salinity and erosion due to coastline exposure. Smallholder farmers in deltas are adapting to these risks through cropping systems intensification and diversification, but it is unclear which cropping options offer better profitability and less risk and what transformational support is needed. Using qualitative and quantitative primary field data from southwest coastal Bangladesh, this research analysed risk perceptions and adaptation responses and evaluated the profitability of seven cropping systems. Rainfall anomalies, extreme weather events, and seasonal price fluctuations were core risks for farmers. Risk management strategies included adjusting sowing/transplanting dates, changing crop cultivars, increasing chemical applications, storing irrigation water, and seeking market updates. The dominant systems (rice/rice/fallow, rice/fallow/fallow) had the lowest profitability, while systems with vegetables had the highest profitability. The risk analysis estimated that the dominant systems would incur losses every three years and rice/watermelon/fallow every eight years, but vegetable- or jute-based systems’ risk was negligible. However, expanding vegetable-based systems is constrained by higher input costs, lack of capital, labour-intensive practices, market access, and persistent environmental risks. Therefore, multiple strategies are required by public and commercial actors at multiple levels to support smallholders to promote sustainable trade-offs between diverse risks, short-term profitability, and sustainable managing labour, capital, and inputs. The findings highlight the need for agricultural policies and intervention programs to address production technologies, market access, financial services, and extension and training for production and agribusiness skills. Graphical abstract
三角洲生态系统很容易受到气候变化的影响,包括气温上升和降雨模式改变,以及海岸线暴露造成的盐度和侵蚀。三角洲地区的小农正在通过种植系统集约化和多样化来适应这些风险,但目前尚不清楚哪种种植方式能带来更好的盈利能力和更低的风险,以及需要什么样的转型支持。本研究利用来自孟加拉国西南沿海地区的定性和定量原始野外数据,分析了风险认知和适应反应,并评估了七种种植制度的盈利能力。降雨异常、极端天气事件和季节性价格波动是农民面临的核心风险。风险管理策略包括调整播种/移栽日期、改变作物品种、增加化学施用、储存灌溉用水和寻求市场更新。优势系统(水稻/水稻/休耕、水稻/休耕/休耕)的盈利能力最低,而种植蔬菜的系统盈利能力最高。风险分析估计,优势种植系统每3年发生一次损失,水稻/西瓜/休耕系统每8年发生一次损失,但蔬菜或黄麻系统的风险可以忽略不计。然而,扩大以蔬菜为基础的系统受到投入成本较高、缺乏资金、劳动密集型做法、市场准入和持续的环境风险的制约。因此,公共和商业行为体需要在多个层面采取多种战略,支持小农促进在各种风险、短期盈利能力和可持续管理劳动力、资本和投入之间的可持续权衡。研究结果强调,需要制定农业政策和干预方案,以解决生产技术、市场准入、金融服务以及生产和农业综合企业技能的推广和培训问题。图形抽象
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引用次数: 2
Does adaptation to climate change promote household food security? Insights from Indonesian fishermen 适应气候变化能促进家庭粮食安全吗?印尼渔民的见解
IF 5.6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-04-12 DOI: 10.1080/13504509.2022.2063433
Mohibbur Rahman, Wen-Chi Huang, Hery Toiba, A. Efani
ABSTRACT Although climate change adaptation plays a vital role in improving global food security, little is known about whether it can increase household food security of small-scale fishermen. This study offers new evidence by investigating the effect of climate change adaptation on household food security, measured by the food insecurity experience scale (FIES) and food consumption score (FCS). The cross-sectional data were collected from 301 small-scale fishermen in East Java Province, Indonesia. This study applied two-stage residual inclusion (2SRI), and two-step predictor substitution (2SPS) approaches to solve an endogeneity issue in modelling the effect of climate change adaptation on household food security. This is achieved by considering the observable and the unobservable factors. The empirical result indicates that climate change adaptation significantly improves household food security. Further estimation also highlights the positive and significant effect of adaptation intensity on the food security measurement. Therefore, this study suggests that fishermen continuously apply adaptation strategies to improve their food security.
尽管气候变化适应在改善全球粮食安全方面发挥着至关重要的作用,但它是否能提高小规模渔民的家庭粮食安全却鲜为人知。本研究通过粮食不安全体验量表(FIES)和粮食消费评分(FCS)调查气候变化适应对家庭粮食安全的影响,提供了新的证据。横断面数据收集自印度尼西亚东爪哇省的301名小规模渔民。本研究采用两阶段残差包含(2SRI)和两步预测变量替代(2SPS)方法解决了气候变化适应对家庭粮食安全影响建模中的内生性问题。这是通过考虑可观察和不可观察的因素来实现的。实证结果表明,适应气候变化显著提高了农户粮食安全水平。进一步的估算也突出了适应强度对粮食安全测度的正向显著影响。因此,本研究建议渔民不断采用适应策略来改善其粮食安全。
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引用次数: 14
Evaluation of the barriers to and drivers of the implementation of solar energy in Saudi Arabia 评估沙特阿拉伯实施太阳能的障碍和驱动因素
IF 5.6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-04-11 DOI: 10.1080/13504509.2022.2053759
Abdullah Alzahrany, G. Kabir, G. Al Zohbi
ABSTRACT Currently available evidence indicates that energy demand in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) is generally increasing and solar energy constitutes a promising new source of energy. Thus, this paper aims to identify and assess the most critical barriers and drivers of the implementation of solar energy in KSA. This study develops and employs a systematic decision-making framework based on the judgment of experts. The interactions between the barriers and drivers are evaluated using rough DEMATEL (integrated crisp DEMATEL and rough set theory) and interpretive structure modelling (ISM). Rough set theory serves to address the involvement of vagueness. Furthermore, this paper conducts MICMAC analyses to evaluate the driving and dependence power of the drivers and barriers. This paper finds that the most significant barrier to solar energy in KSA is the expensive electricity generated by solar energy while the most significant driver of solar energy in KSA is the availability of solar irradiation. This study will assist industrial managers who are working on the implementation of solar energy projects in KSA, enabling them to properly assess and evaluate the solar energy sector in the country. This study is amongst the first of its kind to address the barriers to and drivers of the implementation of solar energy in KSA by using the rough DEMATEL method.
目前可获得的证据表明,沙特阿拉伯王国(KSA)的能源需求普遍增加,太阳能是一种有前途的新能源。因此,本文旨在确定和评估在沙特阿拉伯实施太阳能的最关键障碍和驱动因素。本研究开发并采用了基于专家判断的系统决策框架。使用粗糙DEMATEL(综合清晰DEMATEL和粗糙集理论)和解释结构建模(ISM)来评估障碍物和驾驶员之间的相互作用。粗糙集理论用于解决模糊性的问题。在此基础上,通过MICMAC分析,对驱动者和壁垒的驱动力和依赖力进行了评价。本文发现,太阳能在沙特阿拉伯的最大障碍是昂贵的太阳能发电,而太阳能在沙特阿拉伯最重要的驱动因素是太阳辐射的可用性。这项研究将协助正在沙特阿拉伯执行太阳能项目的工业管理人员,使他们能够适当地评估和评价该国的太阳能部门。这项研究是第一个通过使用粗糙的DEMATEL方法来解决太阳能在KSA实施的障碍和驱动因素的研究。
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引用次数: 5
What factors contribute to environmental degradation in G11 economies? Emphasizing the importance of renewable and non-renewable energy sources 哪些因素导致了G11经济体的环境恶化?强调可再生和不可再生能源的重要性
IF 5.6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/13504509.2022.2059720
Nabila Amin, Huaming Song, M. Shabbir
ABSTRACT This study explored the dynamic nexus between trade openness, non-renewable, renewable-energy consumption, urbanization, economic growth, and ecological footprint considering the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 7 and 13 of ensuring access to reliable, renewable, and clean energy technology, as well as climate action, by employing a second-generation panel data technique for G11 economies from 1991 to 2018. The study used second-generation panel unit root tests, panel cointegration techniques, and the augmented mean group (AMG) approach to estimate the long-run magnitude of the parameters for this purpose. The empirical findings show that trade openness, economic growth, and urbanization all considerably increase the environmental deficit, but renewable energy use minimizes total environmental degradation in the long run. Furthermore, the Dumitrescu and Hurlin (D-H) causality test discovered that economic growth, non-renewable consumption, urbanization, and the EFP have long-term bidirectional correlation, whereas GDP, renewable energy consumption, and trade openness have long-term unidirectional causality. As a result, the industrial infrastructure of the G11 nations must be modernized, and renewable energy must be enhanced further.
本研究采用第二代面板数据技术,以1991年至2018年的G11经济体为样本,探讨了贸易开放、不可再生能源、可再生能源消费、城市化、经济增长和生态足迹之间的动态联系,并考虑到可持续发展目标(sdg) 7和13确保获得可靠、可再生和清洁能源技术以及气候行动。本研究使用第二代面板单位根检验、面板协整技术和增广平均组(AMG)方法来估计为此目的参数的长期幅度。实证结果表明,贸易开放、经济增长和城市化都显著增加了环境赤字,但从长远来看,可再生能源的使用使总环境退化最小化。此外,Dumitrescu和Hurlin (D-H)因果检验发现,经济增长、不可再生能源消费、城市化和EFP具有长期双向相关性,而GDP、可再生能源消费和贸易开放具有长期单向因果关系。因此,G11国家的工业基础设施必须现代化,可再生能源必须进一步加强。
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引用次数: 13
Analyzing the role of economic globalization in achieving carbon neutrality in Australia 分析经济全球化在澳大利亚实现碳中和中的作用
IF 5.6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/13504509.2022.2056771
A. Acheampong, Janet Dzator, M. Amponsah
ABSTRACT Australia’s greenhouse gas emissions have been increasing for over four years, making it difficult to achieve the 2030 agenda to reduce emissions. Also, in recent decades, Australia has been experiencing a rapid increase in economic globalization. The critical question of policy concern is, ‘what are the environmental implications of rapid economic globalization in Australia?’ This article investigates the asymmetric effect of economic globalization on Australia’s carbon emissions using time series data from 1970 to 2018. To achieve the objective of this study, we apply the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) approach. The results from the NARDL indicated that a positive change in economic globalization contributes to carbon emissions mitigation while a negative change in economic globalization increases carbon emissions. The results disaggregating economic globalization into financial and trade globalization revealed that a positive change in financial globalization reduces carbon emissions while a negative change in financial globalization increases carbon emissions. Contrarily, a positive change in trade globalization increases carbon emissions, while a negative change in trade globalization has a neutral effect on carbon emissions. We suggest that emphasis is required to enhance economic globalization and, specifically, financial globalization to achieve carbon neutrality in Australia.
澳大利亚的温室气体排放量在过去四年中一直在增加,这使得2030年减排议程难以实现。此外,近几十年来,澳大利亚经历了经济全球化的快速增长。政策关注的关键问题是,“澳大利亚快速的经济全球化对环境的影响是什么?”本文利用1970年至2018年的时间序列数据,研究了经济全球化对澳大利亚碳排放的不对称影响。为了达到本研究的目的,我们采用了非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)方法。研究结果表明,经济全球化的积极变化有助于碳排放减缓,而经济全球化的消极变化则增加了碳排放。将经济全球化分解为金融全球化和贸易全球化的结果表明,金融全球化的积极变化减少了碳排放,而金融全球化的消极变化增加了碳排放。相反,贸易全球化的积极变化会增加碳排放,而贸易全球化的消极变化对碳排放的影响是中性的。我们建议加强经济全球化,特别是金融全球化,以实现澳大利亚的碳中和。
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引用次数: 17
Role of technological innovation and globalization in BRICS economies: policy towards environmental sustainability 技术创新和全球化在金砖国家经济中的作用:环境可持续性政策
IF 5.6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-03-30 DOI: 10.1080/13504509.2022.2059032
Abraham Ayobamiji Awosusi, T. Adebayo, Derviş Kırıkkaleli, Mehmet Altuntaş
ABSTRACT The present study aims to discover the impact of political risk, globalization and technological innovation on the ecological footprint in the BRICS economies by employing a dataset covering the period between 1990 and 2017 and incorporating non-renewable energy utilization and economic growth as other regressors through the utilization of panel quantile regression. The outcomes established that economic growth, non-renewable energy usage, political risk and technological innovation increase ecological footprint. Conversely, globalization significantly decreases the ecological footprint. The panel ordinary least squares approach serves as a sensitivity test for the robustness of the analysis. Furthermore, the Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality test confirmed that a bidirectional causal interaction exists between ecological footprint and the regressors of technological innovation, globalization, non-renewable energy and economic growth, while a one-way causal interconnection runs from ecological footprint to political risk. Notably, the general policy suggestion indicates the need for policymakers to intensively coordinate efforts to combat the serious environmental deterioration in the BRICS economies.
本研究旨在利用1990年至2017年的数据集,利用面板分位数回归,将不可再生能源利用和经济增长作为其他回归指标,发现政治风险、全球化和技术创新对金砖国家经济生态足迹的影响。研究结果表明,经济增长、不可再生能源使用、政治风险和技术创新都会增加生态足迹。相反,全球化显著减少了生态足迹。面板普通最小二乘方法作为分析稳健性的敏感性检验。此外,duitrescui - hurlin面板因果检验证实,生态足迹与技术创新、全球化、不可再生能源和经济增长等回归因子之间存在双向因果关系,而生态足迹与政治风险之间存在单向因果关系。值得注意的是,总体政策建议表明,决策者需要密切协调努力,应对金砖国家经济中严重的环境恶化。
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引用次数: 83
Agricultural mechanization and land productivity in China 中国的农业机械化与土地生产力
IF 5.6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-03-14 DOI: 10.1080/13504509.2022.2051638
Xiaoshi Zhou, Wanglin Ma
ABSTRACT This study estimates the impacts of the adoption of different mechanized farming strategies (i.e. no-mechanized farming, semi-mechanized farming, and full-mechanized farming) on land productivity. An innovative multivalued treatment effects model addresses selectivity bias and estimates farm household data from the 2016 China Labor-force Dynamics Survey. The results show that adopting semi- and full-mechanized farming positively impacts land productivity, and the larger impact is associated with the adoption of full-mechanized farming. The disaggregated analyses indicate that female-headed households obtain higher land productivity from mechanization adoption relative to their male-headed counterparts; the farm size–land productivity relationship is U-shaped for semi-mechanized farming adopters but negative for full-mechanized farming adopters; semi-mechanized farming adopters living in central China and full-mechanized farming adopters living in western China obtain higher land productivity than their counterparts in other parts of China.
摘要本研究评估了采用不同机械化耕作策略(即非机械化耕作、半机械化耕作和全机械化耕作)对土地生产力的影响。一个创新的多值处理效应模型解决了选择性偏差,并估计了来自2016年中国劳动力动态调查的农户数据。结果表明:采用半机械化和全机械化耕作方式对土地生产力有正向影响,且采用全机械化耕作方式对土地生产力的影响更大;分类分析表明,采用机械化的女性户主家庭比采用机械化的男性户主家庭获得更高的土地生产率;半机械化农户的耕地面积与土地生产率呈u型关系,全机械化农户的耕地面积与土地生产率呈负相关;中部地区半机械化农业采用者和西部地区全机械化农业采用者的土地生产率高于其他地区的采用者。
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引用次数: 20
The impact of ecological footprint in West Africa: the role of biocapacity and renewable energy 西非生态足迹的影响:生物承载力和可再生能源的作用
IF 5.6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-03-14 DOI: 10.1080/13504509.2022.2051637
Emmanuel Nketiah, Huaming Song, Bright Obuobi, Gibbson Adu-Gyamfi, M. Adjei, D. Cudjoe
ABSTRACT The study of ecological footprint (ECF) and its antecedents has been a popular point of deliberation among experts in recent times. However, a West African perspective is scarce. Therefore, this study analyzes the impact of tourism, renewable energy, and biocapacity in fostering or constraining the impact of ecological footprint (ECF) in West African countries. The study adopted the Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS), Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS), Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimation, and Granger causality test for its analysis over 1995–2016. The study found that human capital, natural resources rents, tourism, and real income positively correlates with ECF. Also, biocapacity increases the ecological footprints of the region. In the short-run, the study found a unidirectional causality from ecological footprints to renewable energy consumption, human capital, urbanization but a bidirectional relationship with biocapacity and real income. The study also found a bidirectional causality from ecological footprints to all the variables in the long-run. The study recommends that countries undertake pragmatic policies and actions to prevent rising ECF per capita by minimizing overexploitation of indigenous natural resources and eco-services.
近年来,生态足迹(ECF)及其前身的研究一直是专家们讨论的热门话题。然而,西非的观点是稀缺的。因此,本研究分析了旅游业、可再生能源和生物承载力对西非国家生态足迹(ECF)影响的促进或制约作用。本研究采用全修正普通最小二乘(FMOLS)、动态普通最小二乘(DOLS)、混合平均组(PMG)估计和格兰杰因果检验对1995-2016年的数据进行分析。研究发现,人力资本、自然资源租金、旅游业和实际收入与经济效益呈正相关。此外,生物承载力增加了该地区的生态足迹。从短期来看,生态足迹与可再生能源消费、人力资本、城市化之间存在单向因果关系,而与生物承载力和实际收入之间存在双向因果关系。该研究还发现,从长期来看,生态足迹与所有变量之间存在双向因果关系。该研究建议各国采取务实的政策和行动,尽量减少对当地自然资源和生态服务的过度开发,以防止人均生态环境基金的上升。
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引用次数: 10
Assessing the value of agroforestry and food security among households in Isingiro District, South-western Uganda 评估乌干达西南部伊辛吉罗县农林业和家庭粮食安全的价值
IF 5.6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-03-10 DOI: 10.1080/13504509.2022.2048118
M. Kamugisha, H. Mutembei, T. Thenya
ABSTRACT Agroforestry trees have been used to enhance food production through a combination of soil nutrient management. The study aimed at assessing the value of agroforestry and food security among households practicing agroforestry in the Isingiro District. The study employed a cross-sectional survey design using household interviews and randomly sampling 284 households to obtain current qualitative and quantitative data. The study used multiple regressions to predict the value of selected dependent variables. The results indicated that households (49%) in Kabaare Parish, Kigyendwa (33%), and Kikokwa (18%) were food secure. Out of these, households that practiced agroforestry and were food secure accounted for 21% while 79% were insecure. The values of agroforestry and food security include economic, environmental, and social value. The major reasons for practicing agroforestry include an increase in food level and improvement of income. Few households in Kabaare (41%), Kigyendwa (22%), and Kikokwa (37%) had knowledge of agroforestry systems and their values. The variable with a positive but insignificant effect on the value of agroforestry and food production was land acreage, while the land size and monthly income had a negative and insignificant effect. The value of agroforestry and food security in the study area is still low. Therefore, there is a need for understanding households’ psychological and behavioral factors that hinder them from adopting agroforestry practices. It is vital that the government invests in capacity building of household farmers in agroforestry and food production, and reviews land policy to support households to strengthen their income base.
农林业树木已被用于通过结合土壤养分管理来提高粮食生产。这项研究的目的是评估农林业的价值和伊辛格罗县从事农林业的家庭的粮食安全。本研究采用横断面调查设计,采用入户访谈法,随机抽样284户,获取当前定性和定量数据。本研究采用多元回归预测所选因变量的值。结果表明,Kabaare教区(49%)、Kigyendwa(33%)和Kikokwa(18%)的家庭有粮食保障。在这些家庭中,实行农林业并有粮食安全的家庭占21%,而不安全的家庭占79%。农林业和粮食安全的价值包括经济、环境和社会价值。实行农林业的主要原因包括粮食水平的提高和收入的提高。在Kabaare(41%)、Kigyendwa(22%)和Kikokwa(37%),很少有家庭了解农林业系统及其价值。对农林复合价值和粮食生产价值有正向影响但不显著的变量是土地面积,而对土地规模和月收入有负向影响但不显著。研究区农林业与粮食安全的价值仍然很低。因此,有必要了解阻碍农户采用农林业做法的心理和行为因素。至关重要的是,政府应投资于家庭农民在农林业和粮食生产方面的能力建设,并审查土地政策,以支持家庭加强其收入基础。
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引用次数: 1
Implementation of the UN sustainable development goals in the agri-food system of Russia: regional and sectoral features 联合国可持续发展目标在俄罗斯农业食品系统中的实施:区域和部门特征
IF 5.6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-02-17 DOI: 10.1080/13504509.2022.2040635
O. Cherednichenko, N. Dovgotko, Yu.V. Rybasova, G. Vorontsova, O. Momotova
ABSTRACT The article views regional and sectoral peculiarities of Agenda-2030 realization in Russian agricultural sector. The aim of the research was to determine the degree of the SDGs achievement in agribusiness on national, regional and local levels in the absence of quantitative markers. Based on the conclusion on insufficient integration of the SDGs in business strategies, we proposed the six-staged scheme to promote and realize the SDGs in national agri-food system, involving all the parties concerned. In the course of the scheme realization, we conducted the survey among the representatives of agribusiness from 26 regions, located in four agro-climatic zones of Stavropolskii krai. The results provided quantitative assessment of the SDGs awareness degree in agri-food sphere and demonstrated its low level. Also, we managed to get information on the goals of high priority for the experts (SDGs 8, 3, 6, 4, 11, 7, 9 and 16) and distinguish the importance of social, economic and ecological problems, which prevent the SDGs realization in agricultural sector and rural areas. The problems of negative impact of climatic changes, rise in price for goods and services, limited resources for the production improvement and innovation turned out to be the major ones in the view of the experts. The main result of the research consists in providing the quantitative data and determination of the priority areas for the sustainable development in the regional agricultural sector, with the aim of further transformation of the policy to achieve the SDGs.
文章探讨了俄罗斯农业部门实现2030年议程的区域和部门特点。该研究的目的是在缺乏定量标记的情况下,确定农业综合企业在国家、区域和地方层面上实现可持续发展目标的程度。基于可持续发展目标在商业战略中整合不足的结论,我们提出了在国家农业食品系统中推动和实现可持续发展目标的六阶段方案,涉及各方。在方案实施过程中,我们对位于斯塔夫罗波尔斯基边疆区四个农业气候带的26个地区的农业企业代表进行了调查。结果对农业食品领域可持续发展目标的认知度进行了定量评价,表明其认知度较低。此外,我们还设法获得了专家们高度优先考虑的目标(可持续发展目标8、3、6、4、11、7、9和16)的信息,并区分了社会、经济和生态问题的重要性,这些问题阻碍了农业部门和农村地区实现可持续发展目标。专家们认为,气候变化的负面影响、商品和服务价格的上涨、用于生产改进和创新的资源有限等问题是主要问题。研究的主要成果包括提供定量数据和确定区域农业部门可持续发展的优先领域,旨在进一步转变政策以实现可持续发展目标。
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引用次数: 2
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International Journal of Sustainable Development and World Ecology
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