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Observation and Simulation of CO2 Fluxes in Rice Paddy Ecosystems Based on the Eddy Covariance Technique 基于涡动协方差技术的稻田生态系统二氧化碳通量观测与模拟
Pub Date : 2024-04-24 DOI: 10.3390/atmos15050517
Jinghan Wang, Jiayan Wang, Hui Zhao, Youfei Zheng
As constituents of one of the vital agricultural ecosystems, paddy fields exert significant influence on the global carbon cycle. Therefore, conducting observations and simulations of CO2 flux in rice paddy is of significant importance for gaining deeper insights into the functionality of agricultural ecosystems. This study utilized an eddy covariance system to observe and analyze the CO2 flux in a rice paddy field in Eastern China and also introduced and parameterized the Jarvis multiplicative model to predict the CO2 flux. Results indicate that throughout the observation period, the range of CO2 flux in the paddy field was −0.1 to −38.4 μmol/(m2·s), with a mean of −12.9 μmol/(m2·s). The highest CO2 flux occurred during the rice flowering period with peak photosynthetic activity and maximum CO2 absorption. Diurnal variation in CO2 flux exhibited a “U”-shaped curve, with flux reaching its peak absorption at 11:30. The CO2 flux was notably higher in the morning than in the afternoon. The nocturnal CO2 flux remained relatively stable, primarily originating from respiratory CO2 emissions. The rice canopy CO2 flux model was revised using boundary line analysis, elucidating that photosynthetically active radiation, temperature, vapor pressure deficit, phenological stage, time, and concentration are pivotal factors influencing CO2 flux. The simulation of CO2 flux using the parameterized model, compared with measured values, reveals the efficacy of the established parameter model in simulating rice CO2 flux. This study holds significant importance in comprehending the carbon cycling process within paddy ecosystems, furnishing scientific grounds for future climate change and environmental management endeavors.
作为重要农业生态系统的组成部分之一,稻田对全球碳循环具有重要影响。因此,观测和模拟稻田中的二氧化碳通量对于深入了解农业生态系统的功能具有重要意义。本研究利用涡度协方差系统观测和分析了中国东部稻田的二氧化碳通量,并引入 Jarvis 乘法模型和参数化模型来预测二氧化碳通量。结果表明,在整个观测期间,水稻田的二氧化碳通量范围为-0.1至-38.4 μmol/(m2-s),平均值为-12.9 μmol/(m2-s)。二氧化碳通量最高的时期是水稻开花期,光合作用旺盛,二氧化碳吸收量最大。二氧化碳通量的昼夜变化呈 "U "形曲线,11:30 时通量达到吸收峰值。上午的二氧化碳通量明显高于下午。夜间的二氧化碳通量保持相对稳定,主要来自呼吸排放的二氧化碳。利用边界线分析法对水稻冠层二氧化碳通量模型进行了修正,阐明了光合有效辐射、温度、蒸气压差、物候期、时间和浓度是影响二氧化碳通量的关键因素。利用参数化模型模拟二氧化碳通量,并与实测值进行比较,揭示了所建立的参数模型在模拟水稻二氧化碳通量方面的有效性。这项研究对理解水稻生态系统的碳循环过程具有重要意义,为未来气候变化和环境管理提供了科学依据。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of Surface Ozone Variability in Mountainous Forest Areas and Lowland Urban Areas in Southeast China 中国东南部山区林区和低地城市地区地表臭氧变异性比较
Pub Date : 2024-04-24 DOI: 10.3390/atmos15050519
Xue Jiang, Xugeng Cheng, Jane Liu, Zhixiong Chen, Hong Wang, Huiying Deng, Jun Hu, Yongcheng Jiang, Mengmiao Yang, Chende Gai, Zhiqiang Cheng
The ozone (O3) variations in southeast China are largely different between mountainous forest areas located inland, and lowland urban areas located near the coast. Here, we selected these two kinds of areas to compare their similarities and differences in surface O3 variability from diurnal to seasonal scales. Our results show that in comparison with the lowland urban areas (coastal areas), the mountainous forest areas (inland areas) are characterized with less human activates, lower precursor emissions, wetter and colder meteorological conditions, and denser vegetation covers. This can lead to lower chemical O3 production and higher O3 deposition rates in the inland areas. The annual mean of 8-h O3 maximum concentrations (MDA8 O3) in the inland areas are ~15 μg·m−3 (i.e. ~15%) lower than that in the coastal areas. The day-to-day variation in surface O3 in the two types of the areas is rather similar, with a correlation coefficient of 0.75 between them, suggesting similar influences on large scales, such as weather patterns, regional O3 transport, and background O3. Over 2016–2020, O3 concentrations in all the areas shows a trend of “rising and then falling”, with a peak in 2017 and 2018. Daily MDA8 O3 correlates with solar radiation most in the coastal areas, while in the inland areas, it is correlated with relative humidity most. Diurnally, during the morning, O3 concentrations in the inland areas increase faster than in the coastal areas in most seasons, mainly due to a faster increase in temperature and decrease in humidity. While in the evening, O3 concentrations decrease faster in the inland areas than in the coastal areas, mostly attributable to a higher titration effect in the inland areas. Seasonally, both areas share a double-peak variation in O3 concentrations, with two peaks in spring and autumn and two valleys in summer and winter. We found that the valley in summer is related to the summer Asian monsoon that induces large-scale convections bringing local O3 upward but blocking inflow of O3 downward, while the one in winter is due to low O3 production. The coastal areas experienced more exceedance days (~30 days per year) than inland areas (~5-10 days per year), with O3 sources largely from the northeast. Overall, the similarities and differences in O3 concentrations between inland and coastal areas in southeastern China are rather unique, reflecting the collective impact of geographic-related meteorology, O3 precursor emissions, and vegetation on surface O3 concentrations.
中国东南地区的臭氧(O3)变化在很大程度上存在着内陆山地林区和沿海低地城市地区的差异。在此,我们选取了这两种地区,比较它们从昼夜到季节尺度的地表臭氧变化的异同。我们的研究结果表明,与低地城市地区(沿海地区)相比,山区森林地区(内陆地区)的特点是人类活动较少、前体排放较低、气象条件较湿冷、植被覆盖较密集。这可能会导致内陆地区产生较少的化学 O3 和较高的 O3 沉积率。内陆地区 8 小时臭氧最高浓度的年平均值(MDA8 O3)比沿海地区低约 15 μg-m-3(即约 15%)。两类地区地表 O3 的日变化相当相似,相关系数为 0.75,表明大尺度的影响因素相似,如天气模式、区域 O3 迁移和背景 O3。2016-2020 年间,所有地区的 O3 浓度均呈现 "先升后降 "的趋势,2017 年和 2018 年达到峰值。在沿海地区,日 MDA8 O3 与太阳辐射的相关性最大,而在内陆地区,则与相对湿度的相关性最大。从昼夜变化来看,在大多数季节的早晨,内陆地区的臭氧浓度比沿海地区增加得更快,这主要是由于温度上升得更快,湿度下降得更快。而在傍晚,内陆地区的 O3 浓度下降速度比沿海地区快,这主要是由于内陆地区的滴定效应较强。从季节上看,两个地区的臭氧浓度都有双峰变化,春秋两季有两个峰值,夏季和冬季有两个谷值。我们发现,夏季的低谷与夏季亚洲季风有关,季风引起大尺度对流,使当地的 O3 浓度上升,但阻碍了 O3 的向下流入;而冬季的低谷则是由于 O3 生成量低造成的。沿海地区的超标天数(每年约 30 天)多于内陆地区(每年约 5-10 天),O3 主要来自东北部。总体而言,中国东南部内陆和沿海地区 O3 浓度的异同比较独特,反映了与地理相关的气象、O3 前体排放和植被对地表 O3 浓度的共同影响。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of Speleotherapy on Aerobiota: A Case Study from the Sežana Hospital Cave, Slovenia 洞穴疗法对空气生物群的影响:斯洛文尼亚塞扎纳医院洞穴案例研究
Pub Date : 2024-04-24 DOI: 10.3390/atmos15050518
R. Tomazin, Andreja Kukec, Viktor Švigelj, Janez Mulec, Tadeja Matos
Speleotherapy is one of the non-pharmacological methods for the treatment and rehabilitation of patients with chronic respiratory diseases, especially those with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and asthma. On the one hand, one of the alleged main advantages of speleotherapeutic caves is the low microbial load in the air and the absence of other aeroallergens, but on the other hand, due to the lack of comprehensive air monitoring, there is little information on the pristine and human-influenced aerobiota in such environments. The aim of this study was to assess the anthropogenic effects of speleotherapy on the air microbiota and to investigate its potential impact on human health in Sežana Hospital Cave (Slovenia). From May 2020 to January 2023, air samples were collected in the cave before and after speleotherapeutic activities using two different volumetric air sampling methods—impaction and impingement—to isolate airborne microbiota. Along with sampling, environmental data were measured (CO2, humidity, wind, and temperature) to explore the anthropogenic effects on the aerobiota. While the presence of patients increased microbial concentrations by at least 83.3%, other parameters exhibited a lower impact or were attributed to seasonal changes. The structure and dynamics of the airborne microbiota are similar to those in show caves, indicating anthropization of the cave. Locally, concentrations of culturable microorganisms above 1000 CFU/m3 were detected, which could have negative or unpredictable effects on the autochthonous microbiota and possibly on human health. A mixture of bacteria and fungi typically associated with human microbiota was found in the air and identified by MALDI-TOF MS with a 90.9% identification success rate. Micrococcus luteus, Kocuria rosea, Staphylococcus hominis, and Staphylococcus capitis were identified as reliable indicators of cave anthropization.
洞穴疗法是治疗和康复慢性呼吸道疾病患者,尤其是慢性阻塞性肺病(COPD)和哮喘患者的非药物方法之一。一方面,据称岩洞疗法的主要优势之一是空气中微生物含量低,且不存在其他空气过敏原,但另一方面,由于缺乏全面的空气监测,有关此类环境中原始空气生物群和受人类影响的空气生物群的信息很少。本研究旨在评估洞穴疗法对空气微生物群的人为影响,并调查其对 Sežana 医院洞穴(斯洛文尼亚)人类健康的潜在影响。2020 年 5 月至 2023 年 1 月期间,采用两种不同的体积空气采样方法--压入法和撞击法--在洞穴内采集了岩浆治疗活动前后的空气样本,以分离空气中的微生物群。在采样的同时,还测量了环境数据(二氧化碳、湿度、风力和温度),以探讨人为因素对空气生物群的影响。虽然病人的存在使微生物浓度增加了至少 83.3%,但其他参数的影响较小,或归因于季节变化。空气中微生物群的结构和动态与表演洞穴中的微生物群相似,这表明该洞穴的人类化。局部地区检测到可培养微生物的浓度超过 1000 CFU/m3,这可能会对自生微生物群产生负面或不可预测的影响,甚至可能影响人类健康。在空气中发现了通常与人类微生物群相关的细菌和真菌混合物,并通过 MALDI-TOF MS 进行了鉴定,鉴定成功率为 90.9%。经鉴定,黄微球菌(Micrococcus luteus)、蔷薇科球菌(Kocuria rosea)、人葡萄球菌(Staphylococcus hominis)和头状葡萄球菌(Staphylococcus capitis)是洞穴人类化的可靠指标。
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引用次数: 0
Machine Learning Forecast of Dust Storm Frequency in Saudi Arabia Using Multiple Features 利用多种特征对沙特阿拉伯沙尘暴频率进行机器学习预测
Pub Date : 2024-04-24 DOI: 10.3390/atmos15050520
Reem K. Alshammari, Omer Alrwais, Mehmet Sabih Aksoy
Dust storms are significant atmospheric events that impact air quality, public health, and visibility, especially in arid Saudi Arabia. This study aimed to develop dust storm frequency predictions for Riyadh, Jeddah, and Dammam by integrating meteorological and environmental variables. Our models include multiple linear regression, support vector machine, gradient boosting regression tree, long short-term memory (LSTM), and temporal convolutional network (TCN). This study highlights the effectiveness of LSTM and TCN models in capturing the complex temporal dynamics of dust storms and demonstrates that they outperform traditional methods, as evidenced by their lower mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) values and higher R2 score. In Riyadh, the TCN model demonstrates its remarkable performance, with an R2 score of 0.51, an MAE of 2.80, and an RMSE of 3.48, highlighting its precision, adaptability, and responsiveness to changes in dust storm frequency. Conversely, in Dammam, the LSTM model proved to be the most accurate, achieving an MAE of 3.02, RMSE of 3.64, and R2 score of 0.64. In Jeddah, the LSTM model also exhibited an MAE of 2.48 and an RMSE of 2.96. This research shows the potential of using deep learning models to improve the accuracy and reliability of dust storm frequency forecasts.
沙尘暴是影响空气质量、公众健康和能见度的重大大气事件,尤其是在干旱的沙特阿拉伯。本研究旨在通过整合气象和环境变量,对利雅得、吉达和达曼的沙尘暴频率进行预测。我们的模型包括多元线性回归、支持向量机、梯度提升回归树、长短期记忆(LSTM)和时序卷积网络(TCN)。本研究强调了 LSTM 和 TCN 模型在捕捉沙尘暴复杂的时间动态方面的有效性,并证明它们优于传统方法,其较低的平均绝对误差 (MAE) 值和均方根误差 (RMSE) 值以及较高的 R2 得分就是证明。在利雅得,TCN 模型表现出色,R2 得分为 0.51,平均绝对误差为 2.80,均方根误差为 3.48,突显了其精确性、适应性和对沙尘暴频率变化的响应能力。相反,在达曼,LSTM 模型被证明是最准确的,其 MAE 为 3.02,RMSE 为 3.64,R2 为 0.64。在吉达,LSTM 模型的 MAE 也达到了 2.48,RMSE 为 2.96。这项研究表明,使用深度学习模型可以提高沙尘暴频率预报的准确性和可靠性。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of Climate Change on Runoff in the Heihe River Basin, China 气候变化对中国黑河流域径流的影响
Pub Date : 2024-04-23 DOI: 10.3390/atmos15050516
Qin Liu, Peng Cheng, Meixia Lyu, Xinyang Yan, Qingping Xiao, Xiaoqin Li, Lei Wang, Lili Bao
Located in the central part of the arid regions of Northwest China, the Heihe River Basin (HRB) plays an important role in wind prevention, sand fixation, and soil and water conservation as the second largest inland river basin. In the context of the warming and wetting climate observed in Northwest China, the situation of the ecological environment in the HRB is of significant concern. Using the data from meteorological observation stations, grid fusion and hydrological monitoring, this study analyzes the multi-scale climate changes in the HRB and their impacts on runoff. In addition, predictive models for runoff in the upper and middle reaches were developed using machine learning methods. The results indicate that the climate in the HRB has experienced an overall warming and wetting trend over the past 60 years. At the same time, there are clear regional variabilities in the climate changes. Precipitation shows decreasing trends in the northwestern part of the HRB, while it shows increases at rates higher than the regional average in the southeastern part. Moreover, the temperature increases are generally smaller in the upper reaches than those in the middle and lower reaches. Over the past 60 years, there has been a remarkable increase in runoff at the Yingluo Gorge (YL) hydrological station, which exhibits a distinct “single-peak” pattern in the variation of monthly runoff. The annual runoff volume at the YL (ZY) hydrological station is significantly correlated with the precipitation in the upper (middle) reaches, indicating the precipitation is the primary influencing factor determining the annual runoff. Temperature has a significant impact only on the runoff in the upper reaches, while its impact is not significant in the middle reaches. The models trained by the support vector machines and random forest models perform best in predicting the annual runoff and monthly runoff, respectively. This study can provide a scientific basis for environmental protection and sustainable development in the HRB.
黑河流域位于中国西北干旱地区中部,作为中国第二大内陆河流域,在防风固沙和水土保持方面发挥着重要作用。在中国西北地区气候变暖变湿的背景下,黑河流域的生态环境状况备受关注。本研究利用气象观测站数据、网格融合数据和水文监测数据,分析了黄河流域多尺度气候变化及其对径流的影响。此外,还利用机器学习方法开发了中上游径流预测模型。研究结果表明,在过去的 60 年中,库尔勒河谷地区的气候经历了整体变暖和湿润的趋势。同时,气候变化也存在明显的区域差异。该地区西北部的降水量呈下降趋势,而东南部的降水量则以高于地区平均水平的速度增加。此外,上游地区的气温升幅普遍小于中下游地区。在过去 60 年中,莺落峡水文站的径流量显著增加,月径流量变化呈现明显的 "单峰 "模式。莺落峡(ZY)水文站的年径流量与上(中)游降水量呈显著正相关,表明降水量是决定年径流量的主要影响因素。温度仅对上游的径流量有明显影响,而对中游的影响不大。支持向量机和随机森林模型分别对年径流量和月径流量的预测效果最好。这项研究可为人力资源局的环境保护和可持续发展提供科学依据。
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引用次数: 0
Drone-Assisted Particulate Matter Measurement in Air Monitoring: A Patent Review 空气监测中的无人机辅助颗粒物测量:专利回顾
Pub Date : 2024-04-23 DOI: 10.3390/atmos15050515
Eladio Altamira-Colado, Daniel Cuevas-González, Marco A. Reyna, Juan-Pablo García-Vázquez, R. L. Avitia, Alvaro R Osornio-Vargas
Air pollution is caused by the presence of polluting elements. Ozone (O3), carbon monoxide (CO), carbon dioxide (CO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and particulate matter (PM) are the most controlled gasses because they can be released into the atmosphere naturally or as a result of human activity, which affects air quality and causes disease and premature death in exposed people. Depending on the substance being measured, ambient air monitors have different types of air quality sensors. In recent years, there has been a growing interest in designing drones as mobile sensors for monitoring air pollution. Therefore, the objective of this paper is to provide a comprehensive patent review to gain insight into the proprietary technologies currently used in drones used to monitor outdoor air pollution. Patent searches were conducted using three different patent search engines: Google Patents, WIPO’s Patentscope, and the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO). The analysis of each patent consists of extracting data that supply information regarding the type of drone, sensor, or equipment for measuring PM, the lack or presence of a cyclone separator, and the ability to process the turbulence generated by the drone’s propellers. A total of 1473 patent documents were retrieved using the search engine. However, only 13 met the inclusion criteria, including patent documents reporting drone designs for outdoor air pollution monitoring. Therefore, was found that most patents fall under class G01N (measurement; testing) according to the International Patents Classification, where the most common sensors and devices are infrared or visible light cameras, cleaning devices, and GPS tracking devices. The most common tasks performed by drones are air pollution monitoring, assessment, and control. These categories cover different aspects of the air pollution management cycle and are essential to effectively address this environmental problem.
空气污染是由污染元素的存在造成的。臭氧 (O3)、一氧化碳 (CO)、二氧化碳 (CO2)、二氧化氮 (NO2)、二氧化硫 (SO2) 和微粒物质 (PM) 是最受控制的气体,因为它们可以自然释放到大气中,也可以由于人类活动而释放到大气中,从而影响空气质量,导致暴露在空气中的人患病和过早死亡。根据测量物质的不同,环境空气监测仪有不同类型的空气质量传感器。近年来,人们对设计无人机作为监测空气污染的移动传感器越来越感兴趣。因此,本文旨在提供一份全面的专利综述,以深入了解目前用于监测室外空气污染的无人机所使用的专利技术。本文使用三种不同的专利搜索引擎进行专利检索:谷歌专利、世界知识产权组织 Patentscope 和美国专利商标局 (USPTO)。对每项专利的分析包括提取数据,这些数据提供了有关无人机、传感器或可吸入颗粒物测量设备的类型、旋风分离器的有无以及处理无人机螺旋桨产生的湍流的能力等信息。使用搜索引擎共检索到 1473 份专利文件。然而,只有 13 篇符合纳入标准,其中包括报告用于室外空气污染监测的无人机设计的专利文件。因此,根据国际专利分类,大多数专利属于 G01N 类(测量;测试),其中最常见的传感器和设备是红外或可见光摄像机、清洁设备和 GPS 跟踪设备。无人机执行的最常见任务是空气污染监测、评估和控制。这些类别涵盖了空气污染管理周期的不同方面,对于有效解决这一环境问题至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
An Improved Deep Learning Approach Considering Spatiotemporal Heterogeneity for PM2.5 Prediction: A Case Study of Xinjiang, China 考虑时空异质性的改进型深度学习方法用于 PM2.5 预测:中国新疆案例研究
Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI: 10.3390/atmos15040460
Yajing Wu, Zhangyan Xu, Liping Xu, Jianxin Wei
Prediction of fine particulate matter with particle size less than 2.5 µm (PM2.5) is an important component of atmospheric pollution warning and control management. In this study, we propose a deep learning model, namely, a spatiotemporal weighted neural network (STWNN), to address the challenge of poor long-term PM2.5 prediction in areas with sparse and uneven stations. The model, which is based on convolutional neural network–bidirectional long short-term memory (CNN–Bi-LSTM) and attention mechanisms and uses a geospatial data-driven approach, considers the spatiotemporal heterogeneity effec It is correct.ts of PM2.5. This approach effectively overcomes instability caused by sparse station data in forecasting daily average PM2.5 concentrations over the next week. The effectiveness of the STWNN model was evaluated using the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region as the study area. Experimental results demonstrate that the STWNN exhibits higher performance (RMSE = 10.29, MAE = 6.4, R2 = 0.96, and IA = 0.81) than other models in overall prediction and seasonal clustering. Furthermore, the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was introduced to calculate the contribution and spatiotemporal variation of feature variables after the STWNN prediction model. The SHAP results indicate that the STWNN has significant potential in improving the performance of long-term PM2.5 prediction at the regional station level. Analyzing spatiotemporal differences in key feature variables that influence PM2.5 provides a scientific foundation for long-term pollution control and supports emergency response planning for heavy pollution events.
粒径小于 2.5 µm 的细颗粒物(PM2.5)预测是大气污染预警和控制管理的重要组成部分。在本研究中,我们提出了一种深度学习模型,即时空加权神经网络(STWNN),以解决在站点稀疏且不均衡的地区长期 PM2.5 预测效果不佳的难题。该模型基于卷积神经网络-双向长短期记忆(CNN-Bi-LSTM)和注意力机制,采用地理空间数据驱动方法,考虑了 PM2.5 的时空异质性效应。这种方法在预测下一周 PM2.5 的日平均浓度时,有效克服了因站点数据稀少而造成的不稳定性。以新疆维吾尔自治区为研究区域,对 STWNN 模型的有效性进行了评估。实验结果表明,STWNN 在整体预测和季节聚类方面比其他模型表现出更高的性能(RMSE = 10.29、MAE = 6.4、R2 = 0.96 和 IA = 0.81)。此外,还引入了 SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)方法来计算 STWNN 预测模型后特征变量的贡献和时空变化。SHAP结果表明,STWNN在提高区域台站水平的长期PM2.5预测性能方面具有巨大潜力。分析影响 PM2.5 的关键特征变量的时空差异可为长期污染控制提供科学依据,并支持重污染事件的应急响应规划。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of the Concentration of XCO2 from Thermal Infrared Satellite Data Based on Ensemble Learning 基于集合学习的热红外卫星数据 XCO2 浓度估算
Pub Date : 2024-01-19 DOI: 10.3390/atmos15010118
Xiaoyong Gong, Ying Zhang, Meng Fan, Xinxin Zhang, Shipeng Song, Zhongbin Li
Global temperatures are continuing to rise as atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations increase, and climate warming has become a major challenge to global sustainable development. The Cross-Track Infrared Sounder (CrIS) instrument is a Fourier transform spectrometer with 0.625 cm−1 spectral resolution covering a 15 μm CO2-absorbing band, providing a way of monitoring CO2 with on a large scale twice a day. This paper proposes a method to predict the concentration of column-averaged CO2 (XCO2) from thermal infrared satellite data using ensemble learning to avoid the iterative computations of radiative transfer models, which are necessary for optimization estimation (OE). The training data set is constructed with CrIS satellite data, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) meteorological parameters, and ground-based observations. The training set was processed using two methods: correlation significance analysis (abbreviated as CSA) and principal component analysis (PCA). Extreme Gradient Boosters (XGBoost), Extreme Random Trees (ERT), and Gradient Boost Regression Tree (GBRT) are used for training and learning to develop the new retrieval model. The results showed that the R2 of XCO2 prediction built from the PCA dataset was bigger than that from the CSA dataset. These three learning models were verified by validation sets, and the ERT model showed the best agreement between model predictions and the truth (R2 = 0.9006, RMSE = 0.7994 ppmv, MAE = 0.5804 ppmv). The ERT model was finally selected to estimate the concentrations of XCO2. The deviation of XCO2 predictions of 12 TCCON sites in 2019 was within ±1 ppm. The monthly averages of XCO2 concentrations in close agreement with TCCON ground observations were grouped into four regions: Asia (R2 = 0.9671, RMSE = 0.7072 ppmv), Europe (R2 = 0.9703, RMSE = 0.8733 ppmv), North America (R2 = 0.9800, RMSE = 0.6187 ppmv), and Oceania (R2 = 0.9558, RMSE = 0.4614 ppmv).
随着大气中二氧化碳(CO2)浓度的增加,全球气温持续上升,气候变暖已成为全球可持续发展面临的重大挑战。交叉轨道红外探测仪(CrIS)是一种傅立叶变换光谱仪,光谱分辨率为 0.625 cm-1,覆盖 15 μm 二氧化碳吸收波段,提供了一种每天两次大规模监测二氧化碳的方法。本文提出了一种利用集合学习从热红外卫星数据预测柱平均二氧化碳(XCO2)浓度的方法,以避免优化估计(OE)所需的辐射传递模型迭代计算。训练数据集由 CrIS 卫星数据、欧洲中期天气预报中心 (ECMWF) Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) 气象参数和地面观测数据组成。训练集采用两种方法处理:相关显著性分析(简称 CSA)和主成分分析(PCA)。使用极端梯度提升器(XGBoost)、极端随机树(ERT)和梯度提升回归树(GBRT)进行训练和学习,以开发新的检索模型。结果表明,利用 PCA 数据集建立的 XCO2 预测模型的 R2 比利用 CSA 数据集建立的预测模型的 R2 大。这三种学习模型都经过了验证集的验证,其中 ERT 模型的预测结果与真实值的一致性最好(R2 = 0.9006,RMSE = 0.7994 ppmv,MAE = 0.5804 ppmv)。最终选择 ERT 模型来估算 XCO2 的浓度。2019 年 12 个 TCCON 站点的 XCO2 预测值偏差在 ±1 ppm 范围内。与 TCCON 地面观测数据接近的 XCO2 浓度月平均值被划分为四个区域:亚洲(R2 = 0.9671,RMSE = 0.7072 ppmv)、欧洲(R2 = 0.9703,RMSE = 0.8733 ppmv)、北美洲(R2 = 0.9800,RMSE = 0.6187 ppmv)和大洋洲(R2 = 0.9558,RMSE = 0.4614 ppmv)。
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引用次数: 0
Interdecadal Change in the Covariability of the Tibetan Plateau and Indian Summer Precipitation and Associated Circulation Anomalies 青藏高原和印度夏季降水可变性的年代际变化及相关环流异常
Pub Date : 2024-01-19 DOI: 10.3390/atmos15010117
Xinchen Wei, Ge Liu, S. Nan, Tingting Qian, Ting Zhang, Xin Mao, Yuhan Feng, Yuwei Zhou
This study investigates the interdecadal change in the covariability between the Tibetan Plateau (TP) east–west dipole precipitation and Indian precipitation during summer and primarily explores the modulation of atmospheric circulation anomalies on the covariability. The results reveal that the western TP precipitation (WTPP), eastern TP precipitation (ETPP), and northwestern Indian precipitation (NWIP) have covariability, with an in-phase variation between the WTPP and NWIP and an out-of-phase variation between the WTPP and ETPP. Moreover, this covariability was unclear during 1981–2004 and became significant during 2005–2019, showing a clear interdecadal change. During 2005–2019, a thick geopotential height anomaly, which tilted slightly northward, governed the TP, forming upper- and lower-level coupled circulation anomalies (i.e., anomalous upper-level westerlies over the TP and lower-level southeasterlies and northeasterlies around the southern flank of the TP). As such, the upper- and lower-tropospheric circulation anomalies synergistically modulate the summer WTPP, ETPP, and NWIP, causing the covariability of summer precipitation over the TP and India during 2005–2019. The upper- or lower-level circulation anomalies cannot independently result in significant precipitation covariability. During 1981–2004, the upper- and lower-level circulation anomalies were not strongly coupled, which caused precipitation non-covariability. The sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) in the western North Pacific (WNP) and tropical Atlantic (TA) may synergistically modulate the upper- and lower-level coupled circulation anomalies, contributing to the covariability of the WTPP, ETPP, and NWIP during 2005–2019. The modulation of the WNP and TA SSTs on the coupled circulation anomalies was weaker during 1981–2004, which was therefore not conducive to this precipitation covariability. This study may provide valuable insights into the characteristics and mechanisms of spatiotemporal variation in summer precipitation over the TP and its adjacent regions, thus offering scientific support for local water resource management, ecological environment protection, and social and economic development.
本研究探讨了青藏高原夏季东西偶极降水与印度降水之间的共变率的年代际变化,并主要探讨了大气环流异常对共变率的调节作用。结果表明,青藏高原西部降水(WTPP)、青藏高原东部降水(ETPP)和印度西北部降水(NWIP)具有共变性,WTPP 和 NWIP 之间存在同相变化,WTPP 和 ETPP 之间存在异相变化。此外,这种共变性在 1981-2004 年间并不明显,在 2005-2019 年间变得显著,显示出明显的年代际变化。2005-2019 年期间,略微向北倾斜的厚位势高度异常控制着 TP,形成了上层和下层耦合环流异常(即 TP 上空的异常上层西风和 TP 南翼周围的异常下层东南风和东北风)。因此,对流层上层和下层环流异常会协同调节夏季 WTPP、ETPP 和 NWIP,从而导致 2005-2019 年期间大洋洲和印度夏季降水的共变性。高层或低层环流异常不可能单独导致显著的降水共变性。在 1981-2004 年期间,高层和低层环流异常并不是强耦合的,这导致了降水的不可变性。北太平洋西部(WNP)和热带大西洋(TA)的海面温度异常(SSTA)可能会协同调节上层和下层耦合环流异常,从而导致 2005-2019 年期间 WTPP、ETPP 和 NWIP 的共变性。在 1981-2004 年期间,WNP 和 TA SST 对耦合环流异常的调节作用较弱,因此不利于降水共变性的形成。本研究可对大埔及其邻近地区夏季降水时空变化特征和机制提供有价值的见解,从而为当地水资源管理、生态环境保护和社会经济发展提供科学支持。
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引用次数: 0
Observations and Variability of Near-Surface Atmospheric Electric Fields across Multiple Stations 多个观测站对近地面大气电场的观测及其变化情况
Pub Date : 2024-01-19 DOI: 10.3390/atmos15010124
Wen Li, Zhibin Sun, Zhaoai Yan, Zhongsong Ma
The near-surface atmospheric electrostatic field plays a pivotal role in comprehending the global atmospheric circuit model and its influence on climate change. Prior to delving into the intricate interplay between solar activities, geological activities, and atmospheric electric field, a comprehensive examination of the diurnal fair atmospheric electric field’s baseline curve within a specific region is essential. Based on the atmospheric electric field network monitoring in Yunnan Province in the year 2022, this study systematically investigated the distribution of the atmospheric electric field under both fair-weather and disturbed weather conditions at a quadrilateral array encompassing Chuxiong Station, Mouding Station, Lufeng Station, and Dali Station. The primary focus was on elucidating the variations in the daily variation curves of fair atmospheric electric fields and conducting a comparative analysis with the Carnegie curves. The possible reasons for the differences among them are also discussed in this study, but more observational evidence is required to confirm the specific causes in the future.
近地表大气静电场在理解全球大气回路模型及其对气候变化的影响方面起着举足轻重的作用。在深入研究太阳活动、地质活动和大气电场之间错综复杂的相互作用之前,对特定区域内昼夜公平大气电场基线曲线的全面研究至关重要。本研究以 2022 年云南省大气电场网络监测为基础,在楚雄站、牟定站、禄丰站和大理站组成的四边形阵列上,系统研究了晴好天气和扰动天气条件下的大气电场分布。主要重点是阐明公平大气电场日变化曲线的变化,并与卡内基曲线进行比较分析。本研究还讨论了造成它们之间差异的可能原因,但具体原因还需要今后更多的观测证据来证实。
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引用次数: 0
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Atmosphere
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