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Determining the Optimum Number of Clusters in Hierarchical Clustering Using Pseudo-F 使用伪 F 确定分层聚类中的最佳聚类数
Pub Date : 2023-12-17 DOI: 10.37905/euler.v11i2.23113
Steven Jansen Sinaga, Neva Satyahadewi., Hendra Perdana
Poverty refers to the condition where a person cannot meet the basic necessities based on the minimum living standards. Statistics Indonesia proxied an increase in the poverty rate in North Sumatra Province in 2021 from 8.75% to 9.01%. However, this increase is exclusive to North Sumatra Province, which has Indonesia's 3rd largest number of districts/cities. This study discussed mapping the North Sumatra Province region based on 10 poverty factor variables. The 10 variables are life expectancy, health complaints, poverty line, Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), population growth rate, Expected Years of Schooling (EYS), Human Development Index (HDI), labor force participation rate, open unemployment rate, and district/city minimum wage. The Hierarchical Clustering analysis was employed to compare single, complete, and average linkage methods. The best method was determined based on the pseudo-F statistic value. 4 clusters had complete linkage methods, each of which possessed varied characteristics. Cluster 1 contains cities with the lowest poverty rate, including Medan City and  Pematang Siantar City. Cluster 2 consists of cities with low poverty rates, while Cluster 3 consists of cities with high poverty rates. Cities that are included in Cluster 4 have very high poverty rates, including South Nias District and Pakpak Bharat District. The clusters present significant poverty rate gaps among North Sumatra Province regions.
贫困是指一个人无法满足最低生活标准的基本需求。根据印尼统计局的预测,2021 年北苏门答腊省的贫困率将从 8.75% 上升至 9.01%。然而,这一增长仅限于北苏门答腊省,因为该省拥有印尼第三多的县/市。本研究讨论了根据 10 个贫困因素变量绘制北苏门答腊省地区地图的问题。这 10 个变量分别是预期寿命、健康投诉、贫困线、地区国内生产总值(GRDP)、人口增长率、预期受教育年数(EYS)、人类发展指数(HDI)、劳动力参与率、公开失业率和地区/城市最低工资。采用了层次聚类分析来比较单一联系、完全联系和平均联系方法。根据伪 F 统计量值确定最佳方法。4 个聚类具有完整的联系方法,每个聚类都具有不同的特征。群组 1 包含贫困率最低的城市,包括棉兰市和 Pematang Siantar 市。第 2 组包括贫困率较低的城市,第 3 组包括贫困率较高的城市。第 4 组城市的贫困率非常高,包括南尼亚斯区和巴帕克巴拉特区。北苏门答腊省各地区之间的贫困率差距很大。
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引用次数: 0
Modifikasi Garis Singgung Untuk Mempercepat Iterasi Pada Metode Newton Raphson 修改切线以加快牛顿-拉斐森方法的迭代速度
Pub Date : 2023-12-14 DOI: 10.37905/euler.v11i2.23094
Maxrizal Maxrizal
The Newton-Raphson method is one of the methods to find solutions or roots of nonlinear equations. This method converges faster than other methods and is more effective in finding doubles. In this study, it will be shown that the Newton-Raphson modification uses modifications to the tangent equation. The results show that for every nth iteration, the speed difference of Newton Raphson modification is __. Furthermore, the convergence of Newton Raphson is __, and for Newton Raphson modification is __.
牛顿-拉夫逊法是寻找非线性方程的解或根的方法之一。与其他方法相比,这种方法收敛速度更快,而且在寻找倍值方面更为有效。本研究将证明牛顿-拉夫逊修正法使用了对正切方程的修正。结果表明,每迭代 n 次,牛顿-拉斐尔森修正法的速度差为__。此外,牛顿-拉斐尔森的收敛性是__,牛顿-拉斐尔森修正法的收敛性是__。
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引用次数: 0
Pemodelan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Nusa Tenggara Barat Menggunakan Geographically Weighted Regression 利用地理加权回归建立西努沙登加拉人类发展指数模型
Pub Date : 2023-12-12 DOI: 10.37905/euler.v11i2.23042
Faiqotul Mala, Muhamad Fariq Hidayat
The Human Development Index (HDI) is an indicator for measuring the level of social and economic development of a country or region. The reality is that a local-based model of autonomy is often needed because of the spatial heterogeneity that can occur due to the territory's geographical, social, cultural, or other conditions. This research aims to find spatial effects affecting HDI in West Nusa Tenggara Province. A method that can be used to accommodate is Geographically Weighter Regression (GWR). GWR analysis is the development of multiple linear regression analysis that can address territorial diversity/spatial heterogeneity so as to produce different models and predictions of parameters for each observation region. The modeling was carried out using the Gaussian Kernel Adaptive spatial weigher with an optimal bandwidth value of 27,1227 and a minimum CV value of 5,2927. The GWR model modeling resulted in 10 models for each observation location and showed that life expectancy variables, school expectance, per capita income, and average school-age significantly influenced the IPM in the West Southeast Nusa Province in 2022 with an R2 of 99.92% and a minimum AIC value of -10,0281.
人类发展指数(HDI)是衡量一个国家或地区社会和经济发展水平的指标。现实情况是,由于领土的地理、社会、文化或其他条件可能导致空间异质性,因此往往需要一种基于地方的自治模式。本研究旨在发现影响西努沙登加拉省人类发展指数的空间效应。地理权重回归(GWR)是一种可用于解决这一问题的方法。GWR 分析是多元线性回归分析的发展,可以解决地域多样性/空间异质性问题,从而为每个观测区域生成不同的模型和参数预测。建模采用高斯核自适应空间权重器,最佳带宽值为 271227,最小 CV 值为 52927。通过 GWR 建模,为每个观测点建立了 10 个模型,结果表明,预期寿命变量、预期入学率、人均收入和平均学龄对 2022 年西东南努萨省的 IPM 有显著影响,R2 为 99.92%,最小 AIC 值为-10,0281。
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引用次数: 0
Implementasi Metode Double Exponential Smoothing Brown Untuk Meramalkan Jumlah Penduduk Miskin 采用双指数平滑布朗法预测贫困人口数量
Pub Date : 2023-12-10 DOI: 10.37905/euler.v11i2.23054
Zaenal Ngabidin, Ardhi Sanwidi, Ewing Rudita Arini
The poor population is a group of people who have limited economic resources sufficient to meet their basic needs. Based on the Badan Pusat Statistik Kabupaten Blitar, the Blitar Regency has seen an increase in poor people over the past three years. This is proven by the poverty presentation from 2019 to 2021, which has increased to 8.94, 9.33, and 9.65. This research predicts the number of poor people in Blitar Regency using Brown’s Double Exponential Smoothing method. The results of calculating the best error values obtained from this research, MAD is 4.95, MSE is 49.47, and MAPE is 3.79. The error value calculation is obtained when the alpha error parameter = 0.7. The results of forecasting with Brown’s Double Exponential Smoothing method on the number of poor people in Blitar Regency for the period 2023 to 2027 is as follows: Year 2023 amounting to 100.07259, in 2024 amounting to 96.52018, in 2025 amounting to 92.96777, in 2026 amounting89.42536, and in 2027 amounting 85.86295. Based on the results obtained, it is hoped that this forecasting can help the government determine appropriate policies to improve the welfare of the people of Blitar Regency.
贫困人口是指经济资源有限,不足以满足其基本需求的人群。根据布利塔省统计局(Badan Pusat Statistik Kabupaten Blitar)的数据,布利塔地区的贫困人口在过去三年中有所增加。这一点从 2019 年至 2021 年的贫困率呈现中可以得到证明,贫困率分别上升至 8.94、9.33 和 9.65。本研究使用布朗双指数平滑法预测布利塔尔地区的贫困人口数量。本研究获得的最佳误差值计算结果为:MAD 为 4.95,MSE 为 49.47,MAPE 为 3.79。当阿尔法误差参数 = 0.7 时,误差值计算结果为 4.95,MSE 为 49.47,MAPE 为 3.79。使用布朗双指数平滑法对 2023 年至 2027 年期间布利塔地区贫困人口数量的预测结果如下:2023 年为 100.07259 人,2024 年为 96.52018 人,2025 年为 92.96777 人,2026 年为 89.42536 人,2027 年为 85.86295 人。根据所获得的结果,希望这一预测能够帮助政府确定适当的政策,以改善布利塔尔地区人民的福利。
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引用次数: 0
Penerapan Model Harga Opsi Black Scholes dalam Penentuan Premi Asuransi Jiwa Dwiguna Unit Link 布莱克-斯科尔斯期权定价模型在厘定单位连线 Dwiguna 人寿保险费中的应用
Pub Date : 2023-12-07 DOI: 10.37905/euler.v11i2.23049
Seftiani Seftiani, N. Satyahadewi, N. M. Huda
Unit-linked life insurance is one of the most popular insurance products. This product connects the element of protection with investment assets in a product. Regarding option pricing, the Black Scholes model is one method that can be used. The advantage of this model is that it is a call option valuation model and is in great demand among financial associations because the option rate obtained from the calculation of this model is an accurate value. This research aims to determine the premium value of unit-linked endowment life insurance by applying the Black Scholes option pricing model. This research begins by selecting the stocks used and completing the information needed, including the insured's age, gender, insurance period, and life expectancy based on TMI in 2011. The return value and stock volatility can be calculated based on the stock data used. Furthermore, applying the Black Scholes option pricing model on customer data with male gender, age 25 years, a selected interest rate of 5.75%, and an insurance period of 5 years obtained a unit link insurance premium value of Rp123,058,412. The results showed that the Black Scholes option price model is determined by stock prices, interest rates, insurance periods, and volatility. When the longer period of insurance taken causes the premium value to be higher, and for different ages, with increasing age, the value of premiums paid will also increase.
单位挂钩人寿保险是最受欢迎的保险产品之一。这种产品将保障要素与投资资产联系在一起。关于期权定价,布莱克-斯科尔斯模型是可以使用的方法之一。该模型的优势在于它是一种看涨期权估值模型,在金融协会中需求量很大,因为通过该模型计算得出的期权利率是一个准确的值。本研究旨在通过应用布莱克-斯科尔斯期权定价模型来确定与单位挂钩的捐赠型人寿保险的保费价值。本研究首先选择使用的股票并完成所需信息,包括被保险人的年龄、性别、保险期限和基于 2011 年 TMI 的预期寿命。根据所使用的股票数据,可以计算出回报值和股票波动率。此外,在男性、25 岁、选定利率为 5.75%、保险期为 5 年的客户数据上应用布莱克-斯科尔斯期权定价模型,得出的单位链接保险费价值为 123,058,412 印尼盾。结果表明,布莱克-斯科尔斯期权价格模型是由股票价格、利率、保险期限和波动率决定的。当保险期限越长,保费价值越高,而对于不同年龄的人来说,随着年龄的增加,所支付的保费价值也会增加。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of Students' Errors in Solving HOTS Problems on Algebraic Materials Based on the Complexity Level of the Problem Based on Bloom's Theory 基于布鲁姆理论,根据问题的复杂程度分析学生在解决代数材料中的 HOTS 问题时出现的错误
Pub Date : 2023-12-06 DOI: 10.37905/euler.v11i2.23053
Yulia Muliana, A. Abdillah, Mahsup Mahsup, S. Syaharuddin, Abdul-Lateef Olamide Ahmodu, M. M. Iddrisu
Mathematics discusses a lot about various kinds of problems that contain numbers that are classified as Higher Order Thinking Skills (HOTS). Math HOTS questions require a high level of thinking to solve the problem. Based on Bloom's theory, HOTS consists of analyzing (C4), evaluating (C5), and creating (C6). This study aims to determine the level of student errors in solving HOTS questions based on Bloom's theory. This research uses mixed method research, which is a combination of qualitative and quantitative methods, where the stages of this research include instrument development, instrument validation, data collection, data analysis and interpretation. The sample of this study used 25 students of class VIII junior high school in Mataram City. Researchers gave 10 essay questions that had been validated by material experts to students as research instruments. The results showed that students' understanding in solving HOTS problems was still lacking. For the error rate, it was found that there were no students who could solve the creating (C6) section with a percentage of 100% error, analyzing (C4) section with a percentage of 60%, evaluating (C5) 24%, applying (C3) 16%, understanding (C2) 12%, and in the remembering (C1) section there were no students who made mistakes with a percentage of 0% error. The biggest error was found in the creating part (C6), where the most mistakes were made by women with an average score of 50.55.
数学中经常讨论各种包含数字的问题,这些数字被归类为高阶思维技能(HOTS)。数学 HOTS 问题需要高水平的思维来解决问题。根据布鲁姆的理论,HOTS 包括分析(C4)、评价(C5)和创造(C6)。本研究旨在根据布鲁姆理论确定学生在解决 HOTS 问题时的错误程度。本研究采用混合法研究,即定性与定量相结合的方法,研究阶段包括工具开发、工具验证、数据收集、数据分析和解释。本研究的样本是马打兰市初中八年级的 25 名学生。研究人员向学生们提供了 10 道经过材料专家验证的作文题作为研究工具。结果表明,学生在解决 HOTS 问题时仍缺乏理解。在错误率方面,创造(C6)部分的错误率为100%,分析(C4)部分的错误率为60%,评价(C5)部分的错误率为24%,应用(C3)部分的错误率为16%,理解(C2)部分的错误率为12%,而在记忆(C1)部分,没有学生出错,错误率为0%。最大的错误出现在创建部分(C6),女性错误最多,平均得分 50.55 分。
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引用次数: 0
Modifikasi Metode Big-M dan Analisis Sensitivitasnya untuk Optimasi Produksi Usaha Kecil Menengah 针对中小企业生产优化的 Big-M 方法改进及其敏感性分析
Pub Date : 2023-12-05 DOI: 10.37905/euler.v11i2.23007
N. Fadhilah, B. Prihandono., Yudhi Yudhi
UKM (Small and Medium Enterprises) X is a business that produces various types of peanut brittle. Rempeyek is suitable as a snack and is popular with children and adults. The production process of UKM X is related to the quantity of demand and availability of raw materials. Therefore, optimal production planning is needed for UKM X to meet customer demand and obtain maximum profits. The problem of production is modeled into linear programming with the method used, namely, the method of Big M. The Big-M method is used because, on the function of the barrier on the production target, there is an equation , so artificial variables must be added to its solution. In this study, a modification of the Big-M method is made, and at the completion stage, it uses iteration with the determinant algorithm of the order of two matrices. The calculation results obtained the maximum profit of UKM X in a week of Rs5.455.775 by producing 56 kg of peanuts, 20 kg of seeds, 16 kg of spinach, 23 kg of tempe, and 60 kg of shrimp to meet customer requirements and utilize the availability of raw materials. Subsequently, sensitivity analysis is performed on the target function coefficient and the right street constants of the barrier to determine how the change affects the optimal solution. The results show that the solution remains optimal when profits are in the interval obtained, but the maximum profit value changes with constant production. Based on the calculation results, raw material supplies remain optimal when the change value is within the interval obtained.
UKM(中小企业)X 是一家生产各种花生脆的企业。Rempeyek 适合作为零食,深受儿童和成人的喜爱。UKM X 的生产过程与需求量和原材料的可用性有关。因此,UKM X 需要优化生产计划,以满足客户需求并获得最大利润。使用 Big-M 方法的原因是,在生产目标的障碍函数上存在一个等式,因此必须在其解中添加人工变量。在本研究中,对 Big-M 方法进行了修改,在完成阶段使用了两个矩阵阶次的行列式算法迭代。计算结果得出,UKM X 在一周内生产 56 公斤花生、20 公斤种子、16 公斤菠菜、23 公斤豆豉和 60 公斤虾的最大利润为 5.455.775 卢比,既满足了客户要求,又利用了原材料供应。随后,对目标函数系数和障碍右街常数进行了敏感性分析,以确定变化对最优解的影响。结果表明,当利润在所获得的区间内时,方案仍然是最优的,但最大利润值会随着产量的不断变化而变化。根据计算结果,当变化值在求得的区间内时,原材料供应保持最优。
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引用次数: 0
Arithmetic Mean Derivative-Based Quartet Midpoint Rule 基于算术平均值导数的四元组中点规则
Pub Date : 2023-11-28 DOI: 10.37905/euler.v11i2.22961
Rike Marjulisa, Ayunda Putri
A definite integral that is difficult to solve analytically can be calculated using the numerical integration methods. The midpoint rule is a prominent rule for approximating definite integrals. This article discusses a version of the quartet midpoint rule that includes the derivative of the arithmetic mean . The proposed rule increases precision over the previous rules. Furthermore, the error term is obtained by using the concept of precision between quadrature and exact values. Finally, the proposed rule is more effective than the present rule, according to numerical simulation results.
难以用解析法求解的定积分可以用数值积分方法计算。中点法则是逼近定积分的著名法则。本文讨论的是包含算术平均数导数的四元中点规则的一个版本。与之前的规则相比,所提出的规则提高了精度。此外,误差项是通过使用正交值和精确值之间的精度概念得到的。最后,根据数值模拟结果,建议的规则比现有规则更有效。
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引用次数: 0
Analisis Dinamik Model SIRC pada Transmisi Hepatitis B dengan Sirosis Hati 乙型肝炎传播与肝硬化的 SIRC 模型动态分析
Pub Date : 2023-11-28 DOI: 10.37905/euler.v11i2.22761
Ririn Febriyanti, B. Prihandono., M. Kiftiah.
Hepatitis B is an infection of the liver that can cause liver cirrhosis. Liver cirrhosis can occur due to the formation of scar tissue in individuals who have prolonged hepatitis B. Transmission of hepatitis B can occur in two ways, namely horizontal and vertical. In this research, this problem is modeled in a mathematical model using the SIRC model, where the population is grouped into four sub-populations, namely susceptible (S), infected (I), cured or immune due to vaccination (R) and cirrhosis. liver (C). From the analysis, two equilibrium points were obtained, namely the disease-free equilibrium point the endemic equilibrium point  The basic reproduction number   is obtained using the Next Generation Matrix. The analysis results show that if , then the disease-free equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable, which means that hepatitis B transmission in liver cirrhosis does not spread. Meanwhile, if  , then the disease-free equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable, which means that hepatitis B transmission in liver cirrhosis does not spread. Meanwhile, if , this means that hepatitis B transmission in liver cirrhosis is influenced by contact between susceptible and infectious individuals. To support the results of the analytical analysis, numerical simulations are provided to describe the behavior of the SIRC model.
乙型肝炎是一种可导致肝硬化的肝脏感染。乙型肝炎的传播有两种方式,即水平传播和垂直传播。本研究使用 SIRC 模型对这一问题进行数学建模,将人群分为四个子人群,即易感人群(S)、感染人群(I)、因接种疫苗而治愈或免疫人群(R)和肝硬化人群(C)。通过分析,得到了两个平衡点,即无疾病平衡点和地方病平衡点。 利用下一代矩阵得到了基本繁殖数。分析结果表明,如果出现Ⅳ,则无病平衡点局部渐近稳定,这意味着乙肝在肝硬化中的传播不会扩散。同时,如果 ,则无病平衡点局部渐近稳定,这意味着乙肝在肝硬化中的传播不会扩散。同时,如果 ,则意味着乙型肝炎在肝硬化中的传播受到易感者和感染者之间接触的影响。为了支持分析结果,我们提供了数值模拟来描述 SIRC 模型的行为。
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引用次数: 0
Penerapan Algoritma Rivest-Shamir-Adleman (RSA) pada Enkripsi Uniform Resource Locator (URL) Website untuk Keamanan Data 将 Rivest-Shamir-Adleman 算法 (RSA) 应用于网站统一资源定位器 (URL) 加密以确保数据安全
Pub Date : 2023-11-24 DOI: 10.37905/euler.v11i2.21169
Theodora Tantri Trisnawati, Sherli Yurinanda, Wardi Syafmen, C. Multahadah
PT. Rezeki Surya Gasindo is a company that uses websites to store important company data, one of which is customer personal data. PT. Rezeki Surya Gasindo’s website is protected by a login system. However, a login system alone is not enough to protect the data stored on the website from cases of data theft by third parties. One solution to this problem is to encrypt the website's Uniform Resource Locator (URL) to increase the security level of data stored on the website. In this research, the Rivest-Shamir-Adleman (RSA) algorithm is used for the encryption process. The aim of this research is to determine the process of applying the Rivest-Shamir-Adleman (RSA) algorithm to the Uniform Resource Locator (URL) encryption of the PT. Surya Gasindo's website. The success of applying encryption with the RSA algorithm is observed from changes in the get parameter value that appears in the URL bar. The encrypted message is the customer, the get parameter in the Customer menu, which contains the consumer's personal data. By choosing two large prime numbers, namely 151 and 173, and taking one of the public keys/encryption keys, namely 16379, the result is that the get parameter in the URL bar has changed to the code string 5a9cb05811aa6e4c. The RSA algorithm has been successfully applied to the website URL.
PT.Rezeki Surya Gasindo 是一家使用网站存储公司重要数据的公司,客户个人数据就是其中之一。PT.Rezeki Surya Gasindo 公司的网站受到登录系统的保护。但是,仅有登录系统还不足以保护网站上存储的数据不被第三方窃取。解决这一问题的办法之一是对网站的统一资源定位器(URL)进行加密,以提高网站上所存储数据的安全级别。本研究采用 Rivest-Shamir-Adleman (RSA) 算法进行加密。本研究的目的是确定将 Rivest-Shamir-Adleman (RSA) 算法应用于 PT.Surya Gasindo 网站的统一资源定位器(URL)加密过程。使用 RSA 算法加密的成功与否,可以从 URL 栏中出现的获取参数值的变化中观察到。加密信息是客户,即客户菜单中的获取参数,其中包含消费者的个人数据。通过选择两个大质数,即 151 和 173,并提取其中一个公开密钥/加密密钥,即 16379,结果 URL 栏中的获取参数变为了代码字符串 5a9cb05811aa6e4c。RSA 算法已成功应用于网站 URL。
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引用次数: 0
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Euler : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Sains dan Teknologi
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