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Using specularity content to evaluate eight geothermal heat flow maps of Totten Glacier 利用镜面反射含量评估托滕冰川的八幅地热热流图
Pub Date : 2024-01-04 DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-103-2024
Yan Huang, Liyun Zhao, M. Wolovick, Yiliang Ma, John C. Moore
Abstract. Geothermal heat flow (GHF) is the dominant factor affecting the basal thermal regime of ice sheet dynamics. But it is poorly defined for the Antarctic ice sheet. We compare the basal thermal state of the Totten Glacier catchment as simulated by eight different GHF datasets. We use a basal energy and water flow model coupled with a 3D full-Stokes ice dynamics model to estimate the basal temperature, basal friction heat and basal melting rate. In addition to the location of subglacial lakes, we use specularity content of the airborne radar returns as a two-sided constraint to discriminate between local wet or dry basal conditions and compare the returns with the basal state simulations with different GHFs. Two medium magnitude GHF distribution maps derived from seismic modelling rank well at simulating both cold- and warm-bed regions, the GHFs from Shen et al. (2020) and Shapiro and Ritzwoller (2004). The best-fit simulated result shows that most of the inland bed area is frozen. Only the central inland subglacial canyon, co-located with high specularity content, reaches the pressure melting point consistently in all the eight GHFs. Modelled basal melting rates in the slow-flowing region are generally 0–5 mm yr−1 but with local maxima of 10 mm yr−1 at the central inland subglacial canyon. The fast-flowing grounded glaciers close to the Totten ice shelf are lubricating their bases with meltwater at rates of 10–400 mm yr−1.
摘要地热流(GHF)是影响冰盖动力学基底热机制的主要因素。但它在南极冰盖中的定义并不明确。我们比较了八个不同 GHF 数据集模拟的托特冰川集水区的基底热状态。我们使用基底能量和水流模型以及三维全斯托克斯冰动力学模型来估算基底温度、基底摩擦热和基底融化率。除了冰川下湖泊的位置外,我们还利用机载雷达回波的镜面反射含量作为双面约束条件,来区分局部湿润或干燥的基底条件,并将回波与不同 GHF 的基底状态模拟进行比较。从地震模拟中得出的两个中幅 GHF 分布图,即 Shen 等人(2020 年)和 Shapiro 与 Ritzwoller(2004 年)的 GHF,在模拟冷床和暖床区域方面都有很好的表现。最佳拟合模拟结果显示,大部分内陆冰床区域都是冰冻的。只有中央内陆亚冰川峡谷的镜面含量较高,在所有八个 GHF 中都持续达到了压力融化点。慢速流动区域的模拟基底融化率一般为 0-5 毫米/年,但在中部内陆亚冰川峡谷的局部最大融化率为 10 毫米/年。靠近托滕冰架的快速流动接地冰川正在以每年 10-400 毫米的速度用融水润滑其基底。
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引用次数: 0
In situ estimation of ice crystal properties at the South Pole using LED calibration data from the IceCube Neutrino Observatory 利用冰立方中微子天文台的发光二极管校准数据就地估算南极的冰晶特性
Pub Date : 2024-01-04 DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-75-2024
R. Abbasi, Markus Ackermann, Jenni Adams, Nakul Aggarwal, J. Aguilar, Markus Ahlers, M. Ahrens, J. Alameddine, A. A. Alves Junior, N. M. Amin, K. Andeen, Tyler Anderson, G. Anton, C. Argüelles, Y. Ashida, S. Athanasiadou, S. Axani, Xinhua Bai, A. Balagopal V., M. Baricevic, S. Barwick, V. Basu, Ryan Bay, James Beatty, Karl Heinz Becker, J. Becker Tjus, J. Beise, C. Bellenghi, Samuel Benda, S. BenZvi, D. Berley, E. Bernardini, D. Besson, Gary Binder, D. Bindig, E. Blaufuss, S. Blot, F. Bontempo, Julia Book, J. Borowka, Caterina Boscolo Meneguolo, S. Böser, O. Botner, Jakob Böttcher, E. Bourbeau, J. Braun, B. Brinson, J. Brostean-Kaiser, R. Burley, R. Busse, M. Campana, E. Carnie-Bronca, Chujie Chen, Zheyang Chen, D. Chirkin, Koun Choi, B. Clark, L. Classen, Alan Coleman, G. Collin, A. Connolly, Janet M. Conrad, P. Coppin, Pablo Correa, Stefan Countryman, Doug Cowen, Robert Cross, C. Dappen, Pranav Dave, C. De Clercq, J. DeLaunay, D. Delgado López, Hans Dembinski, K. Deoskar, A. Desai, P. Desiati, Krijn de
Abstract. The IceCube Neutrino Observatory instruments about 1 km3 of deep, glacial ice at the geographic South Pole. It uses 5160 photomultipliers to detect Cherenkov light emitted by charged relativistic particles. An unexpected light propagation effect observed by the experiment is an anisotropic attenuation, which is aligned with the local flow direction of the ice. We examine birefringent light propagation through the polycrystalline ice microstructure as a possible explanation for this effect. The predictions of a first-principles model developed for this purpose, in particular curved light trajectories resulting from asymmetric diffusion, provide a qualitatively good match to the main features of the data. This in turn allows us to deduce ice crystal properties. Since the wavelength of the detected light is short compared to the crystal size, these crystal properties include not only the crystal orientation fabric, but also the average crystal size and shape, as a function of depth. By adding small empirical corrections to this first-principles model, a quantitatively accurate description of the optical properties of the IceCube glacial ice is obtained. In this paper, we present the experimental signature of ice optical anisotropy observed in IceCube light-emitting diode (LED) calibration data, the theory and parameterization of the birefringence effect, the fitting procedures of these parameterizations to experimental data, and the inferred crystal properties.
摘要冰立方中微子天文台(IceCube Neutrino Observatory)在地理南极约 1 千立方米的深冰川冰层上安装了仪器。它使用 5160 个光电倍增管来探测带电相对论粒子发出的切伦科夫光。实验观测到的一种意想不到的光传播效果是各向异性衰减,这种衰减与冰的局部流动方向一致。我们研究了光在多晶冰微观结构中的双折射传播,以此来解释这种效应。为此开发的第一原理模型的预测结果,特别是不对称扩散产生的弯曲光轨迹,在质量上与数据的主要特征非常吻合。这反过来又使我们能够推断出冰晶的特性。由于探测到的光波长与晶体尺寸相比较短,因此这些晶体特性不仅包括晶体取向结构,还包括晶体的平均尺寸和形状与深度的函数关系。通过对这一第一原理模型添加少量经验修正,可以获得对冰立方冰川冰光学特性的定量精确描述。在本文中,我们介绍了在冰立方发光二极管(LED)校准数据中观测到的冰光学各向异性的实验特征、双折射效应的理论和参数化、这些参数化与实验数据的拟合程序以及推断出的晶体属性。
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引用次数: 4
Retrieval of snow water equivalent from dual-frequency radar measurements: using time series to overcome the need for accurate a priori information 从双频雷达测量中检索雪水当量:利用时间序列克服对精确先验信息的需求
Pub Date : 2024-01-04 DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-139-2024
M. Durand, Joel T. Johnson, Jack Dechow, Leung Tsang, F. Borah, Edward J. Kim
Abstract. Measurements of radar backscatter are sensitive to snow water equivalent (SWE) across a wide range of frequencies, motivating proposals for satellite missions to measure global distributions of SWE. However, radar backscatter measurements are also sensitive to snow stratigraphy, to microstructure, and to ground surface roughness, complicating SWE retrieval. A number of recent advances have created new tools and datasets with which to address the retrieval problem, including a parameterized relationship between SWE, microstructure, and radar backscatter, and methods to characterize ground surface scattering. Although many algorithms also introduce external (prior) information on SWE or snow microstructure, the precision of the prior datasets used must be high in some cases in order to achieve accurate SWE retrieval. We hypothesize that a time series of radar measurements can be used to solve this problem and demonstrate that SWE retrieval with acceptable error characteristics is achievable by using previous retrievals as priors for subsequent retrievals. We demonstrate the accuracy of three configurations of prior information: using a global SWE model, using the previously retrieved SWE, and using a weighted average of the model and the previous retrieval. We assess the robustness of the approach by quantifying the sensitivity of the SWE retrieval accuracy to SWE biases artificially introduced in the prior. We find that the retrieval with the weighted averaged prior demonstrates SWE accuracy better than 20 % and an error increase of only 3 % relative RMSE per 10 % change in prior bias; the algorithm is thus both accurate and robust. This finding strengthens the case for future radar-based satellite missions to map SWE globally.
摘要。雷达后向散射测量在很宽的频率范围内对雪水当量(SWE)很敏感,因此有人建议执行卫星任务来测量全球的雪水当量分布。然而,雷达后向散射测量对雪地地层、微观结构和地表粗糙度也很敏感,从而使雪水当量检索变得复杂。最近的一些进展创造了新的工具和数据集来解决检索问题,其中包括 SWE、微观结构和雷达反向散射之间的参数化关系,以及描述地表散射特征的方法。虽然许多算法也会引入有关 SWE 或雪微结构的外部(先验)信息,但在某些情况下,所使用的先验数据集的精度必须很高,才能实现精确的 SWE 检索。我们假设可以使用雷达测量的时间序列来解决这个问题,并证明通过将之前的检索结果作为后续检索的先验数据,可以实现具有可接受误差特性的 SWE 检索。我们演示了三种先验信息配置的准确性:使用全局 SWE 模型、使用先前检索的 SWE 以及使用模型和先前检索的加权平均值。我们通过量化 SWE 检索精度对先验信息中人为引入的 SWE 偏差的敏感性来评估该方法的鲁棒性。我们发现,使用加权平均先验值的检索结果显示,SWE 精确度优于 20%,先验偏差每变化 10%,相对 RMSE 误差仅增加 3%;因此该算法既精确又稳健。这一发现增强了未来基于雷达的卫星任务绘制全球西南环流图的可行性。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling seasonal-to-decadal ocean–cryosphere interactions along the Sabrina Coast, East Antarctica 建模南极洲东部萨布里纳海岸从季节到十年的海洋-冰冻圈相互作用
Pub Date : 2024-01-03 DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-43-2024
K. Kusahara, D. Hirano, M. Fujii, Alexander D. Fraser, T. Tamura, K. Mizobata, Guy Williams, Shigeru Aoki
Abstract. The Totten Ice Shelf (TIS) and Moscow University Ice Shelf (MUIS), along the Sabrina Coast of Wilkes Land, are the floating seaward terminuses of the second-largest freshwater reservoir in the East Antarctic Ice Sheet. Being a marine ice sheet, it is vulnerable to the surrounding ocean conditions. Recent comprehensive oceanographic observations, including bathymetric measurements off the Sabrina Coast, have shed light on the widespread intrusion of warm modified Circumpolar Deep Water (mCDW) onto the continental shelf and the intense ice–ocean interaction beneath the TIS. However, the spatiotemporal coverage of the observation is very limited. Here, we use an ocean–sea ice–ice shelf model with updated bathymetry to better understand the regional ocean circulations and ocean–cryosphere interactions. The model successfully captured the widespread intrusions of mCDW, local sea ice production and the ocean heat and volume transports into the TIS cavity, facilitating an examination of the overturning ocean circulation within the ice shelf cavities and the resultant basal melting. We found notable differences in the temporal variability in ice shelf basal melting across the two adjacent ice shelves of the TIS and the western part of the MUIS. Ocean heat transport by mCDW controls the low-frequency interannual-to-decadal variability in ice–ocean interactions, but the sea ice production in the Dalton Polynya strongly modifies the signals, explaining the regional difference between the two ice shelves. The formation of a summertime eastward-flowing undercurrent beneath the westward-flowing Antarctic Slope Current is found to play an important role in the seasonal delivery of ocean heat to the continental shelf.
摘要沿威尔克斯陆萨布里纳海岸的托腾冰架(Totten Ice Shelf,TIS)和莫斯科大学冰架(Moscow University Ice Shelf,MUIS)是南极东部冰盖第二大淡水库的向海浮动终端。作为海洋冰原,它很容易受到周围海洋条件的影响。最近的综合海洋观测数据,包括萨布里纳海岸附近的测深数据,揭示了温暖的改良环极深水(mCDW)大范围侵入大陆架的情况,以及在 TIS 下方冰与海洋之间的强烈相互作用。然而,观测的时空覆盖范围非常有限。在此,我们利用一个更新了水深测量的海洋-海洋冰-冰架模型来更好地理解区域海洋环流和海洋-冰冻圈相互作用。该模型成功捕捉到了大范围侵入的中密度海冰、当地海冰的生成以及进入 TIS 腔体的海洋热量和体积传输,有助于研究冰架腔体内的海洋翻转环流以及由此导致的基底融化。我们发现,在相邻的两个冰架上,即太印度洋冰架和多印度洋冰架西部,冰架基底融化的时间变化存在明显差异。海洋热量输送由 mCDW 控制着冰-海相互作用的低频年际至十年期变化,但道尔顿海冰区的海冰生产强烈地改变了这些信号,从而解释了两个冰架之间的区域差异。研究发现,夏季在向西流动的南极斜坡洋流下方形成的向东流动的暗流在向大陆架季节性输送海洋热量方面发挥了重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of rock glaciers and their water storage in Guokalariju, Tibetan Plateau 青藏高原郭卡拉日居的岩石冰川及其蓄水量评估
Pub Date : 2024-01-02 DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-1-2024
Mengzhen Li, Yanmin Yang, Zhaoyu Peng, Gengnian Liu
Abstract. Rock glaciers are important hydrological reserves in arid and semi-arid regions. Their activity states can indicate the existence of permafrost. To help further explore the development mechanisms of rock glaciers in semi-arid and humid transition regions, this paper provides a detailed rock glacier inventory of the Guokalariju (also known as Goikarla Rigyu) area of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) using a manual visual interpretation of Google Earth Pro remote sensing imagery. We also estimated the water volume equivalent (WVEQ) in the study area for the first time. Approximately 5057 rock glaciers were identified, covering a total area of ∼404.69 km2. Rock glaciers are unevenly distributed within the three sub-regions from west to east, with 80 % of them concentrated in the central region, where climatic and topographic conditions are most favorable. Under the same ground temperature conditions, increases in precipitation are conducive to rock glaciers forming at lower altitudes. Indeed, the lower limit of rock glaciers' mean altitude decreased eastward with increasing precipitation. Estimates of the water storage capacity of rock glaciers obtained by applying different methods varied considerably, but all showed the potential hydrological value of rock glaciers. The possible water storage in the subsurface ice of rock glacier permafrost was 1.32–3.60 km3. The ratio between the amount of subsurface ice stored in rock glaciers and surface ice stored in local glaciers falls within the range of 1:2.32 to 1:1.26, with an average ratio of 1:1.69. In the west region, where the climate is the driest, the water storage capacity of rock glaciers was estimated to be up to twice as large as that of the sub-region's glaciers. Changes in water resources and permafrost stability in the area where rock glaciers occur will have implications for regional water resource management, disaster prevention, and sustainable development strategies.
摘要。岩石冰川是干旱和半干旱地区重要的水文储备。它们的活动状态可以表明冻土层的存在。为了帮助进一步探索半干旱和湿润过渡地区岩冰川的发育机制,本文利用谷歌地球专业版遥感图像的人工目视判读,对青藏高原郭卡里久(又称果卡日久)地区的岩冰川进行了详细的清查。我们还首次估算了研究区域的水量当量(WVEQ)。我们发现了约 5057 条岩石冰川,总面积达 404.69 平方公里。岩冰川自西向东不均匀地分布在三个次区域内,其中 80% 集中在气候和地形条件最有利的中部地区。在相同的地温条件下,降水量的增加有利于在低海拔地区形成岩石冰川。事实上,岩石冰川的平均海拔下限随着降水量的增加而向东降低。采用不同方法对岩石冰川蓄水能力的估算结果差别很大,但都显示了岩石冰川的潜在水文价值。岩石冰川永久冻土地表下冰的可能蓄水量为 1.32-3.60 立方公里。岩冰川地表下冰层储水量与当地冰川地表冰层储水量的比例在 1:2.32 至 1:1.26 之间,平均比例为 1:1.69。在气候最干旱的西部地区,据估计,岩冰川的储水量是次区域冰川储水量的两倍。岩冰川所在地区水资源和永久冻土稳定性的变化将对地区水资源管理、灾害预防和可持续发展战略产生影响。
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引用次数: 0
Snow accumulation, albedo and melt patterns following road construction on permafrost, Inuvik–Tuktoyaktuk Highway, Canada 加拿大伊努维克-图克托亚克图克公路冻土层上修路后的积雪、反照率和融化模式
Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-5357-2023
J. Hammar, I. Grünberg, S. Kokelj, Jurjen van der Sluijs, J. Boike
Abstract. Roads constructed on permafrost can have a significant impact on the surrounding environment, potentially inducing permafrost degradation. These impacts arise from factors such as snow accumulation near the road, which affects the soil's thermal and hydrological regime, and road dust that decreases the snow's albedo, altering the timing of snowmelt. However, our current understanding of the magnitude and the spatial extent of these effects is limited. In this study we addressed this gap by using remote sensing techniques to assess the spatial effect of the Inuvik to Tuktoyaktuk Highway (ITH) in Northwest Territories, Canada, on snow accumulation, snow albedo and snowmelt patterns. With a new, high resolution snow depth raster from airborne laser scanning, we quantified the snow accumulation at road segments in the Trail Valley Creek area using digital elevation model differencing. We found increased snow accumulation up to 36 m from the road center. The magnitude of this snow accumulation was influenced by the prevailing wind direction and the embankment height. Furthermore, by analyzing 43 Sentinel-2 satellite images between February and May 2020, we observed reduced snow albedo values within 500 m of the road, resulting in a 12-days-earlier onset of snowmelt within 100 m from the road. We examined snowmelt patterns before, during and after the road construction using the normalized difference snow index from Landsat-7 and Landsat-8 imagery. Our analysis revealed that the road affected the snowmelt pattern up to 600 m from the road, even in areas which appeared undisturbed. In summary, our study improves our understanding of the spatial impact of gravel roads on permafrost due to enhanced snow accumulation, reduced snow albedo and earlier snowmelt. Our study underscores the important contribution that remote sensing can provide to improve our understanding of the effects of infrastructure development on permafrost environments.
摘要在冻土层上修建道路会对周围环境产生重大影响,可能导致冻土层退化。造成这些影响的因素包括:道路附近的积雪会影响土壤的热量和水文系统;道路扬尘会降低积雪的反照率,从而改变融雪时间。然而,我们目前对这些影响的程度和空间范围的了解还很有限。在这项研究中,我们利用遥感技术评估了加拿大西北地区伊努维克至图克托亚克图克高速公路(ITH)对积雪、雪反照率和融雪模式的空间影响,从而弥补了这一空白。利用机载激光扫描获得的新的高分辨率积雪深度栅格,我们使用数字高程模型差分法量化了特雷尔谷溪地区各路段的积雪量。我们发现,距离道路中心 36 米以内的积雪有所增加。积雪量的大小受盛行风向和路堤高度的影响。此外,通过分析 2020 年 2 月至 5 月期间的 43 幅哨兵-2 卫星图像,我们观察到道路 500 米范围内的积雪反照率值降低,导致道路 100 米范围内的融雪开始时间提前了 12 天。我们利用 Landsat-7 和 Landsat-8 图像中的归一化差异积雪指数研究了道路建设之前、期间和之后的融雪模式。我们的分析表明,道路对距离道路 600 米以内的融雪模式产生了影响,即使在看似未受干扰的区域也是如此。总之,我们的研究加深了我们对砾石路因积雪增加、雪反照率降低和融雪提前而对永久冻土产生的空间影响的理解。我们的研究强调了遥感技术在提高我们对基础设施建设对永久冻土环境影响的认识方面所能做出的重要贡献。
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引用次数: 0
A computationally efficient statistically downscaled 100 m resolution Greenland product from the regional climate model MAR 来自区域气候模式 MAR 的计算效率高的 100 米分辨率格陵兰统计降尺度产品
Pub Date : 2023-11-30 DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-5061-2023
M. Tedesco, Paolo Colosio, X. Fettweis, G. Cervone
Abstract. The Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) has been contributing directly to sea level rise, and this contribution is projected to accelerate over the next decades. A crucial tool for studying the evolution of surface mass loss (e.g., surface mass balance, SMB) consists of regional climate models (RCMs), which can provide current estimates and future projections of sea level rise associated with such losses. However, one of the main limitations of RCMs is the relatively coarse horizontal spatial resolution at which outputs are currently generated. Here, we report results concerning the statistical downscaling of the SMB modeled by the Modèle Atmosphérique Régional (MAR) RCM from the original spatial resolution of 6 km to 100 m building on the relationship between elevation and mass losses in Greenland. To this goal, we developed a geospatial framework that allows the parallelization of the downscaling process, a crucial aspect to increase the computational efficiency of the algorithm. Using the results obtained in the case of the SMB, surface and air temperature are assessed through the comparison of the modeled outputs with in situ and satellite measurement. The downscaled products show a considerable improvement in the case of the downscaled product with respect to the original coarse output, with the coefficient of determination (R2) increasing from 0.868 for the original MAR output to 0.935 for the SMB downscaled product. Moreover, the value of the slope and intercept of the linear regression fitting modeled and measured SMB values shifts from 0.865 for the original MAR to 1.015 for the downscaled product in the case of the slope and from the value −235 mm w.e. yr−1 (original) to −57 mm w.e. yr−1 (downscaled) in the case of the intercept, considerably improving upon results previously published in the literature.
摘要格陵兰冰盖(GrIS)一直在直接导致海平面上升,预计在未来几十年内这一作用将加速。研究地表质量损失演变(如地表质量平衡,SMB)的一个重要工具是区域气候模式(RCMs),它可以提供与这种损失相关的海平面上升的当前估计和未来预测。然而,区域气候模式的主要局限性之一是目前生成输出结果的水平空间分辨率相对较低。在此,我们根据格陵兰岛海拔高度与质量损失之间的关系,报告了有关将区域大气模型(MAR)所建模的 SMB 从原始空间分辨率 6 公里降到 100 米的统计降尺度结果。为此,我们开发了一个地理空间框架,允许降尺度过程并行化,这是提高算法计算效率的一个重要方面。利用在 SMB 案例中获得的结果,通过将模型输出与现场和卫星测量结果进行比较,对地表和空气温度进行了评估。与原始粗略输出相比,降尺度产品显示出相当大的改进,决定系数(R2)从原始 MAR 输出的 0.868 增加到 SMB 降尺度产品的 0.935。此外,就斜率而言,模拟和测量的 SMB 值的线性回归拟合斜率和截距值从原始 MAR 的 0.865 变为缩小尺度产品的 1.015,就截距而言,从值-235 毫米 w.e. yr-1(原始)变为-57 毫米 w.e. yr-1(缩小尺度),大大改进了以前在文献中发表的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Observed and modeled moulin heads in the Pâkitsoq region of Greenland suggest subglacial channel network effects 格陵兰 Pâkitsoq 地区观测和模拟的瓯江水头表明了冰川下河道网络效应
Pub Date : 2023-11-30 DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-5075-2023
C. Trunz, K. Poinar, L. Andrews, M. Covington, J. Mejia, J. Gulley, Victoria Siegel
Abstract. In the ablation zone of land-terminating areas of the Greenland Ice Sheet, water pressures at the bed control seasonal and daily ice motion variability. During the melt season, large amounts of surface meltwater access the bed through moulins, which sustain an efficient channelized subglacial system. Water pressure within these subglacial channels can be inferred by measuring the hydraulic head within moulins. However, moulin head data are rare, and subglacial hydrology models that simulate water pressure fluctuations require water storage in moulins or subglacial channels. Neither the volume nor the location of such water storage is currently well constrained. Here, we use the Moulin Shape (MouSh) model, which quantifies time-evolving englacial storage, coupled with a subglacial channel model to simulate head measurements from a small moulin in Pâkitosq, western Greenland. We force the model with surface meltwater input calculated using field-acquired weather data. Our first-order simulations of moulin hydraulic head either overpredict the diurnal range of oscillation of the moulin head or require an unrealistically large moulin size to reproduce observed head oscillation ranges. We find that to accurately match field observations of moulin head, additional subglacial water must be added to the system. This subglacial baseflow is likely sourced from basal melt and nonlocal surface water inputs upstream. We hypothesize that the additional baseflow represents strong subglacial network connectivity throughout the channelized system and is consistent with our small moulin likely connecting to a higher-order subglacial channel.
摘要在格陵兰冰原陆地末端区域的消融带,冰床的水压控制着冰运动的季节性和日变化。在融化季节,大量地表融水通过冰沟进入冰床,从而维持了一个高效的冰下通道系统。通过测量冰沟内的水头,可以推断出这些冰川下通道内的水压。然而,犁沟水头数据非常罕见,而模拟水压波动的冰川下水文模型需要在犁沟或冰川下通道中储水。目前,这种储水的体积和位置都没有得到很好的确定。在这里,我们使用毛林形状(MouSh)模型(该模型可量化随时间变化的冰川储水量)与冰川下通道模型相结合,模拟格陵兰岛西部帕基托斯克(Pâkitosq)一个小毛林的水头测量结果。我们利用实地获取的气象数据计算出的地表融水输入量对模型进行加载。我们对毛乌素水头的一阶模拟要么过高地预测了毛乌素水头的昼夜振荡范围,要么要求毛乌素尺寸过大才能再现观测到的水头振荡范围。我们发现,要想精确地与实地观测到的毛乌素水头相匹配,必须在系统中加入额外的冰川下水流。这种冰川下基底水流可能来自上游的基底融水和非本地地表水输入。我们假设,额外的基流代表了整个沟道化系统中强大的冰川下网络连接,并与我们的小瓯江可能连接到更高阶的冰川下沟道相一致。
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引用次数: 0
Regularization and L-curves in ice sheet inverse models: a case study in the Filchner–Ronne catchment 冰盖反演模型中的正则化和 L 型曲线:Filchner-Ronne 流域案例研究
Pub Date : 2023-11-29 DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-5027-2023
M. Wolovick, A. Humbert, T. Kleiner, M. Rückamp
Abstract. Over the past 3 decades, inversions for ice sheet basal drag have become commonplace in glaciological modeling. Such inversions require regularization to prevent over-fitting and ensure that the structure they recover is a robust inference from the observations, confidence which is required if they are to be used to draw conclusions about processes and properties of the ice base. While L-curve analysis can be used to select the optimal regularization level, the treatment of L-curve analysis in glaciological inverse modeling has been highly variable. Building on the history of glaciological inverse modeling, we demonstrate general best practices for regularizing glaciological inverse problems, using a domain in the Filchner–Ronne catchment of Antarctica as our test bed. We show a step-by-step approach to cost function normalization and L-curve analysis. We explore the spatial and spectral characteristics of the solution as a function of regularization, and we test the sensitivity of L-curve analysis and regularization to model resolution, effective pressure, sliding nonlinearity, and the flow equation. We find that the optimal regularization level converges towards a finite non-zero limit in the continuous problem, associated with a best knowable basal drag field. Nonlinear sliding laws outperform linear sliding in our analysis, with both a lower total variance and a more sharply cornered L-curve. By contrast, geometry-based approximations for effective pressure degrade inversion performance when added to a sliding law, but an actual hydrology model may marginally improve performance in some cases. Our results with 3D inversions suggest that the additional model complexity may not be justified by the 2D nature of the surface velocity data. We conclude with recommendations for best practices in future glaciological inversions.
摘要。在过去的 30 年中,冰盖基底阻力的反演在冰川学建模中已司空见惯。这种反演需要正则化,以防止过度拟合,并确保其恢复的结构是对观测结果的可靠推断。虽然 L 曲线分析可用于选择最佳正则化水平,但在冰川学反演建模中对 L 曲线分析的处理一直存在很大差异。在冰川学反演建模历史的基础上,我们以南极 Filchner-Ronne 流域为试验平台,展示了正则化冰川学反演问题的一般最佳实践。我们展示了成本函数归一化和 L 曲线分析的逐步方法。我们探索了求解的空间和频谱特征与正则化的函数关系,并测试了 L 曲线分析和正则化对模型分辨率、有效压力、滑动非线性和流动方程的敏感性。我们发现,在连续问题中,最佳正则化水平趋近于有限的非零极限,与最佳可知基底阻力场相关联。在我们的分析中,非线性滑动规律优于线性滑动规律,其总方差更小,L 曲线的拐角更明显。相比之下,基于几何的有效压力近似值在加入滑动定律后会降低反演性能,但在某些情况下,实际水文模型可能会略微提高反演性能。我们的三维反演结果表明,地表速度数据的二维性质可能无法证明增加模型复杂性的合理性。最后,我们对未来冰川学反演的最佳实践提出了建议。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of snow cover properties in ERA5 and ERA5-Land with several satellite-based datasets in the Northern Hemisphere in spring 1982–2018 利用 1982-2018 年春季北半球多个卫星数据集评估ERA5 和 ERA5-Land 中的雪盖特性
Pub Date : 2023-11-29 DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-5007-2023
Kerttu Kouki, K. Luojus, A. Riihelä
Abstract. Seasonal snow cover of the Northern Hemisphere (NH) greatly influences surface energy balance; hydrological cycle; and many human activities, such as tourism and agriculture. Monitoring snow cover at a continental scale is only possible from satellites or using reanalysis data. This study aims to analyze the time series of snow water equivalent (SWE), snow cover extent (SCE), and surface albedo in spring in ERA5 and ERA5-Land reanalysis data and to compare the time series with several satellite-based datasets. As reference data for the SWE intercomparison, we use bias-corrected SnowCCI v1 data for non-mountainous regions and the mean of Brown, MERRA-2, and Crocus v7 datasets for the mountainous regions. For surface albedo, we use the black-sky albedo datasets CLARA-A2 SAL, based on AVHRR data, and MCD43D51, based on MODIS data. Additionally, we use Rutgers and JAXA JASMES SCE products. Our study covers land areas north of 40∘ N and the period between 1982 and 2018 (spring season from March to May). The analysis shows that both ERA5 and ERA5-Land overestimate total NH SWE by 150 % to 200 % compared to the SWE reference data. ERA5-Land shows larger overestimation, which is mostly due to very high SWE values over mountainous regions. The analysis revealed a discontinuity in ERA5 around the year 2004 since adding the Interactive Multisensor Snow and Ice Mapping System (IMS) from the year 2004 onwards considerably improves SWE estimates but makes the trends less reliable. The negative NH SWE trends in ERA5 range from −249 to −236 Gt per decade in spring, which is 2 to 3 times larger than the trends detected by the other datasets (ranging from −124 to −77 Gt per decade). SCE is accurately described in ERA5-Land, whereas ERA5 shows notably larger SCE than the satellite-based datasets. Albedo estimates are more consistent between the datasets, with a slight overestimation in ERA5 and ERA5-Land. The negative trends in SCE and albedo are strongest in May, when the albedo trend varies from −0.011 to −0.006 per decade depending on the dataset. The negative SCE trend detected by ERA5 in May (-1.22×106 km2 per decade) is about twice as large as the trends detected by all other datasets (ranging from −0.66 to -0.50×106 km2 per decade). The analysis also shows that there is a large spatial variability in the trends, which is consistent with other studies.
摘要北半球(NH)的季节性积雪覆盖对地表能量平衡、水文循环以及旅游业和农业等许多人类活动有很大影响。只有通过卫星或使用再分析数据才能监测大陆尺度的积雪覆盖。本研究旨在分析ERA5和ERA5-Land再分析数据中春季雪水当量(SWE)、雪盖度(SCE)和地表反照率的时间序列,并将其与多个卫星数据集进行比较。作为 SWE 相互比较的参考数据,我们在非山区使用经过偏差校正的 SnowCCI v1 数据,在山区使用 Brown、MERRA-2 和 Crocus v7 数据集的平均值。在地表反照率方面,我们使用了基于高级甚高分辨率辐射计数据的 CLARA-A2 SAL 和基于 MODIS 数据的 MCD43D51 黑天反照率数据集。此外,我们还使用了 Rutgers 和 JAXA JASMES SCE 产品。我们的研究覆盖了北纬 40∘以北的陆地地区,时间跨度为 1982 年至 2018 年(春季 3 月至 5 月)。分析表明,与 SWE 参考数据相比,ERA5 和 ERA5-Land 均高估了北半球 SWE 总量的 150 % 到 200 %。ERA5-Land的高估幅度更大,这主要是由于山区的SWE值非常高。分析表明,ERA5 在 2004 年前后出现了不连续性,因为从 2004 年开始增加了交互式多传感器冰雪测绘系统(IMS),这大大提高了 SWE 估计值,但却降低了趋势的可靠性。在ERA5中,春季负的北半球SWE趋势为每十年-249到-236 Gt,比其他数据集探测到的趋势(每十年-124到-77 Gt)大2到3倍。ERA5-Land准确地描述了SCE,而ERA5显示的SCE明显大于卫星数据集。不同数据集的反照率估计值比较一致,ERA5 和 ERA5-Land 数据集略微高估了反照率。SCE 和反照率的负趋势在 5 月份最为明显,根据数据集的不同,反照率趋势从每十年-0.011 到-0.006 不等。ERA5在五月份探测到的负SCE趋势(每十年-1.22×106平方公里)大约是所有其他数据集探测到的趋势(每十年-0.66到-0.50×106平方公里)的两倍。分析还表明,趋势的空间变异性很大,这与其他研究一致。
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引用次数: 0
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The Cryosphere
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