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On Peirce’s 1878 article ‘The probability of induction’: a conceptualistic appraisal 论皮尔斯1878年的文章《归纳的可能性》:一种概念性的评价
IF 0.5 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-07-28 DOI: 10.1007/s00407-020-00256-x
G. A. Kyriazis

Charles Sanders Peirce wrote the article ‘The probability of induction’ in 1878. It was the fourth article of the series ‘Illustrations of the Logic of Science’ which comprised a total of six articles. According to Peirce, to get a clear idea of the conception of probability, one has ‘to consider what real and sensible difference there is between one degree of probability and another.’ He endorsed what John Venn had called the ‘materialistic view’ of the subject, namely that probability is the proportion of times in which an occurrence of one kind is accompanied by an occurrence of another kind. On the other hand, Peirce recognized the existence of a different interpretation of probability, which was termed by Venn the ‘conceptualistic view,’ namely the degree of belief that ought to be attached to a proposition. Peirce’s intent on writing this article seems to be to inquire about the claims of the conceptualists concerning the problem of induction. After reasoning on some examples, he concluded on the impossibility of assigning probability for induction. We show here that the arguments advanced in his article are not sufficient to support such conclusion. Peirce’s thoughts on the probability of induction surely may have influenced statisticians and research scientists of the twentieth century in shaping data analysis.

查尔斯·桑德斯·皮尔斯在1878年写了一篇文章《归纳的可能性》。这是“科学逻辑图解”系列的第四篇文章,共有六篇文章。皮尔斯认为,要想对概率的概念有一个清晰的认识,就必须“考虑一种程度的概率和另一种程度之间有什么真实而合理的区别”他赞同约翰·维恩所说的“唯物主义观点”,即概率是一种事件伴随另一种事件发生的次数比例。另一方面,皮尔斯认识到概率存在一种不同的解释,文将其称为“概念主义观点”,即应该附属于命题的信念程度。皮尔斯写这篇文章的目的似乎是为了探究概念主义者关于归纳问题的主张。在对一些例子进行推理后,他得出了归纳法不可能分配概率的结论。我们在这里表明,他的文章中提出的论点不足以支持这样的结论。皮尔斯关于归纳概率的思想肯定影响了二十世纪的统计学家和研究科学家对数据分析的形成。
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引用次数: 0
On Peirce’s 1878 article ‘The probability of induction’: a conceptualistic appraisal 论皮尔斯1878年的文章《归纳法的概率》:一个概念主义的评价
IF 0.5 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-07-28 DOI: 10.1007/s00407-020-00256-x
G. Kyriazis
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引用次数: 0
Pascal’s mystic hexagram, and a conjectural restoration of his lost treatise on conic sections 帕斯卡神秘的六进制,以及他遗失的圆锥曲线论文的推测性恢复
IF 0.5 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-07-08 DOI: 10.1007/s00407-020-00251-2
Andrea Del Centina

Through an in-depth analysis of the notes that Leibniz made while reading Pascal’s manuscript treatise on conic sections, we aim to show the real extension of what he called “hexagrammum mysticum”, and to highlight the main results he achieved in this field, as well as proposing plausible proofs of them according to the methods he seems to have developed.

通过深入分析莱布尼茨在阅读帕斯卡关于圆锥截面的手稿论文时所做的笔记,我们旨在展示他所称的“神秘六面体”的真正延伸,并强调他在这一领域取得的主要成果,并根据他似乎已经发展的方法提出这些成果的合理证明。
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引用次数: 8
Polygons of Petrović and Fine, algebraic ODEs, and contemporary mathematics Petrović和Fine的多边形、代数常微分方程和当代数学
IF 0.5 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-06-29 DOI: 10.1007/s00407-020-00250-3
Vladimir Dragović, Irina Goryuchkina

In this paper, we study the genesis and evolution of geometric ideas and techniques in investigations of movable singularities of algebraic ordinary differential equations. This leads us to the work of Mihailo Petrović on algebraic differential equations (ODEs) and in particular the geometric ideas expressed in his polygon method from the final years of the nineteenth century, which have been left completely unnoticed by the experts. This concept, also developed independently and in a somewhat different direction by Henry Fine, generalizes the famous Newton–Puiseux polygonal method and applies to algebraic ODEs rather than algebraic equations. Although remarkable, the Petrović legacy has been practically neglected in the modern literature, although the situation is less severe in the case of results of Fine. Therefore, we study the development of the ideas of Petrović and Fine and their places in contemporary mathematics.

本文研究了代数常微分方程可动奇点研究中几何思想和技术的起源和发展。这就引出了Mihailo Petrović在代数微分方程(ODEs)方面的工作,特别是他在19世纪最后几年的多边形方法中表达的几何思想,这些思想被专家们完全忽视了。这个概念也由Henry Fine独立发展,并朝着不同的方向发展,推广了著名的Newton–Puiseux多边形方法,并适用于代数常微分方程,而不是代数方程。尽管Petrović的遗产引人注目,但在现代文学中却几乎被忽视了,尽管Fine的结果情况并不那么严重。因此,我们研究了Petrović和Fine思想的发展及其在当代数学中的地位。
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引用次数: 3
Mathématiques et architecture: le tracé de l’entasis par Nicolas-François Blondel 数学与建筑:Nicolas François Blondel的图
IF 0.5 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-04-23 DOI: 10.1007/s00407-020-00248-x
Dominique Raynaud

In Résolution des quatre principaux problèmes d’architecture (1673) then in Cours d’architecture (1683), the architect–mathematician Nicolas-François Blondel addresses one of the most famous architectural problems of all times, that of the reduction in columns (entasis). The interest of the text lies in the variety of subjects that are linked to this issue. (1) The text is a response to the challenge launched by Curabelle in 1664 under the name Étrenne à tous les architectes; (2) Blondel mathematicizes the problem in the “style of the Ancients”; (3) The problem is reformulated and solved through the continuous drawing of the curve; (4) Blondel refutes the uniqueness of the curve by enumerating a variety of solutions (conchoid, spiral, parabola, ellipse, circle, hyperbola). This exuberance responds to an intention that does not coincide with the state of the art of mathematics at the end of the seventeenth century, nor with the taste for geometry of the Ancients, nor with any pedagogical project. This feature is explained by Blondel’s plan to found architecture on scientific bases. The reasons for his failure are analysed.

建筑师兼数学家尼古拉斯·弗朗索瓦·布隆德尔(Nicolas François Blondel。文本的兴趣在于与这个问题相关的各种主题。(1) 该文本是对Curabelle于1664年以Étrenneàtous les architectures的名义发起的挑战的回应;(2) 布隆德尔用“古人的风格”把问题数学化;(3) 通过连续绘制曲线来重新表述和解决问题;(4) 布隆德尔通过列举各种解(螺线、螺旋、抛物线、椭圆、圆、双曲线)来反驳曲线的唯一性。这种繁荣回应了一种意图,这种意图与17世纪末的数学艺术状态、古人对几何的品味以及任何教学项目都不一致。布隆德尔计划在科学的基础上建立建筑,这就解释了这一特点。分析了他失败的原因。
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引用次数: 4
Leibniz’s syncategorematic infinitesimals II: their existence, their use and their role in the justification of the differential calculus 莱布尼茨的合范畴无穷小Ⅱ:它们的存在、使用及其在微分学论证中的作用
IF 0.5 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-04-06 DOI: 10.1007/s00407-020-00249-w
David Rabouin, Richard T. W. Arthur

In this paper, we endeavour to give a historically accurate presentation of how Leibniz understood his infinitesimals, and how he justified their use. Some authors claim that when Leibniz called them “fictions” in response to the criticisms of the calculus by Rolle and others at the turn of the century, he had in mind a different meaning of “fiction” than in his earlier work, involving a commitment to their existence as non-Archimedean elements of the continuum. Against this, we show that by 1676 Leibniz had already developed an interpretation from which he never wavered, according to which infinitesimals, like infinite wholes, cannot be regarded as existing because their concepts entail contradictions, even though they may be used as if they exist under certain specified conditions—a conception he later characterized as “syncategorematic”. Thus, one cannot infer the existence of infinitesimals from their successful use. By a detailed analysis of Leibniz’s arguments in his De quadratura of 1675–1676, we show that Leibniz had already presented there two strategies for presenting infinitesimalist methods, one in which one uses finite quantities that can be made as small as necessary in order for the error to be smaller than can be assigned, and thus zero; and another “direct” method in which the infinite and infinitely small are introduced by a fiction analogous to imaginary roots in algebra, and to points at infinity in projective geometry. We then show how in his mature papers the latter strategy, now articulated as based on the Law of Continuity, is presented to critics of the calculus as being equally constitutive for the foundations of algebra and geometry and also as being provably rigorous according to the accepted standards in keeping with the Archimedean axiom.

在这篇论文中,我们试图给出一个历史上准确的表述,说明莱布尼茨是如何理解他的无穷小的,以及他是如何证明这些无穷小的使用是合理的。一些作者声称,当莱布尼茨在世纪之交回应罗尔和其他人对微积分的批评时,称它们为“小说”,他脑海中的“小说”的含义与他早期的作品不同,涉及到对它们作为连续体的非阿基米德元素存在的承诺。与此相反,我们表明,到1676年,莱布尼茨已经形成了一种他从未动摇过的解释,根据这种解释,无穷小和无限整体一样,不能被视为存在的,因为它们的概念包含矛盾,即使它们可以被视为在特定条件下存在——他后来将这一概念描述为“合范畴的”。因此,我们不能从无穷小的成功使用中推断出它们的存在。通过对莱布尼茨在1675–1676年的De quadratura中的论点的详细分析,我们表明莱布尼茨已经提出了两种提出无穷小方法的策略,一种是使用有限量,可以使其尽可能小,以使误差小于可分配的误差,从而为零;以及另一种“直接”方法,其中无穷大和无穷小由类似于代数中虚根的虚构引入,并引入到投影几何中的无穷大点。然后,我们展示了在他成熟的论文中,后一种策略(现在被阐述为基于连续性定律)是如何被呈现给微积分的批评者的,因为它在代数和几何的基础上同样是本构的,而且根据公认的标准,它是可证明的严格的,符合阿基米德公理。
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引用次数: 11
Poincaré’s stated motivations for topology Poincaré关于拓扑的既定动机
IF 0.5 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-03-04 DOI: 10.1007/s00407-020-00247-y
Lizhen Ji, Chang Wang

It is well known that one of Poincaré’s most important contributions to mathematics is the creation of algebraic topology. In this paper, we examine carefully the stated motivations of Poincaré and potential applications he had in mind for developing topology. Besides being an interesting historical problem, this study will also shed some light on the broad interest of Poincaré in mathematics in a concrete way.

众所周知,庞加莱对数学最重要的贡献之一是代数拓扑的创建。在本文中,我们仔细研究了Poincaré所陈述的动机,以及他在开发拓扑时所考虑的潜在应用。除了是一个有趣的历史问题外,这项研究还将以具体的方式揭示庞加莱对数学的广泛兴趣。
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引用次数: 1
Borelli’s edition of books V–VII of Apollonius’s Conics, and Lemma 12 in Newton’s Principia 波雷利版本的阿波罗尼乌斯的《圆锥定理》的第v - 7卷,以及牛顿的《原理》的引理12
IF 0.5 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-01-10 DOI: 10.1007/s00407-019-00244-w
Andrea Del Centina, Alessandra Fiocca

To solve the direct problem of central forces when the trajectory is an ellipse and the force is directed to its centre, Newton made use of the famous Lemma 12 (Principia, I, sect. II) that was later recognized equivalent to proposition 31 of book VII of Apollonius’s Conics. In this paper, in which we look for Newton’s possible sources for Lemma 12, we compare Apollonius’s original proof, as edited by Borelli, with those of other authors, including that given by Newton himself. Moreover, after having retraced its editorial history, we evaluate the dissemination of Borelli's edition of books V-VII of Apollonius’s Conics before the printing of the Principia.

为了解决当轨迹是椭圆并且力指向其中心时的中心力的直接问题,牛顿使用了著名的引理12(Principia,I,sect.II),该引理后来被认为相当于阿波罗圆锥曲线第七卷的命题31。在这篇论文中,我们为引理12寻找牛顿的可能来源,我们将Borelli编辑的Apolonius的原始证明与其他作者的证明进行了比较,包括牛顿自己给出的证明。此外,在追溯了其编辑历史后,我们评估了博雷利版《阿波罗的圆锥曲线》第V-VII卷在《原理》印刷之前的传播情况。
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引用次数: 2
On Qin Jiushao’s writing system 论秦九韶的写作体系
IF 0.5 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-01-04 DOI: 10.1007/s00407-019-00243-x
Zhu Yiwen

The Mathematical Book in Nine Chapters, written by Qin Jiushao in 1247, is a masterpiece that is representative of Chinese mathematics at that time. Most of the previous studies have focused on its mathematical achievements, while few works have addressed the counting diagrams that Qin used as a writing system. Based on a seventeenth-century copy of Qin’s treatise (i.e., Zhao Qimei’s 1616 handwritten copy), this paper systematically analyzes the writing system, which includes both a numeral system and a linear system. It argues that Qin provided a new representation of mathematics in addition to textual procedures, detailed solutions, and operations carried out with counting rods. Moreover, this new representation was used to connect mathematical practices within and outside the text and should be understood in its textual context. Therefore, Qin’s writing system represents an intermediate phase in the textualization and symbolization of Chinese mathematics in thirteenth-century China.

秦九韶于1247年所著的《九章数学书》是当时中国数学的代表作。以前的研究大多集中在它的数学成就上,而很少有作品涉及秦用作书写系统的计数图。本文以一本十七世纪的秦论(即赵其美1616年的手书)为基础,系统地分析了秦论的书写系统,包括数字系统和线性系统。它认为,除了文本程序、详细的解决方案和用计数棒进行的运算之外,秦还提供了一种新的数学表示。此外,这种新的表述被用来连接文本内外的数学实践,应该在文本上下文中理解。因此,秦的写作系统代表了13世纪中国数学文本化和符号化的一个中间阶段。
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引用次数: 3
A proto-Normal Star Almanac dating to the reign of Artaxerxes III: BM 65156 阿尔塔薛西斯三世统治时期的原始恒星年鉴:BM 65156
IF 0.5 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI: 10.1007/s00407-019-00246-8
John Steele

Babylonian methods for predicting planetary phenomena using the so-called goal-year periods are well known. Texts known as Goal-Year Texts contain collections of the observational data needed to make predictions for a given year. The predictions were then recorded in Normal Star Almanacs and Almanacs. Large numbers of Goal-Year Texts, Normal Star Almanacs and Almanacs are attested from the early third century BC onward. A small number of texts dating from before the third century present procedures for using the goal-year periods to predict planetary phenomena. In addition, two texts, one dating to the late sixth century BC and the other to the late fifth century BC, contain planetary data which was probably predicted using these methods. In this article, I discuss a further example of a tablet dating from before the third century BC which contains planetary data predicted using the goal-year periods. I show that the planetary phenomena contained in this tablet can be dated to the twelfth year of the reign of Artaxerxes III (347/6 BC) and that they were predicted using goal-year periods without the application of the kind of corrections which were used in the third century BC texts in order to produce more accurate predictions.

利用所谓的目标年周期预测行星现象的巴比伦方法是众所周知的。被称为“目标年文本”的文本包含对给定年份进行预测所需的观测数据的集合。这些预测随后被记录在《正常恒星年鉴》和《年鉴》中。从公元前三世纪初开始,大量的目标年文本、普通恒星年鉴和年鉴都得到了证实。三世纪以前的少量文本介绍了使用目标年周期预测行星现象的程序。此外,两个文本,一个可追溯到公元前六世纪末,另一个可回溯到公元前五世纪末,包含了可能使用这些方法预测的行星数据。在这篇文章中,我讨论了公元前三世纪之前的一块平板电脑的另一个例子,它包含了使用目标年份预测的行星数据。我证明,这块石碑中包含的行星现象可以追溯到阿尔塔薛西斯三世统治的第十二年(公元前347/6年),并且它们是使用目标年周期预测的,而没有应用公元前三世纪文本中为了产生更准确的预测而使用的那种修正。
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引用次数: 0
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