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Change trend of birth rate of our country population and influence factor analysis 我国人口出生率变化趋势及影响因素分析
Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI: 10.62051/d5kctv83
Ran Yu, Dan Li, Hongyun Gao, Shuang Chen
On the ground of time series analyses, this paper excavates the trend in preliminary and carries out some short-term forecasts about future birthrate variation in wish to shed light on its solutions. This paper attempts to excavate the influence that several dominant factors exert on birthrates via regression analyses. The cluster analyses are utilized to filter out representative provinces as samples for subsequent research in order to tackle the problem that the correlations between dependant variable and each independent variable is not significant. Wielding SPSS as an analytical tool, we construct the regression model about how price level in combination with education level influences the birthrates.
本文在时间序列分析的基础上,初步挖掘了人口出生率的变化趋势,并对未来人口出生率的变化进行了一些短期预测,希望能对其解决方法有所启发。本文试图通过回归分析来挖掘几个主导因素对出生率的影响。为了解决因变量与各自变量之间相关性不显著的问题,本文利用聚类分析筛选出具有代表性的省份作为后续研究的样本。我们利用 SPSS 作为分析工具,构建了物价水平与教育水平共同影响出生率的回归模型。
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引用次数: 0
Obstacle Detection Technology for Autonomous Driving Based on Deep Learning 基于深度学习的自动驾驶障碍物检测技术
Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI: 10.62051/c3evm786
Chenhao Gao
With the rapid growth of artificial intelligence (AI) technology, traditional obstacle detection equipment faces multiple challenges such as high cost, low real-time performance, non normalization, dependence on manual operation, and time-consuming and labor-intensive. To address these shortcomings, this article proposes a deep learning (DL) based obstacle detection technology for autonomous driving on the road surface. As a complex system that integrates multiple key components such as environmental perception, positioning and navigation, path planning, and motion control, one of the core technologies of autonomous vehicles is accurate perception of the surrounding environment. In practical applications, autonomous vehicles often face complex and variable road environments, which may lead to a decrease in the quality of images captured by cameras, resulting in blurry and unclear phenomena. The DL method, especially the object detection algorithm, has shown unique advantages in visual perception and recognition in autonomous driving scenes. This paper deeply studies the obstacle detection technology of automatic driving road based on DL, aiming to achieve efficient and accurate obstacle recognition, improve the safety and reliability of auto drive system, and promote the further growth of automatic driving technology.
随着人工智能(AI)技术的快速发展,传统的障碍物检测设备面临着成本高、实时性低、非规范化、依赖人工操作、耗时耗力等多重挑战。针对这些不足,本文提出了一种基于深度学习(DL)的路面自动驾驶障碍物检测技术。作为一个集环境感知、定位导航、路径规划、运动控制等多个关键环节于一体的复杂系统,自动驾驶汽车的核心技术之一是对周围环境的准确感知。在实际应用中,自动驾驶车辆经常会面临复杂多变的道路环境,这可能会导致摄像头捕捉到的图像质量下降,出现模糊不清的现象。DL 方法,尤其是物体检测算法,在自动驾驶场景的视觉感知和识别方面显示出独特的优势。本文深入研究了基于 DL 的自动驾驶道路障碍物检测技术,旨在实现高效、准确的障碍物识别,提高自动驾驶系统的安全性和可靠性,促进自动驾驶技术的进一步发展。
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引用次数: 0
Automatic Selection and Parameter Optimization of Mathematical Models Based on Machine Learning 基于机器学习的数学模型自动选择与参数优化
Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI: 10.62051/nx5n1v79
Shuangbo Zhang
With the rapid progress of machine learning (ML) technology, more and more ML algorithms have emerged, and the complexity of models is also constantly increasing. This development trend brings two significant challenges in practice: how to choose appropriate algorithm models and how to optimize hyperparameters for these models. In this context, the concept of Automatic Machine Learning (AutoML) has emerged. Due to the applicability of different algorithm models to different data types and problem scenarios, it is crucial to automatically select the most suitable model based on the characteristics of specific tasks. AutoML integrates multiple ML algorithms and automatically filters based on the statistical characteristics of data and task requirements, aiming to provide users with the best model selection solution. Hyperparameters are parameters that ML models need to set before training, such as learning rate, number of iterations, regularization strength, etc., which have a significant impact on the performance of the model. AutoML integrates advanced hyperparameter optimization techniques to automatically find the optimal parameter combination, thereby improving the model's generalization ability and prediction accuracy. This article studies the automatic selection and parameter optimization of mathematical models based on ML.
随着机器学习(ML)技术的飞速发展,越来越多的 ML 算法应运而生,模型的复杂度也在不断提高。这种发展趋势在实践中带来了两个重大挑战:如何选择合适的算法模型以及如何优化这些模型的超参数。在此背景下,自动机器学习(AutoML)的概念应运而生。由于不同的算法模型适用于不同的数据类型和问题场景,因此根据特定任务的特点自动选择最合适的模型至关重要。AutoML 集成了多种 ML 算法,并根据数据的统计特征和任务要求进行自动筛选,旨在为用户提供最佳的模型选择解决方案。超参数是 ML 模型在训练前需要设置的参数,如学习率、迭代次数、正则化强度等,这些参数对模型的性能有重大影响。AutoML 集成了先进的超参数优化技术,可以自动找到最优参数组合,从而提高模型的泛化能力和预测精度。本文研究了基于 ML 的数学模型的自动选择和参数优化。
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引用次数: 0
Automated pricing and replenishment decisions for vegetable products based on evaluation optimization models 基于评估优化模型的蔬菜产品自动定价和补货决策
Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI: 10.62051/601jnn43
Zhichun Wei
Based on the commodity information of the supermarket in the annex, the detailed data of historical sales flow, the wholesale price of vegetable commodities and the recent loss rate of vegetable commodities, and through the data analysis of each category and each single product, the automatic pricing and replenishment decision-making model of commodities is established. Use the optimization evaluation algorithm to formulate the total daily replenishment and pricing strategy of each category and each single product. In order to solve the first problem, firstly, the outliers in the original data of Annexes 2 and 3 are cleaned, normalized, feature selected and dimensionally reduced. Secondly, a quarter is taken as a sales cycle of supermarkets, so as to find the proportion of sales volume of a certain category in the same quarter of three years to the total sales volume, and give the distribution law of sales volume of different categories, the results are shown. Considering different periods again, the daily sales volume distribution law is calculated by taking one day as a sales cycle, and the results are shown. Finally, the Pearson grade correlation coefficient is used to judge the relationship between the processing indicators, and the matrix heat map is obtained. According to the two results, it was concluded that there was a significant positive correlation between the sales volume of mosaic and cauliflower vegetables, and a significant negative correlation between the sales volume of nightshade and aquatic root vegetables. In view of the second problem, firstly, considering the functional relationship between the total sales volume and the cost pricing, the correlation analysis and linear fitting were carried out to obtain the linear relationship between the sales price of each category and  the maximum value of the sales volume of each category in July of the previous year can be described as  Through further nonlinear fitting and optimization problem solving, the total daily replenishment volume and pricing strategy of each vegetable category in the coming week (July 1-7, 2023) are shown in Table 1 and Table 2, which makes the supermarket have the largest revenue In response to the third question, based on the known data, we can analyze the data requirements for each data: we need to know the sales volume of various vegetables during this period, we need to determine the purchase cost of each vegetable, we need to understand the past pricing strategy and response, and we need to know the inventory of various vegetables on June 30. On this basis, a multi-objective dynamic programming model is established, and the total number of saleable items is 30 by using the greedy algorithm to obtain the replenishment quantity of single items on July 1, and the pricing strategy is further solved by using the linear equation fitted in problem 2. In response to the fourth problem , on the basis of the existing sales, wholesale price and loss rate data, in
根据附件中超市的商品信息、历史销售流水明细数据、蔬菜商品批发价格和近期蔬菜商品损耗率,通过对各品类、各单品的数据分析,建立商品自动定价和补货决策模型。利用优化评估算法,制定各品类、各单品的日补货总量和定价策略。为了解决第一个问题,首先对附件 2 和附件 3 原始数据中的异常值进行清理、归一化、特征选择和降维处理。其次,以一个季度作为超市的销售周期,求出三年中同一季度某品类的销售量占总销售量的比例,并给出不同品类销售量的分布规律,结果如图所示。再考虑不同时期,以一天为一个销售周期,计算日销售量分布规律,结果如图所示。最后,利用皮尔逊等级相关系数判断加工指标之间的关系,得到矩阵热图。根据这两个结果,可以得出结论:马赛克蔬菜和菜花蔬菜的销售量之间存在显著的正相关关系,夜交菜和水生根茎类蔬菜的销售量之间存在显著的负相关关系。针对第二个问题,首先考虑总销量与成本定价之间的函数关系,进行相关分析和线性拟合,得到各品类销售价格与上年 7 月各品类销量最大值之间的线性关系,可以说是通过进一步的非线性拟合和优化问题求解、未来一周(2023 年 7 月 1 日至 7 日)各蔬菜品类的日补货总量和定价策略如表 1 和表 2 所示,该超市的收益最大 针对第三个问题,根据已知数据,我们可以分析各数据的数据要求:我们需要知道这一时期各种蔬菜的销售量,我们需要确定每种蔬菜的采购成本,我们需要了解过去的定价策略和应对措施,我们还需要知道 6 月 30 日各种蔬菜的库存量。在此基础上,建立多目标动态编程模型,利用贪心算法求得 7 月 1 日单品补货量,从而求得可销售总数量为 30,并利用问题 2 中拟合的线性方程进一步求解定价策略。针对第四个问题,在现有销售、批发价格和损耗率数据的基础上,为了更好地制定蔬菜产品的补货和定价决策,超市还需要考虑和收集以下 12 个方面的相关数据,以协助规划蔬菜产品的定价和补货决策,如顾客偏好和满意度调查、蔬菜的季节性和供应情况、竞争对手信息、库存成本和储存条件、历史销售数据和趋势分析、顾客流量和购买周期、蔬菜的营养价值和保健功效、社会经济因素、外部环境因素、政策法规因素、技术和创新因素、供应链和物流信息等,以确保决策更加全面准确。其中,主要对历史销售数据和趋势进行分析。
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引用次数: 0
Quantifying Tennis Player Performance: A Linear Regression Approach 量化网球运动员的表现:线性回归方法
Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI: 10.62051/txzhx330
Yuxi Zeng, Siwei Zhong
This paper uses linear regression to quantitatively analyse the performance of players in the men's singles competition at Wimbledon 2023. Firstly, the data is processed by observationally analysing the match data to ensure compliance with the tournament standards and regulations. Next, key metrics were extracted, including short-term and long-term metrics, as well as the introduction of Serve Indicator to consider the impact of serve advantage on player performance. Then, the most important independent variables were identified through Random Forest feature analysis and parameters were calculated using least squares to construct performance indicators for use in linear regression. Finally, through data visualisation and analysis, it was found that player 1 usually performs better at critical moments, showing greater stability and consistency, while player 2 shows greater variability and unpredictability. Overall, the linear regression method in this paper is valuable and practical for quantifying tennis players' performance, and can provide a reference for players and coaches to help them better analyse and improve their performance.
本文采用线性回归方法对 2023 年温布尔登网球公开赛男子单打比赛中选手的表现进行定量分析。首先,通过观察分析比赛数据进行数据处理,确保符合赛事标准和规定。接着,提取关键指标,包括短期指标和长期指标,以及引入发球指标,以考虑发球优势对球员表现的影响。然后,通过随机森林特征分析确定最重要的自变量,并使用最小二乘法计算参数,以构建用于线性回归的性能指标。最后,通过数据可视化和分析发现,选手 1 通常在关键时刻表现更好,表现出更强的稳定性和连贯性,而选手 2 则表现出更大的可变性和不可预测性。总之,本文中的线性回归方法对于量化网球运动员的表现具有重要价值和实用性,可为运动员和教练员提供参考,帮助他们更好地分析和提高自己的表现。
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引用次数: 0
Dietary diversity and healthy weight management in the population: a data-driven analytical approach 膳食多样性与健康体重管理:一种数据驱动的分析方法
Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI: 10.62051/gw2p5t41
Wenwen Zhang, Jianting Ye, Haodi Zhang
Cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases (CVDs), diabetes mellitus, malignant tumours and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), as typical chronic non-communicable diseases (NCDs), have increasingly become the major factors threatening the health of Chinese residents. In view of this, this study aimed to deeply analyse the key indicators and their interrelationships affecting the health status of the population, using the eight dietary balance criteria proposed in the newly revised Dietary Guidelines for Chinese Residents of the Chinese Society of Nutrition to screen and process the relevant health indicators. By constructing a comprehensive evaluation model and visualising the data, this study reveals the irrational factors in residents' dietary habits, such as high-fat diet and excessive alcohol consumption, which pose potential risks to residents' health. In addition, this paper explores the relationship between residents' dietary habits, exercise frequency and healthy body weight, aiming to provide a scientific basis and practical guidance for improving public health.
心脑血管疾病、糖尿病、恶性肿瘤和慢性阻塞性肺疾病作为典型的慢性非传染性疾病,已日益成为威胁我国居民健康的主要因素。有鉴于此,本研究以中国营养学会新修订的《中国居民膳食指南》中提出的八项膳食平衡标准为依据,筛选和处理相关健康指标,深入分析影响居民健康状况的关键指标及其相互关系。通过构建综合评价模型和数据可视化,本研究揭示了居民膳食习惯中存在的不合理因素,如高脂肪饮食、过量饮酒等对居民健康构成的潜在风险。此外,本文还探讨了居民膳食习惯、运动频率与健康体重之间的关系,旨在为提高公众健康水平提供科学依据和实践指导。
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引用次数: 0
Research on Stock Price Prediction and Quantitative Stock Picking Strategy Based on Deep Learning 基于深度学习的股价预测与量化选股策略研究
Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI: 10.62051/v47p3p43
Jiahao Ji
With the continuous development of the domestic stock market and the continuous improvement of the financial system system, and at the same time, the domestic stock market gradually rises in the financial system, based on the prediction research of the domestic stock market will become more and more important. In order to solve the problems of low precision and poor accuracy of short-term stock price prediction, this paper selects the bi-directional long- and short-term memory network of attention mechanism (WOA-BiLSTM-Attenion) model under the whale optimization algorithm for stock price prediction. The modeling of bi-directional long- and short-term memory network with attention mechanism can reduce the loss of historical information and increase the influence of important information. On this basis, Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA) is then used for hyperparameter selection to reduce human interference. The experimental results show that compared with BP, LSTM, BiLSTM, BiLSTM-Attention, the WOA-BiLSTM-Attenion model has a better effect on stock closing price prediction, with a value of 13.9446, and the value of 0.9477, which has a higher accuracy, with a view to providing certain reference for the prediction research in other fields.
随着国内股票市场的不断发展和金融体系制度的不断完善,同时国内股票市场在金融体系中的地位逐渐上升,基于国内股票市场的预测研究将变得越来越重要。为了解决短期股价预测精度低、准确性差的问题,本文选用鲸鱼优化算法下的注意力机制双向长短期记忆网络(WOA-BiLSTM-Attenion)模型进行股价预测。注意机制的双向长短期记忆网络模型可以减少历史信息的损失,增加重要信息的影响力。在此基础上,利用鲸鱼优化算法(WOA)进行超参数选择,减少人为干扰。实验结果表明,与BP、LSTM、BiLSTM、BiLSTM-Attention相比,WOA-BiLSTM-Atttenion模型对股票收盘价的预测效果更好,预测值为13.9446,预测值为0.9477,具有较高的准确性,以期为其他领域的预测研究提供一定的参考。
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引用次数: 0
Passenger Distribution Regulation of Rail Transit Platform in Standard Station Environment 标准车站环境下的轨道交通站台乘客分布调节
Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.62051/f7tqeh31
Shijie Zhang, Haihang Li, Hao Sun
Based on the analysis of the construction characteristics and passenger behavior characteristics of the standard station platform of rail transit, combined with the actual data, under the environment of the standard station, the distribution law of the platform passengers is studied. Through the change of different flow, the influence of the change on the overall distribution is studied, which provides a new idea and method for the study of the passenger distribution on the standard platform of rail transit.
在分析轨道交通标准站台建设特点和乘客行为特征的基础上,结合实际数据,研究了标准站台环境下站台乘客的分布规律。通过不同人流的变化,研究其变化对整体分布的影响,为轨道交通标准站台客流分布的研究提供了新的思路和方法。
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引用次数: 0
Unsupervised Image Classifier based on Manifold Learning 基于 Manifold 学习的无监督图像分类器
Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.62051/31s5nw90
Jinghao Situ
Currently most of image classification tasks are achieved by supervised learning. High-quality datasets naturally bring difficulties in annotation, and the datasets in real-world applications present a nonlinear structure, and the annotation cost grows exponentially with the number of targets and the difficulty of recognisability. In this context, research about unsupervised image classification is the way to go. Traditional unsupervised learning for classification is mostly based on the Euclidean distance and various paradigms, which is unable to extract the nonlinear structure of the dataset. This shortcoming makes the accuracy of traditional unsupervised image classification drop drastically. In this paper, we propose to first extract the nonlinear structure of the original dataset using the manifold learning method, and then produce pseudo-labels through the agglomerative clustering algorithm. The pseudo-labels obtained in this way can effectively retain the special mathematical structure of the original data with high accuracy. The neural network is trained with these pseudo labels to obtain an unsupervised usable image classifier. The classifier can be trained on small-scale data and then applied to large-scale data sets, thus saving the cost of manual labelling. The experiments are carried out by setting up a control group and two manifold learning groups for the extraction of non-linear structures using LLE and Isomap algorithms respectively. After that, the production of pseudo-labels and the training of neural networks are completed, and the accuracy of the three groups is compared. Finally, it is concluded that the correct rate of the two groups that have gone through the manifold learning algorithm to extract the nonlinear structure is much higher than that of the other one, and the image classifier based on the Isomap algorithm achieves an accuracy of 85% in the test set, which is highly practical.
目前,大多数图像分类任务都是通过监督学习实现的。高质量的数据集自然会给标注带来困难,而且实际应用中的数据集呈现非线性结构,标注成本会随着目标数量和识别难度的增加而呈指数增长。在这种情况下,有关无监督图像分类的研究就成了必由之路。传统的无监督分类学习大多基于欧氏距离和各种范式,无法提取数据集的非线性结构。这一缺陷使得传统无监督图像分类的准确率急剧下降。本文提出首先利用流形学习方法提取原始数据集的非线性结构,然后通过聚类算法生成伪标签。通过这种方法得到的伪标签可以有效地保留原始数据的特殊数学结构,而且准确率很高。利用这些伪标签对神经网络进行训练,就可以得到一个无监督的可用图像分类器。该分类器可在小规模数据上进行训练,然后应用于大规模数据集,从而节省了人工标注的成本。实验通过设立一个对照组和两个流形学习组,分别使用 LLE 算法和 Isomap 算法提取非线性结构。之后,完成伪标签的制作和神经网络的训练,并比较三组的准确性。最后得出结论:经过流形学习算法提取非线性结构的两组正确率远高于另一组,基于 Isomap 算法的图像分类器在测试集中的准确率达到了 85%,具有很强的实用性。
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引用次数: 0
Research on Dynamic Venting Characteristics of City Gas Pipeline Networks and Analysis of Software Development 城市燃气管网动态排气特性研究与软件开发分析
Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.62051/2xtdw078
Yu Weng, Xiaomao Sun, Mengjiao Gou, Bohua Liu, Shuang Yang, Zhian Deng
As an important part of the gas pipeline safety system, the venting pipe plays a role in protecting the safe operation of the network and reducing the consequences of accidents, and its design feasibility, rationality and safety are particularly important. In China, most of the online simulation software used for gas pipeline network venting simulation is limited to expensive, poorly controllable software and difficult to design for specific working conditions, so the application of dynamic simulation software for gas pipeline networks is of great importance. In this paper, simulation software is developed for city gas pipeline venting systems, simulations are carried out using a programming language, the usability of the developed software is verified and the influence of different influencing factors on the venting process is investigated using the control variable method of analysis.
放空管作为燃气管网安全系统的重要组成部分,在保障管网安全运行、降低事故后果方面发挥着重要作用,其设计的可行性、合理性和安全性尤为重要。在国内,用于燃气管网放空模拟的在线仿真软件大多局限于价格昂贵、可控性差、难以针对具体工况进行设计的软件,因此燃气管网动态仿真软件的应用具有重要意义。本文针对城市燃气管道放空系统开发了仿真软件,使用编程语言进行了仿真,验证了所开发软件的实用性,并采用控制变量法分析研究了不同影响因素对放空过程的影响。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Transactions on Computer Science and Intelligent Systems Research
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