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What distinguishes conspiracy from critical narratives? A computational analysis of oppositional discourse 阴谋论与批判性叙事有何区别?对反对派话语的计算分析
IF 3.3 4区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1111/exsy.13671
Damir Korenčić, Berta Chulvi, Xavier Bonet Casals, Alejandro Toselli, Mariona Taulé, Paolo Rosso
The current prevalence of conspiracy theories on the internet is a significant issue, tackled by many computational approaches. However, these approaches fail to recognize the relevance of distinguishing between texts which contain a conspiracy theory and texts which are simply critical and oppose mainstream narratives. Furthermore, little attention is usually paid to the role of inter‐group conflict in oppositional narratives. We contribute by proposing a novel topic‐agnostic annotation scheme that differentiates between conspiracies and critical texts, and that defines span‐level categories of inter‐group conflict. We also contribute with the multilingual XAI‐DisInfodemics corpus (English and Spanish), which contains a high‐quality annotation of Telegram messages related to COVID‐19 (5000 messages per language). We also demonstrate the feasibility of an NLP‐based automatization by performing a range of experiments that yield strong baseline solutions. Finally, we perform an analysis which demonstrates that the promotion of intergroup conflict and the presence of violence and anger are key aspects to distinguish between the two types of oppositional narratives, that is, conspiracy versus critical.
当前互联网上盛行的阴谋论是一个重大问题,许多计算方法都在解决这一问题。然而,这些方法没有认识到区分包含阴谋论的文本与单纯批判和反对主流叙事的文本的相关性。此外,人们通常很少关注群体间冲突在反对叙事中的作用。我们提出了一种新颖的主题区分注释方案,可区分阴谋论和批判性文本,并定义了跨度级别的群体间冲突类别。我们还提供了多语言 XAI-DisInfodemics 语料库(英语和西班牙语),其中包含与 COVID-19 相关的 Telegram 消息的高质量注释(每种语言 5000 条消息)。我们还通过一系列实验证明了基于 NLP 的自动化的可行性,这些实验产生了强大的基线解决方案。最后,我们进行了一项分析,证明促进群体间冲突以及暴力和愤怒的存在是区分阴谋与批判这两种对立叙事的关键因素。
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引用次数: 0
An EEMD‐LSTM, SVR, and BP decomposition ensemble model for steel future prices forecasting 用于钢铁未来价格预测的 EEMD-LSTM、SVR 和 BP 分解集合模型
IF 3.3 4区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1111/exsy.13672
Sen Wu, Wei Wang, Yanan Song, Shuaiqi Liu
The forecasting of steel futures prices is important for the steel futures market, even for the steel industry. We propose a decomposition ensemble model that incorporates the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD), Long Short‐Term Memory (LSTM), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Back Propagation (BP) neural network to forecast steel futures prices. The forecasting procedures are as follows: (1) The price data are initially decomposed into several relatively independent Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) and a residue using EEMD. (2) The IMFs are then reconstructed as components representing short‐term, medium‐term, and long‐term frequencies via fine‐to‐coarse. (3) LSTM, SVR, and BP neural network are utilized to forecast the short‐term, medium‐term, and long‐term reconstructed components, respectively. (4) The prediction results for each component are simply added to the final prediction results. The accuracy of the proposed model is compared with several benchmark models by experiments and evaluated by some prediction evaluation indexes. The experimental results show that our model outperforms other models in terms of forecast accuracy, confirming its strong predictive capabilities. This study provides some suggestions for investment and decision making by participants in the steel futures market. It may promote the smooth operation of the steel futures market and shed some light on the operation of the steel industry.
钢材期货价格预测对于钢材期货市场乃至钢铁行业都非常重要。我们提出了一种分解集合模型,该模型融合了集合经验模式分解(EEMD)、长短期记忆(LSTM)、支持向量回归(SVR)和反向传播(BP)神经网络,用于预测钢材期货价格。预测程序如下(1) 首先使用 EEMD 将价格数据分解为几个相对独立的本征模式函数(IMF)和一个残差。(2) 然后通过从细到粗的方法将 IMF 重构为代表短期、中期和长期频率的成分。(3) 利用 LSTM、SVR 和 BP 神经网络分别预测重建的短期、中期和长期分量。(4) 将各分量的预测结果简单相加,得出最终预测结果。通过实验将所提出模型的准确性与几个基准模型进行比较,并通过一些预测评价指标进行评估。实验结果表明,我们的模型在预测准确率方面优于其他模型,证实了其强大的预测能力。本研究为钢铁期货市场参与者的投资和决策提供了一些建议。它可以促进钢材期货市场的平稳运行,并对钢铁行业的运行起到一定的启示作用。
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引用次数: 0
Adaptive weighted feature fusion for multiscale atrous convolution‐based 1DCNN with dilated LSTM‐aided fake news detection using regional language text information 利用区域语言文本信息,为基于无差别卷积的 1DCNN 和扩张 LSTM 的多尺度自适应加权特征融合辅助假新闻检测
IF 3.3 4区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1111/exsy.13665
V Rathinapriya, J. Kalaivani
The people in the world rely on social media for gathering news, and it is mainly because of the development of technology. The approaches employed in natural language processing are still deficient in judgement factors, and these techniques frequently rely upon political or social circumstances. Numerous low‐level communities in the area are curious after experiencing the negative effects caused by the spread of false information in different sectors. Low‐resource languages are still distracted, because these techniques are extensively employed in the English language. This work aims to provide an analysis of regional language fake news and develop a referral system with advanced techniques to identify fake news in Hindi and Tamil. This proposed model includes (a) Regional Language Text Collection; (b) Text preprocessing; (c) Feature Extraction; (d) Weighted Stacked Feature Fusion; and (e) Fake News Detection. The text data is collected from the standard datasets. The collected text data is preprocessed and given into the feature extraction, which is done by using bidirectional encoder representations from transformers (BERT), transformer networks, and seq2seq network for extracting the three sets of language text features. These extracted feature sets are inserted into the weighted stacked feature fusion model, where the three sets of extracted features are integrated with the optimized weights that are acquired through the enhanced osprey optimization algorithm (EOOA). Finally, these resultant features are given to multi‐scale atrous convolution‐based one‐dimensional convolutional neural network with dilated long short‐term memory (MACNN‐DLSTM) for detecting the fake news. Throughout the result analysis, the experimentation is conducted based on the standard Tamil and Hindi datasets. Moreover, the developed model shows 92% for Hindi datasets and 96% for Tamil datasets which shows effective performance regarding accuracy measures. The experimental analysis is carried out by comparing with the conventional algorithms and detection techniques to showcase the efficiency of the developed regional language‐based fake news detection model.
全世界的人们都依赖社交媒体来收集新闻,这主要是因为技术的发展。自然语言处理所采用的方法在判断因素方面仍然存在缺陷,这些技术经常依赖于政治或社会环境。在经历了不同领域虚假信息传播所造成的负面影响后,该地区的众多低水平社区感到好奇。由于这些技术在英语中被广泛使用,低资源语言仍然被分散注意力。这项工作旨在提供对地区语言虚假新闻的分析,并利用先进技术开发一个转介系统,以识别印地语和泰米尔语的虚假新闻。该建议模型包括:(a)区域语言文本收集;(b)文本预处理;(c)特征提取;(d)加权堆叠特征融合;以及(e)假新闻检测。文本数据收集自标准数据集。收集到的文本数据经过预处理后进行特征提取,提取时使用变压器双向编码器表示法(BERT)、变压器网络和 seq2seq 网络提取三组语言文本特征。这些提取的特征集被插入加权堆叠特征融合模型,在该模型中,三组提取的特征与通过增强型鱼鹰优化算法(EOOA)获得的优化权重相融合。最后,这些结果特征被赋予基于多尺度阿特罗斯卷积的一维卷积神经网络(MACNN-DLSTM),用于检测假新闻。在整个结果分析过程中,实验是基于标准泰米尔语和印地语数据集进行的。此外,所开发的模型在印地语数据集上的准确率为 92%,在泰米尔语数据集上的准确率为 96%,显示了在准确度测量方面的有效性能。实验分析通过与传统算法和检测技术的比较来展示所开发的基于区域语言的假新闻检测模型的效率。
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引用次数: 0
KDBI special issue: Explainability feature selection framework application for LSTM multivariate time‐series forecast self optimization KDBI 特刊:可解释性特征选择框架在 LSTM 多变量时间序列预测自我优化中的应用
IF 3.3 4区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1111/exsy.13674
Eduardo M. Rodrigues, Yassine Baghoussi, João Mendes‐Moreira
Deep learning models are widely used in multivariate time series forecasting, yet, they have high computational costs. One way to reduce this cost is by reducing data dimensionality, which involves removing unimportant or low importance information with the proper method. This work presents a study on an explainability feature selection framework composed of four methods (IMV‐LSTM Tensor, LIME‐LSTM, Average SHAP‐LSTM, and Instance SHAP‐LSTM) aimed at using the LSTM black‐box model complexity to its favour, with the end goal of improving the error metrics and reducing the computational cost on a forecast task. To test the framework, three datasets with a total of 101 multivariate time series were used, with the explainability methods outperforming the baseline methods in most of the data, be it in error metrics or computation time for the LSTM model training.
深度学习模型被广泛应用于多元时间序列预测,但其计算成本较高。降低成本的方法之一是降低数据维度,这就需要用适当的方法去除不重要或低重要性的信息。本研究介绍了由四种方法(IMV-LSTM Tensor、LIME-LSTM、Average SHAP-LSTM、Instance SHAP-LSTM)组成的可解释性特征选择框架,该框架旨在利用 LSTM 黑盒模型的复杂性,以改善误差指标和降低预测任务的计算成本为最终目标。为了测试该框架,我们使用了三个数据集,共包含 101 个多元时间序列,在大多数数据中,可解释性方法都优于基线方法,无论是误差指标还是 LSTM 模型训练的计算时间。
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引用次数: 0
Imbalanced survival prediction for gastric cancer patients based on improved XGBoost with cost sensitive and focal loss 基于改进型 XGBoost 的胃癌患者失衡生存预测,具有成本敏感性和病灶损失性
IF 3.3 4区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1111/exsy.13666
Liangchen Xu, Chonghui Guo
Accurate prediction of gastric cancer survival state is one of great significant tasks for clinical decision‐making. Many advanced machine learning classification techniques have been applied to predict the survival status of cancer patients in three or 5 years, however, many of them have a low sensitivity because of class imbalance. This is a non‐negligible problem due to the poor prognosis of gastric cancer patients. Furthermore, models in the medical domain require strong interpretability to increase their applicability. Due to the better performance and interpretability of the XGBoost model, we design a loss function taking into account cost sensitive and focal loss from the algorithm level for XGBoost to deal with the imbalance problem. We apply the improved model into the prediction of the survival status of gastric cancer patients and analyse the important related features. We use two types of indicators to evaluate the model, and we also design the confusion matrix of two models' predictive results to compare two models. The results show that the improved model has better performance. Furthermore, we calculate the importance of features related to survival with three different time periods and analyse their evolution, which are consistent with existing clinical research or further expand their research conclusions. These all support for clinically relevant decision‐making and has the potential to expand into survival prediction of other cancer patients.
准确预测胃癌患者的生存状态是临床决策的重要任务之一。许多先进的机器学习分类技术已被应用于预测癌症患者三年或五年后的生存状况,然而,由于类的不平衡,许多分类技术的灵敏度较低。由于胃癌患者的预后较差,这是一个不可忽视的问题。此外,医疗领域的模型需要较强的可解释性,以提高其适用性。由于 XGBoost 模型具有更好的性能和可解释性,我们为 XGBoost 设计了一个损失函数,从算法层面考虑了成本敏感损失和焦点损失,以解决不平衡问题。我们将改进后的模型应用于胃癌患者生存状况的预测,并分析了相关的重要特征。我们使用两类指标对模型进行评估,并设计了两个模型预测结果的混淆矩阵来比较两个模型。结果表明,改进后的模型性能更好。此外,我们还计算了三个不同时间段内与生存相关的特征的重要性,并分析了其演变过程,这些结果与现有的临床研究一致,或进一步扩展了其研究结论。这些都为临床相关决策提供了支持,并有可能扩展到其他癌症患者的生存预测。
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引用次数: 0
Portfolio construction using explainable reinforcement learning 利用可解释强化学习构建投资组合
IF 3.3 4区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1111/exsy.13667
Daniel González Cortés, Enrique Onieva, Iker Pastor, Laura Trinchera, Jian Wu
While machine learning's role in financial trading has advanced considerably, algorithmic transparency and explainability challenges still exist. This research enriches prior studies focused on high‐frequency financial data prediction by introducing an explainable reinforcement learning model for portfolio management. This model transcends basic asset prediction, formulating concrete, actionable trading strategies. The methodology is applied in a custom trading environment mimicking the CAC‐40 index's financial conditions, allowing the model to adapt dynamically to market changes based on iterative learning from historical data. Empirical findings reveal that the model outperforms an equally weighted portfolio in out‐of‐sample tests. The study offers a dual contribution: it elevates algorithmic planning while significantly boosting transparency and interpretability in financial machine learning. This approach tackles the enduring ‘black‐box’ issue and provides a holistic, transparent framework for managing investment portfolios.
虽然机器学习在金融交易中的作用已经取得了长足的进步,但算法透明度和可解释性方面的挑战依然存在。本研究通过为投资组合管理引入一个可解释的强化学习模型,丰富了之前专注于高频金融数据预测的研究。该模型超越了基本的资产预测,制定了具体、可操作的交易策略。该方法被应用于模仿 CAC-40 指数财务状况的定制交易环境中,使模型能够在历史数据迭代学习的基础上动态适应市场变化。实证研究结果表明,该模型在样本外测试中的表现优于等权重投资组合。这项研究具有双重贡献:它提升了算法规划,同时显著提高了金融机器学习的透明度和可解释性。这种方法解决了长期存在的 "黑箱 "问题,为管理投资组合提供了一个全面、透明的框架。
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引用次数: 0
An efficient object tracking based on multi‐head cross‐attention transformer 基于多头交叉注意力变换器的高效物体追踪技术
IF 3.3 4区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/exsy.13650
Jiahai Dai, Huimin Li, Shan Jiang, Hongwei Yang
Object tracking is an essential component of computer vision and plays a significant role in various practical applications. Recently, transformer‐based trackers have become the predominant method for tracking due to their robustness and efficiency. However, existing transformer‐based trackers typically focus solely on the template features, neglecting the interactions between the search features and the template features during the tracking process. To address this issue, this article introduces a multi‐head cross‐attention transformer for visual tracking (MCTT), which effectively enhance the interaction between the template branch and the search branch, enabling the tracker to prioritize discriminative feature. Additionally, an auxiliary segmentation mask head has been designed to produce a pixel‐level feature representation, enhancing and tracking accuracy by predicting a set of binary masks. Comprehensive experiments have been performed on benchmark datasets, such as LaSOT, GOT‐10k, UAV123 and TrackingNet using various advanced methods, demonstrating that our approach achieves promising tracking performance. MCTT achieves an AO score of 72.8 on the GOT‐10k.
物体跟踪是计算机视觉的重要组成部分,在各种实际应用中发挥着重要作用。最近,基于变压器的跟踪器因其鲁棒性和高效性而成为跟踪的主要方法。然而,现有的基于变换器的跟踪器通常只关注模板特征,而忽略了跟踪过程中搜索特征与模板特征之间的相互作用。针对这一问题,本文介绍了一种用于视觉跟踪的多头交叉注意变换器(MCTT),它能有效增强模板分支与搜索分支之间的交互,使跟踪器能优先考虑辨别特征。此外,还设计了一个辅助分割掩码头,用于生成像素级特征表示,通过预测一组二进制掩码来提高跟踪精度。我们使用各种先进方法在 LaSOT、GOT-10k、UAV123 和 TrackingNet 等基准数据集上进行了综合实验,结果表明我们的方法具有良好的跟踪性能。在 GOT-10k 数据集上,MCTT 获得了 72.8 的 AO 分数。
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引用次数: 0
Crowdfunding performance prediction using feature-selection-based machine learning models 利用基于特征选择的机器学习模型预测众筹绩效
IF 3 4区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1111/exsy.13646
Yuanyue Feng, Yuhong Luo, Nianjiao Peng, Ben Niu

Background

Crowdfunding is increasingly favoured by entrepreneurs for online financing. Predicting crowdfunding success can provide valuable guidance for stakeholders. It is a new attempt to evaluate the relative performance of different machine learning algorithms for crowdfunding prediction.

Objectives

This study aims to identify the key factors of crowdfunding, and find the different performance and usage of machine learning algorithms for crowdfunding prediction.

Method

We crawled data from MoDian.com, a Chinese crowdfunding platform, and predicted the crowdfunding performance using four machine learning algorithms, which is a new exploration in this area. Most of the existing literature focuses on empirical analysis. This work solves the problem of predicting crowdfunding performance using a dataset with a minimal number of highly contributive features, which has higher accuracy compared to the regression analysis.

Results

The experiment results show that feature-selection-based machine learning models are effective and beneficial in crowdfunding prediction.

Conclusion

Feature selection can significantly improve the prediction performance of the machine learning models. KNN achieved the best prediction results with five features: number of backers, target amount, number of project likes, number of project comments, and sponsor fans. The prediction accuracy was improved by 16%, the precision was improved by 13.23%, the recall was improved by 22.66%, the F-score was improved by 18.48%, and the AUC was improved by 14.9%.

背景众筹越来越受到创业者在线融资的青睐。预测众筹的成功可以为利益相关者提供有价值的指导。本研究旨在找出众筹的关键因素,并发现机器学习算法在众筹预测中的不同表现和使用情况。方法我们从中国众筹平台摩点网抓取数据,使用四种机器学习算法预测众筹表现,这是该领域的一次新探索。现有文献大多侧重于经验分析。结果实验结果表明,基于特征选择的机器学习模型在众筹预测中是有效的、有益的。KNN 在使用支持者人数、目标金额、项目点赞数、项目评论数和赞助商粉丝这五个特征时取得了最佳预测结果。预测准确率提高了 16%,精确度提高了 13.23%,召回率提高了 22.66%,F-score 提高了 18.48%,AUC 提高了 14.9%。
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引用次数: 0
AES software and hardware system co-design for resisting side channel attacks 抵御侧信道攻击的 AES 软硬件系统协同设计
IF 3 4区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1111/exsy.13664
Liguo Dong, Xinliang Ye, Libin Zhuang, Ruidian Zhan, M. Shamim Hossain

The threat of side-channel attacks poses a significant risk to the security of cryptographic algorithms. To counter this threat, we have designed an AES system capable of defending against such attacks, supporting AES-128, AES-192, and AES-256 encryption standards. In our system, the CPU oversees the AES hardware via the AHB bus and employs true random number generation to provide secure random inputs for computations. The hardware implementation of the AES S-box utilizes complex domain inversion techniques, while intermediate data is shielded using full-time masking. Furthermore, the system incorporates double-path error detection mechanisms to thwart fault propagation. Our results demonstrate that the system effectively conceals key power information, providing robust resistance against CPA attacks, and is capable of detecting injected faults, thereby mitigating fault-based attacks.

侧信道攻击对加密算法的安全性构成了巨大威胁。为了应对这种威胁,我们设计了一种能够抵御此类攻击的 AES 系统,支持 AES-128、AES-192 和 AES-256 加密标准。在我们的系统中,CPU 通过 AHB 总线监控 AES 硬件,并采用真正的随机数生成技术为计算提供安全的随机输入。AES S-box 的硬件实现采用了复杂的域反转技术,同时使用全时掩码屏蔽中间数据。此外,该系统还采用了双路径错误检测机制来阻止故障传播。我们的研究结果表明,该系统能有效地隐藏密钥功率信息,提供强大的抗 CPA 攻击能力,并能检测到注入的故障,从而减轻基于故障的攻击。
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引用次数: 0
Facial emotion recognition: A comprehensive review 面部情绪识别:全面回顾
IF 3 4区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1111/exsy.13670
Manmeet Kaur, Munish Kumar

Facial emotion recognition (FER) represents a significant outcome of the rapid advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) technology. In today's digital era, the ability to decipher emotions from facial expressions has evolved into a fundamental mode of human interaction and communication. As a result, FER has penetrated diverse domains, including but not limited to medical diagnosis, customer feedback analysis, the automation of automobile driver systems, and the evaluation of student comprehension. Furthermore, it has matured into a captivating and dynamic research field, capturing the attention and curiosity of contemporary scholars and scientists. The primary objective of this paper is to provide an exhaustive review of FER systems. Its significance goes beyond offering a comprehensive resource; it also serves as a valuable guide for emerging researchers in the FER domain. Through a meticulous examination of existing FER systems and methodologies, this review equips them with essential insights and guidance for their future research pursuits. Moreover, this comprehensive review contributes to the expansion of their knowledge base, facilitating a profound understanding of this rapidly evolving field. In a world increasingly dependent on technology for communication and interaction, the study of FER holds a pivotal role in human-computer interaction (HCI). It not only provides valuable insights but also unlocks a multitude of possibilities for future innovations and applications. As we continue to integrate AI and facial emotion recognition into our daily lives, the importance of comprehending and enhancing FER systems becomes increasingly evident. This paper serves as a stepping stone for researchers, nurturing their involvement in this exciting and ever-evolving field.

面部情绪识别(FER)是人工智能(AI)技术飞速发展的重要成果。在当今的数字时代,从面部表情中解读情绪的能力已发展成为人类互动和交流的基本模式。因此,FER 已经渗透到各个领域,包括但不限于医疗诊断、客户反馈分析、汽车驾驶系统自动化和学生理解能力评估。此外,它已发展成为一个充满魅力和活力的研究领域,吸引着当代学者和科学家的注意力和好奇心。本文的主要目的是对 FER 系统进行详尽的评述。其意义不仅在于提供全面的资源,还可作为 FER 领域新兴研究人员的宝贵指南。通过对现有 FER 系统和方法的细致研究,本综述为他们今后的研究工作提供了重要的见解和指导。此外,本综述还有助于扩展他们的知识库,促进他们对这一快速发展领域的深刻理解。在一个越来越依赖技术进行交流和互动的世界里,FER 研究在人机交互(HCI)中发挥着举足轻重的作用。它不仅提供了有价值的见解,还为未来的创新和应用开启了多种可能性。随着人工智能和面部情绪识别技术不断融入我们的日常生活,理解和增强 FER 系统的重要性日益凸显。本文可作为研究人员的垫脚石,促进他们参与这一令人兴奋且不断发展的领域。
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引用次数: 0
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Expert Systems
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