Pub Date : 2023-10-12DOI: 10.1007/s00703-023-00989-8
Yu Huang, Juan Li, Zhengkun Qin
Abstract Fengyun-3E is the first early-morning-orbit polar-orbiting satellite launched by China, which carries the third generation of Microwave Temperature Sounder (MWTS-3). This instrument has 17 channels and it can provide rich atmospheric temperature observation information at different altitudes. To explore the application value of the MWTS-3 data in assimilation, we selected Typhoon Chanthu in 2021 in this study to evaluate the effect of the MWTS-3 data assimilation on the forecasts of typhoons affecting China. The results show that the simultaneous assimilation of the conventional data and MWTS-3 data can effectively correct the westward error of the typhoon track forecasted by the experiments without assimilation and well predict the track of Typhoon Chanthu along the east coast of China and its stay on the ocean area east of Shanghai. Therefore, the characteristics of the heavy rainfall caused by the typhoon only affecting Shanghai and northeastern Zhejiang are also well reproduced. Compared with the conventional data assimilation, the assimilation of the Fengyun-3E MWTS-3 data provides a more noticeable improvement in the typhoon intensity forecasts, thus allowing better forecasts of the spiral rain belt of the typhoon. The results of the rolling test also proved that MWTS-3 data assimilation has a stable improvement effect on typhoon track forecasts and the forecast skill of precipitation heavier than 5 mm.
{"title":"Evaluation of the FY-3E microwave temperature sounding data assimilation on forecasting Typhoon Chanthu (2021)","authors":"Yu Huang, Juan Li, Zhengkun Qin","doi":"10.1007/s00703-023-00989-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-023-00989-8","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Fengyun-3E is the first early-morning-orbit polar-orbiting satellite launched by China, which carries the third generation of Microwave Temperature Sounder (MWTS-3). This instrument has 17 channels and it can provide rich atmospheric temperature observation information at different altitudes. To explore the application value of the MWTS-3 data in assimilation, we selected Typhoon Chanthu in 2021 in this study to evaluate the effect of the MWTS-3 data assimilation on the forecasts of typhoons affecting China. The results show that the simultaneous assimilation of the conventional data and MWTS-3 data can effectively correct the westward error of the typhoon track forecasted by the experiments without assimilation and well predict the track of Typhoon Chanthu along the east coast of China and its stay on the ocean area east of Shanghai. Therefore, the characteristics of the heavy rainfall caused by the typhoon only affecting Shanghai and northeastern Zhejiang are also well reproduced. Compared with the conventional data assimilation, the assimilation of the Fengyun-3E MWTS-3 data provides a more noticeable improvement in the typhoon intensity forecasts, thus allowing better forecasts of the spiral rain belt of the typhoon. The results of the rolling test also proved that MWTS-3 data assimilation has a stable improvement effect on typhoon track forecasts and the forecast skill of precipitation heavier than 5 mm.","PeriodicalId":51132,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics","volume":"8 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136013823","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-09-28DOI: 10.1007/s00703-023-00991-0
Brototi Biswas, Dhivya Karmegam
{"title":"Long-term spatio-temporal analysis and trends of precipitation over semi-arid region of Rajasthan","authors":"Brototi Biswas, Dhivya Karmegam","doi":"10.1007/s00703-023-00991-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-023-00991-0","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51132,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics","volume":"53 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135388829","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-09-23DOI: 10.1007/s00703-023-00990-1
Brigadier Libanda, Heiko Paeth
Abstract The exploration of renewable energy such as wind and solar radiation has the potential of reducing reliance on fossil fuels, thus cutting emissions of carbon dioxide, particulate matter, and several other greenhouse gasses. However, recent findings indicate that wind speed across Zambia is very slow, it is increasing but remains unlikely to support large commercial wind farms. In this study, we explore the future impacts of climate change on solar photovoltaic resources. To do this, we examine the new high-resolution (25 km) Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment—CORDEX-CORE simulations for the African domain, using two different emission scenarios until 2100. At an annual scale, results indicate a weak but steady decrease in PV Res of around 0.02 W/m 2 per annum under RCP2.6 and about 0.005 W/m 2 per annum under RCP8.5. Results further show that at an average of ~ 237 ± 3.3 W/m 2 and 212 ± 2.5 W/m 2 , respectively, RCP2.6 comes along with 12 ± 3% more PV Res than RCP8.5. Thus RCP2.6, a greener and climate-friendly pathway, points towards a higher renewable energy potential across Zambia compared to the business-as-usual pathway.
{"title":"Future photovoltaic solar power resources in Zambia: a CORDEX-CORE multi-model synthesis","authors":"Brigadier Libanda, Heiko Paeth","doi":"10.1007/s00703-023-00990-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-023-00990-1","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract The exploration of renewable energy such as wind and solar radiation has the potential of reducing reliance on fossil fuels, thus cutting emissions of carbon dioxide, particulate matter, and several other greenhouse gasses. However, recent findings indicate that wind speed across Zambia is very slow, it is increasing but remains unlikely to support large commercial wind farms. In this study, we explore the future impacts of climate change on solar photovoltaic resources. To do this, we examine the new high-resolution (25 km) Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment—CORDEX-CORE simulations for the African domain, using two different emission scenarios until 2100. At an annual scale, results indicate a weak but steady decrease in PV Res of around 0.02 W/m 2 per annum under RCP2.6 and about 0.005 W/m 2 per annum under RCP8.5. Results further show that at an average of ~ 237 ± 3.3 W/m 2 and 212 ± 2.5 W/m 2 , respectively, RCP2.6 comes along with 12 ± 3% more PV Res than RCP8.5. Thus RCP2.6, a greener and climate-friendly pathway, points towards a higher renewable energy potential across Zambia compared to the business-as-usual pathway.","PeriodicalId":51132,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics","volume":"34 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135957778","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-08-31DOI: 10.1007/s00703-023-00987-w
P. Ipsita, V. Rakesh, G. Mohapatra
{"title":"Role of ocean–atmosphere interactions on contrasting characteristics of two cyclones over the Arabian Sea","authors":"P. Ipsita, V. Rakesh, G. Mohapatra","doi":"10.1007/s00703-023-00987-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-023-00987-w","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51132,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics","volume":"1 1","pages":"1-18"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90279037","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-08-30DOI: 10.1007/s00703-023-00985-y
Chung‐Chieh Wang, C. Tsai, B. Jou, Shirley J. David, S. Huang, Yi-Wen Wang, Alvin G. Pura
{"title":"A comparison study between the use of single-point versus areal-mean rainfall values from a high-resolution model when verified against satellite retrievals for three typhoons hitting the Philippines","authors":"Chung‐Chieh Wang, C. Tsai, B. Jou, Shirley J. David, S. Huang, Yi-Wen Wang, Alvin G. Pura","doi":"10.1007/s00703-023-00985-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-023-00985-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51132,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics","volume":"51 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78297111","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-08-30DOI: 10.1007/s00703-023-00984-z
Sourish Bondyopadhyay, M. Mohapatra
{"title":"Suitable thermodynamic indices for the prediction of thunderstorm events for different cities throughout India","authors":"Sourish Bondyopadhyay, M. Mohapatra","doi":"10.1007/s00703-023-00984-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-023-00984-z","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51132,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics","volume":"33 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"81231202","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-08-29DOI: 10.1007/s00703-023-00983-0
B. R. Reddy, C. Srinivas, B. Venkatraman
{"title":"A simulation study on the recirculation effect of land–sea breeze flows on atmospheric dispersion of airborne releases in Southeast coast of India","authors":"B. R. Reddy, C. Srinivas, B. Venkatraman","doi":"10.1007/s00703-023-00983-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-023-00983-0","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51132,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics","volume":"99 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90344512","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-08-22DOI: 10.1007/s00703-023-00982-1
I. Narulita, F. Fajary, M. R. Abdillah, M. R. Djuwansah, D. Sutjiningsih, E. Kusratmoko, S. Moersidik
{"title":"Synoptic conditions triggering extreme flood events in Bintan Island in early January 2021","authors":"I. Narulita, F. Fajary, M. R. Abdillah, M. R. Djuwansah, D. Sutjiningsih, E. Kusratmoko, S. Moersidik","doi":"10.1007/s00703-023-00982-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-023-00982-1","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51132,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics","volume":"95 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"83917260","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Analysis of the different influence between initial/boundary and physical perturbation during ensemble forecast of fog","authors":"Xuelian Wang, Xiaobin Qiu, Bingui Wu, Qiru Dong, Lili Liu, Yinghua Li, Meng Tian","doi":"10.1007/s00703-023-00981-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-023-00981-2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51132,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics","volume":"224 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"74904708","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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