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Natural Hazards Review最新文献

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Rainstorm-Induced Emergency Recognition from Citizens’ Communications Based on Spatial Feature Extraction and Transfer Learning 基于空间特征提取和迁移学习的公民通信暴雨应急识别
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1061/(asce)nh.1527-6996.0000591
Zhao-ge Liu, Xiang-yang Li, Xiao-han Zhu, Chong Wu
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引用次数: 1
Traditional Indigenous Ecological Knowledge to Enhance Community-Based Disaster Resilience: Taiwan Mountain Area 传统原住民生态知识提升社区抗灾能力:台湾山区
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1673
Jie-Ying Wu, Liang-Chun Chen
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引用次数: 1
A Framework for Characterizing Uncertainty Factors in Postdisaster Structural Performance Assessment Data 灾后结构性能评估数据中不确定性因素的表征框架
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1061/(asce)nh.1527-6996.0000604
T. Tomiczek, J. Helgeson, E. Sutley, Donghwan Gu, Sara Hamideh, P. Crawford
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引用次数: 0
Homeowners’ Perceptions of Seismic Building Performance and Implications for Preparedness in New Zealand 新西兰房主对抗震建筑性能的看法及其防范意义
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1061/(asce)nh.1527-6996.0000600
Catalina Miranda, J. Becker, Charlotte Toma, Lauren J. Vinnell
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引用次数: 0
In Memoriam: Junwon Seo 纪念:Junwon Seo
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1782
N. Uddin, L. Comfort
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引用次数: 0
Flood Hazard Analysis Based on Copula Connect Function 基于Copula连接函数的洪水灾害分析
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1061/(asce)nh.1527-6996.0000598
Wei Li, Jianzhong Zhou, Xiang Yao, Kuaile Feng, Chengxin Luo, Na Sun
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引用次数: 0
Estimating Pluvial Depth–Damage Functions for Areas within the United States Using Historical Claims Data 利用历史索赔数据估算美国境内地区的洪水深度损害函数
3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1543
Jeremy R. Porter, Michael L. Marston, Evelyn Shu, Mark Bauer, Kelvin Lai, Bradley Wilson, Mariah Pope
Flooding has been the most costly natural disaster over the last 2 decades within the US. Therefore, recent research has focused on more accurately predicting economic losses from flooding to aid decision makers and mitigate economic exposure. For this, depth–damage functions have commonly been employed to predict the relative or absolute damage to buildings caused by different magnitudes of flooding. Although depth–damage functions, such as those adopted by the US Army Corps of Engineers, are widely available for fluvial and coastal flooding, less work has been done to develop functions for pluvial-induced flooding. Here, we use a database containing 13.5 million claims to develop pluvial depth–damage functions. For this, recently released flood hazard data are utilized to identify claims within the database that are likely related to pluvial flooding. We employed two types of regression models to fit the depth–damage functions. Secondarily, we developed an automated valuation model (AVM) to estimate building values across the state of New Jersey. These building values were then combined with flood hazard layers in order to apply the depth–damage functions and compute an aggregate annualized loss for New Jersey. The results indicated moderate agreement between the observed damage within the state of New Jersey and that computed by applying the study-developed depth–damage curves to buildings within the state using pluvial flood hazard layers. It is anticipated that the depth–damage functions developed by this research will aid future work in more accurately quantifying the economic risks associated with flooding across the US.
洪水是美国过去20年来损失最大的自然灾害。因此,最近的研究集中在更准确地预测洪水造成的经济损失,以帮助决策者减轻经济风险。因此,深度破坏函数通常被用来预测不同震级的洪水对建筑物造成的相对或绝对破坏。虽然深度破坏函数,如美国陆军工程兵团所采用的,广泛用于河流和沿海洪水,但很少有工作用于开发洪水引起的洪水的函数。在这里,我们使用包含1350万索赔的数据库来开发洪水深度损害函数。为此,最近发布的洪水灾害数据被用于识别数据库中可能与洪水有关的索赔。我们采用了两种回归模型来拟合深度-损伤函数。其次,我们开发了一个自动估价模型(AVM)来估计整个新泽西州的建筑价值。然后将这些建筑价值与洪水危险层相结合,以便应用深度损害函数并计算新泽西州的年化总损失。结果表明,新泽西州内观测到的破坏与将研究开发的深度破坏曲线应用于该州内使用洪积洪水危险层的建筑物所计算的破坏之间存在适度的一致性。预计本研究开发的深度损害函数将有助于未来更准确地量化与美国洪水相关的经济风险。
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引用次数: 1
Promoting Spatial Coordination in Flood Buyouts in the United States: Four Strategies and Four Challenges from the Economics of Land Preservation Literature 促进美国洪水收购的空间协调:来自土地保护经济学文献的四个策略和四个挑战
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1564
Polina K. Dineva, Christina McGranaghan, K. Messer, Leah H. Palm‐Forster, L. Paul, A. Siders
: Managed retreat in the form of voluntary flood-buyout programs provides homeowners with an alternative to repairing and rebuilding residences that have sustained severe flood damage. Buyout programs are most economically efficient when groups of neighboring properties are acquired because they can then create unfragmented flood control areas and reduce the cost of providing local services. However, buyout programs in the United States often fail to acquire such efficient, unfragmented spaces, for various reasons, including long administrative timelines, the way in which buyout offers are made, desires for community cohesion, and attachments to place. Buyout programs have relied primarily on posted price mechanisms involving offers that are accepted or rejected by homeowners with little or no negotiation. In this paper, we describe four alternative strategies that have been used successfully in land-preservation agricultural – environmental contexts to increase acceptance rates and decrease fragmentation: agglomeration bonuses, reverse auctions, target constraints, and hybrid approaches. We discuss challenges that may arise during their implementation in the buyout context — transaction costs, equity and distributional impacts, unintended consequences, and social pressure — and recommend further research into the efficiency and equity of applying these strategies to residential buyout programs with the explicit goal of promoting spatial coordination. © 2022 American Society of Civil Engineers.
:以自愿洪水买断计划的形式进行的有管理的撤退为房主提供了一种修复和重建遭受严重洪水破坏的住宅的替代方案。当收购一组相邻的房产时,收购计划在经济上最有效,因为它们可以创建无分割的防洪区,并降低提供当地服务的成本。然而,由于各种原因,包括行政时间长、提出收购要约的方式、对社区凝聚力的渴望以及对地方的依恋,美国的收购计划往往无法获得如此高效、无分割的空间。收购计划主要依赖于公布的价格机制,包括房主在很少或根本没有协商的情况下接受或拒绝的报价。在本文中,我们描述了四种在土地保护农业-环境背景下成功使用的替代策略,以提高接受率和减少碎片化:集聚奖金、反向拍卖、目标约束和混合方法。我们讨论了在收购背景下实施过程中可能出现的挑战——交易成本、公平和分配影响、意外后果和社会压力——并建议进一步研究将这些策略应用于住宅收购计划的效率和公平性,明确目标是促进空间协调。©2022美国土木工程师学会。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing Flood Risk Assessment and Mitigation through Numerical Modeling: A Case Study 通过数值模拟加强洪水风险评估和减灾:一个案例研究
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1687
Shui-Hua Jiang, Hua Zhi, Ze‐Zhou Wang, Shuai Zhang
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引用次数: 0
Review of Atlas of Forecasts: Modeling and Mapping Desirable Futures by Katy BörnerMIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 02142; 2021; ISBN 9780262045957; 214 pp.; $39.95. 回顾预测地图集:建模和绘制理想的未来凯蒂BörnerMIT出版社,剑桥,马萨诸塞州,02142;2021;ISBN 9780262045957;214页;39.95美元。
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1741
Ross J. Guida
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引用次数: 0
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Natural Hazards Review
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