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Natural Hazards Review最新文献

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Hazard Assessment and Modeling of Erosion and Sea Level Rise under Global Climate Change Conditions for Coastal City Management 全球气候变化条件下海岸城市管理的侵蚀和海平面上升风险评估与建模
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1061/(asce)nh.1527-6996.0000593
M. Bagheri, Z. Ibrahim, S. Mansor, Latifah Abd Manaf, M. Akhir, W. Talaat, Isabelle D. Wolf
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引用次数: 3
Review of The Dynamics of Risk: Changing Technologies and Collective Action in Seismic Events by Louise K. ComfortPrinceton University Press, Princeton, NJ, 08540; 2019; ISBN 9780691165370; 336 pp.; $38.00. 《风险动力学综述:地震事件中不断变化的技术和集体行动》,路易斯·康福德著,普林斯顿大学出版社,普林斯顿,新泽西,08540;2019;ISBN 9780691165370;336页;38.00美元。
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1710
E. Roe
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引用次数: 0
An Experimental Study of Message Strategies for Mobile Alerts and Warnings 移动警报和警告信息策略的实验研究
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1721
Elizabeth J. Carlson, Joshua B. Barbour
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引用次数: 0
Review of Cultural Competency for Emergency and Crisis Management: Concepts, Theories and Case Studies , edited by Claire Connolly Knox and Brittany “Brie” HauptRoutledge, New York, NY, 10017; 2020; ISBN 9780367321833; 255 pp.; $39.96. 《应急和危机管理文化能力综述:概念、理论和案例研究》,克莱尔·康诺利·诺克斯和布列塔尼·“布里”·豪普特劳特利奇主编,纽约州纽约市,10017;2020年;ISBN 9780367321833;255页$39.96。
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1767
A. Christophe
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引用次数: 0
Hurricane Risk of Solar Generation in the United States 美国太阳能发电的飓风风险
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1764
L. Ceferino, N. Lin
Projections indicate that solar energy will constitute 55% of total electricity capacity by 2050 in the US. Despite solar energy’s growing importance, few studies have analyzed the risks of country-wide deployments of solar infrastructure due to extreme weather events such as hurricanes. This paper presents a probabilistic framework to evaluate the performance of solar infrastructure to generate energy during hurricanes, which often cause significant outages in the US. Our novel framework integrates recent data-driven models that capture two critical and compounding factors: transient cloud conditions that decrease irradiance and high winds that can cause permanent panel damage. We apply the framework to the 2694 counties in the 38 Central and Eastern US states to elucidate the risk landscape of solar generation during hurricanes. Our results show that hurricane impacts are significant, compounding, and strikingly disproportional in the US. We show that in Florida and Louisiana, clouds rapidly reduce solar generation to 32% and 65%, respectively, of their normal levels with a return period of 100 years. Our results also show that damage to panels can induce more acute and permanent energy losses a few days after landfall, especially in rarer storms, e.g., causing 80% more losses than hurricane clouds two days after landfall for 200-year events. Synopsis: A new methodology to model solar generation during hurricanes shows substantial regional variability in the environmental risk landscape of solar infrastructure in the US.
预测显示,到2050年,太阳能将占美国总发电量的55%。尽管太阳能越来越重要,但很少有研究分析了由于飓风等极端天气事件在全国范围内部署太阳能基础设施的风险。本文提出了一个概率框架来评估太阳能基础设施在飓风期间发电的性能,飓风经常导致美国的严重停电。我们的新框架集成了最新的数据驱动模型,这些模型捕获了两个关键和复合因素:降低辐照度的瞬态云条件和可能导致永久性面板损坏的强风。我们将该框架应用于美国中部和东部38个州的2694个县,以阐明飓风期间太阳能发电的风险格局。我们的研究结果表明,飓风对美国的影响是显著的、复合的,而且明显不成比例。我们表明,在佛罗里达州和路易斯安那州,云层迅速将太阳能发电量分别减少到正常水平的32%和65%,恢复周期为100年。我们的研究结果还表明,电池板的损坏会在登陆后几天内导致更严重和永久的能量损失,特别是在罕见的风暴中,例如,在200年的事件中,登陆后两天造成的损失比飓风云多80%。摘要:一种模拟飓风期间太阳能发电的新方法显示,美国太阳能基础设施的环境风险景观存在显著的区域差异。
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引用次数: 0
Perspectives and Propositions on Resilience as Interdisciplinary, Multilevel, and Interdependent 弹性:跨学科、多层次、相互依存的观点与主张
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1471
Allison B. Laskey, Erin Stanley, Khairul Islam, Sara Schwetschenau, J. Sobeck, Richard J. Smith, S. McElmurry, Paul Kilgore, K. Taylor, M. Seeger
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引用次数: 0
Scheduling Inspection and Restoration Action in Postdisaster Critical Lifeline Recovery through Stochastic Optimization with Endogenous Uncertainty 基于内生不确定性随机优化的灾后关键生命线恢复检查与恢复调度
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1061/(asce)nh.1527-6996.0000599
Bahar Shahverdi, Elise Miller-Hooks
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引用次数: 1
Theorizing Hazard Mitigation Policy Adoption: Using Floodplain Property Buyout Program as an Example 减灾政策采纳的理论化:以漫滩财产买断计划为例
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1569
Qiong Wang, Yang Zhang
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引用次数: 0
Three-Dimensional Flight Trajectories and Impact Damage Prediction Model for Wind-Borne Debris 风载碎片三维飞行轨迹与冲击损伤预测模型
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1692
X. Ai, Meng-Ze Lyu, Jian-Bing Chen
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引用次数: 0
Establishing Conceptual Components for Urban Resilience: Taking Clues from Urbanization through a Planner’s Lens 建立城市韧性的概念组成部分:通过规划师的视角从城市化中获取线索
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1523
Manish Sharma, Bansari Sharma, Nand Kumar, Ashwani Kumar
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引用次数: 4
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Natural Hazards Review
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