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Grid-Connected Control Strategy of Virtual Synchronous Generator Based on Variable Universe Fuzzy Adaptive Control 基于变域模糊自适应控制的虚拟同步发电机并网控制策略
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1155/etep/5768043
Chunhui Liang, Chenglong Huang, Jinfa Li, Xiaoyang Zuo, Renjie Liu

As the proportion of renewable energy sources continues to rise, the stability and reliability of the power system face enormous challenges. Virtual synchronous generators (VSGs) enhance grid stability by simulating conventional synchronous generator characteristics and providing virtual inertia and damping to the system. However, VSGs with fixed inertia and damping parameters are difficult to adapt to the complex and changing grid environment. To this end, this manuscript proposes an adaptive control strategy based on variable universe fuzzy control to realize the adaptive adjustment of VSG inertia and damping parameters. First, the mathematical model of VSG is established to analyze the influence of inertia and damping on the power–frequency characteristics of the system, and the variable universe fuzzy controller is designed based on the principle of parameter optimization to realize the real-time optimal regulation of parameters. Second, model predictive current control (MPCC) is introduced to replace the traditional voltage and current PI regulation, and a novel three-vector model predictive current control strategy (NTV-MPCC) is proposed, which makes the synthesized voltage vector changeable in both amplitude and direction and effectively reduces harmonic distortion and current ripple. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed control strategy is verified by simulation, which shows that the proposed method is able to improve the dynamic response capability, steady-state performance, and current quality of the VSG system.

随着可再生能源比重的不断提高,电力系统的稳定性和可靠性面临着巨大的挑战。虚拟同步发电机(VSGs)通过模拟传统同步发电机的特性并为系统提供虚拟惯性和阻尼来增强电网的稳定性。然而,惯性和阻尼参数固定的自动变结构难以适应复杂多变的网格环境。为此,本文提出了一种基于变域模糊控制的自适应控制策略,实现了VSG惯量和阻尼参数的自适应调节。首先,建立了VSG的数学模型,分析了惯性和阻尼对系统工频特性的影响,基于参数优化原理设计了变域模糊控制器,实现了参数的实时最优调节。其次,引入模型预测电流控制(MPCC)取代传统的电压电流PI调节,提出了一种新颖的三矢量模型预测电流控制策略(nv -MPCC),该策略使合成的电压矢量在幅值和方向上都是可变的,有效地降低了谐波失真和电流纹波。最后,通过仿真验证了所提控制策略的有效性,表明所提控制策略能够提高VSG系统的动态响应能力、稳态性能和电流质量。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal Power Management Framework by Simultaneous Minimization of Generation Cost and Emissions Using Improved Wild Horse Optimizer 利用改进的野马优化器实现发电成本和排放同时最小化的最优电源管理框架
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1155/etep/5646750
Mirna Fouad Ali, Eman Beshr, Almoataz Y. Abdelaziz, Mohamed Ezzat

This study proposes an improved version of the wild horse optimizer (WHO) for the optimal allocation and sizing of distributed generators (DGs) and capacitor banks (CBs) to promote the system’s susceptibility. The proposed method, namely, improved WHO (IWHO), aims to improve the performance of the system not only in terms of power loss, voltage deviation index (VDI), and voltage stability index (VSI) as in most previous studies, but also in terms of generation cost and total emissions. Five operational cases are carried out on four different systems, the IEEE 33-bus, 69-bus, 118-bus standard radial distribution systems and the real 78-bus Egyptian distribution system, to demonstrate the best performance of the proposed technique. In addition, two multiobjective functions are implemented to compare with the original WHO and other existing optimization techniques. Based on the statistical analysis, the simulation results prove that the proposed IWHO provides the best results for flexible operations, especially for large-scale complex systems. After the optimal integration of DGs and CBs, the power loss was reduced up to 94.18%, 98.53%, 92.05%, and 93.87%; the cost was reduced by 43.23%, 43.77%, 14.68%, and 99.99%; and the emissions were reduced by 99.96%, 99.99%, 76.01%, and 61.20% for 33-bus, 69-bus, 118-bus radial systems and the real 78-bus system, respectively. It is observed that the IWHO algorithm also gives recognized enhancements in conflicting objective functions such as technical, economic, and environmental objectives.

本研究提出了一种改进的野马优化器(WHO),用于分布式发电机(dg)和电容器组(CBs)的最优分配和规模,以提高系统的敏感性。本文提出的方法,即改进的WHO (IWHO),不仅像以往大多数研究那样,在功率损耗、电压偏差指数(VDI)和电压稳定指数(VSI)方面提高系统的性能,而且在发电成本和总排放量方面提高系统的性能。在IEEE 33总线、69总线、118总线标准径向配电系统和实际78总线埃及配电系统4种不同系统上进行了5个运行案例,验证了该技术的最佳性能。此外,实现了两个多目标函数,与原始WHO和其他现有优化技术进行了比较。在统计分析的基础上,仿真结果证明了该方法对于灵活操作,特别是对于大型复杂系统,具有较好的效果。将DGs和cb优化集成后,功率损耗分别降低了94.18%、98.53%、92.05%和93.87%;成本分别降低43.23%、43.77%、14.68%、99.99%;33总线、69总线、118总线径向系统和实际78总线系统的排放量分别减少99.96%、99.99%、76.01%和61.20%。可以观察到,IWHO算法还在相互冲突的目标函数(如技术、经济和环境目标)中给予公认的增强。
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引用次数: 0
Speed Estimation of a Double-Star Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor Using an Optimized Extended Kalman Filter 基于优化扩展卡尔曼滤波的双星永磁同步电机速度估计
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-11-17 DOI: 10.1155/etep/8466428
Badreddine Naas, Lazhari Nezli, Mohamed Elbar, Ievgen Zaitsev

A mathematical model of a double-star permanent magnet synchronous motor is proposed, coupled with an estimator for speed, position, and currents based on an extended Kalman filter. This filter is optimized using a novel methodology. The primary objective is to determine the optimal values for the three noise covariance matrices to ensure the convergence of the parameter estimation. To enhance the estimator’s performance, several innovative optimization strategies are introduced. These combine different techniques, notably particle swarm optimization with the Nelder–Mead simplex algorithm, as well as a genetic algorithm coupled with this same hybrid method. Other approaches are also deployed, such as a fuzzy self-tuning method for success-history–based parameter adaptation for differential evolution, along with a fuzzy version of the linear population size reduction success-history–based adaptive differential evolution algorithm. Furthermore, an accelerated procedure for initializing the covariance matrices is implemented. Specifically, the error estimation covariance matrix and the measurement noise covariance matrix are fixed, while the process noise covariance matrix is the subject of the optimization. The validity of the proposed approach is demonstrated through comprehensive numerical simulations. These simulations include the machine model, its power supply, and the parameter estimator, all implemented within the MATLAB/Simulink environment.

提出了双星永磁同步电机的数学模型,并结合基于扩展卡尔曼滤波的速度、位置和电流估计。该滤波器使用一种新颖的方法进行优化。主要目标是确定三个噪声协方差矩阵的最优值,以保证参数估计的收敛性。为了提高估计器的性能,介绍了几种创新的优化策略。这些技术结合了不同的技术,特别是粒子群优化与Nelder-Mead单纯形算法,以及遗传算法与相同的混合方法相结合。还部署了其他方法,例如基于成功历史的参数适应差分进化的模糊自调整方法,以及基于成功历史的线性种群大小减少的模糊版本的自适应差分进化算法。此外,还实现了协方差矩阵初始化的加速过程。其中误差估计协方差矩阵和测量噪声协方差矩阵是固定的,过程噪声协方差矩阵是优化的对象。通过综合数值模拟验证了该方法的有效性。这些仿真包括机器模型、电源和参数估计器,全部在MATLAB/Simulink环境中实现。
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引用次数: 0
An Enhanced Avdonin-Based Approach With Probabilistic Coefficients for Incipient Fault Modeling in Underground Power Cables 基于概率系数的改进avdonin方法在地下电缆早期故障建模中的应用
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-11-12 DOI: 10.1155/etep/4266356
Zahra Hosseini, Haidar Samet, Masoud Jalil, Teymoor Ghanbari

One well-known fault that arises from water intrusion and power cable insulation failure is the incipient fault (IF) in underground power cables (UPCs). Therefore, it is necessary to provide appropriate models for modeling this fault and also to generate data close to the actual value for validating IF detection methods. This study presents a model for IFs in UPCs, which provides the necessary data for the assessment. A few articles have been devoted to modeling the IF in UPCs, despite the numerous articles that have been introduced on arc modeling in other applications. This work deals with driving effective modeling of IFs in power cables from the two modified Avdonin models using the records of experiments obtained from a laboratory setup. The transient characteristics of IFs are demonstrated in the proposed models using the idea of transient coefficients. Also, the least squares method is used to update the models’ coefficients for every power frequency cycle. Finally, two error indices are introduced to establish each model’s optimal coefficients. Probability distribution functions (PDFs) were utilized to simulate the stochastic conduct of the model coefficients, which change with each cycle. As a result, for each combination of the model’s coefficients, some PDFs are examined, and the PDF that most closely matches the actual data is chosen. Also, the proposed models of this study are compared with the modified polynomial and modified Schwarz models.

地下电源电缆(upc)的初期故障是由于水侵和电力电缆绝缘失效引起的常见故障之一。因此,有必要提供适当的模型来对该故障进行建模,并生成接近实际值的数据来验证中频检测方法。本研究提出了UPCs中IFs的模型,为评估提供了必要的数据。尽管有许多文章介绍了其他应用中的电弧建模,但还是有几篇文章专门讨论了upc中的中频建模。这项工作涉及驱动有效建模的电力电缆if从两个修改的Avdonin模型使用从实验室装置获得的实验记录。利用暂态系数的思想,在所提出的模型中证明了if的暂态特性。采用最小二乘法对每个工频周期的模型系数进行更新。最后,引入两个误差指标来建立模型的最优系数。利用概率分布函数(pdf)模拟模型系数随周期变化的随机行为。因此,对于模型系数的每个组合,将检查一些PDF,并选择最接近实际数据的PDF。并与修正多项式模型和修正Schwarz模型进行了比较。
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引用次数: 0
A Hybrid Whale Optimization—Cuckoo Search Algorithm for Maximum Power Point Tracking in PMSG-Based Wind Turbine Systems 基于pmsg的风力发电系统最大功率点跟踪的混合鲸鱼优化-布谷鸟搜索算法
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-11-11 DOI: 10.1155/etep/7411272
Ali Mazari, Kouider Laroussi, Okba Fergani, Hamou Ait Abbas, Hegazy Rezk

This study proposes an advanced optimization technique for maximum power point tracking (MPPT) in wind turbines (WTs) based on a permanent magnet synchronous generator (PMSG), which is crucial for maximizing energy extraction under varying wind conditions. Several MPPT strategies have been evaluated and compared, including neural networks (NNs), sliding mode control (SMC), the Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA), and the Cuckoo Search Algorithm (CSA), to determine the most effective approach for optimizing power output and improving system efficiency. Emphasis is placed on identifying techniques that not only enhance energy capture but also reduce the complexity and cost of wind energy systems. To achieve this, the study introduces a novel hybrid algorithm that integrates the strengths of both WOA and CSA, leveraging their complementary exploration and exploitation capabilities. The proposed method aims to deliver improved tracking accuracy and faster convergence to the optimal power point. The algorithms were tested using a real wind profile from Djelfa, Algeria, a region characterized by semiarid climate and varied topography, to simulate realistic operational scenarios, providing accurate assessments of each MPPT strategy under true environmental conditions. The results obtained through MATLAB/Simulink simulations demonstrate that the newly developed hybrid WO–CSA strategy consistently outperformed others, delivering approximately 140 W more power than CSA and about 230 W more than WOA and NN at a wind speed of 10 m/s, while the SMC strategy exhibited the lowest performance, generating roughly 750 W less power compared to WOA and NN. By developing the new algorithm, the study contributes to the development of more efficient and reliable WT technologies.

本文提出了一种基于永磁同步发电机(PMSG)的风力发电机组最大功率点跟踪(MPPT)的先进优化技术,这对于在不同风力条件下最大限度地提取能量至关重要。本文对几种MPPT策略进行了评估和比较,包括神经网络(nn)、滑模控制(SMC)、鲸鱼优化算法(WOA)和布谷鸟搜索算法(CSA),以确定优化功率输出和提高系统效率的最有效方法。重点放在确定技术,不仅提高能源捕获,而且减少风能系统的复杂性和成本。为了实现这一目标,该研究引入了一种新的混合算法,该算法集成了WOA和CSA的优势,利用了它们互补的勘探和开发能力。该方法旨在提高跟踪精度,加快收敛到最优功率点的速度。该算法使用阿尔及利亚Djelfa的真实风廓线进行测试,该地区具有半干旱气候和多变的地形特征,以模拟现实的操作场景,在真实环境条件下对每种MPPT策略进行准确评估。通过MATLAB/Simulink仿真得到的结果表明,新开发的混合WO-CSA策略始终优于其他策略,在风速为10 m/s时,比CSA输出约140 W的功率,比WOA和NN输出约230 W的功率,而SMC策略表现出最低的性能,比WOA和NN输出约750 W的功率。通过开发新的算法,该研究有助于开发更高效、更可靠的小波变换技术。
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引用次数: 0
Multiobjective Energy Optimization Strategy for Source–Load–Storage Coordination in Intelligent Buildings Considering User Satisfaction 考虑用户满意度的智能建筑源蓄协调多目标能量优化策略
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-11-06 DOI: 10.1155/etep/5545754
Lizheng Chen, Jie Li, Fangyuan Zheng, Zheng Xin, Xiaohan Shi

As the proportion of building energy consumption in total energy consumption continues to rise, traditional energy scheduling strategies and building load regulation methods are improved to reduce energy consumption and enhance the flexibility of building scheduling. In this study, a two-stage optimization strategy for energy-efficient buildings incorporating electric vehicles (EVs) based on user satisfaction is proposed. First, a source–load–storage coordinated energy optimization system for buildings, including photovoltaic (PV) generation, energy storage systems (ESSs), EVs, light-emitting diode (LED) lights, and heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), is established. Second, the satisfaction levels of users with multiple flexible loads are used as indicators of comfort to dynamically adjust energy consumption in buildings. Then, a multiobjective energy optimization model is formulated to minimize daily operational costs while simultaneously maximizing user satisfaction, with an emphasis on balancing comfort and economic efficiency. Third, a two-stage energy optimization model of day-ahead and intraday is constructed to reduce the impact of source–load forecasting errors on the operation of building energy systems, and an incentive demand response strategy is introduced to guide users to participate in scheduling in the intraday stage. Finally, different cases are created to test the effectiveness of the proposed strategy. The overall simulation results validate the proposed approach with operational cost reduction of 12.9% while maintaining a user satisfaction level above 0.95 and grid volatility reduction of 7.56% as compared to the traditional energy optimization strategy.

随着建筑能耗占总能耗的比重不断上升,对传统的能源调度策略和建筑负荷调节方法进行改进,以降低能耗,增强建筑调度的灵活性。本文提出了一种基于用户满意度的电动汽车节能建筑两阶段优化策略。首先,建立了包括光伏发电、储能系统、电动汽车、LED灯、暖通空调在内的建筑源-负荷-蓄协调能源优化系统。其次,将用户对多重柔性负荷的满意度作为舒适度指标,对建筑能耗进行动态调节。然后,建立了一个多目标能量优化模型,以最小化日常运营成本,同时最大化用户满意度,重点是平衡舒适性和经济性。第三,构建了日前和日内两阶段的能源优化模型,降低了源负荷预测误差对建筑能源系统运行的影响,并引入了激励需求响应策略,引导用户参与日内阶段的调度。最后,创建了不同的案例来测试所提出策略的有效性。总体仿真结果表明,与传统能源优化策略相比,该方法在用户满意度高于0.95的情况下,运行成本降低了12.9%,电网波动率降低了7.56%。
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引用次数: 0
Multiobjective Mid-Term Scheduling of the Hydro–Photovoltaic–Pumped Storage System Considering Uncertainties of Natural Water Inflow and Photovoltaic 考虑自然来水和光伏不确定性的水电-光伏-抽水蓄能系统多目标中期调度
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-11-04 DOI: 10.1155/etep/5768564
Zhaoguo Liu, Chuan He, Jing Tan, Guicen Dong

This paper proposes a multiobjective medium-term optimal scheduling model of the cascade hydro–photovoltaic (PV)–pumped storage system to increase the renewable energy accommodation capacity of the system. The uncertainties of natural water inflow and PV power output have been formulated using the information gap decision theory (IGDT), and the proposed multiobjective model is solved with the ε constraint method. A case study of a test system including 410 MW cascade hydro, 70 MW pumped storage, and 60 MW PV shows that the proposed model reduced solar curtailment rate from 22.65% to 0.23% compared to the conventional hydro–PV system, and the IGDT-based model avoids risk from the uncertainties of natural water inflow and PV power output effectively.

为提高梯级水电-光伏-抽水蓄能系统的可再生能源容纳能力,提出了梯级水电-光伏-抽水蓄能系统的多目标中期优化调度模型。利用信息缺口决策理论(information gap decision theory, IGDT)建立了自然入水量和光伏发电输出的不确定性,并利用ε约束方法求解了多目标模型。以410 MW梯级水电、70 MW抽水蓄能和60 MW光伏系统为例进行了试验研究,结果表明,与传统水电光伏系统相比,该模型将太阳能弃风率从22.65%降低到0.23%,并且基于igdt的模型有效地避免了自然入水量和光伏发电输出不确定性带来的风险。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating Solar Energy in Urban Development: Strategies for Sustainable and Smart Cities 将太阳能融入城市发展:可持续和智慧城市战略
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-10-31 DOI: 10.1155/etep/6096036
Humberto Garcia Castellanos, Yashar Aryanfar, Arash Nourbakhsh Sadabad, Ali Keçebaş, Mohamed Youssef, Farshad Akhgarzarandy, Mehdi Farzinfar, Shaban Mousavi Ghasemlou, Ahmed Ghazy, Khaled Kaaniche

The increasing pace of urbanization has intensified the global demand for clean and decentralized energy systems, placing solar energy at the forefront of sustainable urban transitions. While prior studies have separately explored photovoltaic (PV) technologies, urban form, or energy policy frameworks, few have synthesized these dimensions into an integrated roadmap for solar adoption in smart cities. This study addresses that gap by introducing the policy–technology–morphology nexus (PTMN), a novel conceptual model developed through the cross-analysis of 120 peer-reviewed studies and urban case implementations. The PTMN framework unifies three essential pillars: policy instruments (e.g., feed-in tariffs, net metering), enabling technologies (e.g., AI-based solar mapping, smart grids, battery optimization), and urban morphological variables (e.g., building density, orientation, and shading).Through comparative tables and geospatial insights, the review reveals that morphology-sensitive design, when coupled with intelligent technologies and regulatory incentives, can enhance solar efficiency by up to 40% in selected cities such as Geneva, Stonehaven, and Shenzhen. Methodologically, the study integrates GIS-based assessments, deep learning approaches, and system-level classification typologies to map deployment scales, performance gaps, and policy relevance. Findings highlight the critical role of digital twins and smart storage integration in enabling equitable and scalable solar transitions. Limitations include the reliance on location-specific data and the absence of multicity dynamic simulations. Future research should focus on enhancing AI-driven predictive modeling for solar energy optimization, developing novel energy storage technologies, and fostering interdisciplinary collaborations among policymakers, engineers, and urban planners.

城市化步伐的加快加剧了全球对清洁和分散能源系统的需求,使太阳能成为可持续城市转型的首要能源。虽然之前的研究分别探讨了光伏(PV)技术、城市形态或能源政策框架,但很少有人将这些维度综合到智能城市太阳能采用的综合路线图中。本研究通过引入政策-技术-形态联系(PTMN)解决了这一差距,这是一个通过交叉分析120项同行评议研究和城市案例实施而开发的新概念模型。PTMN框架统一了三个基本支柱:政策工具(例如,上网电价、净计量)、使能技术(例如,基于人工智能的太阳能测绘、智能电网、电池优化)和城市形态变量(例如,建筑密度、方向和阴影)。通过对比表和地理空间分析,该研究表明,形态敏感型设计与智能技术和监管激励相结合,可以在日内瓦、斯通黑文和深圳等选定城市将太阳能效率提高高达40%。在方法上,该研究集成了基于gis的评估、深度学习方法和系统级分类类型,以映射部署规模、性能差距和策略相关性。研究结果强调了数字孪生和智能存储集成在实现公平和可扩展的太阳能转型方面的关键作用。限制包括依赖于特定位置的数据和缺乏多城市动态模拟。未来的研究应侧重于增强人工智能驱动的太阳能优化预测模型,开发新型储能技术,并促进政策制定者、工程师和城市规划者之间的跨学科合作。
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引用次数: 0
Bridging Solar Power and Electric Vehicle Mobility: Infrastructure Design, Global Deployments, and Policy Pathways 桥接太阳能和电动汽车移动性:基础设施设计、全球部署和政策路径
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-10-28 DOI: 10.1155/etep/6696258
Ditiro Setlhaolo, Ehab Bayoumi

Electric vehicle (EV) technologies have become crucial in the current times as they are projected to be one of the major contributors to energy transition in global transportation and power system. They have been identified to offer social, technical, economic, and environmental benefits. Solar and hybrid EV chargers offer more significant advantages over grid-tied chargers. Despite the many advantages that EVs bring, there are also drawbacks associated with this technology. This paper therefore provides an extensive review on EV charging technologies and methods, international standards, and protocols. The work reviews solar power for EV charging stations, where grid-tied and off-grid systems are intensely examined. The system architecture and configuration, and charging station layouts are presented. An in-depth comparative review of charging technologies’ infrastructure Capital Expenditure (CAPEX) and Operational Expenditure (OPEX) cost analysis is examined. Eight global solar EV charging projects are closely analyzed and compared. From these case studies, lessons learnt and best practices are derived and a summary is provided. The challenges and future trends are also reviewed and presented in this work. The review presented in this work is useful to a wide range of individuals and groups, including but not limited to governments, potential buyers, policymakers, and researchers.

电动汽车(EV)技术在当今时代已经变得至关重要,因为它们预计将成为全球交通和电力系统能源转型的主要贡献者之一。它们已被确定具有社会、技术、经济和环境效益。太阳能和混合动力电动汽车充电器比并网充电器具有更显著的优势。尽管电动汽车带来了许多优势,但这项技术也存在一些缺点。因此,本文对电动汽车充电技术和方法、国际标准和协议进行了广泛的综述。这项工作回顾了电动汽车充电站的太阳能,并网和离网系统都受到了严格的检查。给出了系统的结构和配置,以及充电站的布局。对充电技术的基础设施资本支出(CAPEX)和运营支出(OPEX)成本分析进行了深入的比较。对全球八个太阳能电动汽车充电项目进行了密切的分析和比较。从这些案例研究中,得出了经验教训和最佳做法,并提供了总结。在这项工作中,还对挑战和未来趋势进行了审查和介绍。本工作中提出的综述对广泛的个人和团体有用,包括但不限于政府、潜在买家、政策制定者和研究人员。
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引用次数: 0
A Reinforcement Learning–Based Approach With Downside-Risk Protection for Battery Dispatch in Day-Ahead Markets 基于下侧风险保护的日前市场电池调度强化学习方法
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-10-23 DOI: 10.1155/etep/7939775
Xiayu Jiang, Fei Tang, Mo Chen, Bincheng Li, Yixin Yu, Jinxiu Ding, Xiao Li

In day-ahead electricity markets with high renewable penetration, price prediction errors are prevalent. These errors significantly increase the downside risk of energy storage arbitrage, potentially diminishing profits or even causing sustained losses. To address the lack of effective downside protection for energy storage systems operating in highly uncertain environments, this paper proposes a reinforcement learning–based battery-dispatch method. The method is enhanced by three mechanisms to improve policy robustness and risk management capabilities. Residual injection disturbs predictive inputs to simulate various bias scenarios, guiding agents toward more conservative decision-making. Action hard projection maps outputs in real time onto feasible regions, ensuring physical feasibility and training stability. Teacher model behaviour cloning incorporates low-risk demonstrations based on actual prices, accelerating convergence and avoiding high-risk actions. The approach underwent long-term empirical validation using highly volatile data from the Germany–Luxembourg market for 2020–2024. Results indicate that, although the proposed method yields slightly lower average returns compared to the traditional prediction-and-optimization baseline, it significantly reduces maximum drawdowns, loss probability and profit volatility, thereby demonstrating robust downside-risk protection. This study validates reinforcement learning’s capacity for effective risk control in energy storage dispatch and provides a viable pathway for robust asset management in highly volatile electricity markets.

在可再生能源普及率高的日前电力市场中,价格预测误差普遍存在。这些错误显著增加了储能套利的下行风险,可能降低利润,甚至造成持续损失。针对在高度不确定环境下运行的储能系统缺乏有效的下行保护的问题,提出了一种基于强化学习的电池调度方法。该方法通过三种机制来增强策略鲁棒性和风险管理能力。残余注入干扰预测输入以模拟各种偏差情景,引导代理做出更保守的决策。动作硬投影将输出实时映射到可行区域,确保物理可行性和训练稳定性。教师模型行为克隆结合了基于实际价格的低风险演示,加速了趋同并避免了高风险行为。该方法使用2020-2024年德国-卢森堡市场高度波动的数据进行了长期实证验证。结果表明,尽管与传统的预测和优化基线相比,所提出的方法产生的平均回报略低,但它显著降低了最大回撤、损失概率和利润波动,从而显示出强大的下行风险保护。本研究验证了强化学习在储能调度中有效控制风险的能力,并为高度波动的电力市场中稳健的资产管理提供了一条可行的途径。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Transactions on Electrical Energy Systems
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