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A Hybrid Whale Optimization—Cuckoo Search Algorithm for Maximum Power Point Tracking in PMSG-Based Wind Turbine Systems 基于pmsg的风力发电系统最大功率点跟踪的混合鲸鱼优化-布谷鸟搜索算法
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-11-11 DOI: 10.1155/etep/7411272
Ali Mazari, Kouider Laroussi, Okba Fergani, Hamou Ait Abbas, Hegazy Rezk

This study proposes an advanced optimization technique for maximum power point tracking (MPPT) in wind turbines (WTs) based on a permanent magnet synchronous generator (PMSG), which is crucial for maximizing energy extraction under varying wind conditions. Several MPPT strategies have been evaluated and compared, including neural networks (NNs), sliding mode control (SMC), the Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA), and the Cuckoo Search Algorithm (CSA), to determine the most effective approach for optimizing power output and improving system efficiency. Emphasis is placed on identifying techniques that not only enhance energy capture but also reduce the complexity and cost of wind energy systems. To achieve this, the study introduces a novel hybrid algorithm that integrates the strengths of both WOA and CSA, leveraging their complementary exploration and exploitation capabilities. The proposed method aims to deliver improved tracking accuracy and faster convergence to the optimal power point. The algorithms were tested using a real wind profile from Djelfa, Algeria, a region characterized by semiarid climate and varied topography, to simulate realistic operational scenarios, providing accurate assessments of each MPPT strategy under true environmental conditions. The results obtained through MATLAB/Simulink simulations demonstrate that the newly developed hybrid WO–CSA strategy consistently outperformed others, delivering approximately 140 W more power than CSA and about 230 W more than WOA and NN at a wind speed of 10 m/s, while the SMC strategy exhibited the lowest performance, generating roughly 750 W less power compared to WOA and NN. By developing the new algorithm, the study contributes to the development of more efficient and reliable WT technologies.

本文提出了一种基于永磁同步发电机(PMSG)的风力发电机组最大功率点跟踪(MPPT)的先进优化技术,这对于在不同风力条件下最大限度地提取能量至关重要。本文对几种MPPT策略进行了评估和比较,包括神经网络(nn)、滑模控制(SMC)、鲸鱼优化算法(WOA)和布谷鸟搜索算法(CSA),以确定优化功率输出和提高系统效率的最有效方法。重点放在确定技术,不仅提高能源捕获,而且减少风能系统的复杂性和成本。为了实现这一目标,该研究引入了一种新的混合算法,该算法集成了WOA和CSA的优势,利用了它们互补的勘探和开发能力。该方法旨在提高跟踪精度,加快收敛到最优功率点的速度。该算法使用阿尔及利亚Djelfa的真实风廓线进行测试,该地区具有半干旱气候和多变的地形特征,以模拟现实的操作场景,在真实环境条件下对每种MPPT策略进行准确评估。通过MATLAB/Simulink仿真得到的结果表明,新开发的混合WO-CSA策略始终优于其他策略,在风速为10 m/s时,比CSA输出约140 W的功率,比WOA和NN输出约230 W的功率,而SMC策略表现出最低的性能,比WOA和NN输出约750 W的功率。通过开发新的算法,该研究有助于开发更高效、更可靠的小波变换技术。
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引用次数: 0
Multiobjective Energy Optimization Strategy for Source–Load–Storage Coordination in Intelligent Buildings Considering User Satisfaction 考虑用户满意度的智能建筑源蓄协调多目标能量优化策略
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-11-06 DOI: 10.1155/etep/5545754
Lizheng Chen, Jie Li, Fangyuan Zheng, Zheng Xin, Xiaohan Shi

As the proportion of building energy consumption in total energy consumption continues to rise, traditional energy scheduling strategies and building load regulation methods are improved to reduce energy consumption and enhance the flexibility of building scheduling. In this study, a two-stage optimization strategy for energy-efficient buildings incorporating electric vehicles (EVs) based on user satisfaction is proposed. First, a source–load–storage coordinated energy optimization system for buildings, including photovoltaic (PV) generation, energy storage systems (ESSs), EVs, light-emitting diode (LED) lights, and heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), is established. Second, the satisfaction levels of users with multiple flexible loads are used as indicators of comfort to dynamically adjust energy consumption in buildings. Then, a multiobjective energy optimization model is formulated to minimize daily operational costs while simultaneously maximizing user satisfaction, with an emphasis on balancing comfort and economic efficiency. Third, a two-stage energy optimization model of day-ahead and intraday is constructed to reduce the impact of source–load forecasting errors on the operation of building energy systems, and an incentive demand response strategy is introduced to guide users to participate in scheduling in the intraday stage. Finally, different cases are created to test the effectiveness of the proposed strategy. The overall simulation results validate the proposed approach with operational cost reduction of 12.9% while maintaining a user satisfaction level above 0.95 and grid volatility reduction of 7.56% as compared to the traditional energy optimization strategy.

随着建筑能耗占总能耗的比重不断上升,对传统的能源调度策略和建筑负荷调节方法进行改进,以降低能耗,增强建筑调度的灵活性。本文提出了一种基于用户满意度的电动汽车节能建筑两阶段优化策略。首先,建立了包括光伏发电、储能系统、电动汽车、LED灯、暖通空调在内的建筑源-负荷-蓄协调能源优化系统。其次,将用户对多重柔性负荷的满意度作为舒适度指标,对建筑能耗进行动态调节。然后,建立了一个多目标能量优化模型,以最小化日常运营成本,同时最大化用户满意度,重点是平衡舒适性和经济性。第三,构建了日前和日内两阶段的能源优化模型,降低了源负荷预测误差对建筑能源系统运行的影响,并引入了激励需求响应策略,引导用户参与日内阶段的调度。最后,创建了不同的案例来测试所提出策略的有效性。总体仿真结果表明,与传统能源优化策略相比,该方法在用户满意度高于0.95的情况下,运行成本降低了12.9%,电网波动率降低了7.56%。
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引用次数: 0
Multiobjective Mid-Term Scheduling of the Hydro–Photovoltaic–Pumped Storage System Considering Uncertainties of Natural Water Inflow and Photovoltaic 考虑自然来水和光伏不确定性的水电-光伏-抽水蓄能系统多目标中期调度
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-11-04 DOI: 10.1155/etep/5768564
Zhaoguo Liu, Chuan He, Jing Tan, Guicen Dong

This paper proposes a multiobjective medium-term optimal scheduling model of the cascade hydro–photovoltaic (PV)–pumped storage system to increase the renewable energy accommodation capacity of the system. The uncertainties of natural water inflow and PV power output have been formulated using the information gap decision theory (IGDT), and the proposed multiobjective model is solved with the ε constraint method. A case study of a test system including 410 MW cascade hydro, 70 MW pumped storage, and 60 MW PV shows that the proposed model reduced solar curtailment rate from 22.65% to 0.23% compared to the conventional hydro–PV system, and the IGDT-based model avoids risk from the uncertainties of natural water inflow and PV power output effectively.

为提高梯级水电-光伏-抽水蓄能系统的可再生能源容纳能力,提出了梯级水电-光伏-抽水蓄能系统的多目标中期优化调度模型。利用信息缺口决策理论(information gap decision theory, IGDT)建立了自然入水量和光伏发电输出的不确定性,并利用ε约束方法求解了多目标模型。以410 MW梯级水电、70 MW抽水蓄能和60 MW光伏系统为例进行了试验研究,结果表明,与传统水电光伏系统相比,该模型将太阳能弃风率从22.65%降低到0.23%,并且基于igdt的模型有效地避免了自然入水量和光伏发电输出不确定性带来的风险。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating Solar Energy in Urban Development: Strategies for Sustainable and Smart Cities 将太阳能融入城市发展:可持续和智慧城市战略
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-10-31 DOI: 10.1155/etep/6096036
Humberto Garcia Castellanos, Yashar Aryanfar, Arash Nourbakhsh Sadabad, Ali Keçebaş, Mohamed Youssef, Farshad Akhgarzarandy, Mehdi Farzinfar, Shaban Mousavi Ghasemlou, Ahmed Ghazy, Khaled Kaaniche

The increasing pace of urbanization has intensified the global demand for clean and decentralized energy systems, placing solar energy at the forefront of sustainable urban transitions. While prior studies have separately explored photovoltaic (PV) technologies, urban form, or energy policy frameworks, few have synthesized these dimensions into an integrated roadmap for solar adoption in smart cities. This study addresses that gap by introducing the policy–technology–morphology nexus (PTMN), a novel conceptual model developed through the cross-analysis of 120 peer-reviewed studies and urban case implementations. The PTMN framework unifies three essential pillars: policy instruments (e.g., feed-in tariffs, net metering), enabling technologies (e.g., AI-based solar mapping, smart grids, battery optimization), and urban morphological variables (e.g., building density, orientation, and shading).Through comparative tables and geospatial insights, the review reveals that morphology-sensitive design, when coupled with intelligent technologies and regulatory incentives, can enhance solar efficiency by up to 40% in selected cities such as Geneva, Stonehaven, and Shenzhen. Methodologically, the study integrates GIS-based assessments, deep learning approaches, and system-level classification typologies to map deployment scales, performance gaps, and policy relevance. Findings highlight the critical role of digital twins and smart storage integration in enabling equitable and scalable solar transitions. Limitations include the reliance on location-specific data and the absence of multicity dynamic simulations. Future research should focus on enhancing AI-driven predictive modeling for solar energy optimization, developing novel energy storage technologies, and fostering interdisciplinary collaborations among policymakers, engineers, and urban planners.

城市化步伐的加快加剧了全球对清洁和分散能源系统的需求,使太阳能成为可持续城市转型的首要能源。虽然之前的研究分别探讨了光伏(PV)技术、城市形态或能源政策框架,但很少有人将这些维度综合到智能城市太阳能采用的综合路线图中。本研究通过引入政策-技术-形态联系(PTMN)解决了这一差距,这是一个通过交叉分析120项同行评议研究和城市案例实施而开发的新概念模型。PTMN框架统一了三个基本支柱:政策工具(例如,上网电价、净计量)、使能技术(例如,基于人工智能的太阳能测绘、智能电网、电池优化)和城市形态变量(例如,建筑密度、方向和阴影)。通过对比表和地理空间分析,该研究表明,形态敏感型设计与智能技术和监管激励相结合,可以在日内瓦、斯通黑文和深圳等选定城市将太阳能效率提高高达40%。在方法上,该研究集成了基于gis的评估、深度学习方法和系统级分类类型,以映射部署规模、性能差距和策略相关性。研究结果强调了数字孪生和智能存储集成在实现公平和可扩展的太阳能转型方面的关键作用。限制包括依赖于特定位置的数据和缺乏多城市动态模拟。未来的研究应侧重于增强人工智能驱动的太阳能优化预测模型,开发新型储能技术,并促进政策制定者、工程师和城市规划者之间的跨学科合作。
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引用次数: 0
Bridging Solar Power and Electric Vehicle Mobility: Infrastructure Design, Global Deployments, and Policy Pathways 桥接太阳能和电动汽车移动性:基础设施设计、全球部署和政策路径
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-10-28 DOI: 10.1155/etep/6696258
Ditiro Setlhaolo, Ehab Bayoumi

Electric vehicle (EV) technologies have become crucial in the current times as they are projected to be one of the major contributors to energy transition in global transportation and power system. They have been identified to offer social, technical, economic, and environmental benefits. Solar and hybrid EV chargers offer more significant advantages over grid-tied chargers. Despite the many advantages that EVs bring, there are also drawbacks associated with this technology. This paper therefore provides an extensive review on EV charging technologies and methods, international standards, and protocols. The work reviews solar power for EV charging stations, where grid-tied and off-grid systems are intensely examined. The system architecture and configuration, and charging station layouts are presented. An in-depth comparative review of charging technologies’ infrastructure Capital Expenditure (CAPEX) and Operational Expenditure (OPEX) cost analysis is examined. Eight global solar EV charging projects are closely analyzed and compared. From these case studies, lessons learnt and best practices are derived and a summary is provided. The challenges and future trends are also reviewed and presented in this work. The review presented in this work is useful to a wide range of individuals and groups, including but not limited to governments, potential buyers, policymakers, and researchers.

电动汽车(EV)技术在当今时代已经变得至关重要,因为它们预计将成为全球交通和电力系统能源转型的主要贡献者之一。它们已被确定具有社会、技术、经济和环境效益。太阳能和混合动力电动汽车充电器比并网充电器具有更显著的优势。尽管电动汽车带来了许多优势,但这项技术也存在一些缺点。因此,本文对电动汽车充电技术和方法、国际标准和协议进行了广泛的综述。这项工作回顾了电动汽车充电站的太阳能,并网和离网系统都受到了严格的检查。给出了系统的结构和配置,以及充电站的布局。对充电技术的基础设施资本支出(CAPEX)和运营支出(OPEX)成本分析进行了深入的比较。对全球八个太阳能电动汽车充电项目进行了密切的分析和比较。从这些案例研究中,得出了经验教训和最佳做法,并提供了总结。在这项工作中,还对挑战和未来趋势进行了审查和介绍。本工作中提出的综述对广泛的个人和团体有用,包括但不限于政府、潜在买家、政策制定者和研究人员。
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引用次数: 0
A Reinforcement Learning–Based Approach With Downside-Risk Protection for Battery Dispatch in Day-Ahead Markets 基于下侧风险保护的日前市场电池调度强化学习方法
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-10-23 DOI: 10.1155/etep/7939775
Xiayu Jiang, Fei Tang, Mo Chen, Bincheng Li, Yixin Yu, Jinxiu Ding, Xiao Li

In day-ahead electricity markets with high renewable penetration, price prediction errors are prevalent. These errors significantly increase the downside risk of energy storage arbitrage, potentially diminishing profits or even causing sustained losses. To address the lack of effective downside protection for energy storage systems operating in highly uncertain environments, this paper proposes a reinforcement learning–based battery-dispatch method. The method is enhanced by three mechanisms to improve policy robustness and risk management capabilities. Residual injection disturbs predictive inputs to simulate various bias scenarios, guiding agents toward more conservative decision-making. Action hard projection maps outputs in real time onto feasible regions, ensuring physical feasibility and training stability. Teacher model behaviour cloning incorporates low-risk demonstrations based on actual prices, accelerating convergence and avoiding high-risk actions. The approach underwent long-term empirical validation using highly volatile data from the Germany–Luxembourg market for 2020–2024. Results indicate that, although the proposed method yields slightly lower average returns compared to the traditional prediction-and-optimization baseline, it significantly reduces maximum drawdowns, loss probability and profit volatility, thereby demonstrating robust downside-risk protection. This study validates reinforcement learning’s capacity for effective risk control in energy storage dispatch and provides a viable pathway for robust asset management in highly volatile electricity markets.

在可再生能源普及率高的日前电力市场中,价格预测误差普遍存在。这些错误显著增加了储能套利的下行风险,可能降低利润,甚至造成持续损失。针对在高度不确定环境下运行的储能系统缺乏有效的下行保护的问题,提出了一种基于强化学习的电池调度方法。该方法通过三种机制来增强策略鲁棒性和风险管理能力。残余注入干扰预测输入以模拟各种偏差情景,引导代理做出更保守的决策。动作硬投影将输出实时映射到可行区域,确保物理可行性和训练稳定性。教师模型行为克隆结合了基于实际价格的低风险演示,加速了趋同并避免了高风险行为。该方法使用2020-2024年德国-卢森堡市场高度波动的数据进行了长期实证验证。结果表明,尽管与传统的预测和优化基线相比,所提出的方法产生的平均回报略低,但它显著降低了最大回撤、损失概率和利润波动,从而显示出强大的下行风险保护。本研究验证了强化学习在储能调度中有效控制风险的能力,并为高度波动的电力市场中稳健的资产管理提供了一条可行的途径。
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引用次数: 0
A New Zero-Current Switching High-Gain Converter Incorporating Coupled Inductor and Switched-Capacitor Network 结合电感耦合和开关电容网络的新型零电流开关高增益变换器
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-10-23 DOI: 10.1155/etep/5512210
Afshin Etesami Renani, Majid Delshad, Mohammad Reza Amini

In this paper, a new high step-up converter based on a coupled inductor and switched capacitor cell circuits is presented. The proposed converter achieves zero-current switching (ZCS) turn-on for the switch and ZCS turn-off for all diodes, significantly reducing switching losses. Additionally, the voltage stress across the switch is greatly minimized, allowing the use of lower-cost switches with smaller on-resistance, which further contributes to improved efficiency. The converter’s operation is enhanced by its ability to increase voltage gain without increasing the duty cycle, thus achieving a large conversion ratio. Furthermore, the continuous input current and alleviation of diode reverse recovery are additional benefits. The operation modes, including over-resonance and below-resonance frequency modes, are discussed to analyze the converter’s performance and design limitations. Experimental results from a 200-W, 30–380 V prototype confirm the theoretical analysis, demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed design.

本文提出了一种基于电感耦合和开关电容单元电路的新型高升压变换器。该转换器实现了开关的零电流开关(ZCS)导通和所有二极管的零电流开关关断,显著降低了开关损耗。此外,整个开关的电压应力被大大降低,允许使用具有较小导通电阻的低成本开关,这进一步有助于提高效率。在不增加占空比的情况下增加电压增益的能力增强了变换器的工作性能,从而实现了大的转换率。此外,连续输入电流和缓解二极管反向恢复是额外的好处。讨论了变换器的工作模式,包括过谐振和低谐振频率模式,分析了变换器的性能和设计局限性。实验结果证实了理论分析,证明了所提设计的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Data-Driven Dynamic Modeling of Virtual Power Plants With GFM and GFL Inverters Using GCN-LSTM Networks Under System Topological Changes 基于GCN-LSTM网络的GFM和GFL逆变器虚拟电厂拓扑变化数据驱动动态建模
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-10-22 DOI: 10.1155/etep/9587360
Seokjun Kang, Minhyeok Chang, Deokki You, Gilsoo Jang

Virtual power plants (VPPs) have emerged as a key solution for integrating distributed energy resources (DERs) into power systems, offering enhanced flexibility and supporting frequency and voltage stability. While traditional VPP models focus on static optimization and energy management, they fall short in capturing the dynamic responses required for transient stability analysis, especially in systems incorporating both grid-following (GFL) and grid-forming (GFM) inverters. The coexistence of GFM and GFL resources introduces complex, nonlinear interactions, which become even more challenging under topological reconfigurations or structural changes in the power systems. This paper proposes a neural network-based spatiotemporal model for dynamic VPP representation using graph convolutional networks (GCNs) and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks. The GCN captures both the static and dynamic structural topology of an 8-bus VPP system, while the LSTM models temporal behavior. The combined architecture effectively learns the interactions among inverter-based resources under various transient and reconfigured scenarios. High-fidelity Electro-Magnetic Transient (EMT) simulations validate the proposed method, demonstrating superior accuracy and better representation of dynamic behavior compared to conventional benchmark approaches. The framework provides a scalable solution for data-driven transient stability analysis, even under evolving system structures.

虚拟发电厂(vpp)已成为将分布式能源(DERs)集成到电力系统中的关键解决方案,提供增强的灵活性和支持频率和电压稳定性。虽然传统的VPP模型侧重于静态优化和能量管理,但它们在捕获瞬态稳定性分析所需的动态响应方面存在不足,特别是在包含电网跟随(GFL)和电网形成(GFM)逆变器的系统中。GFM和GFL资源的共存引入了复杂的非线性相互作用,在电力系统的拓扑重构或结构变化下,这种相互作用变得更加具有挑战性。本文利用图卷积网络(GCNs)和长短期记忆(LSTM)网络,提出了一种基于神经网络的动态VPP时空表示模型。GCN捕获8总线VPP系统的静态和动态结构拓扑,而LSTM建模时间行为。该组合体系结构有效地学习了各种暂态和重新配置场景下基于逆变器的资源之间的相互作用。高保真电磁瞬变(EMT)仿真验证了所提出的方法,与传统基准方法相比,显示出更高的精度和更好的动态行为表征。该框架为数据驱动的暂态稳定性分析提供了可扩展的解决方案,即使在不断变化的系统结构下也是如此。
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引用次数: 0
A Critical Assessment of Cable Rating Methods Under Soil Drying Out Conditions 土壤干燥条件下电缆等级评定方法的关键评估
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1155/etep/5946564
Ntombifuthi Q. Khumalo, Raj M. Naidoo, Nsilulu T. Mbungu, Ramesh C. Bansal

The design of underground cable systems must account for the risk of soil drying out due to heat dissipation, which can degrade cable performance and lead to environmental concerns. This study investigates a cost-effective cable rating methodology tailored to South African conditions, where native soils are used instead of engineered backfill. Using the IEC 60287 standard, an Excel-based calculation tool is developed to assess the effects of key installation parameters, including soil thermal resistivity, ambient soil temperature and cable laying depth. Soil samples from Sandton, South Africa, revealed thermal resistivity ranging from 0.596 K·m/W, at 14.5% moisture, to 3.72 K·m/W, at 0% moisture, resulting in current ratings from 518.34 A to 224.21 A. Worst-case conditions—high resistivity, increased depth, 1150 mm and elevated soil temperature, 28°C—reduced ampacity by over 45%. The findings underscore the need to incorporate site-specific soil data and worst-case assumptions into cable rating designs to prevent thermal degradation. The developed method offers a practical, locally optimised alternative for utilities in semiarid regions.

地下电缆系统的设计必须考虑到土壤因散热而干燥的风险,这可能会降低电缆的性能并导致环境问题。本研究调查了一种适合南非条件的具有成本效益的电缆评级方法,在南非使用原生土壤而不是工程回填土。采用IEC 60287标准,开发了基于excel的计算工具,用于评估土壤热阻、环境土壤温度和电缆敷设深度等关键安装参数的影响。来自南非桑顿的土壤样品显示,在14.5%水分下,热电阻率为0.596 K·m/W,在0%水分下,热电阻率为3.72 K·m/W,额定电流为518.34 A至224.21 A。在最坏的情况下,电阻率高,深度增加1150毫米,土壤温度升高28°c,电容量减少45%以上。研究结果强调,需要将特定地点的土壤数据和最坏情况假设纳入电缆额定设计中,以防止热降解。开发的方法为半干旱地区的公用事业提供了一种实用的、局部优化的替代方案。
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引用次数: 0
An Adaptive Renewable Energy Penetration Approach With Energy Storage Arbitrage for Profit Maximization in Deregulated Power Market 基于储能套利的电力市场利润最大化自适应可再生能源渗透方法
IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-10-05 DOI: 10.1155/etep/2506650
Arindam Sanyal, Arup Kumar Goswami, Prashant Kumar Tiwari, Tirunagaru V. Sarathkumar, Ahmad Aziz Al-Ahmadi, Mishari Metab Almalki, Aymen Flah, Ramy N. R. Ghaly

The consequences of fossil fuel consumption are increasingly evident through various climate anomalies and severe environmental impacts. Renewable energy sources have emerged as popular alternatives due to their zero-emission generation. However, the intermittent nature of renewables introduces uncertainty in the techno-economic operation of power systems. This article presents a novel adaptive penetration approach designed to maximize profit while minimizing tail-end risk for economic participation in the power market. The proposed adaptive strategy dynamically adjusts renewable energy penetration between 20% and 80%, based on real-time renewable energy availability. A Discrete-Time Markov Decision Process (DTMDP) is employed for decision-making and profit estimation, incorporating probabilistic renewable generation models and energy storage arbitrage operations. Profit and risk are evaluated over a 24-h horizon across twelve months, with tail-end risk quantified using Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR). This study models wind and solar energy generation probabilistically and integrates a two-stage energy storage arbitrage system. In the first stage, excess renewable generation is stored when supply exceeds demand, while in the second stage, stored energy is dispatched during power shortages. The IEEE 14-bus system with hybrid generation is used as the case study. The adaptive approach is compared with static renewable penetration levels of 20% and 80%. Results show that while 20% penetration yields lower tail risk, it also produces lower profits. Conversely, 80% penetration results in higher profits but comes with increased tail-end risk. Additionally, months with lower renewable energy probabilities, such as December, exhibited higher tail-end risk compared to months like July with higher renewable availability. The adaptive penetration strategy achieved higher profits than the 20% scenario while maintaining lower tail-end risk than the 80% scenario, demonstrating its effectiveness in balancing profitability and risk.

化石燃料消耗的后果通过各种气候异常和严重的环境影响日益明显。可再生能源因其零排放发电而成为受欢迎的替代能源。然而,可再生能源的间歇性给电力系统的技术经济运行带来了不确定性。本文提出了一种新的自适应渗透方法,旨在实现电力市场经济参与的利润最大化和尾端风险最小化。该策略根据可再生能源的实时可用性动态调整可再生能源渗透率在20% ~ 80%之间。采用离散时间马尔可夫决策过程(DTMDP)进行决策和收益估计,并结合概率可再生能源发电模型和储能套利操作。利润和风险在12个月的24小时范围内进行评估,尾部风险使用条件风险值(CVaR)进行量化。本文对风能和太阳能发电进行了概率建模,并集成了一个两阶段的储能套利系统。在第一阶段,过剩的可再生能源发电在供过于求时被存储,而在第二阶段,储存的能量在电力短缺时被调度。以IEEE 14总线混合发电系统为例进行了研究。将自适应方法与20%和80%的静态可再生能源渗透率水平进行了比较。结果表明,虽然20%的渗透率产生较低的尾部风险,但也产生较低的利润。相反,80%的渗透率带来了更高的利润,但也带来了更高的尾部风险。此外,可再生能源可能性较低的月份,如12月,与可再生能源可用性较高的月份(如7月)相比,表现出更高的尾部风险。自适应渗透策略获得了比20%情景更高的利润,同时保持了比80%情景更低的尾端风险,证明了其在平衡盈利能力和风险方面的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Transactions on Electrical Energy Systems
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