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Brookings Papers on Economic Activity最新文献

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Comments and Discussion 意见及讨论
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-01-27 DOI: 10.1353/eca.2021.0011
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引用次数: 0
Advanced Cognitive Skill Deserts in the United States: Their Likely Causes and Implications 美国的高级认知技能沙漠:其可能的原因和影响
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-01-27 DOI: 10.1353/eca.2021.0006
Caroline M. Hoxby
ABSTRACT:I use mapping and age trajectories of advanced cognitive skills to better understand why these skills are more prevalent in some local areas than in others. The study begins by explaining what advanced cognitive skills are. It offers a nonspecialist’s review of recent brain science that indicates that adolescence is the key period for the development of advanced cognitive skills. The paper considers three main explanations for why the prevalence of advanced cognitive skills varies substantially across US counties. Is it early childhood factors which could generate endogenous responses that are important later when advanced cognitive skills are developing? Is it factors whose influence is greatest during adolescence—the period when brain science argues that experience would most directly affect advanced cognitive skills? If so, adolescence is indeed the age of opportunity but also risk. Is the variation among counties explained by migration of individuals toward areas where other people have advanced cognitive skills similar to their own? Evidence based on cognitive skill trajectories, maps at different ages, and longitudinal regressions suggests that all three of these explanations play a role in generating areas where advanced cognitive skills are prevalent and areas where they are not—advanced cognitive skill deserts.
摘要:本文利用高级认知技能的映射和年龄轨迹来更好地理解为什么这些技能在某些地区比其他地区更普遍。这项研究首先解释了什么是高级认知技能。它提供了一个非专业人士对最近的脑科学的回顾,表明青春期是发展高级认知技能的关键时期。这篇论文考虑了美国各县高级认知技能普及程度差异很大的三个主要原因。是不是儿童早期的因素会产生内源性反应,而这些内源性反应在后来高级认知技能的发展中很重要?是那些在青少年时期影响最大的因素吗?在这个时期,脑科学认为经验会最直接地影响高级认知技能。如果是这样的话,青春期的确是机会的年龄,但也有风险。国家之间的差异是否可以用个人向其他拥有与自己相似的高级认知技能的地区迁移来解释?基于认知技能轨迹、不同年龄的地图和纵向回归的证据表明,这三种解释都在产生高级认知技能普遍存在的区域和不具备高级认知技能的区域方面发挥了作用。
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引用次数: 1
Comments and Discussion 意见及讨论
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-01-27 DOI: 10.1353/eca.2021.0010
Conrad Miller
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引用次数: 0
Comments and Discussion 意见及讨论
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-01-27 DOI: 10.1353/eca.2021.0017
Erik Hurst
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引用次数: 0
Comments and Discussion 意见及讨论
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-01-27 DOI: 10.1353/eca.2021.0013
Deborah Lucas
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引用次数: 1
Productivity and Growth over the Years at BPEA BPEA多年来的生产力和增长
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-01-27 DOI: 10.1353/eca.2021.0003
Robert Gordon
ABSTRACT:Over the past fifty years BPEA authors have written extensively about both domestic US productivity growth and international sources of growth differences in rich and poor countries. This paper summarizes and evaluates five BPEA papers on US productivity growth that focus primarily on the sources of the post-1965 growth slowdown and post-1995 growth revival. Then three papers are reviewed on international growth differences, highlighting the difficulties of empirically determining the sources of growth and the competing roles in growth outcomes of structural factors like geography and demography versus policy and governmental issues, including legal systems, property rights, and absence of corruption.
摘要:在过去的50年里,经济学家们撰写了大量关于美国国内生产率增长和贫富国家增长差异的国际根源的文章。本文总结并评估了五篇关于美国生产率增长的BPEA论文,这些论文主要关注1965年后增长放缓和1995年后增长复苏的根源。然后回顾了三篇关于国际增长差异的论文,强调了从经验上确定增长来源的困难,以及地理和人口等结构性因素与政策和政府问题(包括法律制度、产权和缺乏腐败)在增长结果中的竞争作用。
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引用次数: 1
Comments and Discussion 意见及讨论
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-01-27 DOI: 10.1353/eca.2021.0018
Brian A. Jacob
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引用次数: 0
Comments and Discussion 意见及讨论
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-01-27 DOI: 10.1353/eca.2021.0014
R. Joshua
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引用次数: 0
The Economic Costs of Pretrial Detention 审前羁押的经济成本
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-01-27 DOI: 10.1353/eca.2021.0005
Will Dobbie, Crystal S. Yang
ABSTRACT:We measure the economic costs of the US pretrial system using several complementary approaches and data sources. The pretrial system operates as one of the earliest points of entry in the criminal justice system. It typically represents an individual’s first opportunity to be incarcerated, potentially leading to subsequent long-term damage in the form of family separation, work interruption, loss of housing, and so on. We find that individuals lose almost $30,000 in forgone earnings and social benefits when detained in jail while awaiting the resolution of their criminal cases. These adverse consequences are also present in aggregate measures of economic well-being, with increases in county pretrial detention rates associated with increases in poverty rates and decreases in employment rates. Counties with high levels of pretrial detention also exhibit significantly lower levels of intergenerational mobility among children, consistent with pretrial detention having an adverse impact on young children who may be the dependents of individuals affected by the pretrial system.
摘要:本文采用几种互补的方法和数据来源来衡量美国审前制度的经济成本。审前制度是刑事司法制度最早的起点之一。这通常是一个人第一次被监禁的机会,可能会导致随后的长期伤害,如家庭分离、工作中断、失去住房等等。我们发现,在等待刑事案件得到解决期间被关押在监狱中的个人损失了近3万美元的收入和社会福利。这些不利后果也体现在经济福利的总体衡量标准中,县审前拘留率的增加与贫困率的增加和就业率的下降有关。审前拘留水平高的县,儿童的代际流动性也明显较低,这与审前拘留对可能是受审前制度影响的个人的家属的幼儿产生不利影响是一致的。
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引用次数: 5
Supporting Workers and Families in the Pandemic Recession: Results in 2020 and Suggestions for 2021 在大流行病衰退中支持工人和家庭:2020年的成果和2021年的建议
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-01-27 DOI: 10.1353/eca.2021.0000
Krista J. Ruffini, A. Wozniak
ABSTRACT:We review several spending programs designed to support Americans through the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. We group these into programs designed to stabilize the labor market and facilitate its recovery and those that provided financial relief to households independent of their employment history. We review the extent to which these programs reached intended beneficiaries along with early evidence of program impacts. Overall, we find the programs were highly successful at delivering intended aid in 2020. Nevertheless, we identify common areas where programs could improve as support continues through 2021, and we discuss related needs that have so far received less attention from policymakers.
摘要:我们回顾了旨在支持美国人度过2020年COVID-19大流行的几个支出项目。我们将这些项目分为旨在稳定劳动力市场并促进其复苏的项目,以及那些为独立于就业历史的家庭提供经济救济的项目。我们审查了这些项目达到预期受益人的程度以及项目影响的早期证据。总体而言,我们发现这些项目在2020年提供预期援助方面非常成功。尽管如此,我们还是确定了2021年之前项目可以改进的共同领域,并讨论了迄今为止尚未受到政策制定者关注的相关需求。
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引用次数: 5
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Brookings Papers on Economic Activity
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