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How do family doctors respond to reduced waiting times for cancer diagnosis in secondary care? 家庭医生如何应对二级护理中癌症诊断等待时间的缩短?
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-01 Epub Date: 2023-10-03 DOI: 10.1007/s10198-023-01626-2
Helen Hayes, Rachel Meacock, Jonathan Stokes, Matt Sutton

Reducing waiting times is a priority in public health systems. Efforts of healthcare providers to shorten waiting times could be negated if they simultaneously induce substantial increases in demand. However, separating out the effects of changes in supply and demand on waiting times requires an exogenous change in one element. We examine the impact of a pilot programme in some English hospitals to shorten waiting times for urgent diagnosis of suspected cancer on family doctors' referrals. We examine referrals from 6,666 family doctor partnerships to 145 hospitals between 1st April 2012 and 31st March 2019. Five hospitals piloted shorter waiting times initiatives in 2017. Using continuous difference-in-differences regression, we exploit the pilot as a 'supply shifter' to estimate the effect of waiting times on referral volumes for two suspected cancer types: bowel and lung. The proportion of referred patients breaching two-week waiting times targets for suspected bowel cancer fell by 3.9 percentage points in pilot hospitals in response to the policy, from a baseline of 4.8%. Family doctors exposed to the pilot increased their referrals (demand) by 10.8%. However, the pilot was not successful for lung cancer, with some evidence that waiting times increased, and a corresponding reduction in referrals of -10.5%. Family doctor referrals for suspected cancer are responsive at the margin to waiting times. Healthcare providers may struggle to achieve long-term reductions in waiting times if supply-side improvements are offset by increases in demand.

减少等待时间是公共卫生系统的优先事项。如果医疗保健提供者同时导致需求大幅增加,那么缩短等待时间的努力可能会被否定。然而,要将供求变化对等待时间的影响分开,就需要在一个因素上进行外生变化。我们研究了英国一些医院的一项试点计划对家庭医生转诊的影响,该计划旨在缩短疑似癌症紧急诊断的等待时间。我们调查了2012年4月1日至2019年3月31日期间从6666家家庭医生合作伙伴转诊到145家医院的情况。2017年,五家医院试行了缩短等待时间的举措。使用连续差分-差分回归,我们利用试点作为“供应转移者”来估计等待时间对两种疑似癌症类型(肠道和肺部)转诊量的影响。作为对该政策的回应,在试点医院,超过疑似癌症两周等待时间目标的转诊患者比例从4.8%的基线下降了3.9个百分点。接受试点的家庭医生的转诊(需求)增加了10.8%。然而,癌症试点并不成功,有证据表明等待时间增加了,转诊人数相应减少-10.5%。疑似癌症的家庭医生转诊对等待时间有响应。如果供应方面的改善被需求的增加所抵消,医疗保健提供者可能难以实现长期缩短等待时间。
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引用次数: 0
Shaping a suitable EU HTA dossier template: why the German template is not fit for purpose. 制定合适的欧盟HTA档案模板:为什么德国模板不适合使用。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-01 Epub Date: 2023-10-16 DOI: 10.1007/s10198-023-01631-5
Maria Katharina Schweitzer, Manuel Nico Dold, Astrid Genet, Klaus Gossens, Thomas Klein-Hessling, Nils Löffler, Matthias Rabel, Andrej Rasch, Eva-Maria Reuter, Jessica Schmelcher, Natalia Wolfram, Sebastian Werner

From 2025, Health Technology Developers (HTDs) have to submit EU HTA dossiers. The joint clinical assessment (JCA) aims to streamline HTA processes and access to medicinal products across Europe. Currently, German HTA bodies IQWiG and G-BA actively shape the JCA methodology. Here we examine if German HTA dossier requirements are suitable for the JCA. We compare the number of safety endpoint and subgroup analyses in German dossiers with analyses considered in IQWIG's benefit assessment and evaluate if these analyses were considered by the G-BA. We further investigated how the number of analyses was affected by the latest change in the German dossier template. With the current template, HTDs report in median 2.6 times more analyses on adverse events (AE) and 1.1 times more subgroup categories than in the previous template. IQWiG does not consider 33% of AE analyses and 73% of the subgroup categories presented by the HTD under the current template. G-BA considered the same AE as IQWiG in 76% of cases. Subgroups were uncommented by G-BA in most cases, independent of the template (previous: 93%, current 85%) and unconsidered in the conclusion on additional benefit (previous: 77%, current 69%). Thus, changes in the dossier template drastically increased HTD workload, but additional analyses seem unconsidered by the HTA bodies. With a broader scope in JCA, this effect could be amplified. To mitigate duplicative efforts and ensure prompt availability of medicinal products as envisioned by the HTAR, we suggest well-chosen and precise dossier requirements, early consultations, and early HTD engagement.

从2025年起,健康技术开发人员(HTD)必须提交欧盟HTA档案。联合临床评估(JCA)旨在简化欧洲各地的HTA流程和药品获取途径。目前,德国HTA机构IQWiG和G-BA积极制定JCA方法。在这里,我们检查德国HTA档案要求是否适用于JCA。我们将德国档案中的安全性终点和亚组分析的数量与IQWIG效益评估中考虑的分析进行了比较,并评估G-BA是否考虑了这些分析。我们进一步调查了德国档案模板的最新变化对分析数量的影响。使用当前模板,HTDs报告的不良事件(AE)分析的中位数是前一模板的2.6倍,亚组类别是前一个模板的1.1倍。IQWiG没有考虑当前模板下HTD提出的33%的AE分析和73%的亚组类别。在76%的病例中,G-BA认为与IQWiG相同的AE。在大多数情况下,G-BA未对亚组进行注释,独立于模板(以前:93%,当前85%),并且在关于额外益处的结论中未考虑(以前:77%,当前69%)。因此,档案模板的变化大大增加了HTD的工作量,但HTA机构似乎没有考虑额外的分析。随着JCA范围的扩大,这种影响可能会被放大。为了减少重复工作,并确保药品的及时供应,正如HTAR所设想的那样,我们建议精心选择和准确的档案要求、早期咨询和早期HTD参与。
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引用次数: 0
A budget impact analysis of a digital monitoring solution in patients treated with oral anticancer agents: a medico-economic analysis of the randomized phase 3 CAPRI trial. 口服抗癌药患者数字监测解决方案的预算影响分析:CAPRI 随机三期试验的医学经济分析。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10198-024-01702-1
Etienne Minvielle, Henri Leleu, Marc Masseti, Arlindo Ferreira, Gérard de Pouvourville, Mario Di Palma, Florian Scotté

Background/objectives: Remote patient monitoring (RPM) has demonstrated numerous benefits in cancer care, including improved quality of life, overall survival, and reduced medical resource use. This study presents a budget impact analysis of a nurse navigator-led RPM program, based on the CAPRI trial, from the perspective of the French national health insurance (NHI). The study aimed to assess the impact of the program on medical resource utilization and costs.

Methods: Medical resource utilization data were collected from both medico-administrative sources and patient-reported questionnaires. Costs were calculated by applying unit costs to resource utilization and estimating the average monthly cost per patient. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to explore different perspectives and varying resource consumption.

Results: The analysis included 559 cancer patients participating in the CAPRI program. From the NHI perspective, the program resulted in average savings of €377 per patient over the 4.58-month follow-up period, mainly due to reduced hospitalizations. The all-payers perspective yielded even greater savings of €504 per patient. Sensitivity analyses supported the robustness of the findings.

Conclusion: The budget impact analysis demonstrated that the CAPRI RPM program was associated with cost savings from the perspective of the NHI. The program's positive impact on reducing hospitalizations outweighed the additional costs associated with remote monitoring. These findings highlight the potential economic benefits of implementing RPM programs in cancer care. Further research is warranted to assess the long-term cost-effectiveness and scalability of such programs in the real-world settings.

背景/目的:远程患者监护(RPM)已在癌症护理中显示出诸多益处,包括改善生活质量、提高总生存率和减少医疗资源的使用。本研究以 CAPRI 试验为基础,从法国国家医疗保险(NHI)的角度出发,对一项由护士导航员主导的 RPM 计划进行了预算影响分析。研究旨在评估该计划对医疗资源利用率和成本的影响:方法:医疗资源利用率数据由医疗行政部门和患者报告问卷收集而来。成本的计算方法是将单位成本应用于资源利用率,并估算出每位患者每月的平均成本。进行了敏感性分析,以探讨不同的观点和不同的资源消耗:分析包括 559 名参加 CAPRI 计划的癌症患者。从国家医疗保险的角度来看,该计划在 4.58 个月的跟踪期内为每位患者平均节省了 377 欧元,这主要归功于住院次数的减少。从所有纳税人的角度来看,每位患者节省的费用甚至更高,达到 504 欧元。敏感性分析证实了研究结果的可靠性:预算影响分析表明,从国家医疗保险的角度来看,CAPRI RPM 计划与成本节约有关。该计划对减少住院人数的积极影响超过了与远程监控相关的额外成本。这些发现凸显了在癌症治疗中实施 RPM 计划的潜在经济效益。我们有必要开展进一步的研究,以评估此类计划在实际环境中的长期成本效益和可扩展性。
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引用次数: 0
Letter to the Editor: Lazzaro responds to Kennedy et al. 致编辑的信拉扎罗对肯尼迪等人的回应
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1007/s10198-024-01703-0
Carlo Lazzaro
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引用次数: 0
The hidden cost of sophistication: economic complexity and obesity. 复杂性的隐性成本:经济复杂性与肥胖症。
IF 4.4 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-11 DOI: 10.1007/s10198-024-01699-7
Ronald Djeunankan, Sosson Tadadjeu, Henri Njangang, Ummad Mazhar

Obesity has become a global health crisis, affecting people of all ages, regions, and socio-economic backgrounds. While individual behaviour and genetic factors contribute to obesity, the role of economic complexity in the evolution of obesity rates has not yet been empirically studied. Using a large panel of 110 countries over the period 1976-2015, this article estimates the linear and non-linear links between obesity and economic complexity. According to baseline results, an improvement in economic complexity will lead to an increase in obesity up to a certain threshold. Beyond this turning point, any further increase in economic complexity will significantly contribute to obesity reduction. The issue of simultaneity is tackled using the two-stage instrumental variable method. Our findings support the Obesity Kuznets Curve (OKC) pattern, which suggests that economic progress and obesity have an inverted U-shaped relationship. Our results suggest that greater embeddedness of knowledge in the products produced and exported by a country increases the likelihood of obesity in society, at least up to a threshold. From these results, some important policy implications are discussed.

肥胖症已成为全球健康危机,影响着不同年龄、地区和社会经济背景的人群。虽然个人行为和遗传因素会导致肥胖,但经济复杂性在肥胖率演变中的作用尚未得到实证研究。本文利用 1976-2015 年间 110 个国家的大型面板数据,估算了肥胖与经济复杂性之间的线性和非线性联系。根据基线结果,经济复杂度的提高会导致肥胖症的增加,直至达到某个临界点。超过这一转折点后,经济复杂性的进一步提高将大大有助于减少肥胖。利用两阶段工具变量法解决了同时性问题。我们的研究结果支持肥胖库兹涅茨曲线(OKC)模式,即经济进步与肥胖之间存在倒 U 型关系。我们的结果表明,一个国家生产和出口的产品中知识的嵌入程度越高,社会中肥胖的可能性就越大,至少会达到一个临界点。根据这些结果,我们讨论了一些重要的政策影响。
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引用次数: 0
Does medial tourism promote growth in healthcare sector? 医疗旅游能否促进医疗保健行业的发展?
IF 4.4 3区 医学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10198-024-01700-3
Hassan F Gholipour, Kourosh Esfandiar

The purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of medical tourism revenues on the growth of healthcare sector across 49 emerging and developed economies from 2008 to 2022. Using panel GMM and PMG/ARDL estimation methods, the results show that higher levels of medical tourism revenues promote growth in the healthcare sector. This finding remains robust across different sample periods, alternative measure of healthcare sector performance, and model specifications.

本研究旨在探讨 2008 年至 2022 年期间医疗旅游收入对 49 个新兴经济体和发达经济体医疗保健行业增长的影响。通过使用面板 GMM 和 PMG/ARDL 估算方法,结果表明医疗旅游收入水平的提高会促进医疗保健行业的增长。这一结论在不同的样本期、医疗保健行业绩效的替代衡量标准和模型规格中都保持稳健。
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引用次数: 0
Quality of life and healthcare costs of patients with allergic respiratory diseases: a cross-sectional study. 过敏性呼吸道疾病患者的生活质量和医疗成本:一项横断面研究。
IF 4.4 3区 医学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-01 Epub Date: 2023-07-07 DOI: 10.1007/s10198-023-01598-3
Vivienne Hillerich, Frederik Valbert, Silke Neusser, Oliver Pfaar, Ludger Klimek, Annette Sperl, Thomas Werfel, Eckard Hamelmann, Cordula Riederer, Stefanie Wobbe-Ribinski, Anja Neumann, Jürgen Wasem, Janine Biermann-Stallwitz

Background: Allergic rhinitis (AR) and allergic asthma (AA) are chronic respiratory diseases that represent a global health problem. One aim of this study was to analyze the Health-related Quality of Life (HRQoL) of the patients in order to identify statistically significant influencing factors that determine HRQoL. Another aim was to assess and analyze data on cost-of-illness from a statutory health insurance perspective.

Methods:  The EQ-5D-5L was used to evaluate the patients' HRQoL. To identify the factors influencing the HRQoL, a multinomial logistic regression analysis was conducted using groups based on the EQ-5D-5L index value as dependent variable. Routine data were analyzed to determine total healthcare costs.

Results:  The average EQ-5D-5L index was 0.85 (SD 0.20). A high age, the amount of disease costs, low internal health-related control beliefs and high ozone exposure in the residential area were found to be statistically significant influencing factors for a low HRQoL, whereas low age, male sex and a good possibility to avoid the allergens were found to be statistically significant factors influencing a high HRQoL. On average, the study participants incurred annual costs of €3072 (SD: 3485), of which €699 (SD: 743) could be assigned to allergic respiratory diseases.

Conclusions:  Overall, the patients in the VerSITA study showed a high level of HRQoL. The identified influencing factors can be used as starting points for improving the HRQoL of patients with allergic respiratory diseases. From the perspective of a statutory health insurance, per person expenditures for allergic respiratory diseases are rather low.

背景:过敏性鼻炎(AR)和过敏性哮喘(AA)是一种慢性呼吸道疾病,是全球性的健康问题。本研究的目的之一是分析患者与健康相关的生活质量(HRQoL),以确定决定 HRQoL 的具有统计学意义的影响因素。另一个目的是从法定医疗保险的角度评估和分析疾病成本数据: 方法:采用 EQ-5D-5L 评估患者的 HRQoL。为确定影响 HRQoL 的因素,以 EQ-5D-5L 指数值为因变量进行了多项式逻辑回归分析。对常规数据进行了分析,以确定医疗费用总额: 结果:EQ-5D-5L 平均指数为 0.85(SD 0.20)。研究发现,高年龄、高疾病费用、低内部健康相关控制信念和居住区高臭氧暴露是低 HRQoL 的显著影响因素,而低年龄、男性和高避免过敏原的可能性是高 HRQoL 的显著影响因素。研究参与者平均每年花费 3072 欧元(标准差:3485),其中 699 欧元(标准差:743)可归因于过敏性呼吸道疾病: 总体而言,VerSITA 研究中的患者显示出较高的 HRQoL 水平。已确定的影响因素可作为改善过敏性呼吸道疾病患者 HRQoL 的起点。从法定医疗保险的角度来看,过敏性呼吸道疾病的人均支出相当低。
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引用次数: 0
Using machine learning to estimate health spillover effects. 利用机器学习估算健康溢出效应。
IF 4.4 3区 医学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-01 Epub Date: 2023-08-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10198-023-01621-7
Bruno Wichmann, Roberta Moreira Wichmann

We develop a nonparametric model to study health spillover effects of policy interventions. We use double/debiased machine learning to estimate the model using data from 74 hospitals in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, and examine cross-patient spillover effects during the COVID-19 pandemic. The pandemic forced hospitals to develop new protocols to offer intensive care to both COVID and non-COVID patients. Our results show that the need to care for COVID patients affects health outcomes of non-COVID patients. Controlling for a number of confounders, we find that mortality rates and length of stay of non-COVID ICU patients increase when hospitals simultaneously offer intensive care to both types of patients. Policy simulations suggest that an increase in the number of ICU beds can counter morbidity spillover, but it is unlikely to be a feasible approach to counter mortality spillover.

我们建立了一个非参数模型来研究政策干预的健康溢出效应。我们利用巴西里约热内卢 74 家医院的数据,使用双重/偏差机器学习对模型进行了估计,并考察了 COVID-19 大流行期间的跨病人溢出效应。大流行迫使医院制定新的方案,为 COVID 和非 COVID 患者提供重症监护。我们的研究结果表明,对 COVID 患者的护理需求会影响非 COVID 患者的健康状况。在控制了一些混杂因素后,我们发现当医院同时为两类患者提供重症监护时,非 COVID ICU 患者的死亡率和住院时间都会增加。政策模拟表明,增加重症监护病房床位数可以抵消发病率的溢出效应,但不太可能成为抵消死亡率溢出效应的可行方法。
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引用次数: 0
Scales and size-quality outcomes in adult learning disability residential care: evidence from the UK. 成人学习障碍寄宿护理的规模和质量结果:来自英国的证据。
IF 4.4 3区 医学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-01 Epub Date: 2023-07-19 DOI: 10.1007/s10198-023-01599-2
Chelsea Chunwen Xiao, Nikita Makarchev, Xin Tao

Residential care services are under increasing pressure to lower service provision costs while maintaining quality of care. Using a translog cost function, this paper examines the relationship between cost, quality and output in England's learning disability (LD) residential care sector. It finds genuine but diminishing economies of scale in LD residential care services vis-à-vis output (i.e., care weeks). However, some variation exists: higher-quality LD residential care homes appear to have larger economies of scale than lower-quality ones. Supplementary regression analysis, examining quality-size, further finds quality (a) is negatively associated with LD care homes of six or fewer beds; (b) shows no association with homes of more than six beds. These findings enhance residential care literature and raise the possibility that, by promoting the establishment of larger high-quality care homes, cost savings may be achieved without sacrificing quality.

寄宿护理服务面临着越来越大的压力,既要降低服务成本,又要保持护理质量。本文利用转化成本函数,研究了英格兰学习障碍(LD)住宿护理行业的成本、质量和产出之间的关系。研究发现,相对于产出(即护理周数)而言,学习障碍住宿护理服务的规模经济是真实存在的,但正在逐渐减弱。不过,也存在一些差异:质量较高的学习障碍住宿护理院的规模经济似乎大于质量较低的住宿护理院。通过对质量-规模进行补充回归分析,进一步发现质量(a)与六张或六张以下床位的残疾人护理院呈负相关;(b)与六张以上床位的护理院无关联。这些研究结果完善了有关住宿护理的文献,并提出了一种可能性,即通过促进建立规模更大的高质量护理院,可以在不牺牲质量的情况下节约成本。
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引用次数: 0
Cost-effectiveness model of trastuzumab deruxtecan as second-line treatment in HER2-positive unresectable and/or metastatic breast cancer in Finland. 芬兰将曲妥珠单抗德鲁司坦作为二线治疗 HER2 阳性不可切除和/或转移性乳腺癌的成本效益模型。
IF 4.4 3区 医学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-01 Epub Date: 2023-07-24 DOI: 10.1007/s10198-023-01617-3
Jeroen H J Paulissen, Ahmed H Seddik, Kyle J Dunton, Christopher J Livings, Marinus van Hulst, Maarten J Postma, Lisa A de Jong, Roel D Freriks

Objectives: Trastuzumab deruxtecan (T-DXd) was recently recommended by the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use as a treatment for adult patients with unresectable or metastatic HER2-positive breast cancer, who had received a prior anti-HER2-based regimen. In our study, we evaluated the cost-effectiveness of T-DXd compared with ado-trastuzumab emtansine (T-DM1) for this indication in Finland.

Methods: A three-state partitioned survival analysis model was developed with a payer's perspective. Time to event data from the DESTINY-Breast03 (DB-03) trial were extrapolated over a lifetime horizon either directly-for progression-free survival and time to treatment discontinuation-or using an alternative approach utilizing long-term T-DM1 survival data and DB-03 data-for overall survival. Discount rates of 3% were applied for costs and effects. Inputs were sourced from the Medicinal Products Database from Kela, Helsinki University Hospital service price list, Finnish Medicines Agency assessments, clinical experts, and DB-03. Sensitivity analyses were performed to characterize and demonstrate parameter uncertainties in the model.

Results: Total quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and life years (LYs) gained for T-DXd compared with T-DM1 were 1.93 and 2.56, respectively. Incremental costs for T-DXd compared with T-DM1 were €106,800, resulting in an ICER of €55,360 per QALY gained and an ICER of €41,775 per LY gained. One-way sensitivity analysis showed the hazard ratio of T-DXd vs T-DM1 for OS was the most influential parameter. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed similar results to the base case.

Conclusions: T-DXd is cost-effective based on surrogate WTP thresholds of €72,000 and €139,000 per QALY.

研究目的曲妥珠单抗德鲁司坦(T-DXd)最近被人用医药产品委员会推荐为治疗不可切除或转移性 HER2 阳性乳腺癌成年患者的药物,这些患者之前曾接受过以抗 HER2 为基础的治疗方案。在我们的研究中,我们评估了在芬兰,T-DXd 与 ado-trastuzumab emtansine (T-DM1) 在这一适应症方面的成本效益比较:方法:我们从支付方的角度开发了一个三态分区生存分析模型。DESTINY-Breast03(DB-03)试验中的事件发生时间数据被直接推断为无进展生存期和终止治疗时间,或使用另一种方法,即利用 T-DM1 的长期生存期数据和 DB-03 的总生存期数据推断为终生生存期。成本和效果的贴现率为 3%。输入数据来自 Kela 医药产品数据库、赫尔辛基大学医院服务价格表、芬兰药品管理局评估、临床专家和 DB-03。进行了敏感性分析,以确定并展示模型中参数的不确定性:结果:与 T-DM1 相比,T-DXd 获得的总质量调整生命年 (QALY) 和总生命年 (LY) 分别为 1.93 和 2.56。与 T-DM1 相比,T-DXd 的增量成本为 106,800 欧元,因此每获得一个 QALY 的 ICER 为 55,360 欧元,每获得一个 LY 的 ICER 为 41,775 欧元。单向敏感性分析表明,T-DXd 与 T-DM1 对 OS 的危险比是影响最大的参数。概率敏感性分析结果与基本病例相似:根据每 QALY 72,000 欧元和 139,000 欧元的代用 WTP 临界值,T-DXd 具有成本效益。
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引用次数: 0
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European Journal of Health Economics
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