首页 > 最新文献

European Journal of Criminology最新文献

英文 中文
Attitudes towards the death penalty: An assessment of individual and country-level differences 对死刑的态度:对个人和国家一级差异的评估
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-08-22 DOI: 10.1177/14773708221097670
D. McCarthy, I. brunton-smith
Research on public attitudes to the death penalty has been predominantly understood through single nation-states, especially within the USA. Examinations of international differences in citizens’ support for the death penalty have been scarce, particularly among continents with a high volume of retentionist nations (e.g. Asia). In this paper, we draw on a dataset of 135,000 people from across 81 nations to examine differences in death penalty support. We find that residents of retentionist nations are generally more supportive of the death penalty than those from abolitionist nations. But this general difference masks important differences both within and between countries. At the country-level, residents of abolitionist nations with autocratic political systems and those with higher homicide levels were more likely to support the death penalty than residents of other abolitionist nations. At the individual level, greater support for a strong dictatorial-type leader and perceptions of political corruption are associated with increased support for the death penalty, but only in abolitionist nations. By contrast, more frequent religious worship, perceived egalitarianism in a nation, and support for the political performance of government reduced death penalty support in abolitionist nations but increased support in retentionist nations, while belief in individual responsibility and critical views towards ethnic minorities increased support for the death penalty across both abolitionist and retentionist nations.
公众对死刑态度的研究主要是通过单一民族国家来理解的,特别是在美国。很少对公民支持死刑的国际差异进行审查,特别是在保留死刑国家数量众多的大陆之间(例如亚洲)。在本文中,我们利用来自81个国家的135,000人的数据集来研究支持死刑的差异。我们发现,保留死刑国家的居民普遍比废除死刑国家的居民更支持死刑。但这种普遍差异掩盖了国家内部和国家之间的重要差异。在国家层面上,与其他废除死刑国家的居民相比,拥有专制政治制度的废除死刑国家和杀人率较高的国家的居民更有可能支持死刑。在个人层面上,对强势独裁型领导人的更多支持和对政治腐败的看法与对死刑的更多支持有关,但仅限于废除死刑的国家。相比之下,一个国家更频繁的宗教崇拜、感知到的平等主义以及对政府政治表现的支持减少了废除死刑国家对死刑的支持,但增加了保留死刑国家对死刑的支持,而对个人责任的信念和对少数民族的批评观点增加了废除死刑国家和保留死刑国家对死刑的支持。
{"title":"Attitudes towards the death penalty: An assessment of individual and country-level differences","authors":"D. McCarthy, I. brunton-smith","doi":"10.1177/14773708221097670","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/14773708221097670","url":null,"abstract":"Research on public attitudes to the death penalty has been predominantly understood through single nation-states, especially within the USA. Examinations of international differences in citizens’ support for the death penalty have been scarce, particularly among continents with a high volume of retentionist nations (e.g. Asia). In this paper, we draw on a dataset of 135,000 people from across 81 nations to examine differences in death penalty support. We find that residents of retentionist nations are generally more supportive of the death penalty than those from abolitionist nations. But this general difference masks important differences both within and between countries. At the country-level, residents of abolitionist nations with autocratic political systems and those with higher homicide levels were more likely to support the death penalty than residents of other abolitionist nations. At the individual level, greater support for a strong dictatorial-type leader and perceptions of political corruption are associated with increased support for the death penalty, but only in abolitionist nations. By contrast, more frequent religious worship, perceived egalitarianism in a nation, and support for the political performance of government reduced death penalty support in abolitionist nations but increased support in retentionist nations, while belief in individual responsibility and critical views towards ethnic minorities increased support for the death penalty across both abolitionist and retentionist nations.","PeriodicalId":51475,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46528786","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
The SECI model and darknet markets: Knowledge creation in criminal organizations and communities of practice SECI模型和暗网市场:犯罪组织和实践社区的知识创造
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-08-19 DOI: 10.1177/14773708221115167
Marie-Helen Maras, Jana Arsovska, A. S. Wandt, Melanie Knieps, Kenji Logie
This study examines darknet markets through the lens of a business theory on knowledge management. Taking epistemological and ontological dimensions into consideration, this study uses Nonaka's (1991) SECI model as a theoretical framework to identify and describe how tacit and explicit knowledge is created and shared on Silk Road, Pandora and Agora darknet markets, and how people affect this process. By studying this process, insights can be obtained into darknet market criminal organizations and communities of practice and their impact on the continuity and resilience of illicit darknet markets. This project used data from the Internet Archive collection of publicly available darknet market scrapes between 2011 and 2015 from Branwen et al. (2015) . We observed instances of the SECI model (socialization, externalization, combination, and internalization) on darknet markets in both criminal organizations and communities of practice. Darknet market leaders and groups facilitated both knowledge creation and sharing. This study is the first to test the SECI model on darknet markets. The study provides an understanding of the complexity and resilience of darknet markets, as well as valuable information to help guide law enforcement agencies efforts to stop the illicit trade of goods and services.
这项研究通过知识管理的商业理论来考察暗网市场。考虑到认识论和本体论维度,本研究以Nonaka(1991)的SECI模型为理论框架,识别和描述了隐性和显性知识是如何在丝绸之路、潘多拉和Agora暗网市场上创造和共享的,以及人们如何影响这一过程。通过研究这一过程,可以深入了解暗网市场犯罪组织和实践社区及其对非法暗网市场的连续性和弹性的影响。该项目使用了互联网档案馆收集的Branwen等人2011年至2015年间公开的暗网市场数据。(2015)。我们在犯罪组织和实践社区的暗网市场上观察到了SECI模式(社会化、外部化、组合和内部化)的例子。暗网市场领导者和团体促进了知识创造和共享。这项研究是第一次在暗网市场上测试SECI模型。该研究了解了暗网市场的复杂性和弹性,并提供了有价值的信息,有助于指导执法机构努力阻止商品和服务的非法贸易。
{"title":"The SECI model and darknet markets: Knowledge creation in criminal organizations and communities of practice","authors":"Marie-Helen Maras, Jana Arsovska, A. S. Wandt, Melanie Knieps, Kenji Logie","doi":"10.1177/14773708221115167","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/14773708221115167","url":null,"abstract":"This study examines darknet markets through the lens of a business theory on knowledge management. Taking epistemological and ontological dimensions into consideration, this study uses Nonaka's (1991) SECI model as a theoretical framework to identify and describe how tacit and explicit knowledge is created and shared on Silk Road, Pandora and Agora darknet markets, and how people affect this process. By studying this process, insights can be obtained into darknet market criminal organizations and communities of practice and their impact on the continuity and resilience of illicit darknet markets. This project used data from the Internet Archive collection of publicly available darknet market scrapes between 2011 and 2015 from Branwen et al. (2015) . We observed instances of the SECI model (socialization, externalization, combination, and internalization) on darknet markets in both criminal organizations and communities of practice. Darknet market leaders and groups facilitated both knowledge creation and sharing. This study is the first to test the SECI model on darknet markets. The study provides an understanding of the complexity and resilience of darknet markets, as well as valuable information to help guide law enforcement agencies efforts to stop the illicit trade of goods and services.","PeriodicalId":51475,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48003150","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
Is there a penalty for going to trial in Spain? Plea bargaining and courtroom efficiency 在西班牙接受审判会受到处罚吗?辩诉交易和法庭效率
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-08-15 DOI: 10.1177/14773708221117514
Steven Kemp, Daniel Varona
The plea bargain is now the most frequent mode of conviction in many countries, yet several problems have been highlighted, such as loss of rights, enhanced sentencing disparities or increased false confessions. A central element to many of the issues is the sentence discount obtained by pleading or the penalty associated with going to trial. However, outside the United States and the United Kingdom, there have been few attempts to analyse plea-trial disparities, and in Spain research is almost non-existent. To help fill this gap, the present article provides the first quantitative examination of plea discounts and trial penalties in Spain. Regression models, covariate balancing propensity score and counterfactuals are estimated to show that, in comparison to going to trial, agreeing to a plea in the initial stage of the process is associated with shorter sentences and, more importantly, the results demonstrate that the probability of entering prison is significantly greater for those convicted at trial compared to both plea types analysed. In addition, evidence of concerning inequalities is found between Spanish nationals and foreigners. The findings indicate courtroom actors may be working conjointly to expedite the criminal process and we discuss the implications of this in relation to the fundamental principles of criminal justice systems, such as proportionality, equality and the presumption of innocence.
辩诉交易现在是许多国家最常见的定罪模式,但也突出了一些问题,如权利的丧失、量刑差距的扩大或虚假供词的增加。许多问题的核心因素是通过认罪获得的刑期折扣或与受审相关的处罚。然而,在美国和英国以外,很少有人试图分析辩诉审判的差异,而在西班牙,几乎没有研究。为了填补这一空白,本文首次对西班牙的认罪折扣和审判处罚进行了定量审查。回归模型、协变量平衡倾向得分和反事实估计表明,与接受审判相比,在审判的最初阶段同意认罪与刑期较短有关,更重要的是,结果表明,与分析的两种认罪类型相比,那些在审判中被定罪的人入狱的可能性要大得多。此外,西班牙国民和外国人之间存在令人担忧的不平等现象。调查结果表明,法庭行为者可能正在共同努力加快刑事诉讼程序,我们讨论了这一点对刑事司法系统基本原则的影响,如相称性、平等和无罪推定。
{"title":"Is there a penalty for going to trial in Spain? Plea bargaining and courtroom efficiency","authors":"Steven Kemp, Daniel Varona","doi":"10.1177/14773708221117514","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/14773708221117514","url":null,"abstract":"The plea bargain is now the most frequent mode of conviction in many countries, yet several problems have been highlighted, such as loss of rights, enhanced sentencing disparities or increased false confessions. A central element to many of the issues is the sentence discount obtained by pleading or the penalty associated with going to trial. However, outside the United States and the United Kingdom, there have been few attempts to analyse plea-trial disparities, and in Spain research is almost non-existent. To help fill this gap, the present article provides the first quantitative examination of plea discounts and trial penalties in Spain. Regression models, covariate balancing propensity score and counterfactuals are estimated to show that, in comparison to going to trial, agreeing to a plea in the initial stage of the process is associated with shorter sentences and, more importantly, the results demonstrate that the probability of entering prison is significantly greater for those convicted at trial compared to both plea types analysed. In addition, evidence of concerning inequalities is found between Spanish nationals and foreigners. The findings indicate courtroom actors may be working conjointly to expedite the criminal process and we discuss the implications of this in relation to the fundamental principles of criminal justice systems, such as proportionality, equality and the presumption of innocence.","PeriodicalId":51475,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-08-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47495976","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
How unique are terrorist suspects? Investigating similarities and differences between terrorist suspects, their siblings, and other suspects 恐怖分子嫌疑人有多独特?调查恐怖分子嫌疑人、其兄弟姐妹和其他嫌疑人之间的异同
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-08-04 DOI: 10.1177/14773708221115166
F. Thijs, E. Rodermond, E. Kleemans, S. V. D. van de Weijer
This article contributes to the debate in terrorism research on how unique terrorist suspects (i.e. individuals suspected of crimes with terrorist intent) actually are and whether or not specific theories are necessary to explain their behavior. Our study compares terrorist suspects from the Netherlands with their siblings and nonterrorist suspects to find out whether and how terrorist suspects are unique. Inspired by criminological theories involving social bonds, regression analyses were conducted utilizing registry data on household compositions, socio-economic status (SES), and criminal histories. A key finding is that terrorist suspects seem to have more in common with other suspects than with their siblings; besides prior criminal involvement, no significant differences were found between terrorist suspects and other suspects. Terrorist suspects were significantly less often married, had a lower SES, and were more often previously suspected of crimes as compared to their siblings. Particularly, lacking employment is a differentiating factor for terrorist suspects and siblings. Our findings stress the necessity to investigate in-depth under what circumstances and how a disadvantaged background (e.g. lack of social bonds, criminal history) can lead to becoming a terrorist suspect.
这篇文章有助于恐怖主义研究中关于恐怖主义嫌疑人(即涉嫌具有恐怖主义意图的犯罪的个人)的独特性以及是否需要具体的理论来解释他们的行为的辩论。我们的研究将来自荷兰的恐怖分子嫌疑人与其兄弟姐妹和非恐怖分子嫌疑人进行了比较,以了解恐怖分子嫌疑人是否以及如何是独一无二的。受涉及社会纽带的犯罪学理论的启发,利用家庭组成、社会经济地位和犯罪史的登记数据进行了回归分析。一个关键的发现是,恐怖分子嫌疑人与其他嫌疑人的共同点似乎比他们的兄弟姐妹更多;除了先前的犯罪参与外,恐怖分子嫌疑人和其他嫌疑人之间没有发现显著差异。与兄弟姐妹相比,恐怖分子嫌疑人结婚的次数明显较少,社会经济地位较低,而且之前更经常被怀疑犯罪。特别是,缺乏就业是恐怖主义嫌疑人和兄弟姐妹的一个区别因素。我们的调查结果强调,有必要深入调查在什么情况下以及弱势背景(如缺乏社会纽带、犯罪史)如何导致成为恐怖嫌疑人。
{"title":"How unique are terrorist suspects? Investigating similarities and differences between terrorist suspects, their siblings, and other suspects","authors":"F. Thijs, E. Rodermond, E. Kleemans, S. V. D. van de Weijer","doi":"10.1177/14773708221115166","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/14773708221115166","url":null,"abstract":"This article contributes to the debate in terrorism research on how unique terrorist suspects (i.e. individuals suspected of crimes with terrorist intent) actually are and whether or not specific theories are necessary to explain their behavior. Our study compares terrorist suspects from the Netherlands with their siblings and nonterrorist suspects to find out whether and how terrorist suspects are unique. Inspired by criminological theories involving social bonds, regression analyses were conducted utilizing registry data on household compositions, socio-economic status (SES), and criminal histories. A key finding is that terrorist suspects seem to have more in common with other suspects than with their siblings; besides prior criminal involvement, no significant differences were found between terrorist suspects and other suspects. Terrorist suspects were significantly less often married, had a lower SES, and were more often previously suspected of crimes as compared to their siblings. Particularly, lacking employment is a differentiating factor for terrorist suspects and siblings. Our findings stress the necessity to investigate in-depth under what circumstances and how a disadvantaged background (e.g. lack of social bonds, criminal history) can lead to becoming a terrorist suspect.","PeriodicalId":51475,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-08-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46937251","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
New patterns in residential burglary: The method of deadbolt lock picking 住宅盗窃的新模式:撬锁方法
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1177/14773708221115164
Boran Ali Mercan
This article examines the adaptability of burglars and tactical displacement in Ankara, the capital of Turkey, as part of an ‘arms race’ escalating in response to the sophistication of offensive and preventive measures. It describes the current method of picking deadbolt locks on steel doors inside apartment buildings, a procedure requiring a more complicated and collaborative effort. Following a Bourdieusian criminological reading determining the script and resources of a group of active offenders that function as criminal capital, this article reveals that recently, residential burglary has been displaced from the ‘outside’ to the ‘inside’ of multi-storey apartment buildings due to the proliferation of CCTV, alarm systems and spotlights. Ethnographic findings suggest that a decade ago burgling a residence was far easier for most offenders than it would be today, with numerous similarities in the script of offenders in the non-Western and Western contexts.
这篇文章探讨了土耳其首都安卡拉窃贼和战术流离失所的适应性,这是针对复杂的进攻和预防措施而升级的“军备竞赛”的一部分。它描述了目前在公寓楼的钢门上安装插销锁的方法,这一过程需要更复杂的协作。在对一组充当犯罪资本的活跃罪犯的剧本和资源进行布尔迪厄犯罪学解读后,本文揭示了最近,由于闭路电视、报警系统和聚光灯的普及,住宅入室盗窃已经从多层公寓楼的“外面”转移到了“里面”。民族志研究结果表明,十年前,对大多数罪犯来说,入室盗窃要比今天容易得多,在非西方和西方背景下,罪犯的脚本有很多相似之处。
{"title":"New patterns in residential burglary: The method of deadbolt lock picking","authors":"Boran Ali Mercan","doi":"10.1177/14773708221115164","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/14773708221115164","url":null,"abstract":"This article examines the adaptability of burglars and tactical displacement in Ankara, the capital of Turkey, as part of an ‘arms race’ escalating in response to the sophistication of offensive and preventive measures. It describes the current method of picking deadbolt locks on steel doors inside apartment buildings, a procedure requiring a more complicated and collaborative effort. Following a Bourdieusian criminological reading determining the script and resources of a group of active offenders that function as criminal capital, this article reveals that recently, residential burglary has been displaced from the ‘outside’ to the ‘inside’ of multi-storey apartment buildings due to the proliferation of CCTV, alarm systems and spotlights. Ethnographic findings suggest that a decade ago burgling a residence was far easier for most offenders than it would be today, with numerous similarities in the script of offenders in the non-Western and Western contexts.","PeriodicalId":51475,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49347011","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Does fear of migrant crime predict xenophobia: Evidence from three Russian cities 对移民犯罪的恐惧是否预示着仇外心理:来自俄罗斯三个城市的证据
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-07-18 DOI: 10.1177/14773708221102131
Anna Gurinskaya, Mahesh K. Nalla, Evgeniya Polyakova
In this study, we examine Russian millennials’ attitudes toward migrants—an estimated 10 million legal and four million illegal migrants, who work in construction, service, and retail industries. More specifically, we examine the influence of various factors such as perceived fear of migrant crime, economic, and cultural competition on explaining xenophobia measured by social distance and ethnic exclusionism. Drawing from a survey of 944 university students in St Petersburg, Vladivostok, and Rostov-on-Don, Russia, our findings suggest that fear of migrant crime along with perceived cultural threats are strong predictors of xenophobic attitudes toward migrants. However, the economic threat did not appear to be a strong predictor of xenophobia. Variations existed between cities on dimensions of a perceived threat from migrants, suggesting that geographic and city characteristics are important factors.
在这项研究中,我们调查了俄罗斯千禧一代对移民的态度——估计有1000万合法移民和400万非法移民,他们在建筑、服务和零售行业工作。更具体地说,我们研究了各种因素的影响,如对移民犯罪的感知恐惧、经济和文化竞争对解释由社会距离和种族排斥主义衡量的仇外心理的影响。根据对圣彼得堡、符拉迪沃斯托克和顿河畔罗斯托夫944名大学生的调查,我们的研究结果表明,对移民犯罪的恐惧以及感知到的文化威胁是对移民排外态度的有力预测因素。然而,经济威胁似乎并不是仇外心理的有力预测因素。不同城市对移民威胁的感知存在差异,这表明地理和城市特征是重要因素。
{"title":"Does fear of migrant crime predict xenophobia: Evidence from three Russian cities","authors":"Anna Gurinskaya, Mahesh K. Nalla, Evgeniya Polyakova","doi":"10.1177/14773708221102131","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/14773708221102131","url":null,"abstract":"In this study, we examine Russian millennials’ attitudes toward migrants—an estimated 10 million legal and four million illegal migrants, who work in construction, service, and retail industries. More specifically, we examine the influence of various factors such as perceived fear of migrant crime, economic, and cultural competition on explaining xenophobia measured by social distance and ethnic exclusionism. Drawing from a survey of 944 university students in St Petersburg, Vladivostok, and Rostov-on-Don, Russia, our findings suggest that fear of migrant crime along with perceived cultural threats are strong predictors of xenophobic attitudes toward migrants. However, the economic threat did not appear to be a strong predictor of xenophobia. Variations existed between cities on dimensions of a perceived threat from migrants, suggesting that geographic and city characteristics are important factors.","PeriodicalId":51475,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-07-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42335812","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
RETRACTION NOTICE: Exploring cross-national variation in anomie and victimization 撤稿通知:探讨反常行为和受害行为的跨国差异
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.1177/1477370820920744
Michelle N. Harris, Brent Teasdale, Mindy S. Bradley
{"title":"RETRACTION NOTICE: Exploring cross-national variation in anomie and victimization","authors":"Michelle N. Harris, Brent Teasdale, Mindy S. Bradley","doi":"10.1177/1477370820920744","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/1477370820920744","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51475,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1177/1477370820920744","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45052448","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assessing the predictive validity of a risk assessment instrument for repeat victimization in the Netherlands using prior police contacts 评估在荷兰使用先前的警察接触重复受害的风险评估工具的预测有效性
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-15 DOI: 10.1177/14773708221105790
N. Raaijmakers, Roos Geurts, M. Delsing, A. Bosma, J. Wientjes, T. Spapens, R. Scholte
The current study examined to what extent a valid instrument that predicts repeat victimization can be based on a victim's prior police contacts. Police records between 2010 and 2017 were retrieved for a sample of 68,229 victims. The data was split into a training set (n = 34,224) and a test set (n = 34,005). Using logistic regression analyses in the training set, three models were developed linking prior police contacts to repeat victimization. The predictive validity was assessed in the test set. Results indicated that (a) prior police contacts as victims, suspects and witnesses were associated with an elevated risk of repeat victimization and (b) the model correctly classified a majority of both repeat victims and non-repeat victims across various cut-off points. Findings demonstrated moderate to acceptable predictive validity, thereby suggesting that there is considerable room for improvement.
目前的研究考察了在多大程度上一个有效的工具,可以预测重复受害可以基于受害者以前的警察接触。他们检索了2010年至2017年期间68229名受害者的警方记录。数据被分成训练集(n = 34,224)和测试集(n = 34,005)。在训练集中使用逻辑回归分析,开发了三个模型,将先前的警察接触与重复受害联系起来。在测试集中评估预测效度。结果表明:(a)先前作为受害者、嫌疑人和证人与警察接触与重复受害的风险增加有关;(b)该模型在不同的分界点上正确地分类了大多数重复受害者和非重复受害者。研究结果显示适度到可接受的预测效度,因此表明有相当大的改进空间。
{"title":"Assessing the predictive validity of a risk assessment instrument for repeat victimization in the Netherlands using prior police contacts","authors":"N. Raaijmakers, Roos Geurts, M. Delsing, A. Bosma, J. Wientjes, T. Spapens, R. Scholte","doi":"10.1177/14773708221105790","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/14773708221105790","url":null,"abstract":"The current study examined to what extent a valid instrument that predicts repeat victimization can be based on a victim's prior police contacts. Police records between 2010 and 2017 were retrieved for a sample of 68,229 victims. The data was split into a training set (n = 34,224) and a test set (n = 34,005). Using logistic regression analyses in the training set, three models were developed linking prior police contacts to repeat victimization. The predictive validity was assessed in the test set. Results indicated that (a) prior police contacts as victims, suspects and witnesses were associated with an elevated risk of repeat victimization and (b) the model correctly classified a majority of both repeat victims and non-repeat victims across various cut-off points. Findings demonstrated moderate to acceptable predictive validity, thereby suggesting that there is considerable room for improvement.","PeriodicalId":51475,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45586915","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Homicide drop in seven European countries: General or specific across countries and crime types? 欧洲七国凶杀案下降:各国和犯罪类型的总体或具体情况?
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-14 DOI: 10.1177/14773708221103799
Karoliina Suonpää, Janne Kivivuori, P. Aarten, Andri Ahven, Sven Granath, Nora Markwalder, S. Skott, A. H. Thomsen, Simone Walser, M. Liem
This study examines homicide trends in seven European countries – Denmark, Estonia, Finland, the Netherlands, Scotland, Sweden and Switzerland – all of which manifested a substantial drop in homicide mortality between 1990 and 2016. By using data from the European Homicide Monitor, a coding scheme created to enable cross-country comparisons, combined with the national cause-of-death statistics, we explore generality versus specificity of the homicide drop. We examine changes in the demographic structure of victims and offenders and disaggregate homicides by different subtypes of lethal incidents, such as family-related homicides referring to conflicts between family members, and criminal milieu homicides occurring in the context of robberies, gang-related conflicts or organised crime. Results point to the generality of the drop: in most of the countries studied, the declining trend included all homicide types. The overall decline in homicide mortality was driven mostly by the decline in male victimisation and offending. In most of the countries, the gender distribution of victims and offenders changed only slightly during the study period, whereas the development of the distribution of homicide types manifested greater diversity. Our findings illustrate the benefits of disaggregated analyses in comparative homicide research.
这项研究考察了丹麦、爱沙尼亚、芬兰、荷兰、苏格兰、瑞典和瑞士七个欧洲国家的凶杀趋势,所有这些国家的凶杀死亡率在1990年至2016年间都大幅下降。通过使用欧洲凶杀监测机构的数据,结合国家死因统计数据,我们探讨了凶杀下降的普遍性与特异性。我们研究了受害者和罪犯人口结构的变化,并按不同类型的致命事件对凶杀案进行了分类,例如与家庭成员之间冲突有关的凶杀案,以及抢劫、帮派冲突或有组织犯罪背景下发生的犯罪环境凶杀案。结果表明了下降的普遍性:在所研究的大多数国家,下降趋势包括所有凶杀类型。凶杀案死亡率的总体下降主要是由男性受害和犯罪率的下降推动的。在大多数国家,受害者和罪犯的性别分布在研究期间仅略有变化,而凶杀案类型分布的发展表现出更大的多样性。我们的研究结果说明了在比较凶杀研究中进行分类分析的好处。
{"title":"Homicide drop in seven European countries: General or specific across countries and crime types?","authors":"Karoliina Suonpää, Janne Kivivuori, P. Aarten, Andri Ahven, Sven Granath, Nora Markwalder, S. Skott, A. H. Thomsen, Simone Walser, M. Liem","doi":"10.1177/14773708221103799","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/14773708221103799","url":null,"abstract":"This study examines homicide trends in seven European countries – Denmark, Estonia, Finland, the Netherlands, Scotland, Sweden and Switzerland – all of which manifested a substantial drop in homicide mortality between 1990 and 2016. By using data from the European Homicide Monitor, a coding scheme created to enable cross-country comparisons, combined with the national cause-of-death statistics, we explore generality versus specificity of the homicide drop. We examine changes in the demographic structure of victims and offenders and disaggregate homicides by different subtypes of lethal incidents, such as family-related homicides referring to conflicts between family members, and criminal milieu homicides occurring in the context of robberies, gang-related conflicts or organised crime. Results point to the generality of the drop: in most of the countries studied, the declining trend included all homicide types. The overall decline in homicide mortality was driven mostly by the decline in male victimisation and offending. In most of the countries, the gender distribution of victims and offenders changed only slightly during the study period, whereas the development of the distribution of homicide types manifested greater diversity. Our findings illustrate the benefits of disaggregated analyses in comparative homicide research.","PeriodicalId":51475,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-06-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43154081","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 7
Out of prison, out of crime? The complex interplay between the process of desistance and severe resource disadvantages in women‘s post-release lives 出狱,犯罪?妇女获释后生活中的中止过程和严重的资源劣势之间的复杂相互作用
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-05-12 DOI: 10.1177/14773708221097667
E. Rodermond, S. V. D. van de Weijer, Marie Rosenkrantz Lindegaard, C. Bijleveld, A. Slotboom, C. Kruttschnitt
We examine the influence of social capital, subjective changes and post-release resource disadvantages on women‘s desistance and reentry pathways. Using a sample of 1478 formerly incarcerated women, we estimate logistic hybrid random-effects models to assess the influence of several factors on offending during a 7-year follow-up period. We use interviews with a subsample of women to explore the mechanisms underlying the quantitative findings. Results show that the effect of often-studied forms of social control are to a large degree dependent on (unmeasured) individual differences and circumstances, such as pre- and post-incarceration adversities, and the quality of forms of social control. A desire to desist from crime is often blocked by severe resource advantages.
我们考察了社会资本、主观变化和释放后资源劣势对女性戒除和再入途径的影响。使用1478名曾经被监禁的女性作为样本,我们估计了逻辑混合随机效应模型,以评估在7年的随访期间几个因素对犯罪的影响。我们使用对女性子样本的访谈来探索定量结果背后的机制。结果表明,经常被研究的社会控制形式的效果在很大程度上取决于(无法测量的)个体差异和环境,例如监禁前和监禁后的逆境,以及社会控制形式的质量。停止犯罪的愿望常常被严重的资源优势所阻碍。
{"title":"Out of prison, out of crime? The complex interplay between the process of desistance and severe resource disadvantages in women‘s post-release lives","authors":"E. Rodermond, S. V. D. van de Weijer, Marie Rosenkrantz Lindegaard, C. Bijleveld, A. Slotboom, C. Kruttschnitt","doi":"10.1177/14773708221097667","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/14773708221097667","url":null,"abstract":"We examine the influence of social capital, subjective changes and post-release resource disadvantages on women‘s desistance and reentry pathways. Using a sample of 1478 formerly incarcerated women, we estimate logistic hybrid random-effects models to assess the influence of several factors on offending during a 7-year follow-up period. We use interviews with a subsample of women to explore the mechanisms underlying the quantitative findings. Results show that the effect of often-studied forms of social control are to a large degree dependent on (unmeasured) individual differences and circumstances, such as pre- and post-incarceration adversities, and the quality of forms of social control. A desire to desist from crime is often blocked by severe resource advantages.","PeriodicalId":51475,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-05-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47234499","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
European Journal of Criminology
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1