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Journal of Economic Inequality最新文献

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Inequality, perception biases and trust. 不平等,认知偏见和信任。
IF 2.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-05-19 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-021-09490-x
Markus Knell, Helmut Stix

This paper studies the effect of income (wealth) inequality on interpersonal trust. We propose a theoretical framework that links trust, trustworthiness and inequality. The key feature is that agents do not necessarily observe the entire income distribution but base their assessment on reference groups (i.e. they might hold a biased view of reality). In this framework the negative impact of inequality on interpersonal trust is related to the individual-specific perception of inequality. This has important implications for the empirical analyses since researchers typically do not observe perceptions but only objective measures of inequality (e.g. the Gini coefficient). We show that the use of the latter is appropriate only under restrictive assumptions and in general will result in an underestimation of the true effect. An unbiased estimate of the effect of inequality on trust can be obtained with a measure of individual-specific perceptions of inequality. Survey data support our framework. Perceptions of higher inequality exert a strong negative effect on trust.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at (10.1007/s10888-021-09490-x).

本文研究了收入(财富)不平等对人际信任的影响。我们提出了一个联系信任、可信赖性和不平等的理论框架。关键特征是,代理人不一定观察整个收入分配,而是基于参考群体进行评估(即他们可能对现实持有偏见)。在此框架下,不平等对人际信任的负面影响与个体对不平等的具体感知有关。这对实证分析具有重要意义,因为研究人员通常不观察感知,而只观察不平等的客观测量(例如基尼系数)。我们表明,后者的使用仅在限制性假设下是适当的,并且通常会导致对真实效果的低估。通过衡量个人对不平等的具体看法,可以获得对不平等对信任影响的无偏估计。调查数据支持我们的框架。对不平等加剧的认知对信任产生了强烈的负面影响。补充信息:在线版本包含补充资料,可在(10.1007/s10888-021-09490-x)获得。
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引用次数: 4
The K-Shaped Recovery: Examining the Diverging Fortunes of Workers in the Recovery from the COVID-19 Pandemic Using Business and Household Survey Microdata. K 型复苏:利用商业和家庭调查微观数据研究 COVID-19 大流行后复苏过程中工人的不同命运。
IF 3.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-08-23 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-021-09506-6
Michael Dalton, Jeffrey A Groen, Mark A Loewenstein, David S Piccone, Anne E Polivka

This paper examines employment patterns by wage group over the course of the coronavirus pandemic in the United States using microdata from two well-known data sources from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: the Current Employment Statistics and the Current Population Survey. We find establishments paying the lowest average wages and the lowest wage workers had the steepest decline in employment and experienced the most persistent losses. We disentangle the extent to which the effect observed for low wage workers is due to these workers being concentrated within a few low wage sectors of the economy versus the pandemic affecting low wage workers in a number of sectors across the economy. Our results indicate that the experience of low wage workers is not entirely due to these workers being concentrated in low wage sectors - for many sectors, the lowest wage quintiles in that sector also has had the worst employment outcomes. From April 2020 to May 2021, between 23% and 46% of the decline in employment among the lowest wage establishments was due to within-industry changes. Another important finding is that even for those who remain employed during the pandemic, the probability of becoming part-time for economic reasons increased, especially for low-wage workers.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10888-021-09506-6.

本文利用美国劳工统计局的两个著名数据源:《当前就业统计》和《当前人口调查》中的微观数据,研究了冠状病毒大流行期间美国按工资组别划分的就业模式。我们发现,平均工资最低的企业和工资最低的工人的就业率下降幅度最大,经历的损失也最持久。我们区分了低薪工人受到的影响是由于这些工人集中在少数几个低薪经济部门,还是由于大流行病影响了整个经济中多个部门的低薪工人。我们的研究结果表明,低薪工人的遭遇并不完全是因为这些工人集中在低薪行业--在许多行业中,该行业中工资最低的五分之一工人的就业结果也是最差的。从 2020 年 4 月到 2021 年 5 月,最低工资单位就业人数下降的 23% 到 46% 是由于行业内部变化造成的。另一个重要发现是,即使是那些在大流行病期间仍然就业的人,由于经济原因成为兼职的概率也增加了,特别是对于低工资工人来说:在线版本包含补充材料,可查阅 10.1007/s10888-021-09506-6。
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引用次数: 0
The Income Gradient in Mortality during the Covid-19 Crisis: Evidence from Belgium. Covid-19危机期间死亡率的收入梯度:来自比利时的证据。
IF 2.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-08-26 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-021-09505-7
André Decoster, Thomas Minten, Johannes Spinnewijn

We use population-wide data from linked administrative registers to study the distributional pattern of mortality before and during the first wave of the Covid-19 pandemic in Belgium. Over the March-May 2020 study period, excess mortality is only found among those aged 65 and over. For this group, we find a significant negative income gradient in excess mortality, with excess deaths in the bottom income decile more than twice as high as in the top income decile for both men and women. However, given the high inequality in mortality in normal times, the income gradient in all-cause mortality is only marginally steeper during the peak of the health crisis when expressed in relative terms. Leveraging our individual-level data, we gauge the robustness of our results for other socioeconomic factors and decompose the role of individual vs. local effects. We provide direct evidence that geographic location effects on individual mortality are particularly strong during the first wave of the Covid-19 pandemic, channeling through the local number of Covid infections. This makes inference about the income gradient in excess mortality based on geographic variation misguided.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10888-021-09505-7.

我们使用来自相关行政登记册的全人口数据来研究比利时第一波Covid-19大流行之前和期间的死亡率分布模式。在2020年3月至5月的研究期间,只在65岁及以上的人群中发现了过高的死亡率。对于这一群体,我们发现超额死亡率存在显著的负收入梯度,无论男女,最低收入十分之一的超额死亡率都是最高收入十分之一的两倍多。然而,考虑到正常时期死亡率的高度不平等,在健康危机最严重时期,全因死亡率的收入梯度相对而言只是稍微陡峭一些。利用我们的个人层面数据,我们衡量了其他社会经济因素的结果的稳健性,并分解了个人与地方影响的作用。我们提供的直接证据表明,在Covid-19大流行的第一波期间,地理位置对个人死亡率的影响尤为强烈,并通过当地的Covid感染人数进行传导。这使得基于地理差异的收入梯度对超额死亡率的推断被误导了。补充信息:在线版本包含补充资料,可在10.1007/s10888-021-09505-7获得。
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引用次数: 26
Which workers bear the burden of social distancing? 哪些工人承受着社会疏远的负担?
IF 3.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-021-09487-6
Simon Mongey, Laura Pilossoph, Alexander Weinberg

Using data from ONET, we construct two measures of an occupation's potential exposure to social distancing measures: (i) the ability to conduct that job from home and (ii) the degree of physical proximity to others the job requires. After validating these measures with comparable measures from ATUS as well as realized work-from-home rates during the pandemic, we employ the measures to study the characteristics of workers in these types of jobs. Our results show that workers in low-work-from-home and high-physical-proximity jobs are more economically vulnerable across various measures constructed from the CPS and PSID: they are less educated, of lower income, have fewer liquid assets relative to income, and are more likely renters. Consistent with the idea that high physical proximity or low work-from-home occupations were more exposed to the Coronavirus shock, we show that the types of workers predicted to be employed in them experienced greater declines in employment during the pandemic. We conclude by comparing the aggregate employment losses in these occupations to their employment losses in the 2008 recession, and find evidence that these occupations were disproportionately exposed to the pandemic shock, and not just comprised of more cyclically sensitive workers.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10888-021-09487-6.

利用来自 O∗NET 的数据,我们构建了两种衡量一种职业可能受到社会疏远影响的指标:(i) 在家中从事该工作的能力;(ii) 该工作所要求的与他人的实际接近程度。在用 ATUS 的可比指标以及大流行病期间的实际在家工作率验证了这些指标之后,我们采用这些指标来研究从事这些类型工作的工人的特征。我们的研究结果表明,从 CPS 和 PSID 的各种指标来看,从事低离家工作和高物理距离工作的工人在经济上更加脆弱:他们受教育程度较低、收入较低、相对于收入的流动资产较少,而且更有可能是租房者。与高就近性或低离家工作的职业更容易受到冠状病毒冲击的观点一致,我们显示,在大流行期间,预计受雇于这些职业的工人类型经历了更大的就业下降。最后,我们将这些职业的总体就业损失与其在 2008 年经济衰退中的就业损失进行了比较,发现有证据表明这些职业受到大流行病冲击的影响不成比例,而不仅仅是由对周期更为敏感的工人组成的:在线版本包含补充材料,可查阅 10.1007/s10888-021-09487-6。
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引用次数: 0
Distributional effects of macroeconomic shocks in real-time: A novel method applied to the COVID-19 crisis in Germany. 实时宏观经济冲击的分配效应:一种应用于德国COVID-19危机的新方法。
IF 2.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-09-20 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-021-09489-4
Kerstin Bruckmeier, Andreas Peichl, Martin Popp, Jürgen Wiemers, Timo Wollmershäuser

The highly dynamic nature of the COVID-19 crisis poses an unprecedented challenge to policy makers around the world to take appropriate income-stabilizing countermeasures. To properly design such policy measures, it is important to quantify their effects in real-time. However, data on the relevant outcomes at the micro level is usually only available with considerable time lags. In this paper, we propose a novel method to assess the distributional consequences of macroeconomic shocks and policy responses in real-time and provide the first application to Germany in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Specifically, our approach combines different economic models estimated on firm- and household-level data: a VAR-model for output expectations, a structural labor demand model, and a tax-benefit microsimulation model. Our findings show that as of September 2020 the COVID-19 shock translates into a noticeable reduction in gross labor income across the entire income distribution. However, the tax benefit system and discretionary policy responses to the crisis act as important income stabilizers, since the effect on the distribution of disposable household incomes turns progressive: the bottom two deciles actually gain income, the middle deciles are hardly affected, and only the upper deciles lose income.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10888-021-09489-4.

COVID-19危机的高度动态性对世界各地的政策制定者提出了前所未有的挑战,要求他们采取适当的稳定收入对策。为了正确设计此类政策措施,重要的是实时量化其效果。然而,关于微观层面的相关结果的数据通常只有在相当长的时间滞后后才能获得。在本文中,我们提出了一种新的方法来实时评估宏观经济冲击和政策应对的分布后果,并在2019冠状病毒病大流行背景下首次应用于德国。具体来说,我们的方法结合了基于企业和家庭层面数据的不同经济模型:产出预期的var模型、结构性劳动力需求模型和税收-利益微观模拟模型。我们的研究结果表明,截至2020年9月,COVID-19的冲击转化为整个收入分配的总劳动收入显著减少。然而,税收优惠制度和应对危机的自由裁量政策是重要的收入稳定器,因为对可支配家庭收入分配的影响是渐进式的:底部的两个十分之一实际上获得了收入,中间的十分之一几乎没有受到影响,只有较高的十分之一失去了收入。补充信息:在线版本包含补充资料,可在10.1007/s10888-021-09489-4获得。
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引用次数: 11
Intergenerational transmission of lockdown consequences: prognosis of the longer-run persistence of COVID-19 in Latin America. 封锁后果的代际传播:拉丁美洲 COVID-19 长期持续性的预测。
IF 3.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-07-31 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-021-09501-x
Guido Neidhöfer, Nora Lustig, Mariano Tommasi

The shock on human capital caused by COVID-19 is likely to have long lasting consequences, especially for children of low-educated families. Applying a counterfactual exercise we project the effects of school closures and other lockdown policies on the intergenerational persistence of education in 17 Latin American countries. First, we retrieve detailed information on school lockdowns and on the policies enacted to support education from home in each country. Then, we use these information to estimate the potential impact of the pandemic on schooling, high school completion, and intergenerational associations. In addition, we account for educational disruptions related to household income shocks. Our findings show that, despite that mitigation policies were able to partly reduce instructional losses in some countries, the educational attainment of the most vulnerable could be seriously affected. In particular, the likelihood of children from low educated families to attain a secondary schooling degree could fall substantially.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10888-021-09501-x.

COVID-19 对人力资本造成的冲击可能会产生长期影响,尤其是对低学历家庭的子女。通过反事实演练,我们预测了学校关闭和其他封锁政策对 17 个拉美国家教育代际持续性的影响。首先,我们检索了各国学校关闭的详细信息以及为支持家庭教育而颁布的政策。然后,我们利用这些信息估算大流行病对就学、高中毕业和代际关联的潜在影响。此外,我们还考虑了与家庭收入冲击相关的教育中断因素。我们的研究结果表明,尽管减灾政策能够在一定程度上减少一些国家的教学损失,但最弱势群体的受教育程度可能会受到严重影响。特别是,受教育程度低的家庭的孩子获得中学学位的可能性会大幅下降:在线版本包含补充材料,可查阅 10.1007/s10888-021-09501-x。
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引用次数: 0
Correction to: The K-Shaped Recovery: Examining the Diverging Fortunes of Workers in the Recovery from the COVID-19 Pandemic Using Business and Household Survey Microdata. 更正:“k型复苏:利用商业和家庭调查微观数据研究COVID-19大流行复苏中工人的不同命运”。
IF 2.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-10-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-021-09513-7
Michael Dalton, Jeffrey A Groen, Mark A Loewenstein, David S Piccone, Anne E Polivka

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1007/s10888-021-09506-6.].

[这更正了文章DOI: 10.1007/s10888-021-09506-6]。
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引用次数: 1
The COVID-19 resilience of a continental welfare regime - nowcasting the distributional impact of the crisis 欧洲大陆福利制度的抗疫能力——临近危机对分配的影响
IF 2.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-12-20 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.3842851
D. Sologon, C. O’Donoghue, Iryna Kyzyma, Jinjing Li, Jules Linden, R. Wagener
We evaluate the COVID-19 resilience of a Continental welfare regime by nowcasting the implications of the shock and its associated policy responses on the distribution of household incomes over the whole of 2020. Our approach relies on a dynamic microsimulation modelling that combines a household income generation model estimated on the latest EU-SILC wave with novel nowcasting techniques to calibrate the simulations using external macro controls which reflect the macroeconomic climate during the crisis. We focus on Luxembourg, a country that introduced minor tweaks to the existing tax-benefit system, which has a strong social insurance focus that gave certainty during the crisis. We find the system was well-equipped ahead of the crisis to cushion household incomes against job losses. The income-support policy changes were effective in cushioning household incomes and mitigating an increase in income inequality, allowing average household disposable income and inequality levels to bounce back to pre-crisis levels in the last quarter of 2020. The share of labour incomes dropped, but was compensated by an increase in benefits, reflecting the cushioning effect of the transfer system. Overall market incomes dropped and became more unequal. Their disequalizing evolution was matched by an increase in redistribution, driven by an increase in the generosity of benefits and larger access to benefits. The nowcasting model is a “near” real-time analysis and decision support tool to monitor the recovery, scalable to other countries with high applicability for policymakers.
我们通过临近预测冲击及其相关政策应对措施对2020年全年家庭收入分配的影响,评估了欧洲大陆福利制度的COVID-19抵御能力。我们的方法依赖于动态微观模拟模型,该模型结合了最新欧盟- silc浪潮估计的家庭创收模型和新颖的临近预测技术,使用反映危机期间宏观经济气候的外部宏观控制来校准模拟。我们关注的是卢森堡,这个国家对现有的税收福利制度进行了微调,该制度以社会保险为重点,在危机期间提供了确定性。我们发现,在危机发生前,该体系已经做好了充分的准备,以缓冲家庭收入对失业的影响。收入支持政策的变化有效地缓冲了家庭收入,缓解了收入不平等的加剧,使家庭平均可支配收入和不平等水平在2020年最后一个季度反弹至危机前的水平。劳动收入的份额下降了,但得到了福利增加的补偿,这反映了转移支付制度的缓冲作用。整体市场收入下降,变得更加不平等。这种不平等的进化与再分配的增加相匹配,再分配的增加是由福利的慷慨增加和更大的福利获取途径所驱动的。临近预报模型是一种监测复苏的“近”实时分析和决策支持工具,可扩展到其他国家,对政策制定者具有很高的适用性。
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引用次数: 10
How much does reducing inequality matter for global poverty? 减少不平等对全球贫困有多重要?
IF 2.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-05-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-021-09510-w
Christoph Lakner, D. Mahler, M. Negre, Espen B. Prydz
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引用次数: 171
Ethnic and racial disparities in saving behavior 储蓄行为的种族差异
IF 2.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-10-05 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-018-9400-3
Mariela Dal Borgo
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引用次数: 9
期刊
Journal of Economic Inequality
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