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Coffee tastes bitter: education and the coffee economy in Colombia in the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries 咖啡是苦的:19世纪末和20世纪初哥伦比亚的教育和咖啡经济
IF 1.4 1区 历史学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-10-18 DOI: 10.1093/ereh/heac013
María José Fuentes-Vásquez, Irina España-Eljaiek
In the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries, coffee became the main Colombian export, turning the country into one of the world’s leading coffee producers. This agrarian commodity provided resources for coffee-growing areas, favouring the rise of mass education. However, this paper suggests that coffee led to children ceasing to attend school to work in coffee production, thus affecting the demand for education adversely. We test this hypothesis by using different empirical strategies. We conduct panel regressions and instrumental variable cross-sectional estimates. The results show that increasing coffee production negatively affects the demand for the education of primary school-age children.
在19世纪末和20世纪初,咖啡成为哥伦比亚的主要出口产品,使该国成为世界领先的咖啡生产国之一。这种农产品为咖啡种植区提供了资源,有利于大众教育的兴起。然而,本文认为,咖啡导致儿童停止上学,从事咖啡生产,从而对教育需求产生不利影响。我们通过使用不同的经验策略来检验这一假设。我们进行了面板回归和工具变量横断面估计。结果表明,咖啡产量的增加对小学适龄儿童的教育需求产生了负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Government finance and imposition of serfdom after the Black Death 黑死病后政府财政和农奴制的实施
IF 1.4 1区 历史学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.1093/ereh/heac011
Margaret E Peters
After the Black Death, serfdom disappeared in Western Europe while making a resurgence in Eastern Europe. What explains this difference? I argue that serfdom was against the interests of the sovereign and was only imposed when the nobility, who needed serfdom to maintain their economic and political standing, had leverage to impose their will. The nobility gained this power through financing the state. Using data from the fourteenth through the eighteenth centuries, I show that serfdom was imposed and strengthened in areas where sovereigns had few other resources to finance the state.
黑死病之后,农奴制在西欧消失,而在东欧复兴。如何解释这种差异呢?我认为农奴制违背了君主的利益,只有当贵族需要农奴制来维持他们的经济和政治地位时,才会实施农奴制。贵族通过资助国家获得这种权力。从14世纪到18世纪的数据,我表明农奴制是强加的,并在主权国家几乎没有其他资源来资助国家的地区得到加强。
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引用次数: 0
Terms of trade during the first globalization: new evidence, new results 第一次全球化期间的贸易条件:新证据、新结果
IF 1.4 1区 历史学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-27 DOI: 10.1093/ereh/heac012
David Chilosi, G. Federico, Antonio Tena-Junguito
By analyzing a new dataset of terms of trade covering the whole world during the “first globalization” (1800–1913), this article finds that trends of terms of trade varied significantly, both within the periphery and the core, and were mainly driven by import prices. Volatility declined because price spikes became less frequent and export prices became increasingly stable. We find little evidence of de-industrialization. Consistent with our trends, prices of primary products, similarly to those of manufactures, were falling and so was their volatility. These results sit uneasily with the view that terms of trade played a crucial role in holding back the development of peripheral countries before World War I.
通过分析“第一次全球化”(1800–1913)期间覆盖全球的新贸易条件数据集,本文发现贸易条件的趋势在外围和核心地区都有显著差异,主要受进口价格的驱动。波动性下降是因为价格飙升变得不那么频繁,出口价格变得越来越稳定。我们几乎找不到去工业化的证据。与我们的趋势一致,初级产品的价格与制造业的价格一样在下降,其波动性也在下降。这些结果与第一次世界大战前贸易条件在阻碍周边国家发展方面发挥了关键作用的观点不一致。
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引用次数: 1
Materfamilias: the association of mother’s work on children’s absolute income mobility, Southern Sweden (1947–2015) Matermias:母亲工作与儿童绝对收入流动性的关系,瑞典南部(1947–2015)
IF 1.4 1区 历史学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-07 DOI: 10.1093/ereh/heac010
G. Brea-Martínez
This article examines the association of mothers’ income with children’s economic mobility in a period of increased women’s labor market participation in Sweden. I found that whether a mother was economically independent and had an income similar to that of the father during her children’s late childhood and adolescence positively associated with upward mobility. The results show a substantial association of mother’s income position to their daughters’ mobility, but not for sons’. Among the primary mechanisms, I argue that extra resources from mothers helped human capital investment through education and that mothers influenced daughters by a gendered role model.
本文研究了在瑞典妇女劳动力市场参与度提高的时期,母亲的收入与子女的经济流动性之间的关系。我发现,在孩子的童年晚期和青春期,母亲是否经济独立,收入是否与父亲相似,与向上流动性呈正相关。研究结果表明,母亲的收入状况与女儿的流动性有很大关系,但与儿子的流动性无关。在主要机制中,我认为母亲的额外资源有助于通过教育进行人力资本投资,母亲通过性别榜样影响女儿。
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引用次数: 0
Foreign investments and tariff protection revisited: correcting the trade balance of the Russian Empire, 1880–1913 外国投资与关税保护重审:修正俄罗斯帝国的贸易平衡,1880-1913
IF 1.4 1区 历史学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-29 DOI: 10.1093/ereh/heac009
Marina Chuchko
This article examines the accuracy of Russian foreign trade statistics between 1880 and 1913 and provides empirical evidence that prior to the introduction of the gold standard in 1897, Russia’s trade surplus was systematically understated. My novel trade data suggest a higher degree of protectionism with an increase of an ad valorem equivalent tariff up to 4 percentage points. Moreover, my corrections of the current account balance reduce the annual average deficit of the balance for 1885–1897 by 67 percent, supporting the idea that there was a substantial increase of foreign investments in the post-gold standard period in Russia.
本文考察了1880年至1913年间俄罗斯对外贸易统计数据的准确性,并提供了经验证据,证明在1897年引入金本位制之前,俄罗斯的贸易顺差被系统性地低估了。我的新贸易数据表明,从价当量关税增加了4个百分点,保护主义程度更高。此外,我对经常账户余额的修正使1885-1897年的年平均赤字减少了67%,这支持了俄罗斯在后金本位时期外国投资大幅增加的观点。
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引用次数: 0
From Sweden to America: migrant selection in the transatlantic migration, 1890–1910 从瑞典到美国:1890-1910年跨大西洋移民中的移民选择
IF 1.4 1区 历史学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-14 DOI: 10.1093/ereh/heac007
M. Dribe, Björn Eriksson, Jonas Helgertz
We examine selection by class origin and gender in the emigration from Sweden to the United States during the age of mass migration. We use full-count census data linked to emigration lists to create a panel of over one million men and women. Class selection was similar for men and women, with children from medium-skilled backgrounds being most likely to leave. Selection on class origin was most pronounced in poorer and less industrialized regions, but similar in rural and urban areas. These patterns suggest that not only returns to skill determined migrant selection but also class-specific costs of migration.
我们考察了在大规模移民时期瑞典移民到美国的阶级起源和性别选择。我们使用与移民名单相关的全面人口普查数据来创建一个由100多万男性和女性组成的小组。男性和女性的班级选择相似,中等技能背景的孩子最有可能离开。阶级出身的选择在较贫穷和工业化程度较低的地区最为明显,但在农村和城市地区也类似。这些模式表明,不仅技能决定了移民选择的回报,而且还决定了移民的特定阶层成本。
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引用次数: 2
Smooth sailing: market integration, agglomeration, and productivity growth in interwar Brazil 一帆风顺:两次世界大战期间巴西的市场整合、集聚和生产力增长
IF 1.4 1区 历史学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1093/ereh/heac005
Marc Badia-Miró, Anna Carreras-Marín, M. Huberman
Leveraging an original dataset on coastal shipping and invoking a new economic geography framework, we study the effects of domestic and international trade costs on industrial concentration and productivity growth in interwar Brazil. In the great wave of globalization before 1914, international trade costs were low and domestic costs high. Economic activity was dispersed along the coastline. The interwar period saw a reversal: international costs surged and domestic costs declined. Economic activity was increasingly concentrated in São Paulo. Agglomeration economies enabled productivity growth in the 1930s, mostly in durable and capital goods.
利用沿海航运的原始数据集并调用新的经济地理框架,我们研究了两次世界大战之间巴西国内和国际贸易成本对产业集中度和生产率增长的影响。在1914年之前的全球化浪潮中,国际贸易成本低,国内成本高。经济活动分散在沿海地区。两次世界大战之间的时期出现了逆转:国际成本飙升,而国内成本下降。经济活动越来越集中在圣保罗。上世纪30年代,集聚经济推动了生产率的增长,主要体现在耐用品和资本品方面。
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引用次数: 2
Local multipliers and the growth of services: evidence from late nineteenth century USA, Great Britain, and Sweden 地方乘数与服务业增长:来自19世纪末美国、英国和瑞典的证据
IF 1.4 1区 历史学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-04-25 DOI: 10.1093/ereh/heac004
Vinzent Ostermeyer
Abstract In the shadow of industry, the service sector substantially expanded during the late nineteenth century. This paper analyzes how the creation of industrial employment contributed to this growth of services. I leverage full-count census data from the United States, Great Britain, and Sweden to estimate local employment multipliers. I show that industrial growth was a key driver in the emergence of services. Each new industrial job created up to one additional local service job. This effect was driven by the high-skilled industrial sector where each additional job created up to two service jobs. Multiplier effects created jobs across different services.
在工业的阴影下,服务业在19世纪后期大幅扩张。本文分析了工业就业的创造如何促进了服务业的增长。我利用美国、英国和瑞典的全面人口普查数据来估计当地的就业乘数。我指出,工业增长是服务业出现的关键驱动力。每一个新的工业岗位都创造了一个额外的本地服务岗位。这种影响是由高技能工业部门推动的,每增加一个工作岗位就会创造两个服务岗位。乘数效应在不同的服务领域创造了就业机会。
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引用次数: 0
Benchmarking the Middle Ages: fifteenth century Tuscany in European perspective 中世纪的标杆:欧洲视角下的十五世纪托斯卡纳
IF 1.4 1区 历史学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-04-04 DOI: 10.1093/ereh/heac003
J. L. van Zanden, Emanuele Felice
The article presents GDP estimates for fifteenth century Tuscany, based on the 1427 Florentine Catasto. In per capita GDP, Tuscany was only slightly above England and Holland. Furthermore, when compared to England and Holland, Tuscany was characterized by high extractive rates in favor of Florence, to the detriment of the subdued cities and the countryside, and by subsequent market blockades. This may explain why previous estimates, partly based on the construction wages in Florence, can lead to an overestimate of GDP. It may also explain the exceptional artistic blossoming of fifteenth century Florence, despite only a small lead in average GDP.
这篇文章介绍了15世纪托斯卡纳的GDP估计,基于1427年佛罗伦萨卡塔斯托。在人均国内生产总值方面,托斯卡纳仅略高于英格兰和荷兰。此外,与英格兰和荷兰相比,托斯卡纳的特点是有利于佛罗伦萨的高采掘率,而不利于低迷的城市和乡村,以及随后的市场封锁。这也许可以解释为什么以前的估计,部分基于佛罗伦萨的建筑工资,会导致对GDP的高估。这也可以解释15世纪佛罗伦萨非凡的艺术繁荣,尽管其平均GDP仅小幅领先。
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引用次数: 2
Political power of the press in the Weimar Republic 魏玛共和国的新闻政治权力
IF 1.4 1区 历史学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-02-24 DOI: 10.1093/ereh/heac002
Bang Dinh Nguyen
This paper examines how changes in newspaper circulation affected voter turnout, party vote shares, and mass polarization in Weimar Berlin. My empirical strategy exploits variation in the development of railway system across historical districts of Berlin, which influenced the circulation of newspapers. I find that an increase in newspaper circulation significantly induced higher turnout in fourteen outer districts and a higher degree of mass polarization. Partisan newspapers benefitted party vote shares, with stronger effects in federal elections than in local elections. The electoral influence of newspapers was driven by tabloids and mass newspapers, and not by elite political newspapers.
本文研究了报纸发行量的变化如何影响魏玛柏林的选民投票率、政党选票份额和群众两极分化。我的实证策略利用了柏林历史街区铁路系统发展的变化,这影响了报纸的发行量。我发现,报纸发行量的增加显著地导致了14个外围地区的投票率更高,以及更高程度的群众两极分化。党派报纸受益于政党选票份额,在联邦选举中的影响比在地方选举中更大。报纸在选举中的影响力是由小报和大众报纸推动的,而不是由精英政治报纸推动的。
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European Review of Economic History
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