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Prediction of number of insured having work accident in Turkish construction industry: a neural network fitting approach 土耳其建筑业工伤事故投保人数预测:一种神经网络拟合方法
Sevilay Demirkesen
Accurate forecasting of work accidents is of paramount importance in promoting workplace safety and improving risk management strategies. This study proposes a novel approach based on a neural network fitted with the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm to predict future accident numbers in 22 different occupational groups within the Turkish construction industry. By utilizing historical official data spanning the years 2014 to 2022, the aim is to provide insights into the potential accident rates that may arise in different job categories. The constructed neural network model consists of two hidden layers. Leveraging the powerful capabilities of the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm, the network is trained to effectively capture the complex dynamics underlying work accidents in the construction industry. The findings demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach in forecasting future accident numbers with a high degree of precision. The neural network model successfully leverages the temporal trends and underlying factors present in the historical data. By employing an advanced neural network framework and the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm, this study offers a robust methodology for predicting work accident rates across diverse job categories. The results obtained from this study can guide the development of targeted preventive measures, tailored training programs, and efficient resource allocation strategies.
准确预测工伤事故对促进工作场所安全和改进风险管理策略至关重要。本研究提出了一种基于神经网络的新方法,采用 Levenberg-Marquardt 算法预测土耳其建筑行业 22 个不同职业类别的未来事故数量。通过利用跨度为 2014 年至 2022 年的官方历史数据,旨在深入了解不同工种可能出现的潜在事故率。构建的神经网络模型由两个隐藏层组成。利用 Levenberg-Marquardt 算法的强大功能,对网络进行了训练,以有效捕捉建筑行业工伤事故背后的复杂动态。研究结果表明,所提出的方法在高精度预测未来事故数量方面非常有效。神经网络模型成功地利用了历史数据中的时间趋势和潜在因素。通过采用先进的神经网络框架和 Levenberg-Marquardt 算法,本研究为预测不同工种的工伤事故率提供了一种可靠的方法。本研究获得的结果可指导制定有针对性的预防措施、量身定制的培训计划和高效的资源分配策略。
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引用次数: 0
Construction safety challenges and opportunities at design stage for building industry in Pakistan 巴基斯坦建筑业在设计阶段面临的施工安全挑战和机遇
Imran Murtaza, Muhammad Usman Rashid, Muhammad Asad
The implementation of Design for Construction Safety (DfCS) at the early design phase can proactively identify and address potential hazards in construction projects. By integrating safety considerations into the design process, it becomes possible to eliminate or minimize risks before they become costly and dangerous issues can also be avoided during construction. To gain insights into the current practices and barriers faced by professionals in the construction industry of Pakistan regarding DfCS, a comprehensive study was conducted. This study utilized a combination of questionnaire-based surveys and interviews to gather data from various stakeholders involved in the design and construction processes. The research revealed that DfCS was absent in the standard design practice. The weaknesses identified for the implementation of DfCS were designers’ inevitable doubts about increasing cost, schedule problems, absence of contracts and regulations, designers’ lack of safety knowledge and skills. The largest influential factors were regulatory liability on the designer (29%) and increasing costs (27%). The study identified that less trained worker were rated 59% for site accidents. 87% of respondents suggested revision of contract and regulations. The study proposed a framework to check constructability with respect to safety standards. Alternative project delivery method i.e., Design Build (DB) was recommended to reduce health and safety accidents and barriers.
在早期设计阶段实施施工安全设计(DfCS),可以主动识别和解决施工项目中的潜在危险。将安全因素纳入设计过程,就有可能在风险变为代价高昂的问题之前将其消除或最小化,也可以避免施工过程中的危险问题。为了深入了解巴基斯坦建筑行业专业人员在设计、施工和控制方面的现行做法和面临的障碍,我们开展了一项综合研究。这项研究采用问卷调查和访谈相结合的方式,从参与设计和施工过程的各利益相关方收集数据。研究结果显示,标准设计实践中缺乏 DfCS。实施 DfCS 的薄弱环节是设计人员不可避免地对成本增加产生怀疑、进度问题、合同和法规缺失、设计人员缺乏安全知识和技能。最大的影响因素是设计者的监管责任(29%)和成本增加(27%)。研究发现,59%的工地事故是由训练不足的工人造成的。87% 的受访者建议修订合同和法规。研究提出了一个框架,用于检查安全标准方面的可施工性。建议采用其他项目交付方法,即设计建造法(DB),以减少健康与安全事故和障碍。
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引用次数: 0
Construction Law Quarterly 建筑法季刊
Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1680/jmapl.2024.177.3.158
Raeesa Rawal, Jonathan Brierley, Callum Johnson, Primrose Tay, Viren Mascarenhas, Alexander Borisoff, Mariella Montplaisir Bazan, Neal Morris, Frankie Bell
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引用次数: 0
Briefing: Safety Observation Reporting in the UK construction industry: what is it good for? 简报:英国建筑业的安全观察报告:它有什么用?
Keir Skilling, Simon D Smith
This study examined the use of Safety Observation Reporting (SOR) systems and their implementation within the UK construction industry. Although SOR systems have been widely adopted by many large engineering contractors, the further benefits gained from their utilisation are unclear. Existing systems have an ’after the fact’ nature and a lack of clarity exists surrounding how information derived from the system can proactively contribute to safety interventions. The research design employed a case study as the foundation, examining the use of an SOR system within a leading infrastructure contractor. Subsequently, semi-structured interviews were conducted with six participants from the case study company, with thematic analysis used to develop findings. Initial suggestions for guidance were produced before these were presented for validation by two representatives from the initial six participants, and a further three respondents from two different contracting companies. The feedback and suggestions from these refined and increased the applicability of the resulting recommendations, which aim to give consistent categorisation, greater access to information developed, and the facilitation of improved communication of learnings. This research contributes insights into the complexities of SOR systems and offers practical guidance for their enhancement.
本研究探讨了安全观察报告 (SOR) 系统在英国建筑行业的使用和实施情况。尽管 SOR 系统已被许多大型工程承包商广泛采用,但从其使用中获得的更多益处尚不明确。现有的系统具有 "事后 "性质,而且对于如何利用系统中的信息积极主动地进行安全干预也缺乏明确的认识。研究设计以案例研究为基础,考察了 SOR 系统在一家领先的基础设施承包商中的使用情况。随后,对案例研究公司的六名参与者进行了半结构化访谈,并通过主题分析得出结论。在最初的六名参与者中的两名代表以及来自两家不同承包公司的另外三名受访者对这些建议进行验证之前,提出了初步的指导建议。这些反馈和建议完善并提高了最终建议的适用性,其目的是提供一致的分类、更方便地获取已开发的信息,以及促进学习成果的更好交流。这项研究有助于深入了解 SOR 系统的复杂性,并为其改进提供实用指导。
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引用次数: 0
Reporting the successful timing of pre-construction services in the New Zealand construction industry - development of a visualisation tool 报告新西兰建筑业施工前服务的成功时间安排--开发可视化工具
Paul Stephanus Botha, Daniel van der Walt, E. Scheepbouwer, Philip J Barutha
The use of Pre-Construction Services (PCS), also known as Early Contractor Involvement (ECI) in construction projects has become common internationally due to the various advantages it offers in complex projects. What remains an open question to researchers and government organisations is defining the optimal time to engage in it. This paper develops a methodology that reports on the successful timing of PCS use in New Zealand. This methodology and findings can assist the industry in determining when to appropriately engage a contractor for PCS in New Zealand. Reporting on the successful timing of PCS can help the industry avoid costly pitfalls when engaging in PCS too early or too late. This approach could be extended to an international audience. The timing of PCS and project complexity are closely related. For this paper data was collected in two rounds. Firstly, an online survey was used to determine weights for complexity factors, then a visualization tool was developed and refined using 29 case study projects derived from semi-structured interviews. The results show that there is a relationship between the timing of PCS, the project complexity, and the scale of a project. Additionally, findings show that PCS is not always related to the procurement method. For example, Design-Bid-Build (DBB) projects can still receive valuable PCS to make them successful through fair risk allocation. PCS can have an impact on the contract terms. Each project was given a complexity ranking based on the information given by the interviewees during semi-structured interviews. While the semi-structured interviews were extensive, the information is only as accurate as the recollection of the participant. This risk was minimised by the prequalification of the participants. The findings of this research will assist clients in determining when the best time is to engage PCS. Independent of the procurement model, and will assist clients in maximising the value that the contractor can bring to construction projects.
在建筑项目中使用施工前服务(PCS),又称早期承包商参与(ECI),由于其在复杂项目中具有各种优势,在国际上已变得十分普遍。对于研究人员和政府组织来说,确定参与的最佳时间仍是一个未决问题。本文开发了一种方法,报告了在新西兰使用 PCS 的成功时机。这种方法和研究结果可以帮助业界确定何时在新西兰聘用承包商进行项目承包服务。报告项目承包服务的成功时机可以帮助业界避免过早或过晚参与项目承包服务而造成的代价高昂的陷阱。这种方法可以推广到国际受众。项目完成时间与项目复杂性密切相关。本文分两轮收集数据。首先,利用在线调查确定复杂性因素的权重,然后利用半结构化访谈中获得的 29 个案例研究项目开发并完善了可视化工具。结果表明,项目完成时间、项目复杂性和项目规模之间存在关系。此外,研究结果表明,项目完成时间并不总是与采购方法相关。例如,设计-招标-建设(DBB)项目仍然可以获得有价值的项目完成服务,从而通过公平的风险分配取得成功。项目完成服务会对合同条款产生影响。根据受访者在半结构化访谈中提供的信息,对每个项目的复杂程度进行了排名。虽然半结构式访谈的范围很广,但信息的准确性取决于受访者的回忆。通过对参与者进行资格预审,将这一风险降至最低。本研究的结果将有助于客户确定何时是聘用 PCS 的最佳时机。独立于采购模式,并将帮助客户最大限度地发挥承包商为建筑项目带来的价值。
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引用次数: 0
Automatic creation of personalised virtual construction safety training using digital twins 利用数字双胞胎自动创建个性化虚拟建筑安全培训
Kilian Speiser, Jochen Teizer
The construction industry faces persistent safety challenges, with many occupational accidents and fatalities. Virtual safety training methods often fall short in terms of realism. This article introduces a pioneering approach that exploits digital twins to create Virtual Training Environments (VTEs) tailored for construction safety. The Digital Twin for Construction Safety (DTCS) framework seamlessly integrates Building Information Modelling (BIM) models, schedules, resources, and hazard data into a prototype using the game engine Unity. It enables the generation of VTEs with minimal user interaction, empowering safety trainers to define personalised scenarios based on specific project parameters and training requirements tailored to the trainees’ needs. The evaluation of this approach through three distinct real-world projects and a case study with six trainees demonstrates its efficacy. Results indicate the DTCS framework’s ability to efficiently create VTEs independently of the project once a BIM model is available. Moreover, the framework provides meaningful feedback to the trainee by evaluating the performance using run-time data collection. The collected data promises use for several applications, but future research must validate its effectiveness. Beyond training, the study highlights the utility of VTEs in improving safety design and hazard mitigation strategies through data-driven insights.
建筑行业面临着长期的安全挑战,职业事故和死亡事故频发。虚拟安全培训方法往往缺乏真实感。本文介绍了一种开创性的方法,即利用数字孪生创建专门针对建筑安全的虚拟培训环境(VTE)。建筑安全数字孪生(DTCS)框架利用游戏引擎 Unity 将建筑信息模型(BIM)模型、时间表、资源和危险数据无缝集成到原型中。它只需极少的用户交互就能生成 VTE,使安全培训师能够根据具体的项目参数和培训要求定义个性化的场景,以满足学员的需求。通过三个不同的真实世界项目和一个有六名学员参加的案例研究,对这种方法进行了评估,证明了它的有效性。结果表明,一旦有了 BIM 模型,DTCS 框架就能独立于项目高效地创建 VTE。此外,该框架通过使用运行时数据收集来评估性能,从而为学员提供有意义的反馈。收集到的数据有望用于多种应用,但未来的研究必须验证其有效性。除培训外,该研究还强调了 VTE 在通过数据驱动的洞察力改进安全设计和危险缓解策略方面的实用性。
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引用次数: 0
Developing future skills for the engineering sector: evidence from the UK 发展工程部门的未来技能:英国的证据
Emmanuel Itodo Daniel, O. Oshodi, Jose Marte Gomez
Shortage of workforce stifles innovation and increases project costs. Information gleaned from literature shows that the ageing workforce and inability to attract young people are reasons for labour shortages in the engineering sector. To address this shortage, several countries have created various programs, such as degree apprenticeship, to ease the process of recruiting, training and retaining young people. The current study seeks to: (i) uncover factors influencing the decision to sign-up for degree apprenticeship programs and (ii) unearth the factors affecting the outcome of degree apprenticeship programmes in engineering. Interviews were conducted to address the research objectives of the study. The findings indicated that awareness, covid-19 pandemic, funding, incentives [financial and non-financial] and diversity are key factors influencing the decision to sign-up for degree apprenticeship. Also, demand for engineering jobs, balance between theory and practical training, collaboration of stakeholders, leadership support, versatility of apprentice experience are the factors affecting the outcome of degree apprentices. Based on the findings, it is evident that raising awareness among stakeholders, such as career counsellors, and collaboration are vital for improving the supply of qualified young people in the engineering sector.
劳动力短缺扼杀了创新,增加了项目成本。文献资料显示,劳动力老龄化和无法吸引年轻人是工程部门劳动力短缺的原因。为了解决劳动力短缺问题,一些国家制定了各种计划,如学位学徒制,以简化招聘、培训和留住年轻人的过程。本研究旨在:(i) 发现影响报名参加学位学徒制项目决定的因素;(ii) 发现影响工程学 学位学徒制项目结果的因素。为实现研究目标,我们进行了访谈。研究结果表明,意识、covid-19 大流行病、资金、激励措施(经济和非经济)和多样性是影响学 徒攻读学位决定的关键因素。此外,对工程学工作的需求、理论与实践培训之间的平衡、利益相关者的合作、领导的支持、学徒经验的多样性也是影响学位学徒结果的因素。研究结果表明,提高职业顾问等利益相关者的意识和合作对于改善工程学领域合格青年的供 应至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing collaboration and engagement using virtual reality within site safety planning 在工地安全规划中使用虚拟现实技术加强协作和参与
Mark Swallow, Sam Zulu
For construction managers effective collaboration, communication and engagement during safety planning, is essential to improve on-site efficiency and reduce risks. Whilst the use of Virtual Reality (VR) has gained increased global attention in the past decade, the documentation of practical applications during active construction projects in the UK remains underdeveloped. Specifically, this includes the use of VR within on-site construction logistics management processes, and its potential impacts on multidisciplinary collaboration and engagement. This study aims to bridge this gap by exploring the use of VR during practical safety and plant logistics planning workshops to capture real-world examples. Collaborating with a UK based construction contractor, this study collected qualitative data over a series of planning workshops during a live project, involving 15 site team members of varying disciplines. Data collection included direct observations and focus groups, with data analysed using a hybrid thematic analysis method. The results provided evidence of effective and accurate plant logistics planning with working practical examples, indicating that the use of VR had a positive impact on interdisciplinary collaboration and engagement. Results show that the inclusion of VR tools also encouraged knowledge transfer between project teams, which led to improved confidence and engagement when conducting planning activities.
对于施工经理来说,在安全规划期间进行有效的协作、沟通和参与,对于提高现场效率和降低风险至关重要。在过去的十年中,虚拟现实(VR)的使用在全球范围内获得了越来越多的关注,但在英国正在进行的建筑项目中,有关实际应用的文件仍然不够完善。具体来说,这包括在现场施工物流管理流程中使用虚拟现实技术,及其对多学科协作和参与的潜在影响。本研究旨在通过探索在实际安全和工厂物流规划研讨会中使用 VR 来捕捉现实世界中的实例,从而弥补这一不足。本研究与英国一家建筑承包商合作,在一个实际项目中的一系列规划研讨会上收集定性数据,涉及不同学科的 15 名现场团队成员。数据收集包括直接观察和焦点小组,并采用混合主题分析方法对数据进行分析。结果提供了有效、准确的工厂物流规划证据,并附有实际工作案例,表明 VR 的使用对跨学科合作和参与产生了积极影响。结果表明,虚拟现实工具的使用还促进了项目团队之间的知识转移,从而提高了开展规划活动时的信心和参与度。
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引用次数: 0
Construction Law Quarterly 建筑法季刊
Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1680/jmapl.2024.177.2.103
Stuart Ross, Simon Taylor, Sarah Dyer, Sean Garbutt, Emma Knight, Karen Gough, Jon Miller
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引用次数: 0
Key attributes of designers’ competencies for design for deconstruction (DfD) implementation in Ghana 加纳实施解构设计(DfD)的设计师能力的关键属性
K. Agyekum, Hayford Pittri, E. Botchway, Annabel Morkporkpor Ami Dompey
Successfully integrating design for deconstruction (DfD) principles into the construction industry will require articulated design guides and designers’ competencies. This calls for understanding the attributes of designers’ competencies essential for effective DfD implementation. This study explores the attributes of designers’ competencies for DfD implementation in the Ghanaian construction industry. The study adopted an exploratory sequential mixed design method with an initial qualitative data collection phase followed by a quantitative data collection phase. Responses from the qualitative phase (via interviews) were thematically analysed, while data obtained from the quantitative phase were analysed by means scores and standard deviations, the Normalized Value test, and the Mann-Whitney U test. The study identified ten attributes of designers’ competencies for DfD implementation. The four key competencies were identified as, in order of importance: proper expertise and motivation; designers’ knowledge of material quality and durability; strong understanding of construction; and effective coordination of element and component dimensions. The results of this study shed light on a less explored aspect of competencies for DfD implementation in the construction sector, especially in the global south. It provides fresh data and new insights into the attributes of designers’ competencies for DfD implementation.
要成功地将解构设计(DfD)原则融入建筑行业,就需要明确的设计指南和设计师的能力。这就需要了解有效实施解构设计所必需的设计师能力属性。本研究探讨了在加纳建筑行业实施 DfD 所需的设计人员能力属性。本研究采用了探索性顺序混合设计方法,首先是定性数据收集阶段,然后是定量数据收集阶段。对定性阶段(通过访谈)的答复进行了主题分析,而定量阶段获得的数据则通过均值和标准差、归一化值检验和曼-惠特尼 U 检验进行了分析。研究确定了设计人员实施设计促进发展的十项能力属性。按重要性排序,四个关键能力分别是:适当的专业知识和动机;设计师对材料质量和耐久性的了解;对施工的深刻理解;以及对元素和组件尺寸的有效协调。这项研究的结果揭示了在建筑领域,特别是在全球南部,实施设计促进发展的能力中一个探索较少的方面。它为设计师实施设计促进发展的能力属性提供了新的数据和新的见解。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Management, Procurement and Law
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