Pub Date : 2024-09-07DOI: 10.1177/07591063241258085
Antoine Machut
This article argues in favour of combining statistical sequence analysis with the study of biographical narratives to identify the underlying social structures in the unfolding of professional careers in particularly uncertain worlds. The careers of French financial journalists, whose professional world has been characterised by exceptional turbulence since the 1990s, are used as a case study. The article begins by describing the variety of relationships between trajectories and social structures in social science research that uses sequence analysis techniques. It then shows that by involving the interpretation of career life histories at each stage of sequence analysis, it is possible to highlight relevant regularities, even when trajectories unfold in contexts of high uncertainty. For this purpose, an optimal matching technique that calculates the dissimilarity between each pair of sequences is combined with an agglomeration technique that groups similar sequences into classes. The method is applied here to 297 sequences of professional activities of former and current financial journalists, reconstructed from the information they provided in the LinkedIn socio-professional network or in a professional directory. By comparing these regularities to the interpretations made by journalists in their 37 career life histories, the article examines three narrative schemas constructed by journalists to navigate an uncertain world and which have historically followed one another: the vocational schema, the gateway schema, and the decline schema. It thus describes the conditions for the emergence and decline of these schemas, which are linked not only to changing employment opportunities, but also to the ability of journalists to observe the traces left behind by the career paths of their counterparts.
{"title":"The structure of an uncertain world: Combining sequences classification and career life histories to identify narrative schemas in the careers of financial journalists","authors":"Antoine Machut","doi":"10.1177/07591063241258085","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/07591063241258085","url":null,"abstract":"This article argues in favour of combining statistical sequence analysis with the study of biographical narratives to identify the underlying social structures in the unfolding of professional careers in particularly uncertain worlds. The careers of French financial journalists, whose professional world has been characterised by exceptional turbulence since the 1990s, are used as a case study. The article begins by describing the variety of relationships between trajectories and social structures in social science research that uses sequence analysis techniques. It then shows that by involving the interpretation of career life histories at each stage of sequence analysis, it is possible to highlight relevant regularities, even when trajectories unfold in contexts of high uncertainty. For this purpose, an optimal matching technique that calculates the dissimilarity between each pair of sequences is combined with an agglomeration technique that groups similar sequences into classes. The method is applied here to 297 sequences of professional activities of former and current financial journalists, reconstructed from the information they provided in the LinkedIn socio-professional network or in a professional directory. By comparing these regularities to the interpretations made by journalists in their 37 career life histories, the article examines three narrative schemas constructed by journalists to navigate an uncertain world and which have historically followed one another: the vocational schema, the gateway schema, and the decline schema. It thus describes the conditions for the emergence and decline of these schemas, which are linked not only to changing employment opportunities, but also to the ability of journalists to observe the traces left behind by the career paths of their counterparts.","PeriodicalId":517384,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Sociological Methodology/Bulletin de Méthodologie Sociologique","volume":"60 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142219623","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-07DOI: 10.1177/07591063241258055a
Sophie Duchesne, Xabier Itçaina, Viviane Le Hay, Ahmed Fouad El Haddad
{"title":"Publishing in the BMS. A long process, but not without reason","authors":"Sophie Duchesne, Xabier Itçaina, Viviane Le Hay, Ahmed Fouad El Haddad","doi":"10.1177/07591063241258055a","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/07591063241258055a","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":517384,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Sociological Methodology/Bulletin de Méthodologie Sociologique","volume":"8 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142219537","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-06DOI: 10.1177/07591063241258055
Sophie Duchesne, Xabier Itçaina, Viviane Le Hay, Ahmed Fouad El Haddad
{"title":"Publier dans le BMS. Une longue procédure, mais pas sans raison","authors":"Sophie Duchesne, Xabier Itçaina, Viviane Le Hay, Ahmed Fouad El Haddad","doi":"10.1177/07591063241258055","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/07591063241258055","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":517384,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Sociological Methodology/Bulletin de Méthodologie Sociologique","volume":"16 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141939222","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-06DOI: 10.1177/07591063241258091
Sébastien Michon
This article proposes to discuss the exploratory use of two quantitative methods: on the one hand sequence analysis combined with optimal matching methods, and on the other hand geometric data analysis, more specifically multiple correspondence analysis and principal component analysis, combined with hierarchical ascending classifications. The aim is not to determine whether one method is more effective than another, nor to pit them against each other. The aim is to identify similarities and differences, and, more generally, to reflect on the cross-use of quantitative methods. The approach is decidedly practical and reflective. It consists of opening up the kitchen of implementation through a case study: build a typology of the professional futures of the accredited parliamentary assistants at the European Parliament. The paper defends the idea that typologies are tools and stages in analysis. Putting these methods to the test in this way aims to highlight several issues, suggest avenues of analysis, and highlight the need to explore the data using a variety of tools. This text is an invitation to compare and combine methods, and to use them in a considered and non-mechanical way, taking into account their strengths but also their weaknesses, which are also instructive.
{"title":"Battles and crossings of methods: Sequence analysis and geometric data analysis for the study of professional careers","authors":"Sébastien Michon","doi":"10.1177/07591063241258091","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/07591063241258091","url":null,"abstract":"This article proposes to discuss the exploratory use of two quantitative methods: on the one hand sequence analysis combined with optimal matching methods, and on the other hand geometric data analysis, more specifically multiple correspondence analysis and principal component analysis, combined with hierarchical ascending classifications. The aim is not to determine whether one method is more effective than another, nor to pit them against each other. The aim is to identify similarities and differences, and, more generally, to reflect on the cross-use of quantitative methods. The approach is decidedly practical and reflective. It consists of opening up the kitchen of implementation through a case study: build a typology of the professional futures of the accredited parliamentary assistants at the European Parliament. The paper defends the idea that typologies are tools and stages in analysis. Putting these methods to the test in this way aims to highlight several issues, suggest avenues of analysis, and highlight the need to explore the data using a variety of tools. This text is an invitation to compare and combine methods, and to use them in a considered and non-mechanical way, taking into account their strengths but also their weaknesses, which are also instructive.","PeriodicalId":517384,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Sociological Methodology/Bulletin de Méthodologie Sociologique","volume":"2 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141939266","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-06DOI: 10.1177/07591063241258089
Jeanne Hersant, Andrea Vera Gajardo, Mariel Saez Trumper
RésuméCet article rend compte d’un processus de recherche sur le champ des mathématiques au Chili, et en particulier sur la carrière des femmes dans le milieu scientifique, et l’ethos mathématicien. Ce projet a été mené à bien par une équipe de chercheur·e·s composée à parité de sociologues et mathématiciennes, ce qui constitue selon nous une expérience innovante d’interdisciplinarité. Nous l’abordons ici de façon réflexive, en la situant par rapport à la littérature sur l’interdisciplinarité et l’épistémologie féministe. Ensuite, nous présentons la méthodologie que nous avons mise en œuvre, celle des entretiens biographiques articulée à l’auto-ethnographie des mathématiciennes de l’équipe. Nous souhaitons enfin mettre en lumière les hiatus que cette collaboration interdisciplinaire a permis d’identifier, et les enseignements que nous en avons tiré quant à la constitution de l’ethos mathématicien.
{"title":"Une collaboration entre sociologues et mathématiciennes : entretiens (auto)biographiques, ethos mathématicien et carrières féminines au Chili","authors":"Jeanne Hersant, Andrea Vera Gajardo, Mariel Saez Trumper","doi":"10.1177/07591063241258089","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/07591063241258089","url":null,"abstract":"RésuméCet article rend compte d’un processus de recherche sur le champ des mathématiques au Chili, et en particulier sur la carrière des femmes dans le milieu scientifique, et l’ethos mathématicien. Ce projet a été mené à bien par une équipe de chercheur·e·s composée à parité de sociologues et mathématiciennes, ce qui constitue selon nous une expérience innovante d’interdisciplinarité. Nous l’abordons ici de façon réflexive, en la situant par rapport à la littérature sur l’interdisciplinarité et l’épistémologie féministe. Ensuite, nous présentons la méthodologie que nous avons mise en œuvre, celle des entretiens biographiques articulée à l’auto-ethnographie des mathématiciennes de l’équipe. Nous souhaitons enfin mettre en lumière les hiatus que cette collaboration interdisciplinaire a permis d’identifier, et les enseignements que nous en avons tiré quant à la constitution de l’ethos mathématicien.","PeriodicalId":517384,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Sociological Methodology/Bulletin de Méthodologie Sociologique","volume":"58 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141939267","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-02DOI: 10.1177/07591063241258088
Cédric Calvignac, Franck Cochoy, Gérald Gaglio
This article presents a method rarely used in sociology – the Call For Testimonials (CFT) – which consists of collecting written accounts of the experience of a large number of actors about a given social fact. This method provides a profuse amount of qualitative data, whose characteristics (spontaneous versus solicited, objective versus subjective, guided versus freely oriented) need to be described in order to make the best use of them through mixed analytical treatments. After characterizing the data collected, the article presents the mixed and combined analytic treatments to which they lend themselves. The example of the self-production of masks at the beginning of the COVID crisis helps to illustrate the potential of such treatments.
{"title":"The call for testimonials: Exploring the self-production of sanitary masks during the COVID-19 pandemic","authors":"Cédric Calvignac, Franck Cochoy, Gérald Gaglio","doi":"10.1177/07591063241258088","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/07591063241258088","url":null,"abstract":"This article presents a method rarely used in sociology – the Call For Testimonials (CFT) – which consists of collecting written accounts of the experience of a large number of actors about a given social fact. This method provides a profuse amount of qualitative data, whose characteristics (spontaneous versus solicited, objective versus subjective, guided versus freely oriented) need to be described in order to make the best use of them through mixed analytical treatments. After characterizing the data collected, the article presents the mixed and combined analytic treatments to which they lend themselves. The example of the self-production of masks at the beginning of the COVID crisis helps to illustrate the potential of such treatments.","PeriodicalId":517384,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Sociological Methodology/Bulletin de Méthodologie Sociologique","volume":"178 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141880493","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-02DOI: 10.1177/07591063241258086
David Longtin, Marie J. Bouchard, Valérie Michaud, Damien Rousselière
RésuméDepuis les années 1990, l’étude des innovations sociales fait l’objet de débats entourant les problèmes de recherche, les approches théoriques et les méthodes. La majorité des recherches ont privilégié les études de cas. Toutefois, plus récemment, des chercheurs ont commencé à réaliser des méta-études à partir de banques de données qualitatives. Cet article examine une démarche novatrice mise en œuvre par le Centre de recherche sur les innovations sociales (CRISES). Partant de centaines d’étude de cas, le CRISES a mis sur pied une base de données sur l’innovation sociale en vue de réaliser des analyses statistiques. Après avoir présenté les tendances en sciences sociales à la constitution de banques de données et à la réalisation de méta-études, nous exposons la méthodologie et les assises épistémologiques du projet afin d’en dégager l’originalité au regard des cartographies d’innovations sociales. L’article se conclut par une évaluation des limites méthodologiques et de la portée analytique du projet.
{"title":"La Base de données sur les innovations sociales du CRISES : portée et limites d’une innovation méthodologique","authors":"David Longtin, Marie J. Bouchard, Valérie Michaud, Damien Rousselière","doi":"10.1177/07591063241258086","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/07591063241258086","url":null,"abstract":"RésuméDepuis les années 1990, l’étude des innovations sociales fait l’objet de débats entourant les problèmes de recherche, les approches théoriques et les méthodes. La majorité des recherches ont privilégié les études de cas. Toutefois, plus récemment, des chercheurs ont commencé à réaliser des méta-études à partir de banques de données qualitatives. Cet article examine une démarche novatrice mise en œuvre par le Centre de recherche sur les innovations sociales (CRISES). Partant de centaines d’étude de cas, le CRISES a mis sur pied une base de données sur l’innovation sociale en vue de réaliser des analyses statistiques. Après avoir présenté les tendances en sciences sociales à la constitution de banques de données et à la réalisation de méta-études, nous exposons la méthodologie et les assises épistémologiques du projet afin d’en dégager l’originalité au regard des cartographies d’innovations sociales. L’article se conclut par une évaluation des limites méthodologiques et de la portée analytique du projet.","PeriodicalId":517384,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Sociological Methodology/Bulletin de Méthodologie Sociologique","volume":"156 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141887328","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-02DOI: 10.1177/07591063241258087
Piotr Jabkowski, Piotr Cichocki, Marta Kołczyńska
Two approaches to within-household selection of target respondents dominate cross-national surveys of the general population: the Kish grid and birthday procedures. The Kish grid is a rigorous probabilistic approach expected to produce higher-quality samples. However, its requirement to construct a complete household register is intrusive and may increase refusals. Conversely, birthday procedures, which do not require a household roster, may result in fewer refusals at the cost of lower sample quality. Our paper examines the impact of within-household selection procedures on refusal rates based on a methodological inventory of 120 national surveys from nine rounds of the European Social Survey (2002–2018). Controlling for the implementation of incentives for respondents, the experience of the interviewer teams and the country’s level of economic development, we find that surveys using the Kish grid have higher refusal rates before or during the selection process compared to surveys involving birthday procedures, suggesting that the use of the Kish grid is perceived as more intrusive for household members than birthday procedures. However, we find no significant difference between the two selection procedures regarding respondent refusals and total refusals.
{"title":"Kish grid vs birthday procedures: survey refusal rates by the type of within-household selection procedure in the European Social Survey","authors":"Piotr Jabkowski, Piotr Cichocki, Marta Kołczyńska","doi":"10.1177/07591063241258087","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/07591063241258087","url":null,"abstract":"Two approaches to within-household selection of target respondents dominate cross-national surveys of the general population: the Kish grid and birthday procedures. The Kish grid is a rigorous probabilistic approach expected to produce higher-quality samples. However, its requirement to construct a complete household register is intrusive and may increase refusals. Conversely, birthday procedures, which do not require a household roster, may result in fewer refusals at the cost of lower sample quality. Our paper examines the impact of within-household selection procedures on refusal rates based on a methodological inventory of 120 national surveys from nine rounds of the European Social Survey (2002–2018). Controlling for the implementation of incentives for respondents, the experience of the interviewer teams and the country’s level of economic development, we find that surveys using the Kish grid have higher refusal rates before or during the selection process compared to surveys involving birthday procedures, suggesting that the use of the Kish grid is perceived as more intrusive for household members than birthday procedures. However, we find no significant difference between the two selection procedures regarding respondent refusals and total refusals.","PeriodicalId":517384,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Sociological Methodology/Bulletin de Méthodologie Sociologique","volume":"54 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141887327","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-04-14DOI: 10.1177/07591063241236063
Reiner Keller, Angelika Poferl
Cet entretien porte sur le rapport que Guy Michelat a entretenu tout au long de sa carrière avec les méthodes d’enquête des sciences sociales, et les méthodes qualitatives plus particulièrement. Il évoque sa formation et la façon dont il a pratiqué, analysé et enseigné l’entretien non-directif. Il souligne l’influence de la psychologie et de l’anthropologie sur les méthodes qualitatives en sociologie politique. L’entretien a été réalisé en février 2013 par Reiner Keller et Denisa Butnaru à Paris, au CEVIPOF. Il a été revu et actualisé fin 2020 en partie par Guy Michelat lui-même.
{"title":"Entretien avec Guy Michelat","authors":"Reiner Keller, Angelika Poferl","doi":"10.1177/07591063241236063","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/07591063241236063","url":null,"abstract":"Cet entretien porte sur le rapport que Guy Michelat a entretenu tout au long de sa carrière avec les méthodes d’enquête des sciences sociales, et les méthodes qualitatives plus particulièrement. Il évoque sa formation et la façon dont il a pratiqué, analysé et enseigné l’entretien non-directif. Il souligne l’influence de la psychologie et de l’anthropologie sur les méthodes qualitatives en sociologie politique. L’entretien a été réalisé en février 2013 par Reiner Keller et Denisa Butnaru à Paris, au CEVIPOF. Il a été revu et actualisé fin 2020 en partie par Guy Michelat lui-même.","PeriodicalId":517384,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Sociological Methodology/Bulletin de Méthodologie Sociologique","volume":"28 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140585352","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-04-14DOI: 10.1177/07591063241236062
Julien Audemard
In electoral sociology, the analysis of vote transfers has traditionally depended on individual data obtained from surveys. Because such data suffer from a significant amount of declaration and memory bias, replacing them with the electoral statistics available down to polling station level may be advantageous. Recent developments in models of ecological inference allow us to use these aggregated data to establish estimates of vote transfers while minimising the risk of ecological error. Nonetheless, the reliability of ecological inference models for estimating vote transfers has thus far received little attention in the form of empirical evaluations. The purpose of the present article is to cast light on this blind spot by analysing a model for predicting electoral volatility in a two-round election, namely the municipal election held in Montpellier in 2014. What makes this approach original is its use of observed information – the proportion of non-voters in both rounds – first to compare this data with the estimates produced by the model and then to integrate it as a modelling parameter to measure its impact on estimated vote allocation. This analysis reveals that the initial model's results are relatively reliable regarding the known parameter, although they slightly overestimate its amplitude and underestimate its variability. The model that integrates information regarding the proportion of consistent non-voters yields estimates close to those obtained using the “raw” model. In terms of interpretative capacity, the value added by integrating this additional information is, therefore, slight. However, integrating the information does make it possible to establish narrower density intervals, reducing the uncertainty associated with the interpretation of the other parameters, particularly proportions associated with candidates who received few votes in the first round.
{"title":"Understanding vote transfers in two-round elections without resorting to declared data. The contribution of ecological inference, consolidated with factual information from a case study of the 2014 municipal elections in Montpellier","authors":"Julien Audemard","doi":"10.1177/07591063241236062","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/07591063241236062","url":null,"abstract":"In electoral sociology, the analysis of vote transfers has traditionally depended on individual data obtained from surveys. Because such data suffer from a significant amount of declaration and memory bias, replacing them with the electoral statistics available down to polling station level may be advantageous. Recent developments in models of ecological inference allow us to use these aggregated data to establish estimates of vote transfers while minimising the risk of ecological error. Nonetheless, the reliability of ecological inference models for estimating vote transfers has thus far received little attention in the form of empirical evaluations. The purpose of the present article is to cast light on this blind spot by analysing a model for predicting electoral volatility in a two-round election, namely the municipal election held in Montpellier in 2014. What makes this approach original is its use of observed information – the proportion of non-voters in both rounds – first to compare this data with the estimates produced by the model and then to integrate it as a modelling parameter to measure its impact on estimated vote allocation. This analysis reveals that the initial model's results are relatively reliable regarding the known parameter, although they slightly overestimate its amplitude and underestimate its variability. The model that integrates information regarding the proportion of consistent non-voters yields estimates close to those obtained using the “raw” model. In terms of interpretative capacity, the value added by integrating this additional information is, therefore, slight. However, integrating the information does make it possible to establish narrower density intervals, reducing the uncertainty associated with the interpretation of the other parameters, particularly proportions associated with candidates who received few votes in the first round.","PeriodicalId":517384,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Sociological Methodology/Bulletin de Méthodologie Sociologique","volume":"39 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140585234","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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