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Reflections from PEARL for an era of systemic risks, uncertain futures and complex governance PEARL对系统性风险、不确定未来和复杂治理时代的思考
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-30 DOI: 10.4102/jamba.v15i1.1485
Arabella Fraser
Reflecting on the root cause framework devised for the research project preparing for extreme and rare events in coastal regions (PEARL) between 2014 and 2018 suggests a growing and evolving landscape of work building on the initial Pressure and Release (PAR) model. Empirical work using the PEARL framework added to debates about the nature, role and importance of institutions in the cross-scale interactions that drive disaster risk, even for small-scale disaster events. Going forward, its use opened up questions about our epistemologies and methodologies for root causes research in an era of systemic risk, uncertain futures and complex governance, and about tackling the layers of politics that can preclude action on reducing vulnerabilities.Contribution: The article suggests a new – and pluralised – agenda for root causes research going forward, which needs to be linked to critical understandings of the politics of root causes across disaster management and development actors and further action to reduce vulnerabilities.
对2014年至2018年为准备应对沿海地区极端和罕见事件(PEARL)研究项目设计的根本原因框架的反思表明,基于初始压力和释放(PAR)模型的工作格局正在不断发展和演变。使用PEARL框架的实证工作增加了关于机构在驱动灾害风险的跨尺度相互作用中的性质、作用和重要性的辩论,即使对于小规模灾害事件也是如此。展望未来,在一个系统性风险、不确定的未来和复杂的治理时代,它的使用为我们的根本原因研究的认识论和方法,以及解决可能阻碍采取行动减少脆弱性的政治层面提出了问题。贡献:这篇文章提出了一个新的——和多元化的——根本原因研究议程,它需要与灾害管理和发展行动者对根本原因政治的批判性理解以及减少脆弱性的进一步行动联系起来。
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引用次数: 0
Acknowledgement to reviewers 审稿人致谢
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-20 DOI: 10.4102/jamba.v15i1.1612
Editorial Office
No abstract available.
没有摘要。
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引用次数: 0
A disaster of politics: The energy supply crisis in South Africa. 政治灾难:南非的能源供应危机。
IF 1.4 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-18 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.4102/jamba.v15i1.1492
Gideon J Wentink
On 09 February 2023, the South African government declared and classified the energy supply crisis in South Africa as a state of disaster. This is directly the opposite of what the president announced a few months before the event (Ramaphosa 2022). To answer the question posed in the title of this opinion piece, it is necessary to take a brief look at the build-up to the declaration and classification of the state of disaster of 09 February 2023. Then I will discuss what a disaster entails according to South African legislation, and I will conclude with closing comments.
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引用次数: 0
A structured literature review of the health infodemic on social media in Africa. 一篇关于非洲社交媒体上健康信息的结构化文献综述。
IF 1.4 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-29 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.4102/jamba.v15i1.1484
Charity Hove, Liezel Cilliers

Infodemics is a multi-faceted threat that needs to be dealt with by governments during public health emergencies. This strategic review described the role of social media platforms in creating and reinforcing an infodemic during health pandemics in Africa. The inclusion criteria for the review were African research on infodemics on social media during pandemics, epidemics or endemics in the past 10 years. A structured literature review, making use of the Sample, Phenomenon of Interest, Design, Evaluation, Research (SPIDER) scoping review methodology framework, identified scholarly publications from various academic databases. A total of 41 articles met the eligibility criteria. The six factors identified included stakeholders, socio-economic context, conspiracy theories, sources of information, government responses and verification mechanisms. The findings of this study indicate that governments needs to include infodemics in the risk communication strategy for public health emergencies. Verification of misinformation can mitigate the effects of conspiracy theories while the socio-economic context of the audience will influence planning strategies to mitigate infodemics on social media.

Contribution: This study contributes to the knowledge base of risk communication during pandemics in Africa by providing a review of how infodemics on social media have influenced the COVID-19 pandemic on the continent. The results also provide a foundation for the research agenda in this research field that will provide an evidence-based response to the pandemic in Africa.

信息传播是一种多方面的威胁,在公共卫生紧急情况下,政府需要应对。这篇战略综述描述了社交媒体平台在非洲卫生流行病期间创建和加强信息中心的作用。该审查的纳入标准是非洲在过去10年中对流行病、流行病或地方病期间社交媒体上的信息传播的研究。一项结构化的文献综述利用样本、兴趣现象、设计、评估、研究(SPID)范围界定综述方法框架,从各种学术数据库中确定了学术出版物。共有41篇文章符合资格标准。确定的六个因素包括利益攸关方、社会经济背景、阴谋论、信息来源、政府反应和核查机制。这项研究的结果表明,政府需要将信息传播纳入突发公共卫生事件的风险沟通战略。核实错误信息可以减轻阴谋论的影响,而受众的社会经济背景将影响减少社交媒体上信息传播的规划策略。贡献:这项研究通过回顾社交媒体上的信息学如何影响非洲大陆的新冠肺炎大流行,为非洲大流行期间的风险沟通知识库做出了贡献。研究结果还为该研究领域的研究议程奠定了基础,该议程将为非洲的疫情提供循证应对措施。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of climate change on household food security in Matande communal lands, Mwenezi district in Zimbabwe. 气候变化对津巴布韦Mwenezi区Matande社区土地家庭粮食安全的影响。
IF 1.4 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-21 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.4102/jamba.v15i1.1499
Fanuel Muzerengi, Crecentia P Gandidzanwa, Lovemore Chirubvu

Mwenezi district is a drought prone area characterised by high temperatures, droughts, rainfall deficit, crop failures and chronic food deficiencies. Rainfed agriculture can no longer be sustained without any innovations. The study explored the impacts of climate change on household food security among the vulnerable populations of Matande communal lands, Mwenezi district in Zimbabwe. The study is guided by the Sustainable Livelihoods Framework (SLF). An exploratory sequential research design was adopted, and a total of 78 respondents were selected from the population of 371 households using purposive and cluster sampling techniques. Data collection was triangulated through the use of household survey, focus group discussions, key informant interviews and observations. The thematic approach and SPSS software were used to analyse qualitative and quantitative data, respectively. Results demonstrated that climate change propelled increases of pests and diseases for both livestock and crops, reduction of meals uptake per day, biodiversity loss and dwindled crop production. Livestock increases were recorded despite the changing climate shows a nexus with food insecurity. The research called for the adoption of drought-tolerant crops, capacity building through climate change resilience programmes, livestock centric in diversification, improved formal markets for livestock and tapping of underground water for irrigation and other purposes to complement existing water bodies to prevent them drying up early.

Contribution: There is deepening aridification in Mwenezi district because of climate change resulting in the continuous obliteration for the worst of agro-ecological regions iv and v reclassified into a and b. This confirmed the heterogeneity of various climatic conditions and variability within the same geographical context. However, vulnerability continues to be generalised into regions. The study investigates the impacts of climate change typical to Matande communal lands with the view to generate knowledge relevant to review adaptation practices specific to the researched area in order to escalate community resilience.

Mwenezi区是一个干旱多发地区,其特点是高温、干旱、降雨量不足、作物歉收和长期粮食短缺。没有任何创新,雨水灌溉的农业就无法持续。该研究探讨了气候变化对津巴布韦Mwenezi区Matande社区弱势人口家庭粮食安全的影响。该研究以可持续生计框架为指导。采用探索性序列研究设计,使用目的性和整群抽样技术从371户家庭中选出78名受访者。通过使用家庭调查、焦点小组讨论、关键信息提供者访谈和观察,对数据收集进行了三角测量。分别采用专题分析法和SPSS软件对定性和定量数据进行分析。结果表明,气候变化导致牲畜和作物病虫害增加,每日膳食摄入减少,生物多样性丧失,作物产量下降。尽管气候变化表明与粮食不安全有关,但牲畜数量仍有所增加。这项研究呼吁采用耐旱作物,通过气候变化恢复计划进行能力建设,以牲畜为中心实现多样化,改善牲畜的正式市场,并将地下水用于灌溉和其他目的,以补充现有水体,防止其过早干涸。贡献:由于气候变化,Mwenezi区的干旱化程度不断加深,导致最糟糕的农业生态区iv和v被重新划分为a和b。这证实了在同一地理背景下各种气候条件和变异性的异质性。然而,脆弱性仍然普遍存在于各个区域。该研究调查了马坦德社区土地典型的气候变化影响,以期产生与审查研究区域特定适应做法相关的知识,从而提高社区的复原力。
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引用次数: 0
Adaptive capacity in the implementation of disaster response village programme in Indonesia: Literature review. 印度尼西亚实施救灾村庄方案的适应能力:文献综述。
IF 1.4 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-18 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.4102/jamba.v15i1.1470
Simon S Hutagalung

The disaster-resilient village programme, which aims to develop settlements with the autonomy to adapt and deal with disasters aims to promote disaster awareness. Several questions arise regarding the contribution of the programme to the development of the adaptive capacity of village communities, including: what types of adaptive capacity emerge as a result of the programme's implementation, and what factors promote and inhibit the development of adaptive capacity? This study employs a comprehensive literature review. The initial step is to do a keyword search using Publish or Perish 8.2.3944.8118. This study includes a range of search phrases, including the phrase 'disaster-resilience' and keywords: community resiliency, disaster preparedness and disaster policy. The type of adaptive capacity that emerges from the implementation of the disaster response village programme incorporates the topic of flexibility predominantly, showing that this programme raises a diversity of adaption practices and possibilities in the community. This approach is influenced by the disaster-prone geographical characteristics of Indonesia. Practical gaps exist in the form of evaluating values in the development of similar disaster programmes, while theoretical gaps exist in the form of conceptual identification of cultural characteristics that may occur as a result of efforts to build adaptive ability through the programme. This article examines societal values that are affected by programmes.

Contribution: This manuscript aims to add to the variety of disaster programme design initiatives requiring community resilience and sustainability. This sociocultural and disaster-related field is pertinent to the scope of this publication.

抗灾村庄方案旨在发展具有适应和应对灾害自主权的定居点,旨在提高人们对灾害的认识。关于该方案对发展农村社区适应能力的贡献,出现了几个问题,包括:由于该方案的实施,出现了哪些类型的适应能力,哪些因素促进和抑制了适应能力的发展?本研究采用了全面的文献综述。第一步是使用Publish或Perish 8.2.3944.8118进行关键字搜索。这项研究包括一系列搜索短语,包括短语“抗灾能力”和关键词:社区抗灾能力、备灾和灾害政策。实施救灾村方案产生的适应能力类型主要包括灵活性这一主题,表明该方案在社区中提出了多种适应做法和可能性。这种方法受到印度尼西亚易发生灾害的地理特征的影响。在评估制定类似灾害方案的价值观方面存在实际差距,而在对文化特征进行概念识别方面存在理论差距,这些文化特征可能是通过该方案建立适应能力的努力所产生的。本文探讨了受方案影响的社会价值观。贡献:这份手稿旨在增加需要社区复原力和可持续性的各种灾害方案设计举措。这一社会文化和灾害相关领域与本出版物的范围相关。
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引用次数: 0
Applying network flow optimisation techniques to minimise cost associated with flood disaster. 应用网络流量优化技术,最大限度地降低与洪水灾害相关的成本。
IF 1.4 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-15 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.4102/jamba.v15i1.1444
Simon D Okonta, John Olaomi

Flooding disasters in most parts of the world has become worrisome to the government and to the humanitarian emergency organisations. In this article, the authors proffer a mathematical solution to minimise the cost of rescue operations, using stochastic programming of a multicommodity and multimodel network flow. In the formulation, the authors considered four supply depots: national centre depot (NCD), three local distribution centres (LDCs) and six points of distribution (PODs). Two vehicle types were helicopters by air and trucks by land. Three basic types of emergency relief materials include food, water and medical items. Three basic scenarios were mild, medium and severe situations with associated probabilities of 0.25, 0.5 and 0.25, respectively. The formulated model was solved using the LINGO software. The results show that the formulated model effectively reduced the cost of distribution during emergency rescue operation, as there was a thin line between demand and met demand. For the scope of this model, a minimised cost of about $1016673.37 is sufficient to carry out successful rescue operations.

Contribution: The estimated amount of $1016673.37 becomes a benchmark for the government, research agencies and other developmental agencies for the purpose of planning. By using the air and road transport modes, and allowing direct and indirect transportation to the PODs, it saved time, resulting in many lives being saved.

世界大部分地区的洪水灾害已经让政府和人道主义应急组织感到担忧。在这篇文章中,作者使用多种群和多模型网络流的随机规划,提供了一个数学解决方案,以最大限度地降低救援行动的成本。在表述中,作者考虑了四个供应站:国家中心仓库、三个地方配送中心和六个配送点。两种车辆类型是空运直升机和陆运卡车。三种基本类型的紧急救援物资包括食品、水和医疗用品。三种基本情况是轻度、中度和重度情况,相关概率分别为0.25、0.5和0.25。使用LINGO软件对公式化的模型进行求解。结果表明,所建立的模型有效地降低了应急救援行动中的配送成本,因为需求和满足需求之间存在一条细线。就这种模式的范围而言,将成本降至最低约1016673.37美元就足以成功开展救援行动。捐款:估计数额1016673.37美元成为政府、研究机构和其他发展机构进行规划的基准。通过使用航空和公路运输方式,并允许直接和间接运输到战俘,它节省了时间,挽救了许多生命。
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引用次数: 0
Forensic investigations of disasters: Past achievements and new directions 灾害的法医调查:过去的成就和新的方向
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-15 DOI: 10.4102/jamba.v15i1.1490
Irasema Alcántara-Ayala, Ian Burton, Allan Lavell, Anthony Oliver-Smith, Alonso Brenes, Thea Dickinson
In the 2020s, understanding disaster risk requires a strong and clear recognition of values and goals that influence the use of political and economic power and social authority to guide growth and development. This configuration of values, goals, power and authority may also lead to concrete drivers of risk at any one time. Building on previous disaster risk frameworks and experiences from practice, since 2010, the ‘Forensic Investigations of Disasters (FORIN)’ approach has been developed to support transdisciplinary research on the transformational pathways societies may follow to recognise and address root causes and drivers of disaster risk. This article explores and assesses the achievements and failures of the FORIN approach. It also focuses on shedding light upon key requirements for new approaches and understandings of disaster risk research. The new requirements stem not only from the uncompleted ambitions of FORIN and the forensic approach but also from dramatic and ongoing transformational changes characterised by climate change, the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and the threat of global international confrontation, among other potential crises, both those that can be identified and those not yet identified or unknown. Contribution: Disasters associated with extreme natural events cannot be treated in isolation. A comprehensive “all risks” or “all disasters” approach is essential for a global transformation, which could lead to a better world order. To achieve this, an Intergovernmental Panel for Disaster Risk is suggested to assess risk science periodically and work towards sustainability, human rights, and accountability, within a development and human security frame and on a systemic basis and integrated perspective.
在21世纪20年代,理解灾害风险需要强烈而明确地认识到影响政治和经济权力以及社会权威的使用以指导增长和发展的价值观和目标。这种价值观、目标、权力和权威的配置也可能在任何时候导致具体的风险驱动因素。基于以前的灾害风险框架和实践经验,自2010年以来,“灾害法医调查(FORIN)”方法得到了发展,以支持跨学科研究社会可能遵循的转型途径,以认识和解决灾害风险的根本原因和驱动因素。本文探讨和评估了FORIN方法的成就和失败。它还侧重于阐明对灾害风险研究的新方法和理解的关键要求。新的要求不仅源于FORIN和法医方法尚未完成的雄心,还源于以气候变化、2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行和全球国际对抗威胁为特征的巨大和持续的转型变化,以及其他可识别和尚未识别或未知的潜在危机。贡献:不能孤立地对待与极端自然事件有关的灾害。全面的“所有风险”或“所有灾难”方法对于全球转型至关重要,这可能导致更好的世界秩序。为实现这一目标,建议成立一个政府间灾害风险专门委员会,定期评估风险科学,并在发展和人类安全框架内,以系统的基础和综合的角度,努力实现可持续性、人权和问责制。
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引用次数: 1
Alternatives for sustained disaster risk reduction: A re-assessment. 持续减少灾害风险的替代方案:重新评估。
IF 1.3 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-07-26 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.4102/jamba.v15i1.1487
Loic Le De, Louise L Baumann, Annabelle Moatty, Virginie Le Masson, Faten Kikano, Mahmood Fayazi, Manuela Fernandez, Isabella Tomassi, Jake Rom D Cadag

Alternatives for sustained disaster risk reduction' was published in 2010 by Francophone and Anglophone researchers as a critique on the way disasters were studied and disaster risk reduction handled in the Francophone sphere. The authors criticized the dominant Francophone approach for being heavily hazard-centred and called for more emphasis on vulnerability to understand disasters and foster disaster risk reduction - a shift that had already taken place in the Anglophone disaster literature. Twelve years later, this paper draws upon a bibliographic analysis to examine if the arguments developed in the 2010 publication have stem attention in the Francophone disaster literature.

Contribution: The article finds that the shift towards the vulnerability paradigm has, to some extent, happened but took much longer in the French context than in the Spanish language and the Asian disaster literature. The article emphasises the need for a re-assessment of our practices and study of disasters, including reflections on what disasters are studied, how, by whom, and for whom. Eventually, alternatives for sustained disaster risk reduction now and in the future might include drawing upon more diverse ontologies and epistemologies that are pertinent locally, considering local people as co-researchers though participatory methods, and empowering local Francophone researchers to play a greater role in researching disasters and leading disaster risk reduction in their own localities.

法语国家和英语国家的研究人员于 2010 年出版了《持续降低灾害风险的替代方案》一书,对法语国家研究灾害和降低灾害风险的方式提出了批评。作者批评法语国家的主流方法严重以灾害为中心,并呼吁更多地强调脆弱性,以理解灾害和促进减少灾害风险--这一转变在英语国家的灾害文献中早已出现。十二年后,本文通过文献分析,研究 2010 年出版物中提出的论点是否引起了法语国家灾害文献的关注:文章认为,在某种程度上,向脆弱性范式的转变已经发生,但与西班牙语和亚洲灾害文献相比,法语灾害文献的转变时间要长得多。文章强调有必要重新评估我们对灾害的实践和研究,包括反思研究什么灾害、如何研究、由谁研究以及为谁研究。最终,现在和未来持续减少灾害风险的替代方案可能包括:借鉴与当地相关的更多样化的本体论和认识论,通过参与式方法将当地人视为共同研究者,以及赋予当地法语研究人员在研究灾害和领导当地减少灾害风险方面发挥更大作用的权力。
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引用次数: 0
Reflections on a vulnerability framework for sustainability science. 对可持续性科学脆弱性框架的思考。
IF 1.4 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-26 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.4102/jamba.v15i1.1335
B L Turner, Bing-Bing Zhou

The first vulnerability framework for sustainability science was published about two decades ago. It embedded vulnerability analysis into the foundational lens of sustainability and resilience research - the social-environmental system (SES) - and called for an integration of the vulnerabilities of the social and environmental subsystems as opposed to the dominating attention given at the time to societal vulnerability. The framework recognised that the environment itself is vulnerable to disturbances and that the interactions of the two subsystems create a system-wide vulnerability central to questions of sustainability or sustainable development. It also provided multiple components of analysis that should be considered if vulnerability research and assessments were to contribute more fully to sustainability themes. Using bibliometric analysis and attention to subsequent vulnerability publications, various impacts of this original framework on vulnerability studies were examined in the study, including its recognition by citations, citation pathways and fields of study, and the degree to which its various dimensions were employed. It was found that its large citation recognition was not necessarily matched by attention to the dimensions the framework proposed, noting several exceptions.

Contribution: The authors interpreted this discrepancy to have followed from the analytical complexity fostered by the framework and to the significant proportion of vulnerability interests that was and remains focused on societal vulnerability as opposed to the social-environmental one, even in this moment in which sustainability in the Anthropocene has become a paramount query.

约二十年前,第一个可持续性科学脆弱性框架问世。该框架将脆弱性分析纳入了可持续性和复原力研究的基础视角--社会-环境系统(SES),并呼吁整合社会和环境子系统的脆弱性,而不是当时主要关注的社会脆弱性。该框架认识到,环境本身容易受到干扰,而这两个子系统之间的相互作用会造成整个系统的脆弱性,这对可持续性或可持续发展问题至关重要。该框架还提供了多个分析要素,如果要使脆弱性研究和评估为可持续性主题做出更充分的贡献,就应考虑这些要素。本研究利用文献计量分析和对随后发表的脆弱性出版物的关注,考察了这一原始框架对脆弱性研究的各种影响,包括其被引用的认可度、引用途径和研究领域,以及其各个层面的应用程度。研究发现,对该框架提出的各个维度的关注并不一定与对其大量引用的认可相匹配,但也有几个例外:作者认为,这种差异源于该框架所带来的分析复杂性,也源于对脆弱性的关注主要集中于社会脆弱性,而非社会环境脆弱性,即使在人类世的可持续发展已成为首要问题的今天也是如此。
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引用次数: 0
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Jamba-Journal of Disaster Risk Studies
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