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Enhancing Women’s Entrepreneurship in Rural Ecuador: A Study Protocol Aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals 提高厄瓜多尔农村妇女的创业能力:与可持续发展目标相一致的研究协议
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.3390/economies12090225
Angélica-María Sánchez-Riofrío, Marco Faytong-Haro, Olga Roa, Jonathan Valderrama-Álvarez
Women entrepreneurs in rural Ecuador face significant obstacles, including limited access to education, financial services, and business networks. Despite their vital role in the economy, gender inequalities hinder their success. This study protocol aims to evaluate the impact of a tailored business training program designed to empower rural women entrepreneurs and promote sustainable economic development. Aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) of Quality Education (Goal 4), Gender Equality (Goal 5), and Decent Work and Economic Growth (Goal 8), the program will assess improvements in women’s agency, confidence, and business performance. Key results include a 54% increase in perceived self-efficacy and a 200% increase in locus of control observed in the pre-pilot phase, indicating enhanced decision-making capacities and program effectiveness. Expected improvements in business performance will be measured by sales figures and financial growth, with anticipated positive impacts on SDG 8. The program will also track participation rates, with high enrollment and completion rates contributing to SDG 4. Additionally, financial stability and the number of engaged suppliers will be monitored, supporting SDG 8. By incorporating additional structural interventions, the study will offer insights into enhancing the empowerment of rural women entrepreneurs, creating a holistic impact that fosters both individual and community development.
厄瓜多尔农村地区的女企业家面临着巨大的障碍,包括获得教育、金融服务和商业网络的机会有限。尽管她们在经济中扮演着重要角色,但性别不平等阻碍了她们的成功。本研究方案旨在评估一项量身定制的商业培训计划的影响,该计划旨在增强农村女企业家的能力并促进可持续经济发展。该计划与可持续发展目标(SDGs)中的优质教育(目标 4)、性别平等(目标 5)以及体面工作和经济增长(目标 8)相一致,将评估妇女在代理权、自信心和业务绩效方面的改善情况。主要结果包括在试点前阶段观察到的自我效能感提高了 54%,控制感提高了 200%,这表明决策能力和计划效果得到了增强。企业业绩的预期改善将通过销售数字和财务增长来衡量,预计将对可持续发展目标 8 产生积极影响。该计划还将跟踪参与率,高入学率和高完成率有助于实现可持续发展目标 4。此外,还将监测财务稳定性和参与供应商的数量,以支持可持续发展目标 8。通过纳入更多的结构性干预措施,该研究将为增强农村女企业家的能力提供见解,产生促进个人和社区发展的整体影响。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of the Minimum Wage (MW) on Income Inequality: Systematic Review and Analysis of the Spanish Case 最低工资(MW)对收入不平等的影响:西班牙案例的系统回顾与分析
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.3390/economies12090223
Manuela A. de Paz-Báñez, Celia Sánchez-López, María José Asensio-Coto
The minimum wage has become a standard measure in the economic and social policies of countries all over the world. The primary objective of this measure is to guarantee that workers receive a minimum wage that allows them to lead a decent life, thereby reducing inequality and poverty. However, studies on the minimum wage have not focused on assessing the effects on these dimensions but only on employment. The objective of this study is to address this research gap by analysing the effects of minimum wage increases on income inequality and poverty. To this end, firstly, a systematic review of the empirical analyses was conducted using the PRISMA methodology, with a view to ensuring that all empirical evidence was available. Secondly, the Spanish case was examined. The significant increase in minimum wage in Spain in 2019 (21.3% in real terms) presents an invaluable opportunity to utilise this event as a natural experiment to generate new evidence. A difference-in-differences approach was employed to assess the impact of this phenomenon in the period 2018–2019 with microdata from European Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC for Spain). In doing so, two basic scientific contributions were made. The first one, a systematic, exhaustive, and up-to-date literature review (up to June 2024), as there is, to our knowledge, no recent systematic review of this relationship (minimum wage vs. inequality). The available evidence indicates a clear inverse relationship between the minimum wage and inequalities and poverty. The second one, regarding the Spanish case, there has been a dearth of scientific studies on this subject. Thus, this paper provides new scientific evidence demonstrating that a significant increase in the minimum wage can significantly improve the income of low-wage earners, thereby reducing income inequality and in-work poverty. Furthermore, there is evidence of a spillover effect towards income groups closer to the treatment group.
最低工资已成为世界各国经济和社会政策的一项标准措施。这一措施的主要目的是保证工人获得最低工资,使他们能够过上体面的生活,从而减少不平等和贫困。然而,有关最低工资的研究并不侧重于评估其对这些方面的影响,而仅仅是对就业的影响。本研究旨在通过分析提高最低工资对收入不平等和贫困的影响来弥补这一研究空白。为此,首先采用 PRISMA 方法对实证分析进行了系统回顾,以确保提供所有实证证据。其次,研究了西班牙的情况。西班牙将于 2019 年大幅提高最低工资(按实际价值计算为 21.3%),这为利用这一事件作为自然实验来生成新证据提供了宝贵机会。我们采用差分法,利用欧洲收入和生活条件统计(EU-SILC,西班牙)的微观数据,评估了 2018-2019 年期间这一现象的影响。在此过程中,我们做出了两项基本的科学贡献。第一,系统、详尽和最新的文献综述(截至 2024 年 6 月),因为据我们所知,最近还没有关于这种关系(最低工资与不平等)的系统综述。现有证据表明,最低工资与不平等和贫困之间存在明显的反向关系。其次,关于西班牙的情况,这方面的科学研究一直很匮乏。因此,本文提供了新的科学证据,证明大幅提高最低工资可以显著提高低工资者的收入,从而减少收入不平等和在职贫困。此外,有证据表明,与治疗组更接近的收入群体会产生溢出效应。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond Borders: The Effects of Immigrants on Value-Added Trade 超越国界:移民对增值贸易的影响
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.3390/economies12090222
Bedassa Tadesse, Roger White
While the effects of immigrants on aggregate trade flows have been extensively examined, the role of immigrants in shaping trade in value added (TiVA) remains underexplored. Employing a panel dataset covering 38 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) member host countries and 64 immigrant home countries spanning 2000–2018 and estimating a random intercept and random slope mixed-effects model, we find that immigrants play a significant role in enhancing the value added from their home countries that is embedded in their host countries’ exports to the world. We document these effects at the aggregate level and across sectors (i.e., manufacturing, agriculture, and services). There is, however, considerable variation in the influence of immigrants on TiVA across country pairs. Our findings highlight that immigrants significantly enhance trade sophistication by promoting specialization and upward movement in the value chain, yielding economic benefits for their home and host countries.
虽然移民对总贸易流量的影响已得到广泛研究,但移民在影响增值贸易(TiVA)方面的作用仍未得到充分探讨。我们采用了一个面板数据集,涵盖了 2000-2018 年间 38 个经济合作与发展组织(OECD)成员东道国和 64 个移民母国,并使用随机截距和随机斜率混合效应模型进行了估计,结果发现,移民在提高母国附加值方面发挥了重要作用,而这些附加值包含在东道国对世界的出口中。我们记录了这些效应在总体层面和不同部门(即制造业、农业和服务业)的表现。然而,在不同的国家对中,移民对贸易增值的影响存在相当大的差异。我们的研究结果突出表明,移民通过促进价值链的专业化和向上移动,大大提高了贸易的复杂性,为其母国和东道国带来了经济效益。
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引用次数: 0
Public R&D and Growth: A dynamic Panel Vector-Error-Correction Model Analysis for 14 OECD Countries 公共研发与增长:对 14 个经合组织国家的动态面板向量误差修正模型分析
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.3390/economies12080216
Thomas H. W. Ziesemer
This paper addresses the controversial issue of the direct and indirect effects of public R&D on growth. We look at six variables of R&D-driven growth jointly for 14 OECD countries using methods of dynamic systems for panel data analysis: GDP, technical change, domestic and foreign businesses and public R&D. Cointegration tests suggest four long-run relations for the six variables. We estimate these relations using group mean versions of fully modified and dynamic OLS. Domestic public R&D has positive long-run regression coefficients for direct effects on productivity and indirect ones via private R&D. Here, we build a panel vector-error-correction model with these long-term relations. Shocks to domestic public R&D enhance domestic private R&D, technical change and the GDP. Permanent changes in foreign public and private R&D have positive growth effects, which are transitional for foreign public R&D.
本文探讨了公共研发对经济增长的直接和间接影响这一颇具争议的问题。我们使用面板数据动态系统分析方法,对 14 个经合组织国家的研发驱动增长的六个变量进行了联合研究:这六个变量是:国内生产总值、技术变革、国内外企业和公共研发。协整检验表明,这六个变量存在四种长期关系。我们使用完全修正和动态 OLS 的组均值版本对这些关系进行了估计。国内公共研发对生产力的直接影响和通过私人研发产生的间接影响的长期回归系数均为正数。在此,我们建立了一个具有这些长期关系的面板向量误差修正模型。对国内公共研发的冲击会增强国内私人研发、技术变革和国内生产总值。国外公共和私人研发的永久性变化会对经济增长产生积极影响,这对国外公共研发而言是过渡性的。
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引用次数: 0
Road Freight Quality Management in Industry 4.0: International Experience and Perspectives in Kazakhstan 工业 4.0 中的道路货运质量管理:哈萨克斯坦的国际经验和前景
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.3390/economies12080218
Rashid Oiykbayevich Tazhiyev, Taskin Dirsehan, Elmira Esenbekovna Baimukhanbetova, Urikkul Duisenovna Sandykbaeva
This article explores the evolution of road freight transport in the context of Industry 4.0, focusing on management practices and technological advancements in transport and logistics companies’ management information systems. By analyzing the latest international practices in road freight quality management within Industry 4.0 through regression and correlation methods, a model highlighting the significant influence of quality over price and institutional factors on the development of information and communication technology (ICT) goods exports was developed. It showcases how digital frameworks, alongside AI and big data, can enhance road freight quality in Industry 4.0, establishing a digital ecosystem for transport and logistics quality management. This study introduces a novel perspective on managing road freight transport as a digital ecosystem, offering insights into improving ICT goods exports in Kazakhstan by enhancing management information systems. It suggests a new management information system organization scheme to increase road freight quality management efficiency and ensure quality in Industry 4.0 settings.
本文探讨了工业 4.0 背景下公路货物运输的演变,重点关注运输和物流公司管理信息系统的管理实践和技术进步。文章通过回归和相关方法分析了工业 4.0 中公路货运质量管理的最新国际实践,建立了一个模型,该模型强调了质量优于价格和制度因素对信息和通信技术(ICT)货物出口发展的重要影响。它展示了数字框架与人工智能和大数据如何在工业 4.0 中提高公路货运质量,建立运输和物流质量管理的数字生态系统。本研究介绍了将公路货运作为数字生态系统进行管理的新视角,为通过加强管理信息系统改善哈萨克斯坦的信息和通信技术产品出口提供了真知灼见。它提出了一种新的管理信息系统组织方案,以提高公路货运质量管理效率,确保工业 4.0 环境下的质量。
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引用次数: 0
Analysing Rational Bubbles in African Stock Markets: Evidence from Econophysics Frequency Domain Estimates and DCC MGARCH Model 分析非洲股票市场的理性泡沫:经济物理学频域估计和 DCC MGARCH 模型提供的证据
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.3390/economies12080217
Adedoyin Isola Lawal, Ezeikel Oseni, Adel Ahmed, Hosam Alden Riyadh, Mosab I. Tabash, Dominic T. Abaver
The stock market operates on informed decisions based on information gathered from heterogeneous sources, encompassing diverse beliefs, strategies, and knowledge. This study examines the validity of rational bubbles in stock market prices, focusing on eight African stock markets: South Africa, Nigeria, Kenya, Egypt, Morocco, Mauritius, Ghana, and Botswana. Utilizing newly developed econophysics-based unit root tests and the Dynamic Conditional Correlation Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (DCC MGARCH) models, the authors analyzed daily data from 1996 to 2022. Our findings indicate that these markets experienced bubbles at various points, often followed by bursts. These bubbles coincided with significant economic changes, suggesting a strong link between stock market behavior and economic growth. For instance, financial crises, political instability, and global economic downturns significantly influenced bubble formation and bursts in these markets. The study reveals that market-specific events, such as regulatory changes and shifts in investor sentiment, also contributed to the occurrence of bubbles. Three key policy options are proposed to address bubbles in the studied markets including, enhancing regulatory frameworks to monitor and mitigate bubble formation, improving financial literacy among investors to promote informed decision-making, and strengthening economic policies to stabilize macroeconomic conditions and reduce vulnerability to external shocks. By implementing these measures, policymakers can enhance market stability and foster sustainable economic growth in African stock markets.
股票市场的运作是基于从不同来源收集到的信息做出的明智决策,其中包括不同的信念、战略和知识。本研究以八个非洲股票市场为重点,探讨了股票市场价格中理性泡沫的有效性:南非、尼日利亚、肯尼亚、埃及、摩洛哥、毛里求斯、加纳和博茨瓦纳。作者利用新开发的基于经济物理学的单位根检验和动态条件相关多元广义自回归条件异方差(DCC MGARCH)模型,分析了 1996 年至 2022 年的每日数据。我们的研究结果表明,这些市场在不同时期经历了泡沫,随后往往破裂。这些泡沫与重大的经济变化相吻合,表明股市行为与经济增长之间存在密切联系。例如,金融危机、政治动荡和全球经济衰退对这些市场的泡沫形成和破灭产生了重大影响。研究显示,监管变化和投资者情绪变化等特定市场事件也是导致泡沫出现的原因。研究提出了应对所研究市场泡沫的三个关键政策选择,包括加强监管框架以监测和缓解泡沫的形成,提高投资者的金融知识水平以促进知情决策,以及加强经济政策以稳定宏观经济状况并降低对外部冲击的脆弱性。通过实施这些措施,决策者可以加强市场稳定,促进非洲股票市场的可持续经济增长。
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引用次数: 0
The Sustainability of Hospital Care in The Netherlands from a Labour Market Perspective: A Time Series Analysis of the Baumol Effect between 2000 and 2021 从劳动力市场角度看荷兰医院护理的可持续性:2000 年至 2021 年鲍莫尔效应的时间序列分析
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.3390/economies12080215
Jos Blank, Alex Van Heezik
In this paper, we focus on the sustainability of hospital care in The Netherlands from a labour market perspective. The continued increase in the demand for hospital care and the subsequent growth in the demand for hospital labour can cause permanent shortages of medical and nursing personnel, but can also affect labour conditions in other sectors of the economy. We analyse how the hospital sector put pressure on the labour market between 2000 and 2021 by applying a regression analysis to the share of hospital labour costs in the total economy on hospital production, wages and technical change. From the raw data, we observe a modest growth in hospital production over the whole research period. Strikingly, hospital wages underwent explosive growth compared to wages in other sectors of the economy in the same timeframe, seemingly disproving the hypothesis that hospital wages follow wages in other sectors. A worrisome result comes from the estimated Baumol parameter, which indicates that productivity growth in the hospital sector lagged significantly behind other sectors. This implies that the hospital sector, aside from developments in hospital care demand and hospital wages, is also causing a serious problem because of a low or negative productivity change. At this rate, we will stumble into the situation that the pressure of hospitals on the Dutch labour force will be doubled in the next decades. To avoid this situation, severe measures need to be taken, such as implementing incentives and sanctions to improve productivity.
本文重点从劳动力市场的角度探讨荷兰医院护理的可持续性。医院护理需求的持续增长以及随之而来的医院劳动力需求的增长可能会造成医疗和护理人员的永久性短缺,但同时也会影响其他经济部门的劳动力状况。我们通过对医院生产、工资和技术变化进行回归分析,分析了 2000 年至 2021 年间医院部门如何对劳动力市场造成压力。从原始数据来看,我们发现在整个研究期间,医院的生产量略有增长。令人震惊的是,与同一时期其他经济部门的工资相比,医院的工资出现了爆炸性增长,这似乎推翻了医院工资跟随其他部门工资增长的假设。一个令人担忧的结果来自于估算的鲍莫尔参数,它表明医院部门的生产率增长明显落后于其他部门。这意味着,除了医院护理需求和医院工资的发展外,医院部门还因生产率变化较低或为负数而造成严重问题。照此下去,在未来几十年内,医院对荷兰劳动力的压力将成倍增加。为避免出现这种情况,必须采取严厉措施,如实施奖惩措施以提高生产率。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-Factor Cost Adjustment for Enhanced Export-Oriented Production Capacity in Manufacturing Firms 多因素成本调整,增强制造业企业的出口导向型生产能力
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.3390/economies12080219
Ashraf Mishrif, Mohamed A. Hammad
Many manufacturing firms face considerable difficulties in building export capacity and selling their products in international markets. These firms often struggle with unpredictable cost changes, logistical problems along the supply chain, and rising labor expenses that could threaten the competitive edge of manufacturing operations. As there is also a clear absence of practical export models tailored to the unique needs of industrial firms, our study aims to offer a more holistic approach to assessing the impact of cost components on enhancing export-oriented production capacity (EOPC), a perspective not comprehensively provided by the comparative advantage theory, the Heckscher–Ohlin model, or the resource-based theory. While offering a comprehensive analysis of cost components in production, we argue that adjusting the resources, managing the costs, and enhancing production efficiency can significantly improve the EOPC of the manufacturing firms. Using primary data collected from 200 manufacturing firms in Oman during the period 2012–2016, multiple regression analysis followed by descriptive statistical analysis together with a correlation matrix indicates strong positive relationships between the EOPC and factors such as the raw material cost (RMC), labor wages (LW), labor force (LF), and R&D costs (RND). Multicollinearity assessment shows VIF values below the threshold, suggesting reliable estimates. Interaction terms and market conditions were integrated into the model, enhancing its predictive accuracy. Preliminary multiple regression analysis confirms the significant impact of the RMC, LW, LF, and R&D on the EOPC, while highlighting the importance of market conditions in moderating these effects. The model’s adjusted R2 value indicates a strong fit, showing that the independent variables account for a substantial proportion of the variance in the EOPC. Each variable’s importance is reflected in its coefficient, while p-values assess the statistical significance, highlighting which factors are crucial for enhancing export capabilities. Specifically, low p-values for cost components, labor force size, and wages confirm their significant influence, and varying market conditions further modulate these effects, demonstrating the accurate interplay between internal and external factors. Adjustments in cost components under varying market scenarios were analyzed, indicating optimal strategies for increasing the EOPC. Of the five scenarios proposed to distribute the cost either among some variables while keeping others constant or among all the factors, the best-case scenario adjusted all variables together, resulting in a 20% increment in exports. We conclude with some practical and policy implications for governments to support industries in accessing cheap resources through tax reductions on imported raw materials and efficient supply chains, while promoting innovation, technology adoption, and R&D investment at the firm level.
许多制造企业在建立出口能力和在国际市场销售产品方面面临着相当大的困难。这些企业经常要面对不可预测的成本变化、供应链上的物流问题以及不断上涨的劳动力成本,这些都可能威胁到制造企业的竞争优势。我们的研究旨在提供一种更全面的方法,评估成本要素对提高出口导向型生产能力(EOPC)的影响,而比较优势理论、赫克歇尔-欧林模型或基于资源的理论都没有提供全面的视角。在对生产中的成本构成进行全面分析的同时,我们认为调整资源、管理成本和提高生产效率可以显著提高制造企业的出口导向型生产能力。利用 2012-2016 年间从阿曼 200 家制造企业收集的原始数据,通过描述性统计分析和相关矩阵进行多元回归分析,结果表明 EOPC 与原材料成本 (RMC)、劳动力工资 (LW)、劳动力 (LF) 和研发成本 (RND) 等因素之间存在很强的正相关关系。多重共线性评估显示 VIF 值低于临界值,表明估计值可靠。交互项和市场条件被纳入模型,提高了模型的预测准确性。初步多元回归分析证实了 RMC、LW、LF 和 R&D 对 EOPC 的显著影响,同时强调了市场条件在调节这些影响方面的重要性。该模型的调整 R2 值显示出很强的拟合度,表明自变量在 EOPC 的变异中占了很大比例。每个变量的重要性都反映在其系数上,而 p 值则评估了统计意义,突出了哪些因素对提高出口能力至关重要。具体而言,成本构成、劳动力规模和工资的低 p 值证实了它们的重要影响,而不同的市场条件又进一步调节了这些影响,表明了内部和外部因素之间的精确相互作用。分析了不同市场情况下的成本构成调整,指出了提高 EOPC 的最佳策略。我们提出了五种方案,或在某些变量之间分配成本,而其他变量保持不变,或在所有因素之间分配成本,其中最佳方案是将所有变量一起调整,从而使出口增加 20%。最后,我们提出了一些实用的政策启示,即政府应通过对进口原材料和高效供应链减税,支持各行业获取廉价资源,同时在企业层面促进创新、技术采用和研发投资。
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引用次数: 0
Empirical Analysis of Demand for Sukuk in Uzbekistan 乌兹别克斯坦伊斯兰债券需求的经验分析
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.3390/economies12080220
Alam Asadov
Islamic finance (IF) holds significant potential for economic development and the enhancement of financial inclusion in Uzbekistan. Sukuk, as a key Islamic capital market instrument and Shari’ah-compliant investment alternative, plays an important role in this context. However, the demand for sukuk and its determinants are not well understood by policymakers and industry practitioners in Uzbekistan. This study aims to address this research gap by utilizing an ordinal logit model on primary data collected through a survey of 196 individuals from diverse demographic and professional backgrounds, with varying levels of IF and capital market knowledge and experience. The regression results indicate that factors such as prior investment experience, knowledge of sukuk, and a strong inclination toward Shari’ah-compliant investments positively influence an individual’s intent to buy sukuk. Conversely, we found that residents of Tashkent (the capital city) are less likely to invest in sukuk compared to residents of other regions in Uzbekistan or those residing abroad. Based on this study’s findings, several essential policy and practical recommendations are provided to relevant stakeholders.
伊斯兰金融(IF)对乌兹别克斯坦的经济发展和提高金融包容性具有巨大潜力。伊斯兰债券作为一种重要的伊斯兰资本市场工具和符合伊斯兰教法的投资选择,在这方面发挥着重要作用。然而,乌兹别克斯坦的政策制定者和行业从业者对伊斯兰债券的需求及其决定因素并不十分了解。本研究旨在通过对 196 名来自不同人口和专业背景、具有不同程度的 IF 和资本市场知识和经验的个人进行调查,利用序数对数模型收集原始数据,从而填补这一研究空白。回归结果表明,先前的投资经验、对伊斯兰债券的了解以及对符合伊斯兰教法的投资的强烈倾向等因素会对个人购买伊斯兰债券的意向产生积极影响。相反,我们发现,与乌兹别克斯坦其他地区的居民或居住在国外的居民相比,塔什干(首都)的居民不太可能投资伊斯兰债券。根据本研究的结果,我们向相关利益方提出了几项重要的政策和实用建议。
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引用次数: 0
The Economic Decision of International Migration: Two Empirical Evidences from the United States and Canada 国际移民的经济决策:来自美国和加拿大的两个经验证据
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.3390/economies12080214
Jiyoung Park, Seongwoo Lee, Jonghoon Park
This study investigated whether economic motivations are a key factor in international migration decisions. Applying the selectivity-corrected expected income for migrants and stayers, the difference in expected income for an individual in origin and destination countries was analyzed. This study used data from the U.S. and Canada to empirically test the role of income gaps in migration decisions. The main difficulty in analyzing the role of the gaps lies in collecting both income streams for the same individual, since once an individual migrates to a different country, their potential income in the origin country cannot be observed; and vice versa for stayers. Therefore, directly applying the average income of migrants (conditionally relying on their observed characteristics) to estimate the income of stayers if they had migrated results in a biased estimate of stayers’ income. Hence, there is a need to account for selectivity in the migration decision and calculate selectivity-corrected income. The key finding in this study is that the expected income gap is positively associated with, and statistically significant for, international migration decisions for the U.S. and Canada. One of the main reasons may be the easy transfer of labor skills between countries that have similar labor environments and cultural backgrounds.
本研究探讨了经济动机是否是国际移民决策的关键因素。通过对移民和滞留者的预期收入进行选择性校正,分析了个人在原籍国和目的地国的预期收入差异。本研究利用美国和加拿大的数据,对收入差距在移民决策中的作用进行了实证检验。分析差距作用的主要困难在于收集同一个人的两种收入流,因为一旦一个人移民到不同国家,就无法观察到他在原籍国的潜在收入;反之亦然。因此,直接应用移民的平均收入(有条件地依赖于其观察到的特征)来估算留在原籍国者的收入(如果他们已经移民)会导致对留在原籍国者收入的估算出现偏差。因此,有必要考虑移民决策中的选择性,并计算选择性校正收入。本研究的主要发现是,预期收入差距与美国和加拿大的国际移民决策呈正相关,且在统计上具有显著意义。其中一个主要原因可能是劳动技能在劳动环境和文化背景相似的国家之间容易转移。
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引用次数: 0
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Economies
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