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The role of the SCO countries in ensuring China’s energy security 上海合作组织成员国在保障中国能源安全方面的作用
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-4-653-663
T. Mamakhatov, J. M. Mallah
The growing dynamics of relationships amongst Central Asia, Russia and China, and other SCO member states in economic and energy corporations is analyzed. Since the formation of the SCO, there have been tremendous changes in the dispensation of both political and economic forces in the region. The actual terms of the cooperation and the functions of the numerous SCO member states have changed, thus increasing the significance of some member countries while relegating others to minor leading roles. The Central Asian region plays a leading role in the CSO organization itself as a geographical platform for its activities and as one of the worlds leading countries in the global context. First, this course applies to Russia and China. However, Chinas recent record-breaking economic growth has affected relations and cooperation with both the SCO countries and Russia over the past decades. The long history of interaction between Russia and countries of Central Asia and the current economic policy pursued by Сhina in the region has a complex structure of intertwining with each other, making the situation of Russian-Chinas relations paramount in the SCO. The booming economic growth of China leads to the transformation of the world economic space, where the other countries still occupy the leading positions. Foreign countries, fearing economic competition, announced a policy of containing China. The tension in the economic relations of the Central Asia countries and China is growing.
分析了中亚、俄罗斯和中国以及上海合作组织其他成员国在经济和能源领域日益密切的关系。上海合作组织成立以来,本地区政治经济力量对比发生了巨大变化。上海合作组织众多成员国的实际合作条件和职能发生了变化,一些成员国的重要性上升,另一些成员国的主导作用下降。中亚地区作为其活动的地理平台和在全球范围内的世界领先国家之一,在公民社会组织本身中发挥着主导作用。首先,这个课程适用于俄罗斯和中国。然而,中国近年来破纪录的经济增长影响了过去几十年来与上海合作组织国家和俄罗斯的关系与合作。俄罗斯与中亚国家交往的悠久历史,以及Сhina目前在该地区奉行的经济政策,构成了相互交织的复杂结构,使俄中关系在上合组织中处于最重要的地位。中国经济的蓬勃发展导致了世界经济空间的转变,其他国家仍然占据着主导地位。外国担心经济竞争,宣布了遏制中国的政策。中亚国家与中国的经济关系日趋紧张。
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引用次数: 0
To the anniversary of Professor, Doctor of Geography Irina Rodionova - a woman who works to make the world a better place 敬地理学教授、博士伊琳娜·罗季诺娃的周年纪念日,她致力于让世界变得更美好
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-4-806-813
O. Shuvalova, T. Kreydenko
Doctor of Geography, Professor Irina Alexandrovna Rodionova - recognized specialist in the field of industrial geography. For more than a quarter of a century she gave to work at the Lomonosov Moscow State University and about the same number - work at the Peoples Friendship University of Russia. Her life is full of events and meetings with interesting people. There were also difficulties. It was especially hard for scientific and pedagogical workers in the 1990s, when their work was poorly funded. Specialists did not remain in science, but Irina Alexandrova did not leave it. In the 1990-2000s, many students knew I.A. Rodionova from textbooks. Using them, they entered universities in geographical and economic specialties. 2021 was also a difficult year, when distance learning was introduced. Conferences were also held remotely. Irina Alexandrovna coped with these problems, successfully working both in the teaching and in the scientific field. She generously shares her knowledge and experience with colleagues and students and is the developer of a number of disciplines taught at universities. Under her leadership, 10 dissertations were successfully defended. I.A. Rodionova is the author of more than 400 publications, many of which she published in co-authorship with colleagues and students. She took part and created many textbooks for universities on the geography of industry, economic geography, and is one of the authors of the atlas for the school textbook on geography of grades 10-11. This article - a small fraction of gratitude from colleagues and students in honor of the anniversary of I.A. Rodionova.
地理博士,Irina Alexandrovna Rodionova教授是工业地理领域公认的专家。在超过四分之一个世纪的时间里,她在罗蒙诺索夫莫斯科国立大学(Lomonosov Moscow State University)和俄罗斯人民友谊大学(Peoples Friendship University)工作。她的生活充满了各种活动和与有趣的人的会面。也有困难。上世纪90年代,科学工作者和教育工作者的工作经费不足,这对他们来说尤其困难。专家们没有留在科学领域,但伊琳娜·亚历山德罗娃没有离开。在20世纪90年代至21世纪初,许多学生从教科书上认识了I.A. Rodionova。他们利用这些证书进入大学学习地理和经济专业。2021年也是艰难的一年,远程教育被引入。会议也远程举行。伊琳娜·亚历山德罗夫娜解决了这些问题,在教学和科学领域都取得了成功。她慷慨地与同事和学生分享她的知识和经验,并在大学教授了许多学科。在她的带领下,有10篇论文成功答辩。I.A. Rodionova发表了400多篇论文,其中许多是与同事和学生合作发表的。参与编写了多本高校工业地理、经济地理教材,是10-11年级学校地理教材地图集的作者之一。这篇文章是同事和学生们为纪念I.A. Rodionova周年而表达的一小部分感激之情。
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引用次数: 0
E-commerce in China amid COVID-19 pandemic restrictions 新冠疫情限制下的中国电子商务
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-4-699-715
S. Revinova, E. A. Ivashchenko
The COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on all areas of life, including e-commerce. Most experts note a positive effect on e-commerce. E-commerce volume has grown all over the world. At the same time, structural changes took place; consumers changed their behavior and priorities. The purpose of the research is to study the role of e-commerce in China during the period of pandemic restrictions and analyze the statistical and structural changes in e-commerce during the epidemic. Quantitative and qualitative analysis is provided and the prospects for e-commerce in China are identified. When conducting the study, the methods of statistical and comparative analysis were used. The data sources were materials from the National Bureau of Statistics of China and other open sources. To determine the prospects for e-commerce, a model with an additive component was build. The data was deseasonalized, several trend variants were calculated, and the most suitable trend was selected, best approximating the sales data. The analysis showed that China has seen growth in e-commerce during the pandemic, but not as strong as expected. It is noted that before the pandemic, e-commerce grew at a reasonably rapid pace, and the pandemic only accelerated it a little. During the pandemic, those companies that had not previously used the Internet were forced to switch to new sales forms. The epidemic also prompted people to try many new products and services and then develop new consumer habits, which in the long term will continue the growth of e-commerce.
新冠肺炎疫情对包括电子商务在内的所有生活领域都产生了重大影响。大多数专家注意到这对电子商务产生了积极影响。全世界的电子商务数量都在增长。与此同时,结构发生了变化;消费者改变了他们的行为和优先级。本研究的目的是研究疫情限制期间电子商务在中国的作用,并分析疫情期间电子商务的统计和结构变化。对电子商务在中国的发展前景进行了定量和定性分析。在进行研究时,采用了统计和比较分析的方法。数据来源是来自中国国家统计局和其他公开来源的材料。为了确定电子商务的前景,建立了一个带有添加剂成分的模型。对数据进行了去分析,计算了几个趋势变量,并选择了最合适的趋势,最接近销售数据。分析显示,在疫情期间,中国的电子商务有所增长,但没有预期的那么强劲。值得注意的是,在疫情之前,电子商务以相当快的速度增长,而疫情只是稍微加速了它。在疫情期间,那些以前没有使用过互联网的公司被迫转向新的销售形式。疫情还促使人们尝试许多新产品和服务,然后养成新的消费习惯,从长远来看,这将继续推动电子商务的发展。
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引用次数: 1
INNOVATION AND PRODUCTIVITY: THE CASE OF NORDIC COUNTRIES 创新与生产力:北欧国家的案例
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-1-88-98
S. Balashova, Anastasia A. Abramova
Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden form a group of the Nordic countries, considered welfare states and the global leaders in innovative development. The link between the growth rate of total factor productivity and innovative development, controlling such factors as trade openness and prices volatility in commodity markets, is examined. The econometric analysis results show that the relationship between the level of innovative development and the rate of productivity growth is more robust for the Nordic countries than for the EU countries on average. Features of the national innovation systems and financing of R&D in the Nordic countries and factors contributing to the impact of innovation activity on productivity are highlighted.
丹麦、芬兰、冰岛、挪威和瑞典组成了北欧国家集团,被认为是福利国家和全球创新发展的领导者。研究了全要素生产率增长率与创新发展之间的联系,控制了贸易开放和商品市场价格波动等因素。计量经济学分析结果表明,北欧国家的创新发展水平与生产率增长率之间的关系比欧盟国家的平均水平更为强劲。强调了北欧国家国家创新体系和研发融资的特点以及促成创新活动对生产率影响的因素。
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引用次数: 2
Instruments for implementing China's economic interests in the developing countries on the example of Sub-Saharan Africa 以撒哈拉以南非洲为例,中国在发展中国家实施经济利益的工具
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-2-426-438
Danila Yu. Biryukov, Бирюков Данила Юрьевич, Nataliya V. Dyuzheva, Дюжева Наталия Валерьевна
The article examines China’s foreign economic policy in the developing countries of Sub-Saharan Africa. The purpose of the study is to determine what financial and nonfinancial instruments the PRC uses to implement its economic interests in the region. The relevance of the study is due to the increased role of China in the economies of the region, its active investment and lending policy, which in theory can lead to the emergence of “debt traps”, and the spread of “soft power”. To determine the scale of interaction, a general statistical analysis of trade and economic cooperation between the PRC and the countries of the region is provided, and its structure is determined. The institutional framework is studied, for example, the China - Africa Cooperation Forum, and the main instruments which are used to implement the economic interests of the PRC are given, such as the Belt and Road Initiative and investments within its framework, credit policy, assistance in the creation of SEZ, individual elements of “soft power”. The systematization of such instruments makes it possible to assess China’s place in the region in more detail and identify potential risks for developing countries. The implications of the utilization of such instruments in the context of the economic development and economic security of African countries are determined based on the results of the study.
本文考察了中国对撒哈拉以南非洲发展中国家的对外经济政策。本研究的目的是确定中国使用哪些金融和非金融工具来实现其在该地区的经济利益。这项研究的相关性是由于中国在该地区经济中的作用日益增强,其积极的投资和贷款政策,理论上可能导致“债务陷阱”的出现,以及“软实力”的传播。为了确定互动的规模,本文对中国与该地区国家之间的贸易和经济合作进行了一般统计分析,并确定了其结构。研究了制度框架,例如中非合作论坛,并给出了用于实现中国经济利益的主要工具,例如“一带一路”倡议及其框架内的投资,信贷政策,协助创建经济特区,“软实力”的各个要素。这些工具的系统化使我们能够更详细地评估中国在该地区的地位,并确定发展中国家面临的潜在风险。在非洲国家的经济发展和经济安全方面利用这些文书所涉问题是根据这项研究的结果确定的。
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引用次数: 1
Food security in the GCC: specific characteristics and solutions 海湾合作委员会的粮食安全:具体特点和解决办法
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-1-126-136
Zarema R. Kodzhakova, Коджакова Зарема Рамазановна
Food security is an issue of critical importance for GCC countries. The share of domestic agricultural production remains low, because water supplies and arable land are an extremely scarce resource in the region. These countries currently import most of what they consume and will continue to do so, since national food production is not a viable option. The study reveals the specific characteristics of the food problem of GCC countries and the ways to solve it, which can be used to ensure more optimal food imports. Special attention is paid to investment projects in the food sector of the GCC countries.
粮食安全对海湾合作委员会国家来说是一个至关重要的问题。国内农业生产的份额仍然很低,因为水供应和可耕地在该区域是极为稀缺的资源。这些国家目前消费的大部分粮食都是进口的,并将继续这样做,因为国家粮食生产不是一个可行的选择。研究揭示了海湾合作委员会国家粮食问题的具体特点和解决方法,可用于确保更优的粮食进口。特别注意海湾合作委员会国家粮食部门的投资项目。
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引用次数: 0
Foreign trade in services of Georgia: the role of tourism export 格鲁吉亚对外服务贸易:旅游出口的作用
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-4-716-738
Giorgi Shiolashvili, Nataliya V. Dyuzheva
The dynamics, structure and characteristics of Georgias foreign trade in services over the past quarter of a century are examined. The features of the Georgias tourism services export, its quantitative and qualitative indicators, as well as the importance of the tourism industry and the export of tourism services for the countrys economy are analyzed. It is concluded that, in fact, only the export of tourism services smooths out the deficit of foreign trade balance of Georgia, and gives to the country the currency earnings from its foreign trade. In the export of tourism services, Georgia is almost completely dependent on the countries of the post-Soviet area, in particular, on the Russian Federation. The current medium-term tourism strategy of Georgia is considered, and the additional recommendations are proposed. In particular, for the development of the countrys tourism industry and for the increasing the export of tourism services, it is recommended to create the stylistic image and event specialization of the regions, and to develop the infrastructure for cheap automobile tourism.
考察了过去25年格鲁吉亚对外服务贸易的动态、结构和特点。分析了格鲁吉亚旅游服务出口的特点、定量和定性指标,以及旅游业和旅游服务出口对该国经济的重要性。结论是,事实上,只有旅游服务的出口才能消除格鲁吉亚的外贸逆差,并使该国从外贸中获得货币收益。在旅游服务出口方面,格鲁吉亚几乎完全依赖后苏联地区的国家,特别是俄罗斯联邦。审议了格鲁吉亚目前的中期旅游战略,并提出了补充建议。特别是,为了发展该国的旅游业和增加旅游服务出口,建议创建该地区的风格形象和活动专业化,并开发廉价汽车旅游的基础设施。
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引用次数: 0
What’s happening to the locomotive of global economy, or The myths about the recovery of China 全球经济的火车头发生了什么,或者中国复苏的神话
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-3-575-586
M. Reshetnikova, Irina A. Pugacheva
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused irreparable damage to all economies. Coping with the consequences by the leading players in the global economy is only expected. However, the worlds leading organizations have been trumpeting about overcoming the crisis in China. The aim of the research is to analyze the current state of the Chinese economy and answer the question whether it has overcome all the crisis phenomena. As part of the study, the authors analyzed indicators such as GDP, debt level, level of domestic demand, activity in the financial market and the MA market, as well as technological and social policies of China and the structure of trade. For the analysis of quantitative indicators, a combination of comparison and classification methods, media scanning, and crowdsourcing was used. The information base was grounded on annual reference books published by official institutions in Сhina, World Bank, International Monetary Fund, statistical data from international publications devoted to Chinese economy. The analysis showed the presence of trigger situations in the stock market, in the market for innovative investments and the banking sector. The state of the credit system is also a matter of concern. The authors have proven that enthusiastic statements about the rapid recovery of the Chinese economy are more an encouraging myth than a fait accompli. Today, China is only at the beginning of its recovery from the crisis caused by the pandemic. Will it be able to become the locomotive of global economic growth again, as in 2008? The answer to this question remains open.
2019冠状病毒病大流行给所有经济体造成了无法弥补的损害。全球经济的主要参与者应对其后果是唯一的预期。然而,世界领先的组织一直在鼓吹克服中国的危机。研究的目的是分析中国经济的现状,并回答是否已经克服了所有危机现象的问题。作为研究的一部分,作者分析了GDP、债务水平、国内需求水平、金融市场和MA市场的活动、中国的技术和社会政策以及贸易结构等指标。定量指标分析采用对比与分类相结合、媒体扫描、众包相结合的方法。信息库的基础是官方机构在Сhina、世界银行(World Bank)、国际货币基金组织(imf)等网站出版的年度参考书,以及专门研究中国经济的国际出版物的统计数据。分析显示,股市、创新投资市场和银行业都存在触发情况。信用体系的状况也是一个值得关注的问题。作者已经证明,有关中国经济快速复苏的热情言论,与其说是既成事实,不如说是令人鼓舞的神话。今天,中国刚刚从疫情危机中恢复过来。中国能否像2008年那样,再次成为全球经济增长的火车头?这个问题的答案仍然没有定论。
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引用次数: 0
Features of the American foreign direct investment: the role of the American holdings 美国对外直接投资的特点:美国资产的作用
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-2-238-252
Y. Konovalova, Коновалова Юлия Александровна, Verity-Alexia Liongo Monkisheme, Лионго Монкишеме Верити-Алексиа, S. A. Ushanov, Ушанов Степан Андреевич
Article is dedicated to the determination of key features of the United States participation in the international capital movement on the example of FDI’ outflows and inflows, and confirmation of its heterogeneous nature. Tax reform that has been implemented in the end of 2017 led to the result when USA was deleted of the list of TOP-20 world investors of 2018 (by UNCTAD). The scientific opinion and fears were connected with the forecasts that the tax reform could change the movement of FDI flows back to the USA from foreign countries, especially, and the countries with the low taxes and the most favorable investment regimes. At the same time, it needs to underline that the analysis of U.S. FDI inflows and outflows showed that the negative indicator of U.S. FDI outflow (export) in 2018-2019 was connected with the repatriation of U.S. holding companies’ profits, that were doing business in countries with the most favorable tax and investment regimes. The authors tried to investigate the nature of the American holdings role and the integration of U.S. in to the global system of FDI and capital movement.
本文以外国直接投资的流出和流入为例,确定了美国参与国际资本流动的主要特征,并确认了其异质性。2017年底实施的税收改革导致美国被联合国贸易和发展会议(UNCTAD)从2018年世界前20大投资者名单中删除。科学观点和恐惧与预测有关,即税收改革可能改变外国,特别是低税收和最有利投资制度的国家的外国直接投资流回美国的运动。与此同时,需要强调的是,对美国FDI流入和流出的分析表明,2018-2019年美国FDI流出(出口)的负面指标与美国控股公司的利润汇回有关,这些公司在税收和投资制度最优惠的国家开展业务。本文试图探讨美国控股角色的性质以及美国融入全球FDI和资本流动体系的情况。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of changes in economic pressures on the activities of foreign oil and gas companies in Venezuela 经济压力变化对外国石油和天然气公司在委内瑞拉活动的影响
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-2-312-323
Elmira A. Chadaeva, Чадаева Эльмира Айдаровна, Elvis Ojeda Kalluni, Охеда Кальюни Элвис
The article discusses several new laws in the oil and gas sector of Venezuela, which appeared at the beginning of the 21st century. It also presents the tax regimes in this area of the country and the types of tax and economic burdens that apply to these regimes; highlights the main problematic aspects of changes in tax legislation and the consequences on the activities of foreign companies and the development of the oil and gas sector of the country as a result of such changes. It is concluded that the increase in state revenues not solve the problem of attracting investments in the oil and gas sector of the country, and only scare off a large company in the future (Exxon Mobil and ConocoPhillips have left the Venezuelan market), resulting in a fall in production at the country, its government revenues, and then slowing down economic growth in the country. As an alternative approach to improving state regulation and the conduct of the oil business in the country, the options for improving this situation are presented: to increase the share of foreign companies in strategic partnerships; review the tax system for oil companies; allow some programs to be implemented directly by foreign companies; and propose new distribution and profitability schemes that will adapt to the current international hydrocarbon market.
本文讨论了21世纪初出现的委内瑞拉石油和天然气行业的几项新法律。它还介绍了该国这一领域的税收制度以及适用于这些制度的税收和经济负担类型;强调了税收立法变化的主要问题,以及这些变化对外国公司活动和该国石油和天然气行业发展的影响。结论是,国家收入的增加并不能解决吸引该国石油和天然气行业投资的问题,只会吓跑未来的一家大公司(埃克森美孚和康菲石油已经离开委内瑞拉市场),导致该国产量下降,政府收入下降,进而减缓该国的经济增长。作为改善国家监管和在该国开展石油业务的另一种方法,提出了改善这种情况的选择:增加外国公司在战略伙伴关系中的份额;审查石油公司的税收制度;允许一些项目由外国公司直接实施;并提出新的分销和盈利方案,以适应当前的国际碳氢化合物市场。
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引用次数: 0
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RUDN Journal of Economics
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