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The role of the SCO countries in ensuring China’s energy security 上海合作组织成员国在保障中国能源安全方面的作用
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-4-653-663
T. Mamakhatov, J. M. Mallah
The growing dynamics of relationships amongst Central Asia, Russia and China, and other SCO member states in economic and energy corporations is analyzed. Since the formation of the SCO, there have been tremendous changes in the dispensation of both political and economic forces in the region. The actual terms of the cooperation and the functions of the numerous SCO member states have changed, thus increasing the significance of some member countries while relegating others to minor leading roles. The Central Asian region plays a leading role in the CSO organization itself as a geographical platform for its activities and as one of the worlds leading countries in the global context. First, this course applies to Russia and China. However, Chinas recent record-breaking economic growth has affected relations and cooperation with both the SCO countries and Russia over the past decades. The long history of interaction between Russia and countries of Central Asia and the current economic policy pursued by Сhina in the region has a complex structure of intertwining with each other, making the situation of Russian-Chinas relations paramount in the SCO. The booming economic growth of China leads to the transformation of the world economic space, where the other countries still occupy the leading positions. Foreign countries, fearing economic competition, announced a policy of containing China. The tension in the economic relations of the Central Asia countries and China is growing.
分析了中亚、俄罗斯和中国以及上海合作组织其他成员国在经济和能源领域日益密切的关系。上海合作组织成立以来,本地区政治经济力量对比发生了巨大变化。上海合作组织众多成员国的实际合作条件和职能发生了变化,一些成员国的重要性上升,另一些成员国的主导作用下降。中亚地区作为其活动的地理平台和在全球范围内的世界领先国家之一,在公民社会组织本身中发挥着主导作用。首先,这个课程适用于俄罗斯和中国。然而,中国近年来破纪录的经济增长影响了过去几十年来与上海合作组织国家和俄罗斯的关系与合作。俄罗斯与中亚国家交往的悠久历史,以及Сhina目前在该地区奉行的经济政策,构成了相互交织的复杂结构,使俄中关系在上合组织中处于最重要的地位。中国经济的蓬勃发展导致了世界经济空间的转变,其他国家仍然占据着主导地位。外国担心经济竞争,宣布了遏制中国的政策。中亚国家与中国的经济关系日趋紧张。
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引用次数: 0
To the anniversary of Professor, Doctor of Geography Irina Rodionova - a woman who works to make the world a better place 敬地理学教授、博士伊琳娜·罗季诺娃的周年纪念日,她致力于让世界变得更美好
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-4-806-813
O. Shuvalova, T. Kreydenko
Doctor of Geography, Professor Irina Alexandrovna Rodionova - recognized specialist in the field of industrial geography. For more than a quarter of a century she gave to work at the Lomonosov Moscow State University and about the same number - work at the Peoples Friendship University of Russia. Her life is full of events and meetings with interesting people. There were also difficulties. It was especially hard for scientific and pedagogical workers in the 1990s, when their work was poorly funded. Specialists did not remain in science, but Irina Alexandrova did not leave it. In the 1990-2000s, many students knew I.A. Rodionova from textbooks. Using them, they entered universities in geographical and economic specialties. 2021 was also a difficult year, when distance learning was introduced. Conferences were also held remotely. Irina Alexandrovna coped with these problems, successfully working both in the teaching and in the scientific field. She generously shares her knowledge and experience with colleagues and students and is the developer of a number of disciplines taught at universities. Under her leadership, 10 dissertations were successfully defended. I.A. Rodionova is the author of more than 400 publications, many of which she published in co-authorship with colleagues and students. She took part and created many textbooks for universities on the geography of industry, economic geography, and is one of the authors of the atlas for the school textbook on geography of grades 10-11. This article - a small fraction of gratitude from colleagues and students in honor of the anniversary of I.A. Rodionova.
地理博士,Irina Alexandrovna Rodionova教授是工业地理领域公认的专家。在超过四分之一个世纪的时间里,她在罗蒙诺索夫莫斯科国立大学(Lomonosov Moscow State University)和俄罗斯人民友谊大学(Peoples Friendship University)工作。她的生活充满了各种活动和与有趣的人的会面。也有困难。上世纪90年代,科学工作者和教育工作者的工作经费不足,这对他们来说尤其困难。专家们没有留在科学领域,但伊琳娜·亚历山德罗娃没有离开。在20世纪90年代至21世纪初,许多学生从教科书上认识了I.A. Rodionova。他们利用这些证书进入大学学习地理和经济专业。2021年也是艰难的一年,远程教育被引入。会议也远程举行。伊琳娜·亚历山德罗夫娜解决了这些问题,在教学和科学领域都取得了成功。她慷慨地与同事和学生分享她的知识和经验,并在大学教授了许多学科。在她的带领下,有10篇论文成功答辩。I.A. Rodionova发表了400多篇论文,其中许多是与同事和学生合作发表的。参与编写了多本高校工业地理、经济地理教材,是10-11年级学校地理教材地图集的作者之一。这篇文章是同事和学生们为纪念I.A. Rodionova周年而表达的一小部分感激之情。
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引用次数: 0
E-commerce in China amid COVID-19 pandemic restrictions 新冠疫情限制下的中国电子商务
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-4-699-715
S. Revinova, E. A. Ivashchenko
The COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on all areas of life, including e-commerce. Most experts note a positive effect on e-commerce. E-commerce volume has grown all over the world. At the same time, structural changes took place; consumers changed their behavior and priorities. The purpose of the research is to study the role of e-commerce in China during the period of pandemic restrictions and analyze the statistical and structural changes in e-commerce during the epidemic. Quantitative and qualitative analysis is provided and the prospects for e-commerce in China are identified. When conducting the study, the methods of statistical and comparative analysis were used. The data sources were materials from the National Bureau of Statistics of China and other open sources. To determine the prospects for e-commerce, a model with an additive component was build. The data was deseasonalized, several trend variants were calculated, and the most suitable trend was selected, best approximating the sales data. The analysis showed that China has seen growth in e-commerce during the pandemic, but not as strong as expected. It is noted that before the pandemic, e-commerce grew at a reasonably rapid pace, and the pandemic only accelerated it a little. During the pandemic, those companies that had not previously used the Internet were forced to switch to new sales forms. The epidemic also prompted people to try many new products and services and then develop new consumer habits, which in the long term will continue the growth of e-commerce.
新冠肺炎疫情对包括电子商务在内的所有生活领域都产生了重大影响。大多数专家注意到这对电子商务产生了积极影响。全世界的电子商务数量都在增长。与此同时,结构发生了变化;消费者改变了他们的行为和优先级。本研究的目的是研究疫情限制期间电子商务在中国的作用,并分析疫情期间电子商务的统计和结构变化。对电子商务在中国的发展前景进行了定量和定性分析。在进行研究时,采用了统计和比较分析的方法。数据来源是来自中国国家统计局和其他公开来源的材料。为了确定电子商务的前景,建立了一个带有添加剂成分的模型。对数据进行了去分析,计算了几个趋势变量,并选择了最合适的趋势,最接近销售数据。分析显示,在疫情期间,中国的电子商务有所增长,但没有预期的那么强劲。值得注意的是,在疫情之前,电子商务以相当快的速度增长,而疫情只是稍微加速了它。在疫情期间,那些以前没有使用过互联网的公司被迫转向新的销售形式。疫情还促使人们尝试许多新产品和服务,然后养成新的消费习惯,从长远来看,这将继续推动电子商务的发展。
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引用次数: 1
INNOVATION AND PRODUCTIVITY: THE CASE OF NORDIC COUNTRIES 创新与生产力:北欧国家的案例
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-1-88-98
S. Balashova, Anastasia A. Abramova
Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden form a group of the Nordic countries, considered welfare states and the global leaders in innovative development. The link between the growth rate of total factor productivity and innovative development, controlling such factors as trade openness and prices volatility in commodity markets, is examined. The econometric analysis results show that the relationship between the level of innovative development and the rate of productivity growth is more robust for the Nordic countries than for the EU countries on average. Features of the national innovation systems and financing of R&D in the Nordic countries and factors contributing to the impact of innovation activity on productivity are highlighted.
丹麦、芬兰、冰岛、挪威和瑞典组成了北欧国家集团,被认为是福利国家和全球创新发展的领导者。研究了全要素生产率增长率与创新发展之间的联系,控制了贸易开放和商品市场价格波动等因素。计量经济学分析结果表明,北欧国家的创新发展水平与生产率增长率之间的关系比欧盟国家的平均水平更为强劲。强调了北欧国家国家创新体系和研发融资的特点以及促成创新活动对生产率影响的因素。
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引用次数: 2
Instruments for implementing China's economic interests in the developing countries on the example of Sub-Saharan Africa 以撒哈拉以南非洲为例,中国在发展中国家实施经济利益的工具
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-2-426-438
Danila Yu. Biryukov, Бирюков Данила Юрьевич, Nataliya V. Dyuzheva, Дюжева Наталия Валерьевна
The article examines China’s foreign economic policy in the developing countries of Sub-Saharan Africa. The purpose of the study is to determine what financial and nonfinancial instruments the PRC uses to implement its economic interests in the region. The relevance of the study is due to the increased role of China in the economies of the region, its active investment and lending policy, which in theory can lead to the emergence of “debt traps”, and the spread of “soft power”. To determine the scale of interaction, a general statistical analysis of trade and economic cooperation between the PRC and the countries of the region is provided, and its structure is determined. The institutional framework is studied, for example, the China - Africa Cooperation Forum, and the main instruments which are used to implement the economic interests of the PRC are given, such as the Belt and Road Initiative and investments within its framework, credit policy, assistance in the creation of SEZ, individual elements of “soft power”. The systematization of such instruments makes it possible to assess China’s place in the region in more detail and identify potential risks for developing countries. The implications of the utilization of such instruments in the context of the economic development and economic security of African countries are determined based on the results of the study.
本文考察了中国对撒哈拉以南非洲发展中国家的对外经济政策。本研究的目的是确定中国使用哪些金融和非金融工具来实现其在该地区的经济利益。这项研究的相关性是由于中国在该地区经济中的作用日益增强,其积极的投资和贷款政策,理论上可能导致“债务陷阱”的出现,以及“软实力”的传播。为了确定互动的规模,本文对中国与该地区国家之间的贸易和经济合作进行了一般统计分析,并确定了其结构。研究了制度框架,例如中非合作论坛,并给出了用于实现中国经济利益的主要工具,例如“一带一路”倡议及其框架内的投资,信贷政策,协助创建经济特区,“软实力”的各个要素。这些工具的系统化使我们能够更详细地评估中国在该地区的地位,并确定发展中国家面临的潜在风险。在非洲国家的经济发展和经济安全方面利用这些文书所涉问题是根据这项研究的结果确定的。
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引用次数: 1
Food security in the GCC: specific characteristics and solutions 海湾合作委员会的粮食安全:具体特点和解决办法
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-1-126-136
Zarema R. Kodzhakova, Коджакова Зарема Рамазановна
Food security is an issue of critical importance for GCC countries. The share of domestic agricultural production remains low, because water supplies and arable land are an extremely scarce resource in the region. These countries currently import most of what they consume and will continue to do so, since national food production is not a viable option. The study reveals the specific characteristics of the food problem of GCC countries and the ways to solve it, which can be used to ensure more optimal food imports. Special attention is paid to investment projects in the food sector of the GCC countries.
粮食安全对海湾合作委员会国家来说是一个至关重要的问题。国内农业生产的份额仍然很低,因为水供应和可耕地在该区域是极为稀缺的资源。这些国家目前消费的大部分粮食都是进口的,并将继续这样做,因为国家粮食生产不是一个可行的选择。研究揭示了海湾合作委员会国家粮食问题的具体特点和解决方法,可用于确保更优的粮食进口。特别注意海湾合作委员会国家粮食部门的投资项目。
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引用次数: 0
What’s happening to the locomotive of global economy, or The myths about the recovery of China 全球经济的火车头发生了什么,或者中国复苏的神话
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-3-575-586
M. Reshetnikova, Irina A. Pugacheva
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused irreparable damage to all economies. Coping with the consequences by the leading players in the global economy is only expected. However, the worlds leading organizations have been trumpeting about overcoming the crisis in China. The aim of the research is to analyze the current state of the Chinese economy and answer the question whether it has overcome all the crisis phenomena. As part of the study, the authors analyzed indicators such as GDP, debt level, level of domestic demand, activity in the financial market and the MA market, as well as technological and social policies of China and the structure of trade. For the analysis of quantitative indicators, a combination of comparison and classification methods, media scanning, and crowdsourcing was used. The information base was grounded on annual reference books published by official institutions in Сhina, World Bank, International Monetary Fund, statistical data from international publications devoted to Chinese economy. The analysis showed the presence of trigger situations in the stock market, in the market for innovative investments and the banking sector. The state of the credit system is also a matter of concern. The authors have proven that enthusiastic statements about the rapid recovery of the Chinese economy are more an encouraging myth than a fait accompli. Today, China is only at the beginning of its recovery from the crisis caused by the pandemic. Will it be able to become the locomotive of global economic growth again, as in 2008? The answer to this question remains open.
2019冠状病毒病大流行给所有经济体造成了无法弥补的损害。全球经济的主要参与者应对其后果是唯一的预期。然而,世界领先的组织一直在鼓吹克服中国的危机。研究的目的是分析中国经济的现状,并回答是否已经克服了所有危机现象的问题。作为研究的一部分,作者分析了GDP、债务水平、国内需求水平、金融市场和MA市场的活动、中国的技术和社会政策以及贸易结构等指标。定量指标分析采用对比与分类相结合、媒体扫描、众包相结合的方法。信息库的基础是官方机构在Сhina、世界银行(World Bank)、国际货币基金组织(imf)等网站出版的年度参考书,以及专门研究中国经济的国际出版物的统计数据。分析显示,股市、创新投资市场和银行业都存在触发情况。信用体系的状况也是一个值得关注的问题。作者已经证明,有关中国经济快速复苏的热情言论,与其说是既成事实,不如说是令人鼓舞的神话。今天,中国刚刚从疫情危机中恢复过来。中国能否像2008年那样,再次成为全球经济增长的火车头?这个问题的答案仍然没有定论。
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引用次数: 0
Foreign trade in services of Georgia: the role of tourism export 格鲁吉亚对外服务贸易:旅游出口的作用
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-4-716-738
Giorgi Shiolashvili, Nataliya V. Dyuzheva
The dynamics, structure and characteristics of Georgias foreign trade in services over the past quarter of a century are examined. The features of the Georgias tourism services export, its quantitative and qualitative indicators, as well as the importance of the tourism industry and the export of tourism services for the countrys economy are analyzed. It is concluded that, in fact, only the export of tourism services smooths out the deficit of foreign trade balance of Georgia, and gives to the country the currency earnings from its foreign trade. In the export of tourism services, Georgia is almost completely dependent on the countries of the post-Soviet area, in particular, on the Russian Federation. The current medium-term tourism strategy of Georgia is considered, and the additional recommendations are proposed. In particular, for the development of the countrys tourism industry and for the increasing the export of tourism services, it is recommended to create the stylistic image and event specialization of the regions, and to develop the infrastructure for cheap automobile tourism.
考察了过去25年格鲁吉亚对外服务贸易的动态、结构和特点。分析了格鲁吉亚旅游服务出口的特点、定量和定性指标,以及旅游业和旅游服务出口对该国经济的重要性。结论是,事实上,只有旅游服务的出口才能消除格鲁吉亚的外贸逆差,并使该国从外贸中获得货币收益。在旅游服务出口方面,格鲁吉亚几乎完全依赖后苏联地区的国家,特别是俄罗斯联邦。审议了格鲁吉亚目前的中期旅游战略,并提出了补充建议。特别是,为了发展该国的旅游业和增加旅游服务出口,建议创建该地区的风格形象和活动专业化,并开发廉价汽车旅游的基础设施。
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引用次数: 0
Gas industry - a factor of international competitiveness 天然气工业——国际竞争力的一个因素
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-1-164-172
S. Lavrov, Alexander G. Simonov
This is the first article of a series, devoted to a comprehensive problem of economic and geopolitical rivalry of the leading global powers in energy sector. It is dedicated to a number of topical issues of world economy and Russian economic environment. A systematic analysis of long-term world energy economy development trends is performed. For this purpose, a cause-and-effect relationship between international supply chains and energy procurement, on one hand, and revolutionary changes of international economic relations, caused by USA - China and Russia - USA, EU sanctions exchange, on the other, is derived. It is concluded that a developed gas industry is to play a decisive role in insuring global energy leadership of the major global powers on a mid- and long-term basis. A scenario analysis of further European gas market developments is provided. The external effects of developing gas industry are contemplated for Russian economic environment. In this framework most efficient options of action by Russian state are observed.
这是一个系列文章的第一篇,专门讨论全球主要大国在能源领域的经济和地缘政治竞争的综合问题。它致力于世界经济和俄罗斯经济环境的一些热门问题。对世界能源经济的长期发展趋势进行了系统的分析。为此,推导出国际供应链和能源采购与中美、俄美、欧制裁交换引发的国际经济关系的革命性变化之间的因果关系。从中长期来看,发达的天然气工业将对确保世界主要大国的全球能源领导地位起决定性作用。对欧洲天然气市场的进一步发展进行了情景分析。分析了天然气工业发展对俄罗斯经济环境的外部影响。在这一框架下,俄罗斯政府可以采取最有效的行动。
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引用次数: 1
China’s FDI under The Belt and Road Initiative in the EU “一带一路”倡议倡议下中国在欧盟的对外直接投资
Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-4-785-795
D. S. Sokolan
The increasing role of China in the world economy every year turns attention to the foreign policy of the Chinese government. Chinas direct investments abroad are of interest today, especially given the fact that China has announced strategies and initiatives such as: Go Out, The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), Made in China 2025 (MIC25). Moreover, the EU countries play a significant role in the regional diversification of Chinese investments abroad. Chinese investors have long stopped investing in all industries and countries, and have focused on most promising industries, mainly in developed countries. Today, one of the most ambitious projects in China is The Belt and Road Initiative, where the EU countries play a key role. In this regard, it becomes important to analyze Chinese investments in the New Silk Road projects in the EU countries. The purpose of the research is to identify the main industries and countries of greatest interest to China based on the analysis of the ten largest transactions of China within the framework of the Belt and Road Initiative in the EU countries.
中国在世界经济中的作用每年都在增加,这使人们关注中国政府的外交政策。如今,中国在海外的直接投资令人感兴趣,尤其是考虑到中国已经宣布了一些战略和举措,如:走出去、“一带一路”倡议、中国制造2025(MIC25)。此外,欧盟国家在中国海外投资的区域多元化方面发挥着重要作用。中国投资者早已不再投资于所有行业和国家,而是专注于最有前景的行业,主要是发达国家。如今,中国最雄心勃勃的项目之一是“一带一路”倡议倡议,欧盟国家在其中发挥着关键作用。在这方面,分析中国在欧盟国家新丝绸之路项目中的投资变得很重要。研究的目的是通过对中国在“一带一路”倡议框架下在欧盟国家的十大交易的分析,确定中国最感兴趣的主要产业和国家。
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引用次数: 1
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RUDN Journal of Economics
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