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Stability of the global financial system as a factor in the post-crisis recovery of the world economy 全球金融体系的稳定是危机后世界经济复苏的一个因素
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2023-31-2-282-298
Evgeny N. Smirnov
The purpose of the study was to assess the adaptability of the global financial system to the crisis phenomena observed in recent years in the world economy. In particular, the key financial risks of the development of the global economy and the opportunities for their neutralization were identified, the role and possibilities of monetary policy in overcoming the current unprecedented inflation were shown, and the possibilities of transition to sustainable growth based on curbing inflation on short-, mediumand long-term trends were identified. development of the world economy. A special role in our study was played by the substantiation and development of mechanisms for the rational management of public debt, which plays a fundamental role for a fair recovery of the world economy.
这项研究的目的是评估全球金融体系对近年来世界经济中出现的危机现象的适应性。特别是,确定了全球经济发展的主要金融风险及其消除风险的机会,展示了货币政策在克服当前前所未有的通货膨胀方面的作用和可能性,并确定了在短期、中期和长期趋势上遏制通货膨胀的基础上向可持续增长过渡的可能性。世界经济发展。合理管理公共债务的机制的确立和发展在我们的研究中发挥了特殊作用,这对世界经济的公平复苏起着根本作用。
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引用次数: 0
«New normal» and the Сhinese model of «dual circulation»: To the question of the «present stage» of the global economy’ development “新常态”与Сhinese“双循环”模式——论全球经济发展的“现阶段”问题
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2023-31-1-7-29
Y. Konovalova
The reserch explores multiple approaches to the term “new normality”, which appeared in the scientific economic community after the 2008 crisis, and became relevant again with the proclamation of a “new economic era” in China, the “entry” of the world community into the era of the Anthropocene, and the collision of the world with a problem of global significance - the COVID-19 virus. The relevance of the topic is also due to modern conditions: the turbulence of the world economy, which it has entered not only since the beginning of the pandemic, but also as a result of those “tectonic” shifts in the system of international economic relations that occurred after Russia launched a special military operation. The need to supplement and expand the term “new normality” comes from the questions: “If the term “new normality” or “norm” arises, then what is the “old norm”? In relation to what phenomena or processes is this term used and what is the set of definitions and approaches to it?”. The purpose of this article is to identify the main features of the “new normality” in the context of the growth and development phase that the Chinese economy entered in 2014, in particular. The “new normality” in Chinese is based on achieving a more diversified structure of the national economy, ensuring sustainable growth and a more even distribution of benefits. The etymology and development of the term “new normality” are considered. Despite the multiplicity of approaches, a single definition for the term in question has not developed, neither within the framework of economic science, nor within the framework of other areas. The prerequisites underlying the “new norm” in Chinese are analyzed in detail, including those that served as the basis for revising the country’s economic development model and implementing the model known today as the “double circulation” model. The author raises the question of the need to develop an approach to the term also in the key of current events, tectonic shifts in the world economy and the system of international economic relations, which, objectively, can be characterized as a “crisis” of the modern stage of the development of the world economy, known as globalization, or a transitional period, a transitional stage to a new, a completely different stage in the development of the world economy. The main conclusion of the study is as follows: the current stage of the development of the world economy, that is, globalization, is experiencing an acute phase of turbulence, which obviously began long before the last economic crisis of 2008. The events of the last few years show that the effects of globalization to a certain extent cease to justify themselves: increased international competition, increased protectionism policies and an increase in the number of trade disputes within the WTO, escalation of “trade wars”, COVID-19 and its impact on the entire system of international economic relations, disruption and restructuring of produc
2008年金融危机后,科学经济界出现了“新常态”一词,随着中国宣布进入“新经济时代”,国际社会“进入”人类世时代,以及世界与具有全球意义的新冠病毒问题发生碰撞,“新常态”一词再次成为现实,本研究对“新常态”一词进行了多种解读。这一主题的相关性还源于现代条件:世界经济的动荡,不仅自大流行病开始以来,而且也是俄罗斯发起特别军事行动后国际经济关系体系发生的“结构性”变化的结果。补充和扩展“新常态”一词的需要来自以下问题:“如果出现了“新常态”或“规范”,那么什么是“旧规范”?”这个术语与什么现象或过程有关它的定义和方法是什么?本文的目的是在2014年中国经济进入增长和发展阶段的背景下,确定“新常态”的主要特征。中国所说的“新常态”是建立在实现国民经济结构更加多元化、可持续发展和利益分配更加均衡的基础上的。讨论了“新常态”一词的词源和发展。尽管有多种方法,但无论是在经济科学的框架内,还是在其他领域的框架内,对所讨论的术语都没有形成一个单一的定义。详细分析了中国“新规范”的先决条件,包括作为修改国家经济发展模式和实施今天被称为“双循环”模式的基础的先决条件。作者提出了一个问题,即需要在当前事件的关键,世界经济的结构性变化和国际经济关系体系中发展一种方法,这在客观上可以被描述为世界经济发展的现代阶段的“危机”,即全球化,或者是一个过渡时期,一个向世界经济发展的一个新的,完全不同的阶段的过渡阶段。研究的主要结论如下:世界经济发展的当前阶段,即全球化,正在经历一个剧烈的动荡阶段,这显然早在2008年上一次经济危机之前就开始了。过去几年的事件表明,全球化的影响在某种程度上不再证明其本身是合理的:国际竞争加剧,保护主义政策增多,世贸组织内部贸易争端增多,“贸易战”升级,新冠肺炎疫情及其对整个国际经济关系体系的影响,生产和物流链的中断和重组,以及跨国公司因一次特殊军事行动而退出俄罗斯市场,所有这些都表明,目前世界经济的发展阶段现在是一个过渡时期,不是因为在某些事件的影响下发生的影响和进程,而是因为整个全球经济和地缘政治结构的重组。所有上述问题反过来要求经济学派作出适当的反应,其形式是需要发展理论方法来解决世界经济发展的当前阶段和向另一个阶段过渡的过渡性质问题。
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引用次数: 1
An economic project of regional integration in Africa 非洲区域一体化的经济项目
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2023-31-2-197-210
Aicha Djeghar
According to the latter’s 2022 report, foreign direct investment (FDI) to Africa reached $83 billion in 2021. This increase is due to the proportion of 45 % of the total linked to an intra-company financial transaction in South Africa. In reality, the global integration of Africa does not. Average global economic growth over the past twenty years has not exceeded 2.5 % (UNCTAD 2020). In the continent, globalization continues to be combined with a multitude of cooperation agreements and monetary unions. Globalization is seen as a process where Africa is a rich passive periphery in the hands of the powerful. The African Union recognizes that the plans it has developed have not achieved the expected objectives (Rapport UA 2020). Africa is still not integrated into the global economy. Underdevelopment continues to proliferate in the continent. Faced with this observation, a question arises: how then to boost the economic integration of Africa? This research aims to demonstrate the importance of reviving local development projects, because global integration must first go through African regional integration supported by African states themselves. There are strategic projects of development that could boost Africa’s development. This research aims to express the importance of the trans-Saharan road project in Algeria for regional integration. The method adopted is the descriptive one. We highlight the local riches of the country. The potentialities described in this intervention, constitute a part of the optimal economic environment of the trans-Saharan road. The project starts from the Mediterranean Sea crosses all the Algerian and then Nigerien territory to the Atlantic could be the stimulator that will boost African trade. In the economy of the 21st century, “The Trans-Saharan Highway” project is an opportunity for African and foreign investors to position themselves strategically and then concretize the regional and global integration of Africa.
根据后者的2022年报告,2021年非洲的外国直接投资(FDI)达到830亿美元。这一增长是由于与南非公司内部金融交易相关的总比例为45%。实际上,非洲的全球一体化并非如此。过去20年,全球平均经济增长率未超过2.5% (UNCTAD 2020)。在非洲大陆,全球化继续与众多合作协定和货币联盟结合在一起。全球化被视为一个过程,在这个过程中,非洲是强国手中富有的被动边缘。非洲联盟认识到,其制定的计划尚未实现预期目标(《非洲联盟2020年协议》)。非洲仍未融入全球经济。不发达现象继续在非洲大陆蔓延。面对这一观察,一个问题出现了:那么如何促进非洲的经济一体化?本研究旨在证明振兴地方发展项目的重要性,因为全球一体化必须首先通过非洲国家自己支持的非洲区域一体化。有有利于非洲发展的战略性发展项目。本研究旨在表达阿尔及利亚跨撒哈拉公路项目对区域一体化的重要性。所采用的方法是描述性的。我们强调这个国家的地方财富。这一干预措施所描述的潜力构成了跨撒哈拉公路最佳经济环境的一部分。该项目从地中海开始,穿过阿尔及利亚和尼日利亚的所有领土,然后到达大西洋,这可能是促进非洲贸易的刺激物。在21世纪的经济中,“横贯撒哈拉公路”项目是非洲和外国投资者进行战略定位的机会,从而使非洲的区域和全球一体化具体化。
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引用次数: 0
Migration mobility of the population of South Asiа: On the example of India, Bangladesh, Pakistan and Afghanistan 南亚人口的移民流动:以印度、孟加拉国、巴基斯坦和阿富汗为例
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2023-31-1-146-158
Mariya B. Ivanova, Yaroslav A. Glukhov
The countries of South Asia are among the most densely populated on the planet. Active migration processes are observed in the region, which have an impact on the socio-economic development of countries. The statistical data and reports of the International Organization for Migration of the United Nations served as an empirical basis for studying the migration mobility of the population of the countries of South Asia. The study is based on information on the structure of emigration and immigration of India, Bangladesh, Pakistan and Afghanistan in absolute and relative terms. For greater clarity, a cartographic method was used: author’s maps were created that reflect the specifics of migration processes in the countries of South Asia in terms of absolute and relative indicators. The scientific base concerning economic and social development of India, Bangladesh, Pakistan and Afghanistan is systematized. The study revealed the specifics of migration flows in the countries of the region on the basis of statistical information on the emigration and immigration of citizens, calculated in absolute and relative terms. The factors influencing the migration mobility of the population are revealed. A retrospective analysis of migration processes in India, Bangladesh, Pakistan and Afghanistan was carried out to identify similar and different features in their history that continue to influence the current migration processes taking place in the region. The reasons for the popularity of India among migrants from neighboring countries of South Asia are substantiated. The influence of the heritage of British India on modern interstate processes in South Asia is shown. The differentiation of intraregional and interregional migration flows in South Asia is analyzed. An assessment is made of the impact of migration processes on the socio-economic development of India, Bangladesh, Pakistan and Afghanistan. The characteristics of the current features in the migration situation in the countries of South Asia are formulated.
南亚国家是地球上人口最稠密的国家之一。该区域出现了活跃的移徙进程,这对各国的社会经济发展产生了影响。联合国国际移徙组织的统计数据和报告是研究南亚各国人口移徙流动的经验基础。这项研究是根据关于印度、孟加拉国、巴基斯坦和阿富汗的绝对和相对移民结构的资料编写的。为了更清楚起见,使用了制图方法:作者绘制的地图在绝对和相对指标方面反映了南亚各国移徙过程的具体情况。关于印度、孟加拉国、巴基斯坦和阿富汗经济和社会发展的科学基础是系统化的。研究报告根据绝对和相对计算的关于公民移徙和移民的统计资料,揭示了该区域各国移徙流动的具体情况。揭示了影响人口迁移流动的因素。对印度、孟加拉国、巴基斯坦和阿富汗的移徙进程进行了回顾性分析,以确定这些国家历史上继续影响该区域当前移徙进程的相似和不同特点。印度在南亚邻国移民中受欢迎的原因是有根据的。显示了英属印度遗产对南亚现代州际进程的影响。分析了南亚区域内和区域间移民流动的差异。评估了移徙进程对印度、孟加拉国、巴基斯坦和阿富汗社会经济发展的影响。阐述了南亚各国当前移民状况的特点。
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引用次数: 0
Improving economic security of the commercial banks based on internal control of the operational risk 基于操作风险的内部控制提高商业银行的经济安全
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2023-31-1-107-119
Mikhail S. Veretin
New regulation of the operational risks established by Bank of Russia Regulation No. 744-P dated December 7, 2020 “On the procedure for calculating the amount of operational risk (“Basel III”) creates new opportunities for the banking sector for capital optimization to cover this type of risk. However, in recent years, financial operating losses (the damage from crimes committed in the credit and financial sector in Russia in 2021 exceeded 386 million rubles) confirm the fact that the risk from the realization of risks is more significant. The reasons are wide variety of the operational risks, high dynamics in the detection of new types, as well as their more secretive nature in detection with other risks, which has a sharply negative impact on the security of the bank. Nevertheless, the optimization is impossible without countering threats to economic security. In our opinion, the set conditions are best met by a risk-based internal control system within a particular credit institution. The Basel Committee underpin the need for building an internal control system based on the recognition and assessment of the risks assumed by the bank, and their relationship with the goals set for the credit institution. Thus, risk-based internal control system, which allows timely identification of shortcomings and violations in its activities, as well as prompt response to changes in the internal and external environment to prevent negative results, could provide such countering for the bank.
俄罗斯银行2020年12月7日第744-P号条例“关于计算操作风险金额的程序”(“巴塞尔协议III”)对操作风险的新规定为银行业优化资本以覆盖此类风险创造了新的机会。然而,近年来的金融经营损失(2021年俄罗斯信贷和金融领域犯罪造成的损失超过3.86亿卢布)证实了风险实现带来的风险更为显著。其原因是操作风险种类繁多,新型风险检测的动态性强,与其他风险检测的隐蔽性较强,对银行的安全产生了较大的负面影响。然而,如果不消除对经济安全的威胁,优化是不可能的。我们认为,在特定的信贷机构内,以风险为基础的内部控制系统最能满足这些条件。巴塞尔委员会强调有必要建立一个内部控制系统,该系统基于对银行承担的风险的认识和评估,以及它们与信贷机构设定的目标之间的关系。因此,基于风险的内部控制系统可以为银行提供这种反击,该系统可以及时识别其活动中的缺陷和违规行为,并对内部和外部环境的变化作出迅速反应,以防止负面结果。
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引用次数: 0
Location of links in the pharmaceutical value chain in Сhina: the role of contract research organizations Сhina中制药价值链环节的定位:合同研究组织的作用
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2023-31-2-221-237
N. Volgina, N. Li
Cross-border pharmaceutical value chains are expanding their presence in international production, including in the highly profitable RD link. Leading pharmaceutical companies, known as Big Pharma, are establishing contract relationships with research organizations in many countries around the world, including emerging economies where China plays a very significant role. The purpose of this study is to assess the placement and location of Chinese contract research organizations in the RD links of the international pharmaceutical chain. As a result of the study, the authors came to the following conclusions. The development of the Chinese market can be dated to the beginning of the 2000s, when outsourcing firms for large international pharmaceutical companies began to be created. The Chinese market for contract research organizations has developed at a faster rate compared to the world market. As the key explanations for the rapid development of the Chinese market, the authors highlight the strong state support of the Chinese government, the improvement in the quality of research services provided by Chinese companies, as well as the lower price of these services compared to competitors. Market development relies primarily on the close ties of Chinese contract research organizations with Big Pharma companies. Demand from local Chinese pharmaceutical companies and from foreign affiliates of small and medium-sized of pharmaceutical companies located in China plays an increasing role in stimulating the market for contract research organizations. The rapid development of the Chinese market for contract research organizations has been accompanied by its consolidation and concentration, as well as monopolization in some market subsectors. Market consolidation was also supported by the accelerated pace of MA in pharmaceutical RD amid the pandemic.
跨境制药价值链正在扩大其在国际生产中的存在,包括在高利润的研发环节。领先的制药公司,被称为大型制药公司,正在与世界上许多国家的研究机构建立合同关系,包括中国发挥重要作用的新兴经济体。本研究的目的是评估中国合同研究机构在国际制药链研发环节的位置和定位。作为研究的结果,作者得出以下结论。中国市场的发展可以追溯到21世纪初,当时开始创建大型国际制药公司的外包公司。与世界市场相比,中国合同研究机构市场的发展速度更快。作为中国市场快速发展的关键解释,作者强调了中国政府的大力支持,中国公司提供的研究服务质量的提高,以及这些服务与竞争对手相比价格更低。市场开发主要依赖于中国合同研究机构与大型制药公司的密切联系。中国本土制药公司和在华中小型制药公司的海外分支机构的需求在刺激合同研究机构市场方面发挥着越来越大的作用。中国合同研究机构市场的快速发展伴随着市场的整合和集中,以及部分细分市场的垄断。在大流行期间,药品研发领域的并购步伐加快,也支持了市场整合。
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引用次数: 0
Innovation and investment support for sustainable development of the agricultural sector of the economy 创新和投资支持农业经济的可持续发展
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2023-31-1-59-73
D. Zaporozhets
It is possible to ensure the country’s food security only with the sustainable development of the agricultural sector of the economy, which, in turn, is impossible without a transition to an innovative way of agricultural development. Consistent implementation of import substitution practices, improving the quality and increasing the volume of products in the long term will allow the domestic agro-industrial complex to reach a new level of its development, it is also possible only with the widespread introduction of innovative technologies and tools, thereby ensuring a high level of competitiveness of domestic agricultural products. At the same time, it is necessary to take into account the transformation of the agricultural sector of the Russian economy, which is taking place under the influence of increasing geopolitical risks, which should become a point of growth of the domestic agro-industrial complex, since, as practice shows, any economic crisis is replaced by economic growth subsequently. The aim of the study is to develop and test a methodology for determining the factors of sustainable development of the agricultural sector of the economy, based on the technology of data-mining and big-data analysis, and to conduct a subsequent assessment of trends in the identified factors.
只有通过经济中农业部门的可持续发展才能确保该国的粮食安全,而如果不过渡到一种创新的农业发展方式,这反过来又是不可能的。长期持续实施进口替代做法,提高产品的质量和增加产品的数量,将使国内农工综合体的发展达到一个新的水平,只有广泛采用创新技术和工具,从而确保国内农产品的高水平竞争力,才有可能实现这一目标。与此同时,有必要考虑到俄罗斯经济农业部门的转型,这是在地缘政治风险日益增加的影响下发生的,这应该成为国内农工综合体的一个增长点,因为实践表明,任何经济危机随后都会被经济增长所取代。这项研究的目的是开发和测试一种基于数据挖掘和大数据分析技术确定农业经济部门可持续发展因素的方法,并对所确定因素的趋势进行后续评估。
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引用次数: 0
Development of border regions economic interaction: mechanisms and models 边境地区经济互动的发展:机制与模式
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2023-31-2-268-281
R. Manshin, Siqi Xu
In order to develop cross-border circulation of goods and people, the authorities of a country or region can take various measures aimed at creating favorable conditions for crossborder exchange and reducing barriers and restrictions that impede its development. The article explores the mechanisms of cross-border cooperation and proposes a new grouping of them. The author made an attempt to develop a new methodological approach to modeling the development of commodity exchange in the border regions, based on the development of two complementary models - descriptive and prescriptive type. The peculiarity of the author’s approach is to distinguish between target impacts on the result and the “natural” trend in the development of commodity flows and assess the impact of the consequences of target impacts. The proposed descriptive model makes it possible to identify and explain the determinants of the advance or lag in the growth rates of the region’s import-export operations in comparison with the growth rates of the gross regional product. In the descriptive model, there are no estimated indicators that would reflect the level of administrative, logistical, and other barriers in the trade and economic relations of the border regions. To overcome this shortcoming, in combination with the first model, the author proposes to use another model - a normative one, in which the same estimated indicator is chosen as two factor indicators - an aggregated indicator of barriers to cross-border turnover. The idea is that the “height of the barriers” should be measured separately - on each side of the common border of the two border regions. The use of two models in combination allows a better understanding of the reasons for the change in indicators of cross-border transactions in the region. On this basis, decision makers can develop and implement a “road map” to reduce administrative, bureaucratic barriers at border checkpoints.
为了发展货物和人员的跨境流通,一个国家或地区的当局可以采取各种措施,为跨境交流创造有利条件,减少阻碍其发展的壁垒和限制。本文探讨了跨界合作的机制,并提出了跨界合作的新分类。本文试图在描述性和规定性两种互补模型发展的基础上,建立一种新的边界地区商品交换发展模型。作者方法的特点在于区分对结果的目标影响和商品流动发展的“自然”趋势,并评估目标影响的后果的影响。拟议的描述性模型使我们能够确定和解释区域进出口业务增长率相对于区域生产总值增长率领先或落后的决定因素。在描述性模型中,没有能够反映边境地区贸易和经济关系中行政、后勤和其他壁垒水平的估计指标。为了克服这一缺点,结合第一个模型,作者建议使用另一个模型-一个规范性模型,其中选择相同的估计指标作为两个因素指标-一个跨境流动障碍的综合指标。这个想法是,“屏障的高度”应该分别测量——在两个边境地区共同边界的每一边。结合使用两种模型可以更好地理解该地区跨境交易指标变化的原因。在此基础上,决策者可以制定和实施“路线图”,以减少边境检查站的行政和官僚障碍。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of the competitiveness of the biological pharmaceutical industry on the example of the United States 生物制药产业竞争力分析——以美国为例
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2023-31-2-238-252
Kexin Wang, Y. Solovieva
Since entering the era of bioeconomy, the biotechnology industry economy represented by the bio pharmaceutical industry is leading a new wave of technological revolution. China’s strategic deployment for the bio pharmaceutical industry economy has achieved remarkable results, but there is still a large competitive gap compared with the United States and other biomedical powers. The goal of this article is to study the American biomedical market and find out the gap, so as to provide inspiration for the development of the biomedical industry in China and other countries. The Porter Diamond Model is used to build the theoretical research method analysis framework of the international competitiveness of the bio pharmaceutical industry. Taking the United States as an example, the paper analyzes its competitive advantages in six aspects: the elements of the biomedical industry, the enterprise structure and competition, the demand conditions, the relevant and supporting industries, the government and development opportunities. Based on this, the paper puts forward policy recommendations conclusions for China’s development of the bio pharmaceutical industry, so as to provide reference value for the development of the pharmaceutical industry.
进入生物经济时代以来,以生物制药产业为代表的生物技术产业经济正在引领新一轮的技术革命浪潮。中国对生物医药产业经济的战略部署成效显著,但与美国等生物医药强国相比仍有较大的竞争差距。本文的目的是研究美国生物医药市场,找出差距,从而为中国和其他国家生物医药产业的发展提供启示。运用波特钻石模型构建生物制药产业国际竞争力的理论研究方法分析框架。本文以美国为例,从生物医药产业构成要素、企业结构与竞争、需求状况、相关及配套产业、政府与发展机遇六个方面分析了美国生物医药产业的竞争优势。在此基础上,本文提出了中国生物制药产业发展的政策建议结论,以期为医药产业的发展提供参考价值。
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引用次数: 0
Economic analysis of the performance of Russian manufacturers of equipment for the dairy industry 俄罗斯乳业设备制造商业绩的经济分析
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.22363/2313-2329-2023-31-1-49-58
M. M. Kulumbegov
The collapse of the USSR led not only to the formation of 15 independent republics, the emergence of the CIS, but also to the rupture of those complex long-term stable cooperative ties between the countries that have been formed and developed for more than half a century. The manufacturing industry, as in many countries, accounts for a large share in the structure of the Russian gross domestic product: according to Rosstat, in 2020, the weight of manufacturing industries in the output structure was 26 %. One of the most significant types of production is the production of equipment for the dairy industry. In this regard, the authors raised the question of the level of development of this industry in Russia and its indicators. Currently, the Russian dairy industry is one of the industries with a high share of imported equipment, which is about 70 %. The purpose of the study is to identify and prove that, despite the high degree of dependence on imports, this category of products is also produced by domestic enterprises, which, respectively, account for about 30 %. Basically, Russian manufacturers of equipment for the dairy industry satisfy the demand of small and medium-sized businesses, while the demands of large businesses are replenished by imports. The authors analyzed the financial condition and efficiency of dairy machinery enterprises using the example of the following companies: Ice water generators, “SOMZ”, TD “Russian Armor”, MNPP “Initiative”, “PROTEMOL”, “Vologda machines”, “Dairy machinery Plant”, “Dagprodmash”, “BLS Engineering”, The plant of capacitive and food equipment “Grand”, “KFTEHNO”, “AGROS”, “Plant Aggregate”, “Selmash Dairy Machines”, “Color”, “KULTEK”, “Lenprodmash”, “Russian meal”, “Kolaks”, ICP “TECHNOCOM”, JSC “Plant Molmash”, “KR-Tech”, “NPO GIGAMASH”, Elf 4M “Trading House”, “VKP Signal-pak”, “PLANT TECHTANK”, “SLAVUTICH”, “NMZ”. Based on the data for 2016-2020, the future financial indicators of the companies in question for 2021-2022 were predicted. The short-term nature of the forecast compiled by the authors is related to the fact that budgets for the next year are formed at the end of the calendar year, and the analysis did not take into account the current conditions of Russian-Ukrainian relations.
苏联的解体不仅导致了15个独立共和国的形成和独联体的出现,而且还导致了各国之间半个多世纪以来形成和发展的复杂的长期稳定的合作关系的破裂。与许多国家一样,制造业在俄罗斯国内生产总值结构中占有很大份额:根据俄罗斯国家统计局的数据,到2020年,制造业在产出结构中的权重为26%。最重要的生产类型之一是乳制品工业设备的生产。在这方面,作者提出了该行业在俄罗斯的发展水平及其指标的问题。目前,俄罗斯乳品行业是进口设备占比较高的行业之一,约为70%。研究的目的是确定并证明,尽管对进口的依赖程度很高,但这类产品也是由国内企业生产的,分别占30%左右。基本上,俄罗斯乳制品行业设备制造商满足了中小型企业的需求,而大型企业的需求则通过进口来补充。以以下几家企业为例,分析了乳品机械企业的财务状况和效益:冰水发生器,“SOMZ”,TD“Russian Armor”,MNPP“Initiative”,“PROTEMOL”,“Vologda machines”,“乳制品机械厂”,“Dagprodmash”,“BLS Engineering”,“Grand”,“KFTEHNO”,“AGROS”,“Plant Aggregate”,“Selmash Dairy machines”,“Color”,“KULTEK”,“Lenprodmash”,“Russian meal”,“Kolaks”,ICP“TECHNOCOM”,JSC“Plant Molmash”,“KR-Tech”,“NPO GIGAMASH”,Elf 4M“Trading House”,“VKP Signal-pak”,“Plant TECHTANK”,“SLAVUTICH”,“NMZ”。根据2016-2020年的数据,预测了相关公司2021-2022年的未来财务指标。作者编制的预测是短期性质的,因为下一年的预算是在历年结束时编制的,而且分析没有考虑到俄罗斯与乌克兰关系的当前情况。
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RUDN Journal of Economics
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