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The role of foreign direct investment and financial development in economic growth: Evidence from global income countries 外国直接投资和金融发展在经济增长中的作用:来自全球收入国家的证据
Pub Date : 2022-02-06 DOI: 10.56556/jescae.v1i1.5
Robeen Bibi, Sumaira
Prior researchers have explored the role of FDI and economic growth or financial development and economic growth in a particular sample of countries or region while no collective studies on the effect of FDI, banks and stock market on economic growth in region or income-based groups have been conducted yet. Using a balanced panel data set of the globe of 193 upper middle income (UMI), lower middle income (LMI) and high income (HMI) countries for the period of 1998 to 2018, the study ever the first time explore the role of FDI, banks and stock markets financial development on economic growth by employing static methods and Dynamic approaches which contributes to the scarce literature on the collective and across income-based groups of countries. All model findings for the global panel indicates that FDI affect economic growth significantly and positively in the global panel, lower middle income (LMI) and upper middle income (UMI) countries where it’s not true for high income (HI) countries. Banking sector development also affect economic growth significantly but negatively in the global panel, high income and upper middle-income countries while not significant for the lower middle income (LMI) countries. Stock market development also affects economic growth significantly but negatively in the global panel. Furthermore, the result concludes that FDI have a larger effect on economic growth than does banks or stock market financial development. This study suggest high income countries regards improving FDI attraction, lower middle income (LMI) countries in regards improve banking sector and collectively suggest to improve major driver and functioning of banking sector and stock markets to spur economic growth. This study is beneficial for the government channels and financial sector of the study countries to make further decision.
以往的研究者在特定的国家或地区样本中探讨了FDI与经济增长或金融发展与经济增长的作用,但尚未对FDI、银行和股票市场对地区或收入群体经济增长的影响进行集体研究。利用1998年至2018年全球193个中高收入(UMI)、中低收入(LMI)和高收入(HMI)国家的平衡面板数据集,该研究首次采用静态方法和动态方法探讨了外国直接投资、银行和股票市场金融发展对经济增长的作用,这有助于对集体和基于收入的国家群体的稀缺文献做出贡献。全球面板的所有模型结果都表明,FDI对全球面板、中低收入(LMI)和中高收入(UMI)国家的经济增长有显著和积极的影响,而对高收入(HI)国家则不是如此。银行业发展对经济增长也有显著影响,但在全球面板、高收入和中高收入国家是负面影响,而对中低收入(LMI)国家影响不显著。在全球面板上,股票市场的发展对经济增长也有显著的负向影响。结果表明,FDI对经济增长的影响大于银行和股票市场金融发展的影响。本研究建议高收入国家在改善FDI吸引方面,中低收入国家在改善银行业方面,并共同建议改善银行业和股票市场的主要驱动力和功能,以刺激经济增长。本研究有助于研究国家的政府渠道和金融部门做出进一步的决策。
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引用次数: 10
Monetary Policy Performance under Control of exchange rate and consumer price index 汇率与消费者物价指数控制下的货币政策绩效
Pub Date : 2022-01-25 DOI: 10.56556/jescae.v1i1.7
Muhammad Naveed Jamil
Central Reserve announced the Monetary Policy Rate from 1955 to 2021 in different ways, and the central bank should be equally interested in the output of exchange rate and price stability. Besides having a stabilizing effect on the price level and trend of exchange rate stabilized the countries outputs. We find that monetary policy control; the price level does not affect production and exchange rate. Monetary policy is the only thing that can change the trend of exchange rate and Consumer Price Index. The actual policy was fixed exchange rate, and currency devaluations like Japan were quite successful for stability. The results indicate that the central bank can stabilize much of the macroeconomic indicators and disturbances under a monetary exchange rate and consumer price index system.
央行在1955 - 2021年以不同的方式公布货币政策利率,央行应该对汇率和价格稳定的产出同样感兴趣。除了对物价水平和汇率走势有稳定作用外,还稳定了国家的产出。我们发现货币政策调控;价格水平不影响生产和汇率。货币政策是唯一能改变汇率和消费物价指数走势的东西。实际的政策是固定汇率,像日本这样的货币贬值对于稳定非常成功。结果表明,在货币汇率和消费者价格指数体系下,中央银行可以稳定许多宏观经济指标和干扰。
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引用次数: 12
Impact the choice of Exchange Rate Regime on country Economic Growth: Which anchor currency leading the 21st Century 汇率制度选择对国家经济增长的影响:哪一种锚定货币引领21世纪
Pub Date : 2022-01-13 DOI: 10.56556/jescae.v1i1.8
Muhammad Naveed Jamil
This study provides a comprehensive currencies history of the exchange rate arrangement of 195 countries; exchange rate regime impacts on countries' growth and macroeconomic stability period of 1961 to 2020. New measurements of foreign exchange regimes and under controlling the income level of high, upper-middle, middle, and lower-middle economies; This Study adopt Generalized Method of Movements (GMM) to investigate the impact of exchange rate regimes on the economies and macro-economic stability through Per Capita GDP, GDP growth, Inflation and Foreign Trade. The U.S. Dollar dominated the currency in world with a high margin. World countries desire to stabilize exchange rates, reduce exchange restrictions and currencies influence. We find that post Bretton woods transition from fixed to flexible management: Strong relations exist among the choice of exchange rate regime and countries growth. Policy implications are clear; the choice of exchange rate arrangement prevails no impact showing on the long-term countries growth, exchange rate anchor currencies of US Dollar, British Sterling Pound, Euro, Chinese Yuan, French franc, Deutschmark, and Basket currencies have a highly significant impact on countries growth of different income level. Suggest Chinese Yuan may consider alternate anchor currency for World and new measure of exchange rate controls developed. Central banks may be secure advanced country bonds, safe assets, and multi-currencies pegged systems adopted for the reserve to overcome the declining effectiveness of exchange controls.
本研究提供了195个国家汇率安排的综合货币史;汇率制度对1961 - 2020年各国经济增长和宏观经济稳定的影响。采用新的外汇制度衡量标准,并控制高、中上、中等和中下经济体的收入水平;本研究采用广义变动法(GMM),通过人均GDP、GDP增长、通货膨胀和对外贸易考察汇率制度对经济和宏观经济稳定的影响。美元以极高的利润率主导着世界货币。世界各国都希望稳定汇率,减少外汇限制和货币影响。我们发现,后布雷顿森林体系从固定管理向灵活管理的转变:汇率制度的选择与国家经济增长之间存在着密切的关系。政策影响是显而易见的;汇率安排的选择对国家的长期增长没有影响,美元、英镑、欧元、人民币、法国法郎、德国马克和一篮子货币的汇率锚定货币对不同收入水平的国家的增长有非常显著的影响。建议人民币可能考虑替代世界锚货币,并制定新的汇率控制措施。中央银行可能会对发达国家的债券、安全资产以及为克服外汇管制有效性下降而采用的多种货币挂钩制度感到放心。
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引用次数: 14
The effect of financial development on economic Growth: Evidence from south Asian developing countries 金融发展对经济增长的影响:来自南亚发展中国家的证据
Pub Date : 2022-01-06 DOI: 10.56556/jescae.v1i1.1
Robeen Bibi, Sumaira
The debate on financial development and economic growth has been comprehensively growing for a long time in the theoretical and empirical literature but there is still conflicting views on this association. Several studies have been conducted on different regions and countries whether banks or stock market finance have any influence on economic growth but the results are still far from a significant conclusion. The empirical findings inclined the view that both banks and stock markets have positive impact on economic growth however some studies support the negative association which may varies on different sample of countries, methodology of the study, proxies for financial development and over time. Based on the ongoing debate, the current study examines the impact of both stock markets and bank based financial development on economic growth in four developing countries of south Asia for the period of 1980-2017.  The study use static, dynamic and long run estimators to efficiently investigate this association. The outcomes specify that both market-based and bank-based financial development indices affect economic growth significantly and positively which indicates that the development of banking system and stock markets perform a very propounding role in strengthening economic growth in the sample countries. The long-run estimators also confirm the presence of long run association between variables. The robustness tests confirm the results of all models that both banks and stock markets development are important and contribute to economic growth in the same way in the sample countries and can’t be differentiated. The findings of this study have important policy suggestions to the sample countries government’s channels, regulatory and supervisory efforts on further improvement of both stock markets and bank-based development in order to attain higher economic growth.
长期以来,关于金融发展与经济增长的争论在理论和实证文献中全面展开,但对两者之间的关系仍有不同的看法。在不同的地区和国家进行了一些关于银行或股票市场融资对经济增长是否有影响的研究,但结果还远远没有一个显著的结论。实证研究结果倾向于认为银行和股票市场对经济增长都有积极影响,但一些研究支持负相关关系,这可能因国家样本、研究方法、金融发展代理和时间的不同而有所不同。基于正在进行的辩论,本研究考察了1980-2017年期间股票市场和银行金融发展对南亚四个发展中国家经济增长的影响。该研究使用静态、动态和长期运行估计器来有效地研究这种关联。结果表明,基于市场和基于银行的金融发展指数对经济增长都有显著的正向影响,这表明银行体系和股票市场的发展对样本国家的经济增长起着非常重要的作用。长期估计量也证实了变量之间存在长期关联。稳健性检验证实了所有模型的结果,即银行和股票市场的发展都是重要的,并且在样本国家以相同的方式对经济增长做出贡献,并且无法区分。本文的研究结果对样本国家政府进一步完善股票市场和银行发展的渠道和监管力度,以实现更高的经济增长具有重要的政策建议。
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引用次数: 13
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Journal of Environmental Science and Economics
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