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Bifurcation analysis of a SEIR epidemic system with governmental action and individual reaction. 具有政府作用和个体反应的SEIR流行病系统的分岔分析。
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-020-02997-z
Abdelhamid Ajbar, Rubayyi T Alqahtani

In this paper, the dynamical behavior of a SEIR epidemic system that takes into account governmental action and individual reaction is investigated. The transmission rate takes into account the impact of governmental action modeled as a step function while the decreasing contacts among individuals responding to the severity of the pandemic is modeled as a decreasing exponential function. We show that the proposed model is capable of predicting Hopf bifurcation points for a wide range of physically realistic parameters for the COVID-19 disease. In this regard, the model predicts periodic behavior that emanates from one Hopf point. The model also predicts stable oscillations connecting two Hopf points. The effect of the different model parameters on the existence of such periodic behavior is numerically investigated. Useful diagrams are constructed that delineate the range of periodic behavior predicted by the model.

本文研究了考虑政府作用和个体反应的SEIR流行病系统的动力学行为。传染率考虑了作为阶跃函数建模的政府行动的影响,而响应大流行严重性的个人之间接触减少的模型是作为递减指数函数建模的。我们表明,所提出的模型能够预测COVID-19疾病的各种物理现实参数的Hopf分岔点。在这方面,该模型预测了从一个Hopf点发出的周期性行为。该模型还预测了连接两个Hopf点的稳定振荡。数值研究了不同模型参数对这种周期行为存在性的影响。构建了有用的图表,描绘了模型预测的周期行为的范围。
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引用次数: 5
Existence theory and numerical analysis of three species prey-predator model under Mittag-Leffler power law. Mittag-Leffler幂律下三物种捕食-捕食模型的存在性理论及数值分析。
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-05-27 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-020-02709-7
Mohammed S Abdo, Satish K Panchal, Kamal Shah, Thabet Abdeljawad

In this manuscript, the fractional Atangana-Baleanu-Caputo model of prey and predator is studied theoretically and numerically. The existence and Ulam-Hyers stability results are obtained by applying fixed point theory and nonlinear analysis. The approximation solutions for the considered model are discussed via the fractional Adams Bashforth method. Moreover, the behavior of the solution to the given model is explained by graphical representations through the numerical simulations. The obtained results play an important role in developing the theory of fractional analytical dynamic of many biological systems.

本文从理论上和数值上研究了捕食者和猎物的分数Atangana-Baleanu-Caputo模型。应用不动点理论和非线性分析,得到了系统的存在性和Ulam-Hyers稳定性结果。通过分数阶Adams Bashforth方法讨论了所考虑模型的近似解。此外,通过数值模拟,用图形表示解释了给定模型解的行为。所得结果对许多生物系统的分数分析动力学理论的发展具有重要作用。
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引用次数: 28
Fuzzy fractional-order model of the novel coronavirus. 新型冠状病毒的模糊分数阶模型。
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-09-05 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-020-02934-0
S Ahmad, A Ullah, K Shah, S Salahshour, A Ahmadian, T Ciano

In this paper, a novel coronavirus infection system with a fuzzy fractional differential equation defined in Caputo's sense is developed. By using the fuzzy Laplace method coupled with Adomian decomposition transform, numerical results are obtained for better understanding of the dynamical structures of the physical behavior of COVID-19. Such behavior on the general properties of RNA in COVID-19 is also investigated for the governing model. The results demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed approach to address the uncertainty condition in the pandemic situation.

本文建立了一个新颖的冠状病毒感染系统,其中包含一个在卡普托意义上定义的模糊分数微分方程。通过使用与 Adomian 分解变换相结合的模糊拉普拉斯法,获得了数值结果,从而更好地理解了 COVID-19 物理行为的动态结构。此外,还研究了支配模型对 COVID-19 中 RNA 一般特性的影响。结果表明,所提出的方法能有效解决大流行病中的不确定性条件。
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引用次数: 0
Quintic non-polynomial spline for time-fractional nonlinear Schrödinger equation. 用于时间分数非线性薛定谔方程的五次非多项式样条曲线
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-10-16 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-020-03021-0
Qinxu Ding, Patricia J Y Wong

In this paper, we shall solve a time-fractional nonlinear Schrödinger equation by using the quintic non-polynomial spline and the L1 formula. The unconditional stability, unique solvability and convergence of our numerical scheme are proved by the Fourier method. It is shown that our method is sixth order accurate in the spatial dimension and ( 2 - γ ) th order accurate in the temporal dimension, where γ is the fractional order. The efficiency of the proposed numerical scheme is further illustrated by numerical experiments, meanwhile the simulation results indicate better performance over previous work in the literature.

本文将利用五次非多项式样条线和 L1 公式求解一个时分数非线性薛定谔方程。我们用傅里叶方法证明了数值方案的无条件稳定性、唯一可解性和收敛性。结果表明,我们的方法在空间维度上具有六阶精度,在时间维度上具有 ( 2 - γ ) 三阶精度,其中 γ 是分数阶。数值实验进一步说明了所提数值方案的效率,同时仿真结果表明其性能优于之前的文献研究。
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引用次数: 0
A study on COVID-19 transmission dynamics: stability analysis of SEIR model with Hopf bifurcation for effect of time delay. COVID-19 传输动态研究:带有霍普夫分岔的 SEIR 模型在时间延迟影响下的稳定性分析。
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-09-24 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-020-02958-6
M Radha, S Balamuralitharan

This paper deals with a general SEIR model for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) with the effect of time delay proposed. We get the stability theorems for the disease-free equilibrium and provide adequate situations of the COVID-19 transmission dynamics equilibrium of present and absent cases. A Hopf bifurcation parameter τ concerns the effects of time delay and we demonstrate that the locally asymptotic stability holds for the present equilibrium. The reproduction number is brief in less than or greater than one, and it effectively is controlling the COVID-19 infection outbreak and subsequently reveals insight into understanding the patterns of the flare-up. We have included eight parameters and the least square method allows us to estimate the initial values for the Indian COVID-19 pandemic from real-life data. It is one of India's current pandemic models that have been studied for the time being. This Covid19 SEIR model can apply with or without delay to all country's current pandemic region, after estimating parameter values from their data. The sensitivity of seven parameters has also been explored. The paper also examines the impact of immune response time delay and the importance of determining essential parameters such as the transmission rate using sensitivity indices analysis. The numerical experiment is calculated to illustrate the theoretical results.

本文讨论了冠状病毒病 2019(COVID-19)的一般 SEIR 模型,并提出了时间延迟效应。我们得到了无病平衡的稳定性定理,并提供了有病例和无病例的 COVID-19 传播动态平衡的充分情形。霍普夫分岔参数τ涉及时间延迟的影响,我们证明了当前平衡的局部渐近稳定性。繁殖数小于或大于 1 都是短暂的,它有效地控制了 COVID-19 感染的爆发,随后揭示了对爆发模式的理解。我们加入了八个参数,通过最小二乘法,我们可以从实际数据中估算出印度 COVID-19 大流行的初始值。这是印度目前暂时研究的大流行病模型之一。在从各国数据中估算出参数值后,该 Covid19 SEIR 模型可立即或毫不延迟地应用于各国当前的大流行病地区。本文还探讨了七个参数的敏感性。本文还研究了免疫反应时间延迟的影响,以及利用敏感性指数分析确定传播率等基本参数的重要性。通过计算数值实验来说明理论结果。
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引用次数: 0
Monotonicity properties for a ratio of finite many gamma functions. 有限多个伽马函数之比的单调性。
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-05-01 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-020-02655-4
Feng Qi, Dongkyu Lim

In the paper, the authors consider a ratio of finite many gamma functions and find its monotonicity properties such as complete monotonicity, the Bernstein function property, and logarithmically complete monotonicity.

在论文中,作者考虑了有限多个伽马函数之比,并发现了其单调性特性,如完全单调性、伯恩斯坦函数特性和对数完全单调性。
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引用次数: 0
New investigation of bats-hosts-reservoir-people coronavirus model and application to 2019-nCoV system. 蝙蝠-宿主-水库-人冠状病毒模型的新研究及其在2019-nCoV系统中的应用。
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-08-03 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-020-02831-6
Wei Gao, Haci Mehmet Baskonus, Li Shi

According to the report presented by the World Health Organization, a new member of viruses, namely, coronavirus, shortly 2019-nCoV, which arised in Wuhan, China, on January 7, 2020, has been introduced to the literature. The main aim of this paper is investigating and finding the optimal values for better understanding the mathematical model of the transfer of 2019-nCoV from the reservoir to people. This model, named Bats-Hosts-Reservoir-People coronavirus (BHRPC) model, is based on bats as essential animal beings. By using a powerful numerical method we obtain simulations of its spreading under suitably chosen parameters. Whereas the obtained results show the effectiveness of the theoretical method considered for the governing system, the results also present much light on the dynamic behavior of the Bats-Hosts-Reservoir-People transmission network coronavirus model.

根据世界卫生组织的报告,2020年1月7日在中国武汉出现的一种新病毒,即冠状病毒,简称2019-nCoV,已经被引入文献。本文的主要目的是研究和寻找最优值,以便更好地理解2019-nCoV从水库向人转移的数学模型。该模型以蝙蝠为基本动物为基础,命名为蝙蝠-宿主-水库-人冠状病毒(BHRPC)模型。采用强大的数值方法,在适当的参数下对其扩散进行了模拟。尽管所得结果表明了所考虑的理论方法对控制系统的有效性,但结果也为蝙蝠-宿主-水库-人传播网络冠状病毒模型的动态行为提供了许多启示。
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引用次数: 103
On modeling of coronavirus-19 disease under Mittag-Leffler power law. 基于Mittag-Leffler幂律的冠状病毒-19疾病建模
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-09-11 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-020-02943-z
Samia Bushnaq, Kamal Shah, Hussam Alrabaiah

This paper investigates a new model on coronavirus-19 disease (COVID-19) with three compartments including susceptible, infected, and recovered class under Mittag-Leffler type derivative. The mentioned derivative has been introduced by Atangana, Baleanu, and Caputo abbreviated as ( ABC ) . Upon utilizing fixed point theory, we first prove the existence of at least one solution for the considered model and its uniqueness. Also, some results about stability of Ulam-Hyers type are also established. By applying a numerical technique called fractional Adams-Bashforth (AB) method, we develop a scheme for the approximate solutions to the considered model. Using some real available data, we perform the concerned numerical simulation corresponding to different values of fractional order.

本文研究了Mittag-Leffler型衍生的新型冠状病毒病(COVID-19)易感类、感染类和恢复类3个区室模型。上述衍生词由Atangana、Baleanu和Caputo引入,缩写为(ABC)。利用不动点理论,首先证明了所考虑的模型至少有一个解的存在性和唯一性。同时也得到了一些关于Ulam-Hyers型稳定性的结果。通过应用一种称为分数Adams-Bashforth (AB)方法的数值技术,我们开发了一个所考虑模型的近似解方案。利用一些实际可用数据,对不同分数阶值进行了相应的数值模拟。
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引用次数: 8
Modeling the effect of delay strategy on transmission dynamics of HIV/AIDS disease. 延迟策略对HIV/AIDS疾病传播动力学影响的建模。
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-11-25 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-020-03116-8
Ali Raza, Ali Ahmadian, Muhammad Rafiq, Soheil Salahshour, Muhammad Naveed, Massimiliano Ferrara, Atif Hassan Soori

In this manuscript, we investigate a nonlinear delayed model to study the dynamics of human-immunodeficiency-virus in the population. For analysis, we find the equilibria of a susceptible-infectious-immune system with a delay term. The well-established tools such as the Routh-Hurwitz criterion, Volterra-Lyapunov function, and Lasalle invariance principle are presented to investigate the stability of the model. The reproduction number and sensitivity of parameters are investigated. If the delay tactics are decreased, then the disease is endemic. On the other hand, if the delay tactics are increased then the disease is controlled in the population. The effect of the delay tactics with subpopulations is investigated. More precisely, all parameters are dependent on delay terms. In the end, to give the strength to a theoretical analysis of the model, a computer simulation is presented.

在这篇论文中,我们研究了一个非线性延迟模型来研究人类免疫缺陷病毒在人群中的动力学。为了进行分析,我们找到了一个具有延迟项的敏感-感染-免疫系统的平衡点。利用Routh-Hurwitz判据、Volterra-Lyapunov函数和Lasalle不变性原理等工具研究了模型的稳定性。研究了参数的再现数和灵敏度。如果拖延战术减少,那么这种疾病就是地方性的。另一方面,如果延迟策略增加,那么疾病在人群中得到控制。研究了具有亚种群的延迟策略的效果。更准确地说,所有参数都依赖于延迟项。最后,为了给模型的理论分析提供依据,进行了计算机仿真。
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引用次数: 14
A fractional differential equation model for the COVID-19 transmission by using the Caputo-Fabrizio derivative. 基于Caputo-Fabrizio导数的COVID-19传播分数阶微分方程模型
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-06-18 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-020-02762-2
Dumitru Baleanu, Hakimeh Mohammadi, Shahram Rezapour

We present a fractional-order model for the COVID-19 transmission with Caputo-Fabrizio derivative. Using the homotopy analysis transform method (HATM), which combines the method of homotopy analysis and Laplace transform, we solve the problem and give approximate solution in convergent series. We prove the existence of a unique solution and the stability of the iteration approach by using fixed point theory. We also present numerical results to simulate virus transmission and compare the results with those of the Caputo derivative.

我们提出了一个带有Caputo-Fabrizio导数的分数阶COVID-19传播模型。利用同伦分析方法与拉普拉斯变换相结合的同伦分析变换方法(HATM)对该问题进行了求解,并给出了收敛级数的近似解。利用不动点理论证明了迭代方法的唯一解的存在性和稳定性。我们还提出了模拟病毒传播的数值结果,并将结果与卡普托导数的结果进行了比较。
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引用次数: 144
期刊
Advances in Difference Equations
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