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FINANCIAL RISK AND FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF COMMERCIAL BANKS LISTED IN THE NAIROBI SECURITIES EXCHANGE IN KENYA 肯尼亚内罗毕证券交易所上市商业银行的财务风险与财务绩效
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-10-11 DOI: 10.47604/ijfa.1663
Winnie N. Mwangi, J. Ong’era, J. Matanda
Purpose: The objective was to determine the relationship between financial risk and financial performance of listed commercial banks in Kenya. Methodology: Descriptive research design was adopted in the study. The target population of the study was formed by all the twelve listed commercial banks as at December 2021. Secondary data was utilized in the study. This secondary data was acquired from published financial statements of the listed commercial banks in Kenya for the period 2015 – 2020.  Data obtained was analysed using descriptive and inferential statistics. Further, data analysis was conducted using STATA software. The results obtained were then summarized using tables and charts. Findings: The study found that credit risk, liquidity risk, market risk and operational risk explain 31.42% of financial performance of the listed commercial banks. Credit risk has a positive significant effect on financial performance of the listed commercial banks, while market risk and operation risk have negative and significant effect on financial performance of the listed commercial banks. Liquidity risk was found have positive insignificant effect on financial performance of the listed commercial banks. Unique contribution to Theory, Practice and Policy: The study recommends that the banks should increase their secured loans portfolio, manage the liabilities of the company and ensure sustainable growth of the company assets and finally, the listed commercial banks should manage their expenses to a level that is sustainable. The credit risk theory and liquidity preference theory may be used to anchor future studies in the listed commercial banks.
目的:目的是确定肯尼亚上市商业银行财务风险与财务绩效之间的关系。方法:本研究采用描述性研究设计。研究对象为截至2021年12月的全部12家上市商业银行。本研究采用二手资料。这一次要数据是从肯尼亚上市商业银行公布的2015 - 2020年财务报表中获得的。获得的数据使用描述性和推断性统计进行分析。采用STATA软件进行数据分析。然后用表格和图表对所得结果进行总结。研究发现:信用风险、流动性风险、市场风险和操作风险解释了上市商业银行31.42%的财务绩效。信用风险对上市商业银行财务绩效有显著的正向影响,而市场风险和操作风险对上市商业银行财务绩效有显著的负向影响。流动性风险对上市商业银行财务绩效的影响不显著。理论、实践和政策的独特贡献:研究建议银行应增加担保贷款组合,管理公司负债,确保公司资产的可持续增长,最后,上市商业银行应将其费用管理到可持续的水平。信用风险理论和流动性偏好理论可以为未来对上市商业银行的研究奠定基础。
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引用次数: 0
INFLUENCE OF MANAGEMENT ACCOUNTING INFORMATION SYSTEMS ON THE FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF DEPOSIT TAKING SACCOS IN WESTERN REGION, KENYA 管理会计信息系统对肯尼亚西部地区存款公司财务绩效的影响
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.47604/ijfa.1654
Imoitet Opuko, P. Ojera, Maniagi G. Musiega
Purpose: The study sought to investigate the influence of management accounting information systems on the financial performance of Deposit taking Sacco’s in western region, Kenya Methodology: The study adopted descriptive explanatory research design, 7 deposit taking SACCOs from western region with a total population of 61 employees in the management positions. Data was collected using questionnaires and analyzed through inferential statistics which involved testing of hypotheses using simple correlation regression model at 95% confidence level, multiple and hierarchical and descriptive statistics were also used, which included the use of frequencies and percentage. Data was presented by use of tables and figures. Findings: Findings of the study showed scope of MAIS had positive beta coefficient (β1=0.409, p=0.017) indicating that MAIS scope has significant influence on the financial performance of Deposit Taking Saccos Western Region, timeliness of MAIS had positive beta coefficient (β2=0.415, p=0.008 suggesting that MAIS timeliness has significant influence on the financial performance of Deposit Taking Savings and Credit Co-Operative Societies Western Region, aggregation of MAIS had positive beta coefficient (β3=0.329, p=0.021) revealing that MAIS aggregation has significant influence on the financial performance of Deposit Taking Saccos Western Region and integration of MAIS had positive beta coefficient (β4=0.392, p=0.010) indicating that there is significant influence of MAIS integration on the financial performance of Deposit Taking Saccos Western Region. Unique contribution to theory, practice and policy (recommendation): The study recommended that Deposit taking Sacco’s implement Management Accounting Information System in their operational framework as it would lead to improved financial performance.
目的:本研究旨在探讨管理会计信息系统对肯尼亚西部地区储蓄银行财务绩效的影响。方法:采用描述性解释研究设计,选取西部地区7家储蓄银行,共61名管理岗位员工。采用问卷调查的方式收集数据,并通过推论统计进行分析。推论统计采用95%置信度的简单相关回归模型进行假设检验,也采用多重、分层和描述性统计,包括使用频率和百分比。数据以表格和图表的形式呈现。发现:研究结果显示,MAIS的范围具有正的beta系数(β1=0.409, p=0.017),表明MAIS的范围对存贷联社西部地区的财务绩效有显著影响;MAIS的时效性具有正的beta系数(β2=0.415, p=0.008),表明MAIS的时效性对存贷联社西部地区的财务绩效有显著影响;MAIS的聚集具有正的beta系数(β3=0.329, p=0.021),表明MAIS的聚集对采金西域的财务绩效有显著影响;MAIS的整合具有正的beta系数(β4=0.392, p=0.010),表明MAIS的整合对采金西域的财务绩效有显著影响。在理论、实践和政策方面的独特贡献(建议):本研究建议储蓄银行在其运营框架中实施管理会计信息系统,以提高财务绩效。
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引用次数: 0
Quoted Equity Investments and Financial Performance of Pension Funds in Kenya 引用股权投资和肯尼亚养老基金的财务业绩
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.47604/ijfa.1645
Roba Boyante, W. Muturi, M. Gekara
Purpose: This study is inspired by the need to investigate the contribution of quoted equity to financial performance of pension funds in Kenya Methodology:  The study used a descriptive research design with data collection form used to gather secondary data. The target population for this study was 1,258 registered schemes as per RBA as of 31 December 2021. The sample consisted of 294 registered schemes. Secondary data was obtained from the Retirement Benefits Authority (RBA) for the study variables for the six-year period between 2016- 2021. The data was subjected to diagnostic tests and analyzed using multiple linear regression method. Findings: Regression results on the influence of quoted equity on the performance of pension funds shows that the coefficient had a negative and significant impact on performance of firms, p value 0.000 which was smaller than 0.05 level of significance. This shows that quoted equity had a negative impact on the performance of firms. In addition, 16.6% of the variation in performance of firms is explained by quoted equity. The study findings echo policy discourses suggesting that quoted equity investments may be riskier and therefore need for increased risk premium to cushion investors against increased risks Unique Contributions to Theory, Practice and Policy: The study validates the modern portfolio theory whose premise is selection and construction of asset portfolios to maximize the portfolio expected return and the concurrently minimize the attendant risk. The study can help policy makers such as Retirement Benefits Authority (RBA) in Kenya review investment ceilings imposed on quoted equity The trustees and fund managers can use the study findings to determine proportion of quoted equity investments in the investment policy that is optimal given risk characteristic of quoted equity as an asset class.
目的:本研究的灵感来自于需要调查报价股票对肯尼亚养老基金财务业绩的贡献。方法:本研究采用描述性研究设计,数据收集表用于收集二手数据。截至2021年12月31日,这项研究的目标人群是1258个注册计划。样本包括294个注册计划。从退休福利管理局(RBA)获得了2016年至2021年六年期间研究变量的辅助数据。对数据进行诊断试验,并采用多元线性回归方法进行分析。结果:上市股票对养老基金业绩影响的回归结果显示,系数对企业业绩有负向显著影响,p值0.000,显著性水平小于0.05。这表明股票报价对企业绩效有负向影响。此外,16.6%的公司绩效变化是由上市股票解释的。研究结果与政策话语相呼应,即股票投资可能风险更高,因此需要增加风险溢价来缓冲投资者风险的增加。理论、实践和政策的独特贡献:研究验证了现代投资组合理论,该理论的前提是选择和构建资产组合,以最大化投资组合的预期收益,同时最小化随之而来的风险。该研究可以帮助政策制定者,如肯尼亚的退休福利管理局(RBA)审查对报价股票的投资上限,受托人和基金经理可以使用研究结果来确定报价股票投资在投资政策中的比例,这是最优的,给定报价股票作为资产类别的风险特征。
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引用次数: 1
Moderating Influence of Portfolio Rebalancing on the Relationship between Asset Allocation and Financial Performance of Pension Funds in Kenya 投资组合再平衡对肯尼亚养老基金资产配置与财务绩效关系的调节作用
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.47604/ijfa.1644
Roba Boyante, W. Muturi, M. Gekara
Purpose: This paper examined the moderating influence of portfolio rebalancing on the relationship between asset allocation and financial performance of pension funds in Kenya. Methodology:  The study used a descriptive research design with data collection form used to gather secondary data. The target population for this study was 1,258 registered schemes as per RBA as of 31 December 2021. The sample consisted of 294 registered schemes. Secondary data was obtained from the Retirement Benefits Authority (RBA) for the study variables for the six-year period between 2016- 2021. The data was analyzed using multiple linear regression and subjected to diagnostic tests. Findings: The study findings revealed that portfolio rebalancing had a significant moderating influence on all the variables except guaranteed funds which was not significant. This is expected since return on guaranteed funds is fixed (minimum guarantee) and therefore, the return on investors’ funds will remain constant overtime even with portfolio rebalancing of the fund’s asset under management. The study findings resonate with policy discourses suggesting that active portfolio rebalancing may yield better returns to members through proactive management of portfolio risks. Unique Contributions to Theory, Practice and Policy: The study validates the modern portfolio theory whose premise is selection and construction of asset portfolios to maximize the portfolio expected return and the concurrently minimize the attendant risk. The study can help policy makers such as Retirement Benefits Authority (RBA) in Kenya review investment ceilings imposed on different asset classes which restrict the range of asset allocation strategies available to those charged with pension fund asset management responsibilities by establishing quantitative limits on investment, typically by asset class. The trustees and fund managers can use the study findings to ensure adoption of an optimal mix of different asset classes that can maximize member’s returns.
目的:本文考察了投资组合再平衡对肯尼亚养老基金资产配置与财务绩效关系的调节作用。方法:本研究采用描述性研究设计,资料收集表用于收集二手资料。截至2021年12月31日,这项研究的目标人群是1258个注册计划。样本包括294个注册计划。从退休福利管理局(RBA)获得了2016年至2021年六年期间研究变量的辅助数据。使用多元线性回归分析数据并进行诊断测试。研究发现:投资组合再平衡对除保证资金外的所有变量都有显著的调节作用,但不显著。这是可以预期的,因为担保基金的回报是固定的(最低保证),因此,即使对基金管理下的资产进行投资组合再平衡,投资者的资金回报也将保持不变。研究结果与政策话语一致,表明积极的投资组合再平衡可以通过积极管理投资组合风险为会员带来更好的回报。对理论、实践和政策的独特贡献:本研究验证了以资产组合的选择和构建为前提,使投资组合的预期收益最大化,同时使风险最小化的现代投资组合理论。这项研究可以帮助政策制定者,如肯尼亚的退休福利管理局(RBA)审查对不同资产类别施加的投资上限,这些上限通过建立投资数量限制(通常按资产类别),限制了负责养老基金资产管理责任的人可用的资产配置策略范围。受托人和基金经理可以利用研究结果来确保采用不同资产类别的最佳组合,从而使成员的回报最大化。
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引用次数: 0
Factors Influencing Saving Behaviour of Nigerians 影响尼日利亚人储蓄行为的因素
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.47604/ijfa.1626
Nenubari John Ikue, Ph.D, Joseph Denwi, Charles Ariolu, A. Musa, Ibimna Ikemenjima
Purpose: This paper is motivated by the dearth of domestic savings required for inclusive economic growth in Nigeria. The paper examines the impact of financial literacy and socio-economic factors on Nigerians saving behaviour. Methodology: The models are estimated with linear probability and probit estimators. There are three categories of variables in the models; the independent variables, which are the computed scores of financial literacies; control variables, which are the measures of demographic and socioeconomic factors and; the dependent variables, which are the measures of frequencies of saving in three financial institutions in Nigeria. Findings: Our finding resonates with policy debates suggesting that improving Nigerians knowledge about finance and financial services would foster Nigerians saving behaviour. We observed also that households with 1 – 4 persons have tendency to put away more money as savings. The paper documented that the optimum household size for accelerating saving is 5-6 persons beyond which enforces financial exclusion or dissaving, among others. Unique contributions to theory, practice and Policy: This paper provide fresh evidence on the influence of the newly financial literacy scores variables designed by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Nigerians saving behaviour. It equally, expanded the saving literature by considering differently level of household sizes to explained Nigerians saving behaviours. Consequent on the findings the paper suggested that the Federal Government of Nigeria in collaboration with the States governmant reenforce the National Financial Inclusion Strategy framework and include a finance course to be made mandatory and taught at all levels of education in Nigeria. The paper also suggested a rethink on the Nigerian population policy to an aggressive campaign on family planning aimed at reducing fertility level to about 2 – 3 children per family.
目的:本文的动机是缺乏国内储蓄所需的包容性经济增长在尼日利亚。本文考察了金融知识和社会经济因素对尼日利亚人储蓄行为的影响。方法:用线性概率和概率估计器对模型进行估计。模型中有三类变量;自变量是金融知识的计算分数;控制变量是对人口和社会经济因素的测量;因变量,是对尼日利亚三家金融机构储蓄频率的度量。研究结果:我们的发现与政策辩论一致,表明提高尼日利亚人对金融和金融服务的了解将促进尼日利亚人的储蓄行为。我们还观察到,1 - 4人的家庭倾向于把更多的钱作为储蓄。该论文证明,加速储蓄的最佳家庭规模是5-6人,超过这个规模就会导致金融排斥或不储蓄等问题。对理论、实践和政策的独特贡献:本文为国家统计局(NBS)设计的新金融素养评分变量对尼日利亚人储蓄行为的影响提供了新的证据。同样,通过考虑不同水平的家庭规模来解释尼日利亚人的储蓄行为,扩大了储蓄文献。根据调查结果,本文建议尼日利亚联邦政府与各州政府合作,加强国家金融包容性战略框架,并在尼日利亚各级教育中纳入一门必修的金融课程。该文件还建议重新考虑尼日利亚的人口政策,采取积极的计划生育运动,旨在将生育率降低到每个家庭约2至3个子女。
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引用次数: 0
EFFECT OF RIGHTS ISSUE, BONUS ISSUE AND STOCK SPLIT ANNOUNCEMENTS ON SHARE RETURNS OF FIRMS LISTED IN NAIROBI SECURITIES EXCHANGE 配股、增发和分拆公告对内罗毕证券交易所上市公司股票收益的影响
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-08-08 DOI: 10.47604/ijfa.1614
N. Maingi, F. Waweru
Purpose: The objective was to find out the effect of rights issue, bonus issue and stock split announcements on share returns of firms listed in Nairobi Securities Exchange. Materials and Methods: Event study research design was used in the study.  Target population comprised all companies in the Nairobi Securities Exchange register that announced bonus issue, rights, and stock split from 2014 to 2020. There were 6 companies which announced rights issue, 17 companies which announced bonus issue and 2 companies which announced stock splits. The study employed event study methodology whereby collection of secondary data was done for 30 days before and after respectively for each bonus issue, rights issue and stock split announcement. Statistical bias was eliminated by using normality and autocorrelation tests there after the Mean Adjusted Return Model was used in determining expected returns and abnormal returns. Results: In all the companies there were abnormal returns which prove that the announcements had an effect on share returns, Sixteen companies witnessed increase in abnormal returns while nine firms witnessed decline in abnormal returns following the announcements. To whether the effects were significant null hypothesis postulating that the announcements had significant effect on share returns of firms listed in Nairobi Securities Exchange was accepted for twenty four firms and rejected for one firm. The conclusion was that right issue, bonus issue and stock splits announcements have a significant effect on Share returns. Unique contribution to theory, practice and policy: The study recommendations include that; the Nairobi Securities exchange should support research by providing data free of charge for interested researchers. The Capital Markets Authority and NSE should educate investors on the investment opportunities available and this will increase local investors in the bourse, currently most investors are foreigners. NSE and CMA should beef up surveillance in the market so as to curb insider trading especially when companies are about to make any form of corporate announcements.
目的:研究配股、发奖金和分拆公告对内罗毕证券交易所上市公司股票收益的影响。材料与方法:本研究采用事件研究设计。目标人群包括2014年至2020年在内罗毕证券交易所登记的所有宣布发放奖金、配股和股票分割的公司。6家公司宣布配股,17家公司宣布增发,2家公司宣布拆股。本研究采用事件研究法,分别在每次发奖金、配股和股票分拆公告前后30天收集二次数据。在使用均值调整收益模型确定预期收益和异常收益后,通过正态性和自相关检验消除了统计偏差。结果:所有公司均存在异常收益,证明公告对股票收益有影响,16家公司的异常收益增加,9家公司的异常收益下降。对于公告对内罗毕证券交易所上市公司股票收益有显著影响的零假设,有24家公司接受,有1家公司拒绝。结果表明,配股、增发和股票分拆公告对股票收益有显著影响。对理论、实践和政策的独特贡献:研究建议包括:内罗毕证券交易所应通过向感兴趣的研究人员免费提供数据来支持研究。资本市场管理局和印度证券交易所应该教育投资者了解现有的投资机会,这将增加交易所的本地投资者,目前大多数投资者是外国人。NSE和CMA应该加强对市场的监管,以遏制内幕交易,尤其是当公司即将发布任何形式的公司公告时。
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引用次数: 0
ROLE OF INSURANCE IN AGRICULTURAL LENDING 保险在农业贷款中的作用
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-08-03 DOI: 10.47604/ijfa.1602
Ben Kajwang
Purpose: This paper examines the role of insurance in providing loans for agricultural sector. There are many agricultural hazards that cannot be insured on a financially sound basis; nonetheless, there is room for enhanced insurance coverage of farm assets, of the life and health of individuals living in rural areas, and of certain specific dangers that affect crop and livestock production. Methodology: A desktop literature review was used for this purpose. Relevant seminal references and journal articles for the study were identified using Google Scholar. The inclusion criteria entailed papers that were not over 5 years old. Findings: The insurance framework in agricultural lending that has been presented calls for the participation of policymakers and implementers in addition to marketing channels and micro users. Agricultural insurance penetration based on the research of both the demand and supply side and it might be used as a tool for lowering the level of physical risk. Unique Contribution to Theory, Policy and Practice: It is necessary to have experts, researchers, and extension agents step up their guidance and supervision efforts. Because it was difficult to discover a source of long-term funding or sponsorships, international and regional technical assistance, expertise, and financial support were urgently required.
目的:本文考察保险在为农业部门提供贷款中的作用。有许多农业灾害无法在财务健全的基础上投保;尽管如此,对于农场资产、农村居民的生命和健康以及影响作物和牲畜生产的某些具体危险,保险的覆盖面仍有扩大的余地。方法学:本研究采用桌面文献综述。本研究的相关参考文献和期刊文章通过谷歌Scholar进行了识别。纳入标准要求论文发表时间不超过5年。研究发现:提出的农业贷款保险框架除了需要营销渠道和微用户的参与外,还需要政策制定者和实施者的参与。基于需求侧和供给侧两方面的研究,认为农业保险渗透可以作为降低实物风险水平的工具。对理论、政策和实践的独特贡献:需要专家、研究人员和推广机构加强指导和监督工作。由于很难找到长期供资或赞助的来源,因此迫切需要国际和区域技术援助、专门知识和财政支助。
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引用次数: 0
Moderating Effect of Liquidity Risk on the Organisational Culture, Working Capital Management and Innovation towards Firm Performance 流动性风险对组织文化、营运资金管理和企业绩效创新的调节作用
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-07-14 DOI: 10.47604/ijfa.1572
Gulkiz Kurban, Hussen Nasir
Purpose: The propose of this study is to investigate the moderating effect of liquidity risk on the relationship between organizational culture, working capital management and innovation towards firm performance. Methodology: Total of 311 questionnaire were distributed in order to test the relationship between the independent and dependent variables. Questionnaire were distributed and collected with self-report and with google forms. This study also used Statistical Packages for the Social Science (SPSS) to test the hypothesis of this study. A total of six hypotheses were distributed in this study. Findings: As a result, out of six hypothesis, three hypothesis were tested as positive and three hypothesis tested as negative. Unique Contribution to Theory, Practice and Policy: It also suggests that firms need to consider liquidity risk as a strategic step that needs to be taken into account. The first implication of the theory is that this study has contributed resourced-based theory.
摘要目的:本研究旨在探讨流动性风险对组织文化、营运资金管理和创新对企业绩效的调节作用。方法:共发放问卷311份,检验自变量与因变量之间的关系。问卷以自我报告和google表格的形式发放和收集。本研究亦使用SPSS (Statistical Packages for the Social Science)来检验本研究的假设。本研究共分布了6个假设。结果:在6个假设中,3个假设被检验为阳性,3个假设被检验为阴性。对理论、实践和政策的独特贡献:它还建议公司需要将流动性风险视为需要考虑的战略步骤。该理论的第一个含义是本研究贡献了基于资源的理论。
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引用次数: 0
THE IMPACT OF MICRO FINANCING ON WOMEN: A BRIEF REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE 小额融资对妇女的影响:文献综述
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-23 DOI: 10.47604/ijfa.1565
Chintu Mazakaza, C. Odoyo
Purpose: To assess how women entrepreneurs have been impacted by microfinance. Methodology: Brief review of the literature. Findings: Microfinance has been one of the development tools used to empower disadvantaged women entrepreneurs.  The microfinance sector is increasingly being seen to be lucrative and the recent profit focus by new players in this sector and the effects of the COVID 19 pandemic are likely to reduce the social performance gains.  Unique contribution to theory, practice and policy:  There is theory that access to microfinance by women leads to women empowerment, improved livelihoods and decision making. The literature review supports the theory but also highlights that microfinance on its own cannot succeed without addressing other socio economic challenges such as gender violence. Future studies needs to take an in-depth view of the socio economic challenges and how they can be mitigated once women are empowered.
目的:评估小额信贷对女企业家的影响。方法:简要回顾文献。研究结果:小额信贷已成为赋权弱势女企业家的发展工具之一。小额信贷行业越来越被视为有利可图的行业,最近该行业新参与者的利润重点以及COVID - 19大流行的影响可能会降低社会绩效的收益。对理论、实践和政策的独特贡献:有理论认为,妇女获得小额信贷可以增强妇女权能,改善生计和决策。文献综述支持这一理论,但也强调,如果不解决性别暴力等其他社会经济挑战,小额信贷本身就无法取得成功。今后的研究需要深入研究社会经济挑战,以及一旦妇女获得权力如何减轻这些挑战。
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引用次数: 1
Pension Fund’s Risk Management Investment Portfolio in Tanzania 坦桑尼亚养老基金的风险管理投资组合
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-16 DOI: 10.37284/ijfa.1.1.712
M. L. Bukwimba
The study intends to assess the risk exposure of assets from the pension funds investment portfolio and suggest possible solutions of mitigating the risk of severe loss that is likely to occur over a given period of time. The study engaged secondary data of annual return series from five individual assets which are Government Securities (GSs), Fixed Deposits (FDs), Corporate Bonds (CBs), Equities and Real Estates (REs) with the total number of 18 observations. In order to achieve the objectives of the study, the author applied the Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model and Cornish-Fisher expansion model for data analysis to calculate Value at Risk (VaR) for individual assets in Pension Funds investment portfolio from the financial year 1998/1999 to 2016/2017. The results from both techniques employed indicated that, Corporate Bonds (CBs) has the highest Value at Risk (VaR) followed by, Fixed Deposits (FDs), Equity, Real Estates and Government Securities (GSs). There were some renovations in the social security industry in Tanzania as among the approaches to combat risk that avails with minimal effects in the operationalization of Pension Funds, therefore the findings of the study are relevant to help pension funds in Tanzania to mitigate the risk of strict loss that is likely to occur in their investment portfolio due to market fluctuations over a given period of time.
这项研究旨在评估养恤基金投资组合资产的风险,并提出可能的解决办法,以减轻在一段时间内可能发生的严重损失风险。本研究采用了政府证券(GSs)、定期存款(FDs)、公司债券(CBs)、股票和房地产(REs)五种单项资产的年收益序列的二次数据,共有18个观察值。为了达到研究目的,本文运用广义自回归条件异方差(GARCH)模型和Cornish-Fisher展开模型进行数据分析,计算1998/1999 - 2016/2017财政年度养老基金投资组合中单个资产的风险价值(VaR)。采用两种技术的结果表明,公司债券(CBs)具有最高的风险价值(VaR),其次是定期存款(FDs),股票,房地产和政府证券(GSs)。坦桑尼亚的社会保障行业进行了一些改革,作为应对风险的方法之一,这些方法对养恤基金的运作效果甚微,因此,研究结果有助于坦桑尼亚的养恤基金减轻其投资组合因一定时期内市场波动而可能发生的严重损失的风险。
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引用次数: 1
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International Journal of Banking, Accounting and Finance
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