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Determinants of the Proportional Income Tax Revenue: A Comparative Assessment of Russia and Bulgaria 比例所得税收入的决定因素:俄罗斯和保加利亚的比较评估
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/jtr.2022.8.1.108
Stoyan Tanchev
Initially flat-rate income taxes only existed in tax havens, but presently, 26 countries have adopted the proportional tax as a fiscal instrument to increase budget revenues and accelerate economic growth. This article empirically examines the determinants affecting the revenues from a proportional income tax with non-taxable minimum (negative flat tax) used in Russia and a proportional income tax without non-taxable minimum (pure flat tax) used in Bulgaria. The research objective is to estimate the impact of the macroeconomic variables such as gross disposable income, employment, gross capital formation and government expenditures on the revenue from the proportional income tax in Russia and Bulgaria. The study employs an ordinary least square (OLS) method and quarterly seasonally adjusted data for the period 2008–2020. For Russia, quarterly seasonally adjusted data for the period from March 2008 till December 2020 were used, including 52 observations. For Bulgaria, quarterly seasonally adjusted data for the period from March 2008 till March 2020 were used, including 49 observations. Basing on the results, it may be inferred that the increase of the gross disposable income and higher marginal tax rate of the proportional tax with a non-taxable minimum collect more nominal revenue in the budget, as Russia’s example showed. The increase of the employment related with a lower marginal tax rate of the proportional income tax without a non-taxable minimum collect less nominal revenue as Bulgaria’s example shows. A standpoint of the revenue in the budget the proportional income tax with non-taxable minimum is more effective than proportional income tax without non-taxable minimum.
最初,单一税率的所得税只存在于避税天堂,但目前,26个国家采用了比例税作为增加预算收入和加速经济增长的财政工具。本文实证研究了影响收入的决定因素从比例所得税与非税最低(负单一税)在俄罗斯使用和比例所得税没有非税最低(纯单一税)在保加利亚使用。研究的目的是估计宏观经济变量,如总可支配收入,就业,总资本形成和政府支出对俄罗斯和保加利亚比例所得税收入的影响。本研究采用普通最小二乘(OLS)方法和2008-2020年的季度季节性调整数据。对于俄罗斯,使用的是2008年3月至2020年12月期间的季度季节性调整数据,包括52个观测值。对于保加利亚,使用的是2008年3月至2020年3月期间的季度季节性调整数据,包括49个观测值。根据结果可以推断,如俄罗斯的例子所示,增加可支配总收入和提高具有非应税最低税率的比例税的边际税率可以在预算中获得更多的名义收入。如保加利亚的例子所示,与较低的比例所得税边际税率相关的就业增加,而没有不应课税的最低限度,会减少名义收入。从预算收入的角度来看,有免征最低税额的比例所得税比没有免征最低税额的比例所得税更有效。
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引用次数: 0
Ownership Structure and Tax Avoidance in Asia: a Systematic Literature Review and a Research Agenda 亚洲的股权结构与避税:系统文献回顾与研究议程
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/jtr.2022.8.2.115
M. Syukur, M. Madah Marzuki, M. Zakaria
The paper aims to understand the impact of corporate ownership structure on tax avoidance in Asian contexts. The ownership structure in Asia is concentrated in one group of shareholders, which enables this shareholder to have a significant influence on tax avoidance. This research mainly reviews published research articles. Search terms, such as ownership, tax avoidance, and tax aggressiveness were used in the search function in all fields of the papers from Scopus and Web of Science databases. This study captured nine pieces of empirical research after applying several filtrations (inclusion and exclusion) in the article search. Most of selected researches were conducted in China, while some in Southeast Asia. There are four review questions in this research, namely: (1) How do shareholders influence tax avoidance levels in Asia; (2) What is the best way to measure the level of ownership and tax avoidance; (3) What type of corporate owners do scholars study the most and the least; (4) What are the methodological gaps in the research topic (corporate ownership and tax avoidance) that future scholars should be aware of. The paper finds that different shareholders behave differently towards tax, and the behaviour is according to the host country’s attributes, such as country settings, national tax policy, and investor protection levels. The study primarily helps governments and regulators understand the motives and techniques shareholders apply to avoid tax. Furthermore, it also provides repeatable methodological guidance in detail for future researchers to conduct a systematic literature review and for research students to formulate their hypothesis on the relationship between ownership structure and tax avoidance.
本文旨在了解在亚洲背景下公司股权结构对避税的影响。亚洲的股权结构集中在一群股东身上,这使得这群股东对避税有很大的影响。本研究主要回顾已发表的研究文章。在Scopus和Web of Science数据库中所有领域的论文的搜索功能中都使用了所有权、避税和攻击性等搜索词。本研究在文章检索中进行了多次过滤(包括和排除)后,捕获了九篇实证研究。所选研究大多在中国进行,也有一些在东南亚进行。本研究有四个审查问题,即:(1)股东如何影响亚洲的避税水平;(2)衡量所有权和避税水平的最佳方法是什么;(3)学者对哪种类型的公司所有者研究最多,研究最少;(4)未来学者在研究课题(公司所有权与避税)中需要注意的方法论空白是什么?本文发现,不同的股东对税收的行为不同,而这种行为取决于东道国的属性,如国家环境、国家税收政策和投资者保护水平。这项研究主要是帮助政府和监管机构了解股东避税的动机和技巧。此外,它还为未来的研究人员进行系统的文献综述以及为研究生提出关于所有权结构与避税关系的假设提供了可重复的详细方法指导。
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引用次数: 3
Taxation-Based Indicators as a Measure of Income Inequality in Russian Regions 以税收为基础的指标作为俄罗斯地区收入不平等的衡量标准
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/jtr.2022.8.1.107
A. Pugachev
Russia is one of the most unequal of the world’s major economies, with its wealth and income inequalities having drastically increased in recent years. This study aims to describe the influence of the flat personal income tax on income inequality in Russia and its regional characteristics by analyzing per capita tax revenues. The hypothesis is that the system of income taxation that existed in Russia until 2021 did not help reduce income inequality but on the contrary, exacerbated it, which is particularly evident on the regional level. Methodologically, the article relies on statistical analysis of concentration indices, time series analysis, index method, and comparative analysis. The calculations were made with the help of the Analysis ToolPack in MS Excel by using the data on 85 Russian regions. To test the hypothesis, 7 indicators were calculated: the range of variation, standard deviation, coefficient of variation, decile ratio of funds, decile ratio of differentiation, quintile ratio of funds, and the Gini index for 85 Russian regions for the period from 2006 to 2020. In the given period, these indicators remained steadily at a high level with a slight decrease in 2008–2010. Judging by the dynamics of the Gini index calculated by Rosstat, income inequality tended to decline although there were no significant changes in the regional differences in income while regional inequality also remained high. Monetary income and gross regional product are distributed more evenly across Russian regions in comparison with the personal income tax revenues and tax revenues in general of the regional governments’ consolidated budgets. The findings confirm the hypothesis and show that the personal income tax, which is an essential element of the tax system, exacerbated the situation of inequality in Russian regions. These findings can be of use to policy-makers and contribute to further research on taxation instruments and their potential to reduce or mitigate inequality.
俄罗斯是世界主要经济体中最不平等的国家之一,其财富和收入不平等近年来急剧加剧。本研究旨在通过分析俄罗斯人均税收来描述单一个人所得税对收入不平等的影响及其区域特征。假设是,直到2021年,俄罗斯存在的所得税制度并没有帮助减少收入不平等,相反,加剧了收入不平等,这在地区层面上尤为明显。方法上主要采用浓度指数统计分析、时间序列分析、指数法和比较分析法。利用俄罗斯85个地区的数据,利用MS Excel中的分析工具包进行了计算。为了检验这一假设,我们计算了俄罗斯85个地区2006 - 2020年的7个指标:变异幅度、标准差、变异系数、基金十分位数比、分化十分位数比、基金五分位数比和基尼指数。在此期间,这些指标稳定地保持在较高水平,2008-2010年略有下降。从Rosstat计算的基尼指数动态来看,虽然地区收入差异没有明显变化,但收入不平等有下降的趋势,但地区不平等仍然很高。与个人所得税收入和地区政府综合预算的总体税收相比,货币收入和地区生产总值在俄罗斯各地区的分布更为均匀。研究结果证实了这一假设,并表明个人所得税作为税收制度的重要组成部分,加剧了俄罗斯地区的不平等状况。这些发现对政策制定者有用,有助于进一步研究税收工具及其减少或缓解不平等的潜力。
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引用次数: 1
Analyze the impact of the transition from business tax to VAT on the tax burden of transport enterprises in various regions of China 分析营改增对中国各地区运输企业税负的影响
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/jtr.2022.8.2.117
J. Ma, Y. Leontyeva, A. Domnikov
In recent years, the transportation industry has enjoyed the benefits brought about by changes in the national tax policy. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact of the change from Business Tax to Value-Added Tax (BT-to-VAT) on the tax burden of transport enterprises in various regions of China. Based on the cross-regional characteristics of the transportation industry, China is divided into four regions: eastern, central, western and northeast. Research hypothesis – the tax reduction effect of the BT-to-VAT tax burden is not only related to the characteristics of the enterprise itself, but also related to the regional environment and market integration factors of China. Using the Difference in differences (DID) method, the data covers 22 listed companies from 2009 to 2020. The paper analyzes the internal characteristics of the enterprise itself, the influence of the external environment and the degree of industrial integration on the enterprise, and the reasons for the difference. Empirical research shows that BT-to-VAT reduces the tax burden of enterprises, the eastern region has the least impact on the ratio of corporate income tax expenses to operating income, while the central and western regions have relatively greater impacts. The scale of the enterprise and the level of economic development have a positive effect on the financial efficiency of the enterprise, while the non-current assets ratio and the degree of market integration have a negative effect on the tax burden. This research is beneficial to provide reference for enterprises in different regions to improve their management and to formulate macro policies by relevant national departments.
近年来,交通运输业享受到了国家税收政策变化带来的好处。本文的目的是分析营改增对中国不同地区运输企业税负的影响。根据交通运输业的跨区域特点,将中国划分为东部、中部、西部和东北四个区域。研究假设——营改增税负的减税效果不仅与企业自身特点有关,还与中国的区域环境和市场一体化因素有关。采用差分法(DID),数据涵盖2009 - 2020年22家上市公司。本文分析了企业自身的内部特征,外部环境和产业整合程度对企业的影响,以及产生差异的原因。实证研究表明,营改增降低了企业税负,东部地区对企业所得税费用占营业收入比例的影响最小,中西部地区的影响相对较大。企业规模和经济发展水平对企业财务效率有正向影响,非流动资产比率和市场一体化程度对税负有负向影响。本研究有利于为不同地区的企业提高管理水平和国家有关部门制定宏观政策提供参考。
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引用次数: 2
The Effect of Fiscal Policies on Business Cycles in Turkey 财政政策对土耳其经济周期的影响
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/jtr.2022.8.3.118
M. Gülşen
Fiscal policies are designed to balance cyclical fluctuations. Fiscal policies in developed countries are mostly countercyclical. However, fiscal policies alone cannot explain the cyclical effect of fiscal policies implemented in developing countries. This is due to weak institutional structures, political restrictions, and populist practices. The study examined the effect of fiscal policies on business cycles in Turkey between 1975–2020 using the ARDL model and annual data. According to the findings, public expenditures, investment expenditures, tax revenues, direct tax revenues, and budget balance increase the output gap. On the other hand, trade openness, government transfer payments, and indirect tax revenues reduce the output gap. Based on the empirical findings, the following comments can be made: (a) fiscal policy can be considered cyclical in this period; (b) cyclical fluctuations are reduced in open economies; (c) budget balance increases cyclical fluctuations (non-Keynesian effect). A possible reason for this is that the budget revenues mainly consist of indirect tax revenues (70% in Turkey). The significance of the results obtained in the study are as follows: (1) analyzes the impact of fiscal policies implemented by a developing economy on stability using a current and long time series; (2) provides an insight into the institutional quality and response of implemented fiscal policies through short- and long-term analysis; (3) analyzes the effect of Turkey’s ability to implement fiscal policies, which prefers the global markets integration model, and the tax technique it creates, on the economy.
财政政策旨在平衡周期性波动。发达国家的财政政策大多是逆周期的。然而,财政政策本身并不能解释发展中国家实施的财政政策的周期性效应。这是由于制度结构薄弱、政治限制和民粹主义做法造成的。该研究使用ARDL模型和年度数据考察了1975-2020年间土耳其财政政策对商业周期的影响。研究发现,公共支出、投资支出、税收收入、直接税收入和预算平衡增加了产出缺口。另一方面,贸易开放、政府转移支付和间接税收减少了产出缺口。根据实证研究结果,可以得出以下评论:(a)财政政策在这一时期可以被认为是周期性的;(b)开放经济体的周期性波动减少;(c)预算平衡增加了周期性波动(非凯恩斯效应)。一个可能的原因是预算收入主要由间接税收入组成(在土耳其占70%)。研究结果的意义在于:(1)利用当前和长时间序列分析了发展中经济体实施的财政政策对稳定性的影响;(2)通过短期和长期分析,深入了解财政政策实施的制度质量和反应;(3)分析了土耳其实施财政政策的能力及其创造的税收技术对经济的影响,土耳其倾向于全球市场一体化模式。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of Business House Rental Income Taxpayers’ Compliance with Tax System in Afar Region, Northeast Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚东北部阿法尔地区企业房屋租赁收入纳税人纳税遵从性的决定因素
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/jtr.2022.8.3.121
Abibual Getachew Nigatu, Atinkugn Assefa Belete
The biggest impediment to the Ethiopian government’s ability to raise revenue by its means to the required level is the lack of taxpayers’ compliance behavior with the tax system. Therefore, this study examines the key determinants of taxpayers’ compliance behavior with the tax system in the Afar regional state. To this end, two purposively selected woredas (Awash and Aba’ala) and one city administration (Samara-logia) were used. Primary data were collected from 404 randomly selected respondents. The ordered logistic regression model was used to analyze the factors that determine tax compliance. Results show that tax knowledge, probability of detection, perception of government spending, organizational strength of the tax authority, fairness of the tax system, and simplicity of the tax system have positive effects on tax compliance, whereas tax rates have a negative effect on tax compliance in the Afar regional state. As a result, it is suggested that the tax authorities launch effective and brief awareness-development and tax education programs for the general public and taxpayers in particular. The tax system, notably the tax return, tax forms, and tax rules, should be simplified by the tax authorities so that they are readily understood by taxpayers. Furthermore, the tax authorities should be powerful enough to effectively and efficiently enforce the tax laws, and to ensure tax fairness, their tax liability must be determined by their ability to pay. Lastly, the government must maintain accountability and transparency in how tax revenue is dispensed, as well as deliver social services to the public efficiently and intelligently so that taxpayers have faith in and a favorable attitude toward the taxes they pay and the tax system.
埃塞俄比亚政府通过其手段将收入提高到所需水平的最大障碍是纳税人缺乏对税收制度的合规行为。因此,本研究考察了阿法尔地区国家纳税人遵守税收制度行为的关键决定因素。为此,我们特意选择了两个行政区(Awash和Aba 'ala)和一个行政区(Samara-logia)。主要数据是从404个随机选择的受访者中收集的。采用有序logistic回归模型对影响纳税合规性的因素进行分析。结果表明,在阿法尔地区,税收知识、发现概率、政府支出感知、税务机关的组织强度、税收制度的公平性和税收制度的简洁性对税收合规有正向影响,而税率对税收合规有负向影响。因此,建议税务机关针对普通公众,特别是纳税人,开展有效而简短的意识发展和税收教育项目。税务机关应该简化税收制度,特别是纳税申报单、纳税表格和税收规则,以便纳税人容易理解。此外,税务机关应该有足够的权力来有效和高效地执行税法,为了确保税收公平,他们的纳税义务必须由他们的支付能力决定。最后,政府必须保持税收分配的问责制和透明度,并有效和明智地向公众提供社会服务,使纳税人对他们所缴纳的税收和税收制度有信心和好感。
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引用次数: 0
Stress index of the Tax System of the Russian Federation in terms of Tax Revenues 俄罗斯联邦税收制度在税收方面的压力指数
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/jtr.2022.8.3.120
M. Malkina, R. Balakin
Economic systems are increasingly exposed to external shocks of various nature, which test their resilience. The tax system, which is directly linked to the level of business activity, is one of the first to experience stress, so the ways it reacts to shock are of particular research interest. The 2020–2021 coronavirus pandemic made such studies more acute. The purpose of the paper is to develop and test new approaches in studying the resilience of the tax system in terms of tax revenues by analyzing the dynamics and structure of the tax system stress index in the Russian Federation in pre-pandemic, pandemic and recovery periods. The tax system stress index for tax revenues is calculated as the difference between the moving standard deviation and the moving average growth rate of tax revenues. We have developed a method for decomposing the stress index by source with determining the contribution of each tax to the average growth rate and to the standard deviation of the growth rate. We have also calculated the Russian Federation tax revenue stress index from December 2015 to March 2022 and identified its sources. It was found that the stress indices for almost all taxes (except for excises and state duties) are significantly positively correlated with each other. The main contribution to the growth of the stress index during the crisis and its decline within the recovery period is made by profit tax and a group of taxes on natural rent, which significantly negatively correlate with oil prices. Under the pandemic crisis in Russia, the stress index on revenue form special tax regimes also increased significantly. It was found that the personal income tax has a stabilizing effect on the tax system stress index in the crisis and post-crisis periods. During the pandemic in Russia, the damping role of excises also came to the fore, which is explained by institutional factors and changes in tax rates. The research findings can be advantageous for the authorities to make an impact on the most vulnerable components of the tax system of the Russian Federation in order to increase its resilience to crises.
经济体系越来越多地受到各种性质的外部冲击的影响,这些冲击考验着它们的恢复能力。与商业活动水平直接相关的税收体系是最先受到压力的体系之一,因此它对冲击的反应方式特别值得研究。2020-2021年的冠状病毒大流行使这类研究更加紧迫。该文件的目的是通过分析俄罗斯联邦在大流行前、大流行和恢复期的税收制度压力指数的动态和结构,开发和测试从税收收入角度研究税收制度弹性的新方法。税收的税制压力指数是税收的移动标准差与移动平均增长率之差。我们开发了一种按来源分解压力指数的方法,确定每种税对平均增长率和增长率标准差的贡献。我们还计算了2015年12月至2022年3月的俄罗斯联邦税收压力指数,并确定了其来源。研究发现,几乎所有税种(除了消费税和国税)的压力指数都呈显著正相关。危机期间压力指数的增长和复苏期间压力指数下降的主要原因是利得税和一组自然租金税,它们与油价呈显著负相关。在俄罗斯大流行危机下,特殊税收制度的收入压力指数也显著增加。研究发现,在危机时期和危机后时期,个人所得税对税制压力指数具有稳定作用。在俄罗斯疫情期间,税收的抑制作用也凸显出来,这可以用制度因素和税率变化来解释。研究结果可能有利于当局对俄罗斯联邦税收制度中最脆弱的部分产生影响,以提高其应对危机的能力。
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引用次数: 0
Quo Vadis Tax and Levy Burden of Wages in the Czech Republic? Tax Reform in 2022 捷克共和国的税收和工资征收负担?2022年的税制改革
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/jtr.2022.8.1.106
M. Krajňák
The article deals with changes in personal income taxation in the Czech Republic in 2022 and their impact on the tax burden. The article also deals with the levy burden represented by payments for social security contributions. An extensive tax reform changing the method of taxation of income from dependent activities took place in the Czech Republic in 2021. Its continuing effects was added with impact of legislation changes after 1 January 2022. The most significant change is the increase in the taxpayer’s relief by CZK 3,000. The assessment of how these changes affect the tax burden was made by calculating the effective tax rates. The research methodology includes methods of regression and correlation analysis and methods for time-series analysing. The average wages used by the Czech Social Security Administration for the purposes of calculating social security contributions were used for the analysis. The results show that the tax burden has decreased since 2022 if basic taxpayer relief is applied. For the taxpayer, who, in addition to the taxpayer’s relief, also claims a tax credit for children, the tax burden increases slightly. Although in most cases, the income is subject to the nominal linear tax rate, in comparison with the previous year, there is an increase in the progressivity of the personal income tax due to the rise of the tax relief per taxpayer. On the other hand, social security contributions are both nominally and real linear. There are no significant reforms in this area in comparison with the tax burden. Due to the decrease in the tax burden, in some cases, the levy burden of social security contributions is higher, even though their nominal rate is lower than the nominal income tax rate.
本文讨论了2022年捷克共和国个人所得税的变化及其对税负的影响。该条还讨论了以支付社会保障缴款为代表的征税负担。2021年,捷克共和国进行了广泛的税收改革,改变了从属活动收入的征税方法。随着2022年1月1日之后立法变化的影响,其持续影响也增加了。最显著的变化是纳税人的减免增加了3000捷克克朗。通过计算实际税率来评估这些变化对税负的影响。研究方法包括回归与相关分析方法和时间序列分析方法。分析使用了捷克社会保险管理局为计算社会保险缴款而使用的平均工资。结果显示,从2022年开始,如果适用基本减免,税金负担有所减少。对于纳税人来说,除了纳税人的减免外,还要求子女的税收抵免,税负略有增加。虽然在大多数情况下,收入受名义线性税率的约束,但与前一年相比,由于每个纳税人的税收减免增加,个人所得税的累进性有所增加。另一方面,社会保障缴费在名义上和实际上都是线性的。与税收负担相比,这一领域没有重大改革。由于税收负担的减少,在某些情况下,社会保障缴款的征收负担更高,尽管其名义税率低于名义所得税税率。
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引用次数: 0
Application of digital technology in enhancing tax revenue collection: the case of micro businesses in Tanzania 数字技术在加强税收征收中的应用——以坦桑尼亚的微型企业为例
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.15826/jtr.2021.7.2.097
G. Oreku
In spite of the importance of Micro Businesses (MBs) in forming a wide tax base, there isn’t a clear practical approach to tax administration of MBs in many developing countries. Specifically, there is limited information on how digital technology can address tax administration challenges for MBs. This paper explores the potentials of digital technology to enhance tax revenue collection and its administration to Micro Businesses in the Tanzanian context. The data on tax administration, challenges impeding tax administration to MBs, and the potential of digital technology used in tax administration were collected by questionnaire and interview. Interviews were conducted with 24 informants from Tanzania Revenue Authority, and 137 Micro Business candidates from various business sectors were provided with a questionnaire in Dar es Salaam, which is the head office of tax administration and the economic hub of Tanzania. Thematic approach was used to analyse the qualitative data. Descriptive statistics was used to analyse quantitative data through SPPS. The findings revealed that the current tax practices to MBs do not comply with tax theories of low administration cost, wide tax base, and simple-to-administer tax procedure. The findings revealed that the challenges like lack of record keeping, lack of knowledge on tax payment procedures, unknown tax collection channels, and multiple taxes can be tackled by establishing strong relationship mechanisms between TRA and MBs and using digital technology solutions to tackle challenges. The study suggests some digital technology solutions to address the challenges. Leading to that practical aspect of tax administration that can guide policy makers and tax administrators was introduced.
尽管微型企业在形成广泛的税基方面很重要,但在许多发展中国家,微型企业的税务管理并没有一个明确可行的方法。具体而言,关于数字技术如何应对MBs的税务管理挑战的信息有限。本文探讨了数字技术在坦桑尼亚背景下加强税收征收及其对微型企业管理的潜力。通过问卷调查和访谈收集了有关税务管理的数据、阻碍MBs税务管理的挑战以及数字技术在税务管理中的潜力。对坦桑尼亚税务局的24名举报人进行了采访,并向来自各个商业部门的137名微型企业候选人提供了达累斯萨拉姆的问卷调查,达累斯萨拉姆是坦桑尼亚的税务管理总部和经济中心。采用专题方法分析定性数据。描述性统计用于通过SPPS分析定量数据。研究结果表明,目前MBs的税收实践不符合管理成本低、税基宽、税收程序简单的税收理论。研究结果表明,通过在TRA和MBs之间建立强有力的关系机制,并使用数字技术解决方案来应对挑战,可以解决缺乏记录、缺乏纳税程序知识、未知的税收征收渠道和多种税收等挑战。该研究提出了一些数字技术解决方案来应对这些挑战。引入了可以指导政策制定者和税务管理人员的税务管理的实用方面。
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引用次数: 3
Fiscal policy and economic growth: Evidence from Central and Eastern Europe 财政政策与经济增长:来自中欧和东欧的证据
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.15826/jtr.2021.7.2.095
D. Stoilova, I. Todorov
This study aims to estimate the impact of three fiscal instruments (direct tax revenue, indirect tax revenue and government consumption expenditure) on the economic growth of ten new European Union member states from Central and Eastern Europe– Bulgaria, Czechia, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia. We examine the hypothesis about the effect of expansionary fiscal policy on economic growth. The study employs a vector autoregression and annual Eurostat data for the period 2007–2019. Four control variables (the shares of gross capital formation, household consumption, exports in GDP, and the economic growth in the euro area) are included in the model to account for the influence of non-fiscal factors on economic growth. The empirical results indicate that the real output growth rate in the ten new member states of the European Union is negatively affected by direct tax revenue, while economic growth in the euro area, exports and gross capital formation are positively related to economic growth. The results also imply that government consumption and indirect tax revenue have no significant impact on the growth rate of real output of the ten studied countries from Central and Eastern Europe. It may be inferred that policymakers in the new European Union member states can raise economic growth by encouraging exports and investment and by lowering the share of direct tax revenue in GDP. From the three analyzed fiscal instruments (direct taxes, indirect taxes and government consumption expenditure), only one has proven to be effective in the case of the new member countries.
本研究旨在估计三种财政工具(直接税收入、间接税收入和政府消费支出)对来自中欧和东欧的十个新欧盟成员国——保加利亚、捷克、爱沙尼亚、匈牙利、拉脱维亚、立陶宛、波兰、罗马尼亚、斯洛伐克和斯洛文尼亚——经济增长的影响。我们检验了扩张性财政政策对经济增长影响的假设。该研究采用了向量自回归和欧盟统计局2007-2019年的年度数据。模型中包括四个控制变量(资本形成总额、家庭消费、出口占GDP的份额和欧元区的经济增长),以解释非财政因素对经济增长的影响。实证结果表明,欧盟十个新成员国的实际产出增长率受到直接税收入的负面影响,而欧元区的经济增长、出口和资本形成总额与经济增长呈正相关。研究结果还表明,政府消费和间接税收入对中东欧十个被研究国家的实际产出增长率没有显著影响。可以推断,欧盟新成员国的政策制定者可以通过鼓励出口和投资以及降低直接税收入在国内生产总值中的份额来提高经济增长。从分析的三种财政工具(直接税、间接税和政府消费支出)来看,只有一种在新成员国的情况下被证明是有效的。
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引用次数: 2
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Journal of Tax Reform
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