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Evaluation the impact of the personal income tax reform in the Czech Republic in 2021 on effective tax rate and tax progressivity 评估2021年捷克共和国个人所得税改革对有效税率和税收累进性的影响
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.15826/jtr.2021.7.2.094
M. Krajňák
Legislation governing personal income taxation is often subject to changes. A significant personal income tax reform was carried out in the Czech Republic in 2021. The reform implements a progressive tax rate, changes the way the tax base is determined, and increases the tax relief for the taxpayer. The aim of the article is to evaluate the impact of the personal income tax reform on the effective tax rate and tax progressivity. To that end, methods of regression analysis have been used. The source of information for analysis was the data published by the Czech Statistical Office. It was found that in 2021, in comparison with 2020, the tax burden represented in this study by the effective tax rate, in all cases became lower, approximately by 5%. The main reason for this decline is the adjustment of the method of construction of the tax base, which, for the first time in the history of the Income Tax Act, is gross wages. Until the end of 2020, the tax base was a super-gross wage, or the gross wage increased by social security contribution borne by the employer at his costs. The second factor that reduces the tax burden is a CZK 3,000 increase in the deduction per taxpayer per year. This fact increases the degree of tax progressivity, as confirmed by the results of the progressivity analysis and the regression analysis. The changes that have taken place in the personal income tax this year have a positive impact on the taxpayer, but from the point of view of the state, this reform has reduced the state budget revenues.
管理个人所得税的立法经常会发生变化。2021年,捷克共和国进行了一项重大的个人所得税改革。改革实行累进税率,改变税基确定方式,增加对纳税人的税收减免。本文的目的是评估个人所得税改革对有效税率和税收累进性的影响。为此,使用了回归分析的方法。用于分析的信息来源是捷克统计局公布的数据。研究发现,与2020年相比,2021年,本研究中以实际税率表示的税负在所有情况下都变低了,约为5%。这一下降的主要原因是税基建设方法的调整,在《所得税法》的历史上,税基首次是工资总额。直到2020年底,税基都是超级总工资,或由雇主承担的社会保障缴款增加的总工资。减轻税负的第二个因素是每个纳税人每年的扣除额增加3000捷克克朗。累进性分析和回归分析的结果证实,这一事实增加了税收的累进性。今年个人所得税的变化对纳税人产生了积极影响,但从国家的角度来看,这项改革减少了国家预算收入。
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引用次数: 0
Modelling of a relative income tax bracket-based progression with the effect of a slower tax burden growth 税收负担增长放缓影响下基于相对所得税等级的累进模型
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.15826/jtr.2021.7.2.096
D. Lapov, I. Mayburov
This study aims to model the distribution of the tax burden in schedular progressive taxation and to describe the key characteristics of such models, in particular their differences from the models based on continuously increasing smooth functions of the relationship between the tax burden and the taxpayer's income. Our hypothesis is that the use of the Gompertz function to model the main indicators of tax burden distribution of the schedular progressive income tax will help us approximate and formalize the distribution of the tax burden in a relative income tax bracket-based progression. Our research relies on the hypothetico-deductive model, more specifically, on mathematical hypothesis testing. The methodological framework comprises models of progressive taxation and mathematical methods, including data approximation based on the use of the Gompertz function, analysis of the antiderivative and convexity of functions and their properties. The resulting model can be used to describe the dynamic characteristics of the relationship between the tax burden and certain parameters of schedular taxation. This model can help identify the level of income beyond which the progression of the tax burden becomes formal and does not generate commensurately high revenue growth. The existence of such income level results in what can be considered the key drawback of the relative progression in question – the impossibility to provide a significant difference (step) of the tax burden progression in the whole interval of the taxpayer's income. What makes this research practically significant is that the proposed methodology allows us to take into account the actual tax burden in modelling the parameters of the relative progression.
本研究旨在对计划累进税中的税负分布进行建模,并描述这些模型的关键特征,特别是它们与基于税负与纳税人收入之间关系的不断增加的平滑函数的模型的差异。我们的假设是,使用Gompertz函数对附表累进所得税税负分布的主要指标进行建模,将有助于我们在基于相对所得税等级的累进中近似和形式化税负分布。我们的研究依赖于假设-演绎模型,更具体地说,依赖于数学假设检验。方法框架包括累进税模型和数学方法,包括基于Gompertz函数的数据近似,分析函数的反导数和凸性及其性质。所得模型可用于描述税收负担与计划税收的某些参数之间关系的动态特征。该模型可以帮助确定收入水平,超过该水平,税收负担的进展将变得正式,并且不会产生相应的高收入增长。这种收入水平的存在导致了可以被认为是所讨论的相对累进的主要缺点——不可能在纳税人收入的整个区间内提供税负累进的显著差异(阶跃)。使这项研究具有实际意义的是,所提出的方法使我们能够在建模相对累进的参数时考虑实际的税收负担。
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引用次数: 1
Development of the tax administration in Russia: Results and prospects 俄罗斯税务管理的发展:成果与展望
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.15826/jtr.2021.7.2.093
Georgy A. Borshchevskiy, Nodar Z. Mossaki
The study aims to identify the milestone events in the development of the tax administration in post-Soviet Russia and to offer recommendations for its further improvement. We tested the hypothesis about the relationship between the development of the tax system and tax administration, which, once established, can play a role in the improvement of the tax administration’s efficiency. The study relies on quantitative (regression and correlation analysis, factor analysis, principal component analysis) and qualitative methods (classification, thesaurus analysis, SWOT-analysis, critical points method). We also analyzed the legal acts describing the goals (target indicators) for the development of the tax system and tax administration and propose a set of integral indices characterizing these processes. The key events (factors) for the period starting from the 1990s to the present were identified and ranked in order of importance. Their impact was investigated with the help of SWOT-analysis and factor analysis methods. We found that in the given period, there was an increase in the correspondence between the goals of the tax administration and the goals of the tax system. This means that the tax administration’s management and staff have become more motivated to upscale their priorities and to orient their activities towards public good. The analysis of indices for the given periods has shown improved performance of the tax system and tax administration. The index of tax administration development is based on four indicators. Between the 1990s and 2010s, the index grew by 13% mainly because of the expanded scope of functions of the tax administration, staff downsizing and optimization of the remuneration system. We found that there is a significant statistical relationship between the indices of development of the tax system and tax administration.
本研究旨在确定后苏联时期俄罗斯税务管理发展中的里程碑事件,并为其进一步改进提供建议。我们检验了税收制度发展与税收管理之间关系的假设,一旦建立,税收制度发展和税收管理之间的关系将对提高税收管理效率发挥作用。本研究采用定量(回归相关分析、因子分析、主成分分析)和定性方法(分类、叙词表分析、SWOT分析、临界点法)。我们还分析了描述税收制度和税务管理发展目标(目标指标)的法律行为,并提出了一套表征这些过程的整体指标。确定了从1990年代到现在这段时期的关键事件(因素),并按重要性排序。运用SWOT分析法和因子分析法对其影响进行了调查。我们发现,在给定的时期内,税收管理目标与税收制度目标之间的对应关系有所增加。这意味着税务局的管理层和工作人员更有动力提升他们的优先事项,并将他们的活动导向公共利益。对特定时期指数的分析表明,税收制度和税务管理的表现有所改善。税务管理发展指数基于四个指标。在20世纪90年代至2010年代期间,该指数增长了13%,主要是因为税务管理职能范围扩大、员工精简和薪酬制度优化。我们发现,税收制度发展指标与税收管理指标之间存在显著的统计关系。
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引用次数: 0
Political tax cycles: Cyclicality of the tax burden in election periods 政治税收周期:选举期间税收负担的周期性
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.15826/jtr.2021.7.2.098
K. Rudy
The article discusses changes in the tax burden in election and post-election years in countries with different levels of economic and political development. The study uses the data on 121 countries for the period between 1991 and 2019 to test two hypotheses: 1) in election years, governments tend to boost spending while in post-election years government expenditures decline, which determines a similar dynamic of the tax burden; 2) in election years the tax burden decreases and in post-election years it either increases or decreases at a slower rate than in election periods. Methodologically, the study relies on multi-factor regression analysis of panel data. As a result, the first hypothesis is confirmed for high-income countries where the governments increase their spending to ensure the incumbent’s re-election and cut their expenditures after the election. In developed countries, in election years, the government’s spending was 0.4% higher than in other periods. In developed countries, governments were motivated to raise rather than reduce the tax burden in order to compensate for their increased expenditures. No common pattern of declining tax burden in election periods was detected for all observed countries, for groups of countries by income level (high-income, middle- or low-income) or for groups of countries by political regime type (democratic and non-democratic– hybrid or authoritarian). However, the analysis of the annual data on taxes has shown that the decline in the tax burden can occur in countries with developing economic and political systems as was the case with Armenia, Russia and Ukraine in 1992–2019. In general, the findings demonstrate that the governments are more prone to using monetary and fiscal rather than tax instruments in election periods.
本文讨论了不同经济和政治发展水平的国家在选举和选举后年份的税负变化。该研究使用了121个国家1991年至2019年的数据来检验两个假设:1)在选举年,政府倾向于增加支出,而在选举后的年份,政府支出会下降,这决定了税收负担的类似动态;2)在选举年,税负减少,而在选举后的年份,税负增加或减少的速度比选举年慢。在方法上,本研究依赖于面板数据的多因素回归分析。因此,第一个假设在高收入国家得到了证实,在高收入国家,政府增加支出以确保现任总统连任,并在选举后削减支出。在发达国家,在选举年,政府支出比其他时期高出0.4%。在发达国家,政府的动机是提高而不是减少税收负担,以补偿其增加的支出。在所有观察到的国家、按收入水平(高收入、中等收入或低收入)分组的国家或按政治制度类型(民主和非民主-混合或专制)分组的国家中,没有发现在选举期间税收负担下降的共同模式。然而,对年度税收数据的分析表明,税收负担的下降可能发生在经济和政治制度发展中的国家,如1992-2019年亚美尼亚、俄罗斯和乌克兰的情况。总的来说,研究结果表明,在选举期间,政府更倾向于使用货币和财政工具,而不是税收工具。
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引用次数: 0
Individual property tax to fund public transport 为公共交通提供资金的个人财产税
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2021-04-29 DOI: 10.15826/JTR.2021.7.1.087
E. Leontev, Y. Leontyeva
Efficient and reliable public transport is of prime concern to city dwellers. To function efficiently, public transport generally needs subsidies from the state or local government. Our goal was to design and develop an alternative model of property tax that would provide financing for public transport. It was hypothesised that if the market value of real estate depends on the proximity of public transport, property tax can be a reliable source of financing for public transport. Based on the hedonic pricing theory, we used multiple regression to measure the impact of public transport proximity on the value of residential property. The data on the market value of property and property tax was taken from statistical tax reporting forms of the Federal Tax Service. The data on various public transport infrastructure facilities was used from the specialized open registers. We tested our alternative model of property tax, using the case of the Ekaterinburg Metro and the Tram and Trolleybus Company, through regression analysis of 7,685 objects of residential property in the City of Ekaterinburg. It was found that the efficiency of the underground service is higher than that of the city’s tram network. On the average, the proximity of underground stations increases the value of housing by over 6%. As predictive estimation of the amount of tax determined by the proximity of public transport showed, the alternative model of property tax is sufficient to cover capital expenditures of the city’s public transport operators and could, therefore, contribute to further expansion and modernization of the transport network. For citation Leontev E.V., Leontyeva Yu.V. Individual property tax to fund public transport. Journal of Tax Reform. 2021;7(1):6–19. DOI: 10.15826/jtr.2021.7.1.087 Article info Received January 10, 2021; Revised March 14, 2021; Accepted April 9, 2021
高效可靠的公共交通是城市居民最关心的问题。为了有效运行,公共交通通常需要州或地方政府的补贴。我们的目标是设计和开发一种替代的财产税模式,为公共交通提供资金。有人假设,如果房地产的市场价值取决于公共交通的远近,那么财产税可以成为公共交通的可靠融资来源。基于特征定价理论,我们使用多元回归来衡量公共交通邻近度对住宅物业价值的影响。财产和财产税的市场价值数据取自联邦税务局的统计纳税申报表。关于各种公共交通基础设施的数据来自专门的公开登记册。我们以叶卡捷琳堡地铁和电车公司为例,通过对叶卡捷琳娜堡市7685个住宅物业对象的回归分析,测试了我们的财产税替代模型。研究发现,地下服务的效率高于城市有轨电车网络的效率。平均而言,地下车站的临近使住房价值增加了6%以上。正如对由公共交通邻近程度决定的税收金额的预测估计所表明的那样,财产税的替代模型足以支付城市公共交通运营商的资本支出,因此有助于交通网络的进一步扩张和现代化。引用Leontev E.V.,Leontyeva Yu.V.为公共交通提供资金的个人财产税。税务改革杂志。2021年;7(1):6–19.DOI:10.15826/jtr.201.7.1.087文章信息于2021年1月10日收到;修订日期:2021年3月14日;2021年4月9日接受
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引用次数: 2
Underground economy and GDP growth: Evidence from China’s tax reforms 地下经济与GDP增长:来自中国税制改革的证据
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/JTR.2021.7.1.092
Y. Wang, Zhangwen Li
Since 1991, China has implemented two significant tax reforms. The first reform, in 1994, was a large-scale adjustment of the tax distribution system between the central and local governments, and the second reform, in 2012, replaced business tax with value-added tax. Also, the size of China’s underground economy decreased from 13.55% in 1995 to 12.30% in 2016. The paper presents an evaluation of the effect of the two tax reforms and the existing underground economy on GDP growth in China. GDP is defined as explained variable, the explanatory variables include: the ratio of declared income to actual income, the change of concealed income, and the influence of tax rate change on declared income and concealed income. According to the tax reform in 1994 and 2012, two dummy variables are set respectively. In methodology, this paper uses Simultaneous equations model, SUR-OLSs and Slutsky identity. Our estimation is based on the official statistics of China National Bureau of Statistics in the period from 1991 to 2019. In empirical analysis, we decomposed tax changes into tax rate effect (change of budget constraint slope) and income effect (change of tax liability), then analyzed the impact of tax elasticity on GDP growth. The empirical results demonstrate that both the 1994 tax reform and 2012 tax reform have had a positive impact on GDP, with high statistical significance respectively. The results also confirm that the increase of tax rate leads to the increase of hidden income, which eventually leads to the decrease of GDP. The offered methodology can also be applied to most countries for time series analyses.
自1991年以来,中国实施了两次重大的税收改革。第一次改革是1994年大规模调整中央与地方分税制,第二次改革是2012年营业税改征增值税。此外,中国地下经济的规模从1995年的13.55%下降到2016年的12.30%。本文评估了两次税制改革和现有地下经济对中国GDP增长的影响。将GDP定义为被解释变量,解释变量包括:申报收入与实际收入的比值、隐性收入的变化、税率变化对申报收入和隐性收入的影响。根据1994年和2012年的税制改革,分别设置两个虚拟变量。在方法上,本文采用联立方程模型、sur - ols和Slutsky恒等式。我们的估算基于中国国家统计局1991年至2019年的官方统计数据。在实证分析中,我们将税收变动分解为税率效应(预算约束斜率的变化)和收入效应(纳税义务的变化),分析税收弹性对GDP增长的影响。实证结果表明,1994年税制改革和2012年税制改革都对GDP产生了正影响,且分别具有较高的统计显著性。结果也证实了税率的提高导致隐性收入的增加,隐性收入的增加最终导致GDP的下降。所提供的方法也可适用于大多数国家进行时间序列分析。
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引用次数: 1
Improving tax journal’s international visibility: Findings from literature review and faculty survey 提高税务期刊的国际知名度:来自文献综述和教师调查的结果
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/jtr.2021.7.3.103
A. Kireenko
Russian universities are trying to promote their scientific journals in international citation bases and are making attempts to publish their journals in English. The aim of the study is to examine how can this strategy help to increase the international visibility of Russian tax research and tax journals. The literature review was conducted to investigate the role of scientific journal in faculty’s and university’s ranking. Non-random sampling survey was conducted with on-line questionnaire in September 2021 to examine Russian faculty and academics foreign language publications with connection to their foreign language skills. Based on the literature review we indicated three groups of ranking affecting factors: economic factors (author geographic affiliation, size of university or department, presence of strong business schools, academic training outside), co-authorship (international collaboration, number, gender and quality of co-authors) and individual characteristics (journal’s specialization and quality, faculty’s PHD-affiliation and language skills). We found that 95% of the survey participants have publications in foreign language. The significant relationship between the number of publications and the level of language proficiency exists only for participants who have more than 30 foreign language publications. The 89% of respondents who indicated that they never use a foreign language in their professional activities also have foreign language publications, and 15% of them have publications in journals Web of Science and Scopus (Q1 and Q2). Our findings indicated that the lack of language proficiency is not the main handicap for progression of the Russian research and journals visibility in international level. The main challenge is that we need to direct the research to an audience who might not at all be interested or knowledgeable about the national research context. Based on the obtained results, the recommendations were offered to potential contributors of articles in English and editorial boards.
俄罗斯大学正在努力在国际引文库中推广其科学期刊,并正在尝试用英文出版其期刊。本研究的目的是研究这一策略如何有助于提高俄罗斯税务研究和税务期刊的国际知名度。摘要本研究旨在探讨科技期刊在教师排名和大学排名中的作用。2021年9月,通过在线问卷进行了非随机抽样调查,以检查俄罗斯教师和学者的外语出版物与他们的外语技能有关。根据文献综述,我们指出了三组影响排名的因素:经济因素(作者的地理位置、大学或院系的规模、强大商学院的存在、外部学术培训)、合著者(国际合作、合著者的数量、性别和质量)和个人特征(期刊的专业化和质量、教师的博士学位归属和语言技能)。我们发现95%的调查参与者有外文出版物。出版物数量与语言能力水平之间的显著关系仅存在于拥有超过30种外语出版物的参与者。89%的受访者表示他们在专业活动中从不使用外语,他们也有外语出版物,其中15%的人在Web of Science和Scopus期刊上发表过文章(Q1和Q2)。我们的研究结果表明,缺乏语言能力并不是阻碍俄罗斯研究和期刊在国际上知名度提高的主要障碍。主要的挑战是,我们需要将研究导向可能对国家研究背景根本不感兴趣或不了解的受众。根据获得的结果,向英文文章的潜在撰稿人和编辑委员会提出了建议。
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引用次数: 0
Tax burden and shadow economy growth in Russian regions 俄罗斯地区税负与影子经济增长
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/jtr.2021.7.3.104
D. Fedotov
The study is devoted to verification the hypothesis that a higher tax burden does not necessarily lead to the growth in the shadow economy in Russian regions. The cross-regional comparative analysis was undertaken to measure the influence of the tax burden on the shadow economy. The analysis used Rosstat workforce surveys data about the number of informal workers nationwide and by sector from 2007 to 2019. Stochastic factor analysis was used to examine the relationship between the share of informal workers and such factors as the tax burden, GRP per capita, advanced production technologies, innovation activities of organizations, industrial sectors’ and social sectors’ contribution to GRP. To determine the strength of the relationship between the factors and the resultant indicator, a correlation and cluster analysis were conducted. It has shown that there is an inverse correlation between the tax burden and informal employment. Regions with a lower tax burden tend to have higher rates of informal employment (in 2019, the correlation coefficient was –0.4274). A similar inverse correlation is observed for the level of informal employment and the macro-economic indicators – GRP per capita, innovation, and the contribution of industrial sectors to GRP. There is a direct correlation between informal employment and the contribution of social sectors to GRP. These findings shed light on the key factors conducive to the growth in the shadow economy: what matters most is the economic and innovation lag in the development of certain regions. The results of this research can be useful for policy-makers seeking to address the problem of the shadow economy in regions.
本研究旨在验证更高的税负并不一定导致俄罗斯地区影子经济增长的假设。通过跨区域比较分析,衡量税负对影子经济的影响。该分析使用了俄罗斯国家统计局2007年至2019年全国各部门非正规工人数量的劳动力调查数据。采用随机因素分析方法,考察了税收负担、人均生产总值、先进生产技术、组织创新活动、产业部门和社会部门对生产总值的贡献等因素与非正规劳动者占比的关系。为了确定各因素与所得指标之间的关系强度,进行了相关分析和聚类分析。研究表明,税收负担与非正规就业之间存在负相关关系。税负越低的地区,非正规就业率越高(2019年相关系数为-0.4274)。非正式就业水平与宏观经济指标——人均国内生产总值、创新和工业部门对国内生产总值的贡献——之间也存在类似的负相关关系。非正规就业与社会部门对生产总值的贡献之间存在直接关联。这些发现揭示了促进影子经济增长的关键因素:最重要的是某些地区的经济和创新发展滞后。本研究结果可为政策制定者解决地区影子经济问题提供参考。
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引用次数: 7
Assessment of the effectiveness of anti-COVID tax support for innovation activities of small and medium-sized enterprises in OECD countries 经合组织国家中小企业创新活动抗疫税收支持有效性评估
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/JTR.2021.7.1.091
A. Shapovalova, Y. B. Ivanov, V. Tyschenko, V. Karpova
The global economy has rebounded from the lows of 2020, but its recovery will depend on innovations Therefore, it is important to identify the most effective tax support instruments for the innovation activities of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) that are used in the framework of anti-crisis economic policies in the OECD countries It is suggested that tax incentives are the most effective tax instrument of all;the effectiveness of the profit tax benefit depends on the SME's profitability;as to the social insurance and pension contribution, there is an allowable minimum of the rate, determined by the level of wages, that will stimulate innovation To assess the effectiveness of tax support tools, the study used the methods of linear multivariate regression and simulation in Simulink The source of information for regression analysis was the data published by the World Bank and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) It was concluded that the most effective measures of tax support are tax incentives, as well as deferred payment of social insurance and pension contributions The 10% profit tax was shown to be optimal to stimulate innovation provided the company keeps the saved profit for development For innovative SMEs, the minimum allowable contribution rate for social insurance and pension provision, which stimulates their innovative activities, is 12% The results of modeling confirmed that the proposed threshold indicators for supporting SMEs' innovation activity can be an effective tool for overcoming the consequences of the global crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic
全球经济已从2020年的低点反弹,但其复苏将取决于创新。重要的是要确定在经合组织国家反危机经济政策框架中使用的中小企业创新活动最有效的税收支持工具。建议税收激励是所有税收工具中最有效的;利得税优惠的有效性取决于中小企业的盈利能力;至于社会保险和养老金缴款,有一个允许的最低税率。为了评估税收支持工具的有效性,本研究使用了线性多元回归和Simulink仿真的方法,回归分析的信息来源是世界银行和经济合作与发展组织(OECD)公布的数据,得出的结论是,最有效的税收支持措施是税收优惠;如果企业将节省下来的利润用于发展,10%的利得税是刺激创新的最佳选择。对于创新型中小企业来说,社会保险和养老金的最低允许缴费率可以刺激他们的创新活动。建模结果证实,建议的支持中小企业创新活动的阈值指标可以成为克服COVID-19大流行造成的全球危机后果的有效工具
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引用次数: 2
Progressive income tax as a driver for the development of high-tech industries in Russia 累进所得税作为俄罗斯高科技产业发展的驱动力
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/jtr.2021.7.3.099
E. Balatsky, N. Ekimova
The study tests the hypothesis that Russia’s transition from flat to progressive income taxation will produce revenue that would be sufficient for the advancement of high-tech industries. To test this hypothesis, we considered two scenarios of the reform – the two-tiered system, which has been implemented since 2021, and the project of a four-tiered system proposed by the Liberal Democratic Party. To estimate the effects of the tax reform, we calculated the revenues from taxing high-income taxpayer groups and subgroups at specific tax rates. As a result, it was found that the reform could produce 187 billion Rubles in extra revenue, which means that there is a vast discrepancy between the calculated estimates and the government’s expectations (60 billion Rubles). In other words, the Russian government significantly underestimates the potential of the income tax. According to the second scenario, which aims to build a more sophisticated income tax system, the revenue would be 1.1 trillion Rubles. Thus, a well-designed scale of the personal income tax will enable the government to considerably enhance this tool’s fiscal efficiency. The calculations of the extra revenue generated by the reform relied on the statistics of the World Inequality Database (WID) for 2019. To test the relevance of the input and output data, we conducted a comparative analysis at the micro-level by looking at the wage levels in Russian, American and European space corporations. We found that the micro-economic data are closer to the WID statistics rather than to Rosstat, which confirmed the accuracy of our results. Our calculations have confirmed the general hypothesis and showed that the extra revenue from the reform will enable the government to fully modernize microelectronics and the geothermal industry in Russia.
该研究检验了一个假设,即俄罗斯从单一所得税向累进所得税的转变将产生足以推动高科技产业发展的收入。为了验证这一假设,我们考虑了改革的两种情景——自2021年开始实施的两级制度,以及自民党提出的四级制度。为了估计税制改革的影响,我们计算了按特定税率对高收入纳税人群体和子群体征税的收入。结果发现,改革可以产生1870亿卢布的额外收入,这意味着计算出的估计与政府的预期(600亿卢布)之间存在巨大差异。换句话说,俄罗斯政府严重低估了所得税的潜力。根据第二种方案(旨在建立一个更复杂的所得税体系),收入将达到1.1万亿卢布。因此,精心设计的个人所得税规模将使政府能够大大提高这一工具的财政效率。改革带来的额外收入的计算依赖于2019年世界不平等数据库(WID)的统计数据。为了检验投入和产出数据的相关性,我们通过观察俄罗斯、美国和欧洲航天公司的工资水平,在微观层面上进行了比较分析。我们发现微观经济数据更接近WID统计而不是Rosstat,这证实了我们结果的准确性。我们的计算证实了一般假设,并表明改革带来的额外收入将使政府能够全面实现俄罗斯微电子和地热产业的现代化。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Tax Reform
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