Pub Date : 2026-01-06DOI: 10.1186/s13705-025-00557-5
Laura Altstadt, Aileen Reichmann, Nora Weber, Katja Witte
Background
Germany’s commitment to climate neutrality by 2045 poses significant challenges for its energy-intensive industries, especially in North Rhine-Westphalia, where green hydrogen is essential for the decarbonisation of basic industries. In this study, we investigate social acceptance of the hydrogen-driven industrial transition, focusing on public perspectives and the perspectives of stakeholders in industry, non-governmental organisations, trade unions, and political administration.
Results
The results indicate broad support for industrial green hydrogen use but also highlight acceptance issues along its value chain. Key challenges emerge in political, economic, social, and environmental dimensions, with notable public risk perception of hydrogen transport. Our analysis shows that increasing concerns tend to be accompanied by a willingness to protest, while knowledge is associated with acceptance of industrial hydrogen use.
Conclusions
Stakeholders must find ways to gather and address local public concerns. Moreover, the results indicate the need to assess green hydrogen along its entire value chain and on an international scale.
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Pub Date : 2025-12-29DOI: 10.1186/s13705-025-00555-7
André Alves, Eduarda Marques da Costa, Igor Sirnik
Background
Agrivoltaics, the dual use of land for both agriculture and solar energy production, has gained increasing attention in recent years. However, its large-scale implementation is constrained by policy challenges. Despite growing interest, limited research has systematically examined how agrivoltaics are incorporated into policy frameworks worldwide. This study systematically reviews the scientific literature on agrivoltaic policies and the policy frameworks supporting their implementation.
Main text
Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA 2020) framework, peer-reviewed literature from Scopus and Web of Science was analysed, including journal articles, review papers, and conference proceedings in English. Out of 308 publications, 12 focused on policy instruments for agrivoltaics and met the inclusion criteria. The selected studies, published between 2021 and 2024, were examined to identify recurring policy themes, instruments, and implementation approaches. The review identified two main research approaches: one assessing the potential of agrivoltaics within legal frameworks through policy adjustments of existing legislation, and the other addressing policy instruments specific to agrivoltaics. A compilation of policies from several countries was conducted, encompassing different types of instruments, with economic and financial incentives being the most frequently identified. Key literature gaps included limited geographic coverage and inadequately addressed issues. The lack of policy integration across the energy, agriculture, and land use sectors, coupled with unclear guidelines regarding agrivoltaics, was identified as a constraint to its upscaling.
Conclusions
The study highlights the fragmented nature of agrivoltaic policy and the need for more policy-integrated frameworks to support its expansion. The findings underscore the importance of addressing policy effectiveness, stakeholder roles, business models, and strategies in underrepresented regions. Limitations of this review stem from the limited geographic scope of the literature analysed and the non-inclusion of grey literature. Future research should examine how different policy instruments influence the adoption of agrivoltaics and how cross-sector coordination can support its development. These insights contribute to advancing research on agrivoltaics and policymaking, supporting the broader energy transition.
近年来,农业和太阳能发电的双重利用越来越受到人们的关注。然而,其大规模实施受到政策挑战的制约。尽管人们对农业发电越来越感兴趣,但有限的研究系统地研究了如何将农业发电纳入全球的政策框架。本研究系统地回顾了有关农业光伏政策及其实施支持政策框架的科学文献。根据系统评价和元分析的首选报告项目(PRISMA 2020)框架,我们分析了来自Scopus和Web of Science的同行评议文献,包括期刊文章、综述论文和英文会议论文集。在308份出版物中,有12份侧重于农业发电的政策工具,符合列入标准。选定的研究发表于2021年至2024年之间,对其进行了审查,以确定反复出现的政策主题、工具和实施方法。审查确定了两种主要的研究方法:一种是通过对现有立法进行政策调整来评估农业发电在法律框架内的潜力,另一种是针对农业发电的具体政策工具。对几个国家的政策进行了汇编,其中包括不同类型的工具,最常确定的是经济和财政奖励。主要的文献空白包括有限的地理覆盖和未充分解决的问题。能源、农业和土地利用部门之间缺乏政策整合,再加上关于农用光伏的指导方针不明确,被认为是制约其升级的因素。该研究强调了农业光伏政策的碎片化性质,以及需要更多的政策整合框架来支持其扩展。研究结果强调了在代表性不足的地区解决政策有效性、利益相关者角色、商业模式和战略的重要性。本综述的局限性源于所分析文献的地理范围有限和未纳入灰色文献。未来的研究应该考察不同的政策工具如何影响农业发电的采用,以及跨部门协调如何支持其发展。这些见解有助于推进农业发电研究和政策制定,支持更广泛的能源转型。
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Pub Date : 2025-12-29DOI: 10.1186/s13705-025-00553-9
Luis Mazorra-Aguiar, Fabian Deniz, Priscila Velazquez, Eduardo Vega-Fuentes, Lidia Robaina
Background
Climate change is exacerbating the lack of fertile land and the scarcity of irrigation water. To guarantee food security in this context, aquaponic systems have been developed. An aquaponic system achieves the simultaneous production of plants and fish by recirculating water through both subsystems. Combining these two production technologies provides an efficient and sustainable method of growing fish and producing plants. These types of systems are often installed in rural areas, where the electrical grid is not completely reliable.
Methods
This work assesses a Hybrid Renewable Energy System to improve the sustainability and efficiency of isolated aquaponic production systems. The simulated systems are based on renewable energy sources using photovoltaic, wind, diesel and battery technologies. The main contribution of this study is the improvement in the decision-making process for selecting the optimal hybrid system for each project. A multi-criteria decision-making procedure based on technical and economic variables of the project is proposed. The criteria used in this study are NPC (20 and 10 years), payback, initial cost, O&M cost and renewable fraction (%) cover by the system. The procedure requires calculating hourly simulations of the energy flow in the installation with different hybrid configurations. In this work, a case of a hybrid system located on the island of Santo Domingo (Cape Verde) is presented using more than 1680 different sizing configurations.
Results
The solution obtained improves the results offered by other hybrid system optimisation software. The investment in the multi-criteria solution is 20 k€ less expensive than that obtained using other software and provides a payback period of four years, half a year less without affecting the rest of the decision criteria. Compared to the diesel base case, the solution saves more than 200 k€ in 20 years and will save more than 28 tonnes of CO(_2) per year. Moreover, this approach ensures the selection of a technically feasible configuration that aligns with the constraints of each project.
Conclusions
This study will have an impact on the circular economy of experimental aquaponic farming production systems, making them more accessible in agricultural areas with energy problems.
气候变化正在加剧肥沃土地的缺乏和灌溉用水的短缺。为了在这种情况下保证粮食安全,人们开发了水培系统。水共生系统通过循环水通过两个子系统来实现植物和鱼类的同时生产。结合这两种生产技术提供了一种高效和可持续的养鱼和生产植物的方法。这些类型的系统通常安装在电网不完全可靠的农村地区。方法本研究评估了一种混合可再生能源系统,以提高隔离水培生产系统的可持续性和效率。模拟系统基于使用光伏、风能、柴油和电池技术的可再生能源。本研究的主要贡献在于改进了为每个项目选择最优混合系统的决策过程。提出了一种基于项目技术经济变量的多准则决策程序。本研究中使用的标准是NPC(20年和10年)、回报、初始成本、运营成本和可再生比例(%) cover by the system. The procedure requires calculating hourly simulations of the energy flow in the installation with different hybrid configurations. In this work, a case of a hybrid system located on the island of Santo Domingo (Cape Verde) is presented using more than 1680 different sizing configurations.ResultsThe solution obtained improves the results offered by other hybrid system optimisation software. The investment in the multi-criteria solution is 20 k€ less expensive than that obtained using other software and provides a payback period of four years, half a year less without affecting the rest of the decision criteria. Compared to the diesel base case, the solution saves more than 200 k€ in 20 years and will save more than 28 tonnes of CO(_2) per year. Moreover, this approach ensures the selection of a technically feasible configuration that aligns with the constraints of each project.ConclusionsThis study will have an impact on the circular economy of experimental aquaponic farming production systems, making them more accessible in agricultural areas with energy problems.
{"title":"Multi-criteria feasible optimisation of a sustainable aquaponic system for rural areas in Cape Verde","authors":"Luis Mazorra-Aguiar, Fabian Deniz, Priscila Velazquez, Eduardo Vega-Fuentes, Lidia Robaina","doi":"10.1186/s13705-025-00553-9","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s13705-025-00553-9","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Climate change is exacerbating the lack of fertile land and the scarcity of irrigation water. To guarantee food security in this context, aquaponic systems have been developed. An aquaponic system achieves the simultaneous production of plants and fish by recirculating water through both subsystems. Combining these two production technologies provides an efficient and sustainable method of growing fish and producing plants. These types of systems are often installed in rural areas, where the electrical grid is not completely reliable.</p><h3>Methods</h3><p>This work assesses a Hybrid Renewable Energy System to improve the sustainability and efficiency of isolated aquaponic production systems. The simulated systems are based on renewable energy sources using photovoltaic, wind, diesel and battery technologies. The main contribution of this study is the improvement in the decision-making process for selecting the optimal hybrid system for each project. A multi-criteria decision-making procedure based on technical and economic variables of the project is proposed. The criteria used in this study are NPC (20 and 10 years), payback, initial cost, O&M cost and renewable fraction (%) cover by the system. The procedure requires calculating hourly simulations of the energy flow in the installation with different hybrid configurations. In this work, a case of a hybrid system located on the island of Santo Domingo (Cape Verde) is presented using more than 1680 different sizing configurations.</p><h3>Results</h3><p>The solution obtained improves the results offered by other hybrid system optimisation software. The investment in the multi-criteria solution is 20 k€ less expensive than that obtained using other software and provides a payback period of four years, half a year less without affecting the rest of the decision criteria. Compared to the diesel base case, the solution saves more than 200 k€ in 20 years and will save more than 28 tonnes of CO<span>(_2)</span> per year. Moreover, this approach ensures the selection of a technically feasible configuration that aligns with the constraints of each project.</p><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>This study will have an impact on the circular economy of experimental aquaponic farming production systems, making them more accessible in agricultural areas with energy problems.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":539,"journal":{"name":"Energy, Sustainability and Society","volume":"15 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1186/s13705-025-00553-9.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145886911","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-02DOI: 10.1186/s13705-025-00554-8
Lina Volodzkiene, Dalia Streimikiene
Background
Understanding the influence of economic inequality on energy consumption, greenhouse gas emissions, and the uptake of renewable energy is becoming increasingly important as the European Union (EU) intensifies its efforts towards climate neutrality and sustainable development. Despite recent shifts in the income distribution, persistent disparities among social groups remain a critical factor with respect to energy behaviour and environmental outcomes. This research article explores how income inequality affects per capita energy consumption, carbon dioxide emissions from energy use, and the share of renewable energy in the EU. Additionally, it examines how these variables relate to economic performance by using gross domestic product (GDP) as a benchmark.
Results
This study applies ordinary least squares (OLS) regression to panel data covering 27 EU member states for the period 1990–2023. The results reveal a U-shaped relationship between income inequality and energy consumption per capita. At moderate levels, inequality is associated with reduced energy use; however, beyond a certain threshold, greater inequality leads to increased energy consumption, which is driven primarily by the high demand from wealthy population segments. Furthermore, per capita energy consumption is a strong predictor of emissions, although the marginal impact weakens at higher consumption levels, thus suggesting diminishing returns. Renewable energy significantly helps decrease per capita emissions, but its effectiveness also marginally decreases as its share increases, thus indicating saturation effects. Diagnostic tests for autocorrelation, heteroskedasticity, and cross-sectional dependence confirm the statistical robustness and reliability of the model.
Conclusions
This study highlights the necessity of integrating social equity into climate and energy policy frameworks. Reducing income inequality can promote energy efficiency and reduce carbon emissions, thereby contributing to the EU’s dual objectives of environmental sustainability and inclusive economic growth. These findings suggest that energy transition policies are more effective when they are complemented by measures that address economic disparities. Future research should explore inequality thresholds that alter environmental impacts and identify policy synergies that maximize both climate and social outcomes.
{"title":"Socioeconomic divide and environmental impact: how income inequality shapes energy and emissions patterns","authors":"Lina Volodzkiene, Dalia Streimikiene","doi":"10.1186/s13705-025-00554-8","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s13705-025-00554-8","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Understanding the influence of economic inequality on energy consumption, greenhouse gas emissions, and the uptake of renewable energy is becoming increasingly important as the European Union (EU) intensifies its efforts towards climate neutrality and sustainable development. Despite recent shifts in the income distribution, persistent disparities among social groups remain a critical factor with respect to energy behaviour and environmental outcomes. This research article explores how income inequality affects per capita energy consumption, carbon dioxide emissions from energy use, and the share of renewable energy in the EU. Additionally, it examines how these variables relate to economic performance by using gross domestic product (GDP) as a benchmark.</p><h3>Results</h3><p>This study applies ordinary least squares (OLS) regression to panel data covering 27 EU member states for the period 1990–2023. The results reveal a U-shaped relationship between income inequality and energy consumption per capita. At moderate levels, inequality is associated with reduced energy use; however, beyond a certain threshold, greater inequality leads to increased energy consumption, which is driven primarily by the high demand from wealthy population segments. Furthermore, per capita energy consumption is a strong predictor of emissions, although the marginal impact weakens at higher consumption levels, thus suggesting diminishing returns. Renewable energy significantly helps decrease per capita emissions, but its effectiveness also marginally decreases as its share increases, thus indicating saturation effects. Diagnostic tests for autocorrelation, heteroskedasticity, and cross-sectional dependence confirm the statistical robustness and reliability of the model.</p><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>This study highlights the necessity of integrating social equity into climate and energy policy frameworks. Reducing income inequality can promote energy efficiency and reduce carbon emissions, thereby contributing to the EU’s dual objectives of environmental sustainability and inclusive economic growth. These findings suggest that energy transition policies are more effective when they are complemented by measures that address economic disparities. Future research should explore inequality thresholds that alter environmental impacts and identify policy synergies that maximize both climate and social outcomes.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":539,"journal":{"name":"Energy, Sustainability and Society","volume":"16 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1186/s13705-025-00554-8.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145904416","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-01DOI: 10.1186/s13705-025-00552-w
Anika Linzenich, Linda Engelmann, Martina Ziefle
Background
Replacing diesel and gasoline in combustion engines with fuels from renewable resources can reduce emissions in the transport sector. This study investigated public perceptions of alternative fuels to reveal potential adoption drivers and barriers for a successful introduction in road transport.
Results
The findings point towards a high acceptance of alternative fuels in road transport. Benefits for the environment and drivers were acknowledged, whereas barrier perceptions were comparably low. The acceptance of alternative fuels was affected by perceived environmental benefits and environment-related attitudes. Higher environmental awareness and perceived responsibility for environmental problems were related to higher acceptance, higher benefit perceptions, and lower barrier ratings.
Conclusions
Considering the key finding that environment-related attitudes and the perception of environmental benefits were factors positively impacting the acceptance of alternative fuels, communication concepts should be designed to inform transparently and comprehensibly about the environmental effects of alternative fuels. Where applicable and possible, fuel design should reduce user-perceived barriers—such as high costs and infrastructure incompatibility. Policy making should furthermore support planning security via long-term framework design in order to enable heightened fuel adoption and positive climatic impacts of alternative fuels.
{"title":"Are alternative fuels considered a game changer? Benefit and barrier perceptions and the acceptance of alternative fuels for road transport","authors":"Anika Linzenich, Linda Engelmann, Martina Ziefle","doi":"10.1186/s13705-025-00552-w","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s13705-025-00552-w","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Replacing diesel and gasoline in combustion engines with fuels from renewable resources can reduce emissions in the transport sector. This study investigated public perceptions of alternative fuels to reveal potential adoption drivers and barriers for a successful introduction in road transport.</p><h3>Results</h3><p>The findings point towards a high acceptance of alternative fuels in road transport. Benefits for the environment and drivers were acknowledged, whereas barrier perceptions were comparably low. The acceptance of alternative fuels was affected by perceived environmental benefits and environment-related attitudes. Higher environmental awareness and perceived responsibility for environmental problems were related to higher acceptance, higher benefit perceptions, and lower barrier ratings.</p><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>Considering the key finding that environment-related attitudes and the perception of environmental benefits were factors positively impacting the acceptance of alternative fuels, communication concepts should be designed to inform transparently and comprehensibly about the environmental effects of alternative fuels. Where applicable and possible, fuel design should reduce user-perceived barriers—such as high costs and infrastructure incompatibility. Policy making should furthermore support planning security via long-term framework design in order to enable heightened fuel adoption and positive climatic impacts of alternative fuels.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":539,"journal":{"name":"Energy, Sustainability and Society","volume":"15 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1186/s13705-025-00552-w.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145674951","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-11-24DOI: 10.1186/s13705-025-00550-y
Frankline A. Ndi
Background
Across Africa, employment and corporate social responsibility (CSR) promises are used by land investors to mobilize community support for large-scale renewable energy projects. Often times, when such promises are backpedaled or do not materialize as anticipated, local contestations become imminent. Using the case of Alten Solar energy in Kenya, this article aims to show how the energy investor appears to be struggling to deliver on its promises – and how this has provoked local contestations. While local contests linked to energy projects constructed on communally-owned land are not uncommon in the country and have been widely documented, contestations regarding projects constructed on privately-owned land are yet to receive sufficient scholarly attention despite similar equity stakes. This paper aims to bridge this gap and is guided by basic ideas drawn from theories of peasant resistance to offer insights into the micro politics around solar energy development in the specific context of private land ownership. Data was elicited using semi-structured interviews and focus group discussions conducted on two occasions: from February – March 2023 and November – December 2023, with a follow-up visit in February 2025.
Results
The results show that local contests are about the benefits that people anticipate from the solar project, rather than seeking to prevent it. Rural people, despite being critical of the project, struggle with the company through their relations with the county government and local elites, to demand a new memorandum of understanding (MoU) that could offer them more opportunities and address unintended socio-environmental challenges.
Conclusions
The study suggests the need for the energy investor to respect its CSR promises, and to adhere to its time plan, as specified in the new MoU signed with the communities. It also emphasizes the need for the government to implement policies ensuring that communities benefit directly from energy investments. Ensuring a proper benefit-sharing mechanism, fulfilling CSR promises, and addressing socio-environmental impacts linked to the solar project would (re)present more attractive ‘terms of incorporation’, and possibly reduce societal resistance ‘from below’.
在整个非洲,土地投资者利用就业和企业社会责任(CSR)承诺来动员社区对大型可再生能源项目的支持。通常情况下,当这些承诺被推翻或没有像预期的那样实现时,当地的争论就会迫在眉睫。本文以肯尼亚Alten Solar energy的案例为例,旨在展示这个能源投资者如何难以兑现其承诺——以及这如何引发了当地的争议。虽然与在公有土地上建设的能源项目有关的地方竞赛在该国并不罕见,并已被广泛记录,但关于在私有土地上建设的项目的争论尚未得到足够的学术关注,尽管有类似的股权。本文旨在弥合这一差距,并以农民抵抗理论的基本思想为指导,为在土地私有制的特定背景下围绕太阳能发展的微观政治提供见解。数据通过两次半结构化访谈和焦点小组讨论获得:2023年2月至3月和2023年11月至12月,并于2025年2月进行随访。结果表明,当地的竞争是关于人们期望从太阳能项目中获得的好处,而不是试图阻止它。尽管农村居民对该项目持批评态度,但他们通过与县政府和当地精英的关系,与公司进行斗争,要求签署新的谅解备忘录(MoU),为他们提供更多机会,解决意想不到的社会环境挑战。研究表明,能源投资者需要尊重其企业社会责任承诺,并遵守与社区签署的新谅解备忘录中规定的时间计划。报告还强调,政府需要实施政策,确保社区从能源投资中直接受益。确保适当的利益分享机制,履行企业社会责任承诺,解决与太阳能项目相关的社会环境影响,将(代表)提供更有吸引力的“合并条款”,并可能减少“来自底层”的社会阻力。
{"title":"When promises are not (yet) met: local dysphoria, contestations, and the struggle for survival amidst large-scale solar energy development in Kenya","authors":"Frankline A. Ndi","doi":"10.1186/s13705-025-00550-y","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s13705-025-00550-y","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Across Africa, employment and corporate social responsibility (CSR) promises are used by land investors to mobilize community support for large-scale renewable energy projects. Often times, when such promises are backpedaled or do not materialize as anticipated, local contestations become imminent. Using the case of Alten Solar energy in Kenya, this article aims to show how the energy investor appears to be struggling to deliver on its promises – and how this has provoked local contestations. While local contests linked to energy projects constructed on communally-owned land are not uncommon in the country and have been widely documented, contestations regarding projects constructed on privately-owned land are yet to receive sufficient scholarly attention despite similar equity stakes. This paper aims to bridge this gap and is guided by basic ideas drawn from theories of peasant resistance to offer insights into the micro politics around solar energy development in the specific context of private land ownership. Data was elicited using semi-structured interviews and focus group discussions conducted on two occasions: from February – March 2023 and November – December 2023, with a follow-up visit in February 2025.</p><h3>Results</h3><p>The results show that local contests are about the benefits that people anticipate from the solar project, rather than seeking to prevent it. Rural people, despite being critical of the project, struggle with the company through their relations with the county government and local elites, to demand a new memorandum of understanding (MoU) that could offer them more opportunities and address unintended socio-environmental challenges.</p><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>The study suggests the need for the energy investor to respect its CSR promises, and to adhere to its time plan, as specified in the new MoU signed with the communities. It also emphasizes the need for the government to implement policies ensuring that communities benefit directly from energy investments. Ensuring a proper benefit-sharing mechanism, fulfilling CSR promises, and addressing socio-environmental impacts linked to the solar project would (re)present more attractive ‘terms of incorporation’, and possibly reduce societal resistance ‘from below’.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":539,"journal":{"name":"Energy, Sustainability and Society","volume":"16 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-11-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1186/s13705-025-00550-y.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146082471","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-11-23DOI: 10.1186/s13705-025-00549-5
Goran Šimić, Mirjana Radovanović, Sanja Filipović
Background
The European Union has established a strategic objective to attain carbon neutrality across the continent by the year 2050; however, this complex undertaking is shaped by a variety of influencing factors. It is particularly important to monitor the effects of such a long-term strategy, as it will influence all aspects of the European Union’s sustainable energy development as well as the welfare of its citizens. Since no universally accepted methodology exists for tracking the effects of decarbonization, the use of machine learning as a method of artificial intelligence is proposed—not only to generate concrete results but also to evaluate its applicability for this purpose. The main objective of this research is to assess the trends of 13 selected energy indicators that are vital to the decarbonization initiative. The research was conducted on a sample of 27 countries for the period from 2013 to 2030 using a novel predictive model developed in the Python runtime environment.
Results
The primary findings of the research indicate that the EU is likely to experience significant fluctuations in the values of specific indicators. The anticipated progressive rise in electricity prices is expected across all EU countries, accompanied by an increase in consumption. In addition, the projected growth in energy imports presents a significant challenge that will affect the competitiveness of the European economy and the social standing of its citizens. Particularly disadvantaged in the implementation of the decarbonization strategy will be landlocked countries that are highly dependent on energy imports and therefore vulnerable to fluctuations in prices and security of supply. Also at risk are countries facing difficulties in the deployment and exploitation of renewable energy sources, as well as those with weaker socioeconomic indicators. The results further indicate a rising risk to energy security, even in the wealthiest EU countries. Overall, the projections suggest an increase in CO₂ levels up to 2030, followed by a gradual decline thereafter. A particular challenge for managing the decarbonization strategy lies in the significant fluctuations of the monitored parameters, which hinder planning in every respect.
Conclusions
In light of the geopolitical and supply chain shifts post-2022, it is clear that a comprehensive reassessment of the strategies for managing the decarbonization of the European Union economy is necessary. The research findings demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed machine learning approach, which has potential for enhancement due to its scalability and adaptability. The study provides governance and methodological recommendations.
{"title":"Assessment of the decarbonization efficiency in the European Union: machine learning approach","authors":"Goran Šimić, Mirjana Radovanović, Sanja Filipović","doi":"10.1186/s13705-025-00549-5","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s13705-025-00549-5","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>The European Union has established a strategic objective to attain carbon neutrality across the continent by the year 2050; however, this complex undertaking is shaped by a variety of influencing factors. It is particularly important to monitor the effects of such a long-term strategy, as it will influence all aspects of the European Union’s sustainable energy development as well as the welfare of its citizens. Since no universally accepted methodology exists for tracking the effects of decarbonization, the use of machine learning as a method of artificial intelligence is proposed—not only to generate concrete results but also to evaluate its applicability for this purpose. The main objective of this research is to assess the trends of 13 selected energy indicators that are vital to the decarbonization initiative. The research was conducted on a sample of 27 countries for the period from 2013 to 2030 using a novel predictive model developed in the Python runtime environment.</p><h3>Results</h3><p>The primary findings of the research indicate that the EU is likely to experience significant fluctuations in the values of specific indicators. The anticipated progressive rise in electricity prices is expected across all EU countries, accompanied by an increase in consumption. In addition, the projected growth in energy imports presents a significant challenge that will affect the competitiveness of the European economy and the social standing of its citizens. Particularly disadvantaged in the implementation of the decarbonization strategy will be landlocked countries that are highly dependent on energy imports and therefore vulnerable to fluctuations in prices and security of supply. Also at risk are countries facing difficulties in the deployment and exploitation of renewable energy sources, as well as those with weaker socioeconomic indicators. The results further indicate a rising risk to energy security, even in the wealthiest EU countries. Overall, the projections suggest an increase in CO₂ levels up to 2030, followed by a gradual decline thereafter. A particular challenge for managing the decarbonization strategy lies in the significant fluctuations of the monitored parameters, which hinder planning in every respect.</p><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>In light of the geopolitical and supply chain shifts post-2022, it is clear that a comprehensive reassessment of the strategies for managing the decarbonization of the European Union economy is necessary. The research findings demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed machine learning approach, which has potential for enhancement due to its scalability and adaptability. The study provides governance and methodological recommendations.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":539,"journal":{"name":"Energy, Sustainability and Society","volume":"15 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-11-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1186/s13705-025-00549-5.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145887094","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-11-22DOI: 10.1186/s13705-025-00551-x
Mirjana Radovanović, Goran Šimić, Jámbor Attila
Background
The European Union considers the decarbonization of Europe by 2050 a strategic objective. This necessitates finding the solutions that will support the intricate process of formulating energy policies and decisions with enduring implications for the economy, environment, and social welfare of European Union citizens and beyond. The primary objective of this study is to evaluate the suitability of an artificial intelligence (AI)-based approach in policymaking (control stage) with the aim of achieving a more optimal formulation of the common European energy policy and the policies of individual member states.
Results
Given the scope and volatility of the data, as well as the research objective, data processing was conducted using clustering—a technique within artificial intelligence (AI)—which is suitable for producing more precise, explainable, and provable (PEP) outcomes. In doing so, the study addresses one of the main obstacles to the broader use of AI in policymaking: the current lack of trust in AI-based solutions. The research was conducted in three stages. In the first stage, energy security indicators were determined based on 13 selected indicators using the aggregate approach. In the second stage, clustering was executed as an unsupervised machine learning method, utilizing the K-means algorithm as the designated learning model. In the third stage, a classifier model utilizing an artificial neural network was proposed. The research findings have revealed that countries exhibiting the highest levels of energy security, and consequently the most favorable conditions for sustainable growth, have different energy portfolios, unique economic frameworks, and differing energy prices.
Conclusions
The research findings are significant in the domains of energy and environmental policies, decision theory, and AI (with special emphasis on the EU AI Act). The research highlights the efficacy of an interdisciplinary approach and contributes to the studies about the use of AI in policymaking, with emphasis on the improvements that will lead to its greater power and precision—one of the milestones for efficient policymaking. Policymaking based on PEP AI outcomes can be seen as one of the most efficient methods for strategic planning and control of decarbonization of Europe; therefore, the paper also proposes recommendations in this context.
{"title":"Sustainable and secure energy development of the European Union: artificial intelligence-based approach for policymaking","authors":"Mirjana Radovanović, Goran Šimić, Jámbor Attila","doi":"10.1186/s13705-025-00551-x","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s13705-025-00551-x","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>The European Union considers the decarbonization of Europe by 2050 a strategic objective. This necessitates finding the solutions that will support the intricate process of formulating energy policies and decisions with enduring implications for the economy, environment, and social welfare of European Union citizens and beyond. The primary objective of this study is to evaluate the suitability of an artificial intelligence (AI)-based approach in policymaking (control stage) with the aim of achieving a more optimal formulation of the common European energy policy and the policies of individual member states.</p><h3>Results</h3><p>Given the scope and volatility of the data, as well as the research objective, data processing was conducted using clustering—a technique within artificial intelligence (AI)—which is suitable for producing more precise, explainable, and provable (PEP) outcomes. In doing so, the study addresses one of the main obstacles to the broader use of AI in policymaking: the current lack of trust in AI-based solutions. The research was conducted in three stages. In the first stage, energy security indicators were determined based on 13 selected indicators using the aggregate approach. In the second stage, clustering was executed as an unsupervised machine learning method, utilizing the K-means algorithm as the designated learning model. In the third stage, a classifier model utilizing an artificial neural network was proposed. The research findings have revealed that countries exhibiting the highest levels of energy security, and consequently the most favorable conditions for sustainable growth, have different energy portfolios, unique economic frameworks, and differing energy prices.</p><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>The research findings are significant in the domains of energy and environmental policies, decision theory, and AI (with special emphasis on the EU AI Act). The research highlights the efficacy of an interdisciplinary approach and contributes to the studies about the use of AI in policymaking, with emphasis on the improvements that will lead to its greater power and precision—one of the milestones for efficient policymaking. Policymaking based on PEP AI outcomes can be seen as one of the most efficient methods for strategic planning and control of decarbonization of Europe; therefore, the paper also proposes recommendations in this context.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":539,"journal":{"name":"Energy, Sustainability and Society","volume":"15 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-11-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1186/s13705-025-00551-x.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145887020","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-11-13DOI: 10.1186/s13705-025-00547-7
Hawal Shamon, Frauke Meyer, Gianmarco Aniello, Wilhelm Kuckshinrichs
Background
Photovoltaic (PV) systems are nowadays a central pillar in the expansion of renewable energy in Germany. Nevertheless, further significant growth in renewable energy will be needed in the future to meet the national emission reduction targets set by the German government. Homeowners play a crucial role in the expansion of PV capacity. In a discrete choice experiment, we empirically examine the impact of a large number of dimensions on homeowners’ PV adoption, including attributes that have received less attention in the literature so far, such as the included (smart energy) services, government subsidies, and forms of financing.
Results
Our results show that increasing levels of smart energy services for PV systems increase respondents’ valuation of smart energy services, while increasing the access rights of the contractual partner has a negative impact on the valuation. The latter negative effect is mitigated by an element of co-determination. Furthermore, our results point to the importance of government subsidies as a measure to increase PV adoption. Participants preferred one-time (or continuous) payments over continuous (or one-time) payments when government grants amounted to 40% (or 10%) of the investment cost; they were indifferent between both forms when subsidies amounted to 20% of the investment cost. Homeowners clearly preferred loan financing to self-financing only at an effective interest rate of 1.03%, as opposed to 3.53%. This result indicates a limited effectiveness of this subsidy measure, which is designed to overcome the problem of high investment costs from a conceptual point of view. Our results also show that homeowners are not so heterogeneous when it comes to the importance they attach to certain attributes related to PV adoption. Decisions were made independent of socio-demographic characteristics, but are related in some cases to the homeowners’ value orientations and risk inclination.
Conclusions
Homeowners are more likely to adopt smart energy services when they are involved in the typically automated processes through decision prompts. Financial factors are of pivotal role. There is a need to tailor financing strategies, as preferences for subsidy schemes vary with the level of financing. In addition, low-interest loans are ineffective in reducing the high upfront costs of PV deployment. Smart energy services have great potential, but there are also some caveats.
{"title":"Solar energy on all suitable roof areas? Homeowners’ acceptance of government subsidies and smart energy services in Germany","authors":"Hawal Shamon, Frauke Meyer, Gianmarco Aniello, Wilhelm Kuckshinrichs","doi":"10.1186/s13705-025-00547-7","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s13705-025-00547-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Photovoltaic (PV) systems are nowadays a central pillar in the expansion of renewable energy in Germany. Nevertheless, further significant growth in renewable energy will be needed in the future to meet the national emission reduction targets set by the German government. Homeowners play a crucial role in the expansion of PV capacity. In a discrete choice experiment, we empirically examine the impact of a large number of dimensions on homeowners’ PV adoption, including attributes that have received less attention in the literature so far, such as the included (smart energy) services, government subsidies, and forms of financing.</p><h3>Results</h3><p>Our results show that increasing levels of smart energy services for PV systems increase respondents’ valuation of smart energy services, while increasing the access rights of the contractual partner has a negative impact on the valuation. The latter negative effect is mitigated by an element of co-determination. Furthermore, our results point to the importance of government subsidies as a measure to increase PV adoption. Participants preferred one-time (or continuous) payments over continuous (or one-time) payments when government grants amounted to 40% (or 10%) of the investment cost; they were indifferent between both forms when subsidies amounted to 20% of the investment cost. Homeowners clearly preferred loan financing to self-financing only at an effective interest rate of 1.03%, as opposed to 3.53%. This result indicates a limited effectiveness of this subsidy measure, which is designed to overcome the problem of high investment costs from a conceptual point of view. Our results also show that homeowners are not so heterogeneous when it comes to the importance they attach to certain attributes related to PV adoption. Decisions were made independent of socio-demographic characteristics, but are related in some cases to the homeowners’ value orientations and risk inclination.</p><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>Homeowners are more likely to adopt smart energy services when they are involved in the typically automated processes through decision prompts. Financial factors are of pivotal role. There is a need to tailor financing strategies, as preferences for subsidy schemes vary with the level of financing. In addition, low-interest loans are ineffective in reducing the high upfront costs of PV deployment. Smart energy services have great potential, but there are also some caveats.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":539,"journal":{"name":"Energy, Sustainability and Society","volume":"15 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-11-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://energsustainsoc.biomedcentral.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s13705-025-00547-7","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145510561","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-11-06DOI: 10.1186/s13705-025-00548-6
Xiaochao Li, Ye Zhou, Guanglei Xiao, Chun Gan, Zhiyang Lu, Shangqi Li, Zhongxin Gao, Hao Zhang, Minping Xie, Yi Luo
Background
In the recent years, owing to the increasing carbon emissions from anthropogenic activities, the challenges caused by global climate change, including the greenhouse effect, sea-level rise, and extreme weather events, have become increasingly severe. It is also an urgent task for many countries to develop clean energy, reduce carbon emissions, and establish a green low-carbon development structure. As a renewable and environmentally friendly energy source, tidal power is abundant in numerous coastal regions. Constructing tidal power plants to harness this renewable energy source not only provides substantial energy benefits but also plays a pivotal role in advancing green and sustainable development. Moreover, tidal energy has profound implications for societal transformation, fostering economic growth, and enhancing stability. Therefore, tidal energy is an indispensable component of clean power generation, paving the way for a more sustainable and equitable world.
Main text
By summarising the ongoing research on tidal energy, this paper offers a comprehensive exploration of the current status of tidal energy development and crucial insights derived from tidal energy applications. The mechanism of tidal energy and the structural design of tidal power stations are systematically explained, and the characteristics of tidal energy use to generate electricity in different regions are introduced. Focussing on China in combination with other countries, the latest technological achievements are summarised, and corresponding improvement measures are proposed for tidal energy development and implementation.
Conclusions
Tidal energy, characterised by zero-emission attributes, renewability, and operational reliability, offers a vital pathway towards sustainable energy systems. Despite mature technology with decades of commercial operation, its deployment has progressed slowly because of persistent challenges, including high capital costs and ecological impacts on marine ecosystems. Consequently, resolving these constraints necessitates notable advancements in policy frameworks and technological innovation. This paper could provide reference material for the increased popularization and sustainable development of tidal energy power generation technology.
{"title":"Analysis of the development of tidal energy and its implementation","authors":"Xiaochao Li, Ye Zhou, Guanglei Xiao, Chun Gan, Zhiyang Lu, Shangqi Li, Zhongxin Gao, Hao Zhang, Minping Xie, Yi Luo","doi":"10.1186/s13705-025-00548-6","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s13705-025-00548-6","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>In the recent years, owing to the increasing carbon emissions from anthropogenic activities, the challenges caused by global climate change, including the greenhouse effect, sea-level rise, and extreme weather events, have become increasingly severe. It is also an urgent task for many countries to develop clean energy, reduce carbon emissions, and establish a green low-carbon development structure. As a renewable and environmentally friendly energy source, tidal power is abundant in numerous coastal regions. Constructing tidal power plants to harness this renewable energy source not only provides substantial energy benefits but also plays a pivotal role in advancing green and sustainable development. Moreover, tidal energy has profound implications for societal transformation, fostering economic growth, and enhancing stability. Therefore, tidal energy is an indispensable component of clean power generation, paving the way for a more sustainable and equitable world.</p><h3>Main text</h3><p>By summarising the ongoing research on tidal energy, this paper offers a comprehensive exploration of the current status of tidal energy development and crucial insights derived from tidal energy applications. The mechanism of tidal energy and the structural design of tidal power stations are systematically explained, and the characteristics of tidal energy use to generate electricity in different regions are introduced. Focussing on China in combination with other countries, the latest technological achievements are summarised, and corresponding improvement measures are proposed for tidal energy development and implementation.</p><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>Tidal energy, characterised by zero-emission attributes, renewability, and operational reliability, offers a vital pathway towards sustainable energy systems. Despite mature technology with decades of commercial operation, its deployment has progressed slowly because of persistent challenges, including high capital costs and ecological impacts on marine ecosystems. Consequently, resolving these constraints necessitates notable advancements in policy frameworks and technological innovation. This paper could provide reference material for the increased popularization and sustainable development of tidal energy power generation technology.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":539,"journal":{"name":"Energy, Sustainability and Society","volume":"15 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-11-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://energsustainsoc.biomedcentral.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s13705-025-00548-6","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145456578","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}