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Feasibility-sustainability study of power generation using solar energy at an industrial site: a case study from Egypt 工业用地利用太阳能发电的可行性-可持续性研究:埃及案例研究
IF 4.9 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-14 DOI: 10.1186/s13705-024-00460-5
Noha A. Mostafa, Amr Aboelezz

Background

Fossil fuel utilization is the biggest contributor to the emissions of greenhouse gases which are the main reason for global warming. Solar energy photovoltaic (PV) technology is one of the most rapidly rising technologies and is a sturdy candidate to replace fossil fuels due to its versatility. Egypt receives high solar intensity which makes it a perfect place for utilizing this technology. However, for the past years, the focus in Egypt was on using solar energy for residential applications, henceforth a research gap was identified in studying the feasibility of using solar energy for industrial applications in Egypt. To ensure the sustainability of this application, this feasibility study addresses technical, economic, environmental, and social aspects.

Results

A case study is investigated for utilizing solar PV panels for energy generation in Egypt at an industrial site. A food factory was studied under three scenarios. Scenario 1 is the baseline case for the other scenarios with fixed tilted PV panels and no storage, Scenario 2 is the same as Scenario 1 with difference in is the model of the PV panels with no tracking or storage system. Scenario 3 has a vertical axis tracking system. Software was used to simulate the performance of the three scenarios for 25 years. Results have shown that Scenario 1 and Scenario 2 had close values of the annual energy production. However, Scenario 3 produces 2047 MWh annually which is considerably higher. Finally, a sensitivity analysis is carried out to test the effect of some economic parameters on the financial feasibility.

Conclusions

All the three scenarios are found to be feasible. Scenario 1 has the shortest discounted payback period with a net present value of 414,110.12 USD, a nominal levelized cost of energy of 0.022 USD/kWh, and avoided CO2 emissions of 14,898.993 tons. Although Scenario 3 has higher costs, it has higher energy production and better impact on the environment with 18,891.435 tons of avoided CO2 emissions. The paper concluded that a generalization could be done about using solar PV systems in Egypt for energy generation to be sustainable and feasible technically, economically, and environmentally.

背景化石燃料的使用是温室气体排放的最大来源,而温室气体是全球变暖的主要原因。太阳能光伏(PV)技术是最迅速崛起的技术之一,因其多功能性而成为替代化石燃料的有力候选者。埃及的日照强度很高,是利用这一技术的理想之地。然而,在过去几年里,埃及的重点是将太阳能用于住宅应用,因此在研究埃及将太阳能用于工业应用的可行性方面存在研究空白。为确保这一应用的可持续性,本可行性研究涉及技术、经济、环境和社会等方面。在三种情况下对一家食品厂进行了研究。方案 1 是其他方案的基准情况,采用固定倾斜的光伏电池板,没有储能系统;方案 2 与方案 1 相同,不同之处在于光伏电池板的模型没有跟踪或储能系统。方案 3 采用垂直轴跟踪系统。使用软件模拟了这三种方案 25 年的性能。结果显示,方案 1 和方案 2 的年发电量接近。然而,方案 3 的年发电量为 2047 兆瓦时,高出很多。最后,还进行了敏感性分析,以测试一些经济参数对财务可行性的影响。方案 1 的贴现投资回收期最短,净现值为 414,110.12 美元,名义平准化能源成本为 0.022 美元/千瓦时,避免的二氧化碳排放量为 14,898.993 吨。方案 3 虽然成本较高,但能源产量更高,对环境的影响更好,可避免 18,891.435 吨二氧化碳排放。本文的结论是,在埃及使用太阳能光伏系统发电在技术、经济和环境方面都是可持续和可行的。
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引用次数: 0
Material energy citizenship through participation in citizen-financed photovoltaic projects 通过参与公民资助的光伏发电项目实现物质能源公民意识
IF 4.9 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-11 DOI: 10.1186/s13705-024-00465-0
Fabienne Sierro, Yann Blumer

Background

Citizens are recognized as key actors in the energy system’s transformation by assuming novel roles beyond being mere energy consumers. Participation in renewable energy projects increases societal support and renders the decarbonization of the energy system more inclusive. Increasing numbers of citizen-financed photovoltaic (CiFi PV) projects exemplify this. Empirical studies on individuals who participate in CiFi PV, their perceived role(s), and their motivations, however, are scarce. This study addresses this gap through the lens of energy citizenship by analyzing individual participation.

Methods

The study surveyed CiFi PV participants across five projects in Switzerland (N = 510). After a comparison of the participants’ characteristics to the general public and a descriptive analysis of the perceived roles to participate, the study explores the individual motivations of participants. To that end, a motivational attributes scale, including finance, environment, local value creation, and symbolism, was adapted from a previous study. A hierarchical multiple linear regression was used to analyze which motivational attributes predict participants’ willingness to participate in future CiFi PV projects.

Results

While participants were primarily male, more affluent, better educated and politically more left-leaning than the average Swiss population, participants covered a wide range of sociodemographic characteristics and worldviews. Though CiFi PV is primarily marketed toward tenants, half of the participants were homeowners. Participants perceived themselves as energy citizens contributing to the energy transition and environmental preservation rather than as investors or energy producers. The regression analysis shows that motivations are relevant in explaining willingness to participate in future CiFi PV projects. We found that environmental, financial and local value creation-related motivational attributes are highly significant predictors, as well as slightly less significant symbolic attributes.

Conclusions

These results suggest that CiFi PV projects represent a material form of energy citizenship going beyond mere consumerism by enabling individuals to contribute to the energy transition. Given their capacity to engage diverse publics, policymakers should endorse projects emphasizing individual participation alongside non-commercial community-based models. This would require their integration into existing regulatory frameworks. Future energy citizenship studies should further explore how individuals perceive and conceptualize what it means to be an energy citizen.

背景公民被认为是能源系统转型的关键参与者,他们不仅是能源消费者,还承担着新的角色。参与可再生能源项目可增加社会支持,使能源系统的去碳化更具包容性。越来越多的公民资助光伏项目(CiFi PV)就是一个很好的例子。然而,有关参与 CiFi 光伏项目的个人、他们所认知的角色及其动机的实证研究却很少。本研究从能源公民的角度出发,通过分析个人参与情况来填补这一空白。研究方法本研究调查了瑞士五个项目的 CiFi PV 参与者(510 人)。在将参与者的特征与一般公众进行比较并对参与的感知角色进行描述性分析之后,本研究探讨了参与者的个人动机。为此,研究人员根据之前的一项研究改编了一个动机属性量表,其中包括资金、环境、当地价值创造和象征意义。结果虽然参与者主要为男性,比瑞士平均人口更富裕,受教育程度更高,政治倾向更左倾,但参与者涵盖了广泛的社会人口特征和世界观。虽然 CiFi PV 主要面向租户,但半数参与者是房主。参与者认为自己是为能源转型和环境保护做出贡献的能源公民,而不是投资者或能源生产者。回归分析表明,动机对于解释参与未来 CiFi 光伏项目的意愿非常重要。我们发现,与环境、财务和当地价值创造相关的动机属性是非常重要的预测因素,而象征性属性的预测意义则稍逊一筹。结论这些结果表明,CiFi 光伏项目代表了一种物质形式的能源公民身份,超越了单纯的消费主义,使个人能够为能源转型做出贡献。鉴于 CiFi 项目能够吸引不同的公众参与,政策制定者应支持强调个人参与的项目以及非商业性的社区模式。这就需要将其纳入现有的监管框架。未来的能源公民研究应进一步探讨个人如何看待和理解能源公民的含义。
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引用次数: 0
The circular bioeconomy: a driver for system integration 循环生物经济:系统整合的驱动力
IF 4.9 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-11 DOI: 10.1186/s13705-024-00461-4
Fabian Schipfer, Pralhad Burli, Uwe Fritsche, Christiane Hennig, Fabian Stricker, Maria Wirth, Svetlana Proskurina, Sebastian Serna-Loaiza

Background

Human and earth system modeling, traditionally centered on the interplay between the energy system and the atmosphere, are facing a paradigm shift. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s mandate for comprehensive, cross-sectoral climate action emphasizes avoiding the vulnerabilities of narrow sectoral approaches. Our study explores the circular bioeconomy, highlighting the intricate interconnections among agriculture, forestry, aquaculture, technological advancements, and ecological recycling. Collectively, these sectors play a pivotal role in supplying essential resources to meet the food, material, and energy needs of a growing global population. We pose the pertinent question of what it takes to integrate these multifaceted sectors into a new era of holistic systems thinking and planning.

Results

The foundation for discussion is provided by a novel graphical representation encompassing statistical data on food, materials, energy flows, and circularity. This representation aids in constructing an inventory of technological advancements and climate actions that have the potential to significantly reshape the structure and scale of the economic metabolism in the coming decades. In this context, the three dominant mega-trends—population dynamics, economic developments, and the climate crisis—compel us to address the potential consequences of the identified actions, all of which fall under the four categories of substitution, efficiency, sufficiency, and reliability measures. Substitution and efficiency measures currently dominate systems modeling. Including novel bio-based processes and circularity aspects might require only expanded system boundaries. Conversely, paradigm shifts in systems engineering are expected to center on sufficiency and reliability actions. Effectively assessing the impact of sufficiency measures will necessitate substantial progress in inter- and transdisciplinary collaboration, primarily due to their non-technological nature. In addition, placing emphasis on modeling the reliability and resilience of transformation pathways represents a distinct and emerging frontier that highlights the significance of an integrated network of networks.

Conclusions

Existing and emerging circular bioeconomy practices can serve as prime examples of system integration. These practices facilitate the interconnection of complex biomass supply chain networks with other networks encompassing feedstock-independent renewable power, hydrogen, CO2, water, and other biotic, abiotic, and intangible resources. Elevating the prominence of these connectors will empower policymakers to steer the amplification of synergies and mitigation of tradeoffs among systems, sectors, and goals.

背景人类和地球系统建模传统上以能源系统和大气层之间的相互作用为中心,现在正面临着模式转变。政府间气候变化专门委员会的任务是采取全面、跨部门的气候行动,强调避免狭隘部门方法的脆弱性。我们的研究探讨了循环生物经济,强调了农业、林业、水产养殖业、技术进步和生态循环之间错综复杂的相互联系。总体而言,这些部门在提供基本资源以满足日益增长的全球人口对食物、材料和能源的需求方面发挥着关键作用。我们提出了一个相关的问题:如何才能将这些多方面的部门整合到一个整体系统思考和规划的新时代?这种表示法有助于构建一份技术进步和气候行动清单,这些技术进步和气候行动有可能在未来几十年中极大地重塑经济新陈代谢的结构和规模。在此背景下,人口动态、经济发展和气候危机这三个主要大趋势促使我们解决已确定行动的潜在后果,所有这些行动都属于替代、效率、充足和可靠性措施这四个类别。替代和效率措施目前在系统建模中占主导地位。将新型生物工艺和循环性纳入其中可能只需要扩大系统边界。相反,系统工程的范式转变预计将以充足性和可靠性行动为中心。要有效评估充足性措施的影响,就必须在跨学科和跨学科合作方面取得重大进展,这主要是由于它们的非技术性质。此外,强调对转化途径的可靠性和复原力进行建模是一个独特的新兴前沿领域,凸显了集成网络的重要性。这些实践促进了复杂的生物质供应链网络与其他网络的相互连接,这些网络包括独立于原料的可再生能源、氢、二氧化碳、水以及其他生物、非生物和无形资源。提高这些连接点的重要性将使政策制定者有能力引导各系统、部门和目标之间扩大协同效应并减少权衡。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding stakeholder attitudes towards low-head pumped hydro storage technology 了解利益相关者对低水头抽水蓄能技术的态度
IF 4.9 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-10 DOI: 10.1186/s13705-024-00466-z
Ruben Ansorena Ruiz, David Schürenkamp, Jeremy D. Bricker, Madita Olvermann, Nils Goseberg

Background

The share of renewable energy feeding the European grid has been growing over the years, even though the intermittency of some renewable energy sources can induce electric grid instability. Energy storage has proven to be an effective way of reducing grid instability. Various solutions for large-scale energy storage are being researched nowadays. This study focusses on the innovative low-head pumped hydro storage (LH PHS) technology, a large-scale energy storage scheme suitable for shallow seas (5 – 30 m depth). Implementation of renewable energy technologies, such as wind farms in Europe, Asia and North America, has faced public opposition which has delayed or even cancelled the implementation of renewable energy projects. Literature about public perception of projects highlights the importance of involving stakeholders from the early stages of project planning. Considering this, the present study aims to collect stakeholder opinions (via an online survey) to determine what is necessary for a smooth implementation of LH PHS in the North Sea, both from technical and policy points of view.

Results

Stakeholders from commercial parties, government authorities and local groups recognized the potential of LH PHS as a means to increase the share of renewable energies within the European power grid. Economics, bureaucratic burden, and structural safety have emerged as primary aspects of concern respecting the implementation of LH PHS. The impression of the respondents is that a low-head pumped hydro station would not have negative effects on their organizations. Furthermore, most of the engineering firms participating in the study communicated that their knowledge and resources could be involved in the construction of such an energy storage facility.

Conclusion

As identified stakeholder concerns such as economics and structural safety are currently being researched, effective communication of the findings of this research is paramount to keep stakeholders informed of the ongoing progress. Two-way communication between researchers and stakeholders is recommended to enhance public acceptance of future technologies. Furthermore, is it advisable to undertake an examination of the available energy policies relevant to LH PHS.

背景尽管某些可再生能源的间歇性会导致电网不稳定,但多年来为欧洲电网供电的可再生能源比例一直在增长。事实证明,储能是降低电网不稳定性的有效方法。目前,人们正在研究大规模储能的各种解决方案。本研究重点关注创新的低水头抽水蓄能(LH PHS)技术,这是一种适用于浅海(5 - 30 米深)的大规模储能方案。在欧洲、亚洲和北美,风力发电场等可再生能源技术的实施一直面临公众的反对,这导致可再生能源项目的实施被推迟甚至取消。有关公众对项目看法的文献强调,从项目规划的早期阶段就让利益相关者参与进来非常重要。考虑到这一点,本研究旨在收集利益相关者的意见(通过在线调查),从技术和政策角度确定在北海顺利实施 LH PHS 所需的条件。经济性、官僚负担和结构安全是实施低氢 PHS 的主要关注点。受访者的印象是,低水头抽水蓄能电站不会对其组织产生负面影响。此外,参与研究的大多数工程公司都表示,可以利用他们的知识和资源参与此类储能设施的建设。结论 由于目前正在对经济性和结构安全性等利益相关者所关心的问题进行研究,因此有效传达研究结果对于让利益相关者了解当前进展情况至关重要。建议研究人员与利益相关者进行双向交流,以提高公众对未来技术的接受程度。此外,最好对与 LH PHS 相关的现有能源政策进行研究。
{"title":"Understanding stakeholder attitudes towards low-head pumped hydro storage technology","authors":"Ruben Ansorena Ruiz,&nbsp;David Schürenkamp,&nbsp;Jeremy D. Bricker,&nbsp;Madita Olvermann,&nbsp;Nils Goseberg","doi":"10.1186/s13705-024-00466-z","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s13705-024-00466-z","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>The share of renewable energy feeding the European grid has been growing over the years, even though the intermittency of some renewable energy sources can induce electric grid instability. Energy storage has proven to be an effective way of reducing grid instability. Various solutions for large-scale energy storage are being researched nowadays. This study focusses on the innovative low-head pumped hydro storage (LH PHS) technology, a large-scale energy storage scheme suitable for shallow seas (5 – 30 m depth). Implementation of renewable energy technologies, such as wind farms in Europe, Asia and North America, has faced public opposition which has delayed or even cancelled the implementation of renewable energy projects. Literature about public perception of projects highlights the importance of involving stakeholders from the early stages of project planning. Considering this, the present study aims to collect stakeholder opinions (via an online survey) to determine what is necessary for a smooth implementation of LH PHS in the North Sea, both from technical and policy points of view.</p><h3>Results</h3><p>Stakeholders from commercial parties, government authorities and local groups recognized the potential of LH PHS as a means to increase the share of renewable energies within the European power grid. Economics, bureaucratic burden, and structural safety have emerged as primary aspects of concern respecting the implementation of LH PHS. The impression of the respondents is that a low-head pumped hydro station would not have negative effects on their organizations. Furthermore, most of the engineering firms participating in the study communicated that their knowledge and resources could be involved in the construction of such an energy storage facility.</p><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>As identified stakeholder concerns such as economics and structural safety are currently being researched, effective communication of the findings of this research is paramount to keep stakeholders informed of the ongoing progress. Two-way communication between researchers and stakeholders is recommended to enhance public acceptance of future technologies. Furthermore, is it advisable to undertake an examination of the available energy policies relevant to LH PHS.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":539,"journal":{"name":"Energy, Sustainability and Society","volume":"14 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://energsustainsoc.biomedcentral.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s13705-024-00466-z","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141298359","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Do current energy policies in Germany promote the use of biomass in areas where it is particularly beneficial to the system? Analysing short- and long-term energy scenarios 德国目前的能源政策是否促进在对系统特别有利的领域使用生物质?分析短期和长期能源方案
IF 4.9 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-10 DOI: 10.1186/s13705-024-00464-1
Matthias Jordan, Kathleen Meisel, Martin Dotzauer, Harry Schindler, Jörg Schröder, Karl-Friedrich Cyffka, Niels Dögnitz, Karin Naumann, Christopher Schmid, Volker Lenz, Jaqueline Daniel-Gromke, Gabriel Costa de Paiva, Danial Esmaeili Aliabadi, Nora Szarka, Daniela Thrän

Background

Policymakers are tasked with both driving the rapid expansion of renewable energy technologies and, additionally channelling the limited national potential of biomass into areas where it can provide the greatest benefit to the energy system. But do current policy instruments promote the use of biomass in these areas? As biomass is limited, its use must be sustainable without leading to further biodiversity loss or depleting forest or soil resources. In this study, short-term energy scenarios are generated using the BenOpt model, which take into account both current and alternative policy instruments under limited biomass utilisation. The results are compared with long-term, cost-optimal energy scenarios for the use of biomass.

Results

The analysis reveals that the instrument of a GHG quota does not promote the use of biofuels in hard-to-electrify areas of the transport sector, where they should be cost-optimally allocated according to long-term energy scenarios. Biofuels are promoted for use in passenger road transport and not in the shipping or aviation sector. In contrast, alternative policy scenarios indicate that the sole instrument of a high CO2 price is more conducive to direct electrification and could displace more fossil fuels by 2030 than the GHG quota alone. This instrument also promotes the optimal use of biogas plants in the power sector in accordance with long-term cost-optimal developments.

Conclusions

The instrument of a GHG quota might lead to counterproductive developments in passenger road transport, but it also helps to ramp up the biofuel capacities required in shipping and aviation in the long term. However, it does not provide the necessary incentives for the ramp-up of battery electric vehicles, which would be the cost optimal solution in passenger road transport according to the long-term scenarios. Even though alternative policy scenarios show that the sole instrument of a high CO2-price is more conducive to direct electrification, a high CO2 price alone is not enough (e.g. in the heat sector) to promote the efficient use of biomass instead of simply covering the base load demand.

背景政策制定者的任务既包括推动可再生能源技术的快速发展,也包括将全国有限的生物质能潜力引导到能为能源系统带来最大利益的领域。但目前的政策工具是否促进了生物质在这些领域的使用?由于生物质是有限的,其使用必须是可持续的,不会导致生物多样性进一步丧失或森林或土壤资源枯竭。在本研究中,使用 BenOpt 模型生成了短期能源情景,其中考虑了生物质利用有限情况下的现行政策工具和替代政策工具。结果分析表明,温室气体配额工具并不能促进生物燃料在交通部门难以电气化领域的使用,在这些领域,生物燃料应该根据长期能源方案进行成本优化分配。生物燃料被推广用于公路客运,而不是海运或航空部门。与此相反,其他政策方案表明,高二氧化碳价格这一唯一手段更有利于直接电气化,到 2030 年可取代更多化石燃料,而不仅仅是温室气体配额。结论温室气体配额可能会导致公路客运的反向发展,但从长远来看,也有助于提高航运和航空业所需的生物燃料产能。然而,它并没有为电池电动汽车的推广提供必要的激励,而根据长期方案,电池电动汽车将是公路客运成本最优的解决方案。尽管其他政策方案显示,仅靠高二氧化碳价格更有利于直接电气化,但仅靠高二氧化碳价格还不足以(例如在供热领域)促进生物质的有效利用,而不是仅仅满足基本负荷需求。
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引用次数: 0
Public support and willingness to pay for a carbon tax in Hungary: can revenue recycling make a difference? 匈牙利公众对碳税的支持和支付意愿:收入再循环能否发挥作用?
IF 4.9 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.1186/s13705-024-00463-2
Daniel Muth, Csaba Weiner, Csaba Lakócai

Background

To curb human-made carbon-dioxide emissions, the European Union will introduce carbon pricing for buildings and transport in 2027. Central and East European (CEE) countries are pressured to embark on ambitious decarbonization pathways leading to carbon-neutral economies by 2050. This paper is the first to investigate the public acceptance of and the willingness to pay (WTP) for a carbon tax in a CEE country, Hungary. It analyzes the support-increasing effects of five revenue-recycling mechanisms (tax cuts, green spending, support for poor households, funding for health care and education, and debt reduction), a wider range than covered in previous studies. A national face-to-face survey of 3013 adults on public attitudes to climate change, conducted in summer 2022, is the main method of data collection. This is combined with secondary analysis of related statistics and documentary analysis of relevant materials.

Results

The results show low public acceptance, with only a modest increase from 20.3% to 27.3% due to revenue recycling. This is accompanied by low WTP values and WTP increases. All these are lower than those found in Western surveys. A novel empirical result is the relative popularity of public health care and education in revenue recycling, though differences in revenue-recycling preferences are apparent between those who accept a carbon tax even without a redistribution mechanism and those who are willing to pay only if redistribution is included. Green spending also performed relatively well, while supporting the poor fared less well, albeit with relatively high WTP values. Reducing taxes and public debt were the least likely to instigate carbon-tax acceptance.

Conclusions

The results highlight the importance of carefully assessing the distributional impact of implementing carbon pricing mechanisms and thoroughly integrating social considerations into climate policy. Based on this, as well as the analysis of the social conditions and political economy of climate policy development in Hungary, policies—such as a gradually increasing carbon tax, social cushioning, legal earmarking of carbon-tax revenues, and policy bundling—are proposed to make carbon pricing socially tolerable and politically acceptable. The findings and conclusions might also be relevant for other parts of the CEE region.

背景为了遏制人为的二氧化碳排放,欧盟将于 2027 年对建筑和交通实行碳定价。中欧和东欧(CEE)国家迫于压力,不得不走上雄心勃勃的去碳化道路,以期到 2050 年实现碳中和经济。本文首次调查了中欧和东欧国家匈牙利公众对碳税的接受程度和支付意愿(WTP)。它分析了五种收入回收机制(减税、绿色支出、贫困家庭支持、医疗和教育资助以及债务减免)的支持增加效应,其范围比以往的研究更广。数据收集的主要方法是在 2022 年夏季对 3013 名成年人进行全国性面对面调查,了解公众对气候变化的态度。结果表明,公众的接受度较低,只有20.3%的人因收入循环而略微增加到27.3%。同时,WTP 值和 WTP 增长率也较低。所有这些都低于西方调查的结果。一个新颖的实证结果是,公共医疗和教育在收入循环中相对受欢迎,尽管在那些即使没有再分配机制也接受碳税的人和那些只有在包括再分配机制时才愿意支付碳税的人之间,收入循环偏好的差异是显而易见的。绿色支出的表现也相对较好,而支持穷人的表现较差,尽管 WTP 值相对较高。减少税收和公共债务最不可能促使人们接受碳税。在此基础上,通过对匈牙利气候政策制定的社会条件和政治经济学的分析,提出了一些政策建议,如逐步增加碳税、社会缓冲、碳税收入的法律专用性和政策捆绑,以使碳定价在社会上可以容忍,在政治上可以接受。研究结果和结论可能也适用于中欧和东欧地区的其他地方。
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引用次数: 0
Experimental assessment and optimization of the performance of a biodiesel engine using response surface methodology 利用响应面方法对生物柴油发动机的性能进行实验评估和优化
IF 4.9 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-05 DOI: 10.1186/s13705-024-00447-2
Prasheet Mishra, Taraprasad Mohapatra, Sudhansu S. Sahoo, Biranchi N. Padhi, Nimay Chandra Giri, Ahmed Emara, Kareem M. AboRas

Background

Biodiesel is a renewable and ecofriendly fuel for internal combustion engines. However, fuel standards need to be adapted for efficiency and commercial use. This paper deals with a novel process of its production using a purification step that counters the high costs of production and experimental analysis using multiresponse optimization.

Methods

Soybean oil was chosen as a biodiesel of 5%, 10%, and 15% blend with common diesel fuel and is experimentally tested in a variable compression ratio compression ignition engine. The biodiesel is blended with common diesel fuel to run the engine without any modification in its setup, which also solves most of the operational problems. The functional relationship between the input parameters and the performance characteristics of the engine is evaluated by statistical response surface methodology using the Box–Behnken design model, which generates a design of experiment resulting in an optimum experimental run that reduces the overall cost of the experimental investigation. Uncertainty analysis is done to minimize the gap between the results considering the errors of each piece of equipment. Validation of the results is also carried out.

Results

The analysis of variance is used to measure the acceptability of the model and the competency of the model to predict output performance. The optimum value of input parameters which are obtained are 4.5 kg for the load, the compression ratio of 18, and B05 for the fuel blend, which results in maximum performance of brake power of 3 kW, minimum fuel consumption and emissions of CO and NOx, which are 0.39 kg/kWh, 0.01%, and 50 ppm.

Conclusions

Cost analysis reveals that biodiesel produced from the novel process of transesterification is reasonable as compared with the conventional process. It is also environmentally more sustainable, which cannot be ignored. This technique can be used in future research for cost-effective production fields such as combustion parameters and biofuels produced from waste, which need to be explored.

背景生物柴油是一种用于内燃机的可再生环保燃料。然而,为了提高效率和商业用途,需要调整燃料标准。本文论述了一种新的生物柴油生产工艺,该工艺采用了一个纯化步骤,以抵消高昂的生产成本,并使用多反应优化进行了实验分析。方法选择大豆油作为生物柴油,与普通柴油混合 5%、10% 和 15%,并在可变压缩比压燃发动机中进行了实验测试。生物柴油与普通柴油混合后,发动机运行时无需对设置进行任何改动,这也解决了大部分运行问题。输入参数与发动机性能特征之间的函数关系是通过统计响应面方法进行评估的,该方法使用 Box-Behnken 设计模型,可生成最佳实验运行的实验设计,从而降低实验研究的总体成本。考虑到每个设备的误差,进行了不确定性分析,以尽量缩小结果之间的差距。结果方差分析用于衡量模型的可接受性和模型预测输出性能的能力。得出的最佳输入参数值为:负载 4.5 千克、压缩比 18、混合燃料 B05,从而获得了 3 千瓦的最大制动功率、最低燃料消耗以及 0.39 千克/千瓦时、0.01% 和 50 ppm 的一氧化碳和氮氧化物排放量。它在环境方面的可持续性也不容忽视。这项技术可用于未来研究的成本效益生产领域,如燃烧参数和从废物中生产生物燃料,这些领域都有待探索。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the determinants of household energy consumption in Nigeria: insights and implications 调查尼日利亚家庭能源消费的决定因素:启示和影响
IF 4.9 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-05 DOI: 10.1186/s13705-024-00451-6
Ismaila Rimi Abubakar, Andrew Adewale Alola, Festus Victor Bekun, Stephen Taiwo Onifade

Background

The present study draws motivation from the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals and explores the nexus between access to modern cooking energy sources, responsible energy consumption, climate change mitigation, and economic growth. Using 2018 demographic and health survey data, the study examines the influence of key socioeconomic and demographic factors on household choice of cooking energy in Nigeria.

Results

The empirical results show that traditional energy sources are dominant among Nigerian households (74.24%) compared to modern energy sources (25.76%). Regarding energy demographics, male-headed households show more usage of modern energy sources (19.86%) compared to female-headed households (5.90%). Regional analysis reveals that the northwest region predominantly uses traditional energy sources (18.60% of the share of total traditional energy sources), while the southwest region shows the greatest usage of modern energy sources (10.52% of the share of total modern energy sources). Binary logistic regression analysis reveals the positive and statistically significant influence of wealth index, education, and geopolitical region on the likelihood of utilizing modern energy sources. Conversely, household size and place of residence indicate an inverse relationship with the likelihood of adopting modern energy sources.

Conclusions

These findings have important policy implications for energy efficiency, environmental sustainability, and improving the quality of life in Nigeria, which is currently plagued with significant energy poverty, especially in rural communities.

本研究从联合国可持续发展目标中汲取动力,探讨获取现代烹饪能源、负责任的能源消费、减缓气候变化和经济增长之间的关系。本研究利用 2018 年人口与健康调查数据,考察了尼日利亚主要社会经济和人口因素对家庭选择烹饪能源的影响。实证结果显示,与现代能源(25.76%)相比,传统能源在尼日利亚家庭中占主导地位(74.24%)。在能源人口统计方面,与女户主家庭(5.90%)相比,男户主家庭更多地使用现代能源(19.86%)。地区分析表明,西北地区主要使用传统能源(占传统能源总量的 18.60%),而西南地区使用现代能源最多(占现代能源总量的 10.52%)。二元逻辑回归分析表明,财富指数、教育程度和地缘政治地区对使用现代能源的可能性有积极的影响,且统计意义重大。相反,家庭规模和居住地与采用现代能源的可能性呈反向关系。这些发现对尼日利亚的能源效率、环境可持续性和提高生活质量具有重要的政策意义,因为尼日利亚目前存在严重的能源贫困问题,尤其是在农村社区。
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引用次数: 0
Harder, better, faster, stronger: understanding and improving the tractability of large energy system models 更难、更好、更快、更强:理解和改进大型能源系统模型的可操作性
IF 4.9 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1186/s13705-024-00458-z
Manuel Bröchin, Bryn Pickering, Tim Tröndle, Stefan Pfenninger

Background

Energy system models based on linear programming have been growing in size with the increasing need to model renewables with high spatial and temporal detail. Larger models lead to high computational requirements. Furthermore, seemingly small changes in a model can lead to drastic differences in runtime. Here, we investigate measures to address this issue.

Results

We review the mathematical structure of a typical energy system model, and discuss issues of sparsity, degeneracy and large numerical range. We introduce and test a method to automatically scale models to improve numerical range. We test this method as well as tweaks to model formulation and solver preferences, finding that adjustments can have a substantial impact on runtime. In particular, the barrier method without crossover can be very fast, but affects the structure of the resulting optimal solution.

Conclusions

We conclude with a range of recommendations for energy system modellers: first, on large and difficult models, manually select the barrier method or barrier+crossover method. Second, use appropriate units that minimize the model’s numerical range or apply an automatic scaling procedure like the one we introduce here to derive them automatically. Third, be wary of model formulations with cost-free technologies and dummy costs, as those can dramatically worsen the numerical properties of the model. Finally, as a last resort, know the basic solver tolerance settings for your chosen solver and adjust them if necessary.

背景基于线性规划的能源系统模型的规模不断扩大,因为越来越需要对可再生能源进行高空间和时间细节的建模。模型越大,计算要求越高。此外,模型中看似微小的变化也会导致运行时间的巨大差异。结果我们回顾了典型能源系统模型的数学结构,并讨论了稀疏性、退化和大数值范围等问题。我们介绍并测试了一种自动缩放模型以改善数值范围的方法。我们测试了这种方法以及对模型表述和求解器偏好的调整,发现调整会对运行时间产生重大影响。结论最后,我们向能源系统建模人员提出了一系列建议:首先,在大型和困难模型上,手动选择障碍法或障碍+交叉法。其次,使用适当的单位,使模型的数值范围最小化,或应用自动缩放程序,如我们在此介绍的自动缩放程序。第三,警惕使用无成本技术和虚假成本的模型公式,因为这些会大大恶化模型的数值特性。最后,在万不得已的情况下,了解所选求解器的基本求解容差设置,并在必要时进行调整。
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引用次数: 0
Synthetic natural gas in the private heating sector in Germany: match or mismatch between production costs and consumer willingness to pay? 德国私人供暖部门使用的合成天然气:生产成本与消费者支付意愿之间是匹配还是不匹配?
IF 4.9 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-05-24 DOI: 10.1186/s13705-024-00459-y
Benedikt Rilling

Background

The residential heating sector in many European countries requires a fundamental transformation if it is to become climate neutral. Besides the introduction of efficiency measures and updating heating systems, scholars and practitioners consider replacing fossil fuels in existing heating systems a viable approach. Drop-in renewable gases such as biomethane and synthetic natural gas (SNG) cause considerably fewer carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions than natural gas and can be used in natural gas boilers, the dominant heating system in many European countries. To move the ongoing debate around e-fuels forward, this study reports on a Discrete Choice Experiment with 512 respondents in Germany that analyzed consumer preferences and willingness to pay (WTP) for SNG. I build on these insights by comparing WTP to the production costs, making evidence-based decision-making possible.

Results

The results show that consumers prefer renewable gases over natural gas. Comparing the two types of renewable gases, SNG and biomethane, reveals that consumers clearly favor the latter despite the criticism it has come under in the last 10–15 years. Consumers show a surprisingly high WTP for increasing shares of SNG, with premia of 40 to almost 70% over a natural gas-based tariff. Comparing production costs to the WTP reveals that only tariffs with small shares of SNG (5% and 10%) can be offered at cost-covering prices.

Conclusions

Given the urgent need for a fundamental transition of the residential heating sector, marketers and policymakers should consider carefully whether it is worth channeling a rather unknown and expensive product like SNG into the voluntary market for heating gas, especially as biomethane is already established in the market and clearly a cheaper and more popular alternative.

背景欧洲许多国家的住宅供暖行业要想实现气候中和,就必须进行根本性转变。除了采取提高效率的措施和更新供热系统外,学者和从业人员还认为在现有供热系统中替代化石燃料是一种可行的方法。生物甲烷和合成天然气(SNG)等无须添加的可再生气体比天然气产生的二氧化碳(CO2)排放量要少得多,可用于天然气锅炉(许多欧洲国家的主要供热系统)。为了推动正在进行的有关电子燃料的讨论,本研究报告了一项在德国进行的离散选择实验,该实验有 512 名受访者参加,分析了消费者对 SNG 的偏好和支付意愿(WTP)。在此基础上,我将 WTP 与生产成本进行了比较,从而使基于证据的决策成为可能。结果结果表明,与天然气相比,消费者更青睐可再生气体。比较两种类型的可再生气体,即替代天然气和生物甲烷,结果显示,尽管生物甲烷在过去 10-15 年中饱受批评,但消费者显然更青睐后者。消费者对增加替代天然气份额的 WTP 值出奇地高,比天然气电价高出 40% 到近 70%。将生产成本与 WTP 进行比较后发现,只有少量替代天然气(5% 和 10%)的电价才能达到覆盖成本的价格。
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引用次数: 0
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