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Towards the global plastic treaty: a clue to the complexity of plastics in practice 迈向全球塑料条约:塑料在实践中的复杂性的线索
IF 5.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-11-15 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-023-00801-9
Montserrat Filella, Andrew Turner

Following the decision of the United Nations Environment Assembly (UNEA) to start negotiations for a legally binding treaty to end plastic pollution, discussions and reflections are ongoing on why and how plastic chemicals and polymers of concern should be integrated into the global plastics treaty. One of the points that has been identified as requiring attention is the reduction of the complexity of the composition of plastic objects. This article, addressed to decision-makers and other stake-holders involved in the negotiations, illustrates in a practical and graphical way what complexity means in the case of the presence of inorganic additives.

在联合国环境大会(UNEA)决定开始就一项具有法律约束力的条约进行谈判以结束塑料污染之后,关于为什么以及如何将塑料化学品和聚合物纳入全球塑料条约的讨论和思考正在进行。需要注意的一点是减少塑料制品组成的复杂性。本文针对决策者和其他参与谈判的利益相关者,以实际和图形的方式说明了在无机添加剂存在的情况下复杂性意味着什么。
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引用次数: 0
Chronic toxicity testing including transcriptomics-based molecular profiling in Cloeon dipterum 龙脑的慢性毒性测试,包括基于转录组学的分子分析
IF 5.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-11-15 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-023-00806-4
Kirsten Germing, Steve U. Ayobahan, Hannes Reinwald, Maria Vogt, Benedikt Ringbeck, Bernd Göckener, Elke Eilebrecht, Lena Kosak, Sebastian Eilebrecht

The so-called EPT taxa have been shown to be highly sensitive to various environmental pollutants. However, there are only few published studies on toxicity testing with EPT representatives and there is a particular lack of protocols for chronic toxicity testing, e.g., for integration into species sensitivity distribution (SSD) approaches. To address this gap, we performed a long-term 38-day semi-static toxicity test with the European mayfly species Cloeon dipterum using the insecticide fipronil as model substance. The functionality of the test system was confirmed by the high emergence rate of 85% in the control condition. We found a high sensitivity with regard to larval development with an EC50 of 180 ng/L and a NOEC of 38.0 ng/L after 7 days exposure. After 38 days, an LC50 value of 185 ng/L and an EC50 value of 160 ng/L for emergence (both: NOEC = 38.0 ng/L) were calculated. In a short-term 7-day toxicity test, we found a similar effect on larval development. In addition to the physiological endpoints, we examined fipronil-induced gene expression changes at the transcriptome level in this test. Our results revealed a concentration-dependent increase in the number of differentially expressed genes, as well as observed effects on larval development. Notably, we identified marker gene candidates involved in nervous system development, mirroring the known mode-of-action of fipronil in C. dipterum. The affected genes primarily play crucial roles in neurological processes. Concluding, within this two-step approach we were able to identify fipronil effects on the sublethal physiological endpoint larval development and to complement these effects at the molecular level by gene expression changes in the transcriptome. Thus, this assay proved to be suitable to assess sublethal effects as well as the mode-of-action of substances in the non-standard organism C. dipterum already after a short-term exposure of 7 days. However, further testing is required to validate the procedure.

所谓的EPT分类群已被证明对各种环境污染物高度敏感。然而,关于EPT代表物毒性测试的发表研究很少,特别是缺乏慢性毒性测试的方案,例如将其纳入物种敏感性分布(SSD)方法。为了解决这一差距,我们使用杀虫剂氟虫腈作为模型物质,对欧洲蜉蝣物种双翅龙进行了为期38天的长期半静态毒性试验。在控制工况下,系统的出勤率高达85%,验证了系统的功能。我们发现,暴露7天后,对幼虫发育的EC50为180 ng/L, NOEC为38.0 ng/L,灵敏度很高。38 d后计算出苗LC50为185 ng/L, EC50为160 ng/L (NOEC = 38.0 ng/L)。在为期7天的短期毒性试验中,我们发现了对幼虫发育的类似影响。除了生理终点外,我们还在本试验中检测了氟虫腈诱导的转录组水平的基因表达变化。我们的研究结果揭示了差异表达基因数量的浓度依赖性增加,以及观察到的对幼虫发育的影响。值得注意的是,我们发现了参与神经系统发育的标记基因候选物,反映了氟虫腈在双翅虫中的已知作用模式。受影响的基因主要在神经过程中起关键作用。总之,在这种两步法中,我们能够确定氟虫腈对亚致死生理终点幼虫发育的影响,并通过转录组中的基因表达变化在分子水平上补充这些影响。因此,该试验证明适用于评估短期暴露7天后非标准双翅虫体内物质的亚致死效应和作用方式。然而,需要进一步的测试来验证该过程。
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引用次数: 0
How does high-speed railway affect green technology innovation? A perspective of high-quality human capital 高铁如何影响绿色技术创新?高质量人力资本视角
IF 5.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-11-11 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-023-00803-7
Ziwen He, Ziyang Chen, Xiao Feng

Green development is the main theme of modern development in China and even the world. Green development depends on green technology innovation (GTI). Therefore, for developing countries like China in the stage of economic transition, it is urgent to accelerate GTI to gain sustained advantages in the new round of international competition. As an important representative of contemporary rapid transportation, high-speed railway (HSR) can not only alleviate the rapidly growing transportation demand of the public, but also have potential benefits to the energy consumption structure and environmental quality. Whether and how HSR affects GTI has become the focus of this paper. Hence, by employing the panel data of 286 cities in China from 2007 to 2018 with the time-varying DID model, this paper verifies that HSR development can contribute to GTI. The main findings of this paper are as follows: (1) The operation of HSR can not only make the incremental development of GTI, but also improve the quality of GTI simultaneously. Moreover, the quality improvement effect of HSR is greater than the quantity increment effect. (2) Heterogeneity analysis shows that the positive effect of HSR on GTI is more significant for cities that have implemented LCCP. (3) This paper verifies the mediating effect of high-quality human capital. The opening of HSR further stimulates GTI by improving the level of high-quality human capital in cities and increasing the opportunities for knowledge exchange and diffusion. Based on the above findings, this paper proposes some policy recommendations to help developing countries achieve GTI with positive externalities.

绿色发展是中国乃至世界现代发展的主旋律。绿色发展有赖于绿色技术创新。因此,对于像中国这样处于经济转轨阶段的发展中国家来说,加快GTI的发展,在新一轮的国际竞争中获得持续的优势是当务之急。高速铁路作为当代快速交通的重要代表,不仅可以缓解公众快速增长的交通需求,而且对能源消费结构和环境质量也有潜在的好处。高铁是否以及如何影响GTI成为本文研究的重点。因此,本文利用2007 - 2018年中国286个城市的面板数据,采用时变DID模型验证了高铁发展对GTI的贡献。本文的主要研究结果如下:(1)高铁的运营不仅可以促进GTI的增量发展,同时也可以提高GTI的质量。高铁的质量提升效应大于数量增量效应。(2)异质性分析表明,高铁对GTI的正向影响在实施LCCP的城市中更为显著。(3)本文验证了优质人力资本的中介作用。高铁的开通通过提高城市的高质量人力资本水平,增加知识交流和传播的机会,进一步刺激了GTI。在此基础上,本文提出了一些政策建议,以帮助发展中国家实现具有正外部性的GTI。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental impact of quarrying on air quality in Ebonyi state, Nigeria 尼日利亚埃邦伊州采石对空气质量的环境影响
IF 5.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-11-11 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-023-00793-6
Odera Chukwumaijem Okafor, Chima Njoku, Anselem Nwabuaku Akwuebu

Background

The insatiable demand for rock supplies has enticed numerous building and construction enterprises to participate in stone quarrying. However, this has had an environmental impact on air quality. This paper examines the environmental impact of quarrying on air quality in Ebonyi State, Nigeria. To achieve the main aim of the study, an objective was set to detect air pollutants at the quarry sites. A total of 220 air samples were measured from six points around the quarry locations and recorded in situ for analysis. The samples were measured three times a day (morning, afternoon, and evening) for three days. Gas monitors were used to monitor air pollutants. The generated data were subjected to completely random design (CRD) sampling techniques. The separation of means and tests was performed using Fisher’s Least Significant Difference (FLSD) at a significance probability level of 5%.

Results

Based on statistical analysis, the findings detected significantly higher concentration levels of particulate matter, nitrogen dioxide, hydrogen sulphide, carbon monoxide, sulphur dioxide, chlorine, volatile organic compounds, ammonia, and hydrogen cyanide in the quarry areas than the value detected in the control area. The findings also confirmed higher noise levels in the locations. It was also observed that the concentration levels of the parameters differed from point to point and at different times of the day. This really means the occurrence of a high rate of air pollution in the study locations.

Conclusions

Based on the above findings, it is highly recommended that, (i) if situation is not timely addressed, it will lead to a severe environmental disaster or hazard, as nobody selects the air he or she breathes; (ii) air pollution control equipment be installed in-situ at quarry sites where free air flow is available in order to reduce gaseous (pollutant) emissions, and (iii) the seasonal effects, meteorological parameters and time that were influenced by the activities of quarry should be put in check.

对岩石供应的永不满足的需求吸引了众多建筑企业参与采石。然而,这对空气质量产生了环境影响。本文考察了采石对尼日利亚埃邦伊州空气质量的环境影响。为了达到这项研究的主要目的,我们设定了一个目标,即在采石场检测空气污染物。从采石场周围的6个点总共测量了220个空气样本,并在现场记录以供分析。样品每天测量三次(上午、下午和晚上),持续三天。气体监测仪被用来监测空气污染物。生成的数据采用完全随机设计(CRD)抽样技术。采用Fisher 's Least Significant Difference (FLSD)在显著性概率水平为5%的情况下进行均值和检验的分离。结果通过统计分析,发现采石场区域的颗粒物、二氧化氮、硫化氢、一氧化碳、二氧化硫、氯、挥发性有机物、氨和氰化氢的浓度水平明显高于控制区。研究结果还证实,这些地方的噪音水平更高。还观察到,参数的浓度水平在一天中的不同时间和点之间有所不同。这实际上意味着研究地点的空气污染率很高。综上所述,我们强烈建议:(i)如果情况不及时解决,它将导致严重的环境灾难或危害,因为没有人选择他或她呼吸的空气;(ii)在有自由空气流通的采石场现场安装空气污染管制设备,以减少气体(污染物)排放;及(iii)应检查受采石场活动影响的季节影响、气象参数和时间。
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引用次数: 0
Management of links of interest in European Union expertise authorities dealing with plant protection products: comparative analysis and recommendations 管理与植物保护产品有关的欧洲联盟专门知识当局的联系:比较分析和建议
IF 5.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-023-00760-1
Guillaume Karr, Giovanni Prete, Soraya Duboc, Denis Zmirou-Navier

Background

To ensure a high level of public health and environmental protection, authorities that deliver scientific expertise to inform decision-makers and the public at large need to be independent from external stakeholders and free of conflicts of interest. This independence requires effective rules for managing links of interest (LoIs) and a high level of transparency, including publication of declarations of interest (DoIs) where appropriate. In the particular case of plant protection products (PPPs) within the European Union, these requirements should apply to all Competent Authorities contributing to the marketing authorization processes.

Methods

A comparative analysis of LoIs management procedures was performed on a selection of ten National Competent Authorities from different member states (NCAs). This analysis was based on (i) the identification of 17 criteria aiming at characterizing good practices for LoIs management; (ii) a survey of ten NCAs, based on an analysis of their institutional websites and their responses to official mail requests.

Results

The comparative analysis showed: (i) a frequent lack of transparency of NCAs regarding their procedures for managing LoIs; (ii) a significant heterogeneity between the NCAs’ LoIs management rules, even though they are in charge of comparable missions regarding the marketing of PPPs; (iii) substantial gaps between the LoIs management procedures adopted by several NCAs and the good practices that are promoted by EFSA.

Current limits on their practices regarding LoIs management might open ways for undue external influences on scientific expertise, and ultimately impact negatively the risk management options adopted by national or European authorities. Limitations of this study and its extension for a more thorough overview of the current LoIs management practices are also discussed.

Conclusions

LoIs management and transparency rules need to be improved across NCAs, given their contribution as (co-)rapporteurs or peer reviews participants to the health and environmental risk assessment steps of the EFSA processes. To this end, a common minimum set of rules should be defined by EFSA; recommendations are proposed, based on the best practices implemented by the investigated NCAs. Such progress would contribute promoting high-quality unbiased scientific expertise and enhance EU citizens’ trust.

背景:为确保高水平的公共卫生和环境保护,提供科学专门知识为决策者和广大公众提供信息的当局需要独立于外部利益攸关方,不存在利益冲突。这种独立性需要有效的规则来管理利益联系(LoIs)和高度透明度,包括在适当情况下公布利益声明(DoIs)。在欧盟内植物保护产品的特殊情况下,这些要求应适用于所有参与上市许可程序的主管部门。方法对来自不同成员国的10个国家主管部门的意向书管理程序进行比较分析。这一分析的基础是(i)确定了17项标准,这些标准旨在描述LoIs管理的良好做法;(ii)基于对10个NCAs机构网站及其对官方邮件请求的回应的分析,对其进行调查。结果对比分析表明:(1)国家医疗服务机构在LoIs管理程序方面经常缺乏透明度;(ii)尽管它们负责ppp营销方面的类似任务,但它们的LoIs管理规则之间存在显著差异;(iii)几个国家认可机构采用的许可意见管理程序与欧洲食品安全局提倡的良好做法之间存在重大差距。目前对它们在意外书管理方面的做法的限制可能为外部对科学专门知识的不当影响开辟道路,并最终对国家或欧洲当局采取的风险管理备选办法产生不利影响。本文还讨论了本研究的局限性及其扩展,以便更全面地概述当前的LoIs管理实践。鉴于国家认可机构作为(共同)报告员或同行评审参与者对欧洲食品安全局流程的健康和环境风险评估步骤的贡献,需要改进其管理和透明度规则。为此,欧洲食品安全局应制定一套共同的最低限度规则;根据被调查的NCAs实施的最佳做法提出建议。这种进步将有助于促进高质量、公正的科学专业知识,并增强欧盟公民的信任。
{"title":"Management of links of interest in European Union expertise authorities dealing with plant protection products: comparative analysis and recommendations","authors":"Guillaume Karr,&nbsp;Giovanni Prete,&nbsp;Soraya Duboc,&nbsp;Denis Zmirou-Navier","doi":"10.1186/s12302-023-00760-1","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12302-023-00760-1","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>To ensure a high level of public health and environmental protection, authorities that deliver scientific expertise to inform decision-makers and the public at large need to be independent from external stakeholders and free of conflicts of interest. This independence requires effective rules for managing links of interest (LoIs) and a high level of transparency, including publication of declarations of interest (DoIs) where appropriate. In the particular case of plant protection products (PPPs) within the European Union, these requirements should apply to all Competent Authorities contributing to the marketing authorization processes.</p><h3>Methods</h3><p>A comparative analysis of LoIs management procedures was performed on a selection of ten National Competent Authorities from different member states (NCAs). This analysis was based on (i) the identification of 17 criteria aiming at characterizing good practices for LoIs management; (ii) a survey of ten NCAs, based on an analysis of their institutional websites and their responses to official mail requests.</p><h3>Results</h3><p>The comparative analysis showed: (i) a frequent lack of transparency of NCAs regarding their procedures for managing LoIs; (ii) a significant heterogeneity between the NCAs’ LoIs management rules, even though they are in charge of comparable missions regarding the marketing of PPPs; (iii) substantial gaps between the LoIs management procedures adopted by several NCAs and the good practices that are promoted by EFSA.</p><p>Current limits on their practices regarding LoIs management might open ways for undue external influences on scientific expertise, and ultimately impact negatively the risk management options adopted by national or European authorities. Limitations of this study and its extension for a more thorough overview of the current LoIs management practices are also discussed.</p><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>LoIs management and transparency rules need to be improved across NCAs, given their contribution as (co-)rapporteurs or peer reviews participants to the health and environmental risk assessment steps of the EFSA processes. To this end, a common minimum set of rules should be defined by EFSA; recommendations are proposed, based on the best practices implemented by the investigated NCAs. Such progress would contribute promoting high-quality unbiased scientific expertise and enhance EU citizens’ trust.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54293,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Sciences Europe","volume":"35 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2023-11-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://enveurope.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s12302-023-00760-1","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134795844","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Enhanced detoxification methods for the safe reuse of treated olive mill wastewater in irrigation 增强的解毒方法处理橄榄厂废水在灌溉安全回用
IF 5.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-023-00797-2
Raid Alrowais, Rania Saber Yousef, Osama konsowa Ahmed, Mohamed Mahmoud-Aly, Mahmoud M. Abdel daiem, Noha Said

Olive Mill Wastewater (OMWW) is produced in large quantities and contains high levels of nutrients that can be reused for irrigation, reducing the demand for freshwater resources. However, OMWW is phytotoxic and expensive to treat, making it important to develop more cost-effective treatment methods. This study aims to investigate an integrated detoxification treatment sequence consisting of acid precipitation, Fenton oxidation, and electrical coagulation to safely reuse OMWW for barley germination. Raw, treated and diluted OMWW (25% and 50% OMWW) were tested. The results showed that raw and diluted OMWW suppressed seed germination at all concentrations, while diluted treated OMWW enhanced seed germination and plant growth. In addition, treated OMWW (acid precipitation treatment) at 25% dilution reported 0% phytotoxicity significantly improved plant growth, where plant fresh weight (FW) reached 123.33 mg. Moreover, α-amylase, lipase, and protease enzyme activity confirmed the superior enhancement of barley growth parameters, where the highest enzyme activity value recoded 0.870 mg maltose/g FW. The integrated treatments reduced detoxification by 97.90% for total phenolic, 98.37% for total flavonoids, and 99.18% for total tannins. Reductions of around 95.78%, 60.00%, and 78.90% in total organic carbon, electric conductivity, and total solids, respectively, were achieved. A significant decrease in heavy metals was observed with removal ratios 98.64%, 94.80%, 96.88%, and 95.72% for Fe, Cu, Mn, and Zn, respectively. Seedling Vigor Index as an indicator of crop productivity was successfully predicted using neural network modeling. Therefore, the applied method can be used as a fertilizer to support plant growth and reduce fertilization costs.

橄榄厂废水(OMWW)大量产生,含有高水平的营养物质,可重复用于灌溉,减少了对淡水资源的需求。然而,OMWW具有植物毒性且治疗费用昂贵,因此开发更具成本效益的治疗方法非常重要。本研究旨在探索由酸沉淀、Fenton氧化和电絮凝组成的综合脱毒处理序列,以安全地重复利用OMWW用于大麦发芽。测试生水、处理水和稀释水(25%和50%)。结果表明:不同浓度的OMWW对种子萌发均有抑制作用,而稀释后的OMWW对种子萌发和植株生长均有促进作用。此外,25%稀释的酸沉淀处理(OMWW)的植物毒性为0%,显著改善了植株生长,植株鲜重(FW)达到123.33 mg。此外,α-淀粉酶、脂肪酶和蛋白酶活性也证实了大麦生长参数的显著提高,其中酶活性最高值为0.870 mg麦芽糖/g FW。综合处理对总酚、总黄酮和总单宁的脱毒能力分别降低了97.90%、98.37%和99.18%。总有机碳、电导率和总固体含量分别降低了95.78%、60.00%和78.90%左右。对Fe、Cu、Mn和Zn的去除率分别为98.64%、94.80%、96.88%和95.72%,重金属的去除率显著降低。利用神经网络模型成功地预测了幼苗活力指数作为作物生产力的指标。因此,所施用的方法可以作为一种肥料来支持植物生长,降低施肥成本。
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引用次数: 0
Non-target screening of surface water samples to identify exposome-related pollutants: a case study from Luxembourg 对地表水样本进行非目标筛选以确定与暴露有关的污染物:来自卢森堡的案例研究
IF 5.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-11-07 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-023-00805-5
Dagny Aurich, Philippe Diderich, Rick Helmus, Emma L. Schymanski

Background

Non-target screening of surface water samples collected over an extended period can reveal interesting temporal patterns in exposome-related pollutants. Additionally, geographical data on pollution sources close to the sampling sites, chemical classification data and the consideration of flow paths can provide valuable information on the origins and potential threat of tentatively identified chemical compounds. In this study, 271 surface water samples from 20 sampling sites across Luxembourg were analysed using high-resolution mass spectrometry, complementing routine target monitoring efforts in 2019–2022. Data analysis was performed using the open source R-package patRoon, which offers a customizable non-target workflow. By employing open source workflows featuring scoring terms, like spectral match and applying identification levels, tentative identifications can be prioritized, e.g. based on spectral similarity. Furthermore, by utilizing supplementary database information such as PubChemLite annotation categories and classification software such as classyFire, an overall assessment of the potential threats posed by the tentatively identified chemicals was conducted, enabling the prioritization of chemicals for future confirmation through targeted approaches.

Results

The study tentatively identified 378 compounds associated with the exposome including benzenoids, organoheterocyclic compounds, and organic phosphoric acids and derivatives (11 classyFire superclasses, 50 subclasses). The classification analysis not only revealed temporal variations in agrochemicals, with the majority of identifications occurring in May to July, but also highlighted the prevalence of pharmaceuticals such as venlafaxine in surface waters. Furthermore, potential sources of pollutants, like metallurgic industry or household products were explored by considering common uses and geographical information, as commercial uses of almost 100% of the identified chemicals are known. 41 chemicals were suggested for potential inclusion to governmental monitoring lists for further investigation.

Conclusions

The findings of this study complement existing knowledge on the pollution status of surface water in Luxembourg and highlight the usefulness of non-target screening for identifying temporal and spatial trends in pollutant levels. This approach, performed in a complementary manner to routine monitoring, can help to tentatively identify chemicals of concern for potential inclusion in target monitoring methods following additional confirmation and quantification efforts.

背景:对长时间收集的地表水样本进行非靶筛选可以揭示与暴露有关的污染物的有趣的时间模式。此外,关于采样地点附近的污染源的地理数据、化学分类数据和对流动路径的考虑可以提供关于初步确定的化合物的来源和潜在威胁的宝贵信息。在这项研究中,使用高分辨率质谱分析了来自卢森堡20个采样点的271个地表水样本,补充了2019-2022年的常规目标监测工作。数据分析是使用开源r包patron执行的,它提供了一个可定制的非目标工作流。通过采用具有评分术语的开源工作流,如频谱匹配和应用识别级别,可以对暂定识别进行优先级排序,例如基于频谱相似性。此外,通过利用PubChemLite注释类别等补充数据库信息和classyFire等分类软件,对初步确定的化学品构成的潜在威胁进行了全面评估,从而能够通过有针对性的方法确定化学品的优先级,以便将来确认。结果初步鉴定出378种与暴露体相关的化合物,包括苯类化合物、有机杂环化合物、有机磷酸及其衍生物(11个超类,50个亚类)。分类分析不仅揭示了农用化学品的时间变化,大多数鉴定发生在5月至7月,而且还突出了地表水中文拉法辛等药物的流行。此外,由于几乎100%已查明的化学品的商业用途都是已知的,因此通过考虑共同用途和地理信息,探讨了诸如冶金工业或家用产品等污染物的潜在来源。建议将41种化学品列入政府监测清单以供进一步调查。本研究的发现补充了卢森堡地表水污染状况的现有知识,并强调了非目标筛选在确定污染物水平的时空趋势方面的有用性。这种方法作为常规监测的补充,可以帮助初步确定值得关注的化学品,以便在进一步的确认和量化工作之后纳入目标监测方法。
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引用次数: 0
Hybrid Bt cotton is failing in India: cautions for Africa 杂交Bt棉花在印度失败:对非洲的警告
IF 5.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-11-07 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-023-00804-6
Andrew Paul Gutierrez, Peter E. Kenmore, Luigi Ponti

This paper reviews the ongoing failure of hybrid transgenic Bt (Bacillus thuringiensis) cotton unique to India. The underlying cause for this failure is the high cost of hybrid seed that imposes a suboptimal long-season low plant density system that limits yield potential and has associated elevated levels of late-season pests. Indian hybrid Bt cotton production is further complicated by the development of resistance to Bt toxins in the key pest, the native pink bollworm (Pectinophora gossypiella Saunders, PBW), resulting in increased insecticide use that induces ecological disruption and outbreaks of highly destructive secondary pests. Rainfed cotton production uncertainty is further exacerbated by the variable monsoon rains. While hybrid cotton produces fertile seed, the resulting plant phenotypes are highly variable preventing farmers from replanting saved seed, forcing them to buy seed yearly (i.e., market capture), and effectively protecting industry Intellectual Property Rights (IPRs). The lessons gained from the ongoing market failure of hybrid Bt cotton in India are of utmost importance to its proposed introduction to Africa where, similar to India, cotton is grown mainly in poor rainfed smallholder family farms, and hence similar private–corporate conflicts of interest will occur. Holistic field agroecological studies and weather-driven mechanistic analyses are suggested to help foresee ecological and economic challenges in cotton production in Africa.

High-density short-season (HD-SS) non-hybrid non-genetically modified irrigated and rainfed cottons are viable alternatives for India that can potentially produce double the yields of the current low-density hybrid system.

本文综述了印度特有的转基因Bt(苏云金芽孢杆菌)杂交棉花的持续失败。造成这种失败的根本原因是杂交种子的高成本强加了一个次优的长季节低植物密度系统,限制了产量潜力,并导致季末害虫水平升高。印度的Bt杂交棉花生产因主要害虫——本地棉铃虫(Pectinophora gossypiella Saunders, PBW)对Bt毒素的抗性的发展而进一步复杂化,导致杀虫剂的使用增加,从而导致生态破坏和高破坏性次生害虫的爆发。多变的季风雨进一步加剧了雨养棉花生产的不确定性。虽然杂交棉花产生肥沃的种子,但由此产生的植物表型变化很大,使农民无法重新种植保存下来的种子,迫使他们每年购买种子(即市场占领),并有效地保护了行业知识产权(ipr)。从印度Bt杂交棉花持续的市场失败中获得的经验教训对于将其引入非洲至关重要。非洲与印度类似,棉花主要种植在贫困的雨养小农家庭农场,因此类似的私人-公司利益冲突将会发生。建议进行全面的田间农业生态研究和天气驱动机制分析,以帮助预测非洲棉花生产中的生态和经济挑战。高密度短季(HD-SS)非杂交、非转基因灌溉和雨养棉花是印度可行的替代方案,其产量可能是目前低密度杂交系统的两倍。
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引用次数: 0
Water level prediction using long short-term memory neural network model for a lowland river: a case study on the Tisza River, Central Europe 基于长短期记忆神经网络模型的低地河流水位预测——以中欧Tisza河为例
IF 5.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-11-04 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-023-00796-3
Zsolt Vizi, Bálint Batki, Luca Rátki, Szabolcs Szalánczi, István Fehérváry, Péter Kozák, Tímea Kiss

Background

Precisely predicting the water levels of rivers is critical for planning and supporting flood hazard and risk assessments and maintaining navigation, irrigation, and water withdrawal for urban areas and industry. In Hungary, the water level of rivers has been recorded since the early nineteenth century, and various water level prediction methods were developed. The Discrete Linear Cascade Model (DLCM) has been used since 1980s. However, its performance is not always reliable under the current climate-driven hydrological changes. Therefore, we aimed to test machine learning algorithms to make 7-day ahead forecasts, choose the best-performing model, and compare it with the actual DLCM.

Results

According to the results, the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model provided the best results in all time horizons, giving more precise predictions than the Baseline model, the Linear or Multilayer Perceptron Model. Despite underestimating water levels, the validation of the LSTM model revealed that 68.5‒76.1% of predictions fall within the required precision intervals. Predictions were relatively accurate for low (≤ 239 cm) and flood stages (≥ 650 cm), but became less reliable for medium stages (240–649 cm).

Conclusions

The LSTM model provided better results in all hydrological situations than the DLCM. Though, LSTM is not a novel concept, its encoder–decoder architecture is the best option for solving multi-horizon forecasting problems (or “Many-to-Many” problems), and it can be trained effectively on vast volumes of data. Thus, we recommend testing the LSTM model in similar hydrological conditions (e.g., lowland, medium-sized river with low slope and mobile channel) to get reliable water level forecasts under the rapidly changing climate and various human impacts.

Graphical Abstract

精确预测河流水位对于规划和支持洪水灾害和风险评估以及维持城市地区和工业的航行、灌溉和取水至关重要。在匈牙利,自19世纪初以来,就开始记录河流的水位,并开发了各种水位预测方法。离散线性级联模型(DLCM)自20世纪80年代开始使用。然而,在当前气候驱动的水文变化下,其性能并不总是可靠的。因此,我们的目标是测试机器学习算法进行7天的预测,选择表现最好的模型,并将其与实际DLCM进行比较。根据结果,长短期记忆(LSTM)模型在所有时间范围内都提供了最好的结果,比基线模型、线性模型或多层感知器模型提供了更精确的预测。尽管低估了水位,但LSTM模型的验证表明,68.5-76.1%的预测落在所需的精度区间内。低潮期(≤239 cm)和洪潮期(≥650 cm)的预测相对准确,但中潮期(240-649 cm)的预测不太可靠。结论LSTM模型在所有水文条件下均优于DLCM模型。尽管LSTM不是一个新概念,但它的编码器-解码器架构是解决多视界预测问题(或“多对多”问题)的最佳选择,并且它可以在大量数据上进行有效训练。因此,我们建议在相似的水文条件下(如低地、低坡度的中等河流和流动河道)对LSTM模型进行测试,以在快速变化的气候和各种人为影响下获得可靠的水位预报。图形抽象
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引用次数: 0
The impact of heating systems scenarios on air pollution at selected residential zone: a case study using AERMOD dispersion model 供热系统方案对选定居住区空气污染的影响:基于AERMOD分散模型的案例研究
IF 5.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-11-04 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-023-00798-1
Jozef Salva, Juraj Poništ, Oqil Rasulov, Marián Schwarz, Miroslav Vanek, Michal Sečkár

The present case study considers fuel base substitution in operation of actual district heating system and in other scenario replacing of district heating system by individual heating system in each apartment building and non-residential building in selected residential zone Zvolen-Sekier, Slovakia. The impact of each heating system was assessed with focus on ambient air quality based on air dispersion modelling of NO2 and CO pollutans using the AERMOD dispersion model. To identify the exposure level on residents, the magnitude and duration of exposure to the hazard were considered according to human health risk assessment method. Results showed that the individual heating systems released significantly higher NO2 and CO concentrations directly in the residential zone compared to district heating system. The obtained results were highly variable for individual scenarios and averaged periods of pollutants concentration. Investigated heating systems scenarios showed low (< 1.0) hazard quotient value, however, individual heating systems would lead to adverse health effects, especially in infants and children population.

本案例研究考虑了在实际区域供热系统运行中的燃料基替代,以及在斯洛伐克Zvolen-Sekier选定住宅区的每栋公寓楼和非住宅建筑中用单独的供热系统取代区域供热系统的其他情况。利用AERMOD弥散模型对NO2和CO污染物进行空气弥散建模,重点评估了各供暖系统对环境空气质量的影响。根据人体健康风险评价方法,考虑居民暴露程度和暴露时间,确定居民暴露水平。结果表明:与区域供热系统相比,单个供热系统直接向居住区释放的NO2和CO浓度显著高于区域供热系统;所获得的结果在个别情况和污染物浓度的平均时期变化很大。调查的供暖系统情景显示低(< 1.0)危害商值,然而,单个供暖系统会导致不利的健康影响,特别是在婴儿和儿童人群中。
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引用次数: 0
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Environmental Sciences Europe
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