Pub Date : 2026-01-20DOI: 10.1007/s12665-025-12756-6
Gyoo-Bum Kim, Chan-Ik Hwang, Jihye Kim, Hyeon-Jeong Shin
In the era of climate change, sustainable groundwater management has become increasingly critical, as climate-driven changes in precipitation patterns affect groundwater recharge and availability, emphasizing the need for effective regulation. The Total Groundwater Quantity Management (TGQM) framework aims to ensure sustainable groundwater extraction by comparing actual usage with development potential within designated groundwater management units (GMUs). GMUs are defined based on hydrogeological characteristics, groundwater–surface water interactions, and geographic boundaries. A regression tree model was used to estimate groundwater recharge rates, utilizing water level data from 3,886 observation wells and groundwater usage data from 7,693 wells. Based on this, a framework was developed to assess over-extraction by evaluating the ratio of groundwater usage to development potential for each GMU. When applied to 609 GMUs in Chungcheongnam-do, South Korea, the TGQM framework found that 18.4% of GMUs exceeded 60% of their development potential, with 4.3% surpassing 100%. Analysis of groundwater usage relative to level changes showed that groundwater levels declined when usage exceeded 60%, and all GMUs exhibited declining trends when usage surpassed 80%. Management thresholds were set at 60%, 80%, and 100%, marking caution, warning, and critical stages, respectively. This system of groundwater management, based on the usage-to-development potential ratio, can guide governmental interventions and promote scientifically informed groundwater policies for sustainable resource use.
{"title":"Total groundwater quantity management framework for sustainable use: small watershed and AI-based approach","authors":"Gyoo-Bum Kim, Chan-Ik Hwang, Jihye Kim, Hyeon-Jeong Shin","doi":"10.1007/s12665-025-12756-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12665-025-12756-6","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In the era of climate change, sustainable groundwater management has become increasingly critical, as climate-driven changes in precipitation patterns affect groundwater recharge and availability, emphasizing the need for effective regulation. The Total Groundwater Quantity Management (TGQM) framework aims to ensure sustainable groundwater extraction by comparing actual usage with development potential within designated groundwater management units (GMUs). GMUs are defined based on hydrogeological characteristics, groundwater–surface water interactions, and geographic boundaries. A regression tree model was used to estimate groundwater recharge rates, utilizing water level data from 3,886 observation wells and groundwater usage data from 7,693 wells. Based on this, a framework was developed to assess over-extraction by evaluating the ratio of groundwater usage to development potential for each GMU. When applied to 609 GMUs in Chungcheongnam-do, South Korea, the TGQM framework found that 18.4% of GMUs exceeded 60% of their development potential, with 4.3% surpassing 100%. Analysis of groundwater usage relative to level changes showed that groundwater levels declined when usage exceeded 60%, and all GMUs exhibited declining trends when usage surpassed 80%. Management thresholds were set at 60%, 80%, and 100%, marking caution, warning, and critical stages, respectively. This system of groundwater management, based on the usage-to-development potential ratio, can guide governmental interventions and promote scientifically informed groundwater policies for sustainable resource use.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"85 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146001962","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-20DOI: 10.1007/s12665-025-12803-2
Abdul Alim Mohammadi, Sibel Canaz Sevgen, Günay Erpul
Sediment yield prediction is vital for sustainable watershed management, particularly in data-scarce regions. This study, conducted in the Göksun Çayı Karaahmet sub-basin, Türkiye, evaluated whether sediment connectivity indices can reproduce outputs from the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) and Modified Universal Soil Loss Equation (MUSLE). Sediment yield was modeled for 196 sub-catchments and 69 rainfall events over 10 years using GIS-based factors: rainfall erosivity, soil erodibility, slope length-steepness, land cover, and hydrological parameters. Despite different assumptions (rainfall erosivity versus runoff and peak discharge), RUSLE and MUSLE showed strong agreement (R² = 0.87 at the event scale; R² = 0.93 at the sub-catchment scale). Predicted sediment yields ranged from 0.02 to 16.46 t ha-1 (MUSLE) and 0.04–10.63 t ha-1 (RUSLE/SDR), with mean values of 0.89 and 0.96 t ha-1, respectively. Sediment connectivity indices-including the Index of Connectivity (IC), Sediment Delivery Ratio (SDR), and Topographic Wetness Index (TWI), were applied as inputs to five machine learning (ML) models (XGBoost, Random Forest, k-NN, SVR, and ANN). XGBoost and Random Forest achieved the best performance (R² = 0.912–0.942, RMSE = 0.065–0.089, MAE = 0.047–0.055), reproducing empirical outputs. IC, SDR, and TWI were dominant predictors. These results demonstrate that connectivity metrics integrated with ML can emulate empirical erosion models, offering a scalable, data-efficient alternative for ungauged basins. However, because the models were trained on RUSLE/MUSLE outputs from 69 events under static land use and climate, they may underpredict extreme sediment events and require field validation before operational use.
产沙量预测对于可持续流域管理至关重要,特别是在数据匮乏的地区。这项研究在 rkiye的Göksun Çayı Karaahmet子流域进行,评估了沉积物连通性指数是否可以再现修正通用土壤流失方程(RUSLE)和修正通用土壤流失方程(MUSLE)的结果。利用基于gis的降雨侵蚀力、土壤可蚀性、坡长-陡峭度、土地覆盖和水文参数,对196个子流域和69个降雨事件的产沙量进行了建模。尽管有不同的假设(降雨侵蚀力与径流和峰值流量),RUSLE和MUSLE表现出很强的一致性(在事件尺度上R²= 0.87,在子流域尺度上R²= 0.93)。预测产沙量为0.02 ~ 16.46 t ha-1 (MUSLE)和0.04 ~ 10.63 t ha-1 (RUSLE/SDR),平均值分别为0.89和0.96 t ha-1。泥沙连通性指数——包括连通性指数(IC)、泥沙输送比(SDR)和地形湿度指数(TWI)——被用作5个机器学习(ML)模型(XGBoost、Random Forest、k-NN、SVR和ANN)的输入。XGBoost和Random Forest表现最佳(R²= 0.912-0.942,RMSE = 0.065-0.089, MAE = 0.047-0.055),重现了经验输出。IC、SDR和TWI是主要的预测因子。这些结果表明,与ML集成的连通性指标可以模拟经验侵蚀模型,为未测量的盆地提供可扩展的、数据高效的替代方案。然而,由于模型是根据静态土地利用和气候条件下69个事件的RUSLE/MUSLE输出进行训练的,因此它们可能低估了极端沉积物事件,需要在实际使用前进行现场验证。
{"title":"Machine learning-based sediment connectivity surrogates for RUSLE and MUSLE in ungauged watersheds","authors":"Abdul Alim Mohammadi, Sibel Canaz Sevgen, Günay Erpul","doi":"10.1007/s12665-025-12803-2","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12665-025-12803-2","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Sediment yield prediction is vital for sustainable watershed management, particularly in data-scarce regions. This study, conducted in the Göksun Çayı Karaahmet sub-basin, Türkiye, evaluated whether sediment connectivity indices can reproduce outputs from the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) and Modified Universal Soil Loss Equation (MUSLE). Sediment yield was modeled for 196 sub-catchments and 69 rainfall events over 10 years using GIS-based factors: rainfall erosivity, soil erodibility, slope length-steepness, land cover, and hydrological parameters. Despite different assumptions (rainfall erosivity versus runoff and peak discharge), RUSLE and MUSLE showed strong agreement (R² = 0.87 at the event scale; R² = 0.93 at the sub-catchment scale). Predicted sediment yields ranged from 0.02 to 16.46 t ha<sup>-1</sup> (MUSLE) and 0.04–10.63 t ha<sup>-1</sup> (RUSLE/SDR), with mean values of 0.89 and 0.96 t ha<sup>-1</sup>, respectively. Sediment connectivity indices-including the Index of Connectivity (IC), Sediment Delivery Ratio (SDR), and Topographic Wetness Index (TWI), were applied as inputs to five machine learning (ML) models (XGBoost, Random Forest, k-NN, SVR, and ANN). XGBoost and Random Forest achieved the best performance (R² = 0.912–0.942, RMSE = 0.065–0.089, MAE = 0.047–0.055), reproducing empirical outputs. IC, SDR, and TWI were dominant predictors. These results demonstrate that connectivity metrics integrated with ML can emulate empirical erosion models, offering a scalable, data-efficient alternative for ungauged basins. However, because the models were trained on RUSLE/MUSLE outputs from 69 events under static land use and climate, they may underpredict extreme sediment events and require field validation before operational use.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"85 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12665-025-12803-2.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146001965","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-20DOI: 10.1007/s12665-025-12789-x
Stephan Peter, Maneesh Babu Sunke, Bashar Ibrahim
Access to clean water is a fundamental human right, yet over two billion people face water scarcity–a crisis intensified by population growth and climate change. This study presents a data-driven analysis of atmospheric water yields at 30 globally distributed locations under varying climate stress. Using hourly ERA5 data from 2000 to 2022, we quantified the monthly average daily water extraction potential of solar-powered atmospheric water harvesting (AWH) systems. Statistically significant changes in AWH performance ((p < 0.05)) were found at 25 locations, affecting 61 of 360 location-month combinations (17%), with trends ranging from –65% to +55% relative to the 23-year average. Seasonal fluctuations were only slightly surpassed by long-term trends in three cases. No strong correlation with climate zones was found, but seasonal effects were evident, with a predominance of negative trends around mid-year and positive trends around the turn of the year. Correlation and sensitivity analyses identified relative humidity as the primary driver of AWH efficiency, while solar radiation and air temperature played secondary roles. AWH systems yielded between 650 and 13,070 ml m(^{-2}) day(^{-1}) across sites. These findings highlight AWH as a robust, scalable, and climate-resilient solution to support SDG 6 in water-stressed regions.
获得清洁的水是一项基本人权,然而超过20亿人面临水资源短缺——人口增长和气候变化加剧了这一危机。本研究对全球分布的30个地点在不同气候压力下的大气水量进行了数据驱动分析。利用2000年至2022年的逐小时ERA5数据,我们量化了太阳能大气集水(AWH)系统的月平均日取水潜力。统计上显著的AWH表现变化((p < 0.05))发生在25个地点,影响了360个地点-月组合中的61个(17个)%), with trends ranging from –65% to +55% relative to the 23-year average. Seasonal fluctuations were only slightly surpassed by long-term trends in three cases. No strong correlation with climate zones was found, but seasonal effects were evident, with a predominance of negative trends around mid-year and positive trends around the turn of the year. Correlation and sensitivity analyses identified relative humidity as the primary driver of AWH efficiency, while solar radiation and air temperature played secondary roles. AWH systems yielded between 650 and 13,070 ml m(^{-2}) day(^{-1}) across sites. These findings highlight AWH as a robust, scalable, and climate-resilient solution to support SDG 6 in water-stressed regions.
{"title":"Solar-driven atmospheric water yields under climate stress: A 23-year global data analysis","authors":"Stephan Peter, Maneesh Babu Sunke, Bashar Ibrahim","doi":"10.1007/s12665-025-12789-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12665-025-12789-x","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Access to clean water is a fundamental human right, yet over two billion people face water scarcity–a crisis intensified by population growth and climate change. This study presents a data-driven analysis of atmospheric water yields at 30 globally distributed locations under varying climate stress. Using hourly ERA5 data from 2000 to 2022, we quantified the monthly average daily water extraction potential of solar-powered atmospheric water harvesting (AWH) systems. Statistically significant changes in AWH performance (<span>(p < 0.05)</span>) were found at 25 locations, affecting 61 of 360 location-month combinations (17%), with trends ranging from –65% to +55% relative to the 23-year average. Seasonal fluctuations were only slightly surpassed by long-term trends in three cases. No strong correlation with climate zones was found, but seasonal effects were evident, with a predominance of negative trends around mid-year and positive trends around the turn of the year. Correlation and sensitivity analyses identified relative humidity as the primary driver of AWH efficiency, while solar radiation and air temperature played secondary roles. AWH systems yielded between 650 and 13,070 ml m<span>(^{-2})</span> day<span>(^{-1})</span> across sites. These findings highlight AWH as a robust, scalable, and climate-resilient solution to support SDG 6 in water-stressed regions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"85 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12665-025-12789-x.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146001961","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Groundwater provides the principal irrigation lifeline for the semi-arid reaches of the Malwa Region of Northwestern India, yet its long-term sustainability remains increasingly uncertain. Using 25 years (2000–2024) of Central Ground Water Board (CGWB) monitoring-well data, this study mapped annual pre- and post-monsoon groundwater levels and identified statistically significant declines in 12 of 14 districts. It is observed that zones with water tables deeper than 20 m expanded dramatically from 2 km² in 2000 to 16,559 km² in 2024, where the steepest depletion observed in Sangrur and Barnala district with − 1.35 m yr⁻¹ and − 1.26 m yr⁻¹ depletion respectively, marking the region’s principal hotspot of depletion. A concurrent doubling of registered irrigation tubewells from 0.56 million to 1.12 million, aligns with flat-rate electricity subsidies and intensification of the rice–wheat rotation, highlighting policy-driven over-abstraction. Additionally, Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station (CHIRPS) data reveal a persistent west-to-east rainfall gradient (115–1365 mm yr⁻¹), offering limited natural recharge where depletion is most severe. The integrated attribution analysis further revealed that tubewell density (r = 0.67) and paddy acreage (r = 0.58) exert the strongest controls on groundwater decline, jointly explaining 71% of the variation in depletion trends in the multiple regression model. Random Forest regression also confirmed tubewell density as the dominant predictor of long-term groundwater decline. Overall, the results reveal an intensifying human influence over groundwater decline, driven primarily by the expansion of irrigation tubewells and the persistence of the rice – wheat system. These findings call for integrated policy action that combines demand management, crop diversification, and managed aquifer recharge with rationalized energy pricing to moderate groundwater abstraction. The study offers a concise, data-driven framework that can guide adaptive groundwater governance and sustainable water-energy planning across semi-arid agricultural regions.
{"title":"Multi-decadal geospatial trend analysis reveals anthropogenic control of groundwater-level decline across the Malwa region of Northwestern India","authors":"Nitin Dwivedi, Sunil Kumar, Suraj Kumar Singh, Shruti Kanga, Pankaj Kumar, Danish Khan, Mohamed Yehia Abouleish, Tarig Ali, Gowhar Meraj","doi":"10.1007/s12665-025-12732-0","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12665-025-12732-0","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Groundwater provides the principal irrigation lifeline for the semi-arid reaches of the Malwa Region of Northwestern India, yet its long-term sustainability remains increasingly uncertain. Using 25 years (2000–2024) of Central Ground Water Board (CGWB) monitoring-well data, this study mapped annual pre- and post-monsoon groundwater levels and identified statistically significant declines in 12 of 14 districts. It is observed that zones with water tables deeper than 20 m expanded dramatically from 2 km<sup>²</sup> in 2000 to 16,559 km² in 2024, where the steepest depletion observed in Sangrur and Barnala district with − 1.35 m yr<sup>⁻¹</sup> and − 1.26 m yr<sup>⁻¹</sup> depletion respectively, marking the region’s principal hotspot of depletion. A concurrent doubling of registered irrigation tubewells from 0.56 million to 1.12 million, aligns with flat-rate electricity subsidies and intensification of the rice–wheat rotation, highlighting policy-driven over-abstraction. Additionally, Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station (CHIRPS) data reveal a persistent west-to-east rainfall gradient (115–1365 mm yr<sup>⁻¹</sup>), offering limited natural recharge where depletion is most severe. The integrated attribution analysis further revealed that tubewell density (<i>r</i> = 0.67) and paddy acreage (<i>r</i> = 0.58) exert the strongest controls on groundwater decline, jointly explaining 71% of the variation in depletion trends in the multiple regression model. Random Forest regression also confirmed tubewell density as the dominant predictor of long-term groundwater decline. Overall, the results reveal an intensifying human influence over groundwater decline, driven primarily by the expansion of irrigation tubewells and the persistence of the rice – wheat system. These findings call for integrated policy action that combines demand management, crop diversification, and managed aquifer recharge with rationalized energy pricing to moderate groundwater abstraction. The study offers a concise, data-driven framework that can guide adaptive groundwater governance and sustainable water-energy planning across semi-arid agricultural regions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"85 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146001968","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Liquid nitrogen (LN₂) fracturing represents an innovative waterless permeability enhancement technology, capable of effectively improving coal seam permeability. To quantify pore space distribution heterogeneity and permeability anisotropy, the pore microstructure of low-order bituminous coal after LN₂ fracturing was characterized via Micro-CT scanning. Based on the three-dimensional reconstructed gas pore model, COMSOL software was used to simulate the single-phase seepage process. The results show that the frequency distribution histograms of pore throat parameters follow a lognormal distribution. LN₂ fracturing results in an increase in the number of pore throats and an expansion of their radius range. Specifically, the average coordination number increases by 0.86, while the average tortuosity decreases by 0.75. For fractured coal samples, the Z-direction manifests the highest porosity and connectivity, with porosity increasing by 182%. The pore surface area and shape factor follow a logarithmic distribution, while the pore volume, equivalent diameter, and sphericity display a power function distribution. A positive correlation exists between pore radius and coordination number, whereas a negative correlation is observed between throat radius and pore-throat ratio. The gas flowed along the X, Y, and Z directions, respectively, with the pore pressure gradually decreasing along the flow direction. Notably, the pressure exhibited the most rapid changes in narrow and rough regions. Additionally, permeability and seepage velocity exhibited pronounced directional anisotropy, while LN₂ fracturing enhanced seepage velocities across all directions. With increasing pressure gradient, seepage velocity displayed a nonlinear upward trend in each direction.
{"title":"Simulation of anisotropic seepage in 3D heterogeneous coal fractured by liquid nitrogen","authors":"Muyang Gan, Yonggang Qiao, Nan Fan, Shida Zhang, Xianke Wang, Yuqi Chang","doi":"10.1007/s12665-025-12759-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12665-025-12759-3","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Liquid nitrogen (LN₂) fracturing represents an innovative waterless permeability enhancement technology, capable of effectively improving coal seam permeability. To quantify pore space distribution heterogeneity and permeability anisotropy, the pore microstructure of low-order bituminous coal after LN₂ fracturing was characterized via Micro-CT scanning. Based on the three-dimensional reconstructed gas pore model, COMSOL software was used to simulate the single-phase seepage process. The results show that the frequency distribution histograms of pore throat parameters follow a lognormal distribution. LN₂ fracturing results in an increase in the number of pore throats and an expansion of their radius range. Specifically, the average coordination number increases by 0.86, while the average tortuosity decreases by 0.75. For fractured coal samples, the Z-direction manifests the highest porosity and connectivity, with porosity increasing by 182%. The pore surface area and shape factor follow a logarithmic distribution, while the pore volume, equivalent diameter, and sphericity display a power function distribution. A positive correlation exists between pore radius and coordination number, whereas a negative correlation is observed between throat radius and pore-throat ratio. The gas flowed along the X, Y, and Z directions, respectively, with the pore pressure gradually decreasing along the flow direction. Notably, the pressure exhibited the most rapid changes in narrow and rough regions. Additionally, permeability and seepage velocity exhibited pronounced directional anisotropy, while LN₂ fracturing enhanced seepage velocities across all directions. With increasing pressure gradient, seepage velocity displayed a nonlinear upward trend in each direction.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"85 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12665-025-12759-3.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146001963","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-20DOI: 10.1007/s12665-025-12802-3
Serin Değerli Şimşek, Evren Turhan
Accurate monitoring of drought conditions requires the use of quantitative indices that capture the variability of precipitation and other climatic parameters. The development and comparison of such indices provide valuable insights for both scientific understanding and practical applications in drought management. This study investigated historical drought trends in Türkiye's Seyhan, Ceyhan, and Asi River basins by employing indices such as Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Reconnaissance Drought Index (RDI), Discrepancy Precipitation Index (DPI), and New Drought Index (NDI). Given the growing importance of understanding drought dynamics, these indices were selected to ensure a comprehensive evaluation by incorporating distinct climatic parameters such as precipitation, evapotranspiration, and temperature. 13 meteorological stations were examined to ensure data reliability and accuracy for the years 1970 to 2021. The drought indices were calculated, and their temporal trends were analyzed using the Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA) method. The 52-year dataset was divided into three distinct periods for detailed trend evaluation. Partitioning the 52-year record for ITA revealed widespread negative NDI trends in the third period (nearly all stations) with a persistent wetting signal at Karataş, while RDI declines were pronounced at Karaisalı and Kahramanmaraş. Correlation analyses revealed that SPI and RDI showed strong alignment due to their common reliance on precipitation data. In contrast, NDI, which includes temperature as a parameter, exhibited broader sensitivity, indicating its ability to detect extreme wet and drought periods more effectively. Findings highlighted significant spatial and temporal variability in drought conditions. Across 13 stations (1970–2021), all four indices converged on the same extreme years, six wet (1976, 1981, 1987, 1988, 1997, 2009) and six dry (1989, 1990, 1993, 2013, 2017, 2020), demonstrating cross-index consistency in event detection. Overall, the study underscores the critical need for employing multiple drought indices to capture complex climatic dynamics accurately. It also emphasizes the utility of integrating newly developed indices like DPI and NDI into drought monitoring frameworks. The findings suggest that future drought management strategies should consider index-specific sensitivities and regional climatic characteristics for precise drought assessments.
{"title":"Investigating drought trends with new and traditional drought indices using innovative trend analysis (ITA): A case of Seyhan, Ceyhan, and Asi River Basins, Türkiye","authors":"Serin Değerli Şimşek, Evren Turhan","doi":"10.1007/s12665-025-12802-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12665-025-12802-3","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Accurate monitoring of drought conditions requires the use of quantitative indices that capture the variability of precipitation and other climatic parameters. The development and comparison of such indices provide valuable insights for both scientific understanding and practical applications in drought management. This study investigated historical drought trends in Türkiye's Seyhan, Ceyhan, and Asi River basins by employing indices such as Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Reconnaissance Drought Index (RDI), Discrepancy Precipitation Index (DPI), and New Drought Index (NDI). Given the growing importance of understanding drought dynamics, these indices were selected to ensure a comprehensive evaluation by incorporating distinct climatic parameters such as precipitation, evapotranspiration, and temperature. 13 meteorological stations were examined to ensure data reliability and accuracy for the years 1970 to 2021. The drought indices were calculated, and their temporal trends were analyzed using the Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA) method. The 52-year dataset was divided into three distinct periods for detailed trend evaluation. Partitioning the 52-year record for ITA revealed widespread negative NDI trends in the third period (nearly all stations) with a persistent wetting signal at Karataş, while RDI declines were pronounced at Karaisalı and Kahramanmaraş. Correlation analyses revealed that SPI and RDI showed strong alignment due to their common reliance on precipitation data. In contrast, NDI, which includes temperature as a parameter, exhibited broader sensitivity, indicating its ability to detect extreme wet and drought periods more effectively. Findings highlighted significant spatial and temporal variability in drought conditions. Across 13 stations (1970–2021), all four indices converged on the same extreme years, six wet (1976, 1981, 1987, 1988, 1997, 2009) and six dry (1989, 1990, 1993, 2013, 2017, 2020), demonstrating cross-index consistency in event detection. Overall, the study underscores the critical need for employing multiple drought indices to capture complex climatic dynamics accurately. It also emphasizes the utility of integrating newly developed indices like DPI and NDI into drought monitoring frameworks. The findings suggest that future drought management strategies should consider index-specific sensitivities and regional climatic characteristics for precise drought assessments.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"85 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12665-025-12802-3.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146001964","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-20DOI: 10.1007/s12665-025-12777-1
Iván Alhama Manteca, Emilio Trigueros Tornero, Francisco Abel Jiménez Cantizano, Teresa M. Bodas Freitas, Jerôme Viers, José Antonio Jiménez-Valera, Lola Yesares
Production practices in the mining industry during the last century have left numerous inactive facilities that current administrations have to deal with. In the case of tailings storage, the risk of pollution dispersion or large-scale damage caused by stability failures requires specific actions. In southern Spain, 28 abandoned tailings dams in the mining districts of Mazarrón, Cartagena and La Unión and 59 in the mining districts located in Andalucian Provinces, have been classified as hazardous for potential pollution risk, according to European regulations. In this document, we gather the experiences of 23 case studies in tailing decommission projects planned during the 2010-24 period, focusing on the most recent case of the San Cristobal-II tailings dam (SC-II). The actions conducted consist essentially of sealing, introduction of drainage elements, slope reprofiling and surface revegetation. The geotechnical characterization and monitoring conducted during decommissioning have emphasized that action must focus on pore water pressure control throughout all the phases of the project. The analysis of the actions involved in the decommissioning projects shows some positive experiences but also the need to improve in-depth geotechnical data acquisition, to ensure long-term safety while optimizing the decommissioning costs.
{"title":"Geotechnical aspects of decommissioning tailings storage facilities (TSF) in mining districts of Southern Spain","authors":"Iván Alhama Manteca, Emilio Trigueros Tornero, Francisco Abel Jiménez Cantizano, Teresa M. Bodas Freitas, Jerôme Viers, José Antonio Jiménez-Valera, Lola Yesares","doi":"10.1007/s12665-025-12777-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12665-025-12777-1","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Production practices in the mining industry during the last century have left numerous inactive facilities that current administrations have to deal with. In the case of tailings storage, the risk of pollution dispersion or large-scale damage caused by stability failures requires specific actions. In southern Spain, 28 abandoned tailings dams in the mining districts of Mazarrón, Cartagena and La Unión and 59 in the mining districts located in Andalucian Provinces, have been classified as hazardous for potential pollution risk, according to European regulations. In this document, we gather the experiences of 23 case studies in tailing decommission projects planned during the 2010-24 period, focusing on the most recent case of the San Cristobal-II tailings dam (SC-II). The actions conducted consist essentially of sealing, introduction of drainage elements, slope reprofiling and surface revegetation. The geotechnical characterization and monitoring conducted during decommissioning have emphasized that action must focus on pore water pressure control throughout all the phases of the project. The analysis of the actions involved in the decommissioning projects shows some positive experiences but also the need to improve in-depth geotechnical data acquisition, to ensure long-term safety while optimizing the decommissioning costs.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"85 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12665-025-12777-1.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146001967","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
To investigate the shale damage mechanism caused by long-term contact between water-based drilling fluid and the borehole wall, we systematically studied the dynamic evolution of shale pore structures at different hydration times through fixed-point observation experiments. Results show that after 48 h of shale hydration, the maximum pore diameter increases from 6.52 to 9.66 nm, while the number of pores increases from 136 to 432. Hydration primarily promotes mineral dissolution on the shale surface, exerting a strong influence on pore number and a comparatively smaller effect on pore diameter. The porosity of the core before hydration is 2.1%–5.5% and increases to 2.4%–13.7% after hydration. The porosity increases to varying degrees, and the increase multiple is between 0.14 and 1.50. The effect of hydration is more pronounced in rocks with higher initial porosity. Shale hydration also exhibits clear fractal characteristics, with the fractal dimension increasing from 2.663 to 2.8735 within 48 h. The fractal characteristics of pores before and after hydration and the hydration time conform to the logarithmic function relationship. This study elucidates the evolutionary patterns of fractal characteristics in shale pores and develops a model to describe the relationship between fractal dimension and hydration time. The model provides a scientific foundation for investigating the dynamic evolution of pore structures and the causes of wellbore instability during shale hydration.
{"title":"Dynamic evolution mechanism of shale structures under fluid-rock interaction based on fractal theory","authors":"Yan Zhuang, Xiaojian Zhang, Zhongguo Ma, Xiangjun Liu, Zehao Xu, Jianzhong Zhang, Wenbo Cheng, Xuemin Bai, Yadong Jing","doi":"10.1007/s12665-025-12812-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12665-025-12812-1","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>To investigate the shale damage mechanism caused by long-term contact between water-based drilling fluid and the borehole wall, we systematically studied the dynamic evolution of shale pore structures at different hydration times through fixed-point observation experiments. Results show that after 48 h of shale hydration, the maximum pore diameter increases from 6.52 to 9.66 nm, while the number of pores increases from 136 to 432. Hydration primarily promotes mineral dissolution on the shale surface, exerting a strong influence on pore number and a comparatively smaller effect on pore diameter. The porosity of the core before hydration is 2.1%–5.5% and increases to 2.4%–13.7% after hydration. The porosity increases to varying degrees, and the increase multiple is between 0.14 and 1.50. The effect of hydration is more pronounced in rocks with higher initial porosity. Shale hydration also exhibits clear fractal characteristics, with the fractal dimension increasing from 2.663 to 2.8735 within 48 h. The fractal characteristics of pores before and after hydration and the hydration time conform to the logarithmic function relationship. This study elucidates the evolutionary patterns of fractal characteristics in shale pores and develops a model to describe the relationship between fractal dimension and hydration time. The model provides a scientific foundation for investigating the dynamic evolution of pore structures and the causes of wellbore instability during shale hydration.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"85 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12665-025-12812-1.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146001966","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-13DOI: 10.1007/s12665-025-12654-x
Şeref Turhan, Savaş Türkdoğan, Ergin Murat Altuner, Aslı Kurnaz, Aybaba Hançerlioğulları
Heavy metal(loids) (HMs), which can be carcinogenic, cytotoxic, and mutagenic, can pose a threat to fauna, flora, and humans. In the mining industry, large amounts of HMs released uncontrolled as a result of activities such as extraction, grinding, clustering of mineral ores, and dumping of wastes in open areas. Perlite is a naturally occurring glassy volcanic alumina silicate rock that is mined and used all over the world. Perlite is utilized in the construction, agriculture, food, pharmaceutical, and chemical industries. This study focuses, for the first time, on the determination of HM contents of perlites produced as a result of mining in Türkiye and the assessment of potential health risks (PHRs) arising from HMs for quarry workers. The concentrations of HMs in 126 perlites samples collected from 12 quarries located in different geographical regions of Türkiye were analyzed by an energy-dispersive X-ray fluorescence (EDXRF) spectroscopy. The hazard index (HI) and total carcinogenic risk (TCR) index were estimated to assess non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic PHR for workers via three exposure pathways. The average concentrations of HMs analyzed in perlites samples were 4.2 (As), 4.3 (Cu), 7.0 (Co), 7.1 (V), 19.8 (Ni), 26.4 (Pb), 31.1 (Zn), 64.9 (Cr), 93.7 (Zr), 383.5 (Mn), 528.3 (Ti) and 6585.4 (Fe) mg kg−1 dw, which were below the upper continental crust average, exception for Pb. All HI and TCR values revealed that the non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic PHRs for adult quarry workers exposed to all HMs in the studied perlites were in the acceptable range.
{"title":"Heavy metals in perlite quarries and exposure of worker","authors":"Şeref Turhan, Savaş Türkdoğan, Ergin Murat Altuner, Aslı Kurnaz, Aybaba Hançerlioğulları","doi":"10.1007/s12665-025-12654-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12665-025-12654-x","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Heavy metal(loids) (HMs), which can be carcinogenic, cytotoxic, and mutagenic, can pose a threat to fauna, flora, and humans. In the mining industry, large amounts of HMs released uncontrolled as a result of activities such as extraction, grinding, clustering of mineral ores, and dumping of wastes in open areas. Perlite is a naturally occurring glassy volcanic alumina silicate rock that is mined and used all over the world. Perlite is utilized in the construction, agriculture, food, pharmaceutical, and chemical industries. This study focuses, for the first time, on the determination of HM contents of perlites produced as a result of mining in Türkiye and the assessment of potential health risks (PHRs) arising from HMs for quarry workers. The concentrations of HMs in 126 perlites samples collected from 12 quarries located in different geographical regions of Türkiye were analyzed by an energy-dispersive X-ray fluorescence (EDXRF) spectroscopy. The hazard index (HI) and total carcinogenic risk (TCR) index were estimated to assess non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic PHR for workers via three exposure pathways. The average concentrations of HMs analyzed in perlites samples were 4.2 (As), 4.3 (Cu), 7.0 (Co), 7.1 (V), 19.8 (Ni), 26.4 (Pb), 31.1 (Zn), 64.9 (Cr), 93.7 (Zr), 383.5 (Mn), 528.3 (Ti) and 6585.4 (Fe) mg kg<sup>−1</sup> dw, which were below the upper continental crust average, exception for Pb. All HI and TCR values revealed that the non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic PHRs for adult quarry workers exposed to all HMs in the studied perlites were in the acceptable range.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"85 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2026-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145982786","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}