首页 > 最新文献

Environmental Earth Sciences最新文献

英文 中文
Research on precise quantitative traceability of combined gas extraction in close-distance coal seam group 近距离煤层群联合瓦斯抽采精确定量溯源研究
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-18 DOI: 10.1007/s12665-024-11904-8
Feng Du, Weilong Cui, Kai Wang, Yi Zhang, Jiazhi Sun

The combined extraction of gas from close-distance coal seams can be an effective means of preventing and controlling the outburst of coal and gas. It can improve the production efficiency of coal mines and make effective use of coal methane resources. In order to determine the source of the combined extraction of gas in the coal seam group and the proportion of gas extraction in each coal seam, in this work, the combination of carbon isotope measurement, numerical simulation and field layered measurement test are adopted to study the traceability of combined extraction of gas in outburst coal seam group. When the four-layer coal seam is jointly extracted, the gas mixing ratios of the coal seams from top to bottom calculated by the carbon isotope method account for about 23%, 56%, 7% and 13%, respectively. According to the field layered measurement test, the proportion of each coalbed methane in the mixture is about 22%, 55%, 7% and 15% in the top-down four layers of coal seam. In accordance with the numerical simulation study, the top-to-bottom ratio of gas extracted from each coal seam is about 3.4:7.4:1:1.8 when the multi-holes are arranged in parallel to extract the four-layer coal seam. Under the geological conditions of the coal seam in this coal mine, the three research methods all confirm that when the four-layer coal seam is jointly extracted, the amount of gas extracted from the second-layer coal seam is the largest, followed by the amount of gas extracted from the first-layer coal seam, and the amount of gas extracted from the third and fourth-layer coal seams is relatively small. The research offers a theoretical foundation for evaluating the accuracy of measuring the volume of gas extracted from multi-coal seam combined extraction, and provides a new research idea for solving the problem of combined extraction of close-spaced bursting coal seams, which has guiding significance for the accurate measurement of mine gas control.

近距离煤层瓦斯联合抽采是防治煤与瓦斯突出的有效手段。可以提高煤矿的生产效率,有效利用煤层气资源。为了确定煤层群瓦斯联合抽采源及各煤层瓦斯抽采比例,本研究采用碳同位素测定、数值模拟和现场分层测定试验相结合的方法,对突水煤层群瓦斯联合抽采溯源性进行了研究。四层煤层联合抽采时,用碳同位素法计算的煤层自上而下的瓦斯混合比分别约为23%、56%、7%和13%。根据现场分层测量试验,自上而下四层煤层中各煤层气在混合气中的比例分别约为 22%、55%、7%和 15%。根据数值模拟研究,多孔平行布置抽采四层煤层时,各煤层的瓦斯抽采比约为 3.4:7.4:1:1.8。在该煤矿煤层地质条件下,三种研究方法均证实了四层煤层联合抽采时,第二层煤层的瓦斯抽采量最大,第一层煤层的瓦斯抽采量次之,第三、四层煤层的瓦斯抽采量相对较小。该研究为评价多煤层联合抽采瓦斯抽采量的测量精度提供了理论依据,为解决近间隔突水煤层联合抽采问题提供了新的研究思路,对矿井瓦斯控制的精确测量具有指导意义。
{"title":"Research on precise quantitative traceability of combined gas extraction in close-distance coal seam group","authors":"Feng Du,&nbsp;Weilong Cui,&nbsp;Kai Wang,&nbsp;Yi Zhang,&nbsp;Jiazhi Sun","doi":"10.1007/s12665-024-11904-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12665-024-11904-8","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The combined extraction of gas from close-distance coal seams can be an effective means of preventing and controlling the outburst of coal and gas. It can improve the production efficiency of coal mines and make effective use of coal methane resources. In order to determine the source of the combined extraction of gas in the coal seam group and the proportion of gas extraction in each coal seam, in this work, the combination of carbon isotope measurement, numerical simulation and field layered measurement test are adopted to study the traceability of combined extraction of gas in outburst coal seam group. When the four-layer coal seam is jointly extracted, the gas mixing ratios of the coal seams from top to bottom calculated by the carbon isotope method account for about 23%, 56%, 7% and 13%, respectively. According to the field layered measurement test, the proportion of each coalbed methane in the mixture is about 22%, 55%, 7% and 15% in the top-down four layers of coal seam. In accordance with the numerical simulation study, the top-to-bottom ratio of gas extracted from each coal seam is about 3.4:7.4:1:1.8 when the multi-holes are arranged in parallel to extract the four-layer coal seam. Under the geological conditions of the coal seam in this coal mine, the three research methods all confirm that when the four-layer coal seam is jointly extracted, the amount of gas extracted from the second-layer coal seam is the largest, followed by the amount of gas extracted from the first-layer coal seam, and the amount of gas extracted from the third and fourth-layer coal seams is relatively small. The research offers a theoretical foundation for evaluating the accuracy of measuring the volume of gas extracted from multi-coal seam combined extraction, and provides a new research idea for solving the problem of combined extraction of close-spaced bursting coal seams, which has guiding significance for the accurate measurement of mine gas control.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"83 21","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142451105","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Quantitative source apportionment and pollution characteristics of heavy metals in agricultural soils surrounding a legacy Pb-Zn mine 遗留铅锌矿周围农业土壤中重金属的定量来源分配和污染特征
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-17 DOI: 10.1007/s12665-024-11901-x
Jianqiang Zhang, Jialian Ning, Zhukun He, Ji Wang, Zhiju Liu, Haihu Yan, Zirui Liang

Mining activity is an important source of heavy metals in agricultural soils, threatening food safety and human health. In the present study, an integrated approach of Nemerow pollution index (PN), Geo-accumulation index (Igeo), potential ecological risk index (PERI), principal component analysis (PCA), cluster analysis (CA), and positive matrix factorization (PMF) was applied to comprehensively illustrate the pollution, potential ecological risk, and sources of heavy metals in agricultural soils surrounding a legacy Pb-Zn mine. The agricultural soils were seriously polluted and suffered high risks of heavy metals with the order of Cd > Pb > Hg > As > Zn > Cu > Ni > Cr. According to the PMF model, Cd (85.5%) and Zn (15.9%) originated from irrigation of polluted water. As (76.2%) and Pb (26.4%) were related to Pb/Zn ores transportation. Pb (52.5%), Zn (51.1%), and Cu (38.8%) were associated with atmospheric deposition during Pb-Zn mining. Hg (67.3%) was mainly from agricultural sources. Cr (59.5%), Ni (59%), and Cu (28.7%) came from the natural parent materials. Pb-Zn mining activity was the priority source accounting for 57.7% of heavy metals pollution in the agricultural soil. Additionally, agricultural and natural sources contributed 19.8% and 22.5%, respectively. These results provide valuable information for future prevention, remediation, and management of soil heavy metals pollution surrounding the Pb-Zn mining region.

采矿活动是农业土壤中重金属的重要来源,威胁着食品安全和人类健康。本研究采用内默罗污染指数(PN)、地质累积指数(Igeo)、潜在生态风险指数(PERI)、主成分分析(PCA)、聚类分析(CA)和正矩阵因式分解(PMF)等综合方法,全面阐述了某铅锌遗留矿山周边农田土壤的污染情况、潜在生态风险和重金属来源。该农田土壤污染严重,重金属风险较高,依次为镉 (Cd > Pb > Hg > As > Zn > Cu > Ni > Cr)。根据 PMF 模型,镉(85.5%)和锌(15.9%)来自污染水灌溉。砷(76.2%)和铅(26.4%)与铅锌矿的运输有关。铅(52.5%)、锌(51.1%)和铜(38.8%)与铅锌矿开采过程中的大气沉积有关。汞(67.3%)主要来自农业来源。铬(59.5%)、镍(59%)和铜(28.7%)来自天然母质。铅锌矿开采活动是农业土壤重金属污染的主要来源,占 57.7%。此外,农业和自然来源分别占 19.8% 和 22.5%。这些结果为今后预防、修复和管理铅锌矿区周边土壤重金属污染提供了宝贵的信息。
{"title":"Quantitative source apportionment and pollution characteristics of heavy metals in agricultural soils surrounding a legacy Pb-Zn mine","authors":"Jianqiang Zhang,&nbsp;Jialian Ning,&nbsp;Zhukun He,&nbsp;Ji Wang,&nbsp;Zhiju Liu,&nbsp;Haihu Yan,&nbsp;Zirui Liang","doi":"10.1007/s12665-024-11901-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12665-024-11901-x","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Mining activity is an important source of heavy metals in agricultural soils, threatening food safety and human health. In the present study, an integrated approach of Nemerow pollution index (P<sub>N</sub>), Geo-accumulation index (I<sub>geo</sub>), potential ecological risk index (PERI), principal component analysis (PCA), cluster analysis (CA), and positive matrix factorization (PMF) was applied to comprehensively illustrate the pollution, potential ecological risk, and sources of heavy metals in agricultural soils surrounding a legacy Pb-Zn mine. The agricultural soils were seriously polluted and suffered high risks of heavy metals with the order of Cd &gt; Pb &gt; Hg &gt; As &gt; Zn &gt; Cu &gt; Ni &gt; Cr. According to the PMF model, Cd (85.5%) and Zn (15.9%) originated from irrigation of polluted water. As (76.2%) and Pb (26.4%) were related to Pb/Zn ores transportation. Pb (52.5%), Zn (51.1%), and Cu (38.8%) were associated with atmospheric deposition during Pb-Zn mining. Hg (67.3%) was mainly from agricultural sources. Cr (59.5%), Ni (59%), and Cu (28.7%) came from the natural parent materials. Pb-Zn mining activity was the priority source accounting for 57.7% of heavy metals pollution in the agricultural soil. Additionally, agricultural and natural sources contributed 19.8% and 22.5%, respectively. These results provide valuable information for future prevention, remediation, and management of soil heavy metals pollution surrounding the Pb-Zn mining region.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"83 21","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142447298","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
2D nonlinear inversion of DC resistivity measurements, a case study; southeastern part of Ras El Dabaa, Northwestern coast, Egypt 直流电阻率测量的二维非线性反演,案例研究;埃及西北海岸 Ras El Dabaa 东南部地区
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-17 DOI: 10.1007/s12665-024-11896-5
Fardous Zarif, Mostafa Barseem, Ahmed Elshenawy, Emin U Ulugergerli

The southern Mediterranean coast suffers from limited water resources as a result of exploitation of water supply, population growth, and climate change. Spatial lineaments and Seawater Intrusion (SWI) were detected at the southeast portion of Ras El Dabaa, on Egypt’s northwest coast, using the direct current resistivity (DCR) method. The Vertical Electrical Sounding (VES) data were acquired using Schlumberger array along four profiles and inverted both independently and jointly, aiming to obtain Two Dimensional (2D) geoelectrical images. The results of the one Dimensional (1D) inversion of VES data at each profile were stitched to form pseudo-2D sections on which the resistivity values and aquifer thickness in the southwest of the region appeared to be generally increasing, indicating a potential improvement in water quality.However, the results did not fully image the lateral variation but focused on the horizontal boundaries of the subsurface. On the contrary, the results of 2D inversion of the same data sets successfully managed to provide images that depicted resistivity distribution in both lateral and vertical directions. The detected sets of lineaments and fractured zones within the oolitic limestone and fossiliferous limestone units control the occurrence of groundwater in the region. The 2D inversion scheme revealed a low resistivity zone that indicated the presence of SWI and/or the dissolution of marine salts from the marine limestone bedrock of these aquifers in the northern portions of the studied area. Additionally, analysis of the 2D apparent porosity section shows how aquifers are connected by secondary porosity, which is defined by structures that resemble channels. The current approach offers valuable structural information for future planning and development of such complex geological coastal locations, taking into consideration the vulnerability of the groundwater system.

由于供水开发、人口增长和气候变化,地中海南部沿海地区水资源有限。利用直流电阻率(DCR)方法,对埃及西北海岸 Ras El Dabaa 东南部的空间线形和海水入侵(SWI)进行了探测。使用斯伦贝谢阵列沿四个剖面采集了垂直电探测 (VES) 数据,并进行了独立和联合反演,旨在获得二维 (2D) 地质电学图像。每个剖面的一维(1D)VES 数据反演结果经拼接后形成伪二维剖面图,在该剖面图上,该地区西南部的电阻率值和含水层厚度总体上呈上升趋势,表明水质可能有所改善。相反,相同数据集的二维反演结果成功地提供了描述横向和纵向电阻率分布的图像。在鲕粒灰岩和化石灰岩单元内探测到的线状和断裂带控制着该地区地下水的出现。二维反演方案揭示了一个低电阻率区,表明在研究区域北部的这些含水层的海相石灰岩基岩中存在 SWI 和/或海盐溶解。此外,对二维表观孔隙度剖面的分析表明,含水层是如何通过次生孔隙度连接起来的,次生孔隙度由类似通道的结构确定。考虑到地下水系统的脆弱性,目前的方法为今后规划和开发这种地质复杂的沿海地 区提供了宝贵的结构信息。
{"title":"2D nonlinear inversion of DC resistivity measurements, a case study; southeastern part of Ras El Dabaa, Northwestern coast, Egypt","authors":"Fardous Zarif,&nbsp;Mostafa Barseem,&nbsp;Ahmed Elshenawy,&nbsp;Emin U Ulugergerli","doi":"10.1007/s12665-024-11896-5","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12665-024-11896-5","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The southern Mediterranean coast suffers from limited water resources as a result of exploitation of water supply, population growth, and climate change. Spatial lineaments and Seawater Intrusion (SWI) were detected at the southeast portion of Ras El Dabaa, on Egypt’s northwest coast, using the direct current resistivity (DCR) method. The Vertical Electrical Sounding (VES) data were acquired using Schlumberger array along four profiles and inverted both independently and jointly, aiming to obtain Two Dimensional (2D) geoelectrical images. The results of the one Dimensional (1D) inversion of VES data at each profile were stitched to form pseudo-2D sections on which the resistivity values and aquifer thickness in the southwest of the region appeared to be generally increasing, indicating a potential improvement in water quality.However, the results did not fully image the lateral variation but focused on the horizontal boundaries of the subsurface. On the contrary, the results of 2D inversion of the same data sets successfully managed to provide images that depicted resistivity distribution in both lateral and vertical directions. The detected sets of lineaments and fractured zones within the oolitic limestone and fossiliferous limestone units control the occurrence of groundwater in the region. The 2D inversion scheme revealed a low resistivity zone that indicated the presence of SWI and/or the dissolution of marine salts from the marine limestone bedrock of these aquifers in the northern portions of the studied area. Additionally, analysis of the 2D apparent porosity section shows how aquifers are connected by secondary porosity, which is defined by structures that resemble channels. The current approach offers valuable structural information for future planning and development of such complex geological coastal locations, taking into consideration the vulnerability of the groundwater system.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"83 21","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12665-024-11896-5.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142447299","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Hydrogeological attributes and groundwater potential of the Saq aquifer system: insights from petrophysical properties and hydrochemical characteristics in Al Qassim Province, KSA 萨克含水层系统的水文地质属性和地下水潜力:从沙特卡西姆省的岩石物理特性和水化学特征得出的见解
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-15 DOI: 10.1007/s12665-024-11877-8
Mohammed A. Ahmed, Hosni Ghazala, Ahmed El Mahmoudi, Ragab El Sherbini, Mohamed A. Genedi

The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is facing challenges related to water scarcity, however, the Cambrian-Ordovician Saq Aquifer System, in Al Qassim Province, provides vital water resources. This article assesses the petrophysical properties and hydrochemical characteristics of the aquifer system utilizing downhole cam recording and geostatistical analysis. The evaluation aims to assign the hydrogeological attributes, groundwater potential, and associated risks using an open-petrophysical aquifer system approach. The petrophysical evaluation appraises the prevailing lithology, zonation, hydrogeological properties, and salinity patterns. Sandstones with low shale content and dispersed distribution possess effective porosity that is fully saturated with groundwater containing calcium and bicarbonate ions. The majority of groundwater samples exhibit simple dissolution or lack prevailing ionic concentrations, indicating an ancient marine water genesis and a fossilized water type. The resistivity-depth profiles reveals three potential water-bearing aquifers including a disconnected compartment of an unconfined aquifer, a continuous compartment of a confined aquifer, and a continuous compartment of an unconfined aquifer. Petrophysical and hydrochemical parameters have been analyzed using geostatistical methods to assess their spatial variability and reduce potential sampling errors. Three distinct risk segments (RSs) with varying levels of risk characterize the aquifer system. RS-A represents a potential aquifer with low risk, RS-B poses moderate risks, and RS-C carries high risks. A fairway map of the aquifer system assigns geologic-hydro related factors that influence aquifer assessment and risk mapping. Segment-A is deemed an attractive long-term investment opportunity with low risk, while Segment-B offers a good investment opportunity with moderate risk. Segment-C provides a fair investment opportunity but entails high risks related to petrophysical qualities, hydrochemical characterizations, and irrigation utilities. The extraction and utilization of groundwater present promising investment opportunities, while employing a petrophysical approach can effectively evaluate and manage groundwater resources for sustainable utilization.

沙特阿拉伯王国正面临着水资源短缺的挑战,然而,位于 Al Qassim 省的寒武-奥陶系萨克含水层系统提供了重要的水资源。本文利用井下凸轮记录和地质统计分析,对含水层系统的岩石物理特性和水化学特征进行了评估。评估旨在采用开放式岩石物理含水层系统方法,确定水文地质属性、地下水潜力和相关风险。岩石物理评估对主要岩性、分区、水文地质属性和盐度模式进行评价。页岩含量低且分布分散的砂岩具有有效孔隙度,含钙和碳酸氢根离子的地下水完全饱和。大部分地下水样本表现为简单溶解或缺乏普遍的离子浓度,这表明地下水成因为远古海洋水,属于化石水类型。电阻率深度剖面显示了三个潜在的含水含水层,包括一个无压含水层的断开区、一个有压含水层的连续区和一个无压含水层的连续区。岩石物理和水化学参数采用地质统计方法进行分析,以评估其空间变异性并减少潜在的取样误差。含水层系统有三个不同风险等级的风险区段(RS)。RS-A 代表低风险的潜在含水层,RS-B 具有中等风险,而 RS-C 则具有高风险。含水层系统的航道图指定了影响含水层评估和风险绘图的地质水文相关因素。A 区段被认为是一个具有吸引力的长期投资机会,风险较低;B 区段提供了一个良好的投资机会,风险适中。C 区段提供了一个不错的投资机会,但与岩石物理质量、水化学特征和灌溉设施有关的风险较高。地下水的开采和利用提供了大有可为的投资机会,而采用岩石物理方法可以有效评估和管理地下水资源,实现可持续利用。
{"title":"Hydrogeological attributes and groundwater potential of the Saq aquifer system: insights from petrophysical properties and hydrochemical characteristics in Al Qassim Province, KSA","authors":"Mohammed A. Ahmed,&nbsp;Hosni Ghazala,&nbsp;Ahmed El Mahmoudi,&nbsp;Ragab El Sherbini,&nbsp;Mohamed A. Genedi","doi":"10.1007/s12665-024-11877-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12665-024-11877-8","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is facing challenges related to water scarcity, however, the Cambrian-Ordovician Saq Aquifer System, in Al Qassim Province, provides vital water resources. This article assesses the petrophysical properties and hydrochemical characteristics of the aquifer system utilizing downhole cam recording and geostatistical analysis. The evaluation aims to assign the hydrogeological attributes, groundwater potential, and associated risks using an open-petrophysical aquifer system approach. The petrophysical evaluation appraises the prevailing lithology, zonation, hydrogeological properties, and salinity patterns. Sandstones with low shale content and dispersed distribution possess effective porosity that is fully saturated with groundwater containing calcium and bicarbonate ions. The majority of groundwater samples exhibit simple dissolution or lack prevailing ionic concentrations, indicating an ancient marine water genesis and a fossilized water type. The resistivity-depth profiles reveals three potential water-bearing aquifers including a disconnected compartment of an unconfined aquifer, a continuous compartment of a confined aquifer, and a continuous compartment of an unconfined aquifer. Petrophysical and hydrochemical parameters have been analyzed using geostatistical methods to assess their spatial variability and reduce potential sampling errors. Three distinct risk segments (RSs) with varying levels of risk characterize the aquifer system. RS-A represents a potential aquifer with low risk, RS-B poses moderate risks, and RS-C carries high risks. A fairway map of the aquifer system assigns geologic-hydro related factors that influence aquifer assessment and risk mapping. Segment-A is deemed an attractive long-term investment opportunity with low risk, while Segment-B offers a good investment opportunity with moderate risk. Segment-C provides a fair investment opportunity but entails high risks related to petrophysical qualities, hydrochemical characterizations, and irrigation utilities. The extraction and utilization of groundwater present promising investment opportunities, while employing a petrophysical approach can effectively evaluate and manage groundwater resources for sustainable utilization.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"83 20","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142434851","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Probabilistic landslide hazard assessments: adaptation of spatial models to large slow-moving earth flows and preliminary evaluation in Loja (Ecuador) 山体滑坡危险概率评估:对空间模型进行调整,以适应大型缓慢移动的土流,并在洛哈(厄瓜多尔)进行初步评估
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-15 DOI: 10.1007/s12665-024-11905-7
John Soto, Jorge P. Galve, José Antonio Palenzuela, José Miguel Azañón, José Tamay, Galo Guamán, Clemente Irigaray

Quantitative landslide hazard models provide estimations of the number of landslides per area and time that might be expected in the near future. These models are essential to calculate landslide risk in monetary terms. Although they are very useful tools for managing the activity of unstable slopes, their production calls for a vast amount of spatial and temporal data. Here, we present a case where this was possible producing the quantitative landslide hazard map for the municipality of Loja, Ecuador. It is based on a model that integrates six causal factors (distance to faults, lithology, slope, geomorphology, topographic position index, land use) and a comprehensive multi-temporal inventory of landslides. First, a susceptibility map was generated with a good prediction capability (Area under prediction rate curve, AUPRC: 0.8) combining two widely used and tested probabilistic methods: “Matrix” and “Likelihood ratio”. Subsequently, this map was transformed into a hazard map by including the temporal frequency of landslides. The map assesses the annual probability of each pixel to be set in motion within one of these landslides. The preliminary temporal validation of the hazard map indicates that the pixels mobilized during two years after the map production fit reasonably well with our spatio-temporal forecast. The findings emphasize that classical spatial prediction methods, when augmented by robust and extensive data on landslide distribution and activity, can yield hazard models with reliable predictive capabilities. This suggests that in practical applications, models based on relatively simple calculations can provide effective and reliable starting points for managing landslide risks.

定量山体滑坡危险模型可估算出在不久的将来每个地区和时间内可能发生的山体滑坡数量。这些模型对于以货币形式计算滑坡风险至关重要。虽然这些模型是管理不稳定斜坡活动的非常有用的工具,但其制作需要大量的空间和时间数据。在此,我们介绍了厄瓜多尔洛哈市制作定量山体滑坡危险地图的一个案例。该地图基于一个综合了六个因果因素(与断层的距离、岩性、坡度、地貌、地形位置指数、土地利用)和全面的多时空滑坡清单的模型。首先,结合两种广泛使用并经过测试的概率方法,生成了具有良好预测能力(预测率曲线下面积,AUPRC:0.8)的易损性图:"矩阵 "和 "似然比"。随后,通过将山体滑坡的时间频率纳入其中,将该地图转化为危险地图。该地图评估了每个像素点在这些滑坡中发生移动的年概率。危险地图的初步时间验证表明,地图绘制后两年内移动的像素与我们的时空预测相当吻合。这些研究结果表明,传统的空间预测方法在得到有关滑坡分布和活动的大量可靠数据的支持后,可以产生具有可靠预测能力的灾害模型。这表明,在实际应用中,基于相对简单计算的模型可以为管理滑坡风险提供有效、可靠的起点。
{"title":"Probabilistic landslide hazard assessments: adaptation of spatial models to large slow-moving earth flows and preliminary evaluation in Loja (Ecuador)","authors":"John Soto,&nbsp;Jorge P. Galve,&nbsp;José Antonio Palenzuela,&nbsp;José Miguel Azañón,&nbsp;José Tamay,&nbsp;Galo Guamán,&nbsp;Clemente Irigaray","doi":"10.1007/s12665-024-11905-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12665-024-11905-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Quantitative landslide hazard models provide estimations of the number of landslides per area and time that might be expected in the near future. These models are essential to calculate landslide risk in monetary terms. Although they are very useful tools for managing the activity of unstable slopes, their production calls for a vast amount of spatial and temporal data. Here, we present a case where this was possible producing the quantitative landslide hazard map for the municipality of Loja, Ecuador. It is based on a model that integrates six causal factors (distance to faults, lithology, slope, geomorphology, topographic position index, land use) and a comprehensive multi-temporal inventory of landslides. First, a susceptibility map was generated with a good prediction capability (Area under prediction rate curve, AUPRC: 0.8) combining two widely used and tested probabilistic methods: “Matrix” and “Likelihood ratio”. Subsequently, this map was transformed into a hazard map by including the temporal frequency of landslides. The map assesses the annual probability of each pixel to be set in motion within one of these landslides. The preliminary temporal validation of the hazard map indicates that the pixels mobilized during two years after the map production fit reasonably well with our spatio-temporal forecast. The findings emphasize that classical spatial prediction methods, when augmented by robust and extensive data on landslide distribution and activity, can yield hazard models with reliable predictive capabilities. This suggests that in practical applications, models based on relatively simple calculations can provide effective and reliable starting points for managing landslide risks.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"83 20","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142434850","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Optimizing the estimation of water storage variation in lakes with limited satellite altimetry coverage 利用有限的卫星测高覆盖范围优化湖泊蓄水量变化估算
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-15 DOI: 10.1007/s12665-024-11912-8
Jing Zhang, Futian Liu, Hang Ning, Yubo Xia, Zhuo Zhang, Wanjun Jiang, Sheming Chen, Dongli Ji

The empirical formula (EF) method, which do not rely on topographic data, stands as the prevailing technique for estimating lake water storage variation (LWSV). However, for smaller lakes, the sporadic monitoring frequency of satellite altimetry fails to adequately support this method, presenting a challenge in accurately gauging LWSV. Using Lake Chahannur, a lake in China with an area smaller than 50 km2, as a case study, seven schemes based on the EF method and the Area-Volume-Height (A-V-H) curve method were designed to estimate the LWSV of this undersized lake. The efficacy and precision of each scheme were evaluated against field-measured elevations. Findings reveal that due to the limited satellite altimetry monitoring, both the EF method and the H-driven A-V-H curve schemes struggle to provide consistent and comprehensive estimations. In the A-driven A-V-H curve schemes, terrain data from SRTM DEM suffers from mask processing and substantial errors, with the former posing challenges for shrinking lakes and the latter significantly compromising estimation accuracy. While field-measured elevations boast high precision, the interpolation process leads to terrain maps lacking in detail, with site density becoming a crucial factor influencing the accuracy of LWSV estimation. The combination of terrain reconstruction and A-driven pattern emerges as the most promising, boasting high accuracy, rich detail, and significantly reduced reliance on satellite altimetry monitoring, making it particularly suitable for small lakes. Chahannur’s bottom elevation ranges between 1271.71 and 1273.44 m, and the lake shows a downward trend in water volume from 1991 to 2020, with fluctuations totaling approximately 35 million m3. This study serves as a vital addition to the field of LWSV estimation, potentially broadening the scope of estimation from large-scale lakes to a wider array of global surface water bodies.

不依赖地形数据的经验公式法(EF)是估算湖泊蓄水量变化(LWSV)的主流技术。然而,对于较小的湖泊,卫星测高仪的零星监测频率无法为该方法提供充分支持,给精确测量湖泊蓄水量变化带来了挑战。以中国面积小于 50 平方公里的查干诺尔湖为例,设计了七种基于 EF 法和面积-体积-高度(A-V-H)曲线法的方案来估算这个面积不足的湖泊的 LWSV。根据实地测量的海拔高度对每种方案的有效性和精确度进行了评估。研究结果表明,由于卫星测高监测有限,EF 方法和 H 驱动 A-V-H 曲线方法都难以提供一致、全面的估算结果。在 A 驱动的 A-V-H 曲线方案中,SRTM DEM 的地形数据存在掩码处理和大量误差,前者给缩小湖泊带来了挑战,后者则大大影响了估算精度。虽然实地测量的高程精度高,但插值过程导致地形图缺乏细节,站点密度成为影响 LWSV 估测精度的关键因素。地形重建与 A 驱动模式的结合是最有前途的方法,不仅精度高、细节丰富,而且大大降低了对卫星测高监测的依赖,因此特别适用于小型湖泊。查汉努尔湖的湖底标高在 1271.71 米和 1273.44 米之间,从 1991 年到 2020 年,该湖的水量呈下降趋势,波动总量约为 3500 万立方米。这项研究是对 LWSV 估算领域的重要补充,有可能将估算范围从大型湖泊扩大到更广泛的全球地表水体。
{"title":"Optimizing the estimation of water storage variation in lakes with limited satellite altimetry coverage","authors":"Jing Zhang,&nbsp;Futian Liu,&nbsp;Hang Ning,&nbsp;Yubo Xia,&nbsp;Zhuo Zhang,&nbsp;Wanjun Jiang,&nbsp;Sheming Chen,&nbsp;Dongli Ji","doi":"10.1007/s12665-024-11912-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12665-024-11912-8","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The empirical formula (EF) method, which do not rely on topographic data, stands as the prevailing technique for estimating lake water storage variation (LWSV). However, for smaller lakes, the sporadic monitoring frequency of satellite altimetry fails to adequately support this method, presenting a challenge in accurately gauging LWSV. Using Lake Chahannur, a lake in China with an area smaller than 50 km<sup>2</sup>, as a case study, seven schemes based on the EF method and the Area-Volume-Height (A-V-H) curve method were designed to estimate the LWSV of this undersized lake. The efficacy and precision of each scheme were evaluated against field-measured elevations. Findings reveal that due to the limited satellite altimetry monitoring, both the EF method and the H-driven A-V-H curve schemes struggle to provide consistent and comprehensive estimations. In the A-driven A-V-H curve schemes, terrain data from SRTM DEM suffers from mask processing and substantial errors, with the former posing challenges for shrinking lakes and the latter significantly compromising estimation accuracy. While field-measured elevations boast high precision, the interpolation process leads to terrain maps lacking in detail, with site density becoming a crucial factor influencing the accuracy of LWSV estimation. The combination of terrain reconstruction and A-driven pattern emerges as the most promising, boasting high accuracy, rich detail, and significantly reduced reliance on satellite altimetry monitoring, making it particularly suitable for small lakes. Chahannur’s bottom elevation ranges between 1271.71 and 1273.44 m, and the lake shows a downward trend in water volume from 1991 to 2020, with fluctuations totaling approximately 35 million m<sup>3</sup>. This study serves as a vital addition to the field of LWSV estimation, potentially broadening the scope of estimation from large-scale lakes to a wider array of global surface water bodies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"83 20","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142438817","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Which strategy should be adopted for the delimitation of the hydraulic public domain? The case of a watershed characterised by dam overflows and inter-basin water transfers (Boudouaou-Algeria) 水利公共领域的划界应采取何种战略?以水坝溢流和流域间调水为特征的流域为例(阿尔及利亚布杜阿乌)
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-14 DOI: 10.1007/s12665-024-11886-7
Abdelkader Otmane, Mohamed El-amine Gacemi, Nasreddine Belabid, El-Mehdi Bellabas

The dams and reservoirs built in the valleys play a key role in water management and contribute to a society’s quality of life. But they are also a potential risk, with often tragic downstream consequences. Keddara dam on the Boudouaou wadi, in central Algeria, is just an example. Its historical water level record shows that it has overflowed on several occasions, resulting in a real danger of flooding for people living downstream, particularly those living in the town of Boudouaou. In this respect, hazard mapping represents a very effective means of prevention, through the delimitation of the Public Hydraulic Domain (PHD). To do this, we were interested in the predetermination of extreme flood flows and hydraulic simulation in a natural environment. In fact, the particularity of our study lies in the strategy adopted for the case of an ungauged catchment, led by a dam located in its upstream part, and characterized by water inflows outside the catchment, This situation of the dam has led to devastating spills, which leads us to consider the entire Boudouaou basin to determine the flow rates and thus the hazard zones downstream the basin. In order to solve this problem a very high spatial resolution data was used, with Digital Terrain Model and Digital Surface Model of 1 m, as well as orthorectified satellite image of 50 cm. On the other hand, the peak flow data for different return periods were estimated using empirical formulas, using frequency maximum precipitation and the physical characteristics of the basins. However, roughness data, bridges as well as details of all hydraulic structures are the subject of several field visits. The results of the hydraulic simulation obtained after calibration and validation of the HEC-RAS model, by using the peak flows caused by the overflow of the Keddara dam on the one hand, and the Boudouaou sub-basin downstream on the other hand, seem to give better results for the various retained recurrences (high, medium and low), i.e. simulated water levels correspond exactly or almost exactly to the heights measured in the field.

建在山谷中的水坝和水库在水资源管理方面发挥着关键作用,并有助于提高社会生活质量。但它们也是潜在的风险,往往会给下游带来悲惨的后果。阿尔及利亚中部 Boudouaou 谷地上的 Keddara 大坝就是一个例子。其历史水位记录显示,该水坝曾多次溢洪,给下游居民,尤其是布杜瓦乌镇的居民带来了洪水泛滥的实际危险。在这方面,通过划定公共水文领域(PHD),绘制灾害地图是一种非常有效的预防手段。为此,我们对在自然环境中预先确定极端洪水流量和进行水力模拟很感兴趣。事实上,我们研究的特殊性在于,我们采用的策略是针对一个无测站的集水区,该集水区的上游有一个大坝,其特点是集水区外的水流入,大坝的这种情况导致了毁灭性的溢流,这促使我们考虑整个布杜瓦乌流域,以确定流速,从而确定流域下游的危险区。为了解决这个问题,我们使用了空间分辨率非常高的数据,包括 1 米的数字地形模型和数字地表模型,以及 50 厘米的正射卫星图像。另一方面,不同重现期的峰值流量数据是利用最大降水频率和流域的物理特征,通过经验公式估算得出的。不过,粗糙度数据、桥梁以及所有水力结构的细节都需要多次实地考察。在对 HEC-RAS 模型进行校准和验证后,通过使用 Keddara 大坝溢流和下游 Boudouaou 子流域溢流引起的峰值流量,水力模拟的结果似乎对各种保留的重现期(高、中、低)给出了较好的结果,即模拟水位与实地测量的高度完全一致或几乎完全一致。
{"title":"Which strategy should be adopted for the delimitation of the hydraulic public domain? The case of a watershed characterised by dam overflows and inter-basin water transfers (Boudouaou-Algeria)","authors":"Abdelkader Otmane,&nbsp;Mohamed El-amine Gacemi,&nbsp;Nasreddine Belabid,&nbsp;El-Mehdi Bellabas","doi":"10.1007/s12665-024-11886-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12665-024-11886-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The dams and reservoirs built in the valleys play a key role in water management and contribute to a society’s quality of life. But they are also a potential risk, with often tragic downstream consequences. Keddara dam on the Boudouaou wadi, in central Algeria, is just an example. Its historical water level record shows that it has overflowed on several occasions, resulting in a real danger of flooding for people living downstream, particularly those living in the town of Boudouaou. In this respect, hazard mapping represents a very effective means of prevention, through the delimitation of the Public Hydraulic Domain (PHD). To do this, we were interested in the predetermination of extreme flood flows and hydraulic simulation in a natural environment. In fact, the particularity of our study lies in the strategy adopted for the case of an ungauged catchment, led by a dam located in its upstream part, and characterized by water inflows outside the catchment, This situation of the dam has led to devastating spills, which leads us to consider the entire Boudouaou basin to determine the flow rates and thus the hazard zones downstream the basin. In order to solve this problem a very high spatial resolution data was used, with Digital Terrain Model and Digital Surface Model of 1 m, as well as orthorectified satellite image of 50 cm. On the other hand, the peak flow data for different return periods were estimated using empirical formulas, using frequency maximum precipitation and the physical characteristics of the basins. However, roughness data, bridges as well as details of all hydraulic structures are the subject of several field visits. The results of the hydraulic simulation obtained after calibration and validation of the HEC-RAS model, by using the peak flows caused by the overflow of the Keddara dam on the one hand, and the Boudouaou sub-basin downstream on the other hand, seem to give better results for the various retained recurrences (high, medium and low), i.e. simulated water levels correspond exactly or almost exactly to the heights measured in the field.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"83 20","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142431010","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluation of the soil quality using health index in temperate European conditions (Slovak Republic) 利用健康指数评估欧洲温带地区的土壤质量(斯洛伐克共和国)
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-14 DOI: 10.1007/s12665-024-11890-x
Jarmila Makovníková, Stanislav Kološta, Boris Pálka, Filip Flaška

Land users and policy makers recognize importance of soil health and these types of evaluations are welcomed within sustainable land management. The aim of this study was to establish minimum and maximum values of soil health index across the breadth of agricultural used soils of Slovakia. Core objectives included (1) identifying the range of soil health benchmarks; (2) defining benchmarks for different land uses, and (3) defining benchmarks of soil health index for main groups of agricultural soils in Slovakia. These benchmarks represent the first soil health metrics of their kind in Slovakia using data from 266 locations. The soil health index (SHI) approach has been used as a quantitative tool to establish linkage between soil health and soil ecosystem services. We recorded the highest average SHI value in the very warm climatic region of the Slovak Republic, where the majority of agriculturally used arable soils (with an optimal pH value without contamination) are located. The locality with lowest SHI value is in a slightly warm area on soil used as arable soil with a very small depth of humus horizon, with by the pH value in an acidic area, and with a high content of clay. The typical SHI in humus-rich soil groups of Slovakia (Mollic Fluvisols, Chernozems and Cutanhic Luvisols) is higher contrasted with the typical SHI in other soil groups of Slovakia.

土地使用者和政策制定者都认识到土壤健康的重要性,并欢迎在可持续土地管理中进行此类评估。这项研究的目的是确定斯洛伐克农业用地土壤健康指数的最小值和最大值。核心目标包括:(1)确定土壤健康基准的范围;(2)确定不同土地用途的基准;(3)确定斯洛伐克主要农业土壤类别的土壤健康指数基准。这些基准是斯洛伐克首次使用来自 266 个地点的数据制定的同类土壤健康指标。土壤健康指数(SHI)方法被用作建立土壤健康与土壤生态系统服务之间联系的定量工具。我们在斯洛伐克共和国气候非常温暖的地区记录到了最高的平均 SHI 值,那里有大部分农业用地的耕地土壤(具有最佳 pH 值,无污染)。SHI 值最低的地方位于稍暖地区的耕地土壤上,腐殖质层深度很小,pH 值呈酸性,粘土含量较高。斯洛伐克富含腐殖质土壤组(Mollic Fluvisols、Chernozems 和 Cutanhic Luvisols)的典型 SHI 值高于斯洛伐克其他土壤组的典型 SHI 值。
{"title":"Evaluation of the soil quality using health index in temperate European conditions (Slovak Republic)","authors":"Jarmila Makovníková,&nbsp;Stanislav Kološta,&nbsp;Boris Pálka,&nbsp;Filip Flaška","doi":"10.1007/s12665-024-11890-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12665-024-11890-x","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Land users and policy makers recognize importance of soil health and these types of evaluations are welcomed within sustainable land management. The aim of this study was to establish minimum and maximum values of soil health index across the breadth of agricultural used soils of Slovakia. Core objectives included (1) identifying the range of soil health benchmarks; (2) defining benchmarks for different land uses, and (3) defining benchmarks of soil health index for main groups of agricultural soils in Slovakia. These benchmarks represent the first soil health metrics of their kind in Slovakia using data from 266 locations. The soil health index (SHI) approach has been used as a quantitative tool to establish linkage between soil health and soil ecosystem services. We recorded the highest average SHI value in the very warm climatic region of the Slovak Republic, where the majority of agriculturally used arable soils (with an optimal pH value without contamination) are located. The locality with lowest SHI value is in a slightly warm area on soil used as arable soil with a very small depth of humus horizon, with by the pH value in an acidic area, and with a high content of clay. The typical SHI in humus-rich soil groups of Slovakia (Mollic Fluvisols, Chernozems and Cutanhic Luvisols) is higher contrasted with the typical SHI in other soil groups of Slovakia.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"83 20","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12665-024-11890-x.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142431011","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Forecasting urban travel demand with geo-AI: a combination of GIS and machine learning techniques utilizing uber data in New York City 利用地理人工智能预测城市出行需求:结合地理信息系统和机器学习技术,利用纽约市的 uber 数据
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-14 DOI: 10.1007/s12665-024-11900-y
Sana Haery, Alireza Mahpour, Alireza Vafaeinejad

Presently, online ride-hailing firms and municipal transportation systems substantially influence urban traffic management. Considering the increasing use of these services, it is essential to assess and predict travel demand to optimize service efficiency. This study analyzes Uber data from New York City, employing automated machine learning algorithms to assess and forecast ride demand inside the city. In conventional transportation planning, forecasting travelers’ destination selections is a crucial stage. Traditional methodologies, such as physical models like gravity models, are constrained in their capacity to encompass the comprehensive array of elements affecting travel behavior, frequently addressing just two or three variables. This study employs machine learning methodologies for predicting passenger destination choices, illustrating that these algorithms can include a wider array of variables, hence providing enhanced forecast accuracy relative to conventional approaches. The utilization of ArcGIS Pro and Python modules for automation enhanced the efficiency of spatial analysis. A range of machine learning methodologies, such as decision trees, Light-GBM, XG-Boost, Cat-Boost, and hybrid models, were utilized to predict demand. The selected source demand forecasting model is an ensemble model, with a R2 of 0.94 and a Mean Absolute Error of 91.63. The optimal model for predicting destination demand was identified as a composite model comprising eight distinct algorithms. The model’s R2 is 0.95, while the Mean Absolute Error is 67.12. Moreover, the examination of environmental factors indicated that proximity to recreational activities, median age, and population density had the most substantial influence on predicting travel demand.

目前,在线叫车公司和市政交通系统对城市交通管理产生了重大影响。考虑到这些服务的使用日益增多,评估和预测出行需求以优化服务效率至关重要。本研究分析了纽约市的 Uber 数据,采用自动机器学习算法来评估和预测市内的乘车需求。在传统的交通规划中,预测旅客的目的地选择是一个关键阶段。传统方法,如重力模型等物理模型,在涵盖影响旅行行为的各种因素方面受到限制,往往只能解决两三个变量。本研究采用机器学习方法预测乘客的目的地选择,说明这些算法可以包含更广泛的变量,从而提供比传统方法更高的预测准确性。ArcGIS Pro 和 Python 模块的自动化使用提高了空间分析的效率。一系列机器学习方法,如决策树、Light-GBM、XG-Boost、Cat-Boost 和混合模型,都被用来预测需求。选定的客源地需求预测模型是一个集合模型,R2 为 0.94,平均绝对误差为 91.63。预测目的地需求的最佳模型是一个由八种不同算法组成的复合模型。该模型的 R2 为 0.95,平均绝对误差为 67.12。此外,对环境因素的研究表明,邻近娱乐活动、年龄中位数和人口密度对预测旅行需求的影响最大。
{"title":"Forecasting urban travel demand with geo-AI: a combination of GIS and machine learning techniques utilizing uber data in New York City","authors":"Sana Haery,&nbsp;Alireza Mahpour,&nbsp;Alireza Vafaeinejad","doi":"10.1007/s12665-024-11900-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12665-024-11900-y","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Presently, online ride-hailing firms and municipal transportation systems substantially influence urban traffic management. Considering the increasing use of these services, it is essential to assess and predict travel demand to optimize service efficiency. This study analyzes Uber data from New York City, employing automated machine learning algorithms to assess and forecast ride demand inside the city. In conventional transportation planning, forecasting travelers’ destination selections is a crucial stage. Traditional methodologies, such as physical models like gravity models, are constrained in their capacity to encompass the comprehensive array of elements affecting travel behavior, frequently addressing just two or three variables. This study employs machine learning methodologies for predicting passenger destination choices, illustrating that these algorithms can include a wider array of variables, hence providing enhanced forecast accuracy relative to conventional approaches. The utilization of ArcGIS Pro and Python modules for automation enhanced the efficiency of spatial analysis. A range of machine learning methodologies, such as decision trees, Light-GBM, XG-Boost, Cat-Boost, and hybrid models, were utilized to predict demand. The selected source demand forecasting model is an ensemble model, with a R<sup>2</sup> of 0.94 and a Mean Absolute Error of 91.63. The optimal model for predicting destination demand was identified as a composite model comprising eight distinct algorithms. The model’s R<sup>2</sup> is 0.95, while the Mean Absolute Error is 67.12. Moreover, the examination of environmental factors indicated that proximity to recreational activities, median age, and population density had the most substantial influence on predicting travel demand.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"83 20","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142430994","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Hydrogeochemical and isotopic insights into groundwater evolution in the agricultural area of the Luanhe Plain 滦河平原农业区地下水演变的水文地质化学和同位素研究
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-14 DOI: 10.1007/s12665-024-11857-y
Zhuo Zhang, Futian Liu, Sheming Chen, Wanjun Jiang, Hao Zhang, Zhipeng Gao, Jing Zhang, Hailan Xie, Qinghua Meng, Yubo Xia, Hang Ning

The scarcity of freshwater resources in coastal plains has raised global concerns. Understanding the chemical characteristics and evolution of groundwater in coastal plains is crucial for ensuring sustainable water supply for residents and irrigation. This study focuses on a representative profile of the Luanhe plain, systematically analyzing hydrochemistry and stable isotopes of seawater, river water, and groundwater samples to elucidate groundwater chemistry evolution and investigate the influence of evaporation and mixing processes. Results showed that shallow groundwater was predominantly of the Ca-HCO3 type, formed through the dissolution of halite, carbonate, and silicate minerals in the aquifer. Under the influence of evaporation and mixing processes, there was a transition in the chemical type towards Ca-Na-HCO3 type. Especially in areas influenced by seawater intrusion at estuaries, a rapid shift towards Na-Cl type occurred. In addition, deep aquifers evolved predominantly into Ca-HCO3 type groundwater through the leaching of silicate and carbonate minerals within the aquifer matrix. Along the flow path, influenced by cation exchange and mixing processes, the water chemistry underwent a shift from the Ca-HCO3 type to the Na-HCO3 type. The river water chemistry was primarily influenced by evaporation and the erosion of silicate and sulfate minerals from the riverbed. At estuarine zones, intense seawater intrusion significantly increased salinity and shifted the water chemistry from a Ca-Cl type to a Na-Cl type. This study elucidated the evolution mechanisms and influencing factors of coastal groundwater chemistry, providing scientific insights for local groundwater resource management.

沿海平原淡水资源匮乏已引起全球关注。了解沿海平原地下水的化学特征和演化过程对于确保居民用水和灌溉用水的可持续供应至关重要。本研究以滦河平原具有代表性的剖面为研究对象,系统分析了海水、河水和地下水样品的水化学和稳定同位素,以阐明地下水化学演变过程,并研究蒸发和混合过程的影响。结果表明,浅层地下水主要为 Ca-HCO3 类型,由含水层中的卤素、碳酸盐和硅酸盐矿物溶解形成。在蒸发和混合过程的影响下,化学类型向 Ca-Na-HCO3 型过渡。特别是在河口受海水入侵影响的地区,化学类型迅速向 Na-Cl 型转变。此外,深层含水层通过含水层基质中硅酸盐和碳酸盐矿物的浸出,主要演变为 Ca-HCO3 型地下水。沿水流路径,受阳离子交换和混合过程的影响,水化学类型从 Ca-HCO3 型转变为 Na-HCO3 型。河水化学性质主要受蒸发以及河床中硅酸盐和硫酸盐矿物侵蚀的影响。在河口区,海水的强烈入侵大大提高了盐度,使水的化学性质从 Ca-Cl 型转变为 Na-Cl 型。这项研究阐明了沿岸地下水化学成分的演变机制和影响因素,为当地地下水资源管理提供了科学依据。
{"title":"Hydrogeochemical and isotopic insights into groundwater evolution in the agricultural area of the Luanhe Plain","authors":"Zhuo Zhang,&nbsp;Futian Liu,&nbsp;Sheming Chen,&nbsp;Wanjun Jiang,&nbsp;Hao Zhang,&nbsp;Zhipeng Gao,&nbsp;Jing Zhang,&nbsp;Hailan Xie,&nbsp;Qinghua Meng,&nbsp;Yubo Xia,&nbsp;Hang Ning","doi":"10.1007/s12665-024-11857-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12665-024-11857-y","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The scarcity of freshwater resources in coastal plains has raised global concerns. Understanding the chemical characteristics and evolution of groundwater in coastal plains is crucial for ensuring sustainable water supply for residents and irrigation. This study focuses on a representative profile of the Luanhe plain, systematically analyzing hydrochemistry and stable isotopes of seawater, river water, and groundwater samples to elucidate groundwater chemistry evolution and investigate the influence of evaporation and mixing processes. Results showed that shallow groundwater was predominantly of the Ca-HCO<sub>3</sub> type, formed through the dissolution of halite, carbonate, and silicate minerals in the aquifer. Under the influence of evaporation and mixing processes, there was a transition in the chemical type towards Ca-Na-HCO<sub>3</sub> type. Especially in areas influenced by seawater intrusion at estuaries, a rapid shift towards Na-Cl type occurred. In addition, deep aquifers evolved predominantly into Ca-HCO<sub>3</sub> type groundwater through the leaching of silicate and carbonate minerals within the aquifer matrix. Along the flow path, influenced by cation exchange and mixing processes, the water chemistry underwent a shift from the Ca-HCO<sub>3</sub> type to the Na-HCO<sub>3</sub> type. The river water chemistry was primarily influenced by evaporation and the erosion of silicate and sulfate minerals from the riverbed. At estuarine zones, intense seawater intrusion significantly increased salinity and shifted the water chemistry from a Ca-Cl type to a Na-Cl type. This study elucidated the evolution mechanisms and influencing factors of coastal groundwater chemistry, providing scientific insights for local groundwater resource management.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"83 20","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142430986","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Environmental Earth Sciences
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1