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Human factors hazard modeling in the systems modeling language 系统建模语言中的人为因素危害建模
IF 2 3区 工程技术 Q2 Computer Science Pub Date : 2023-01-31 DOI: 10.1002/sys.21659
Dustin S. Birch, Jayesh B. Narsinghani, D. Herber, Thomas H. Bradley
An ongoing challenge within the field of Systems Engineering is the application of a right‐scoped and consistent approach to modeling human functions and risks within a system lifecycle. Humans interacting with a system can be modeled along a continuum from passive agents with not well‐defined interfaces with the system operations, to essential personnel who are responsible for dynamic interactions that ensure the safety and correct function of the system. This paper seeks to contribute to the integration of a model of human function, response, and reliability into the systems engineering of a complicated system through translation of a Human Factors Hazard Model (HFHM) into the Systems Modeling Language (SysML). The HFHM is constructed as a sequential event tree model of human response to triggering events, where each event's likelihood of failure is modeled by a set of fault trees predicting human failure probabilistically using Human Error Probabilities (HEP). Implementation of this model in SysML is demonstrated through a set of stereotyped structural, behavioral, and parametric diagrams. Integration of the HFHM within SysML demonstrates the benefits of human factors modeling and integration into Model‐Based Systems Engineering (MBSE) processes illustrating executability, reusability, and traceability.
在系统工程领域中,一个持续的挑战是在系统生命周期中应用正确范围和一致的方法来建模人类功能和风险。与系统交互的人可以沿着一个连续体建模,从与系统操作没有良好定义接口的被动代理,到负责动态交互以确保系统安全和正确功能的基本人员。本文试图通过将人为因素危害模型(HFHM)翻译成系统建模语言(SysML),将人的功能、响应和可靠性模型集成到复杂系统的系统工程中。HFHM被构建为人类对触发事件响应的顺序事件树模型,其中每个事件的故障可能性由一组故障树建模,这些故障树使用人类错误概率(HEP)来预测人类故障的概率。该模型在SysML中的实现通过一组原型化的结构图、行为图和参数图来演示。HFHM在SysML中的集成展示了人为因素建模和集成到基于模型的系统工程(MBSE)过程中的好处,说明了可执行性、可重用性和可追溯性。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying key parameters impacting cost in large‐scale complex space programs using simulation‐based global sensitivity analysis 使用基于模拟的全局灵敏度分析确定影响大型复杂空间项目成本的关键参数
IF 2 3区 工程技术 Q2 Computer Science Pub Date : 2023-01-16 DOI: 10.1002/sys.21656
N. S. Basha, Leifur Þ. Leifsson, C. Bloebaum
Cost overruns averaging 45%–50% can occur during the acquisition process of large‐scale complex space programs. The factors that impact the cost overrun are frequently misunderstood and are not identified correctly. This paper investigates the impact of the parameters on the overall cost of a geosynchronous communication satellite program using model‐based global sensitivity analysis. A simulation model with the acquisition data was used to identify the key parameters within the system model that interact with the cost of the program. A system simulation model containing a physics‐based satellite model and a parametric cost model is utilized to conduct variance‐based sensitivity analysis. Data from selected acquisition reports are used to validate the system simulation model. Sobol' analysis is performed on the parameters associated with requirements of the satellite system, operations, and support to maintain the system, including the launch system and ground equipment. The results show that parameters related to the system‐based requirements significantly impact the program cost. These critical parameters, which influence the cost, lay the foundation to quantify the impact of system parameters and their uncertainty on the cost of the system using a simulation‐based model which will aid in the reduction of cost overruns during the design and development of future large‐scale complex engineered systems.
在大型复杂空间项目的采办过程中,平均成本超支45%-50%。影响成本超支的因素经常被误解,并且没有正确识别。本文利用基于模型的全局灵敏度分析研究了参数对地球同步通信卫星项目总成本的影响。使用采集数据的仿真模型来确定系统模型中与项目成本相互作用的关键参数。利用包含基于物理的卫星模型和参数成本模型的系统仿真模型进行基于方差的灵敏度分析。来自选定的采集报告的数据用于验证系统仿真模型。Sobol的分析是对与卫星系统、操作和维护系统(包括发射系统和地面设备)相关的参数进行的。结果表明,与基于系统的需求相关的参数对项目成本有显著影响。这些影响成本的关键参数为使用基于仿真的模型量化系统参数及其不确定性对系统成本的影响奠定了基础,这将有助于在未来大型复杂工程系统的设计和开发过程中减少成本超支。
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引用次数: 0
Applying risk assessment methods to the sex trafficking process: A feasibility study 将风险评估方法应用于性交易过程:可行性研究
IF 2 3区 工程技术 Q2 Computer Science Pub Date : 2023-01-16 DOI: 10.1002/sys.21658
C. Laux, Kathryn C. Seigfried-Spellar, Laura Martínez Guerra, Gianna S. Lint
Sex trafficking is the fastest‐growing organized criminal activity. Trafficking organizations are driven by profit and provide a service due to existing demand. We examined the feasibility of applying risk assessment methods to understand the problem of sex trafficking from a systems perspective. Focusing on Indiana, we recruited and trained subject matter experts (SMEs) in risk assessment methodologies utilized in Six Sigma (SS); specifically Cause and Effect (C&E) Matrix and Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA). The research team developed a sex trafficking business process map (BPM) and prioritized activities by applying a C&E Matrix to identify the process steps with the potential for disruption. The most common failure modes (FMEA) identified by the SMEs included the trafficker or customer being caught followed by the victim being rescued. We conclude that an SS risk assessment approach is a viable framework in understanding the system of sex trafficking. Limitations and future research suggestions are discussed.
性交易是增长最快的有组织犯罪活动。贩运组织受利润驱动,并根据现有需求提供服务。我们研究了应用风险评估方法从系统角度理解性贩运问题的可行性。以印第安纳州为重点,我们招募并培训了六西格玛(SS)中使用的风险评估方法的主题专家(SME);特别是因果矩阵和失效模式与影响分析。研究团队开发了性交易业务流程图(BPM),并通过应用C&E矩阵来确定可能中断的流程步骤,从而对活动进行优先排序。中小企业确定的最常见的故障模式(FMEA)包括贩运者或客户被抓住,然后受害者被救出。我们的结论是,SS风险评估方法是理解性交易系统的可行框架。讨论了研究的局限性和未来的研究建议。
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引用次数: 0
A model‐based systems engineering framework for quantum dot solar cells development 基于模型的量子点太阳能电池开发系统工程框架
IF 2 3区 工程技术 Q2 Computer Science Pub Date : 2023-01-11 DOI: 10.1002/sys.21655
M. Karimaghaei, R. Cloutier, Aurangzeb Khan, J. Richardson, A. Phan
Currently, a wide range of newly designed devices are based on high‐end quantum technologies. To successfully design a quantum system, it is necessary to appropriately address the increasing complexity which exists in the development procedure of the system. A suitable approach to deal with this problem is to employ systems engineering models and integrate them with domain engineering tools. The model‐based systems engineering (MBSE) methodology is commonly used to analyze, design, manufacture, and test various complex systems. In this paper, the MBSE approach is chosen for the development of quantum dot solar cells as a typical quantum system and to deal with the complexity existing in this procedure. The analysis, manufacturing, and verification, validation, and testing (VV&T) for this system are described using SysML in Cameo Systems Modeler software to represent the role of models in this regard. Then a detailed design is performed in MATLAB and integrated with SysML to identify how changing various parameters during the system development process affects the overall system performance. This technique facilitates the communication between different engineering teams and helps to manage the complexity in the entire system lifecycle.
目前,许多新设计的器件都是基于高端量子技术。为了成功地设计量子系统,有必要适当地解决系统开发过程中日益复杂的问题。处理这个问题的合适方法是使用系统工程模型,并将它们与领域工程工具集成。基于模型的系统工程(MBSE)方法通常用于分析、设计、制造和测试各种复杂系统。本文选择MBSE方法来开发量子点太阳能电池作为一个典型的量子系统,并处理该过程中存在的复杂性。使用Cameo Systems Modeler软件中的SysML描述了该系统的分析、制造、验证、验证和测试(VV&T),以表示模型在这方面的作用。然后在MATLAB中进行详细设计,并与SysML集成,以确定系统开发过程中各种参数的变化如何影响系统的整体性能。这种技术有助于不同工程团队之间的沟通,并有助于管理整个系统生命周期中的复杂性。
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引用次数: 0
Game analysis of social capital violations and government regulation in public–private partnership risk sharing 公私合作风险分担中社会资本违规与政府监管的博弈分析
IF 2 3区 工程技术 Q2 Computer Science Pub Date : 2023-01-11 DOI: 10.1002/sys.21657
Yan Li, Xinyu Wang
The public–private partnership (PPP) mode entails a variety of risks because the government, private enterprises, financial institutions, and other participants have different interests. To prevent private enterprise violations, dynamic government regulation of PPP risk‐sharing is necessary. Game theory is used here to examine the game behavior of government regulators, private enterprises, intermediary agencies, and the public in the stage of tracking management after the initial risk‐sharing of the project. Primarily, this study analyzes whether private enterprises provide fully compliant reporting and whether government departments check the information by investigating the behavioral motivations behind strategic choices. The primary contribution of this study was to construct a game model of government due diligence inspection under the condition of public participation in regulation. The results of simulations revealed the behavioral characteristics and stability of the participants of PPP in terms of decision‐making. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis between the state variables and several auxiliary variables was used to reveal the internal relationships of the participants’ strategic choices. This paper offers new insights into reducing violation behavior, protecting the public interest from harm, reducing government departments’ regulatory costs, and promoting effective regulation with public participation.
由于政府、私营企业、金融机构和其他参与者的利益不同,PPP模式带来了各种风险。为了防止私营企业违规,政府对PPP风险分担的动态监管是必要的。本文运用博弈论来考察政府监管机构、私营企业、中介机构和公众在项目初始风险分担后跟踪管理阶段的博弈行为。本研究主要通过调查战略选择背后的行为动机,分析民营企业是否提供了完全合规的报告,以及政府部门是否核查了信息。本研究的主要贡献在于构建了公众参与监管条件下政府尽职审查的博弈模型。模拟结果揭示了PPP参与者在决策方面的行为特征和稳定性。通过状态变量与辅助变量之间的敏感性分析,揭示了参与者战略选择的内在关系。本文为减少违规行为、保护公共利益不受损害、降低政府部门监管成本、促进公众参与的有效监管提供了新的见解。
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引用次数: 2
Improving consistency of AADL models: A composition approach 提高AADL模型的一致性:一种组合方法
IF 2 3区 工程技术 Q2 Computer Science Pub Date : 2023-01-11 DOI: 10.1002/sys.21653
Mohamed Elkamel Hamdane, Saad Harous, E. Kerkouche, Nabil Messaoudi
AADL—architecture analysis and design language—has proven to be important in developing real‐time embedded systems. However, its formalization capability is still limited, which makes it difficult to produce a consistent model; particularly, in the case where several models are combined together. Therefore, using formal verification is an effective way to meet the consistency requirements of the AADL model. This paper proposes a model‐based engineering approach that uses timed automata (TA) formalism to aggregate multiple AADL models into a single composite model. Based on the set of input AADL models, the proposed approach creates a consistent composed model as well as support model checking verification. The effectiveness of this contribution is evaluated through two case studies; a multicamera surveillance system and a drone system.
aadl体系结构分析和设计语言已被证明在开发实时嵌入式系统中非常重要。然而,它的形式化能力仍然有限,这使得难以产生一致的模型;特别是在几个模型组合在一起的情况下。因此,使用形式化验证是满足AADL模型一致性要求的有效途径。本文提出了一种基于模型的工程方法,该方法使用时间自动机(TA)形式化将多个AADL模型聚合为单个复合模型。该方法基于输入AADL模型集,创建一致的组合模型,并支持模型检查验证。通过两个案例研究来评价这一贡献的有效性;多摄像头监控系统和无人机系统。
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引用次数: 0
Using a run time assurance approach for certifying autonomy within naval aviation 使用运行时保证方法来证明海军航空兵的自主性
IF 2 3区 工程技术 Q2 Computer Science Pub Date : 2023-01-03 DOI: 10.1002/sys.21654
Donald H. Costello, Huan Xu
The methods and procedures within United States naval aviation to certify an aircraft safe for flight are well established. However, these methods and procedures are based on clearing a system that is operated or monitored by a human. A fully autonomous system will not have a human in or on the loop and will therefore require a new method for certifying it safe for flight. This paper details how to use run time assurance as the framework for a safety of flight certification of autonomous behavior within United States naval aviation. We present an aerial refueling task with run time assurance as use case for the framework for certification. Within the use case we then give more details on the mechanics of using RTA to enable autonomous functionality within naval aviation.
美国海军航空兵内部认证飞机安全飞行的方法和程序已经确立。然而,这些方法和程序是基于清除由人类操作或监控的系统。一个完全自主的系统不会有人在回路中,因此需要一种新的方法来证明其飞行安全。本文详细介绍了如何使用运行时间保证作为美国海军航空兵自主行为飞行安全认证的框架。我们提出了一个具有运行时间保证的空中加油任务,作为认证框架的用例。在用例中,我们将详细介绍使用RTA在海军航空兵中实现自主功能的机制。
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引用次数: 5
Issue Information 问题信息
IF 2 3区 工程技术 Q2 Computer Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1002/sys.21626
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引用次数: 0
Minding the gap between the front and back offices: A systemic analysis of the offshore oil and gas upstream supply chain for framing digital transformation 关注前台和后台之间的差距:海上油气上游供应链的系统分析,以框架数字化转型
IF 2 3区 工程技术 Q2 Computer Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1002/sys.21652
Karen V. Czachorowski, Cecilia Haskins, M. Mansouri
The offshore oil and gas upstream supply chain operations are part of a complex system with many stakeholders and intricate relationships. Traditionally, these operations are managed manually, which leads to inefficiencies. Despite the innovative and engineering‐orientated approaches adopted in other technical operations of the industry, the supply chain activities remain unchanged, relying heavily on legacy systems. However, cutting‐edge technology opportunities are available for adoption in supply chain management systems in the oil and gas industry. Such a transformative upgrade relies on first understanding the operational inefficiencies and preparing an accurate picture for how these operations should be performed. This study adopts a systemic approach to examine the oil and gas offshore supply chain operations of a case company to identify areas for improvement. The objective is to address the following research questions: (1) what is the current “AS‐IS” supply chain operations support; and (2) what is the desired “TO‐BE” state for these operations. This research adopts a soft systems lenses applied in an action research project to capture and analyze existing operations. The research revealed that information exchange is a major barrier, and that technology and organizational gaps are the primary hindrance for a digital transformation. The conclusion is that there is a need for a higher level of data exchange and increased data quality in any proposed transformation.
海上油气上游供应链运营是一个复杂系统的一部分,有许多利益相关者和错综复杂的关系。传统上,这些操作都是手工管理的,这导致了效率低下。尽管在行业的其他技术操作中采用了创新和以工程为导向的方法,但供应链活动仍然保持不变,严重依赖遗留系统。然而,在油气行业的供应链管理系统中采用尖端技术是有机会的。这种变革性的升级依赖于首先了解操作的低效率,并为如何执行这些操作准备准确的图片。本研究采用系统的方法来考察案例公司的石油和天然气海上供应链运营,以确定需要改进的领域。目标是解决以下研究问题:(1)当前的“AS - is”供应链运营支持是什么;(2)这些操作所需的“TO - BE”状态是什么。本研究采用行动研究项目中应用的软系统视角来捕捉和分析现有的操作。研究显示,信息交换是主要障碍,技术和组织差距是数字化转型的主要障碍。结论是,在任何提议的转换中,都需要更高级别的数据交换和更高的数据质量。
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引用次数: 3
Predictive maintenance analytics and implementation for aircraft: Challenges and opportunities 飞机预测性维修分析与实施:挑战与机遇
IF 2 3区 工程技术 Q2 Computer Science Pub Date : 2022-12-25 DOI: 10.1002/sys.21651
Izaak Stanton, K. Munir, Ahsan Ikram, M. El-Bakry
The increase in available data from sensors embedded in industrial equipment has led to a recent rise in the use of industrial predictive maintenance. In the aircraft industry, predictive maintenance has become an essential tool for optimizing maintenance schedules, reducing aircraft downtime, and identifying unexpected faults. Despite this, there is currently no comprehensive survey of predictive maintenance applications and techniques solely devoted to the aircraft manufacturing industry. This article is an in‐depth state‐of‐the‐art systematic literature review of the different data types, applications, projects, and opportunities for predictive maintenance in this industry. The goal of this review is to identify, and highlight the challenges and opportunities for future research in this field. This review found that the current focus of research is too biased towards aircraft engines due to a lack of publicly available data sets, and that greater automation is an important step to optimize aircraft maintenance to its full potential.
来自嵌入工业设备的传感器的可用数据的增加导致了最近工业预测性维护的使用增加。在飞机行业,预测性维修已成为优化维修计划、减少飞机停机时间和识别意外故障的重要工具。尽管如此,目前还没有专门针对飞机制造业的预测性维修应用和技术的全面调查。本文对该行业预测性维护的不同数据类型、应用、项目和机会进行了深入的系统文献综述。本综述的目的是确定并强调该领域未来研究的挑战和机遇。这篇综述发现,由于缺乏公开的数据集,目前的研究重点过于偏向于飞机发动机,而更大的自动化是充分优化飞机维护潜力的重要一步。
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引用次数: 3
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Systems Engineering
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