Neuroepidemiology最新文献

Background: There is unclear added benefit of intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) with endovascular thrombectomy (EVT). We performed a cost-effectiveness analysis to assess the cost-effectiveness of comparing EVT with IVT versus EVT alone.

Methods: We used a decision tree to examine the short-term costs and outcomes at 90 days after the occurrence of index stroke to compare the cost-effectiveness of EVT alone with EVT plus IVT for patients with stroke. Subsequently, we developed a Markov state transition model to assess the costs and outcomes over 1-year, 5-year, and 20-year time horizons. We estimated total and incremental cost, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio.

Results: The average costs per patient were estimated to be $47,304, $49,510, $59,770, and $76,561 for EVT-only strategy and $55,482, $57,751, $68,314, and $85,611 for EVT with IVT over 90 days, 1 year, 5 years, and 20 years, respectively. The cost saving of EVT-only strategy was driven by the avoided medication costs of IVT (ranging from $8,178 to $9,050). The additional IVT led to a slight decrease in QALY estimate during the 90-day time horizon (loss of 0.002 QALY), but a small gain over 1-year and 5-year time horizons (0.011 and 0.0636 QALY). At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $50,000 per QALY gained, the probabilities of EVT only being cost-effective were 100%, 100%, and 99.3% over 90-day, 1-year, and 5-year time horizons.

Conclusion: Our cost-effectiveness model suggested that EVT only may be cost-effective for patients with acute ischemic stroke secondary to large vessel occlusion.

Objective: This study aimed to examine the potential factors associated with marital status and determine the association between marital status and cognitive impairment in a multi-ethnic Asian population.

Method: This study included 2,321 participants from Singapore Multi-Ethnic Cohort revisit study (aged 40-89). Participants were classified into married and unmarried group at baseline and follow-up according to self-reported marital status. Mini-Mental Status Examination (MMSE) was administered, and cognitive impairment was defined as a MMSE <26. We conducted both cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses to examine the association of marital status at 1 timepoint as well as marital transition with cognitive impairment.

Results: Of the 2,321 participants, a total of 1,914 (82.5%) were married. The factors associated with marital status included younger age, male sex, higher household income, higher education, and higher physical activity levels. Additionally, married participants also had higher alternative healthy eating index (AHEI-2010) scores and a lower burden of hypertension and diabetes. Among those who were married, the median (Q1, Q3) MMSE score was 29 (28, 30) while among those who were unmarried it was 29 (27, 30) (p < 0.01). Participants who had never been married had the highest odds of cognitive impairment compared to their married counterparts (model III: OR = 1.48, 95% CI: 1.03, 2.14). Older age (p interaction value = 0.003) and Indian ethnicity (p interaction value = 0.028) further strengthened these associations.

Conclusion: Marriage was associated with lower odds of cognitive impairment. Marriage provides social support, companionship, and engagement in mentally stimulating activities contributing to better cognitive health. By identifying risk factors such as marital status, interventions and support systems can be developed to promote healthy cognitive aging.

Introduction: Hippocampal atrophy is an established biomarker for conversion from the normal ageing process to developing cognitive impairment and dementia. This study used a novel hypothesis-free machine-learning approach, to uncover potential risk factors of lower hippocampal volume using information from the world's largest brain imaging study.

Methods: A combination of machine learning and conventional statistical methods were used to identify predictors of low hippocampal volume. We run gradient boosting decision tree modelling including 2,891 input features measured before magnetic resonance imaging assessments (median 9.2 years, range 4.2-13.8 years) using data from 42,152 dementia-free UK Biobank participants. Logistic regression analyses were run on 87 factors identified as important for prediction based on Shapley values. False discovery rate-adjusted p value <0.05 was used to declare statistical significance.

Results: Older age, male sex, greater height, and whole-body fat-free mass were the main predictors of low hippocampal volume with the model also identifying associations with lung function and lifestyle factors including smoking, physical activity, and coffee intake (corrected p < 0.05 for all). Red blood cell count and several red blood cell indices such as haemoglobin concentration, mean corpuscular haemoglobin, mean corpuscular volume, mean reticulocyte volume, mean sphered cell volume, and red blood cell distribution width were among many biomarkers associated with low hippocampal volume.

Conclusion: Lifestyles, physical measures, and biomarkers may affect hippocampal volume, with many of the characteristics potentially reflecting oxygen supply to the brain. Further studies are required to establish causality and clinical relevance of these findings.

Introduction: Current evidence regarding the clinical outcomes of non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants (NOACs) versus warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and previous stroke is inconclusive, especially in patients with previous intracranial haemorrhage (ICrH). We aim to undertake a systematic review and meta-analysis assessing the effectiveness and safety of NOACs versus warfarin in AF patients with a history of stroke.

Methods: We searched studies published up to December 10, 2022, on PubMed, Medline, Embase, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials. Studies on adults with AF and previous ischaemic stroke (IS) or IrCH receiving either NOACs or warfarin and capturing outcome events (thromboembolic events, ICrH, and all-cause mortality) were eligible for inclusion.

Results: Six randomized controlled trials (RCTs) (including 19,489 patients with previous IS) and fifteen observational studies (including 132,575 patients with previous IS and 13,068 patients with previous ICrH) were included. RCT data showed that compared with warfarin, NOACs were associated with a significant reduction in thromboembolic events (odds ratio [OR]: 0.85, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.75-0.96), ICrH (OR: 0.57, 95% CI: 0.36-0.90), and all-cause mortality (OR: 0.88, 95% CI: 0.80-0.98). In analysing observational studies, similar results were retrieved. Moreover, patients with previous ICrH had a lower OR on thromboembolic events than those with IS (OR: 0.66, 95% CI: 0.46-0.95 vs. OR: 0.80, 95% CI: 0.70-0.93) in the comparison between NOACs and warfarin.

Conclusions: Observational data showed that in AF patients with previous stroke, NOACs showed better clinical performance compared to warfarin and the benefits of NOACs were more pronounced in patients with previous IrCH versus those with IS. RCT data also showed NOACs are superior to warfarin. However, current RCTs only included AF patients who survived an IS, and further large RCTs focused on patients with previous ICrH are warranted.

Introduction: Commonly occurring dementias include those of Alzheimer's, vascular, and mixtures of these and other pathologies. They are believed to evolve over many years, but that time interval has been difficult to establish. Our objective was to determine how many years in advance of a dementia diagnosis cognitive scores begin to change.

Methods: 14,086 dementia-free ARIC participants underwent a cognitive exam at baseline visit 2 (1990-1992, mean age 57 ± 5.72), and 11,244 at visit 4 (1996-1998), 5,640 at visit 5 (2011-2013), and 3,574 at visit 6 (2016-2017) with surveillance for dementias of all-causes combined. Within 5-year intervals after each visit, we compared performance on the Delayed Word Recall Test (DWRT), the Digit Symbol Substitution Test (DSST), the Word Fluency Test (WFT), and the combined mean of three cognitive tests at baseline in participants who were diagnosed with dementia within each interval versus those who survived the interval without a dementia diagnosis. Z-scores were adjusted for demographics and education in separate regression models for each visit. We plotted adjusted z-score means by time interval following each visit.

Results: During follow-up 3,334, 2,821, 1,218, and 329 dementia cases were ascertained after visits 2, 4, 5, and 6, respectively. Adjusted DWRT z-scores were significantly lower 20-25 years before dementia than those who did not experience dementia within 25 years. DSST z-scores were significantly lower at 25-30 years and 3-test combination z-scores were significantly lower as early as 30-31 years before onset. The difference between dementia and non-dementia group in the visit 2 3-test combination z-score was -0.20 at 30-31 years prior to dementia diagnosis. As expected, differences between the dementia and non-dementia groups increased closer to the time of dementia occurrence, up to their widest point at 0-5 years prior to dementia diagnosis. The difference between dementia and non-dementia groups in the visit 2 3-test combination z-score at 0-5 years was -0.90. WFT z-score differences were smaller than for the DSST or DWRT and began later. Patterns were similar in Black and White participants.

Conclusion: DWRT, DSST, and combined 3-test z-scores were significantly lower more than 20 years prior to diagnosis in the dementia group versus the non-dementia group. Findings contribute to our knowledge of the long prodromal period in Blacks and Whites.

Objective: Parkinson's disease (PD) is a profoundly incapacitating neurodegenerative disorder, which presents a substantial challenge to the economic sustainability of the global healthcare system. The present study seeks to clarify the factors that contribute to the costs associated with PD hospitalization and analyze the economic burden it imposes.

Methods: We examined data of 19,719 patients with a primary diagnosis of PD who were admitted to hospitals in Hubei Province, China, during the study period. Healthcare data were obtained from the database of electronic medical records. The study presents a comprehensive analysis of the demographic characteristics and investigates the factors that affect their healthcare expenditure.

Results: The cohort consisted of 10,442 (53.0%) males and 9,277 (47.0%) females. The age-group of 66-70 years experienced the highest incidence of hospitalization among PD patients, with a mortality rate of 0.76‰. The average length of stay for patients was 9.9 ± 8.6 days and the average cost per patient was USD 1,759.9 ± 4,787.7. Surgical interventions were conducted on a mere 2.0% of the total inpatient population. The primary cost component for these interventions was material expenses, accounting for 70.1% of the total. Non-surgical patients primarily incurred expenses related to diagnosis and medication. Notably, surgical patients faced a substantial out-of-pocket rate, reaching up to 90.6%. Surgery was identified as the most influential factor that negatively affected both length of stay and hospitalization costs. Inpatients exhibited significant associations with prolonged length of stay and increased medical expenditure as age increased. Male patients had significantly longer hospital stays and higher medical costs than did females. Additionally, patient's occupation and type of medical insurance exerted significant effects on both length of stay and medical expense.

Conclusion: Age significantly affects PD hospitalization costs. Given the prevailing demographic shift toward an aging population, the government's medical insurance burden related to PD will continue to escalate. Meanwhile, high treatment expenses and out-of-pocket rates impose substantial financial burdens on patients, limiting surgical intervention access to a small fraction of patients. Addressing these issues is of utmost importance in order to ensure comprehensive disease management for the majority of individuals affected by PD.

Introduction: Little is known about the cost-effectiveness of government policies that support primary care physicians to provide comprehensive chronic disease management (CDM). This paper aimed to estimate the potential cost-effectiveness of CDM policies over a lifetime for long-time survivors of stroke.

Methods: A Markov model, using three health states (stable, hospitalised, dead), was developed to simulate the costs and benefits of CDM policies over 30 years (with 1-year cycles). Transition probabilities and costs from a health system perspective were obtained from the linkage of data between the Australian Stroke Clinical Registry (cohort n = 12,368, 42% female, median age 70 years, 45% had CDM claims) and government-held hospital, Medicare, and pharmaceutical claims datasets. Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were obtained from a comparable cohort (n = 512, 34% female, median age 69.6 years, 52% had CDM claims) linked with Medicare claims and death data. A 3% discount rate was applied to costs in Australian dollars (AUD, 2016) and QALYs beyond 12 months. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses were used to understand uncertainty.

Results: Per-person average total lifetime costs were AUD 142,939 and 8.97 QALYs for those with a claim, and AUD 103,889 and 8.98 QALYs for those without a claim. This indicates that these CDM policies were costlier without improving QALYs. The probability of cost-effectiveness of CDM policies was 26.1%, at a willingness-to-pay threshold of AUD 50,000/QALY.

Conclusion: CDM policies, designed to encourage comprehensive care, are unlikely to be cost-effective for stroke compared to care without CDM. Further research to understand how to deliver such care cost-effectively is needed.

Introduction: We examined the association of both midlife occupation and age at retirement with cognitive decline in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) biracial community-based cohort.

Methods: Current or most recent occupation at ARIC baseline (1987-1989; aged 45-64 years) was categorized based on 1980 US Census major occupation groups and tertiles of the Nam-Powers-Boyd occupational status score (n = 14,090). Retirement status via annual follow-up questionnaires administered ascertained in 1999-2007 was classified as occurring before or after age 70 (n = 7,503). Generalized estimating equation models were used to examine associations of occupation and age at retirement with trajectories of global cognitive factor scores, assessed from visit 2 (1990-1992) to visit 5 (2011-2013). Models were a priori stratified by race and sex and adjusted for demographics and comorbidities.

Results: Low occupational status and blue-collar occupations were associated with low baseline cognitive scores in all race-sex strata. Low occupational status and homemaker status were associated with faster decline in white women but slower decline in black women compared to high occupational status. Retirement before age 70 was associated with slower cognitive decline in white men and women and in black men. Results did not change substantially after accounting for attrition.

Conclusion: Low occupational status was associated with cognitive decline in women but not in men. Earlier retirement was associated with a slower cognitive decline in white participants and in black men. Further research should explore reasons for the observed associations and race-sex differences.

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is frequently diagnosed during the acute stage of ischemic stroke (IS), and it may reflect undiagnosed AF before stroke, thus representing a missed opportunity for stroke prevention. This population-based study aimed to assess the prevalence of known AF (KAF) and AF diagnosed early after IS (AFDAS) and to compare clinical and brain/arterial imaging characteristics between patients.

Methods: Among patients with acute IS recorded in the population-based Dijon Stroke Registry, France (2013-2020), we identified those with KAF or AFDAS. AFDAS was considered when AF was diagnosed during the initial work-up based on electrocardiograms, in-hospital continuous electrocardiographic and/or Holter monitoring. Clinical and imaging characteristics on brain CT scan or angio-CT scan when available including old parenchymal lesions, arterial territory of the index IS, and aortic arch, cervical and intracranial arteries atheroma were compared between groups (KAF vs. AFDAS). Regression logistic models were used to assess factors associated with AFDAS (compared to KAF).

Results: Among 1,756 IS patients, 550 (31.3%) had AF (mean age: 83.6 ± 10.3 years old, 60.5% women), of whom 367 (66.7%) presented with KAF and 183 (33.3%) had AFDAS. In multivariable model, hypertension (OR = 0.37; 95% CI: 0.21-0.64, p < 0.001), chronic heart failure (OR = 0.34; 95% CI: 0.18-0.67, p = 0.002), previous stroke (OR = 0.42; 95% CI: 0.26-0.67, p < 0.001), and preexisting dementia (OR = 0.36; 95% CI: 0.21-0.63, p < 0.001) were inversely associated with AFDAS, whereas NIHSS score was associated with AFDAS (OR = 1.02; 95% CI: 1.00-1.05, p = 0.012).

Conclusions: Our findings indicate a more advanced stage of the atrial cardiomyopathy in KAF as compared with AFDAS patients and may thus contribute to the fact that in these latter patients AF had not been diagnosed prior to stroke. This group of patients undeniably represents a missed opportunity for stroke prevention.

Introduction: Stroke is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the USA and has implications on the financial health of patients, families, and healthcare systems. The objective of this study aimed to determine the economic perspective of stroke on the national healthcare system for the past 2 decades.

Methods: This retrospective study of inpatient subjects from 2000 to 2020 with stroke was collected from the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP). We queried patients admitted primarily for ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke. Patients were evaluated for demographics, length of stay (LOS), mortality, and hospital charges. Statistical Z-testing with a significance of p < 0.05 was conducted for the analysis.

Results: During the study period, 12,158,747 stroke subjects were studied, with 51.9% female and a mean age of 70.08 (±0.16) years old. The mean rate of stroke discharges per 100,000 persons was 187.71 (±3.44), decreasing from 200 to 193 during the study (p = 0.16). The mean percentage of deaths was 8.78% (±0.17), which decreased from 10.96% to 6.81% (p = 0.00). The mean LOS was 6.28 days (±0.08), which increased from 6.70 to 7.15 (p = 0.00). During the study period, the aggregated national bill was USD 725 billion. The mean hospital charges per patient were USD 57,178 (±1,504), increasing from USD 19,647 to USD 121,765 per person during the study period (p = 0.00), while mean hospital costs per stay were USD 15,781 (±330). These data closely conform to an exponential growth pattern, and forecasting per patient charges for the next 10 years demonstrates a cost of USD 287,836 by 2030.

Conclusions: Our data show that the rate and mortality of stroke have decreased, but its charges and costs are increasing. The improvement in outcomes could be multifactorial such as establishment of comprehensive stroke centers and evolving treatment modalities. Ironically, the charges per patient increased more than sixfold with a national bill almost equal to the annual Medicare budget. Thus, the significance of preventive medicine, such as controlling hypertension, diabetes, and smoking cessation, cannot be understated. With such a dramatically increasing financial burden, improvements in mitigating risk factors, educational programs, and access to care may be a more cost-effective option.