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Bayesian parameter inference for epithelial mechanics 上皮力学的贝叶斯参数推断。
IF 1.9 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2024.111960
Xin Yan , Goshi Ogita , Shuji Ishihara , Kaoru Sugimura
Cell-based mechanical models, such as the Cell Vertex Model (CVM), have proven useful for studying the mechanical control of epithelial tissue dynamics. We recently developed a statistical method called image-based parameter inference for formulating CVM model functions and estimating their parameters from image data of epithelial tissues. In this study, we employed Bayesian statistics to improve the utility and flexibility of image-based parameter inference. Tests on synthetic data confirmed that both our non-hierarchical and hierarchical Bayesian models provide accurate estimates of model parameters. By applying this method to Drosophila wings, we demonstrated that the reliability of parameter estimation is closely linked to the mechanical anisotropies present in the tissue. Moreover, we revealed that the cortical elasticity term is dispensable for explaining force-shape correlations in vivo. We anticipate that the flexibility of the Bayesian statistical framework will facilitate the integration of various types of information, thereby contributing to the quantitative dissection of the mechanical control of tissue dynamics.
基于细胞的机械模型,如细胞顶点模型(CVM),已被证明有助于研究上皮组织动态的机械控制。我们最近开发了一种称为基于图像的参数推断的统计方法,用于制定 CVM 模型函数,并从上皮组织的图像数据中估计其参数。在这项研究中,我们采用了贝叶斯统计方法来提高基于图像的参数推断的实用性和灵活性。对合成数据的测试证实,我们的非分层贝叶斯模型和分层贝叶斯模型都能准确估计模型参数。通过将这种方法应用于果蝇翅膀,我们证明了参数估计的可靠性与组织中存在的机械各向异性密切相关。此外,我们还揭示了皮层弹性项对于解释体内力-形状相关性是不可或缺的。我们预计贝叶斯统计框架的灵活性将有助于整合各种类型的信息,从而为定量分析组织动力学的机械控制做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Choice of landscape discretisation method affects the inferred rate of spread in wildlife disease spread models 景观离散化方法的选择会影响野生动物疾病传播模型的推断传播速度。
IF 1.9 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2024.111963
Mossa Merhi Reimert, Maya Katrin Gussmann, Anette Ella Boklund, Matt Denwood
Disease modelling at the livestock-wildlife interface is an important topic for which discrete-space models are used for the wildlife component. One prominent example is African Swine Fever, where wild boar play an influential role as reservoirs of disease spillover into domestic pig farms. In this paper, we present a simulation study that demonstrates the impact of seemingly arbitrary choices of landscape discretisation method on the inferred rate of spread within the model. We use an ordinary differential equation model to implement a simplified model of disease transmission between discrete groups of wild boar with spillover into domestic pig farms contained within a homogeneous landscape. We examine a range of scenarios whereby the landscape is discretised into wild boar patches of varying size and shape, and compare the rate of spread between domestic pig farms placed at fixed points on the landscape. Our results demonstrate a non-monotonic relationship between patch size and rate of spread, which is particularly unstable and unpredictable for square and triangular shaped patches. Discretisation of the landscape into hexagons appears to produce a more stable relationship between patch size and rate of spread for the three types of transmission kernel we investigated. Although the rate of disease spread does converge to a stable value, this occurs at patch sizes that are much smaller than would be used in practice for wild boar. We conclude that outputs of disease models containing a wildlife component should not be considered to be robust to arbitrary choices for patch size and placement, but rather as a source of uncertainty to be examined using sensitivity analysis. Furthermore, we strongly recommend the use of hexagons rather than squares or right triangles for landscape discretisation.
家畜与野生动物交界处的疾病建模是一个重要课题,其中野生动物部分采用离散空间模型。其中一个突出的例子是非洲猪瘟,野猪作为疫病传播源对国内养猪场的影响很大。在本文中,我们介绍了一项模拟研究,展示了看似任意选择的景观离散化方法对模型内推断传播速度的影响。我们使用常微分方程模型来实现离散野猪群之间的疾病传播简化模型,并将其外溢到包含在同质景观中的家猪场。我们研究了将地貌离散为大小和形状各异的野猪斑块的一系列方案,并比较了位于地貌上固定点的家猪场之间的传播速度。我们的研究结果表明,斑块大小与扩散速度之间存在非单调关系,尤其是正方形和三角形斑块的扩散速度不稳定,难以预测。对于我们研究的三种传播内核,将地形离散化为六边形似乎能在斑块大小和传播速度之间产生更稳定的关系。虽然疾病传播率确实趋近于一个稳定值,但这是在斑块大小远小于野猪实际使用的情况下发生的。我们的结论是,包含野生动物成分的疾病模型的输出结果不应被视为对任意选择的斑块大小和位置具有稳健性,而应被视为不确定性的来源,并使用敏感性分析进行研究。此外,我们强烈建议使用六边形而不是正方形或直角三角形进行景观离散化。
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引用次数: 0
An immuno-epidemiological model with non-exponentially distributed disease stage on complex networks 复杂网络上非指数分布疾病阶段的免疫流行病学模型。
IF 1.9 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2024.111964
Junyuan Yang , Xinyi Duan , Guiquan Sun
Most of epidemic models assume that duration of the disease phase is distributed exponentially for the simplification of model formulation and analysis. Actually, the exponentially distributed assumption on the description of disease stages is hard to accurately approximate the interplay of drug concentration and viral load within host. In this article, we formulate an immuno-epidemiological epidemic model on complex networks, which is composed of ordinary differential equations and integral equations. The linkage of within- and between-host is connected by setting that the death caused by the disease is an increasing function in viral load within host. Mathematical analysis of the model includes the existence of the solution to the epidemiological model on complex networks, the existence and stability of equilibrium, which are completely determined by the basic reproduction number of the between-host system. Numerical analysis are shown that the non-exponentially distributions and the topology of networks have significant roles in the prediction of epidemic patterns.
大多数流行病模型都假设疾病阶段的持续时间呈指数分布,以简化模型的表述和分析。实际上,对疾病阶段描述的指数分布假设很难准确近似宿主体内药物浓度和病毒载量的相互作用。本文建立了一个由常微分方程和积分方程组成的复杂网络免疫流行病学模型。通过设定疾病导致的死亡是宿主体内病毒载量的递增函数,将宿主体内和宿主之间的联系联系起来。模型的数学分析包括复杂网络流行病学模型解的存在性、平衡的存在性和稳定性,这些完全由宿主间系统的基本繁殖数决定。数值分析表明,非指数分布和网络拓扑结构对流行模式的预测具有重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
A model for transcription-dependent R-loop formation at double-stranded DNA breaks: Implications for their detection and biological effects 双链 DNA 断裂处转录依赖性 R 环形成模型:对其检测和生物效应的影响
IF 1.9 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2024.111962
Boris P. Belotserkovskii, Philip C. Hanawalt
R-loops are structures containing an RNA-DNA duplex and an unpaired DNA strand. During R-loop formation an RNA strand invades the DNA duplex, displacing the homologous DNA strand and binding the complementary DNA strand. Here we analyze a model for transcription-dependent R-loop formation at double-stranded DNA breaks (DSBs). In this model, R-loop formation is preceded by detachment of the non-template DNA strand from the RNA polymerase (RNAP). Then, strand exchange is initiated between the nascent RNA and the non-template DNA strand. During that strand exchange the length of the R-loop could either increase, or decrease in a biased random-walk fashion, in which the bias would depend upon the DNA sequence. Eventually, the restoration of the DNA duplex would completely displace the RNA. However, as long as the RNAP remains bound to the template DNA strand it prevents that displacement. Thus, according to the model, RNAPs stalled at DSBs can increase the lifespan of R-loops, increasing their detectability in experiments, and perhaps enhancing their biological effects.
R 环是包含 RNA-DNA 双链和未配对 DNA 链的结构。在 R 环形成过程中,RNA 链侵入 DNA 双链,取代同源 DNA 链并结合互补 DNA 链。在这里,我们分析了双链DNA断裂(DSB)处依赖转录的R环形成模型。在该模型中,R 环形成之前,非模板 DNA 链会从 RNA 聚合酶(RNAP)上分离。然后,新生 RNA 和非模板 DNA 链之间开始进行链交换。在链交换过程中,R 环的长度可能会增加,也可能会以有偏差的随机漫步方式减少,而偏差取决于 DNA 序列。最终,DNA 双链的恢复将完全取代 RNA。但是,只要 RNAP 仍与模板 DNA 链结合,就会阻止这种位移。因此,根据该模型,停滞在 DSB 上的 RNAP 可以延长 R 环的寿命,提高它们在实验中的可检测性,或许还能增强它们的生物效应。
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引用次数: 0
The development of drug resistance in metastatic tumours under chemotherapy: An evolutionary perspective 化疗下转移性肿瘤耐药性的发展:从进化角度看
IF 1.9 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2024.111957
Federica Padovano , Chiara Villa
We present a mathematical model of the evolutionary dynamics of a metastatic tumour under chemotherapy, comprising non-local partial differential equations for the phenotype-structured cell populations in the primary tumour and its metastasis. These equations are coupled with a physiologically-based pharmacokinetic model of drug administration and distribution, implementing a realistic delivery schedule. The model is carefully calibrated from the literature, focusing on BRAF-mutated melanoma treated with Dabrafenib as a case study. By means of long-time asymptotic and global sensitivity analyses, as well as numerical simulations, we explore the impact of cell migration from the primary to the metastatic site, physiological aspects of the tumour tissues and drug dose on the development of chemoresistance and treatment efficacy. Our findings provide a possible explanation for empirical evidence indicating that chemotherapy may foster metastatic spread and that metastases may be less impacted by the chemotherapeutic agent.
我们提出了一个化疗下转移性肿瘤演变动态的数学模型,其中包括原发肿瘤及其转移瘤中表型结构细胞群的非局部偏微分方程。这些方程与基于生理学的给药和分布药代动力学模型相结合,实现了现实的给药时间表。该模型根据文献进行了仔细校准,并以使用达拉非尼治疗的 BRAF 突变黑色素瘤为案例进行了研究。通过长期渐近分析和全局敏感性分析以及数值模拟,我们探讨了细胞从原发部位向转移部位迁移、肿瘤组织的生理方面以及药物剂量对化疗耐药性的发展和治疗效果的影响。我们的研究结果为经验证据提供了一种可能的解释,即化疗可能会促进转移扩散,而转移灶受到化疗药物的影响可能较小。
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引用次数: 0
Global stability of coexistence equilibria for n-species models of facultative mutualism n种互惠模式共存平衡的全局稳定性。
IF 1.9 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2024.111961
Paul Georgescu , Hong Zhang
We further pursue an investigation on an abstract model characterizing the dynamics of a general class of n-species facultative mutualisms that was initiated in Georgescu et al. (2017), establishing biologically relevant sufficient conditions for the global asymptotic stability of the coexistence equilibria. These conditions are given in terms of per-species limits of growth-to-loss ratios computed at higher population densities, complemented by either monotonicity or sublinearity inequalities, and are observed to hold for n-species versions of mutualistic models in current use. The specific modeling details that require either of these conditions being satisfied are outlined and discussed. As mutualisms can enhance species diversification and facilitate stable coexistence via a plethora of mechanisms, it is then important to understand the stability of speciose mutualisms, our results being of potential interest to theoretical ecologists studying the coexistence of many interacting species and to conservationists aiming for rare species preservation.
我们进一步研究了一个抽象模型,该模型描述了 Georgescu 等人(2017 年)提出的一般 n 种亲缘互惠关系的动态特征,为共存均衡的全局渐进稳定性建立了生物学相关的充分条件。这些条件是以在较高种群密度下计算的每物种生长-损失比的极限值给出的,并辅以单调性或亚线性不等式,据观察,这些条件在目前使用的 n 种互生模型中都是成立的。本文概述并讨论了需要满足上述任一条件的具体建模细节。由于互惠关系可以通过多种机制提高物种多样性并促进稳定共存,因此了解物种互惠关系的稳定性非常重要,我们的研究结果对于研究多种相互作用物种共存的理论生态学家和旨在保护稀有物种的保护主义者具有潜在的意义。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the treatment of SARS-CoV-2 with modified vesicular stomatitis virus 探索用改良水泡性口炎病毒治疗 SARS-CoV-2
IF 1.9 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2024.111959
Nishnath Polavarapu , Madison Doty , Hana M. Dobrovolny
SARS-CoV-2 caused a global pandemic and is now an endemic virus that will require continued antiviral and vaccine development. A possible new treatment modality was recently suggested that would use vesicular stomatitis virus (VSV) modified to express the ACE2 receptor. Since the modified VSV expresses the cell surface receptor that is used by the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein, the thought is that SARS-CoV-2 virions would bind to the modified VSV and thus be neutralized. Additionally, since SARS-CoV-2 infected cells also express the spike protein, the modified VSV could potentially infect these cells, allowing for its own replication, but also potentially interfering with replication of SARS-CoV-2. This idea has not yet been tested experimentally, but we can investigate the feasibility of this possible treatment theoretically. In this manuscript, we develop a mathematical model of this suggested treatment and explore conditions under which it might be effective. We find that treatment with modified VSV does little to change the SARS-CoV-2 time course except when the treatment is applied at the onset of the SARS-CoV-2 infection at very high doses. In this case, VSV reduces the peak SARS-CoV-2 viral load, but lengthens the duration of the SARS-CoV-2 infection. Thus, we find that modified VSV treatment is unlikely to be effective largely because it does not prevent infection of cells by SARS-CoV-2.
SARS-CoV-2 造成了全球大流行,现在已成为一种地方性病毒,需要继续开发抗病毒药物和疫苗。最近有人提出了一种可能的新治疗方法,即使用经修饰的水泡性口炎病毒(VSV)来表达 ACE2 受体。由于改造后的 VSV 表达的细胞表面受体是 SARS-CoV-2 棘突蛋白所使用的,因此人们认为 SARS-CoV-2 病毒会与改造后的 VSV 结合,从而被中和。此外,由于受 SARS-CoV-2 感染的细胞也表达尖峰蛋白,经过修饰的 VSV 有可能感染这些细胞,从而实现自身复制,但也有可能干扰 SARS-CoV-2 的复制。这一想法尚未得到实验验证,但我们可以从理论上研究这种可能的治疗方法的可行性。在本手稿中,我们建立了这一建议疗法的数学模型,并探讨了其可能有效的条件。我们发现,使用改良 VSV 治疗对 SARS-CoV-2 的时间进程几乎没有影响,除非在 SARS-CoV-2 感染开始时使用非常高的剂量进行治疗。在这种情况下,VSV 会降低 SARS-CoV-2 病毒载量的峰值,但会延长 SARS-CoV-2 感染的持续时间。因此,我们发现改良的 VSV 治疗不可能有效,主要是因为它不能阻止细胞感染 SARS-CoV-2。
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引用次数: 0
Agelessness is possible under the disposable soma theory but system complexity makes it unlikely 根据可抛弃的肉体理论,永恒是有可能的,但系统的复杂性使其不太可能实现。
IF 1.9 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2024.111958
Christopher W. Rodriguez, Peter W. Reddien
Although demographic studies have failed to find evidence of aging in certain animal species, classic evolutionary theories of aging struggle to explain how evolution could favor agelessness in such cases. Here, we develop mathematical models of the disposable soma theory to identify conditions in which agelessness would be evolutionarily favored. For any given type of damage that could accumulate and cause age-accelerating mortality risk, we find that evolution could select for its complete removal if the mortality risk it poses is severe enough and its repair does not pose too large of a penalty to reproduction. Environmental factors such as extrinsic mortality and the form of population density-dependent regulation also play a large role in determining the optimal rate of aging and whether agelessness should be evolutionarily favored. However, in a system with multiple sources of damage and multiple independent repair processes, avoiding aging is rarely evolutionarily favorable. Pleiotropic repair processes, such as those that could be present in asexual fissioning organisms, make agelessness more likely but do not guarantee it. Our results indicate that agelessness could be favored by evolution in narrow contexts but that multiple types of damage and repair make agelessness unlikely to arise in sufficiently complex organisms.
尽管人口统计学研究未能在某些动物物种中发现衰老的证据,但经典的衰老进化理论却很难解释在这种情况下进化如何有利于无老化。在这里,我们建立了一次性体细胞理论的数学模型,以确定在哪些条件下进化会有利于无老化。我们发现,对于任何一种可能累积并导致年龄加速死亡风险的损伤,如果其造成的死亡风险足够严重,且修复损伤不会对繁殖造成太大的惩罚,那么进化就会选择完全清除损伤。环境因素(如外在死亡率和依赖种群密度的调控形式)在决定最佳衰老速度和进化是否倾向于无老化方面也起着重要作用。然而,在一个具有多个损伤源和多个独立修复过程的系统中,避免衰老在进化上很少是有利的。多源修复过程(如无性裂变生物中可能存在的修复过程)使无老化更有可能发生,但并不能保证无老化的发生。我们的研究结果表明,在狭窄的环境中,无老化可能会受到进化的青睐,但在足够复杂的生物体中,多种类型的损伤和修复使得无老化不太可能出现。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal resource allocation in micro-organisms under periodic nutrient fluctuations 周期性养分波动下微生物的最佳资源分配。
IF 1.9 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2024.111953
J. Innerarity Imizcoz , W. Djema , F. Mairet , J.-L. Gouzé
Although microorganisms often live in dynamic environments, most studies, both experimental and theoretical, are carried out under static conditions. In this work, we investigate the issue of optimal resource allocation in bacteria growing in periodic environments. We consider a dynamic model describing the microbial metabolism under varying conditions, involving a control variable quantifying the protein precursors allocation. Our objective is to determine the optimal strategies maximizing the long-term growth of cells under a piecewise-constant periodic environment. Firstly, we perform a theoretical analysis of the resulting optimal control problem (OCP), based on the application the Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle (PMP). We determine that the structure of the optimal control must be bang–bang, with possibly some singular arcs corresponding to optimal equilibria of the system. If the control presents singular arcs, then these can only be reached and left through chattering arcs. We also use a direct optimization method, implemented in the BOCOP software, to solve the studied OCP. Our study reveals that the optimal solution over a large time horizon is related to the one over a single period of the varying environment with periodic constraints. Moreover, we observe that the maximal average growth rate attainable under periodic conditions can be higher than the one under a constant environment. We further extend our analysis to conduct a qualitative comparison between the predictions from our model and some recent biological experiments on E. coli. This analysis particularly highlights the mechanisms of action of the ppGpp signaling molecule, thus providing relevant explanations of the experimental observations. In conclusion, our study corroborates previous research indicating that this molecule plays a crucial role in the regulation of resource allocation of protein precursors in E. coli.
虽然微生物经常生活在动态环境中,但大多数研究,无论是实验研究还是理论研究,都是在静态条件下进行的。在这项工作中,我们研究了在周期性环境中生长的细菌的最佳资源分配问题。我们考虑了一个描述不同条件下微生物新陈代谢的动态模型,其中涉及一个量化蛋白质前体分配的控制变量。我们的目标是确定在片断恒定的周期性环境下最大化细胞长期生长的最优策略。首先,我们基于庞特里亚金最大原则(PMP)的应用,对由此产生的最优控制问题(OCP)进行了理论分析。我们认为,最优控制的结构必须是 "砰-砰 "式的,可能会有一些奇异弧线与系统的最优均衡点相对应。如果控制出现奇异弧,那么这些奇异弧只能通过颤动弧到达或离开。我们还使用 BOCOP 软件中的直接优化方法来求解所研究的 OCP。我们的研究表明,大时间跨度下的最优解与具有周期性约束的变化环境下的单周期最优解相关。此外,我们还发现,在周期性条件下可达到的最大平均增长率可能高于恒定环境下的增长率。我们进一步扩展了分析范围,对我们的模型预测结果和最近的一些大肠杆菌生物实验进行了定性比较。这一分析特别强调了ppGpp 信号分子的作用机制,从而为实验观察提供了相关解释。总之,我们的研究证实了之前的研究,即该分子在调节大肠杆菌蛋白质前体的资源分配中起着至关重要的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Macroscale vertical power-law distribution of bacteria in dark oceans can emerge from microscale bacteria-particle interactions 暗色海洋中细菌的宏观垂直幂律分布可以从微观的细菌-粒子相互作用中产生。
IF 1.9 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2024.111956
Takeshi Miki , Po-Ju Ke
Microbes in the dark oceans are a key determinant of remineralization of sinking carbon particles. However, most marine ecosystem models overlook how microbes aggregate on particles and the microscale interactions between particle-associated microbes, making it difficult to obtain mechanistic insights on their vertical power-law decay pattern. Here, we present a spatial population model where the attachment and detachment processes of bacterial cells depend on local density of particle-associated bacteria. We show that the power-law relationship can emerge when the non-random aggregated distribution of bacteria is considered without any depth-specific environmental parameters. Furthermore, the comparison between model behavior and empirical patterns in the Pacific and Southern Ocean indicated that temperature-dependent hydrolysis rate and nutrient-dependent sinking rate of particles are key parameters to explain the regional variations of the power-law exponent. The mechanistic approach developed here provides a pathway to link micro-scale interactions between individuals to macro-scale food chain structures and carbon cycle.
暗色海洋中的微生物是决定下沉碳颗粒再矿化的关键因素。然而,大多数海洋生态系统模型都忽略了微生物如何聚集在颗粒上以及颗粒相关微生物之间的微观相互作用,因此很难从机理上了解它们的垂直幂律衰减模式。在这里,我们提出了一个空间种群模型,其中细菌细胞的附着和脱离过程取决于颗粒相关细菌的局部密度。我们的研究表明,当考虑细菌的非随机聚集分布而不考虑任何特定深度的环境参数时,幂律关系就会出现。此外,模型行为与太平洋和南大洋经验模式的比较表明,与温度相关的水解速率和与营养物质相关的颗粒沉降速率是解释幂律指数区域变化的关键参数。本文提出的机理方法为将个体间微观尺度的相互作用与宏观尺度的食物链结构和碳循环联系起来提供了一条途径。
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引用次数: 0
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