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Overdose as a complex contagion: modelling the community spread of overdose events following law enforcement efforts to disrupt the drug market. 吸毒过量是一种复杂的传染病:在执法部门努力扰乱毒品市场后,吸毒过量事件的社区传播模型。
IF 4.9 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI: 10.1136/jech-2024-222263
Jamie L Humphrey, Clyde Schwab, Nicholas J Richardson, Barrot H Lambdin, Alex H Kral, Bradley Ray

Background: The opioid overdose mortality crisis in the USA is an ongoing public health epidemic. Ongoing law enforcement strategies to disrupt local unregulated drug markets can have an iatrogenic effect of increasing overdose by driving consumers towards new suppliers with unpredictable drug products of unknown potency.

Methods: Cross-sectional study using point-level information on law enforcement opioid-related drug seizures from property room data, opioid-related non-fatal overdose events from emergency medical services and block group-level social determinants of health data from multiple sources. Using an endemic-epidemic spatiotemporal regression model, we estimated the degree to which exposure to drug supply disruptions triggers future overdose events within small space-time distances in Indianapolis, Indiana.

Results: Neighbourhoods with more structural racism, economic deprivation or urban blight were associated with higher rates of non-fatal overdose. Exposure to an opioid-related drug seizure event had a significant and positive effect on the epidemic probability of non-fatal overdose. An opioid seizure that occurred within 250 m and 3 days, 250 m and 7 days, and 250 m and 14 days of an overdose event increased the risk of a new non-fatal overdose by 2.62 (rate ratio (RR)=2.62, 95% CI 1.87 to 3.67), 2.17 (RR=2.17, 95% CI 1.87 to 2.59) and 1.83 (RR=1.83, 95% CI 1.66 to 2.02), respectively. Similar spatiotemporal patterns were observed in a smaller spatial bandwidth.

Conclusions: Results demonstrated that overdoses exhibit a community spread process, which is exacerbated following law enforcement strategies to disrupt the unregulated drug market. We discuss decriminalisation and increasing resources that promote safer drug use to combat this public health crisis.

背景:美国的阿片类药物过量致死危机是一种持续的公共卫生流行病。持续的执法策略旨在扰乱当地不受监管的毒品市场,这可能会导致消费者转向新的供应商,购买效力未知、难以预测的毒品产品,从而产生增加用药过量的先天效应:横断面研究使用了财产室数据中与阿片类药物相关的执法缉获点信息、紧急医疗服务中与阿片类药物相关的非致命性用药过量事件以及多种来源的街区组健康社会决定因素数据。利用地方病-流行病时空回归模型,我们估算了在印第安纳州印第安纳波利斯一小段时空距离内,受毒品供应中断影响引发未来用药过量事件的程度:结果:结构性种族主义、经济贫困或城市贫民窟较多的社区,非致命性用药过量发生率较高。与阿片类药物相关的缉毒事件对非致命性用药过量的流行概率有显著的积极影响。阿片类药物在吸食过量事件发生后 250 米和 3 天内、250 米和 7 天内以及 250 米和 14 天内发作,会使新的非致命性吸食过量风险分别增加 2.62(比率比 (RR)=2.62,95% CI 1.87 至 3.67)、2.17(RR=2.17,95% CI 1.87 至 2.59)和 1.83(RR=1.83,95% CI 1.66 至 2.02)。在较小的空间带宽中也观察到类似的时空模式:研究结果表明,吸毒过量表现出一种社区传播过程,在采取执法策略扰乱无管制的毒品市场后,这一过程会加剧。我们讨论了非刑罪化和增加资源以促进更安全地使用毒品的问题,以应对这一公共卫生危机。
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引用次数: 0
Objective and subjective accounts of urban exposures for epidemiological research on mental health. Measurement and analysis. 心理健康流行病学研究中城市暴露的客观和主观描述。测量和分析。
IF 4.9 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1136/jech-2023-220669
Mikel Subiza-Pérez, Gonzalo García-Baquero, Ainhoa Bereziartua, Jesús Ibarluzea

The interest in the impact of urban environmental exposures (UrbEEs) on mental health has greatly increased in the last two decades. Researchers have tended to measure said exposures either via objective measurement procedures (eg, air pollution campaigns and geographic information systems computations) or by self-reported techniques such as the use of scales and questionnaires. It has been suggested that studying both the objective features of the environments and people's perceptions are key to understand environmental determinants of health and might be needed to tailor effective interventions. However, there is little guidance on how to approach this matter, the comparability between objective and subjective accounts of UrbEEs and, more importantly, suitable statistical procedures to deal with the practicalities of this kind of data. In this essay, we aim to build the case for the joint use of both sets of variables in epidemiological studies and propose socioecological models as a valid theoretical framework to accommodate these. In the methodological sphere, we will also review current literature to select examples of (un)appropriate subjective accounts of urban exposures and propose a series of statistical procedures to estimate the total, direct and indirect effects of UrbEEs on mental health and the potential associations between objective and subjective UrbEEs accounts.

在过去的二十年里,人们对城市环境暴露(UrbEEs)对心理健康影响的关注大大增加。研究人员倾向于通过客观测量程序(如空气污染运动和地理信息系统计算)或自我报告技术(如使用量表和调查问卷)来测量上述暴露。有人认为,研究环境的客观特征和人们的看法是了解健康的环境决定因素的关键,也是制定有效干预措施的需要。然而,对于如何处理这一问题、城市环境的客观描述与主观描述之间的可比性,以及更重要的是,处理此类数据的实际问题的合适统计程序,几乎没有任何指导。在本文中,我们旨在为在流行病学研究中联合使用这两组变量提供依据,并提出社会生态学模型作为一个有效的理论框架来适应这些变量。在方法论方面,我们还将回顾现有文献,选择(不)适当的城市暴露主观描述的例子,并提出一系列统计程序,以估算城市环境暴露对心理健康的总体、直接和间接影响,以及客观和主观城市环境暴露描述之间的潜在关联。
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引用次数: 0
Precarious employment and the workplace transmission of COVID-19: evidence from workers' compensation claims in Ontario, Canada. 不稳定就业与 COVID-19 的工作场所传播:来自加拿大安大略省工人赔偿索赔的证据。
IF 4.9 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1136/jech-2024-222373
Faraz V Shahidi, Qing Liao, Victoria Landsman, Cameron A Mustard, Lynda Robson, Aviroop Biswas, Peter M Smith

Objective: To examine the association between precarious employment and risk of work-related COVID-19 infection in Ontario, Canada.

Methods: We combined data from an administrative census of workers' compensation claims with corresponding labour force statistics to estimate rates of work-related COVID-19 infection between April 2020 and April 2022. Precarious employment was imputed using a job exposure matrix capturing temporary employment, low wages, irregular hours, involuntary part-time employment and a multidimensional indicator of 'low', 'medium', 'high' and 'very high' overall exposure to precarious employment. We used negative binomial regression models to quantify associations between precarious employment and accepted compensation claims for COVID-19.

Results: We observed a monotonic association between precarious employment and work-related COVID-19 claims. Workers with 'very high' exposure to precarious employment presented a nearly fivefold claim risk in models controlling for age, sex and pandemic wave (rate ratio (RR): 4.90, 95% CI 4.07 to 5.89). Further controlling for occupational exposures (public facing work, working in close proximity to others, indoor work) somewhat attenuated observed associations. After accounting for these factors, workers with 'very high' exposure to precarious employment were still nearly four times as likely to file a successful claim for COVID-19 (RR: 3.78, 95% CI 3.28 to 4.36).

Conclusions: During the first 2 years of the pandemic, precariously employed workers were more likely to acquire a work-related COVID-19 infection resulting in a successful lost-time compensation claim. Strategies aiming to promote an equitable and sustained recovery from the pandemic should consider and address the notable risks associated with precarious employment.

目的:研究加拿大安大略省不稳定就业与工作相关 COVID-19 感染风险之间的关系:研究加拿大安大略省不稳定就业与工作相关 COVID-19 感染风险之间的关联:我们将工伤索赔行政普查数据与相应的劳动力统计数据相结合,估算出 2020 年 4 月至 2022 年 4 月期间与工作相关的 COVID-19 感染率。不稳定就业是通过工作暴露矩阵来估算的,该矩阵包含临时就业、低工资、不规则工时、非自愿兼职以及 "低"、"中"、"高 "和 "非常高 "整体不稳定就业暴露的多维指标。我们使用负二项回归模型来量化不稳定就业与 COVID-19 接受的索赔之间的关联:我们观察到不稳定就业与工作相关的 COVID-19 索赔之间存在单调关系。在控制年龄、性别和大流行浪潮的模型中,"非常 "暴露于不稳定就业的工人的索赔风险接近五倍(比率比 (RR):4.90,95% CI:4.90,95% CI:4.90):4.90,95% CI 4.07 至 5.89)。进一步控制职业暴露(面向公众的工作、与他人近距离工作、室内工作)在一定程度上削弱了观察到的关联。在考虑了这些因素后,"高度 "暴露于不稳定工作的工人成功申请 COVID-19 的可能性仍然是其他工人的近四倍(RR:3.78,95% CI 3.28 至 4.36):结论:在大流行的头两年,就业不稳定的工人更有可能因工作原因感染 COVID-19,从而成功申请误工补偿。旨在促进大流行病后公平、持续恢复的战略应考虑并解决与不稳定就业相关的显著风险。
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引用次数: 0
Maternal cigarette smoking before or during pregnancy increases the risk of severe neonatal morbidity after delivery: a nationwide population-based retrospective cohort study. 孕前或孕期吸烟会增加产后新生儿严重发病的风险:一项基于全国人口的回顾性队列研究。
IF 4.9 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1136/jech-2024-222259
Lili Yang, Liu Yang, Huan Wang, Yajun Guo, Min Zhao, Pascal Bovet, Bo Xi

Background: The association of maternal cigarette smoking during pregnancy with severe neonatal morbidity (SNM) is still inconclusive. We aimed to examine the associations of the timing and the intensity of maternal cigarette smoking with infant SNM in the USA.

Methods: We used birth certificate data of 12 150 535 women aged 18-49 years who had live singleton births from the 2016-2019 US National Vital Statistics System. Women self-reported the daily number of cigarettes they consumed before pregnancy and in each trimester of pregnancy. Composite SNM was defined as one or more of the following complications: assisted ventilation immediately following delivery, assisted ventilation for >6 hours, neonatal intensive care unit admission, surfactant replacement therapy, suspected neonatal sepsis, and seizure.

Results: Maternal cigarette smoking either before pregnancy or during any trimester of pregnancy significantly increased the risk of infant SNM, even at a very low intensity (ie, 1-2 cigarettes per day). For example, compared with women who did not smoke before pregnancy, the adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals (OR, 95% CI) of composite SNM in the newborn from women who smoked 1-2, 3-5, 6-9, 10-19, and ≥20 cigarettes per day before pregnancy were 1.16 (1.13 to 1.19), 1.22 (1.20 to 1.24), 1.26 (1.23 to 1.29), 1.27 (1.25 to 1.28), and 1.31 (1.30 to 1.33), respectively. Furthermore, smokers who stopped smoking during pregnancy still had a higher risk of composite SNM than never smokers before and throughout pregnancy.

Conclusions: Maternal cigarette smoking before or during pregnancy increased the risk of infant SNM, even at a low dose of 1-2 cigarettes/day. Interventions should emphasise the detrimental effects of even light smoking before and during pregnancy.

背景:母亲在怀孕期间吸烟与新生儿严重发病率(SNM)之间的关系尚无定论。我们的目的是研究美国产妇吸烟的时间和强度与婴儿SNM的关系:我们使用了 2016-2019 年美国国家生命统计系统中 12 150 535 名 18-49 岁单胎活产妇女的出生证明数据。妇女自我报告了她们在孕前和孕期每个三个月的每日吸烟数量。复合 SNM 被定义为以下一种或多种并发症:产后立即辅助通气、辅助通气时间大于 6 小时、入住新生儿重症监护室、表面活性物质替代治疗、疑似新生儿败血症和癫痫发作:结果:无论是孕前还是孕期的任何三个月,孕产妇吸烟都会显著增加婴儿发生SNM的风险,即使是非常低的吸烟强度(即每天1-2支烟)。例如,与孕前不吸烟的妇女相比,孕前每天吸烟1-2支、3-5支、6-9支、10-19支和≥20支的妇女的新生儿综合SNM调整后的几率比和95%置信区间(OR,95% CI)分别为1.16(1.13 至 1.19)、1.22(1.20 至 1.24)、1.26(1.23 至 1.29)、1.27(1.25 至 1.28)和 1.31(1.30 至 1.33)。此外,与孕前和整个孕期从不吸烟者相比,孕期戒烟者发生复合 SNM 的风险仍然较高:结论:孕前或孕期吸烟会增加婴儿罹患SNM的风险,即使是每天1-2支的低剂量吸烟。干预措施应强调孕前和孕期吸烟的不利影响,即使是轻度吸烟。
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引用次数: 0
Socioeconomic disparity in the natural history of cutaneous melanoma: evidence from two large prospective cohorts. 皮肤黑色素瘤自然病史中的社会经济差异:来自两个大型前瞻性队列的证据。
IF 4.9 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1136/jech-2024-222158
Songchun Yang, Yi Xiao, Danrong Jing, Hong Liu, Juan Su, Minxue Shen, Xiang Chen

Background: Previous studies on the associations between socioeconomic status (SES) and cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM) failed to distinguish the effects of different SES factors under an individual-data-based prospective study design.

Methods: Based on UK Biobank (UKB) and China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB), we estimated the effects of four SES factors on transitions from baseline to CMM in situ, subsequently to invasive CMM and further CMM mortality by applying multistate models. We further explored to which extent the associations between SES and CMM incidence could be explained by potential mediators including sun exposure, lifestyle and ageing in UKB.

Results: In multistate analyses, good household income was independently associated with an increased risk of CMM in situ (HR=1.38, 95% CI: 1.21 to 1.58) and invasive CMM (HR=1.34, 95% CI: 1.22 to 1.48) in UKB. These findings were partly validated in CKB. Especially in UKB, we observed an increased risk of CMM in situ and invasive CMM among participants with good type of house; only good education was independently associated with lower risk of evolving to invasive CMM among patients with CMM in situ (HR=0.69, 95% CI: 0.52 to 0.92); only good household income was independently associated with lower risk of CMM mortality among patients with CMM (HR=0.65, 95% CI: 0.45 to 0.95). In mediation analysis, the proportions attributable to the mediating effect were <6% for all selected variables, including self-reported sun exposure-related factors.

Conclusion: SES factors have different effects on the incidence and progression of CMM. The association between SES and incident CMM is neither causal nor well explained by selected mediators.

背景:以往关于社会经济地位(SES)与皮肤恶性黑色素瘤(CMM)之间关系的研究未能在基于个体数据的前瞻性研究设计下区分不同SES因素的影响:方法:我们以英国生物库(UKB)和中国嘉道理生物库(CKB)为基础,采用多态模型估算了四种SES因素对从基线到原位CMM、随后到浸润性CMM以及进一步的CMM死亡率的影响。我们还进一步探讨了SES与CMM发病率之间的关系在多大程度上可以通过潜在的中介因素(包括英国的阳光照射、生活方式和老龄化)来解释:结果:在多州分析中,英国伯明翰地区良好的家庭收入与原位CMM(HR=1.38,95% CI:1.21-1.58)和侵袭性CMM(HR=1.34,95% CI:1.22-1.48)风险的增加有独立关联。这些发现在CKB中得到了部分验证。特别是在英国肺结核研究中,我们观察到拥有良好户型的参与者罹患原位CMM和侵袭性CMM的风险增加;在原位CMM患者中,只有良好的教育程度与较低的侵袭性CMM演变风险独立相关(HR=0.69,95% CI:0.52至0.92);在CMM患者中,只有良好的家庭收入与较低的CMM死亡风险独立相关(HR=0.65,95% CI:0.45至0.95)。在中介分析中,可归因于中介效应的比例为 结论:SES因素对CMM的发病率和进展有不同的影响。SES与CMM发病率之间的关系既不是因果关系,也不能用选定的中介效应很好地解释。
{"title":"Socioeconomic disparity in the natural history of cutaneous melanoma: evidence from two large prospective cohorts.","authors":"Songchun Yang, Yi Xiao, Danrong Jing, Hong Liu, Juan Su, Minxue Shen, Xiang Chen","doi":"10.1136/jech-2024-222158","DOIUrl":"10.1136/jech-2024-222158","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Previous studies on the associations between socioeconomic status (SES) and cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM) failed to distinguish the effects of different SES factors under an individual-data-based prospective study design.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Based on UK Biobank (UKB) and China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB), we estimated the effects of four SES factors on transitions from baseline to CMM in situ, subsequently to invasive CMM and further CMM mortality by applying multistate models. We further explored to which extent the associations between SES and CMM incidence could be explained by potential mediators including sun exposure, lifestyle and ageing in UKB.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In multistate analyses, good household income was independently associated with an increased risk of CMM in situ (HR=1.38, 95% CI: 1.21 to 1.58) and invasive CMM (HR=1.34, 95% CI: 1.22 to 1.48) in UKB. These findings were partly validated in CKB. Especially in UKB, we observed an increased risk of CMM in situ and invasive CMM among participants with good type of house; only good education was independently associated with lower risk of evolving to invasive CMM among patients with CMM in situ (HR=0.69, 95% CI: 0.52 to 0.92); only good household income was independently associated with lower risk of CMM mortality among patients with CMM (HR=0.65, 95% CI: 0.45 to 0.95). In mediation analysis, the proportions attributable to the mediating effect were <6% for all selected variables, including self-reported sun exposure-related factors.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>SES factors have different effects on the incidence and progression of CMM. The association between SES and incident CMM is neither causal nor well explained by selected mediators.</p>","PeriodicalId":54839,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health","volume":" ","pages":"713-720"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141560380","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
An unequal health policy landscape? Examining socioeconomic differences in acceptability and preferences for policies that aim to reduce socioeconomic inequalities in health. 不平等的卫生政策环境?研究旨在减少社会经济健康不平等的政策在可接受性和偏好方面的社会经济差异。
IF 4.9 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1136/jech-2024-222449
Sanne E Verra, Maartje P Poelman, John de Wit, Carlijn B M Kamphuis

Background: This study explores socioeconomic differences in acceptability and preferences for policies that aim to reduce socioeconomic health inequalities. The investigated policies range from structural policies, requiring no individual agency, to agentic policies, which depend on the individual agency for behaviour change.

Methods: An online, cross-sectional survey was conducted among 1182 participants, stratified by education and representative of Dutch adults (aged 25-65) for age and gender. Across 31 policies, including structural socioeconomic policies, structural housing and neighbourhood policies, structural and agento-structural behavioural policies (facilitating behaviour) and agentic policies (focusing on information provision for behaviour change), acceptability was measured on a 7-point scale, preferences were measured using participants' top-5 policy choices. Regression analyses examined socioeconomic differences in acceptability and preferences based on education and income, controlling for age, gender, receiving welfare, and employment.

Results: People in lower socioeconomic positions were more likely to accept and favour structural socioeconomic policies, whereas those in higher socioeconomic positions were more likely to accept and favour structural housing and neighbourhood, structural and agento-structural behavioural, and agentic policies. Socioeconomic differences were the largest for agentic policies. Overall, 83.3% preferred at least one structural socioeconomic policy, while only 32% preferred an agentic policy. Most preferred was eliminating taxes on fruits and vegetables, (preferred by 41.4%), and least preferred was a campaign promoting healthy nutrition (preferred by 3.9%).

Conclusions: These socioeconomic differences in policy support underscore the need for inclusive policymaking processes. Including the perspectives of people in lower socioeconomic positions helps to ensure that their needs are met.

背景:本研究探讨了旨在减少社会经济健康不平等的政策在可接受性和偏好方面的社会经济差异。所调查的政策包括结构性政策(不需要个人代理)和代理政策(依赖个人代理改变行为):我们对 1182 名参与者进行了在线横断面调查,调查对象按教育程度分层,年龄和性别在荷兰成年人(25-65 岁)中具有代表性。调查涉及 31 项政策,包括结构性社会经济政策、结构性住房和邻里政策、结构性和代理结构性行为政策(促进行为)以及代理政策(侧重于为行为改变提供信息),以 7 分制衡量可接受性,以参与者的前 5 项政策选择衡量偏好。回归分析研究了受教育程度和收入在可接受性和偏好方面的社会经济差异,并对年龄、性别、接受福利和就业情况进行了控制:结果:社会经济地位较低的人更有可能接受和偏好结构性社会经济政策,而社会经济地位较高的人则更有可能接受和偏好结构性住房和邻里关系政策、结构性和代理结构性行为政策以及代理政策。在代理政策方面,社会经济差异最大。总体而言,83.3%的人倾向于至少一种结构性社会经济政策,而只有 32% 的人倾向于代理政策。最偏好的是取消水果和蔬菜税(41.4% 的人偏好),最不偏好的是促进健康营养的运动(3.9% 的人偏好):在政策支持方面存在的这些社会经济差异凸显了包容性决策过程的必要性。将社会经济地位较低人群的观点纳入其中有助于确保他们的需求得到满足。
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引用次数: 0
Accounting for time-varying exposures and covariates in the relationship between obesity and diabetes: analysis using parametric g-formula. 在肥胖与糖尿病的关系中考虑时变暴露和协变量:使用参数 g 公式进行分析。
IF 4.9 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1136/jech-2023-221882
Boyoung Park, Junghyun Yoon, Thi Xuan Mai Tran

Background: Previous studies investigating the association between obesity and diabetes often did not consider the role of time-varying covariates affected by previous obesity status. This study quantified the association between obesity and diabetes using parametric g-formula.

Methods: We included 8924 participants without diabetes from the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study-Ansan and Ansung study(2001-2002)-with up to the seventh biennial follow-up data from 2015 to 2016. Obesity status was categorised as normal (body mass index (BMI) <23.5 kg/m2), overweight (23.5-24.9 kg/m2), obese 1 (25.0-27.4 kg/m2) and obese 2 (≥27.5 kg/m2). Hazard ratios (HRs) comparing baseline or time-varying obesity status were estimated using Cox models, whereas risk ratio (RR) was estimated using g-formula.

Results: The Cox model for baseline obesity status demonstrated an increased risk of diabetes in overweight (HR 1.85; 95% CI=1.48-2.31), obese 1 (2.40; 1.97-2.93) and obese 2 (3.65; 2.98-4.47) statuses than that in normal weight status. Obesity as a time-varying exposure with time-varying covariates had HRs of 1.31 (1.07-1.60), 1.55 (1.29-1.86) and 2.58 (2.14-3.12) for overweight, obese 1 and obese 2 statuses. Parametric g-formula comparing if everyone had been in each obesity category versus normal over 15 years showed increased associations of RRs of 1.37 (1.34-1.40), 1.78 (1.76-1.80) and 2.42 (2.34-2.50).

Conclusions: Higher BMI classification category was associated with increased risk of diabetes after accounting for time-varying covariates using g-formula. The results from g-formula were smaller than when considering baseline obesity status only but comparable with the results from time-varying Cox model.

背景:以往研究肥胖与糖尿病之间的关系时,往往没有考虑受先前肥胖状况影响的时变协变量的作用。本研究使用参数 g 公式量化了肥胖与糖尿病之间的关联:我们纳入了韩国基因组与流行病学研究--安山和安星研究(2001-2002年)中的8924名未患糖尿病的参与者,这些参与者在2015年至2016年期间获得了第七次两年期随访数据。肥胖状态分为正常(体重指数(BMI)2)、超重(23.5-24.9 kg/m2)、肥胖1(25.0-27.4 kg/m2)和肥胖2(≥27.5 kg/m2)。比较基线肥胖状态或随时间变化的肥胖状态的危险比(HRs)采用 Cox 模型估算,而风险比(RR)则采用 g 公式估算:基线肥胖状态的 Cox 模型显示,超重(HR 1.85;95% CI=1.48-2.31)、肥胖 1(2.40;1.97-2.93)和肥胖 2(3.65;2.98-4.47)状态的糖尿病风险高于正常体重状态的糖尿病风险。肥胖是一个时变暴露因子,具有时变协变量,超重、肥胖 1 和肥胖 2 状态的 HR 分别为 1.31 (1.07-1.60)、1.55 (1.29-1.86) 和 2.58 (2.14-3.12)。如果每个人在15年内都处于每个肥胖类别与正常的参数g公式比较,结果显示RRs分别为1.37(1.34-1.40)、1.78(1.76-1.80)和2.42(2.34-2.50):结论:使用 g 公式计算时变协变量后,BMI 分类类别越高,糖尿病风险越高。g-公式得出的结果小于仅考虑基线肥胖状态得出的结果,但与时变 Cox 模型得出的结果相当。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of elevated fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) during landscape fire events on cardiorespiratory hospital admissions in Perth, Western Australia. 西澳大利亚珀斯景观火灾期间细颗粒物(PM2.5)升高对心肺疾病入院率的影响。
IF 4.9 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1136/jech-2024-222072
Adeleh Shirangi, Ting Lin, Grace Yun, Grant J Williamson, Peter Franklin, Le Jian, Christopher M Reid, Jianguo Xiao

Background: Australia has experienced extreme fire weather in recent years. Information on the impact of fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) from landscape fires (LFs) on cardiorespiratory hospital admissions is limited.

Methods: We conducted a population-based time series study to assess associations between modelled daily elevated PM 2.5 at a 1.5×1.5 km resolution using a modified empirical PM 2.5 exposure model during LFs and hospital admissions for all-cause and cause-specific respiratory and cardiovascular diseases for the study period (2015-2017) in Perth, Western Australia. Multivariate Poisson regressions were used to estimate cumulative risk ratios (RR) with lag effects of 0-3 days, adjusted for sociodemographic factors, weather and time.

Results: All-cause hospital admissions and overall cardiovascular admissions increased significantly across each elevated PM 2.5 concentration on most lag days, with the strongest associations of 3% and 7%, respectively, at the high level of ≥12.60 µg/m3 on lag 1 day. For asthma hospitalisation, there was an excess relative risk of up to 16% (RR 1.16, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.35) with same-day exposure for all people, up to 93% on a lag of 1 day in children and up to 52% on a lag of 3 days in low sociodemographic groups. We also observed an increase of up to 12% (RR 1.12, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.24) for arrhythmias on the same exposure day and with over 154% extra risks for angina and 12% for heart failure in disadvantaged groups.

Conclusions: Exposure to elevated PM 2.5 concentrations during LFs was associated with increased risks of all-cause hospital admissions, total cardiovascular conditions, asthma and arrhythmias.

背景:澳大利亚近年来经历了极端的火灾天气。有关景观火灾(LFs)产生的细颗粒物(PM 2.5)对心肺疾病入院率影响的信息十分有限:我们开展了一项基于人口的时间序列研究,以评估在研究期间(2015-2017 年),西澳大利亚州珀斯市在 1.5×1.5 km 分辨率下使用改进的经验 PM 2.5 暴露模型模拟的景观火灾期间每日升高的 PM 2.5 与全因和特定病因呼吸道和心血管疾病入院人数之间的关系。采用多变量泊松回归估算累积风险比(RR),滞后效应为0-3天,并对社会人口因素、天气和时间进行调整:在大多数滞后日,PM 2.5浓度每升高一天,全因入院人数和心血管病入院总人数就会显著增加,在滞后1天PM 2.5浓度≥12.60 µg/m3的高水平时,相关性最强,分别为3%和7%。在哮喘住院治疗方面,对于所有人群来说,当天暴露的超额相对风险高达 16% (RR 1.16,95% CI 1.00 至 1.35),对于儿童来说,滞后 1 天的超额相对风险高达 93%,对于低社会人口群体来说,滞后 3 天的超额相对风险高达 52%。我们还观察到,在同一暴露日,心律失常的风险增加了12%(RR 1.12,95% CI 1.02至1.24),在弱势群体中,心绞痛的风险增加了154%,心力衰竭的风险增加了12%:低频期间 PM 2.5 浓度升高与全因入院、心血管疾病、哮喘和心律失常的风险增加有关。
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引用次数: 0
Changes in all-cause and cause-specific mortality by occupational skill during COVID-19 epidemic in Spain. 西班牙 COVID-19 流行期间按职业技能分列的全因死亡率和特定原因死亡率的变化。
IF 4.9 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1136/jech-2024-222065
Damián González-Beltrán, Marta Donat, Julieta Politi, Elena Ronda, Gregorio Barrio, María José Belza, Enrique Regidor

Background: There is little information on the differential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality by occupation. The objective was to examine changes in mortality during the COVID-19 period compared with the prepandemic period in different occupational groups in Spain.

Methods: Average mortality in the entire period 2020-2021, and each of its semesters, was compared, respectively, with the average mortality in the entire period 2017-2019, and the corresponding semester (first or second) of this last period, across occupational skill levels. For this, age-standardised death rates and age-adjusted mortality rate ratios (MRRs) obtained through Poisson regression were used. Data were obtained from the National Institute of Statistics and the Labour Force Survey.

Results: The excess all-cause mortality during the 2020-2021 pandemic period by the MRR was higher in low-skilled (1.18, 95% CI 1.16 to 1.20) and medium-skilled workers (1.14; 95% CI 1.13 to 1.15) than high-skilled workers (1.04; 95% CI 1.02 to 1.05). However, the greatest excess mortality was observed in low-skilled workers in 2020 and in medium-skilled workers in 2021. Focusing on causes of death other than COVID-19, low-skilled workers showed the highest MRR from cardiovascular diseases (1.31; 95% CI 1.26 to 1.36) and high-skilled workers the lowest (1.02; 95% CI 0.98 to 1.02). However, this pattern was reversed for mortality from external causes, with low-skilled workers showing the lowest MRR (1.04; 95% CI 0.97 to 1.09) and high-skilled workers the highest (1.08; 95% CI 1.03 to 1.13).

Conclusion: Globally, in Spain, during the 2020-2021 COVID-19 epidemic period, low-skilled workers experienced a greater excess all-cause mortality than other occupational groups, but this was not the case during the entire epidemic period or for all causes of death.

背景:关于 COVID-19 大流行对各职业死亡率的不同影响的信息很少。本研究的目的是研究 COVID-19 大流行期间与大流行前相比,西班牙不同职业群体的死亡率变化情况:将 2020-2021 年整个期间及其每个学期的平均死亡率分别与 2017-2019 年整个期间及其最后一个期间相应学期(第一或第二学期)的平均死亡率进行比较。为此,使用了通过泊松回归获得的年龄标准化死亡率和年龄调整死亡率比(MRRs)。数据来自国家统计局和劳动力调查:在 2020-2021 年大流行期间,低技能工人(1.18,95% CI 1.16 至 1.20)和中等技能工人(1.14;95% CI 1.13 至 1.15)的超额全因死亡率(MRR)高于高技能工人(1.04;95% CI 1.02 至 1.05)。然而,2020 年低技能工人和 2021 年中技能工人的超额死亡率最高。从 COVID-19 以外的死因来看,低技能工人心血管疾病的死亡率最高(1.31;95% CI 1.26 至 1.36),高技能工人最低(1.02;95% CI 0.98 至 1.02)。然而,在外部原因导致的死亡率方面,这一模式发生了逆转,低技能工人的死亡率最低(1.04;95% CI 0.97 至 1.09),而高技能工人的死亡率最高(1.08;95% CI 1.03 至 1.13):从全球来看,在 2020-2021 年 COVID-19 流行期间,西班牙低技术工人的全因死亡率高于其他职业群体,但在整个流行期间或所有死亡原因中,情况并非如此。
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引用次数: 0
Association of childhood food consumption and dietary pattern with cardiometabolic risk factors and metabolomics in late adolescence: prospective evidence from 'Children of 1997' birth cohort. 童年食物消费和饮食模式与青春期后期心脏代谢风险因素和代谢组学的关系:来自 "1997 年儿童 "出生队列的前瞻性证据。
IF 4.9 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1136/jech-2023-221245
Baoting He, Hugh Simon Lam, Yangbo Sun, Man Ki Kwok, Gabriel M Leung, C Mary Schooling, Shiu Lun Au Yeung

Background: Healthy diet might protect against cardiometabolic diseases, but uncertainty exists about its definition and role in adolescence.

Method: In a subset of Hong Kong's 'Children of 1997' birth cohort (n=2844 out of 8327), we prospectively examined sex-specific associations of food consumption and dietary pattern, proxied by the Global Diet Quality Score (GDQS) at~12.0 years, with cardiometabolic risk factors and metabolomics at~17.6 years.

Result: Higher vegetable (-0.04 SD, 95% CIs: -0.09 to 0.00) and soy consumption (-0.05 SD, 95% CI: -0.09 to -0.01) were associated with lower waist-to-hip ratio. Higher fruit and vegetable consumption were associated with lower fasting glucose (p<0.05). Higher fish consumption was associated with 0.06 SD (95% CI: 0.01 to 0.10) high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and -0.07 SD (95% CI: -0.11 to -0.02) triglycerides. After correcting for multiple comparisons (p<0.001), higher fish, fruit and vegetable consumption were associated with higher fatty acid unsaturation, higher concentration and percentage of omega-3 and a lower ratio of omega-6/omega-3. At nominal significance (p<0.05), higher fish consumption was associated with lower very-low-density lipoprotein and triglycerides relevant metabolomics. Higher vegetable and fruit consumption were associated with lower glycolysis-related metabolomics. Lower sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) consumption was associated with lower branched-chain amino acids. Similar associations with adiposity and metabolomics biomarkers were observed for GDQS.

Conclusions: Higher consumption of fruit, vegetables and fish and lower ice cream and SSBs consumption were associated with lower cardiometabolic risk in adolescents.

背景:健康饮食可预防心血管代谢疾病,但其在青少年时期的定义和作用尚不明确:方法:在香港 "1997 年儿童 "出生队列(8327 人中有 2844 人)的一个子集中,我们前瞻性地研究了不同性别的食物摄入量和膳食模式与心脏代谢风险因素和代谢组学之间的关系,食物摄入量和膳食模式在~12.0 岁时由全球膳食质量评分(GDQS)表示,在~17.6 岁时由全球膳食质量评分(GDQS)表示:结果:蔬菜(-0.04 SD,95% CIs:-0.09 至 0.00)和大豆(-0.05 SD,95% CIs:-0.09 至 -0.01)摄入量越高,腰臀比越低。较高的水果和蔬菜摄入量与较低的空腹血糖有关(p结论:青少年多吃水果、蔬菜和鱼类,少吃冰淇淋和固体饮料与降低心脏代谢风险有关。
{"title":"Association of childhood food consumption and dietary pattern with cardiometabolic risk factors and metabolomics in late adolescence: prospective evidence from 'Children of 1997' birth cohort.","authors":"Baoting He, Hugh Simon Lam, Yangbo Sun, Man Ki Kwok, Gabriel M Leung, C Mary Schooling, Shiu Lun Au Yeung","doi":"10.1136/jech-2023-221245","DOIUrl":"10.1136/jech-2023-221245","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Healthy diet might protect against cardiometabolic diseases, but uncertainty exists about its definition and role in adolescence.</p><p><strong>Method: </strong>In a subset of Hong Kong's 'Children of 1997' birth cohort (n=2844 out of 8327), we prospectively examined sex-specific associations of food consumption and dietary pattern, proxied by the Global Diet Quality Score (GDQS) at~12.0 years, with cardiometabolic risk factors and metabolomics at~17.6 years.</p><p><strong>Result: </strong>Higher vegetable (-0.04 SD, 95% CIs: -0.09 to 0.00) and soy consumption (-0.05 SD, 95% CI: -0.09 to -0.01) were associated with lower waist-to-hip ratio. Higher fruit and vegetable consumption were associated with lower fasting glucose (p<0.05). Higher fish consumption was associated with 0.06 SD (95% CI: 0.01 to 0.10) high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and -0.07 SD (95% CI: -0.11 to -0.02) triglycerides. After correcting for multiple comparisons (p<0.001), higher fish, fruit and vegetable consumption were associated with higher fatty acid unsaturation, higher concentration and percentage of omega-3 and a lower ratio of omega-6/omega-3. At nominal significance (p<0.05), higher fish consumption was associated with lower very-low-density lipoprotein and triglycerides relevant metabolomics. Higher vegetable and fruit consumption were associated with lower glycolysis-related metabolomics. Lower sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) consumption was associated with lower branched-chain amino acids. Similar associations with adiposity and metabolomics biomarkers were observed for GDQS.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Higher consumption of fruit, vegetables and fish and lower ice cream and SSBs consumption were associated with lower cardiometabolic risk in adolescents.</p>","PeriodicalId":54839,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health","volume":" ","pages":"682-689"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141302164","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health
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