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Estimation of Forest Leaf Area Index Using Meteorological Data: Assessment of Heuristic Models 利用气象资料估算森林叶面积指数:启发式模型的评价
IF 7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-06-22 DOI: 10.3808/jei.202000430
S. Karimi, A. Nazemi, A. Sadraddini, T. Xu, S. Bateni, A. F. Fard
Leaf Area Index (LAI) is an important structural feature of our ecosystem as it affects energy, carbon, and water exchanges between the land surface and overlying atmosphere. Global scale LAI datasets have been obtained by regression, heuristic data driven, and radiative transfer models using remotely sensed land surface reflectance data. However, the estimation of LAI from remotely sensed data is limited only to clear sky conditions. Also, it is problematic to estimate LAI in forests by using conventional remote sensing image analysis of multi-spectral data. Due to the above-mentioned shortcomings of estimating LAI from remotely sensed data, this study obtained LAI from meteorological data using the Gene Expression Programming (GEP) technique. The new approach was tested in different forest sites with broad-leaf and needle-leaf trees in USA. The results showed that the GEP technique can accurately estimate LAI from meteorological data in different forest sites.
叶面积指数(Leaf Area Index, LAI)是影响地表与上覆大气之间能量、碳和水交换的重要结构特征。利用遥感地表反射率数据,通过回归、启发式数据驱动和辐射传输模型获得了全球尺度的LAI数据集。然而,利用遥感数据估算LAI仅限于晴空条件。此外,采用传统的多光谱遥感影像分析方法估算森林LAI也存在问题。针对上述遥感数据估算LAI的不足,本研究采用基因表达编程(Gene Expression Programming, GEP)技术从气象数据中获取LAI。在美国不同的阔叶树和针叶树样地对新方法进行了试验。结果表明,GEP技术能较准确地估算不同立地气象资料的LAI。
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引用次数: 9
Extension of the Constrained Gravitational Search Algorithm for Solving Multi-Reservoir Operation Optimization Problem 求解多水库调度优化问题的约束引力搜索算法的推广
IF 7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-06-22 DOI: 10.3808/jei.202000434
R. Moeini, M. Soltani-nezhad
In this paper the proposed constrained gravitational search algorithm (CGSA) is extended and used to solve multi-reservoir operation optimization problem. Tow constrained versions of GSA named partially constrained GSA (PCGSA) and fully constrained GSA (FCGSA) are outlined to solve this optimization problem. In the PCGSA, the problem constraints are partially satisfied, however, in the FCGSA, all the problem constraints are implicitly satisfied by providing the search space for each agent which contains only feasible solution and hence leading to smaller search space for each agent. These proposed constrained versions of GSA are very useful when they are applied to solve large scale multi-reservoir operation optimization problem. The constrained versions of GSA are formulated here for both possible variables of the problem means considering water release or storage volumes as the decision variables of the problem and therefore first and second formulations of these algorithms are proposed. The proposed algorithms are used to solve the well-known four and ten reservoir operation optimization problems and the results are presented and compared with those of original form of the GSA and any available results in the literature. The results indicate the superiority of the proposed algorithms and especially FCGSA over existing methods to optimally solve large scale multi-reservoir operation optimization problem.
本文将提出的约束引力搜索算法(CGSA)进行推广,并应用于求解多水库调度优化问题。为解决这一优化问题,提出了部分约束GSA (PCGSA)和完全约束GSA (FCGSA)两种约束GSA算法。在PCGSA中,问题约束得到部分满足,而在FCGSA中,通过为每个智能体提供只包含可行解的搜索空间,隐式地满足所有问题约束,从而使每个智能体的搜索空间更小。这些约束版本的GSA在求解大规模多水库调度优化问题时是非常有用的。GSA的约束版本在这里为问题的两个可能变量制定,意味着考虑放水量或储水量作为问题的决策变量,因此提出了这些算法的第一和第二种公式。将所提出的算法用于解决著名的水库调度优化问题,并将结果与原始形式的GSA和文献中已有的结果进行了比较。结果表明,本文提出的算法,特别是FCGSA算法,在求解大规模多水库调度优化问题上具有较好的优越性。
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引用次数: 10
Variation of Runoff and Sediment Transport in the Huai River – A Case Study 淮河径流输沙变化——以淮河流域为例
IF 7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-04-03 DOI: 10.3808/jei.202000429
B. Yu, Anhui, P. Wu, J. Sui, J. Ni, T. Whitcombe
Changes in runoff and sediment transport in the Middle Reach of the Huai River have been studied by using 58 years of field data. The runoff yield from the Huai River watershed mainly occurs in the sub-watershed of the river. At the downstream Wujiadu station, the difference in total drainage area between the south and the north branches of the river is 43% while the difference in runoff yield is only 9%. Sediment yield mainly comes from the headwaters in the northern region with the upstream of the Huai River playing a secondary role. The data demonstrate that there has been little change in long-term average annual runoff in the Middle Reach of the Huai River (MRHR) but there has been a dramatic decrease in average annual sediment transport. This decrease in sediment transport in the Huai River has resulted in changes in the geomorphology of the Middle Reach of the Huai River with time. Further analysis indicates that both the main channel and the floodplain of the estuary of Hongzehu Lake have a tendency towards the deposition of sediment. A trend and regression analysis is used in the compilation of field data, calculations, and analysis.
利用58年的野外观测资料,对淮河中游径流输沙变化进行了研究。淮河流域的产流主要发生在淮河的小流域。在下游吴家渡站,南北支总流域面积差达43%,径流量差仅为9%。北方地区产沙主要来自源头,淮河上游起次要作用。结果表明,淮河中游长期年平均径流量变化不大,但年平均输沙量明显减少。淮河输沙量的减少导致了淮河中游地貌随时间的变化。进一步分析表明,洪泽湖河口主航道和河漫滩均有泥沙淤积的趋势。趋势和回归分析用于现场数据的汇编、计算和分析。
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引用次数: 33
A Stochastic Optimization Model for Carbon-Emission Reduction Investment and Sustainable Energy Planning under Cost-Risk Control 成本-风险控制下碳减排投资与可持续能源规划的随机优化模型
IF 7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-03-04 DOI: 10.3808/jei.202000428
L. Ji, G. Huang, D. Niu, Y. Cai, J. Yin
Restricted by conventional energy resources and environmental space, the sustainable development of urban power sector faces enormous challenges. Renewable energy generation and carbon capture and storage (CCS) are attractive technologies for reducing conventional energy resource consumption and improving CO2 emission mitigation. Considering the limitation of expensive investment cost on their wide application, a stochastic optimization model for the optimal design and operation strategy of regional electric power system is proposed to achieve conventional resource-consumption reduction and CO2 emission mitigation under cost-risk control. The hybrid method integrates interval two-stage stochastic programming with downside risk theory. It can not only effectively deal with the complex uncertainties expressed as discrete intervals and probability distribution, but also help decision-makers make cost-risk tradeoff under predetermined budget. The proposed model is applied in the electric power system planning of Zhejiang Province, an economically developed area with limited fossil energy resources. The influences of different resource and environmental policies on the investment portfolio and power system operation are analyzed and discussed under various scenarios. The results indicated that different policies would lead to different generation technology portfolios. The aggressive CO2 emission reduction policy could stimulate the development of CCS technology, and the electric power system would still heavily rely on coal resource, while the tough coal-consumption control policy could directly promote regional renewable energy development and electric power structure adjustment.
受常规能源资源和环境空间的制约,城市电力行业的可持续发展面临巨大挑战。可再生能源发电和碳捕获与封存(CCS)是减少常规能源消耗和改善二氧化碳减排的有吸引力的技术。考虑到投资成本昂贵对其广泛应用的限制,提出了一种成本-风险控制下区域电力系统优化设计与运行策略的随机优化模型,以实现常规的资源消耗降低和CO2排放减缓。混合方法将区间两阶段随机规划与下行风险理论相结合。它不仅可以有效地处理离散区间和概率分布的复杂不确定性,而且可以帮助决策者在预先确定的预算下进行成本-风险权衡。将该模型应用于浙江省电力系统规划中,浙江省是经济发达地区,化石能源资源有限。分析和讨论了不同资源环境政策在不同情景下对投资组合和电力系统运行的影响。结果表明,不同的政策会导致不同的发电技术组合。积极的CO2减排政策会刺激CCS技术的发展,电力系统仍将严重依赖煤炭资源,而严格的煤耗控制政策则会直接促进区域可再生能源发展和电力结构调整。
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引用次数: 55
Using Satellite Remote Sensing and Machine Learning Techniques Towards Precipitation Prediction and Vegetation Classification 利用卫星遥感和机器学习技术进行降水预测和植被分类
IF 7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-01-28 DOI: 10.3808/jei.202000427
D. Stampoulis, H. G. Damavandi, D. Boscovic, J. Sabo
The spatial distribution, magnitude and timing of precipitation events are being altered globally, often leading to extreme hydrologic conditions with serious implications to ecosystem services, water, food and energy security, as well as the welfare of billions of people. Motivated by the pressing need to understand, from a hydro-ecological perspective, how the dynamic nature of the hydrologic cycle will impact the environment in water-stressed regions, we implemented a novel approach that predicts precipitation spatio-temporal trends over the drought-burdened region of East Africa, based on other major hydrological components, such as vegetation water content (VWC), soil moisture (SM) and surface temperature (ST). The spatial patterns and characteristics of the inter-relations among the four aforementioned hydrologic variables were investigated over regions of East Africa characterized by different vegetation types and for various precipitation intensity rates during 2003-2011. To this end, we analyzed multi-year satellite microwave remote sensing observations of SM, ST, and VWC (derived from Naval Research Laboratory's WindSat radiometer) as well as their response to precipitation patterns (derived from NASA's TRMM 3B42 V7). We categorized precipitation into four bins (ranges) of intensity and trained five different state-of-the-art machine learning models for each of these categories. The models were then applied to predict the spatiotemporal precipitation dynamics over this complex region. Specifically, the Random Forest and Linear Regression models outperformed the others with the normalized mean absolute error being less than 27% for all of the categories. The characteristics of the predicted precipitation were in turn used to classify vegetation regimes in East Africa. Our results indicate significant discrepancies in the performance of the models with varying values in the predicting skill as well as their ability to accurately classify vegetation into different types. Our predictive models were able to forecast the three vegetation regimes, i.e., Forest/Woody Savanna, Savanna/Grasslands and Shrubland, with precision rate of at least 81% for all of the aforementioned precipitation bins.
在全球范围内,降水事件的空间分布、规模和时间正在发生变化,往往导致极端水文条件,对生态系统服务、水、粮食和能源安全以及数十亿人的福祉产生严重影响。为了从水文生态学的角度了解水文循环的动态性质将如何影响缺水地区的环境,我们实施了一种基于其他主要水文成分(如植被含水量(VWC)、土壤湿度(SM)和地表温度(ST))预测东非干旱地区降水时空趋势的新方法。以2003-2011年东非不同植被类型和不同降水强度率的区域为研究对象,研究了上述4个水文变量间相互关系的空间格局和特征。为此,我们分析了SM、ST和VWC的多年卫星微波遥感观测(来自海军研究实验室的WindSat辐射计)以及它们对降水模式的响应(来自美国宇航局的TRMM 3B42 V7)。我们将降水分为强度的四个桶(范围),并为每个类别训练了五个不同的最先进的机器学习模型。然后将模型应用于该复杂区域的时空降水动态预测。具体来说,随机森林和线性回归模型的表现优于其他模型,所有类别的归一化平均绝对误差小于27%。预测降水的特征又被用来对东非的植被制度进行分类。结果表明,不同数值的模型在预测能力和对不同类型植被的准确分类能力上存在显著差异。我们的预测模型能够预测森林/木本稀树草原、稀树草原/草原和灌丛3种植被类型,对上述所有降水仓的准确率至少为81%。
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引用次数: 8
Detecting Spatiotemporal Features of Phosphorus Concentrations Using MODIS Images: A Case Study of Hongze Lake, China 基于MODIS影像的磷浓度时空特征检测——以洪泽湖为例
IF 7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.3808/jei.202000445
C. Lin, J. Xiong, K. Xue, R. Ma, Z. Cao
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引用次数: 1
Improvement of Instantaneous Point Source Model for Simulating Radionuclide Diffusion in Oceans under Nuclear Power Plant Accidents 核电厂事故下海洋放射性核素扩散瞬点源模型的改进
IF 7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.3808/JEI.201700380
A. Zhai, X. Ding, Y. Zhao, W. Xiao, B. Lu
Simulation methods have become an important tool to reveal radionuclide migration during accidental radionuclide releases and predict influences of accidents on the marine environment. The instantaneous point source model is a useful method to simulate the large-scale radionuclide diffusion in marine areas. However, the simulation accuracy of this method requires improvement as it didn’t take radionuclide decay into account. In this study, an improved instantaneous point source model considering radionuclide decay was proposed on the basis of the original model. Furthermore, the instantaneous point source model and the improved version were used to simulate the concentrations of 131I and 137Cs following the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear power plant accident. The results showed that the relative error of 131I concentrations decreased from 136.03% to 37.59% when using the improved model; and improvements in relative errors for 137Cs concentrations were not apparent as the simualtion period was much shorter than its half-life period. Therefore, the improved model can accurately simulate the diffusion process for radionuclides following an accident and provides an efficient decision support tool for risk assessment managers and for use in safety guarantees of nuclear power plants during siting and operational phases.
模拟方法已成为揭示放射性核素事故释放过程中放射性核素迁移和预测事故对海洋环境影响的重要工具。瞬态点源模型是模拟海洋区域大规模放射性核素扩散的一种有效方法。但由于该方法没有考虑放射性核素衰变,其模拟精度有待提高。本文在原模型的基础上,提出了一种考虑放射性核素衰变的改进瞬时点源模型。利用瞬时点源模型和改进模型对福岛第一核电站事故后的131I和137Cs浓度进行了模拟。结果表明:采用改进模型后,131I浓度的相对误差从136.03%降低到37.59%;137Cs浓度的相对误差改善不明显,因为模拟周期远短于其半衰期。因此,改进后的模型可以准确地模拟事故发生后放射性核素的扩散过程,为风险评估管理者提供有效的决策支持工具,并可用于核电厂选址和运行阶段的安全保障。
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引用次数: 10
Accelerating SWAT Simulations Using An In-Memory NoSQL Database 使用内存NoSQL数据库加速SWAT模拟
IF 7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2019-12-22 DOI: 10.3808/jei.201900425
D. Zhang, Q. Lin, H. Yao, Y. R. He, J. Deng, X. X. Zhang, Bellwood Road Dorset P A E Ontario Canada Parks
Due to its versatility, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) has been widely applied to investigate the effects of management activities and climate change on water availability and quality. However, the use of high spatial resolution data and the advantages of SWAT itself have significantly increased the input/output (I/O) demand and thus the runtime of modeling routines that require a large number of iterative simulations. In this study, we proposed a generic scheme to reduce the SWAT runtime by caching the model inputs using the in-memory NoSQL database Redis. Then the SWAT source codes (rev 488) was modified according to this proposed scheme to develop the MA-SWAT (memory accelerated SWAT) model by incorporating a new subroutine known as Fortran_calls_c to retrieve the cached inputs. We then evaluated MA-SWAT with four synthetic hydrological models and five different parallel schemes in a quad-core commodity laptop. The test results showed that when applied with a parallel simulation program, MA-SWAT could achieve a speedup by a factor of 8.4 ~ 10.9 depending on model complexity. Compared with the original SWAT, MA-SWAT significantly improved the computation speed, indicating that the proposed scheme is a desirable method for solving high computational demand problems such as calibration, sensitivity and uncertainty analysis. Moreover, the proposed concept of linking the SWAT model with Redis via the minimalistic C client driver of Redis is a generic method, and it is possible to apply this method to other Fortran-implemented environmental model to alleviate I/O demands.
由于其通用性,水土评价工具(SWAT)已被广泛应用于研究管理活动和气候变化对水的可利用性和质量的影响。然而,高空间分辨率数据的使用和SWAT本身的优势大大增加了输入/输出(I/O)需求,从而增加了需要大量迭代模拟的建模例程的运行时间。在本研究中,我们提出了一种通用方案,通过使用内存NoSQL数据库Redis缓存模型输入来减少SWAT运行时。然后,根据该方案对SWAT源代码(rev 488)进行修改,通过添加新的子程序Fortran_calls_c来检索缓存的输入,从而开发出内存加速SWAT (memory accelerated SWAT)模型。然后,我们在一台四核商用笔记本电脑上用四种合成水文模型和五种不同的并行方案评估了MA-SWAT。测试结果表明,当与并行仿真程序结合使用时,根据模型复杂度的不同,MA-SWAT可以实现8.4 ~ 10.9倍的加速。与原有的SWAT算法相比,MA-SWAT算法显著提高了计算速度,表明该方案是解决校准、灵敏度和不确定度分析等高计算需求问题的理想方法。此外,通过Redis的极简C客户端驱动程序将SWAT模型与Redis连接的概念是一种通用方法,并且可以将这种方法应用于其他fortran实现的环境模型以减轻I/O需求。
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引用次数: 5
Conservation-Targeted Hydrologic-Economic Models for Water Demand Management 以保护为目标的水资源需求管理水文经济模型
IF 7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2019-12-11 DOI: 10.3808/jei.201900418
Y. Xiao, L. Fang, K. Hipel
Two basin-wide hydrologic-economic optimization models are presented to estimate how much water can be conserved while maintaining at least the same level of economic output. Water consumption is interpreted as either water diverted to consumptive users or water consumed by all users. Two different formulations for representing the two interpretations of water consumption are examined. The characteristics of different users, such as the consumption ratio and productivity, are considered. The models are applied to the South Saskatchewan River Basin (SSRB) in southern Alberta, Canada, where water scarcity is a severe issue. It is found that: a substantial amount of water can be conserved without sacrificing economic output; irrigation is the largest contributor while municipal and industrial (MI) users make a small difference in terms of water conservation; MI users make major economic contribution in order to retain the same level of system-wide aggregated benefits, and thereby overall water productivity can be considerably improved; MI users’ reactions are diversified depending on the specified conservation targets; and overall water conservation may be limited if MI users act independently. The implications of the results can be used to facilitate a better understanding of present water usage and guide policy makers into making informed decision for water demand management.
提出了两个流域范围的水文经济优化模型,以估计在保持至少相同经济产出水平的情况下可以节约多少水。水的消耗被解释为转移给消费用户的水或所有用户消耗的水。两种不同的公式表示水消耗的两种解释进行了审查。考虑了不同用户的特点,如消费比率和生产率。这些模型应用于加拿大阿尔伯塔省南部的南萨斯喀彻温河流域(SSRB),那里缺水是一个严重的问题。研究发现:在不牺牲经济产出的情况下,可以节约大量的水;灌溉是最大的贡献者,而市政和工业用户在节水方面略有不同;水系统用户作出重大经济贡献,以保持全系统总效益的相同水平,从而可以大大提高总的水生产力;MI用户的反应因指定的保护目标而异;如果MI用户独立行动,整体节水可能会受到限制。研究结果的含义可用于促进对当前用水情况的更好理解,并指导决策者对水需求管理作出明智的决策。
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引用次数: 13
A Two-Stage Multisite and Multivariate Weather Generator 两级多站点多变量天气发生器
IF 7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2019-12-11 DOI: 10.3808/jei.201900424
Z. Li, J. Li, X. Shi
The spatial structure of climatic variables synthesized by a weather generator has considerable impact on the modeling of hydrological variability; however, in most cases, it needs computationally intensive work to reproduce multisite and/or multivariate correlations. This work proposed a two-stage weather generator (TSWG) to preserve intersite and intervariable correlations of daily precipitation, maximum and minimum temperatures. The first stage generates daily precipitation and temperature for each site and for each variable with, but not limited to, the Richardson-type approach. The second stage rebuilds the multisite multivariate correlation using a distribution-free shuffle procedure. The TSWG was applied to a network of 15 stations in the Jing River catchment (Northwest China). It reproduced the statistical parameters and multisite and multivariate correlations well. Furthermore, indirect validation by hydrological modeling showed TSWG outputs could be used satisfactorily for simulating streamflow variability. As a distribution-free method, the correlation reconstruction method can be applied to variables with different probability distributions. The TSWG can efficiently reconstruct the correlation with one optimization for all stations and all variables, which is superior to most current methods operated once for one station pair and one variable. The TSWG provides an option for improved multisite and multivariate weather generation.
由天气发生器合成的气候变量空间结构对水文变率的模拟具有重要影响;然而,在大多数情况下,它需要大量的计算工作来重现多站点和/或多变量相关性。本工作提出了一个两阶段天气发生器(TSWG)来保存日降水、最高和最低温度的站点间和变量间相关性。第一阶段生成每个站点和每个变量的日降水量和温度,使用但不限于richardson型方法。第二阶段使用无分布洗牌过程重建多站点多变量相关性。TSWG应用于中国西北靖江流域的15个站点网络。它很好地再现了统计参数和多站点和多变量相关性。此外,水文模型的间接验证表明,TSWG输出可以令人满意地用于模拟径流变化。相关重建方法是一种无分布的方法,可以应用于具有不同概率分布的变量。TSWG可以对所有台站和所有变量进行一次优化,从而有效地重建相关性,这优于目前大多数对一个台站对和一个变量进行一次优化的方法。TSWG为改进多站点和多变量天气生成提供了一个选择。
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引用次数: 24
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Journal of Environmental Informatics
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