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Hybrid Forecasting of Wind for Air Pollution Dispersion over Complex Terrain 复杂地形空气污染扩散的混合风预报
IF 7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3808/jei.202300489
M. Perne, J. Kocijan, M. Božnar, B. Grašič, P. Mlakar
In case of an unplanned emission event from a nuclear power plant, the local population can be protected more efficiently when valid atmospheric dispersion model results are available. Atmospheric dispersion models use local meteorological variables as inputs. When atmospheric dispersion in the future is being predicted, a forecast of the local meteorological variables is needed. The most important variable in atmospheric dispersion modelling is wind, and accurately predicting ground level winds presents a challenge to numerical weather prediction models. We therefore develop hybrid models for forecasting local ground level wind at a single location where the terrain is complex and the average wind is weak and fluctuating. Wind speed and direction are modelled as west-east and south-north wind components. Each model is composed of a numerical weather prediction model and a Gaussian process statistical model that uses numerical weather predictions as some of its inputs and is trained on historical data to predict the output component. The most advanced Gaussian process models studied are of Gaussian process nonlinear autoregressive model with exogenous input (GPNARX) type. In addition to numerical weather predictions, they also use local meteorological variables, including the output variable, as their inputs. Numerical weather prediction results based on large scale information and fundamental knowledge of the system are thus supplemented by local measurements that better reflect the effects of local topography and land use. The models are tested by prediction and simulation. The wind components predicted by more advanced models are more accurate than raw or post-processed numerical weather prediction results. As an example, a model predicting 2D wind vector 1.5 h in advance achieves a NRMSE of 0.214 if it uses all the immediately available information. This is better than both the persistence model with NRMSE of 0.188 and post-processed NWP with NRMSE of 0.164. This demonstrates that hybrid modelling provides the best weather information for short-term and medium-term atmospheric dispersion forecasting. While the method is motivated by nuclear emission sources, it could also be applied to other pollution.
在核电站发生意外排放事件的情况下,当有效的大气扩散模型结果可用时,可以更有效地保护当地人口。大气弥散模式使用当地气象变量作为输入。在预测未来的大气弥散时,需要对当地气象变量进行预报。大气弥散模拟中最重要的变量是风,准确预测地面风对数值天气预报模式提出了挑战。因此,我们开发了混合模型,用于预测地形复杂、平均风弱且波动的单一地点的当地地面风。风速和风向建模为西风、东风和南风分量。每个模型由数值天气预报模型和高斯过程统计模型组成,高斯过程统计模型使用数值天气预报作为其部分输入,并根据历史数据进行训练以预测输出组件。研究最先进的高斯过程模型是外生输入高斯过程非线性自回归模型(GPNARX)型。除了数值天气预报外,它们还使用当地气象变量,包括输出变量作为输入。因此,基于大尺度信息和系统基本知识的数值天气预报结果可由更能反映当地地形和土地利用影响的当地测量结果补充。通过预测和仿真对模型进行了验证。较先进模式预测的风分量比原始或后处理的数值天气预报结果更准确。例如,如果使用所有即时可用的信息,提前1.5小时预测2D风矢量的模型的NRMSE为0.214。这优于NRMSE为0.188的持久性模型和NRMSE为0.164的后处理NWP模型。这表明混合模式为短期和中期大气弥散预报提供了最好的天气信息。虽然该方法是由核排放源驱动的,但它也可以应用于其他污染。
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引用次数: 0
A Two-Stage Stochastic Fuzzy Mixed-Integer Linear Programming Approach for Water Resource Allocation under Uncertainty in Ajabshir Qaleh Chay Dam 不确定条件下Ajabshir Qaleh Chay大坝水资源分配的两阶段随机模糊混合整数线性规划方法
IF 7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3808/jei.202300487
J. Nematian
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引用次数: 3
Numerical Modeling of Transboundary Groundwater Flow in the Bug and San Catchment Areas for Integrated Water Resource Management (Poland–Ukraine) 基于水资源综合管理的Bug和San流域跨界地下水流动数值模拟(波兰-乌克兰)
1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3808/jei.202300501
T. Solovey, R. Janica, V. Harasymchuk, M. Przychodzka, L. Yanush
On the Polish–Ukrainian borderlands, there is the Lublin–Lviv transboundary groundwater aquifer system, which is of key importance in shaping strategic groundwater resources. Due to the particular importance of this aquifer system, the two neighboring countries are obliged to undertake joint actions to protect it. The integrated management of the Lublin–Lviv aquifer system seems difficult due to the significant spatial and temporal scale of groundwater flows in the region. To support internationally integrated management, a transboundary geological model was developed. Based on this model, a hydrogeological conceptual model has been developed, which allowed for a numerical model of groundwater flow to be calculated. The model research helped diagnose potential problems by determining the scope of the area with cross-border flows and quantifying the flows between Poland and Ukraine. In addition, the numerical model was used to define the optimal cross-border management unit and the conditions needed to sustainably exploit the Lublin–Lviv aquifer system. Basing on the research results it was concluded that groundwater flows in transboundary aquifers very on a regional scale and that the range of areas of importance for transboundary groundwater flows is much smaller than the pre-selected partial catchments of the Bug and San Rivers. The results of this study may significantly contribute to the preparation of joint water management plans.
在波兰-乌克兰边境,有卢布林-利沃夫跨界地下水含水层系统,这对形成战略地下水资源至关重要。由于这一含水层系统的特殊重要性,这两个邻国有义务采取联合行动来保护它。卢布林-利沃夫含水层系统的综合管理似乎很困难,因为该地区地下水流量的时空尺度很大。为了支持国际综合管理,开发了一个跨界地质模型。在此基础上,建立了水文地质概念模型,并据此建立了地下水流动的数值模型。模型研究通过确定跨境流动地区的范围和量化波兰和乌克兰之间的流动,帮助诊断潜在的问题。此外,利用数值模型确定了卢布林-利沃夫含水层系统可持续开发所需的最佳跨境管理单元和条件。研究结果表明,地下水在跨界含水层的流动具有区域尺度,跨界地下水流动的重要区域范围远小于预先选定的布格河和三河的部分集水区。本研究的结果可能对联合水资源管理计划的制定有重要的贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Machine Learning Enhances Flood Resilience Measurement in a Coastal Area – Case Study of Morocco 机器学习增强了沿海地区的抗洪能力测量——以摩洛哥为例
IF 7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3808/jei.202300497
N. Satour, B. Benyacoub, N. El Moçayd, Z. Ennaimani, S. Niazi, N. Kassou, I. Kacimi
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引用次数: 1
How Landscape Patterns Affect River Water Quality Spatially and Temporally: A Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression Approach 景观格局对河流水质的时空影响:多尺度地理加权回归方法
1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3808/jei.202300503
X. Li, J. Zhang, W. Yu, L. Liu, W. Wang, Z. Cui, W. Wang, R. Wang, Y. Li
The water quality of a river can be considered a function of its surrounding landscape. Understanding the relationship between landscape patterns and river water quality is essential for optimizing landscape patterns to reduce watershed pollution and has not yet been solved. A multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) model was used to explore the associations between the landscape patterns and water quality. Our results showed that landscape metrics have varied relationships with the water quality across spatial scales in different seasons. The strongest independent influencing variable for NO3–-N, NH4+-N, and TN was tea gardens, residential land, and varied seasonally, respectively. The impacts of the landscape metrics on the TP were relatively weak throughout the year at the watershed scale. The influence of landscape metrics on NO3–-N was more significant during the flood season, whereas that on NH4+-N was more notable during the non-flood season. Seasonal changes in the influencing landscape metrics of TN were not regular. Although landscape composition more significantly influenced water quality than configuration, the Shannon’s diversity index and patch density were important configuration indices that significantly impacted water quality. Therefore, with limited land availability, it is essential to optimize the landscape spatial configuration without changing the composition of the watershed to reduce the risk of river pollution. This study further indicated that the MGWR model can well quantify the effects of landscape pattern on water quality at the watershed scale.
河流的水质可以被认为是其周围景观的一个功能。了解景观格局与河流水质之间的关系是优化景观格局以减少流域污染的关键,但这一问题尚未得到解决。采用多尺度地理加权回归(MGWR)模型探讨了景观格局与水质之间的关系。结果表明,不同季节景观指标与水质的关系在不同空间尺度上存在差异。NO3——N、NH4+-N和TN的最大独立影响变量分别是茶园、住宅用地和不同季节。在流域尺度上,景观指标对总磷的影响在全年内相对较弱。景观指标对NO3——N的影响在汛期更为显著,而对NH4+-N的影响在非汛期更为显著。影响全氮景观指标的季节变化不规律。虽然景观组成对水质的影响大于配置,但Shannon多样性指数和斑块密度是显著影响水质的重要配置指标。因此,在土地资源有限的情况下,在不改变流域构成的前提下,优化景观空间配置,降低河流污染风险至关重要。研究进一步表明,MGWR模型可以很好地量化流域尺度上景观格局对水质的影响。
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引用次数: 0
A Comprehensive Review of Ontologies in the Hydrology Towards Guiding Next Generation Artificial Intelligence Applications 面向下一代人工智能应用的水文学本体综述
1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3808/jei.202300500
Ö. Baydaroğlu, S. Yeşilköy, Y. Sermet, I. Demir
Big data generated by remote sensing, ground-based measurements, models and simulations, social media and crowdsourcing, and a wide range of structured and unstructured sources necessitates significant data and knowledge management efforts. Innovations and developments in information technology over the last couple of decades have made data and knowledge management possible for an insurmountable amount of data collected and generated over the last decades. This enabled open knowledge networks to be built that led to new ideas in scientific research and the business world. To design and develop open knowledge networks, ontologies are essential since they form the backbone of conceptualization of a given knowledge domain. A systematic literature review was conducted to examine research involving ontologies related to hydrological processes and water resource management. Ontologies in the hydrology domain support the comprehension, monitoring, and representation of the hydrologic cycle’s complex structure, as well as the predictions of its processes. They contribute to the development of ontology-based information and decision support systems; understanding of environmental and atmospheric phenomena; development of climate and water resiliency concepts; creation of educational tools with artificial intelligence; and strengthening of related cyberinfrastructures. This review provides an explanation of key issues and challenges in ontology development based on hydrologic processes to guide the development of next generation artificial intelligence applications. The study also discusses future research prospects in combination with artificial intelligence and hydroscience.
遥感、地面测量、模型和模拟、社交媒体和众包以及广泛的结构化和非结构化来源产生的大数据需要大量的数据和知识管理工作。在过去的几十年里,信息技术的创新和发展使得数据和知识管理成为可能,因为在过去的几十年里收集和产生了大量的数据。这使得开放的知识网络得以建立,从而在科学研究和商业世界中产生新的想法。为了设计和开发开放的知识网络,本体是必不可少的,因为它们构成了给定知识领域概念化的支柱。系统的文献综述进行了研究涉及本体涉及水文过程和水资源管理。水文学领域的本体论支持对水文循环复杂结构的理解、监测和表征,以及对其过程的预测。它们有助于基于本体的信息和决策支持系统的发展;了解环境和大气现象;气候和水恢复力概念的发展;用人工智能创造教育工具;加强相关网络基础设施建设。本文综述了基于水文过程的本体开发中的关键问题和挑战,以指导下一代人工智能应用的发展。并结合人工智能和水文科学探讨了未来的研究前景。
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引用次数: 4
Specificality, Quality Variation, Assessment and Treatment of Estuarine Water in the Pearl River Delta, South China 珠江三角洲河口水的特性、水质变化、评价与治理
IF 7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3808/jei.202300496
H. Tian, H. Ren, X. Li, X. D. Zhang, X. Xu, S. Wang
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引用次数: 1
Rice Plant Leaf Disease Detection and Classification Using Optimization Enabled Deep Learning 基于深度学习的水稻叶片病害检测与分类
IF 7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3808/jei.202300492
T. Daniya, S. Vigneshwari
An automatic identification and classification of rice diseases are very important in the domain of agriculture. Deep learning (DL) is an effective research area in the identification of agriculture pattern identification where it can effectively resolve the issues of diseases identification. In this paper, a hybrid optimization algorithm is developed to categorize the plant diseases. The pre-processing is made using Region of Interest (ROI) extraction and the input image is created by combining the Rice plant dataset, and Rice disease dataset. The segmentation is accomplished using Deep fuzzy clustering. The features, like statistical features, entropy, Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) features, Local Optimal-Oriented Pattern (LOOP), and Local Gabor XOR Pattern (LGXP) is considered for extracting the appropriate features for further processing. The data augmentation is employed to enlarge the volume of extracted features. Then, the first level classification is made by deep neuro-fuzzy network (DNFN), which is trained using Rider Henry Gas Solubility Optimization (RHGSO) that categories into healthy and unhealthy plants. The RHGSO is the integration of Rider Optimization Algorithm (ROA) and Henry gas solubility optimization (HGSO). After that, second-level classification is made by a Deep residual network (DRN) that is tuned by RHGSO. Thus, the RHGSO-based DRN categorizes the unhealthy plants into Bacterial Leaf Blight (BLB), Blast, and Brown spot. Thus, the implementation of the proposed RHGSO-based deep learning approach offered better accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and F1-score of 0.9304, 0.9459, 0.8383, and 0.9142.
水稻病害的自动识别与分类在农业领域具有十分重要的意义。深度学习是农业模式识别中一个有效的研究领域,它可以有效地解决病害识别问题。本文提出了一种植物病害分类的混合优化算法。利用感兴趣区域(Region of Interest, ROI)进行预处理,并结合水稻植物数据集和水稻病害数据集生成输入图像。使用深度模糊聚类实现分割。考虑了统计特征、熵、卷积神经网络(CNN)特征、局部最优导向模式(LOOP)和局部Gabor XOR模式(LGXP)等特征,以提取适当的特征进行进一步处理。数据增强是为了扩大提取的特征量。然后,采用基于Rider Henry气体溶解度优化(RHGSO)的深度神经模糊网络(DNFN)进行第一级分类,该网络将植物分为健康植物和不健康植物。RHGSO是Rider优化算法(ROA)和Henry气体溶解度优化算法(HGSO)的结合。然后,通过RHGSO调优的深度残差网络(Deep residual network, DRN)进行二级分类。因此,基于rhgso的DRN将有害植物分为细菌性叶枯病(BLB)、Blast和Brown spot。因此,基于rhgso的深度学习方法具有更好的准确率、灵敏度、特异性,f1评分分别为0.9304、0.9459、0.8383和0.9142。
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引用次数: 3
Spatial Heterogeneity of Food Webs in A River-Lake Ecotone under Flow Regulation – A Case Study in Northern China 流量调节下河湖交错带食物网的空间异质性——以华北地区为例
IF 7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3808/jei.202300490
W. Yang, X. Fu, X. X. Li, B. Cui, X. Yin
The river–lake ecotone supports diverse aquatic life, but its food web structure and topology are poorly understood. Baiyangdian Lake, northern China’s largest shallow lake, depends on external environmental flows, of which the Fu River provides the most stable water supply. Here, we used stable isotopes and topological analysis to explore the food web structure along a spatial gradient using data from field surveys from 2018 to 2019. Carbon and nitrogen stable isotopes and the food web structure were associated with environmental factors for four ecosystem types (river, river mouth, lake mouth, lake). Detritus, phytoplankton, and zooplankton δ13C values became more depleted along the gradient from the river to the lake, whereas δ13C of submerged macrophytes was enriched in the ecotones compared to the river and lake. Higher δ15N values for basal resources and zooplankton occurred at the lake mouth and river mouth. The top consumers were omnivorous fish: Hemiculter leucisculus (trophic level [TL] = 3.85 ± 0.89) in the river and Pseudorasbora parva (TL = 4.54 ± 0.58) in the river mouth. Carnivorous Erythroculter dabryi occupied the highest TL (3.61 ± 0.36 and 4.46 ± 0.36, respectively) in the lake mouth and lake. These results together led to a change from a detritus-based to phytoplankton-based food web along the gradient from the river to the lake. The species richness, number of trophic links, link density, and mean food chain length all are greatest in the lake, followed by the lake mouth, and the lowest were in the river. Our results provide a holistic view of the ecotone ecosystem and its food web, suggesting that it supports a more diverse species assemblage and more complex food web structure than the adjacent river ecosystem, rather than the adjacent lake ecosystem. Therefore, management should emphasize the combined effects of altered hydrological regimes and poor water quality on the ecotone food webs to manage the river and lake more sustainably.
河湖交错带支持多种水生生物,但其食物网结构和拓扑结构尚不清楚。白洋淀是中国北方最大的浅湖,依赖外部环境流动,其中富河提供了最稳定的供水。在这里,我们使用稳定同位素和拓扑分析,利用2018年至2019年的野外调查数据,沿着空间梯度探索食物网结构。4种生态系统类型(河流、河口、湖口、湖泊)的碳氮稳定同位素和食物网结构与环境因子相关。碎屑、浮游植物和浮游动物的δ13C值沿河流到湖泊的梯度逐渐减少,而淹没植物的δ13C值在过渡带中比在河流和湖泊中更丰富。湖口和河口的基础资源和浮游动物δ15N值较高。食用鱼以杂食性鱼类居多,其中江源半盲鱼(营养级[TL] = 3.85±0.89)和河口小伪鱼(营养级[TL] = 4.54±0.58)。肉食性大红血菌(Erythroculter dabryi)在河口和湖泊的TL最高,分别为3.61±0.36和4.46±0.36。这些结果共同导致了从河流到湖泊的梯度从以碎屑为基础到以浮游植物为基础的食物网的变化。湖泊的物种丰富度、营养环数、环密度和平均食物链长度最大,其次是河口,河流最小。我们的研究结果为过渡带生态系统及其食物网提供了一个整体的视角,表明它比相邻的河流生态系统(而不是相邻的湖泊生态系统)支持更多样化的物种组合和更复杂的食物网结构。因此,管理应强调水文制度改变和水质差对过渡带食物网的综合影响,以更可持续地管理河流和湖泊。
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal Variation of Nitrogen Dioxide and Nighttime Light Dataset of Iranian Metropolises in the COVID-19 Outbreak 2019冠状病毒病暴发期间伊朗大城市二氧化氮和夜间灯光数据集的时空变化
IF 7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3808/jei.202300488
S. Sangi, S. Falahatkar, M. Gholamalifard
COVID-19 lockdown has caused a reduction in traffic volume and industrial activities which are the main sources of air pollution in whole of the world. As tropospheric NO2 pollutant and nighttime light (NTL) are the representative of human activities, this study focused to quantify the annual and monthly change of NO2 concentration and NTL in 14 metropolises of Iran before, during and after the lockdown months such as March, April, October and November. TROPOMI images of Sentinel-5p were used for investigation of NO2 column density in 2019, 2020 and 2021, and the variation of NTL was monitored by VIIRS images. The findings showed the majority of metropolises have an increase of NO2 concentration in March and October and a decrease in April and November in 2020 but a significant increase in 2021. The similar pattern of NTL change as NO2 was observed in the most metropolises. The correlation coefficient between NO2 concentration and NTL was calculated from 0.66 to 0.75. So, in majority of metropolises, the reduction of NO2 was observed with reduction of NTL. According to the results, reducing traffic volume as mobile source does not has an effective contribution in NO2 emission in some metropolises of Iran which the stationary sources are dominant such as Isfahan. Tehran as the capital of Iran showed the highest annual mean NO2 reduction in lockdown, this finding showed the important role of traffic volume on air quality of Tehran compared to industrial activities. The integrated application of TROPOMI and NTL data will help to better decision making for controlling and managing of air quality in country's urban area.
COVID-19封锁导致交通量和工业活动减少,这是全世界空气污染的主要来源。由于对流层NO2污染物和夜间灯光(NTL)是人类活动的代表,本研究重点量化了伊朗14个大城市在3月、4月、10月和11月等封城月份之前、期间和之后的NO2浓度和NTL的年和月变化。利用Sentinel-5p卫星2019年、2020年和2021年的TROPOMI影像调查NO2柱密度,利用VIIRS影像监测NTL的变化。研究结果显示,2020年3月和10月,大多数大都市的二氧化氮浓度有所上升,4月和11月有所下降,但到2021年,二氧化氮浓度显著上升。大多数大城市NTL的变化模式与NO2相似。NO2浓度与NTL的相关系数为0.66 ~ 0.75。因此,在大多数大都市中,NO2的减少伴随着NTL的减少。结果表明,在固定源占主导地位的伊朗一些大都市(如伊斯法罕),减少交通流量作为移动源对NO2排放没有有效贡献。德黑兰作为伊朗首都,在封锁期间的年平均二氧化氮减少量最高,这一发现表明,与工业活动相比,交通量对德黑兰空气质量的影响至关重要。TROPOMI和NTL数据的综合应用将有助于更好地决策控制和管理该国城市地区的空气质量。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Environmental Informatics
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