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Learning about Our Vices from Devices: A Model of Individual Learning with an Application to Consumer Food Waste. 从设备中了解我们的恶习:个人学习模式与消费者食物浪费的应用。
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.320676
Danyi Qi, Brian E Roe, John W Apolzan, Corby K Martin

The proliferation of personal, household and workplace sensors and devices has created individual environments rich with purposeful and incidental feedback capable of altering behavior. We formulate an empirical learning model suitable for understanding individual behavioral responses in such environments. We estimate this model using data collected about the joint personal decisions of food selection, intake, and waste during a study in which users photographed their meal selections and plate waste over the course of a week with a cell phone. Despite neutral recruitment language and no expectation that participants would alter food intake in response to the assessment procedures, we found a substantial learning-by-doing effect in plate waste reduction as those who document greater plate waste in their captured photographs waste less on subsequent days. Further we identified that participants reduced plate waste by learning to eat more rather than by learning to reduce the amount of food selected.

个人、家庭和工作场所传感器和设备的激增为个人创造了丰富的环境,其中的有目的反馈和偶然反馈能够改变行为。我们建立了一个经验学习模型,适用于理解个人在此类环境中的行为反应。在一项研究中,用户用手机拍摄了他们一周内的用餐选择和餐盘浪费情况,我们利用收集到的有关食物选择、摄入和浪费等个人共同决策的数据对该模型进行了估算。尽管招募语言是中性的,而且我们并不期望参与者会根据评估程序改变食物摄入量,但我们发现,在减少餐盘浪费方面,我们发现了很大的边做边学效应,因为那些在拍摄的照片中记录了较多餐盘浪费的人,在随后的日子里减少了餐盘浪费。此外,我们还发现,参与者是通过学习吃得更多而不是通过学习减少所选食物的数量来减少餐盘浪费的。
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引用次数: 0
Replacing Late Calving Beef Cows to Shorten Calving Season 更换晚熟肉牛缩短产仔季节
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-03-08 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.309987
Charles C. Martinez, C. Boyer, J. Rhinehart, Kenneth H. Burdine
There are many factors that impact profitability in cow-calf beef production. For example, retaining a female that suffers a failed pregnancy decreases the likelihood of a beef cow or heifer being profitable over her life. Several factors can cause a failed pregnancy, but retaining females that calve late within a defined calving season (days between birth of the first and last calf of an individual herd and/or multiple herds) can increase the likelihood of future failed pregnancy (Mousel et al., 2012). Late calving females get less time for uterine repair (involution) and overcoming postpartum anestrous before the next breeding season (postpartum interval), reducing the likelihood of the female becoming pregnant during the next breeding season. For example, a study found heifers that calved within the first 22 days of the defined calving season were more likely to remain in the herd longer (or increased longevity) than heifers that calved on day 23 or later (Mousel et al., 2012). A long calving season generally results in a lighter average weaning weight with a wider range of calf weights. Most cow-calf producers in the United States sell calves at weaning, and weaning typically happens when time allows regardless of calf age or weight. Therefore, calves born late in the calving season will be younger and lighter weight than early born calves. Lighter weight calves and less uniformity in calf weights can impact profitability of the herd. Calves are typically sold in lots grouped on weight ranges, and buyers commonly pay higher prices for cattle sold in larger lots (i.e., more uniform) to fill and ship truckloads more efficiently. Shortening the calving season provides an opportunity to capture price premiums from weaning weight uniformity when marketing calves (Boyer, Griffith and Pohler, 2020). However, identifying a strategy to shift to a shorter calving season can be difficult. This publication analyzes not just what happens to net returns when shortening the calving season but also what is the most profitable strategy for shortening the calving season length.
影响小牛牛肉生产盈利能力的因素有很多。例如,留住一只怀孕失败的雌性会降低肉牛或小母牛一生盈利的可能性。有几个因素可能导致妊娠失败,但在规定的产仔季节(单个牛群和/或多个牛群的第一头和最后一头小牛出生之间的几天)内保留产仔较晚的雌性可能会增加未来妊娠失败的可能性(Mousel等人,2012)。在下一个繁殖季节(产后间歇期)之前,产仔较晚的雌性获得更少的时间进行子宫修复(复旧)和克服产后麻醉,从而降低了雌性在下一繁殖季节怀孕的可能性。例如,一项研究发现,在规定产仔季节的前22天内产仔的小母牛比在第23天或更晚产仔的母牛更有可能在牛群中停留更长时间(或延长寿命)(Mousel等人,2012)。产仔季节长通常会导致平均断奶体重较轻,小牛体重范围更广。美国大多数小牛生产商在断奶时出售小牛,断奶通常在时间允许的时候进行,无论小牛的年龄或体重如何。因此,在产仔季节晚些时候出生的小牛将比早期出生的小牛更年轻、更轻。体重较轻的小牛和体重不均匀的小牛会影响牛群的盈利能力。小牛通常按重量范围分批出售,买家通常会为以更大批量(即更均匀)出售的牛支付更高的价格,以更有效地填充和运输卡车货物。缩短产仔季节为在营销小牛时从断奶体重的一致性中获取价格溢价提供了机会(Boyer,Griffith和Pohler,2020)。然而,确定一种策略来转移到较短的产仔季节可能很困难。该出版物不仅分析了缩短产仔季节时净收益的变化,还分析了缩短产仔季节长度的最有利可图的策略。
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引用次数: 2
On Policy Interventions and Vertical Price Transmission: the Italian Milk Supply Chain Case 论政策干预与价格垂直传导——以意大利牛奶供应链为例
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-01-10 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.310533
F. Antonioli, F. Santeramo
During the last two decades, the EU dairy sector has been interested by considerable changes and two policy reforms, the Fischler Reform and the Common Market Organization Reform, pushing toward economic liberalization. These changes affected the EU supply chains at different levels, altering the mechanisms of vertical price transmission. Against this background, we apply error correction models to assess how price signals are passed through, before and after the Italian milk supply chain reforms. In particular, we study the degree of price transmission asymmetries and conclude that market sluggishness has increased in the post-reform period, but the asymmetric dynamics are less evident. Reflections on future research needs are discussed.
在过去的二十年里,欧盟乳制品行业一直对推动经济自由化的重大变革和两项政策改革感兴趣,即Fischler改革和共同市场组织改革。这些变化在不同层面影响了欧盟的供应链,改变了垂直价格传导机制。在此背景下,我们应用纠错模型来评估意大利牛奶供应链改革前后价格信号的传递情况。特别是,我们研究了价格传导不对称的程度,得出的结论是,在改革后时期,市场疲软加剧,但不对称动态不太明显。讨论了对未来研究需求的思考。
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引用次数: 5
Determinants of Global Agricultural Trade 全球农业贸易的决定因素
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.313317
S. Devadoss, Blessing Ugwuanyi, W. Ridley
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引用次数: 3
Long-Term Scenarios for Sub-Saharan Africa’s Agro-Food Markets with Varying Population, Income and Crop Productivity Trends 人口、收入和作物生产力趋势变化的撒哈拉以南非洲农产品市场的长期情景
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.304766
A. Kuhn, W. Britz
This study develops long-term scenarios combining trends in population numbers, incomes, and crop productivity for Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) up to 2050 by using a recursive-dynamic version of the GTAP general equilibrium model. Results suggest that crop productivity will have a major impact on cropland expansion in SSA, giving potentially available cropland the role of a buffer that could smooth differences between future production outcomes. Another inherent smoothing factor will be countervailing trends in population and income growth that will diminish future differences in food commodity consumption per capita and limit the impact of African trends in the rest of the world.
本研究通过使用GTAP一般均衡模型的递归动态版本,结合撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)到2050年的人口数量、收入和作物生产力趋势,制定了长期情景。结果表明,作物生产力将对SSA的耕地扩张产生重大影响,使潜在的可利用耕地发挥缓冲作用,可以消除未来生产结果之间的差异。另一个固有的平滑因素将是人口和收入增长的抵消趋势,这种趋势将缩小今后人均粮食商品消费方面的差异,并限制非洲趋势对世界其他地区的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Geographic Distribution of Commercial Fishing Landings and Port Consolidation Following ITQ Implementation 商业捕鱼登陆点的地理分布和ITQ实施后的港口整合
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.303606
C. Speir, Min-Yang A. Lee
We evaluate whether changes in geographic distribution of landings coincided with implementation of individual transferable quotas (ITQs) in the limited-entry groundfish trawl fishery on the U.S. Pacific coast. We use a spatial Theil index, kernel density functions of port revenue share, and Shorrocks index of intradistributional mobility to measure changes in spatial distribution. We find evidence of increased spatial concentration; however, this appears consistent with preexisting trends and not related to ITQs. Further, we find a high degree of intradistributional mobility in the revenue share of ports that coincided with ITQ implementation.
我们评估了在美国太平洋沿岸限制入境的底栖鱼类拖网渔业中,地理分布的变化是否与个体可转让配额(ITQs)的实施相一致。我们使用空间Theil指数、港口收入份额核密度函数和Shorrocks分配内流动性指数来衡量空间分布的变化。我们发现了空间集中度增加的证据;然而,这似乎与先前存在的趋势是一致的,与创新能力无关。此外,我们发现与ITQ实施相吻合的港口收入份额的高度分配内流动性。
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引用次数: 1
Product Quality in Food and Agricultural Trade: Firm Heterogeneity and the Impact of Trade Costs 食品和农产品贸易中的产品质量:企业异质性和贸易成本的影响
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.303602
Jihyun Eum, I. Sheldon, S. Thompson
We develop a heterogeneous firm model that allows us to identify the relationship between firm productivity and product quality. The model is used to analyze the impact of trade costs on food and agricultural trade based on a bilateral trade dataset covering 159 countries over the period 2010–2013. The results show that a high firm capability cutoff—implying an ability to produce high quality—limits export market entry. In addition, fixed and variable trade costs have a negative and significant impact on the probability of firms entering export markets, while variable trade costs have a negative and significant effect on firms’ export levels.
我们开发了一个异质企业模型,使我们能够识别企业生产率和产品质量之间的关系。该模型基于2010-2013年159个国家的双边贸易数据集,用于分析贸易成本对食品和农产品贸易的影响。结果表明,较高的企业能力下限(即生产高质量产品的能力)限制了出口市场的进入。此外,固定和可变贸易成本对企业进入出口市场的概率具有显著的负向影响,而可变贸易成本对企业的出口水平具有显著的负向影响。
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引用次数: 3
Estimating Crop Yield Densities for Counties with Missing Data 估算数据缺失县的作物产量密度
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.313319
Eunchun Park, Ardian Harri, Keith H. Coble
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引用次数: 3
Are Cattle Genetics Priced to Reflect Carcass Value 牛的遗传定价是否反映胴体价值
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.304770
J. Worley, J. Dorfman, Levi A. Russell
The impact of breed on carcass characteristics in various breeds of cattle has been well documented. This paper attaches these differences in breed characteristics to end revenue via different breed and breed combinations, percentage of Angus in pedigree, and purebred status. We find that while the genetics of many breeds is priced roughly in line with its value, some breeds are overpriced or underpriced by enough to significantly improve a cattle operation’s profitability. We find that, relative to a pure Angus base, most breeds are less profitable in terms of carcass revenue per hundredweight.
品种对各种牛的胴体特性的影响已经有了很好的记录。本文通过不同的品种和品种组合、安格斯在血统中的百分比和纯种地位,将这些品种特征的差异与最终收入联系起来。我们发现,虽然许多品种的遗传价格大致与其价值相符,但有些品种的价格过高或过低,足以显著提高养牛业的盈利能力。我们发现,相对于纯粹的安格斯基础,大多数品种在每英担的胴体收入方面利润较低。
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引用次数: 1
Design of the Rainfall Index Crop Insurance Program for Pasture, Rangeland, and Forage 牧草、牧场和饲草降雨指数作物保险方案的设计
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.303607
Whoi Cho, B. Brorsen
This article considers three possible issues about the design of the Rainfall Index Pasture, Rangeland and Forage (RI-PRF) crop insurance program: (i) how well the rainfall index matches actual rainfall, (ii) whether the county base values can be made more accurate using spatial smoothing, and (iii) optimal choices of RI-PRF crop insurance alternatives for producers and reducing the number of choices that producers have to make. Based on the results, we conclude that the RI-PRF crop insurance program needs to reduce the number of choices and provide suggestions for restricting the choices.
本文考虑了RI-PRF作物保险方案设计中可能存在的三个问题:(1)降雨指数与实际降雨量的匹配程度;(2)利用空间平滑法是否可以提高县基准值的准确性;(3)为生产者提供RI-PRF作物保险备选方案的最优选择,并减少生产者必须做出的选择数量。研究结果表明,RI-PRF作物保险项目需要减少选择的数量,并提出限制选择的建议。
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引用次数: 7
期刊
Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics
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