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Community health workers: a comparative assessment of capacities of a global policy approach in selected European health systems 社区卫生工作者:在选定的欧洲卫生系统中对全球政策方法能力的比较评估
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2025.105541
Ellen Kuhlmann , Gabriela Lotta , Viola Burau , Tiago Correia , Michelle Falkenbach , Marius-Ionut Ungureanu , Iris Wallenburg , Gemma A Williams , Uta Lehmann

Background

Interest in community health workers (CHWs) and the benefits for health systems are growing globally, but research is focused on low- and middle-income countries and high-income Anglo-American countries.

Objective

This comparative assessment focuses on community health systems and health and care workers as advocates and boundary spanners, aiming to connect global evidence to high-income European countries and assessing the capacities for transformative change.

Methods

A qualitative comparative approach and case study design were chosen, aligning global expertise of the CHW pioneers, Brazil and South Africa, and selected European countries: Denmark, Germany, Netherlands, Portugal, Romania, UK/England. Case studies were collected in April/May 2025, drawing on country experts and secondary sources; thematic analysis was performed following an explorative interactive consensus-based procedure.

Results

European countries create diverse occupational pathways into health systems that move beyond primary healthcare, clinical tasks, and CHWs as defined globally. Promising capacities emerge if occupational programs are interconnected with health system reform, community-based social and care services, the establishment of a regulated multi-professional community-centred group, and strengthening of public health and social support services. No country uses these capacities effectively.

Conclusions

Community-centred health and care workers need greater attention in Europe to drive health system transformations and global policy learning.
在全球范围内,对社区卫生工作者(chw)及其对卫生系统的益处的兴趣正在增长,但研究主要集中在低收入和中等收入国家以及高收入的英美国家。本比较评估侧重于社区卫生系统以及作为倡导者和边界制定者的卫生和护理工作者,旨在将全球证据与高收入欧洲国家联系起来,并评估变革的能力。方法采用定性比较方法和案例研究设计,结合CHW先驱,巴西和南非的全球专业知识,以及选定的欧洲国家:丹麦,德国,荷兰,葡萄牙,罗马尼亚,英国/英国。2025年4月/ 5月收集了案例研究,利用了国家专家和二手来源;专题分析是按照一种探索性的基于共识的互动程序进行的。结果欧洲国家创造了多种职业途径进入卫生系统,超越了全球定义的初级卫生保健、临床任务和卫生工作者。如果职业规划与卫生系统改革、以社区为基础的社会和护理服务、建立规范的多专业社区中心小组以及加强公共卫生和社会支持服务相关联,就会出现大有希望的能力。没有一个国家有效地利用这些能力。结论欧洲需要更多地关注以社区为中心的卫生保健工作者,以推动卫生系统转型和全球政策学习。
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引用次数: 0
Provision of community health services and use of hospital care in England: Nationwide retrospective observational study 英格兰社区卫生服务的提供和医院护理的使用:全国回顾性观察研究
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2025.105538
Beth Parkinson, Matt Sutton, Rachel Meacock

Background

Expanding healthcare provision in the community is a common policy solution for reducing hospital pressures. While there is some evidence that strengthening primary care can influence hospital use, little is known about the impact of community health services such as nurse-led care delivered in patients’ homes.

Objective

To examine whether the size of the community health services workforce influences use of hospital care.

Methods

Multivariable regression of the size of the community nursing and nursing support workforce against rates of hospital use by patients aged 65+ in English local authorities in 2019/20, accounting for population needs and availability of other services.

Results

On average per 1000 population aged 65+, there were 4.3 FTE community staff employed, 440 planned admissions, 267 emergency admissions (of which 66 were for ambulatory care sensitive conditions), 465 emergency department attendances, and 4204 outpatient appointments. Unadjusted positive associations of community workforce provision with measures of emergency hospital use were explained by population characteristics. Community workforce provision was not significantly associated with any hospital use outcomes in the fully adjusted analyses. Sensitivity analyses confirmed these null findings.

Conclusions

We found no evidence that the size of the community workforce was associated with hospital activity. Despite substantial geographical variation in the size of the workforce, areas with more community staff did not have lower hospital use. Expanding community services alone is unlikely to reduce hospital activity at the system level. Direct intervention in the hospital sector will likely be required to achieve this aim.
背景扩大社区医疗保健服务是减少医院压力的常见政策解决方案。虽然有一些证据表明,加强初级保健可以影响医院的使用,但对社区卫生服务的影响知之甚少,例如在患者家中提供护士主导的护理。目的探讨社区卫生服务人员的规模是否影响医院护理的使用。方法考虑人口需求和其他服务的可获得性,将2019/20年英国地方政府社区护理和护理支持人员的规模与65岁以上患者的住院率进行多变量回归。结果每1000名65岁以上人口平均聘用FTE社区工作人员4.3人,计划住院440人,急诊住院267人(其中门诊敏感病例66人),急诊就诊465人次,门诊就诊4204人次。人口特征解释了社区劳动力供应与急诊医院使用措施之间未经调整的正相关关系。在完全调整后的分析中,社区劳动力供应与任何医院使用结果均无显著关联。敏感性分析证实了这些无效发现。结论:我们没有发现社区劳动力规模与医院活动相关的证据。尽管医务人员的规模存在很大的地域差异,但社区工作人员较多的地区的医院使用率并不低。仅扩大社区服务不太可能减少医院在系统层面的活动。为实现这一目标,可能需要对医院部门进行直接干预。
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引用次数: 0
Nurse-led models of care and their potential to improve primary healthcare for refugees in Germany: A qualitative multiple-case study 护士主导的护理模式及其改善德国难民初级保健的潜力:一项定性多案例研究。
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-12-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2025.105529
Andreas W. Gold , Clara Perplies , Kayvan Bozorgmehr

Background

Fragmented health systems can lead to over-, under-, or misuse of services. Specific challenges arise for newly arrived population groups, such as refugees, who encounter barriers to health services. These include legal restrictions and language discordance with service providers, that further exacerbate these issues. Although nurses can play an important role in improving the response of the health system, little is known about their scope of practice and their role in caring for refugees in primary healthcare contexts.

Objective

To investigate key characteristics of three nurse-led models of care for refugees in Germany, the roles and responsibilities of nurses and to describe their potential to improve coordination and continuity.

Methods

A qualitative, multiple-case study was conducted using a purposeful sampling strategy. Data collection included semi-structured interviews with three programme managers and five nurses from three operational nurse-led models of care in Germany, a social network questionnaire and a review of documents. Data analysis comprised developing logic models and using qualitative content and social network analysis methods.

Results

Examined models involve nurses by allowing for independent management of tasks such as observation, counselling, and care coordination, providing support to patients and linking them to other healthcare services. In the absence of specific training programmes, nurses rely on-the-job learning.

Conclusions

Nurse-led models of care can effectively improve healthcare for refugees. Policymakers should recognise and advance nursing practice through legislative measures and sustainable funding models. In order to prepare nurses for working in these settings, nursing curricula should incorporate refugee-specific aspects.
背景:分散的卫生系统可能导致服务过度、不足或滥用。新抵达的人口群体,如难民,在获得保健服务方面遇到障碍,因此面临具体挑战。其中包括法律限制和与服务提供商的语言不一致,这些都进一步加剧了这些问题。尽管护士可以在改善卫生系统的反应方面发挥重要作用,但人们对其实践范围及其在初级卫生保健环境中照顾难民方面的作用知之甚少。目的:调查德国三种护士主导的难民护理模式的主要特征,护士的角色和责任,并描述其改善协调和连续性的潜力。方法:采用有目的的抽样策略进行定性的多案例研究。数据收集包括对三名项目经理和五名护士的半结构化访谈,这些护士来自德国三种由护士主导的护理模式,一份社会网络问卷和对文件的审查。数据分析包括开发逻辑模型、使用定性内容和社会网络分析方法。结果:通过允许独立管理任务,如观察、咨询和护理协调,为患者提供支持并将其与其他医疗保健服务联系起来,检验的模型涉及护士。在缺乏具体培训方案的情况下,护士依靠在职学习。结论:护士主导的护理模式可以有效地改善难民的医疗保健。决策者应该通过立法措施和可持续的资助模式来认识和推进护理实践。为了使护士为在这些环境中工作做好准备,护理课程应纳入难民具体方面。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of the new ‘guard rails’ for price negotiations on pharmaceutical expenditure in Germany: A simulation exercise and retrospective analysis 新的“护栏”对价格谈判的影响对制药支出在德国:模拟演习和回顾性分析
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-12-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2025.105537
C. Kranich , D. Möller , C.M. Dintsios

Background

Due to increasing pharmaceutical expenditures, Germany implemented 'guardrails' for price negotiations at the end of 2022, as part of the ‘Statutory Health Insurance Financial Stabilization Act’. They regulate the pricing of benefit-assessed pharmaceuticals with comparators under data exclusivity, to generate savings

Objective

We aimed at quantifying the targeted savings from a payer perspective.

Methods

A retrospective implementation of the ‘guard rails’ for new benefit-assessed pharmaceuticals in the period 2020 – 2022 on a subpopulation basis after application of specific exclusion criteria was chosen to estimate their potential savings by means of a simulated budget impact analysis. Comprehensive prescription data and pharmaceutical retail prices were utilized to ensure comparability over time.

Results

The analysis included 38 products with 82 subpopulations encompassing approximately 870,000 patients. The difference between negotiated prices and those regulated by the ‘guard rails’ in terms of annual therapeutic costs was statistically significant (p=0.01, CI95%: €1145,925.47 – €8914,501.69). If the ‘guard rails’ had been implemented earlier, pharmaceutical expenditure for the assessed subpopulations could have been reduced by €191.14 million, with oncological products accounting for €117.20 million (61.3% of total savings) in the examined period.

Conclusions

Despite the significant potential savings identified in this analysis, the actual annual savings are inconsistent and challenging to predict as they largely depend on the number of new product launches and the extent of their added benefit demonstrated. The application of the ‘guard rails’ remains rather complex and legally ambiguous, suggesting that further contentious discussions are likely in the future.
由于医药支出的增加,德国在2022年底实施了价格谈判的“护栏”,作为“法定健康保险金融稳定法案”的一部分。他们在数据独占的情况下与比较者一起规范效益评估药品的定价,以产生节省。目的:我们旨在从付款人的角度量化目标节省。方法选择在应用特定排除标准后,在2020 - 2022年期间对新效益评估药物的“护栏”进行回顾性实施,通过模拟预算影响分析来估计其潜在节省。利用综合处方数据和药品零售价格来确保时间的可比性。结果分析包括38种产品,82个亚群,约87万例患者。就年度治疗费用而言,协商价格与“护栏”管制价格之间的差异具有统计学意义(p=0.01, CI95%: 1145,925.47欧元- 8914,501.69欧元)。如果早一点实施“护栏”,评估的亚人群的药品支出可以减少1.9114亿欧元,其中肿瘤产品占审查期间的1.172亿欧元(占总节省的61.3%)。尽管在本分析中发现了巨大的潜在节约,但实际的年度节约是不一致的,而且很难预测,因为它们在很大程度上取决于新产品发布的数量和它们所展示的额外效益的程度。“护栏”的应用仍然相当复杂,在法律上模棱两可,这表明未来可能会有进一步的争议性讨论。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of primary care networks on emergency hospitalisations in the English NHS: An interrupted time series analysis 初级保健网络对急诊住院的影响在英国国家医疗服务体系:中断时间序列分析。
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2025.105524
Lana Kovacevic , Lindsay Forbes , Hutan Ashrafian , Erik Mayer , Elias Mossialos , David Lugo-Palacios
Recent years have seen an emergence of collaborative primary care models in the English National Health Service and other international health systems. Primary Care Networks (PCNs) were introduced in England in July 2019, marking the first time collaboration between general practices was incentivised through a nationwide policy. While participation was not mandatory, nearly all general practices joined a PCN, largely due to strong financial incentives. Our study aim was to estimate the impact of PCNs on emergency hospitalisations using an interrupted time series design. Quarterly data between October 2016 and March 2023 from the North West London Whole Systems Integrated Care dataset was used to construct two primary outcomes: all-cause and ambulatory care sensitive conditions (ACSC) emergency hospitalisations, as well as Accident and Emergency attendances, considered as a secondary outcome. Furthermore, we analysed whether the impact of PCNs varied based on practice characteristics. A reduction in all-cause and ACSC hospitalisations was observed following the PCNs’ introduction, until the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. The analysis also revealed a smaller reduction in ACSC hospitalisations among practices with more deprived patient populations and larger populations of patients with long-term conditions. While PCNs’ implementation appears to have led to a reduction in emergency hospitalisations in North West London, this effect was only observed in the very short term as it stopped with the COVID-19 pandemic. Future studies should examine the effect across England and evaluate their continued impact.
近年来,在英国国家卫生服务体系和其他国际卫生系统中出现了协作初级保健模式。初级保健网络(pcn)于2019年7月在英格兰推出,标志着全科医生之间的合作首次通过一项全国性政策得到激励。虽然参与不是强制性的,但几乎所有的全科医生都加入了PCN,这主要是由于强有力的经济激励。我们的研究目的是使用中断时间序列设计来估计pcn对急诊住院的影响。2016年10月至2023年3月来自伦敦西北部整体系统综合护理数据集的季度数据用于构建两个主要结果:全因和门诊护理敏感条件(ACSC)紧急住院,以及事故和急诊出诊,被认为是次要结果。此外,我们分析了pcn的影响是否因实践特征而异。在引入pcn后,直到COVID-19大流行开始,观察到全因和ACSC住院人数有所减少。分析还显示,在更多贫困患者群体和更多长期疾病患者群体的实践中,ACSC住院率的减少幅度较小。虽然pcn的实施似乎导致伦敦西北部的紧急住院人数减少,但这种影响只在很短的时间内观察到,因为它随着COVID-19大流行而停止。未来的研究应该检查整个英格兰的影响,并评估它们的持续影响。
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引用次数: 0
Judicious resource managers or administrative intermediaries: A systematic review of family physician perspectives on the administrative process of referring patients to other clinicians in high income countries 明智的资源管理者或行政中介:对高收入国家家庭医生关于将患者转介给其他临床医生的行政过程的观点的系统回顾
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2025.105527
Asiana Elma , Alison K. Scholes , Alexander Singer , Jennifer Shuldiner , Katrina Shen , Ian Scott , Danielle O’Toole , Deena M. Hamza , Lawrence Grierson , Russell Dawe , Alexandra Cernat , Meredith Vanstone

Background

Family physicians play a key role in coordinating and managing patient referrals to specialist care. While central to patient care, the referral process has been described as a disproportionately time-consuming and administratively demanding process, contributing to family physician burnout, stress, and attrition. Given the growing recognition of how administrative burden contributes to burnout, stress, and physician attrition from family medicine, it is crucial to examine the nature and impacts of this workload.

Objective

To describe the range of perspectives and experiences of family physicians on the referral process.

Methods

We conducted a systematic review of mixed-methods studies using a convergent integrative synthesis approach. Eligible studies were peer-reviewed, conducted in OECD countries, and published between 2012-2025. Quantitative data were transformed into portable narrative statements to enable integrated analysis with qualitative data. Constant comparative analysis was applied across different countries and study outcomes.

Results

Thirty-one studies were included, conducted in 13 high-income countries. The referral process was characterized as requiring clinical, technological, and social competence, involving decisions about whether and how to refer, and constructing and following up on referrals. This work was further complicated by strained and fragmented healthcare systems, positioning family physicians in the role of bridging system gaps for patients. These challenges resulted in additional paperwork, unnecessary referrals, delays, and rejections, which exacerbated system inefficiencies as opposed to improving resource use. Ultimately, this contributed to physician burnout, reduced professional autonomy, and job dissatisfaction.

Conclusions

Ameliorating referral-related burden will require system-level reform and examination of intra-professional power structures.
家庭医生在协调和管理患者转介到专科护理方面发挥着关键作用。虽然转诊过程是患者护理的核心,但它被描述为一个不成比例的耗时和行政要求高的过程,导致家庭医生倦怠、压力和人员流失。鉴于越来越多的人认识到行政负担如何导致家庭医学的职业倦怠、压力和医生流失,研究这种工作量的性质和影响是至关重要的。目的描述家庭医生在转诊过程中的观点和经验。方法采用收敛综合综合方法对混合方法研究进行了系统综述。符合条件的研究经过同行评审,在经合组织国家进行,并在2012-2025年间发表。定量数据被转换成可携带的叙述性陈述,以便与定性数据进行综合分析。在不同的国家和研究结果之间进行了持续的比较分析。结果在13个高收入国家进行了31项研究。转诊过程的特点是需要临床、技术和社会能力,包括决定是否和如何转诊,以及构建和跟进转诊。紧张和分散的医疗保健系统使这项工作进一步复杂化,将家庭医生定位为患者弥合系统差距的角色。这些挑战导致了额外的文书工作、不必要的转诊、延迟和拒绝,这加剧了系统的低效率,而不是改善资源利用。最终,这导致了医生的职业倦怠,降低了专业自主权,以及对工作的不满。结论减轻转诊负担需要系统层面的改革和专业内部权力结构的审查。
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引用次数: 0
A composite and synthetic index of potentially avoidable hospitalization in adults to assess primary care quality: an application across Italian geopolitical areas 评估初级保健质量的成人潜在可避免住院的综合指数:在意大利地缘政治地区的应用
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2025.105528
Aurora Heidar Alizadeh , Marcello Cuomo , Alessandra Burgio , Alessandro Solipaca , Paola Arcaro , Danilo Catania , Barbara Giordani , Walter Ricciardi , Giovanni Baglio , Gianfranco Damiani

Background

Avoidable hospitalizations for Ambulatory Care Sensitive Conditions (ACSC) are key proxy indicators of Primary Care (PC) services quality. Challenges in Italy's National Health Service, worsened by COVID-19, have spurred outpatient care reforms to ultimately reduce avoidable hospitalizations.

Objective

To provide a synthetic, composite and cross-national index of avoidable hospitalizations in adults, for evaluating PC services performance.

Methods

Nine avoidable hospitalization indicators for 2017-2019 and 2020-2022 were calculated from discharge data of Italian hospitals. Their standardized z-scores, grouped into five nosological areas, were equally weighted to ensure balanced representation. A final synthetic index for each area was classified into one of five Jenks clusters.

Results

The national hospitalization rate decreased from 148.17 per 1,000 residents in 2017-2019 to 125.98 in 2020-2022. Before COVID-19, the “low” clusters were 11, whereas the “high” clusters were 14. In 2020-2022, the "low" and "high" clusters changed to 13 and 10, showing a mild improvement. The “medium-low” and “medium-high” clusters reported significant changes, from 29 to 39 and from 29 to 20, respectively. The “medium” clusters have remained essentially unchanged (from 36 to 37).

Conclusions

The index distribution offers three main insights: consistently low values suggest efficient PC services; high values may indicate weak strategies or ineffective PC policies; heterogeneous distribution shows fragmented policies, implying better integration and evaluation. Despite potential biases involving patient behaviors and healthcare system factors, the synthetic index offers an evaluation tool for PC performance, reducing access inequalities, and guiding targeted improvements.
背景:可避免住院门诊敏感条件(ACSC)是初级保健服务质量的关键代理指标。意大利国家卫生服务体系面临的挑战因COVID-19而恶化,促使门诊护理改革,最终减少可避免的住院治疗。目的提供成人可避免住院的综合、复合和跨国指标,以评价可避免住院服务的绩效。方法根据意大利医院2017-2019年和2020-2022年出院数据,计算9项可避免住院指标。他们的标准化z分数,分为五个病区,被平等加权以确保平衡的代表性。每个地区的最终综合指数被划分为五个詹克斯集群之一。结果全国住院率由2017-2019年的148.17‰下降到2020-2022年的125.98‰。在新冠肺炎之前,“低”群集为11个,“高”群集为14个。2020-2022年,“低”和“高”集群分别为13个和10个,略有改善。“中低”和“中高”集群报告了显著的变化,分别从29到39和从29到20。“中等”集群基本上保持不变(从36个到37个)。结论指数分布提供了三个主要的启示:持续的低值表明高效的PC服务;高值可能表明策略薄弱或PC策略无效;异质分布表明政策碎片化,意味着更好的整合和评估。尽管存在涉及患者行为和医疗保健系统因素的潜在偏差,但综合指数为PC性能提供了评估工具,减少了访问不平等,并指导了有针对性的改进。
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引用次数: 0
Integrated care in the Baltic countries over a five-year period: an expert-informed cross-country analysis of progress, challenges and future directions 波罗的海国家五年期间的综合护理:对进展、挑战和未来方向的专家知情的跨国分析。
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2025.105526
Nathan Shuftan , Giada Scarpetti , Katherine Polin , Kaija Kasekamp , Daiga Behmane , Liubove Murauskiene , Verena Struckmann

Background

In Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania, the push for care integration has gained momentum, being seen as an innovative approach to allocate resources more efficiently and improve patient outcomes.

Objective

This study investigates the progress of integrating care in the Baltic countries from 2019 to 2024 to detail key learnings.

Methods

We undertook a cross-country study to better understand the progress in care integration in the Baltics with a two-round, 21-item questionnaire on the adoption of integrated care reforms in 2019 and 2024. Responses were analyzed to capture countries’ policy environments and their conduciveness to the uptake of integrated care. Country-specific experiences with implementation of care were further explored via case studies of pilot programmes.

Results

The pace of implementing integrating care varied. Existing barriers, workforce challenges and payment schemes have impeded integration across health and social care. Despite this, political commitment across successive governments to new and innovative service delivery and collaboration for chronic care management underscores an important prerequisite toward achieving more integrated and person-centred healthcare. The three case studies illustrate hurdles that come with shifting care settings and expanding roles for some workers.

Conclusions

Integrating care across providers and the social and health sectors is an incremental process that needs long-term political support to address persistent barriers. The Baltic countries’ experiences indicate challenges in bringing together stakeholders in areas such as data interoperability, new financing models and reorganization of workforce and skills mixing. Further work should advance evidence on patient-centred solutions for evolving needs.
背景:在爱沙尼亚、拉脱维亚和立陶宛,推动护理一体化的势头日益强劲,被视为一种更有效地分配资源和改善患者预后的创新方法。目的:调查2019 - 2024年波罗的海国家综合护理的进展情况,阐述重点经验教训。方法:为了更好地了解波罗的海国家在2019年和2024年采用综合护理改革的两轮、21项问卷调查的进展,我们进行了一项跨国研究。对响应进行了分析,以了解各国的政策环境及其对采用综合护理的促进作用。通过试点方案的个案研究,进一步探讨了具体国家在执行护理方面的经验。结果:综合护理的实施进度各不相同。现有的障碍、劳动力挑战和支付计划阻碍了保健和社会保健的一体化。尽管如此,历任政府对新型创新服务提供和慢性病护理管理合作的政治承诺强调了实现更加综合和以人为本的医疗保健的重要先决条件。这三个案例研究表明,对一些工人来说,改变护理环境和扩大角色会带来障碍。结论:跨提供者、社会和卫生部门整合护理是一个渐进的过程,需要长期的政治支持来解决持续存在的障碍。波罗的海国家的经验表明,在数据互操作性、新的融资模式以及劳动力重组和技能混合等领域,汇集利益攸关方面临挑战。进一步的工作应该为不断变化的需求提供以患者为中心的解决办法的证据。
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引用次数: 0
On “Inequality in COVID-19 vaccine acceptance and uptake” 关于“COVID-19疫苗接受和使用的不平等”
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-12-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2025.105525
Zachary D.V. Abel , Laurence S.J. Roope , Raymond Duch , Sophie Cole , Philip M. Clarke
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引用次数: 0
Healthcare workforce distribution during multiple crises: a 12-year analysis of physician allocation, retention and equity patterns in Turkey 多重危机期间的医疗保健劳动力分布:土耳其医生分配、保留和公平模式的12年分析
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2025.105523
Eray Ontas , Cavit Işık Yavuz

Background

Health systems worldwide face compound crises that test workforce resilience and equity. Turkey’s centralized healthcare system offers a critical case to examine how governance models perform under sustained, sequential shocks.

Objective

To assess how Turkey’s compulsory service–based physician distribution system responded to major crises over the past decade and to introduce a novel metric for evaluating workforce retention efficiency.

Methods

This 12-year longitudinal ecological study (2013–2024) analysed Ministry of Health physician stock (active density) and flow (new appointments) data across 81 provinces. A "retention efficiency" metric (ΔStock/Flow) quantified system performance, and distributional inequality was assessed. Quasi-experimental methods, including difference-in-differences and interrupted time series analyses, assessed the impacts of the Syrian refugee influx, COVID-19 pandemic, and the 2023 earthquakes.

Results

Physician density under MoH increased by 57 % (2013–2023), yet regional inequality worsened markedly (Weighted-Gini:0.079→0.116; +47 %). A "revolving door" dynamic was identified: western regions retained physicians efficiently(>0.95), while peripheral eastern regions suffered catastrophic retention inefficiency(<0.10), rendering compulsory service ineffective. Crisis response phenotypes varied significantly. The 2023 earthquakes triggered a "volatile surge" with dose-response characteristics: the 3 epicentre provinces showed +239 % increase (ITS: +36.4;95 %CI: 35.4–37.4), declining 58.3 % by 2024. In contrast, the Syrian refugee influx elicited an "integrated absorption" pattern, with no significant targeted response (DiD:0.80; p = 0.574) despite increased demand.

Conclusion

Compulsory service enables short-term absorptive capacity but fails to ensure lasting equity. The retention efficiency metric exposes hidden inefficiencies that conventional density measures miss. Transitioning from coercive placements toward bundled incentives and investment in professional ecosystems is essential to achieve sustainable workforce resilience.
背景:世界各地的卫生系统面临着考验劳动力适应力和公平性的复合危机。土耳其的集中式医疗保健系统为检验治理模式在持续、连续冲击下的表现提供了一个关键案例。目的:评估土耳其的强制性服务为基础的医生分配系统如何应对过去十年的重大危机,并引入一种评估劳动力保留效率的新指标。方法:这项为期12年的纵向生态学研究(2013-2024)分析了81个省份卫生部医生存量(活跃密度)和流量(新任命)数据。“留存效率”指标(ΔStock/Flow)量化了系统性能,并评估了分配不平等。准实验方法,包括差中差和中断时间序列分析,评估了叙利亚难民涌入、COVID-19大流行和2023年地震的影响。结果:2013-2023年卫生部医师密度增加57%,但地区不平等现象明显恶化(加权基尼系数:0.079→0.116;+ 47%)。研究发现了一种“旋转门”动态:西部地区有效地留住了医生(>0.95),而东部外围地区则遭遇了灾难性的留住效率低下(结论:义务服务能够短期吸收医生,但无法确保持久的公平)。保留效率指标暴露了传统密度衡量缺失的隐性低效率。从强制性配置向专业生态系统的捆绑激励和投资转变,对于实现可持续的劳动力弹性至关重要。
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Health Policy
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